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« Odds and Ends: Riske, Bedard, Wolf | Main | Kosuke Fukudome Update »
SI.com's Jon Heyman has the latest on the Johan Santana trade talks.
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Are you on crack???
So the Twins dont have a choice? They have this player they dont need to trade and have 29 teams they can trade him to, but they really only have the ability to trade him to the Yankees for 2 players they dont need because you tell us its the case? And these two players will be a horrible CFer and a good pitching prospect they can just draft a comparable to at the end of the year?
See, thats the thing ~ cant they just sign any crappy minor-league FA CF and get a Kennedy out of the Draft next year? TYour deal is their only option though, really? And you said they will love it because they are cheap, right? Huh? So the theory is "take crap for the best pitcher ever because its cheap" now?
The leverage they have is they don’t need to trade him. They also have the leverage of having 29 teams that would love to have him for even 1 year ~ and they will easily be able to offer more than Cabrera + Kennedy for that one year! I would love for my Indians to trade a guy like Lofgren + maybe Choo for 1 year of Johan ~ I then try to work out a deal and if not I get the DP to replace Lofgren at the end of the year. See, when its 1 SP and 1 easily replace piece of crap then you don’t worry about only getting a draft pick when he walks ~ 1 draft pick is worth as much as Kennedy (I mean he was only drafted last year right?) and Cabrera’s are a dime a dozen…
Posted by: darkstar1661 | November 27, 2007 at 11:10 PM
"Absolutely, but Melky+Kennedy is a flat out awful offer. "
I hear you, I was in no way saying that would be a sufficient package for Santana.
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 27, 2007 at 11:11 PM
IF IM THE TWINS I start looking at those High A and Low A Prospects. With MLBPA aleady making it known that they want Johan to be the pitching equivalent of AROD and Johan unwilling to even counteroffer a 20MM/yr extension, The Twins are in a Loose-Loose Situation. They can Keep Santana and have him leave via Free Agency and get a low first round and suplemental pick; Or trade Santana in a PR Nightmare and end up with some highly touted pitching prospects from one of the three teams that can actually afford the money it takes to make this Deal more than just a RENT-An-ACE situation.
Both will leave the Twins in the same situtation in 2009...Good young pitching (Which the twins already have...) and no Hitting outside of Manly Joe Maur. Sorry Twins Fans even Justin Morneu will be too expensve one day.
The best deal I think they can make is one they've done plenty times before... Trade Johan for maybee one MLB ready Bat and a virtual boat load of low level talent (4 or 5 players) that the general scouting community has greatly undervalued. The Twins have fleeced a great many teams with this tactic... Just ask the Giants if they'd do the AJ Perzienski Deal all over again. This gives the Twins a better chance of fielding a Championship Quality team by the time their new home opens up for business. A word of caution... Although I love Phil Hughes for his online interaction with fans... Young Pitchers that come in Troika's rarely pan out. Just ask a Met Fan.
Posted by: Jzzskins | November 27, 2007 at 11:11 PM
How do the Twins have 30 million to spend to reach last years payroll...
Anyways on to Santana...It will probably take more than Kennedy and Melky to get it done...However crazier things have happened...
If...and that is a big if...there is a way to trade for Santana without giving up Hughes Joba or Cano...I would want to see it happen...
Everyone says that Yankees prospects are over hyped...But to tell you the truth most prospects are over hyped...Every team over values prospects to an extent...So to all the posters who claim we over hype...We are not the only ones...
Posted by: RedSoxHater3 | November 27, 2007 at 11:12 PM
nrmax,
Ah, the ole ad hominem, nice. Should be you're delusional though. Now for your argument. Milledge, okay, in two seasons he has done this:
AB Avg HR RBI OBP SLG
350 .257 11 51 .326 .414
in 2007 Milledge did this
AB Avg HR RBI OBP SLG
184 .272 7 29 .341 .446
and Cabrera's 2007 figures
AB Avg HR RBI OBP SLG
545 .273 8 73 .327 .391
Wow, comparing the number I think you're the delusional one. They are the same age and are putting up very similar numbers. Cabrera's figures became much better once he became an everyday player but I don't have those stats readily available. So before you go run off at the mouth why don't you do some research.
Posted by: YankeeSkipper | November 27, 2007 at 11:17 PM
If you are basing Milledge off of limited at bats, few and far between in his age 21 and 22 seasons in the MLB, then I cant even argue with you. You do some research. How about Milledge's awesome minor league numbers when he was youngfer then his competition for his whole pro career. What has Melky ever done to show anybody that he will be even an average player?
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 27, 2007 at 11:20 PM
Dark,
You really don't get it do you. Santana will veto any deal if the receiving team will not extend him right then. Only a handful of teams can afford to extend Santana for 6/150. So yes, the Twins don't have many options. I am not saying they have to accept that offer. By the way, I love your argument that Kennedy and Cabrera both suck, are you insane? Cabrera is no stud but please review the figures before you go running your mouth about how much better Millege is than Cabrera. They both have the same average hitting numbers and are both the same age. As for Kennedy, all he has done is dominate the minor leagues and has not gotten shelled at the major league level. He did throw 19 innings with 15K's and a 1.89 ERA and WHIP of 1.16. Not too shabby debut if you ask me, but you're right, he is trash.
Posted by: YankeeSkipper | November 27, 2007 at 11:24 PM
You saying Melky is better then Milledge is as stupid as me saying Pelfrey is better then Hughes. More stupid probably.
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 27, 2007 at 11:25 PM
Yes, 3 nice starts with a walk every 2 innings against the september callup lineups of TB, KC, and Texas is definitely something to bust a nut over.
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 27, 2007 at 11:27 PM
nrmax,
Oh, I see. We are to judge Milledge not on what he has done in the major leagues so far in his career but what he done in the minors. Yet, on the other hand you say Kennedy is trash, but he dominated in the minors. So which is it? Cabrera has already proved he is an average hitter right now by the numbers I just posted. And they are both the same age. Cabrera's minor league career numbers are just about as good as Milledge's by the way.
Posted by: YankeeSkipper | November 27, 2007 at 11:29 PM
nrmax,
Firstly, quit putting words in my mouth, I never said Melky was better than Millege. I simply put up their stats and you made that conclusion yourself. As far as your Kennedy comment goes, your logic is really flawed. You argue one point then when it is blown to pieces you start looking for other ways to tear down Kennedy. Give me a break. If you don't like the Yankees that's fine but don't say a player sucks just because he plays for them.
Posted by: YankeeSkipper | November 27, 2007 at 11:33 PM
Hmm, I dont recall saying Kennedy is trash, he pretty much is useless to Minnesota though, they have better guys then him, and dont need pitching down below.
Milledge MILB numbers.
2004- .315/.363/.545
2005- .318/.388/.449
2006- .277/.388/.440 playing in a terrible hitting enviroment at norfolk.
Cabreras MILB numbers.
2003- .283/.338/.355
2004- .304/.352/.446
2005- .269/.319/.402
2006- .385/.430/.566
So basically, Milledge never posted lower then an .800OPs and Cabrera never had higher then a .800 ops besides one 100 at bat stint in 2006. Yes, theyre numbers are staggeringly similar.
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 27, 2007 at 11:37 PM
RedSoxHater,
Santana 13.25M
Nathan 6M
Morneau 7ish (Arb so…)
Mauer 6.25M
Cuddyer 6ish (Arb so…)
Punto 2.4M
Reyes 1M
Redmond 1M
Crain 1M
…Then a bunch of minimum wage guys.
~ that’s only 43.9 and they spent upwards of 70M in 2007...
Jzzskins,
It isnt a one year rental when there is a 48-72 hour window to sign him. You dont think there will be one?
And they wont ask for pitching prospects since they dont need pitching prospects ~ how hard is that for people to understand?
Posted by: darkstar1661 | November 27, 2007 at 11:37 PM
And YankeesSkipper,
“You really don't get it do you. Santana will veto any deal if the receiving team will not extend him right then”
…Huh? Johan is that you??? Are we seriously in a conversation with Mr.Santana himself? Wow, I’m like beyond honored!
And you seriously are not going to tell me a career below-Avg minor leaguer who has put up a career below-average ML line (Melky) is better than a Monster Minor-League player who struggled in his first few ML ABs then put up numbers similar to expectations in his second such chance(Lastings)? Are you kidding me?
…And people wonder why everyone cant stand talking to Yankee Homers… You would seriously feel bad for these people if they weren’t so adamant in their irrational thinking…
Posted by: darkstar1661 | November 27, 2007 at 11:38 PM
"nrmax,
Firstly, quit putting words in my mouth, I never said Melky was better than Millege"
No, but you did infer any team would be foolish to take Milledge and Pelfrey over Cabrera and Kennedy, which is laughable.
"As far as your Kennedy comment goes, your logic is really flawed."
Which comment would that be? It would be nice if you would post the "flawed comment" when you reference it.
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 27, 2007 at 11:40 PM
nrmax,
You're right, simply based on those figures I would take Cabrera over Milledge, to be honest. Milledge has a little more pop, I never claimed Cabrera will be a 20HR guy, but based on the minor league numbers and the major league numbers, Cabrera appears to have the better stats, especially for 2006, the most recent year before the majors.
Posted by: YankeeSkipper | November 27, 2007 at 11:42 PM
"…And people wonder why everyone cant stand talking to Yankee Homers… You would seriously feel bad for these people if they weren’t so adamant in their irrational thinking…"
I know, its like they are their own breed of human, they dont listen to sense and they get mad when you tell them that a guy who has never even came close to cracking an .800 ops is not a good centerpiece for the best pitcher in baseball. It is so frustrating. Too most people it is so simple but to these guys it just wont get through.
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 27, 2007 at 11:43 PM
nrmax,
"Yes, 3 nice starts with a walk every 2 innings against the september callup lineups of TB, KC, and Texas is definitely something to bust a nut over."
That Kennedy comment. How soon you forget.
Posted by: YankeeSkipper | November 27, 2007 at 11:44 PM
"nrmax,
You're right, simply based on those figures I would take Cabrera over Milledge, to be honest. Milledge has a little more pop, I never claimed Cabrera will be a 20HR guy, but based on the minor league numbers and the major league numbers, Cabrera appears to have the better stats, especially for 2006, the most recent year before the majors. "
Do you actually believe the nonsense you are posting? Melky NEVER HAD AN 800 OPS IN THE MINORS. NEVER. Milledge had his worst season in the minors in 06 and still posted a .830 OPS at a horrible hitters park in a full season of at bats, not in a 100 at bat stretch like MElky had in 2006. I cant believe that there are human beings that are this ignorant. Somebody should just put you out of your misery. Seriously.
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 27, 2007 at 11:45 PM
Milledge over Melky any daYYYYY..
Posted by: dj_kurioo | November 27, 2007 at 11:46 PM
"nrmax,
"Yes, 3 nice starts with a walk every 2 innings against the september callup lineups of TB, KC, and Texas is definitely something to bust a nut over."
That Kennedy comment. How soon you forget."
How is that a flawed arguement? What is remotely flawed about saying you shouldnt get hyped up over a pitcher that pitches 3 nice games against a lineup full of september callups against 3 crappy teams to behin with? Where is the flaw? You said it was flawed, then you posted the comment, but what part of it is flawed? I would have an easier time teaching algebra to a god dam monkey. Its not like I am trying convince you of something hard to believe. Milledge was a top 10 prospect and a dynamic hitter his whole life. Melky is not in his class.
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 27, 2007 at 11:47 PM
Who ever belives that Melky is better than Milledge just kill ur self NOWWWW lol
Posted by: dj_kurioo | November 27, 2007 at 11:47 PM
Dark,
You must not read any papers, listen to any sports radio or even read the articles on this site. Santana will not allow a trade to take place without an extension. Again with the ad hominem agruments. You are nrmax are ridiculous. By the way, I am not a Yankee fan, I just made up that name for people like you to make such dumb comments.
Posted by: YankeeSkipper | November 27, 2007 at 11:47 PM
"By the way, I am not a Yankee fan, I just made up that name for people like you to make such dumb comments."
Yeah, and OJ didnt ever kill anybody and Michael didnt touch those boys. How old are you like 12?
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 27, 2007 at 11:49 PM
nrmax,
Please tell me you are not this stupid, and I quote "Do you actually believe the nonsense you are posting? Melky NEVER HAD AN 800 OPS IN THE MINORS. NEVER."
Based on the numbers you just posted, which I confirmed, Cabrera had an OPS of .996 in 2006. Far from "NEVER HAD AN 800 OPS IN THE MINORS. NEVER." Now, who should be put out of their misery?
Posted by: YankeeSkipper | November 27, 2007 at 11:52 PM
If youre a yankee fan, atleast you could just use the "ignorant homer" excuse for our Milledge/Melky discussion. If you arent a yankee fan, then you are just ignorant.
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 27, 2007 at 11:54 PM
nrmax,
Based on your comments about Cabrera never having an OPS over 800, my question is this. Do you even know what algebra is? You need to grasp the reality of simply integers before you go on to something like algebra.
Posted by: YankeeSkipper | November 27, 2007 at 11:55 PM
I still do not see how the Twins have close to 30 million to spend...How did they shed that much cash...Hunter and Silva and White...Did they really all cost that much combined...
Posted by: RedSoxHater3 | November 27, 2007 at 11:55 PM
"Based on the numbers you just posted, which I confirmed, Cabrera had an OPS of .996 in 2006. Far from "NEVER HAD AN 800 OPS IN THE MINORS. NEVER." Now, who should be put out of their misery?"
All i have to say to that comment is that 100 AT BATS YOU DUMBASSSSSS
Posted by: dj_kurioo | November 27, 2007 at 11:57 PM
Again, you want to take the 100 at bats of minor league ball over the rest of his entire career? Good job. Keep arguing semantical crap with me. I should have said in a full season. Whatever though. Youre way to stupid to keep arguing against.
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 27, 2007 at 11:57 PM
Who cares really RedSoxHater3, these idiots will argue a brown horse is white, a Red Sock is white, and the Yankees don't really play in the Bronx just for the sake of an argument. No sense talking about it anymore until the trade actually happens.
Posted by: YankeeSkipper | November 28, 2007 at 12:01 AM
all jokes aside if i was the yankees i would keep those 3 pitchers.
Posted by: dj_kurioo | November 28, 2007 at 12:02 AM
AP:
The Twins just traded Morneau, Nathan and Santana for Milledge.
Posted by: YankeeSkipper | November 28, 2007 at 12:02 AM
Besides, you still never gave me a reason why Melky is better besides, "they have almost the same minor league numbers", even though Milledge dominated at every level and Melky was average at best at every level, and you never gave me a reason why saying that 3 quality starts against bad teams isnt something to get excited over. Could this be because when you can no longer argue facts with your ridiculous rants, you take things out of context that mean nothing in the grand scheme of a post and argue small semantical mistakes? I think so.
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 28, 2007 at 12:03 AM
"Who cares really RedSoxHater3, these idiots will argue a brown horse is white, a Red Sock is white, and the Yankees don't really play in the Bronx just for the sake of an argument. No sense talking about it anymore until the trade actually happens."
Calling a red sock white isnt as stupid as calling Melky a better baseball player then Milledge. Also, is your little Twins trade post supposed to be a shot at me or something? If saying Lastings Milledge is better then Melky Cabrera is the same thing as saying Milledge can net Santana, Morneau, and Nathan in a trade, then I am guilty as charged.
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 28, 2007 at 12:05 AM
We need a bonafide ace now to counter Beckett, Sabathia, Lackey in the playoffs. I would give up Kennedy or Hughes and Cabrera plus a B+ prospect to get Santana. The problem is we don't know what Pettitte is going to do and by the time we do it will be too late for a Santana deal, he will already be gone.
Posted by: YankeeSkipper | November 28, 2007 at 12:05 AM
nrmax,
Are you serious. I put up Cabrera's MLB numbers compared to Milledge's. Very similar with Milledge edging him out in power. You came back with look at Milledge's minor league numbers. Well you want me to look at Milledge's minor league numbers while you totally dismiss Kennedy's MLB numbers and disregard his minor league dominance at every level. Milledge has more power than Cabrera but their stats right now say they are similar players. I am not saying that Milledge is not better long-term, frankly I have heard that Cabrera could turn into another Bernie Williams. 2008 will be the telling year for Cabrera, when he gets a full year of everyday play under his belt.
Posted by: YankeeSkipper | November 28, 2007 at 12:09 AM
OK, this is just nuts. There is NO and I mean NO argument that can honestly be made to say that Melky Cabrera is a more valuable commodity than Lastings Milledge. The only knock you could even possibly give to Lastings here is the fact that he hasn’t had the playing time in the majors to have the “prospect” label taken off ~ but even that is easily compensated by the fact that Melky holds negative hitting value.
Negative hitting value with 2 years experience (Melky) vs Possible huge hitting value in a prospect (Lastings)
…yeah, you always take the prospect; worst case scenario he turns out to be the Negative Hitting Value guy…
Lastings has this ability to provide this thing called “OBP”, and the ability to provide this thing called “SLG” ~ Melky on the other hand has…well honestly I don’t even know what to say he has. He is a plus Def I guess? Huh…
Posted by: darkstar1661 | November 28, 2007 at 12:14 AM
I never disregarded anything about Kennedy. I dismissed his first 3 starts because it was like 19 innings against 3 crappy teams and they mean nothing. All I said in regard to KEnnedy is that the twins have no need for him. He is not better then any of the twins top pitchers. Milledges and Melky Cabreras stats could not state any more powerfully that they are not even remotely similar. Melky cant hold his jock. If Cabrera turns into BErnie Williams, you better thanks every baseball god you can find.
Basically, this is where I stand: Melky has absolutely nothing whatsoever on Milledge. The twins have no need for KEnnedy.
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 28, 2007 at 12:15 AM
Bernie Williams posted an .900 OPS like 7 times in his career. He had a career OPS over .850. Cabrera will likely never post an .800 OPS. This further shows that you have no idea how to judge a baseball player. Cabrera would be lucky to have one season that mirrors the career line of Bernie(.297/.381/.477). Actually I would feel very comfortable in making a nice wager that he never does.
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 28, 2007 at 12:22 AM
Comparing Millidge to Melky is impossible...even if you make the argument that the have SIMILAR stats...Millidge has not played a full Major League season...
Millidge has a better upside...That doesnt change how I feel about Melky...He is league average offensively...and i would say better than league average defensively...I am not saying he is stellar...He takes some bad routes...But he has a great arm...
Posted by: RedSoxHater3 | November 28, 2007 at 12:22 AM
I should say comparing melky and millidge...
Posted by: RedSoxHater3 | November 28, 2007 at 12:26 AM
If Milledge fails as a ML hitter his numbers will probably be in the .270/330/.430 range ~ which would still be better than Melky.
BoSox ~ Cabrera hasnt provided a LgAvg year at the plate yet. His OPS have been .751 (ParkAdjusted LgAvg was .781) and .718 (ParkAdjusted LgAvg was .762). For his career he is -.40 OPS from LgAvg
Oh and whoever it was asking about the Twins payroll…
I looked it up from USA Today and it looks these players are gone for 2008:
Luis Castillo 5.75M
Jeff Cirillo 1.5M
Lew Ford 1M
Torii Hunter 12M
Sidney Ponson 1M
Nick Punto 1.8M
Juan Rincon 2M
Carlos Silva 4.33M
Rondell White 2.5M
…adds up to 31.88 Million saved from last year.
Posted by: darkstar1661 | November 28, 2007 at 12:40 AM
OK...Thanks I was not quite sure were it was all coming from...but now I see...
So they have the money to pay him...The only problem...do the twins feel comfortable paying Santana more than the 20 million a year they offered him...I would say the answer is most likely a no...hence the fact that he has become available...Only a few teams would be willing to pay that...
I do not think he will reach free agency nor do i think that the twins will trade him for the best possible offer...
Posted by: RedSoxHater3 | November 28, 2007 at 12:58 AM
"The Red Sox [team stats] are actively engaged in trade talks with the Minnesota Twins about Johan Santana and plan to aggressively pursue the two-time Cy Young Award winner, a baseball source said yesterday."
"One team, the Texas Rangers, reportedly was told by the Red Sox that they wanted three prospects in exchange for Crisp"
http://www.bostonherald.com/sports/baseball/red_sox/view.bg?articleid=1047493
Posted by: Kramerica Industries | November 28, 2007 at 04:52 AM
Melky / Kennedy is wayyy too low of a offer for Santana, even Yankee fans should see that with their eyes closed. it's a decent starting point that adress the Twin's basic needs, but you need to actually give them incentives.
Melky is a gap filler with some reasonable potential, there's certainly decent value in that espically for smaller market teams.
Kennedy is a decent pitcher that oculd have a few year of dominance, but overall would settle like a 3.
they would at least need to throw in one to two more legite top prospect.
Jose Tabata / Austin Jackson / Alan Horne / Jesus Montero .
If the Yankees do get it done, the best outcome for them might be something like.
Melky / Kennedy / Horne / Tabata.
this would probably seem more realistic.
Hughes / Melky / Horne / Tabata .
the + minus is really rather they could convince them to take Kennedy instead of Hughes, and that's with Horne and Tabata thrown in.
The Yankees and Twins also need to seriously consider who they want more, Tabata or Jackson? Tabata's upside is significantly better. but Jackson is a safer choice in that he could most likely remain in CF.
Tabata seems like a guy the Yankees could reasonablly give up (because they can always throw nutty money and big time hitting corner OF guys are never a area they couldn't fill) and the Twins could reasonablly want (because they don't have the money to fill such need if he pans out like he suppose to)
Jackson on the other hand, adress the Yankee needs well, because finding decent to good hitting guys at premium position tend to be much harder to solve through FA. (though the Yankees have been pretty lucky in this regard too see Jeter / Cano / Posada / Bernie / Soriano )
Posted by: Yu Hsing Chen | November 28, 2007 at 05:42 AM
MINOR LEAGUE CAREER
Milledge (1173 ABs) - .305/.385/.479/.864
Cabrera (1432 ABs) - .294/.347/.422/.769
MAJOR LEAGUE CAREER
Milledge (350 ABs) - .257/.326/.414/.740
Cabrera (1024 ABs) - .275/.340/.388/.728
Milledge's minor league OPS stomps Melky's by almost 100 points. Better OBP, better power.
While Milledge's major league numbers improved this year (.690 OPS in 2006 to a .787 OPS in 2007), Melky's OPS fell from a .751 OPS to a .718 OPS.
If you can look at that and honestly think the Melky is a better player than Milledge... seek medical help immediately.
Posted by: JerseyMetFan | November 28, 2007 at 07:09 AM
LOL, Melky is better than Milledge? That is one of the dumbest things i've seen on this site in a long time. I don't understand the agruement for it? Since they both have similar numbers in the majors but Milledge is younger and killed the minors Melky is better. What sick sad world do you live in where this ass-backwards logic makes sense.
Posted by: Ripwa | November 28, 2007 at 07:12 AM
I'm going to be totally objective here when i say this...Melky isn't better than Milledge. period end of discussion and i hate the mets, but Milledge is the better player. Futhermore, As much as I would love to see santana wearing the pinstripes next yr. there is absolutely no way the yanks get him by trading kennedy and cabrera. If they do it's probably one of the biggest steals in baseball history Up there with the Sux robbing the M's of Jason Varitek for two bums. One avg. player/slightly above avg. player for a superstar lol can't see it happening have to trade talent to receive talent.
Posted by: PinstripePride26 | November 28, 2007 at 08:33 AM
I dont have a problem with the money the yankees spend. I feel they have earned the right. I am all for them rewarding their players for production in their early years. this is something other clubs cant do. What I hate is when we reward other clubs players for the success they had early and dont get any return. Giambi, Damon, pavano, mussina even matsui (best years were in Japan). I group santana in this list. He was worth 25 mil per year for the last 4 years when the twins didnt pay him anyhting. Now we are going to pay him that money and get a 10 mil per year sp. Keep the young guys. MOst teams have to trade a Jeter, pettite, posada rivera cano, etc. we can keep them. lets keep joba, hughes, kennedy etc and if they become big time, we pay and keep em. if not what did it cost us?
Posted by: hittmen21 | November 28, 2007 at 09:50 AM
Santana is not God. He may be worth four or five MORE wins than any of the young guns plugged into that slot THIS YEAR; but he is not worth a good young outfielder AND very promising (again "young") pitching. Let his go!
Posted by: Greenrose | November 28, 2007 at 11:19 AM