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Jake Peavy For Phil Hughes and Melky Cabrera?

This is barely a rumor, but I have been getting emails about it.  Buster Olney said today in his blog that trade talk has run rampant at the GM meetings, even stretching towards deals with little chance of happening. 

Olney says the Padres and Yankees briefly discussed a trade that would send Phil Hughes and Melky Cabrera to the Padres for ace Jake Peavy.  He also said that trade "almost certainly won't happen."  Peavy makes $6MM in 2008 and $8MM in 2009, with another possible $3MM in incentives over those two years.  Peavy expects to be traded before reaching free agency - he knows the Padres won't pony up $18MM a year.  You have to figure Kevin Towers will at least listen.  Michael Silverman has heard whispers that Peavy might be available.

Even though it's highly unlikely, would this be a fair trade?


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no, jake is worth alot more then that, hes going to get some Santana money down the road, thats his real worth. The time of paying this kid pennies is almost over. I dont know why the Padres would want those two out of a pretty talent rich yankee team and give up one of the best pitchers running on the worlds cheapest salary

Great trade for the Padres. I think Hughes will be a very good pitcher and Peavy would melt in NY. When has Peavy won a big game in his career. The answer is never, he would be a bust.

No its not a fair trade
Towers probably laughed his ass off when he heard this deal. I guess to Olney that means there's a possibility that it'll happen

If the Padres wanted to trade Peavy before '08, they'll bring in a lot more then Hughes & Cabrera.

If I was handling this trade, I'd go after Adam Jones, Jeff Clement and Brandon Morrow from the Mariners.

That would be an interesting trade, just to see what happened. Hughes is a bona fide ace potential, and would probably excel in the NL, especially in Petco. But Peavy might have a bit of trouble adjusting to the AL. Peavy is about 5 years older... Hmm.

I think it would be relatively fair in terms of value, but the results might not be what the Yankees expected.

there is no way in hell Cashman is letting this happen, i bet he would laugh his ass off if people thought this were serious

I think the Pads could get more than that. Maybe Hughes and Cano...I think thats more realistic. I think thats about his value.

I'm not sure if it's fair, but it wouldn't happen anyway. Peavy's a Pad at least until free agency.

KT is a smart guy, Peavy is a great pitcher. KT should think about winning a World Series next year while he still has him. Why don't the Padres go after the Moose? Then they would have the Mad dog and the Moose.

This is one of the most intriguing trade rumours I've heard this hot stove season. I like the Hughes/Cano for Peavy idea, it solves some core issues for both parties involved and I think its a fair exchange of value.

I don't think it will happen, but if in KT's shoes I would worry about trying to convert some organizational value out of Peavy before he becomes a free agent... and as they say, buy low sell high... and Peavy is definitely highly valued at this point in time.

Going back to the Buck Showalter days, I can't remember a single instance of the Yankees acquiring an NL starter and then getting anything close to the performance they expected.

Without Peavy's 2006 season, I'd probably hesitantly be ok with the idea, but him being just one year removed from that seems like you're asking for trouble moving him from the NL to the AL East.

As to the poster who said "I dont know why the Padres would want those two out of a pretty talent rich yankee team", the only young player on the Yankees you could possibly rate higher than Hughes is Joba, but the two are very close.

Considering that Peavy is a lot younger, cheaper and further from FA all while being almost as good, he should fetch more than Johan Santana.Hughes + Melky would not prob be enough for Santana, so the Padres would be crazy to accept that.

I agree with zubes here, the difference between Peavy and Santana is small. Santana has the reputation of being the best pitcher in baseball, but peavy would rival the wins shares he brings to a team. This package seems short sided in this market

I really think that if the pads were serious about trading peavy, they would not be negotiating at all. What KT would do is tell each team who inquired what he wants for peavy, and if the other team backs up or does not give up what KT wants he holds Peavy. With that being said, I think that you could equate peavy as a pitcher to that of miguel cabrera as a hitter in terms of value, and the yankees really wanted peavy, KT should as for hughes, melky and cano. Now that may be too much, and probably is, but who is to say that is too much, there is no other pitcher out there who is young as peavy is who has had as much success. Dan Haren does not compare, and of course neither does joe blanton. If the Pads are going to trade their best pitcher, they should ask for a package they will solve a lot of their problems, and getting melky, cano, and hughes gives them their second baseman, centerfielder, and future ace.

Again, this package is too much for peavy, we all understand that, but KT has the luxery to ask for it, just like the marlins have the right to ask for that type of package concerning miguel cabrera.

There's a disturbing trend, now that fans are starting to understand the value of prospects, to overvalue them irrationally.

Peavy has thrown more than 200 innings in each of the last three seasons. He has also posted a K/9 rate over 9. Hughes has shown signs of being a gem at every minor league stop, but he gave as much cause for concern as he did for optimism in his stint last year. Jake Peavy is now what the Yankees pray Hughes can someday be. He will also be just 27 next year, and has shown that he is durable and effective.

It's also interesting how people parrot the "Peavey can't win a big game" mantra since it became such a hot phrase after the one-game regular season playoff game this season. Peavy has only pitched in two postseason games otherwise. By that logic, Wang should be off the Yankees roster and on a flight to Taiwan.

As for Melky Cabrera, until he puts up an OPS over .780 for more than 200 at-bats, he is still just a player with some upside as a premium position. He is not a blue chip, and any suggestion to the contrary is just an organizational attempt to drive up his value -- much in the way that Cashman keeps listing Kennedy as one of the "Big Three" alongside Joba and Hughes.

A discussion might start with Hughes and Melky, but it certainly doesn't end there.

Braves,
Too much? Is that a joke? Peavy is an elite pitcher regardless of league who's been among the top in wins, era and strikeouts every year he's been a full time starter . He's young and he's cheap for two more years - no pitcher on the market REMOTELY comes close. The Yankees in addition need to keep their young pitchers and position players, and a trade for Peavy would, at the minimum , would include Hughes, Cano and Tabata.

I like Peavy but Hughes is too much to give up. He is very young and can dominate at times already. I would like to trade for an ace but they need to sure up 3B, 1B, C, the outfield and the closer role first. If Damon plays left and they trade Melky as expected who plays center next season.

I am hoping the Yanks have a plan because trading two starting young prospects isnt a wise decision.

DRamos,

I think your perspective is skewed. Short of Hughes morphing suddenly into Pedro Martinez circa 1997-2003, there is no universe where Hughes is "too much" to give up for a 26-year-old starter who has proven that he is one of the best and most durable in baseball, and who has done so with peripheral stats that suggest he could adapt quite nicely to the American League.

This may be the first time I've ever seen someone suggest that snatching up a true ace should take the back burner to finding a 3B, 1B, C, OF, and closer.

If you add Jake Peavy to your rotation, you can do an open casting call for three midgets and a quadraplegic to fill four of those positions, and you'd probably still finish with a better record.

Um... Hughes isn't too much to give up here.

I'm a Yankees fan and if this were on the table, I'd say yes in a heartbeat.

Trading a league avg CF and a possible ace for Peavy? Who doesn't do that?

That being said, I'd try to get Hughes omitted from the deal.

Sub in Joba maybe. Or do something like... Melky/Kennedy/Tabata.

Hughes is pretty damn good.

All that being said. The Yanks really should focus on getting some young bats. Move Jeter to 3B and get young at 1B, SS and C. OF help should be coming with Tabata/Gardner/Jackson in the minors. One of them should pan out.

Yankee fans always give me something to laugh at on this blog.

Please, Hughes doesn't even PROJECT to be as good as Peavy. Throw in the fact Peavy has actually produced makes him far more valuable than a theoretical Hughes.

Melky is average. No discussion needed.

Only deal I would think about from the Padres perspective would be Hughes or Chamberlin + Tabata + Cabrera.

For the next 2 years this would definitely bolster the Yankees. They free up their logjam in the outfield, add a top 5 starter and don't lose sleep over a prospect that is at least 2 years away.

Plus, they have a great chance of signing Peavy long-term - something they won't be able to do otherwise. The trend has been for teams to resign or trade and then resign star pitchers. Keep dreaming of the day when guys like Peavy, Santana, or Sabbathia actually become FA's.

bjsguess:

Not arguing here, but I think Hughes' most likely comparables are Peavy/Penny.

I remember reading that somewhere, but the spot escapes me right now.

That said I'd so that trade, even though I think Hughes is going to be big.

if you were Towers you take Hughes/Cabrera or Hill/Pie from the cubs? Hughes has higher potential than Hill but Pie def has higher upside than cabrera. Even as a cub fan I think its close with edge to Yanks offer. Of course if you swap out Soto for Pie SD takes that in a heartbeat - IMO

Dunkin,

If we trade Hughes and Melky and sign some B rated players to fill our 3B, 1B, middle relief and outfield pressing needs expecting we sign Posada and Rivera), we will have become the Minnesota Twins.

I am not against trading for Peavy but trading two prospects without addressing those needs will not get you in the playoffs.

Now if Rolen were healthy the Yanks can get him for near nothing given we eat his contract and if we
sign Hunter in center than I would make a deal for Peavy since we would replaced the two starters we gave up. Those are big ifs.

Getting Peavy gets you a talented ace but baseball isnt a one man sport and he doesnt turn you into an instant contender.

I have seen Tabata play why would you trade a 20 year old stud who will be in the majors next summer/fall.


I think this is silly speculation and absolutely dumb on the Padres part if they'd even entertain it.

Two years of a cheap awesome ACE is much, much better than a few cheap speculative years of a 3rd starter and a 4th outfielder. Keep two awesome years of Peavy, let him take free agency and take the draft picks.

If a Cubs fan said the same thing that some of the Yankee fans are saying here there'd be 50 posts about how stupid they are.

Peavy is arguably the best pitcher in the NL, at a young age. Any team should jump at the chance to get him.

Hughes, Cano and Cabrera would continue the discussion. But even at that price I still don't like trading superior talent for a lot of marginal to slightly above average talent and prospective goodness.

A better Cabrera to look at would be Miguel. He'd be an obvious upgrade over Kouzmanoff, but the Friars have quite a few OFers and Ensberg backing up 3rd. So what about Peavy/Kouzmanoff
for Cabrera/Willis.

Seems like maybe not enough from the Friars, and the Fish would be trading arb. players for Arb. players. But I still think it's better than the Yankees deal...yankees need a 3rd baseman more than they need the pitching.

Coming from a Twins fan hearing the Santana rumors, if they want to trade Peavy the Padres better get more than Cabrera and Hughes. Cabrera will be a good player, nothing great, Hughes will be a good pitcher, 3rd starter maybe 2nd, not a Jake Peavy or Johan Santana. Guys who can dominate like Peavy and Santana are rare gems and you better be getting a lot if you trade them away.

Padres need bats anyway, they can plug in underwhelming flyball pitchers in that park and still get decent results. Peavy would need to bring an impact young bat, as well as maybe a few second tier arms. Tampa could match up, but that ain't happening. Maybe the Angels

I wonder if the Astros have interest in Peavy? I could see Houston being a real possibility if Peavy were truly available.

"I have seen Tabata play why would you trade a 20 year old stud who will be in the majors next summer/fall. "

That's not going to happen.

That and he's 19, and 3 months. *nitpick*

I think in order for Peavy to go to the Yankees, it would have to be a 3 way trade. Here's one that would be cool.. I think it's pretty fair, fills holes, and follows management styles.

Padres get:
Grady Sizemore (CLE)
Phil Hughes (NYY)
Ross Ohdenhorf (NYY)

Yankees get:
Jake Peavy (SD)
Victor Martinez (CLE)

Indians get:
Joba Chamberlain (NYY)
Brian Giles (SD)
Melky Cabrera (NYY)

The Padres do this to get a possible #2, an inexpensive all-star CF,and a #4 or 5 starter.

The Yankees get the best pitcher in baseball, and the best offensive catcher for parts that played little role in this season

The Indians can replace Sizemore with Melky, but also gain a solid corner OF with high OBP. Plus, they could have a rotation with Sabathia, Carmona, and Joba.

"The Indians can replace Sizemore with Melky,"

That sentence just made the state of Ohio collectively gag.

Awful idea.

the way trade rumors degrade into the most random bad ideas is amazing to me. the Indians give Sizemore and VMart for Joba and Melky and an over the hill outfielder? that would be awesome for the Padres and the Yankees but sounds really stupid for the Indians

So the Yankees give up hughes, chamberlain, ohdenhorf, and cabrera for peavy and martinez. No thanks. keep the pitchers and sign posada. use melky in a deal to get a 3b. wait til next year when cc and santana are free agents if you want a frontline proven guy. NO interest in Peavy in the AL.

Look, I realize this would never happen, I just put it together off the top of my head bored in class. I also doubt that the Indians would be really hesitant to break up a team only 1 win away from the world series.

My main point is that a Yankees Padres trade would never work without a third team. There are plenty of teams out there interested in the Yankees pitching prospects should the Yankee decide to pursue Peavy.

Wow, that three-way trade is horribly painful for the Indians. I'm not even an Indians fan. And why do all these Yankees rumors in the press have Melky Cabrera involved like's he's worth something. He's a 4th outfielder AT BEST. Peavy didn't do well in that one game play-in this season because was heavily used during the regular season and then pushed to pitch on 4-days rest.

But the Pads do need to trade him next off-season. Or during this season if they can't stay in contention. I've heard a few times that you can usually get more trading pitchers at the deadline and batters during the off-season.

Okay, this site got to stop posting trade rumors with Hughes, Melky, Chamberlin, Kennedy, Cano, etc. These trades arent happening.

I just talked about the possibility of trading Peavy on my Padres blog. Basically, it depends on which direction KT & the boys decide to take the team next year. If they plan on contending, it makes almost no sense to trade Jake right now. However, if they're building the club for 2009, then it might make sense if you can find a fair deal. I do think that Peavy is probably at his peak value right now. If they wait until 2009 to deal, he will not be worth as much.

http://322feet.wordpress.com

Who would the Astros have available to swing a deal for Peavy? Berkman could be part of that deal. I'mnot positive but I believe Peavy has stated a preference for Houston in the past.

You're right coryjwilson. I read that somewhere too. How about Berkman, and Lee for Peavy?
On the Yankees trade side of things, I would say Joba, Melky and Hughes is a reasonable price. Melky and Hughes wouldn't be fair as Peavy's value is way more than those two.
Nontheless Peavy won't go anywhere this offseason. I find it funny when things like this are blown way out of proportion. Suddenly the GM's toss some names to the hat and people think the trade will happen, cause most of the time when the noise is made nothing happens.
Anyways, nice blog there by 322 feet, another place where I can check out some more Pads stuff.

Does it make sense that when one talks about trades for Johan are talked about an entire farm system is involved

But with Jake Peavy (as good or better) Hughes and Melky are all that is throw out there

Maybe its because that's all the farm the Yankees have?

Scouts have been concerned for a long time about Peavy's mechanics.

I'd be surprised to see a team dish out verymuch young talent for either Peavy or Santana. Whoever would get either would be getting them on the back slope of their career and then have to worry about having another Mike Mussina on their hands

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