Will Yankees Offer Arbitration To A-Rod?

True That. I mean, theres no downside to doing it.

OK - bear with me as this is a huge stretch on many levels ( I think ). Yankees offer arbitration - Arod accepts. He asks for $40 Million and actually wins. Now the Yankees payroll has just jumped $20m without adding anyone ( I am counting the loss of texas money - they would have paid him 20m before he opted out ). Who will trade for 1 yr of $40m Arod? Yanks might have to pay at least $10mil of salary and what would they get back? Arod can only justify $30 mil+ over a long term deal when he makes a run at Bonds record. I think most likely Yanks would be stuck with a $40m player who does not want to be there. Boras would love to get a 1 year $40m contract - makes a 6yr $200 seem like a bargain.
I realise that this is alot of very big what ifs but its the only scenerio I can think of why they would hesitate offering him arbitration. I know I am missing something logically but I have been up for over 28 hrs so feel free to bring up what I am missing.

I thought Arod was making $27 with Texas picking up $7 - although last year I think it was $23. I would never say never when it comes to arbitration odds are should he would get $30-35 - Boras may want to take that chance. And on the side note I would love Arod to become an Oriole since ( and Tim you can verify this on the contest thread) I called that awhile ago and would be nice for me to get something right at least once in my life.

I would love to see NOBODY sign Arod...let his dumbass sit out a season. See how Boras feels then...lol

I thought you COULD have your salary reduced....but only like 10 or 20 percent or something. Can someone clarify? Would he HAVE to get a raise?

Didn't Mark Prior make less money this year because he lost his arbitration?

I can't imagine him making $35M, and $40M is completely out of the question. The typical argument in arbitration hearings is to look at the salaries of similar players. Sure, he had a great season, but it wasn't totally historic (in the way that some of Bonds' seasons were, for example). Giving him a $40M contract would essentially be saying that he is worth the same as Bonds and Manny Ramirez, for example.

I believe the most your salary could be decreased by is 20%.

And like others said, the $30-35M is in the context of a long-term contract, where the team would reap the gains of having him chase and break the HR record. That doesn't apply here.

Boras would have to tread very carefully here, because it's very unlikely he would be awarded much more than $30M. Plus, being forced to accept arbitration, then losing in it, would be devestating to Boras.

If he accepts, they'll settle on a one-year deal for around $30-32M.

And I agree, there is no chance that he's not offered arbitration. Will Carroll is usually right on the money; maybe he was drunk when he wrote that or something.

Hmm... ARod to the Orioles?

1. ARod's baseball idol was Cal Ripken.

2. If Tejada is moved, ARod could have his shortstop days revived.

3. ARod would be able to have a percentage of MASN worked into his contract.

...Could happen.

I'm not sure, because this would be an exceptional case (the norm is players who have yet to be FA eligible).

Here is the exact wording from the current Basic Agreement regarding this point:

The arbitration panel shall, except for a Player with five or more years of Major League service, give particular attention, for comparative salary purposes, to the contracts of Players with Major League service not exceeding one annual service group above the Player's annual service group. This shall not limit the ability of a Player or his representative, because of special accomplishment, to argue the equal relevance of salaries of Players without regard to service, and the arbitration panel shall give whatever weight to such argument as is deemed appropriate.

I think they'd simply look at the best hitters in baseball, and adjust them upwards a bit to consider when their contracts were signed and the position they play.

Still, it's hard to imagine arriving at a value of $35M when everyone else is at $20M or below.

In most cases yes - larger salary for one year, but again this is an exception. You're talking about a player with a historic career, and that's what you're paying for. If you were purely measuring his value to his team, I think you'd get something like $25M or so.

So in this case, "no long term deal bonus" I don't think applies.

In fact, I might argue that $25M is more realistic than $35M.

And by the way Tim, it is REALLY annoying to be signed in, writing a post (because the comment box wouldn't be there if I wasn't signed in), hit post, and then get the typepad screen saying "I must be logged in to comment".

Does this happen to anyone else?

"And by the way Tim, it is REALLY annoying to be signed in, writing a post (because the comment box wouldn't be there if I wasn't signed in), hit post, and then get the typepad screen saying "I must be logged in to comment". Does this happen to anyone else?"

bobo, that happens to me to. It's really annoying.

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