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« Royals Interested In Guillen, Jenkins, Hunter | Main | Jose Guillen Busted For Steroids »
According to Ken Davidoff of Newsday, the Yankees aren't likely to trade for Joe Crede. They're aiming for bigger fish like Mike Lowell, Adrian Beltre, Miguel Cabrera, and Scott Rolen. Garrett Atkins has been deemed unavailable. Additionally, Kenny Williams hopes to deal Crede relatively quickly and the Yankees are in no rush to fill their third base vacancy. Maybe the Phillies will jump into the fray for Crede.
Lowell at least won't involve giving up young talent. But there are some questions about how he'd hit away from Fenway. And we're talking four or even five years to lure him. Beltre would be a fine acquisition and is affordable, though I don't know why the Mariners would part with him. And the Ms would want at least one blue-chipper, I'd imagine. The Yanks would have to mortgage tons of young talent for Cabrera. Davidoff's dark horse, Rolen, suddenly makes the most sense. It would be a salary dump and a health risk, but 3/36 isn't that scary for the Yanks. And it's less than Lowell would sign for.
Davidoff has a tidbit at the end of his column, a one-liner, that the Yanks are likely to re-sign Mariano Rivera at three years, $40MM soon. I'm surprised Newsday didn't call more attention to that part.
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Yes please. I want Joba, Kennedy, and Cano for Rolen! Okay well maybe just Shelley Duncan. Who makes sense in a Rolen deal? It won't take much since rolen is so injury prone. Betemit for Rolen straight up???
Posted by: StLknows | November 06, 2007 at 09:07 AM
I didn't think the Crede trade made sense for the Yankees. I don't know why a team would give up much for a guy that we don't know can play. I think Crede's value goes up after he shows he can play. Maybe a trade deadline move.
Posted by: cachhubguy | November 06, 2007 at 09:10 AM
He's been declining (but so have Rolen and Crede), but I think the Yankees should look to pursue Eric Chavez. I think he'd cost much.
Posted by: Yanks Fan Dan | November 06, 2007 at 09:11 AM
**don't think he'd cost much. Sorry.
Posted by: Yanks Fan Dan | November 06, 2007 at 09:12 AM
Well, obviously rolen is not worth a blue chipper the likes of melky, phil, or joba, but i am sure the cards will start with ian kennedy, and to tell the truth, they may ask for betemit and kennedy in return. The cards do have question marks at three infield positions if rolen is traded (i think they could do better than kennedy at second), and while they already have brandon ryan, i think betemit would be a nice addition who could hit for a decent average and power in the NL if given consistient playing time, i am sure that the cards will want to seek more than kennedy and betemit, but that is not a bad place to start.
Posted by: bravesbeast | November 06, 2007 at 09:34 AM
If they want Kennedy for Rolen, good luck.
With that contract, the offensively decline, and health questions, they should be happy to pay a team to take Rolen.
That's an awful idea.
Lowell will be one of the worst FA signings of the year.
Beltre is reasonable, but I have no idea what the Mariners would want. My guess is Sexson and Beltre for free.
In no way should be mortgage the future for Cabrera.
I promise you I will not shut up about this until I see a legitimate source at least discuss the possibility:
MORGAN ENSBERG.
Platoon him with Betemit and they will get the production of nearly every one of those 3B, for a fraction of the cost.
Posted by: bobo | November 06, 2007 at 09:38 AM
Scott Rolen? this is the guy the Yankees would want?
as someone who doesnt like the Yankees i say go ahead get Rolen. they might also want to keep Betemit so he can play 3B when Rolen is on the DL.
im sure the Yankees can do better than Rolen, but i say go get em.
Posted by: SpecialFNK | November 06, 2007 at 09:38 AM
Don't forget about Rolen's defense, even in a down year he was nearly as good as feliz and nobody else was really close. If the yankees think they can get away with a no hit gold glove first baseman, than taking a chance on rolen, who at least has the potential to be an offensive positive makes a lot of sense. Rolen also makes sense for the dodgers.
Posted by: Hammondsbird | November 06, 2007 at 09:47 AM
I agree 100% bobo, Ensberg kills lefties and he is a decent defender, he could probably be had for a bucket of balls. At this point I almost want to get him as a bench bat if nothing else.
Posted by: Kyle | November 06, 2007 at 09:49 AM
Heh, I called that one first =) Dan, I thought about taking a flier with Chavez too, but the problem with Chavez is he's left handed, the Yanks do need a bit more balance in a lineup loaded with left handed bats.
Bobo, I'm not sure whether this is right or wrong but I get the feeling that despite Yanks posturing, the management doesn't believe in Betemit even in a platoon role, they would rather have him as an util guy, I think.
Posted by: zs190 | November 06, 2007 at 09:54 AM
There's no way the Cardinals are going to get a blue chip for Rolen. My guess is that they would be glad to get his payroll off the books.
As a Yankees fan, I like the idea of getting Rolen better than any other idea being thrown around.
Posted by: Jay C. | November 06, 2007 at 09:55 AM
The Yanks should go for Rolen, and if he breaks down, they've still got Betemit to gamble on. I'm not sure why NY won't give the guy his fair shot...
Posted by: FineHamAbounds | November 06, 2007 at 10:03 AM
Oh god no...
Cabrera: Mortgage the future.
Lowell: 5/70 for a guy who had a below 800 OPS outside Fenway? In a park which doesn't favor righties? That makes perfect sense!
Beltre: Not if a blue-chipper is required.
Rolen: If they take Chase Wright in return :D. No way you trade Kennedy or even Clippard here.
Bobo:
Best idea yet. Sign Ensberg and platoon with Betemit. Yanks will have to write off next year anyway so why trade for anyone or sign big contracts?
You don't trade any of the blue chippers unless its for Santana.
This'll show who's in charge. If they sign Lowell or trade for Cabrera, its the brothers (idiots) in charge. If they take the smart route (trade smartly, keep the Kennedy/Hughes/Joba or sign a cheap platoon guy) then Cashman is running the show.
Posted by: henry14theking | November 06, 2007 at 10:03 AM
I appreciate his defense, but with the questions about his health and offense (which are at least partly related), he's not worth $12M (at least for the next 3 years), and certainly not worth trading someone like Kennedy.
Really, I guess it's a tough situation in STL - because of course he's loved and respected, but they know it's a bad contract and they'd have to be happy to get out of it. I would imagine they'd shop him, play up his health, but in reality have to settle for a couple fringe prospects - much like the Abreu deal for example.
I can't imagine they'd include money in a trade with the Yankees. Oh - but one possibility would be taking on someone like Pavano or Farnsworth.
Off the top of my head, something like Farnsworth, Pavano, Clippard, and $5M for Rolen?
Posted by: bobo | November 06, 2007 at 10:08 AM
Would St. Louis do that?
That's almost 10 million in salary they'll take on. They'll save like 2 million by trading Rolen which isn't much.
I think eating his salary is the only option here for the Yanks. Rolen for a fringe prospect or two and call it a day.
Posted by: henry14theking | November 06, 2007 at 10:14 AM
Nah, they probably wouldn't do it, but I don't think it's too far off.
STL would be paying about $10M over one year for Pavano, Farnsworth, and Clippard, instead of paying $36M over 3 years for Rolen.
So what would Rolen get as a FA? I would say maybe something like $18-20M over 2 years if he's lucky. If it had to be 3 years, I think he'd have a hard time getting more than $25M.
So they're about $11M in the hole if they keep Rolen.
Pavano and Farnsworth are probably worth about $3M for 2008, and Clippard has some value of course.
So in theory, STL is getting the better end of the deal strictly from a financial standpoint.
Of course, they're giving up the best player, and one with a great reputation.
I suspect if you took Pavano and the $5M out, they'd jump on it. Since the Yankees can afford to pay, I guess why not?
But I still say Ensberg. "Yanks will have to write off next year anyway" - What? Why?
I'll admit that today the Sox are the better team, but the Yankees are absolutely bona fide wild card contenders (and you never know what will happen in the east anyway).
This has nothing to do with writing off the season - it's just that a platoon offers the best production for the price.
Ensberg/Betemit has a VERY good chance of exceeding Beltre's production, won't cost any players, and will be about a quarter of the price.
I don't see how people can advocate all these expensive options, just because they involve "name" players.
Posted by: bobo | November 06, 2007 at 10:26 AM
People can advocate it because the Yanks have money coming out of their ears. Rolen makes the most sense for them...and they might even be able to work out a Betemit for Rolen straight up. Not that great of a prospect but STL gets rid of a whopping 36 mil on their books. Yanks get a GG 3rd basemen that will be one of the better all around players as long as he stays healthy. I know thats a big if...but it still makes the most sense. If not betemit, I think the Cards need to get an MLB ready position player, and probably one that fills a hole...like a betemit or a SS or something, which I don't believe they have, right?
Posted by: Aduncaroo | November 06, 2007 at 10:42 AM
if Moz can get rid of a huge chunk of Rolen's 3/36 then he will quickly earn the respect of cardinal nation. we all love Rolen, but that contract blows.
Posted by: muidomi84 | November 06, 2007 at 10:47 AM
They have Alberto Gonzalez - amazing defender and not a huge dropoff from Eckstein offensively (that's not saying much, of course).
I think the Yankees would be happy to trade him.
Still 3 years of a potentially useless Rolen is a huge risk. I still think the Cards have to take on some bad contracts.
Posted by: bobo | November 06, 2007 at 10:51 AM
How about Gonzalez, Clippard, and Pavano for Rolen?
STL gets rid of Rolen, gets a decent pitching prospect, a possible starting no-hit/good-field/good-run SS (more realistically a backup), and a pitcher with a slight chance of contributing towards the end of the year.
They pay $10M over one year, instead of $36M over 3 years.
Seems reasonable to me - what about you, muidomi84, as a Cards fan?
Posted by: bobo | November 06, 2007 at 10:54 AM
bobo:
When I mean "write off the season" I mean that we're not winning the WS.
I think it's reasonable to assume that Kennedy/Joba/Hughes will be limited in innings and that any path to the WS will have to go through the Sox or Cleveland.
As of right now the Yankees a bit behind those two teams.
@Aduncaroo:
Also, the Yankees have a bunch of money but they don't like paying luxury taxes and losing money (the Yanks lost money despite having the most revenues). The money is better spent scouting and developing players than buying veterans.
Rolen is a GG 3B who hasn't been the same since that shoulder injury. I think the Cardinals can't expect much more than what the Yanks gave for Abreu AND Lidle. Probably a bit less.
Bobo:
How ready is Gonzalez? Not ready enough to move Jeter to 3B I assume...
Posted by: henry14theking | November 06, 2007 at 11:02 AM
I think its reasonable...but I almost think that they need Betemit more, unless they are going to insert Clippard into the rotation right now.
What about Clippard, Pavano, and Betemit for Rolen + 6 mil? Would that work from a Yanks prospective, or is that too much?
Posted by: Aduncaroo | November 06, 2007 at 11:04 AM
I don't think that's too much - they're both reasonable.
I don't know if Gonzalez will ever be ready offensively, but he's certainly ready defensively. I think he'd hit .240 with no power, a non-disasterous OBP and a little speed. Combined with his defense and the fact that he makes the minimum, it gives him some value as a backup, and he might work as a starter for some teams.
I'd say he's basically Eckstein, minus 50 points of BA and OBP. At a tiny fraction of the cost, that's not awful.
But with that offense, I don't seem him starting in NY, at least not in a year where we lose ARod and possibly Posada.
Posted by: bobo | November 06, 2007 at 11:11 AM
Rolen can be had for just about anything given his history of injuries and salary.
Bobo you can't be a Yankee fan when you say the Yanks can write off 2008. I think next year will definitely be a challenge but this team can win next year.
It is rumored that the Yanks are discussing a Damon and prospect for Crede and Garland. There are also a few lesser known relivers on the market that can be had.
If the Yankees pull that trigger on Damon, I think they will join the Hunter sweepstakes.
They have pieces to trade also with Mussina for a RP, Melky and a few prospects should field a No. 2 / No. 3 type starter.
They will always be in the hunt because they have money to burn and this year is no different.
A Ensburg platoon pr Lowell is not the answer.
Posted by: DRamos | November 06, 2007 at 11:59 AM
melky and a few prospects will net a #2/#3 starter?
which prospects?
Posted by: GoBoSox420 | November 06, 2007 at 12:20 PM
"It is rumored that the Yanks are discussing a Damon and prospect for Crede and Garland."
Which prospect?? Unless its an MLB ready stud...there is no chance. Why would KW do this, Garland is a pretty valuable trading chip. He could do some absolute damage to a division like the NL Central.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | November 06, 2007 at 12:36 PM
The Yanks have a wealth of young pitching other than Hughes/Joba and Kennedy than are projected 4s and 5s in a few years (Clippard/Wright/Horne). Melky is a solid defender in center and hit for above average in his first full season. The team could get a Garland or someone of similar value.
Posted by: DRamos | November 06, 2007 at 12:37 PM
Here is a piece of the article out of Chicago...
A Crede-for-Damon trade would hit the White Sox in the wallet, as Damon is due $13 million in 2008 and 2009. But the deal could be expanded to include some pitchers the Sox are making available—most likely Jon Garland (with the Yankees sending back another player or two) but possibly Jose Contreras or reliever Mike MacDougal. The Sox believe they are six-deep in starting pitchers (Jon Danks, Gavin Floyd, Mark Buehrle, Javier Vazquez, Garland and Contreras) and could use that pitching depth to try to fill holes in the outfield and at shortstop.
Philadelphia also has an interest in Crede and Garland but does not seem to match up as well as the Yankees.
Posted by: DRamos | November 06, 2007 at 12:52 PM
I never said anything like writing off the season. We absolutely have a chance.
I think on paper, even assuming Mo, Pettitte, and Posada come back, the Red Sox are better, and the Yankees are just as good as the Tigers, who are really the only other serious threat at the WC. We will contend, without a doubt.
And as we all know, once you get to the playoffs, it's all a crapshoot.
So of course we can win the world series.
I've read elsewhere the connection between trading Damon and then going after Hunter. This makes no sense. You trade Damon to get rid of a glut in LF. Melky is in CF. There's no place for Hunter. Only way we go after a CF is if Melky is traded in a blockbuster, which I cannot advocate.
So DRamos, who's the answer at 3B? What's wrong with the Ensberg platoon?
Posted by: bobo | November 06, 2007 at 12:53 PM
I am surprised about the trade talk for Garland but as a Yankee fan I am interested. More surprising this came from a Chicago sports page not even New York where rumors are in the Yanks favor everyday.
Posted by: DRamos | November 06, 2007 at 12:55 PM
As a 10 & 5 player, Rolen has the right to veto any deal. Despite his recent rift with Tony La Russa (who likely won't be around until the end of Rolen's contract), I just don't see him approving a trade to the Yankees and their fans (remember, he hated playing in Philly). He's worshipped as a god in St. Louis, he's 3 hours from where he grew up as a Cardinals fan... it would almost have to take the Yankees exercising an option or restructuring his contract for even more $$ to get that trade to even go through.
Posted by: MO Boiler | November 06, 2007 at 12:57 PM
Count me as one person that wants nothing to do with Garland. I would not trade Melky, Horne, or Kennedy for him under any circumstances.
I don't even know why Garland is being discussed. We have Mussina, why do we want another mediocre starter making $12M a year?
If Pettitte retires and they will take Clippard or Wright for him, fine, we can do worse. But once you start talking about our top prospects, no way.
Posted by: bobo | November 06, 2007 at 12:57 PM
Bobo, I would trade Melky in a blockbuster if it brought back pitching and sign Hunter to roam CF for the next four years. In theory you are replacing a good CF for pitching and paying for a CF; but the Yanks have a ton of money coming off the books next year and they can spend up to $175M per year if necessary.
As far as 3B goes, what has Betemit or Ensberg done to deserve the start at 3B?
Posted by: DRamos | November 06, 2007 at 01:03 PM
I bet Rolen would approve it as LaRussa will at LEAST be around 2 more years. The Cards could throw an extra 2 mil in to him...I think he would be alright with it. By the way, I live in St. Louis...I wouldn't say he is worshipped like a god...they like him...but leave it at that. They are getting sick of the injuries too...
Posted by: Aduncaroo | November 06, 2007 at 01:25 PM
I dont see miggy going to the yankees they are the worst match up from the marlins perspective
Now a cheap Rolen fits for NY perhaps
Posted by: Baseballfan79 | November 06, 2007 at 01:32 PM
Yankees will regret it, White Sox definitely won't.
Aiming higher than Crede? The only two being shopped that are better than Crede are Garrett Atkins and Miguel Cabrera.
Scott Rolen? Are you guys effing kidding me? Yankee fans...wow.
Posted by: astralpanda | November 06, 2007 at 01:40 PM
Adunc, I'm a Cards fan too but I haven't lived in St. Louis in a few years. Still, every time I've been back there to see games (~3 games a year) Rolen's gotten the loudest ovations outside of Pujols. The man has a lot more leash with the fans than he would anywhere else, especially New York. La Russa signed a 2-year deal, yes, but he could get fired - his ol' buddy Jocketty isn't around any longer. And I personally believe that Rolen and La Russa have a good enough working relationship to make Rolen want to stay despite whatever differences they have.
I wouldn't personally have a problem if the Cards could convince Rolen to leave and somebody else to take his entire salary while giving up a prospect or two, but I just don't see both of those happening. I think we're stuck with him.
Posted by: MO Boiler | November 06, 2007 at 01:54 PM
What have Betemit and Ensberg done?
Betemit has a career 811 OPS against RHP. Ensberg has a career 937 (!) OPS against LHP.
I did some quick back of the napkin calculations and saw that if you take their 3 year totals against RHP and LHP and prorate them to the number of PA that ARod had against those pitchers last year, you end up with a 869 OPS.
That would rank 3rd in the AL in 2007.
That is why you get Ensberg.
Posted by: bobo | November 06, 2007 at 04:04 PM
DRamos, I'm just opposed to the whole "spend the most money", "sign the best guy available" attitude.
Isn't it great watching homegrown Yankees succeeding?
I mean, sure - we have enough money that we could just go sign everyone and trade all our prospects for Cabrera and Santana - but would that be fun to watch?
Posted by: bobo | November 06, 2007 at 04:08 PM
If I were the Yankees, I would go to the Mariners and offer them Wilson Betemit, Tyler Clippard, and a mid level prospect for Adrian Beltre. It wouldn't cost them anything of real importance, and they would land an above average defensive 3B with good pop at a reasonable price. The Mariners could dump that contract, and would receive a reasonable replacement in Betemit, a pretty good prospect and an okay prospect for Beltre.
Posted by: scribbletone | November 06, 2007 at 05:07 PM
I would like Beltre and he is improving every year but Seattle would not trade him to the Yankees without getting one or two of our top four guys in return. (Hughes / Joba / Kennedy / Tabata)
I don't want Cabrera not because he isn't a great player but because the cost would be too steep. We would be forced to trade Melky and top prospects unless Cashman can pull a miracle.
Bobo, I enjoy watching a homegrown kid but if I could trade Melky along with Horne and Karstens for Santana (not likely), I will enjoy watching the Yankees win a game 1 in the playoffs for a change.
Posted by: DRamos | November 07, 2007 at 07:08 AM