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« Greene Could Stay In San Diego | Main | Cubs' Talks For Byrd Reach Impasse »
The Cubs have been interested in Rangers' center fielder Marlon Byrd for some time now, apparently offering Matt Murton. However, MLB.com's T.R. Sullivan says the Rangers' insistence on good young pitching in the deal has caused a stalemate. The Cubs like Byrd, but not at that price. Jeff Wilson and Anthony Andro of the Fort Worth Star-Telegram say Byrd is still "drawing considerable interest" from the Cubs, however.
Evan Grant wrote recently that one of Jason Botts, Nelson Cruz, or David Murphy is likely to be dealt before Opening Day. A Byrd trade might allow the Rangers to keep all three.
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Hoooray! Let's hope it stays at an impasse.
Posted by: crunchy1 | February 18, 2008 at 06:57 PM
I know this is not relevant (except for the 8 spot), but what do you think of this lineup?
theriot- hit .300 in the lead-off spot and led the team in SB last year.
lee- Great OBP and power may be in decline.
soto- Great OBP, (This is assuming he can put up numbers comparable to last year at AAA and his brief run last fall.)
ramirez- average, power, RBI's
fukudome- OBP, and Lefty to break up righties
soriano- Age and injuries are wearing on his SB's, Power, better numbers in 6 spot than 5.
derosa- Prototype 7 spot hitter
pie - Hoping for the best (good defense at least)
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 07:04 PM
I am conflicted on Greene. He kills us, but I can't stand him and don't want him.
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 07:05 PM
Soriano is going to lead off unless they get Roberts. I'm sick of reading fantasy projections otherwise. That's it.
As for trading Murton for Byrd, I think he's a great option off the bench. I'd hate to trade a guy like Murton when he adds great depth to the team. One of the things that makes the Red Sox so great (besides their SP's) is their overall depth. That's also why a Roberts trade would be so nice- to add a massive amount of depth with DeRosa.
Posted by: Dan Stabbingworth | February 18, 2008 at 07:14 PM
anyone know how byrd does at defense in center?
Posted by: Year4theCUBS | February 18, 2008 at 07:14 PM
Oops, bad grammar. "I think Murton's a great option off the bench."
Also, the Padres won't be trading Greene anytime soon.
Posted by: Dan Stabbingworth | February 18, 2008 at 07:15 PM
I don't get the pursuit of Byrd. What value does he add to the team? Murton's got a much better bat anyway.
Posted by: chris heer | February 18, 2008 at 07:29 PM
He gives you a decent option if Felix Pie still doesn't pan out this year.
Posted by: Barroid_Bonds | February 18, 2008 at 07:45 PM
Do you just come here to argue?
I know Greene was just re-siged, but there was a posted rumor of a trade that I was just responding to with my opinion, take it easy, year4!
As for Dan,
Soriano now says he is willing to move down in the order. Statistically this makes perfect sense. (refer to my original post) So you dismissing an honest opinion that most people would agree with by saying it is "fantasy" seems to reflect that you just want to argue because you are bored. (I do understand that) But, I honestly wanted to hear reasonable opinions on this batting order.
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 07:45 PM
not only is matty a great option of the bench, i think he will be used fairly often. pineilla's been talking about the shortened japanese regular season and how fukudome is going to need a day off every once in a while. i think murton is as good as it gets coming off the bench as a 4th OF and could be a huge asset if (and when) soriano is hurting.
Posted by: msk86 | February 18, 2008 at 07:50 PM
Chris,
Although I don't think we need Byrd either, he can play CF, which Murton cannot.
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 07:50 PM
I agree with Baroid
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 07:53 PM
That line up is terrible! To start things off, soriano is the starter, his numbers are what they are because he starts, if he was 3 or 4 his numbers would suffer.
Theriot has only what like 10 to 20 starts in the 1 hole? nothing to brag about.
Lee's power is NOT in decline. The first half of the season he was still recovering from the broken wrist, his power numbers were fine in the second half.
Soto is a rookie, and his numbers may be good for a little while, but pitchers will figure him out. He needs to be aroud 7.
Posted by: glberns | February 18, 2008 at 07:59 PM
It depends on the guys we have to give up. Priced right, Byrd as a back up. Priced high, not worth it.
Posted by: studio179 | February 18, 2008 at 08:02 PM
glberns, that is what I wanted . A legit opinion. Although, I think you mean lead off-hitter not starter. I would rather Soriano's numbers suffer a bit and have him driving in a few more runs with his power as opposed to continuing to have him hit lead off when even the coaches seem woried about his declining speed. I agree about Lee's injury, but it's not like he is gonna hit 40 Hr this year or anything. And yes, those numbers for Theriot and Soto are based on my hopes and I 'm not saying they will continue but assuming they did, I like this lineup. That's what this time of year is all about, just throwing out ideas.
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 08:29 PM
I dont see how Texas picking up another ML ready OF would allow them to keep Botts or Cruz. If I had to guess Texas said no thanks to Murton because they don't need another OF and view him as negligible. I don't blame them. He doesnt have a ton of value for the Rangers despite the fact that he potentially could be a good ML hitter.
Posted by: Josh | February 18, 2008 at 08:29 PM
"Soriano is going to lead off unless they get Roberts. I'm sick of reading fantasy projections otherwise. That's it."
Well this will be a good test to see just how gutless the Cubs truely are. With Soriano's leg still bothering him even after 6 months of rehab there is no way he should even be considered in the leadoff roll. Now we will see who is actually running this organization......management or players.
Posted by: Sqweeek | February 18, 2008 at 08:44 PM
Listen guy, you can throw ideas around all you want, but it comes down to what Lou decides, and I don't know of any time he said Soriano would not lead off. And he hasn't said anything about Roberts (because that would be tampering), but it would only make sense to lead off with him.
Sorry if I offended you with my well-read and informed opinion, but welcome to the interwebs regardless.
Posted by: Dan Stabbingworth | February 18, 2008 at 08:56 PM
thanks Sqweeek
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 08:57 PM
Dan,
I agree it does come down to what Lou decides. Which is why it is ok to throw out ideas, because no one gives a crap what we say here. Yes, Lou has said he will bat him lead off but, how about a fresh perspective for discussion. You did not offend me at all, and I am proud of how well read and informed you are. Congrats!
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 09:05 PM
Yes, I was going with the assumption that we aren't getting Roberts.
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 09:07 PM
Dan, It's OK. I am angry with us not winning a world series too!
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 09:08 PM
I agree with studio. I'll take Byrd for nothing.
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 09:29 PM
Botts is going to go somewhere & hit 30/100 with a great OBP ala Cust. I just don't understand why Texas doesn't put him at DH & let him do it.
Posted by: pinetarhand | February 18, 2008 at 09:35 PM
Dan,
Can you help me?
I am having trouble keeping up with the high stakes game of understanding baseball rumors. I need a real genius. Can you please be very well read and informed some more so that I can feel like someone is out there to translate this difficult world we live in. Please read all politcal blogs ASAP SO THAT WE CAN FIX OUR COUNTRY AS WELL.
Also, I need someone who is really self absorbed and needs to tell people how informed he is to make himself feel better. I guess that is why we have baseball blogs. Oh yeah , Go Cubs!
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 09:43 PM
I have been searching rosters trying to find an alternative to trading for Byrd and I came up with a possible trading partner . Why not check out Jason Repko of LA . He has yet to put up great stats , but before his injury last year he was thought as a scrappy hustler .He's right handed and I believe he is 27 from East Chicago .Sounds like a low risk , low costing risk . Not sure what LA would want but they already have two CF .
Posted by: hawkeye26 | February 18, 2008 at 09:49 PM
Instead of Byrd or Roberts, why not go after Michael Young. They have a young SS up who might be able to take his spot. I believe that the Rangers are in a Rebuilding stage. We could use the young guys that we are looking to trade for Young instead of Roberts. What do you think?
Posted by: uww1 | February 18, 2008 at 10:03 PM
hawkeye26, Repko was a very promising prospect at one time. If he is able to stay healthy he might be worth a flier. But he has had some serious injuries.
Posted by: Swishermvp | February 18, 2008 at 10:06 PM
Instead of Byrd or Roberts, why not go after Michael Young. They have a young SS up who might be able to take his spot. I believe that the Rangers are in a Rebuilding stage. We could use the young guys that we are looking to trade for Young instead of Roberts. What do you think?
Posted by: uww1 | February 18, 2008 at 10:26 PM
As a Cubs fan, I find the vast majority of Cubs fans don't know what they are talking about, unfortunately. Look, I realize Theriot became a fan favorite but he's not a legit starting shortstop on a contender. He took the fewest pitches of any infielder in baseball last year, had an OBP of .327 & had the lowest slugging %. And we don't need Byrd. Except for Fukudome, Hendry just doesn't get the importance of OBP. And we could use a 4th / 5th starter too.
Posted by: rememberthecoop | February 18, 2008 at 10:32 PM
Texas isn't trading Young.
Posted by: rememberthecoop | February 18, 2008 at 10:34 PM
I know, we could sign Corey Patterson to back up center! He could teach Pie how to be a bust. Than when Pie is doing bad, we can always turn to the worse player. It is a great idea! hahaha:)
Posted by: Joe | February 18, 2008 at 10:39 PM
uww1,
Funny, I was just thinking about Young yesterday. I was disappointed to see that he just signed a nice contract last year to keep him in TX. I too think he would be perfect for the Cubbies.
By the same token, Hawk, I like your style.
I appreciate you putting the time in finding us a real CF, but Repko would just add another ? to the already "?" full CF position. (BTW I am not being a jerk, I am being serious) I know with the Dan message I was being very sarcastic but in general, I just want to talk Cubbies with other fans. I just can't stand pretentious people.
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 10:39 PM
Remember,
I agree, but Theriot was basically a rookie, let's give him a shot for now.
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 10:44 PM
I agree with ya on giving Theriot every chance to prove himself .I think too many people have been down on him .To be realistic , the Cubs couldn't have an allstar at every position . I like the energy that gives . Someone who plays hard and shows excitement has a tendency to rub off on others.
Posted by: hawkeye26 | February 18, 2008 at 10:49 PM
hello everybody,
see the problem is, soriano wouldn't drive in too many runs cuz he wouldnt be hitting the ball as much. And remember that he had not one, but two leg injuries last year, that hampered his speed.
And lee could hit 40 HRs this year, he hit 22 last year, of which 16 were in the second half. only 6 in the first half, now that he is healthy, his numbers will get up there. I think you can expect high 30's at the very least from Lee.
Posted by: glberns | February 18, 2008 at 10:50 PM
Remember,
I think not only do we need a 4 and 5, but we need a 1 and 3. I know I am being a perfectionist, but, I think big Z 's inconsistency is maddening. It would be nice to have a real #1, with Lilly, Z, Hill, and whoever to round it out. I know there really isn't anybody we can get now to make that happen, but I think that is what is will take to win in the playoffs. I was bummed about Santana. I hate to say anything involving the phrase "next year", but we should get CC since his contract is up next year and he will want Santana money. Let's give it to him and win it all.
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 10:55 PM
Soriano had a problem last year of wanting to hit the ball out as well to make up for not producing in other areas . I can tell the difference when he was just trying to make contact and when he was pressing . If he would stick to just making contact the guy could lead the league in doubles easily which would have been more valuable than hitting solo homers .
Posted by: hawkeye26 | February 18, 2008 at 10:57 PM
again I'm with you hawk
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 10:59 PM
rememberthecoop, I agree with you on Theriot.
But I think someone(Piniella) has been in Hendry's ear about OBP. The Cubs are projected to have the second highest(behind Colorado) OBP in the NL this year.
Posted by: Swishermvp | February 18, 2008 at 10:59 PM
I think the best chance to adding a good right hander may come at mid season if the BlueJays try to trade Burnett.
Posted by: hawkeye26 | February 18, 2008 at 11:01 PM
glberns,
I agree on Lee about the 16 HR after the break. I just thought it would be fun to mention Soto as the 3 hitter. As for Fonzie,
I know he was injured but I think it isn't gonna get any better with him as far as speed. If I am wrong...awesome.
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 11:04 PM
hawkeye26, guys usually do better in the second year after signing big contracts. They usually try to hard to live up to it their first year. I remember Beltran having a crappy (.266/.330/.414 with 16HR) first year with the Mets. I think Soriano will relax and have a better year this year.
Posted by: Swishermvp | February 18, 2008 at 11:05 PM
This cracks me up. This article was about Marlon Byrd and you dumbasses are talking about Johan and CC. Typical Cubs fans. Sometimes it really makes me laugh.
Have you guys watched Murton play OF? He struggles defensivly at LF, but some of you assume he can play CF? Wow.
Bryd may be a necessary acquisition if we move Cedeno to get Roberts. Even if that trade doesnt work out, Lou is still only calling Cedeno an infielder. He does not consider him an OF whatsoever.
I really believe in Pie, and I have enjoyed watching his shortened swing in practice this spring. That being said, I would feel a hell of a lot more comfy with a veteran CF who can play once or twice a week over some idea of putting Murton or Cedeno there.
Posted by: Cub4Life | February 18, 2008 at 11:08 PM
If Soriano's speed does tail off a bit I won't mind because he will be smart enough to realize he shouldn't be leading off .Perhaps that's why he agreed to move down if needed . I was tickled pink to read that . I must admit though , since coming over to Chicago , his attitude has been much better than I thought it would be . He has been open minded to whatever the team needs . Much like it needs to be especially with his contract .
Posted by: hawkeye26 | February 18, 2008 at 11:10 PM
And which ever one of you is suggesting that Soriano is still hurting, where in Gods name did you get that information? It wasnt from him, for sure. He feels great, and is excited to use his speed again this year after dealing with a couple of different leg injuries.
Oh, and I do not like him as a prototypical leadoff hitter, but he leads off only once again, in theory. I like him there a hell of a lot better than Theriot.
Posted by: Cub4Life | February 18, 2008 at 11:12 PM
don't get me wrong Soriano had a great year as far as I am concerned, but let's stop this lead-off crap.
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 11:13 PM
Sorry, I meant to say he leads off only once a game, not once again.
Posted by: Cub4Life | February 18, 2008 at 11:14 PM
Cub4life , yes you're true on many counts , but if Soriano batted to make contact most of the time he would be great at the lead off spot ,but he has the tendency to press too hard especially last year when he was hurting .To me ,Soriano will be the lead off hitter if Roberts isn't picked up .Also , Byrd would be a decent pickup if the Rangers weren't being silly about who they want .The Rangers don't need Byrd anymore than the Cubs need Murton .
Posted by: hawkeye26 | February 18, 2008 at 11:23 PM
I'm SO TIRED of this trade idea. Offering Matt Murton for broken down Marlon Byrd is a joke. Why would you make that trade straight up? It's the Rangers that should be offering more.
Boy, Hendry sure keeps getting fleeced on trades in the past few years. It appears that after trading Clay Rapada, Rocky Cherry, and Scott Moore for nothing he hasn't learned anything.
I say again...GIVE THERIOT an outfielder's glove and see how he does out there in spring training. I'm positive he could handle center field. He's fast and is an excellent athlete.
If you traded for Roberts, you could also see how DeRosa played at shortstop. Sorry, this makes too much sense for some of you. Let the crying begin.
Posted by: TheGrinch | February 18, 2008 at 11:24 PM
hey cub4life,
"I don't know yet," Soriano said. "I have to see how I feel with my legs. If I feel good, 100 percent, then I can start running again."
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 11:25 PM
To me if the Rangers want to much Hendry should move on quickly .That's why I suggested Remko . He's not a veteran , but for what they need him for he would do fine if he has recovered from his injuries .
Posted by: hawkeye26 | February 18, 2008 at 11:25 PM
Repko . not Remko .sorry .
Posted by: hawkeye26 | February 18, 2008 at 11:26 PM
"Last year, he didn't run nearly as much, especially in the second half of the year with the leg problem," Piniella said. "You look at the year he put together for the Nationals, home run-wise and stolen base-wise and RBI-wise, and those were pretty good numbers out of the one hole. We'll keep talking about this and having a little fun with it, but we'll do the right thing, what's best for the baseball team and what's best for the players."
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 11:26 PM
having a little fun is the key phrase. Jesus, I didn't know I was gonna start such a debate over a lowly Cub fan's suggestion that Fonzie should move down.
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 11:29 PM
No , putting Theriot in center does make sense . I thought so myself , but with Lou set on having him at short there's really no point in wishing .To me ,Theriot would make a better super sub over Derosa .
Posted by: hawkeye26 | February 18, 2008 at 11:30 PM
but I also don't think Derosa could play short day in and day out . I think he would ware down quicker than he did earlier in his career . So putting Derosa at short might create another hole later in the year .
Posted by: hawkeye26 | February 18, 2008 at 11:35 PM
Cub4life,
I'll bet you what's left of the value tickets for this season that Fonzie doesn't steal more than Theriot (assuming they both actually play all season, of course).
Posted by: hello everybody | February 18, 2008 at 11:46 PM
the reason to get byrd is so he can platoon with pie. or at least an insurance policy. fuld is nice but hes a lefty like pie. I would trade murton strait up but they appear to be asking for a decent pitching prospect as well...i dont blame hendry for passing. I think lofton would be a cub if he hit right handed. still amazed he and patterson are still available. if they were RH'ed they would have jobs...strange. but i think the cintron signing might lead to a trade of ceneno. I heard cintron can play a little CF too....
Posted by: clarknaddison | February 18, 2008 at 11:52 PM
Derosa cant play SS regularily...fill in at best.
Posted by: clarknaddison | February 18, 2008 at 11:54 PM
Hello.... I would bet that would be the case if Roberts is picked up .If Soriano is leading off it will be close . It could go both ways .
Posted by: hawkeye26 | February 18, 2008 at 11:54 PM
From what I saw Cintron can play 3b , ss , 2b but from what I saw of his stats , he should stay away from 3b .
Posted by: hawkeye26 | February 18, 2008 at 11:57 PM
roberts would lead off...probably soriano or lee batting second. Fuku is an ideal 2 hitter but then youd have 2 lefties batting back to back and Lou likes the splits...
roberts
sori
lee
ramirez
fuku
soto
pie
theriot
pitcher
2 30+ sb guys at the top an bottom not to mention you have the l,r breaks...
Posted by: clarknaddison | February 18, 2008 at 11:58 PM
Either way , no matter what happens , I think you won't be seeing Fontenot in the majors this year .Unless Cintron stinks up the place , Cintron will be taking Fontenot's spot on the 25 man roster .
Posted by: hawkeye26 | February 19, 2008 at 12:00 AM
agreed
Posted by: clarknaddison | February 19, 2008 at 12:02 AM
That looks like what Lou would do Clarknaddison , but do ya think batting Pie behind Soto might slow down Pie down from stretching singles into doubles and doubles into triples ?
Posted by: hawkeye26 | February 19, 2008 at 12:05 AM
Cub4life (unfortunately),
Yes, I know that this board is about Marlon Byrd, but I think that is even less interesting than signing Cintron (that says a lot). So forgive me if I feel the need to talk about what it will actually take to win the World Series in my lifetime as opposed to whether or not we will trade for someone that will help us as much as Craig Monroe did." You also make me laugh with the fact that you have a problem with someone wanting the best for his favorite team. Pitching is what wins championships! Not to mention I went to the trouble of saying "I know I am being a perfectionist" when I mentioned CC.
Posted by: hello everybody | February 19, 2008 at 12:11 AM
NOT saying my idea is better , but would Roberts ,Soriano ,Lee ,Ramirez ,Fukudome , Pie , Soto ,Theriot maximize the chance of Pie getting better pitches to hit and also have someone a little faster in front of him ?
Posted by: hawkeye26 | February 19, 2008 at 12:11 AM
either way he would slow dwn pie or theriot. soto could hit 25homers if given 450 ab's. lets not be baker and talk about clogging yhe bases...
Posted by: clarknaddison | February 19, 2008 at 12:13 AM
So do you have any idea what the Cubs should do if Roberts isn't a Cub ? Do you still trade for a right handed cf?
Posted by: hawkeye26 | February 19, 2008 at 12:22 AM
Meaning , do you go with Cedeno as the back up cf option for a right hander or do you still trade for a right hander ? It's a shame the Mets picked up Brady Clark as a minor lg free agent , otherwise he would have been a good option .
Posted by: hawkeye26 | February 19, 2008 at 12:25 AM
ok...if not roberts...any suggestions for transactions? i know its a byrd post but lets talk a realistic addition. how about Greene and Maddux for Theriot, murton, Demp and marshall?? I think cedeno is an opt in cf. it would be interesting in spring training...
Posted by: clarknaddison | February 19, 2008 at 12:41 AM
then again... we could keep murton and put Fuku in CF, murton in RF if pie doesnt pan out...
Posted by: clarknaddison | February 19, 2008 at 12:43 AM
Fukudome signed because he could play right. He isn't playing cf.
Also, I was reading anarticle on the cubs website...do u know hendry was going to go after swisher if we didn't get fukudome?? It said he already had a package of young players put together...I thought that was interesting.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | February 19, 2008 at 09:12 AM
The Padres love Greene. They gave him a nice extension and an MVP award. I seriously doubt they will trade him, unless the Cubs blew them away in a proposal (Marmol, Hill, Soto, etc., which we all know won't happen).
And I think Maddux left for good in 06. It's a shame really, but the Cubs have enough mediocre right-handed pitching (note, I'm not saying Maddux is a mediocre pitcher, but he is now in his old age).
I really think the Cubs go to camp set on everything except Roberts. Maybe they sign somebody on the cheap, like Shannon Stewart, especially if they don't get Roberts (meaning no DeRo to back up the outfield positions).
Oh, and Theriot played the outfield for a handful of games last year before Lou vowed to not do that again. So I expect him to play 130+ games at short.
OT, but, what's with the constant trolling on this website?
Posted by: Dan Stabbingworth | February 19, 2008 at 10:00 AM
Clark-
Ok now I know I am a Brewers Fan, but I would like to think I know enough about the Cubs since I have basically watched or listened to every game on the radio since June of last year...
But Soriano would be a TERRIBLE #2 hitter...he would hurt Roberts who leads off in front of him and hurt the team by being in the 2 hole.
First he is a first pitch free swinger...not good to have one of those behind a 30+ SB guy like Roberts.
Two, he strikes out alot so if Roberts does steal 2nd base and Sori strikes out, then you just gave up a golden opportunity. Third he does not run as fast anymore which means it will be harder to beat out Double play grounders..
Also the talk of moving down Soriano so that he hits with people on base... Do you realize how many chances he had with Runners on from the #1 spot.. you guys actually had your bottom half get on at a decent rate last year and he very rarely came up big with men on... and only did hit the Solo Hrs to usually start off the game.
To me if Soriano gets moved out of the leadoff spot and you have roberts there... then Theriot is the PERFECT guy to "hide" in the #2 spot..
He takes enough pitches to give Roberts a chance to steal... does not strike out that often...usually makes decent contact(works for hit and runs). Can bunt and has plenty of speed to beat out a double play ball. Plus he would get a lot of great pitches with Lee after him and Roberts on base.
Best lineup for the Cubs
Roberts
Theriot
DLEE
Aram
Soriano
Fukudome
Soto
Pie
But thats just my opinion...
anyway I hope Soriano stays at leadoff... and you dont replace Pie or Theriot because those are your biggest holes... along with Fukudome and Soto production...
But hey Good Luck cant wait till March 31st with Sheets vs Zambrano in Wrigley
Posted by: erbacaine | February 19, 2008 at 10:28 AM
Trust me, we aren't the team with a hole at catcher...soto is going to be in the rookie of the year talks. You on the other hand, have a guy that will probably not hit 1 hr next year, and can't throw my grandma out trying to steal. I can't wait if we get roberts...1st game at wrigley, roberts, theriot, soriano, and even fukudome and lee, not to mention pie will all be running on that noodle arm! This is gonna be great...
That being said, your lineup is reasonable and u are right about sori, 2 is a terrible spot for him
Posted by: Aduncaroo | February 19, 2008 at 10:51 AM
So Adun-
You are saying that a Guy who is 25 years old and only finally had his first good offensive year in the minors...in his THIRD year in Triple A to boot, will not be a question mark.
I agree that Kendall is a question mark...but what he does well is all that the Brewers need....they dont need Power from Kendall, they need the fact that he is one of the best Game Managers behind the plate(which is what most of the A's pitchers have said and Zito gave him a lot of credit for his success)..
Also Kendall was playing with Bad eyes...he had Lasik eye surgery in October and said that it makes a world of difference... You had to figure something was wrong you dont drop that far off in one year like he did..
2006-.290BA/.360OBP/ 30% Throw out rate
2007-.240BA/.309OBP/ 15% throw out rate
Hell the reason Kendall is on the Brewers is because Estrada was so bad at getting on Base last year and was awful as a Game Manager and actually had a worse throw out rate then kendall did...so Kendall is still an upgrade at his Worst.
Plus Kendall did have a .270/.350 2nd half with the Cubs last year and thats the line I am expecting for the Brewers this year.... with the Power and Offense the Brewers have in their lineup they just need a guy like Kendall to get on Base.
Soto has a good arm and decent defense the problem is a lot of the Cubs starters have no decent moves to keep runners at bay... I think Soto only throws out around 22% this year... and I think you will see Kendall throw out around that as well.
I am sure the eye problems threw off his aim a little bit as well....like I said consistant guys like Kendall do not fall that far off the bus that fast..
Posted by: erbacaine | February 19, 2008 at 11:33 AM
Yes they do, its called being a catcher in your 30's...its almost bound to happen, and already has with kendall. He is not going to touch throwing out 20% next year, trust me. Soto is a plus defender with a plus arm, and has always had a quick swing with great plate discipline. Those all translate, and they have always been there. The cubs had a hole at catcher last year, and they let kendall go because he want filing it, and soto was. Soto also has known the cubs pitchers for awhile...Z, hill, marshall, marmol etc. Kendal has to learn a whole new staff. Projections all have soto with a .800+ ops in his rookie year, something kendall can only dream of. He did fall off, its not really a question, its fact.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | February 19, 2008 at 11:51 AM
So Kendall has Lasik eye surgery. Tim, add Kendall to the "Vision Improvement" section of the "Spring Training Cliches"! He'll be primed for a comeback just like Mark Hendrickson!
Posted by: jrfukudome | February 19, 2008 at 12:00 PM
Didn't he just wear contacts last year, like every other human being? The diference between contacts and lasik isn't going to make him good...trust me.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | February 19, 2008 at 12:28 PM
So is this the same translation from Triple A to the Majors that has made Pie, Murton, and Cedeno so good at the Majors when they rake in the Minors?
Oh wait I know Soto had a Great 54 ABs in the Majors last year right? Oh wait didn't Fontenot have a Month and a Half stretch(65 ABs) where he was a .400 Batting Average guy...how did that turn out.
Oh and look at Soto's "power"
2001-150Abs/ 1 HR .260/.327
2002-161ABs/ 3 HR .273/.328
2003-297ABs/ 2 HR .242/.314
2004-332ABs/ 9 HR .271/.349
2005-292ABs/ 4 HR .253/.357
2006-342ABs/ 6 HR .272/.353
2007-385ABs/26 HR .353/.424
Soto has only had a batting average OVER .275 one time..
Only had an OBP over .350 3 times(all in Triple A which is where a lot AAAA pitchers are)
And had more HRs in 2007 than his Minor league career combined
Oh and in his Minor League career only had an OPS of over .750 ONE time.
You do realize that Most of the good pitchers stay in Triple A about 2 months at the Longest... he did that against wanna-be Pitchers.
He is STILL a question mark
He does have decent Defense but that does not give him a chance in hell to throw out a runner when in Hill, Marquis, Dumpster, and Marshall are on the mound..
Soto will give you .265BA/.320OBP/16Hrs
Which will be an OPS of about .730
Posted by: erbacaine | February 19, 2008 at 12:35 PM
Jrfukudome-
"Spring Training Cliches" just like Zambrano will be better because he is not playing for a contract anymore..
or DLEE will be back to his MVP calibre numbers because his wrist is not hurting..
or that Rich Hill WILL be better because he is another year with expirence..he is what 28 now..Yeap such a young STUD
Posted by: erbacaine | February 19, 2008 at 12:39 PM
Adun-
He did wear contact lenses last year but lasik eye surgery gets the eyes very close to perfect vision where as Contacts do not.
I did not say that Kendall would be GOOD... he will be better and if he gives us what he gave the Cubs in the 2nd half then thats all I care about....270/.350
Plus his value is still and always will be his Game Managment with the Pitchers...one of the Best in the game at that.
and having a guy that can beat out double plays and get On Base instead of Estrada will easily give the Offense a much needed boost...and who cares about Power when the Brewers have 7 guys in the Lineup that can hit 20+ HomeRuns....
Oh and 4 guys that can steal 20+ bases
Posted by: erbacaine | February 19, 2008 at 12:44 PM
So, Erbacaine, lets make sure I have this straight.
Soto is only going to hit .265 this year? He is NOT allowed, in your eyes, to continue to progress and get better, or at least stay around the same level as last year, but Kendall is going to have a better year? What kink of flawed thinking is that? At his age, when most every player is regressing, Kendall is going to provide the same numbers, but the 25 year old is going to regress? Jesus!
One of the things that you failed to bring up, and I am sure its because you are either unaware or just failed to notice, is that Soto worked himself into really good shape before last season. He lost a ton of weight, and worked on his conditioning. He gave a lot of the credit for his 2007 season on him being in better shape.
Well, he came in to camp in even better shape this year. I do not think we will see .370 and 35 HR from the guy, but I will bet on at least .295 and 25 HR's. I will bet on it. He is simply crushing the ball right now.
But I guess now that Kendall can see a little better, we should probably just scratch the catcher spot off the allstar ballots and give it to Kendall right away. What a joke.
Posted by: Cub4Life | February 19, 2008 at 01:02 PM
Relax, erbacaine. We all get excited around spring training time. Hell, I quit smoking and I'm in the best shape of my life!
Sorry, I don't buy the eye surgery thing. I agree with your lineup, however...
Posted by: jrfukudome | February 19, 2008 at 01:06 PM
So Cub4life-
The fact that Soto had to spend a 3rd STRAIGHT year at Triple A and finally showed Offense does not bother you at all?
and the fact that he had 56 ABs at the Mjor League level, you think he will be a .295 hitter.
When he has shown 1 year of anything remotly considered an Offense...
Hey thats fine keep the faith I live in a real world...one that takes a look at everything...
Did you know Soto had the HIGHEST BABIP in the minors last season...which means he was the luckiest hitter in the Minors last year. That will always average out in the long term....
But thats why I love Chicago fans their delsions of great teams in Spring Training and then seeing the rug pulled out in the season.
It happened with the Bears, the Bulls and Now the Cubs...
Posted by: erbacaine | February 19, 2008 at 01:18 PM
FukudomeJr-
Its cool I actually love messing with Cub fans you guys are very passionate about your team so its fun when you say even the slightest thing about holes or question marks with your team and you get the fans "What We have no holes....Blah blah blah"
I just feel that Soto is a question mark, STILL an upgrade from last year, but a question mark all the same...
Same with Fukudome... I think his OBP will mostly translate probably a .370 OBP... but I think his power takes a big dive like Hideki's did when he came to the Majors..
.280 BA/15 HRs/.370 OBP
But your main holes are Theriot and Pie there offense needs to be better for you guys...
Actually all Theriot needs to do is not even raise the batting average but actually become a .350 OBP guy then that REALLY helps your team out
Pie needs to do everything better on Offense.
anyway it will be fun a year...Brewers just need to keep it close the first 25 games while Yovanni is out the first 2 weeks and while Cameron is Suspended.
Posted by: erbacaine | February 19, 2008 at 01:26 PM
Yeah, those brewers are always so good and they have such classy fans...
Babip is great and all...it will average out? Did it last year? Tell me, wouldn't it have to be really high for ANYONE that hits .350??? Your logic doesn't make sense. It has to be very high for anyone that is going to hit for that high of an average!
Posted by: Aduncaroo | February 19, 2008 at 01:36 PM
Erbacaine, if I am not mistaken, it wasnt the Cubs that had the rug tore out from underneath them last year, it was the Brewers.
I am aware that 54 AB's does not make a season, or a career for that matter. The kid turned a major corner last year. The Brewers have a handful of players that produced in the minors and it stretched to the majors too. I guess that's acceptable, but for him to do it isnt?
The fact of the matter is, you would rather have him in your Brewer lineup than the 2 trash heaps you currently have. Thank you again for accepting Cubs fans passion, now I will be more than happy to accept your envy.
Good luck.
Posted by: Cub4Life | February 19, 2008 at 01:39 PM
Most players that have a High Batting Average .350 will usually have a BABIP around that batting average.... Soto's BABIP was around .425...
Average for a hitter is .285
You are right though when a guy has a good year at the plate his BABIP is usually pretty high..but its usually really close to the Batting average. Soto's numbers were not.
Posted by: erbacaine | February 19, 2008 at 01:42 PM
Not the right forum, and I apologize. I just got word from a very good source that the Roberts trade will most likely happen 2 weeks into ST if it is going to happen at all. Gallagher, Cedeno, Murton and Veal are rumored on the Cubs side.
Too much if you ask me. (Which they arent, but I like to throw that out there!!)
Posted by: Cub4Life | February 19, 2008 at 01:43 PM
Cubflife-
Envy???
Yeah I envy the Cubs a lot
Brewers lose out to the Cubs in 2 postitions on the Diamond...3 if you count the BullPen..
You have the Brewers at 3rd base with ARAM over Hall, and at the plate with Soto over Kendall.
Wow yeah Envy a team with a 130 million dollar payroll that loses out at every postition BUT 2...
And the Brewers had the rug pulled out last year, to be expected from 23 year olds...
But I am talking this year.. listening to how Great the Bears would be, then how great the Bulls are... now hearing Dumpster and his WorldSeries talk... I cant wait to hear the excuses.
Also the difference between the Brewers youngsters and the Soto... is that Corey Hart, Weeks, Fielder, Braun, and Hardy ALL performed well in the minors EVERY year... Soto right now is a ONE year wonder.
Posted by: erbacaine | February 19, 2008 at 01:49 PM
Awe, you look so cute getting all fired up. A couple things that do or dont matter. 1) I can give 2 shiits if you beat us out at every position, except the standings. Dumbass! 2)Don't hate on the payroll, you go right back to my point about "envy". 3)Is this a football or basketball thread? Nope. 4)Great job being proud of an organization that continues to produce All-Stars for other teams. Must feel great!
Posted by: Cub4Life | February 19, 2008 at 01:54 PM
Lets be honest, I don't hate the brewers...I love the rivalry.
Suppan, bush, mench, cordero, etc aren't 23, and weren't then. Your demise started with that a ram hr at wrigley.
As for this year, lets take defense into account. The cubs have one of the best outfield defenses in the majors! Please try and run on them. Please. In the infield they have two guys at the corners playing gg defense, and if we get roberts, that would be three. Soto is a plus defender and in even better shape...really, do u even compare defensively to this team? You aren't in the picture! Not to mention our bullpen is one of our biggest strengths, while yours is a huge, glaring weakness. We have marmol, wuertz, howry, wood, and you have an old user in gagne who isn't good anymore and whom u paid 10 mil! Also, we can talk about rotations all day bc ours was #2 in the nl last year, and we are expecting better years from z, and hill, same from marquis, and maybe a little regression from lilly. U are left with sheets who u can book the dl for, gallardo who is already injured, and suppan who looked like marquis last year, and a bunch of question marks. Ill take our team all day long!
Posted by: Aduncaroo | February 19, 2008 at 02:14 PM
I agree that theriot is a hole offensively, unless u look at his season minus sept, where he fell off the planet. He is fine on defense though. Same with pie, u are right about offense, he sucked. However he is going to be playing crazy good defense and really only needs to be hitting like .250 to be veryu valuable to us. I think Soto is our answer, and my favorite cubs prospect to come up since hill, who I was mocked for loving this time last year. But we are a very good defensive team with good pitching and our offense will be good without roberts, and great with him! We are sound all around, while the brewers will be below average defensively, with an average at best rotation and absolute crap for a bullpen. Its about more than just an offense, which is why our all around team is better.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | February 19, 2008 at 02:36 PM
Yeah lets put Defense into this... The Brewers Defense got a lot better this year than it was last year.
Cameron taking over for Hall
Hall Taking over for Braun
those 2 moves alone according to PECOTA and a few other projections make the Brewers 4 wins better.
The Brewers Bull Pen got a lot better even with losing Cordero...they added more Quality throughout the Bull pen then they had last year.
Hill accoriding to FIP and BABIP stats show there SHOULD be a nice regression from him...
Hell he had ONE good month and that was April where he had 1.77 ERA
Marquis had his best April and May of his Career in 2007
Lilly will regress slightly
Zambrano has regressed every year so far...oh wait thats right he will be better because he does not have a contract hanging over his head...so why did he suck in Sept..
The fact that you are counting on Wood as a piece of your bullpen is funny...when you then bash Gagne....who was lights out the first half of the season as the Closer for Texas...yeah I guess you missed that part.
Sheets is in a contract year and never had any arm problems or shoulder problems...contract years are usually the Best medicine for a player.
Yovanni will miss the first 2 weeks of April at the most
Suppan/ Cappy/ Bush/ Vargas had their worst years of their career which many "experts" think was the result of Estrada not listening to MIke Maddux and not studying with the Pitchers that need a good Game manager behind the plate because their stuff is not as overpowering as Sheets and Gallardo's stuff..
A full year of Braun and Gallardo... Better Defense.. and a better quality bullpen then last years. I take the Brewers team no doubt about it.
Oh and every postiton player that is a starter showing up to camp 4 days early...that I KNOW did not happen with the Cubs.
last but not least the FIP pitching stats had the Brewers as the 3rd best pitching rotation in the NL with the Cubs 5th... that goes to show you how much the Defense hurt the Brewers last year and now that is helped out with the new additions.
Posted by: erbacaine | February 19, 2008 at 02:39 PM
Theriot is not a good defender he is AVERAGE at best...
Derosa and Roberts both are the same at Defense...slightly above average..
ARAM-while he got better over the years on Defense his range is still not good.
Soriano- has a Great arm, but he is brutal at reading the flight of the ball, and with his leg may not have the range he had for most of the year last year.
Pie and Fukudome both will be very good out there..
Cameron is a GG Cfer coming from the huge park in PETCO to a smaller park in Miller...
Hart has very good range and a gun for an arm
Braun will make mistakes, but he is very fast should have decent range and also has a very good arm(plus Robin Yount will be workign with him during ST)
Hall- is average to slightly above average range at 3rd and has a good arm..he is a HUGE upgrade over Braun who was historically bad
JJ hardy- was always a plus defender in the Minors and his first 2 years in the Majors, had some problems last year(might have been the back that was bugging him..I dont know)
Weeks- His glove has gotten better every year and has good range...just still throws the ball away at times when he hurrys
Fielder- Most of his errors came on throws to 2nd... he does not have the arm length that Lee has to be able to scoop bad throws, but he is still an average defender
kendall- is still an improvement over Estrada and thats all that matters
Posted by: erbacaine | February 19, 2008 at 02:51 PM
Helped, not solved. I guess era has nothing to do with it...or oba, that doesn't either. Im not saying your defense will not be better, im saying it still won't be good! U won't count on wood but u are sheets?? Hahaha...that's great. Then u look at a half season of gagne? Lets look at marquis' first half then, shall we?? Funny thing is, hill, lilly, and marquis all had great aprils and mays...and the cubs were in 3rd. When did the cubs blow by you?? It wasn't even about the pitching...it was the team as a whole. Hill will get better, bank on it. Z will be better than last year as well. Offense is already better, and could get MUCH better with roberts.
Pecota says currently as the teams are that the cubs are better, without roberts. What will that look like if we get him??
By the way, your bullpen will be atrocious next year. The fact that you think it improved is the funniest joke I've heard all day!
Posted by: Aduncaroo | February 19, 2008 at 02:58 PM
Hall is average in his best dreams, he won't sniff above average defense. Soriano's leg will be just fine, and won't affect his range. All three of for the cubs have range and cannons. Look at ramirez' defensive stats last year...they were gg type of stats. Feliz was the only one better. Lee is lee, enough said. His range is obviously better, all u have to do is look at them to figure that out. Roberts is bettere than derosa, which would be awesome. I never said theriot was good, I said he was fine, id like to have better, someone with the range and cannon that ronny cedeno has would be nice...
Posted by: Aduncaroo | February 19, 2008 at 03:28 PM