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David Wells Denied By Cardinals
David Wells' agent, Gregg Clifton, reached out to the Cardinals recently to see if his client could assist them with their early season rotation uncertainty. It's been said that Boomer, 44, is looking to make about 20 starts this year. He earned $3MM in '07.
Derrick Goold says the Cardinals prefer their in-house options over Wells. What does PECOTA have to say about this?
David Wells - 4.55 ERA
Anthony Reyes - 4.32 ERA
Brad Thompson - 4.29 ERA
Todd Wellemeyer - 4.39 ERA
Seems the Cardinals are on track with this one. I'm sure they'd be ecstatic to get those ERAs out of that trio. Goold says the Cards will continue to track free agents. Kyle Lohse and Jeff Weaver are two who are healthy right now, if nothing else. As for Roger Clemens, the Cards aren't terribly interested given Clemens' probable late start.
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Those are probably reliever innings for Wellemeyer and Thompson. Then again, that's a Yellowstone Park ERA for Wells.
I'd use DERA or something and make sure you have everyone in the same role if you are going to make comparisons like this.
Though I agree with the Cardinals here.
Posted by: plh903 | February 25, 2008 at 08:09 AM
I think they are swingman innings.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | February 25, 2008 at 08:18 AM
PECOTA used proper roles for all of them so I think we're good there. Maybe the Cards' and Padres' defenses have some differences, but not enough for me to be tossing around non-mainstream stats.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | February 25, 2008 at 08:20 AM
They are proper roles for the individuals, just not that great for an ERA comparison. The bulk of Wells and Reyes' innings come as starters, while the PECOTA spreadsheet has Wellemeyer and Thompson just making spot starts occasionally.
Wells - 22 GS (30 G)
Wellemeyer - 4 GS (30 G)
Thompson - 6 GS (32 G)
Reyes 17 GS (30 G)
Also, I'm not sure about the defenses, but the parks are definitely much different pitching environments. New Busch has been playing fairly neutral while Petco is a pitcher's paradise.
Posted by: plh903 | February 25, 2008 at 09:21 AM
There's no reason to believe Clemens would even consider St. Louis.
Posted by: WHIPit | February 25, 2008 at 09:31 AM
I'd love to see Clemens pitch for the Cardinals. What better way to spend the end of your career than in the basement of the NL Central?
Posted by: ksesxe | February 25, 2008 at 10:41 AM
Maybe Clifton could secretly get Wells' name put on the Mitchell Report and show it to the Cardinals. Then maybe they'd sign him.
Posted by: inthecards | February 25, 2008 at 04:02 PM