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« Odds and Ends: Braun, Cueto, Pelfrey | Main | Padres Interested In Damian Miller »
Jack Macgruder of the East Valley Tribune reports a major gap between second baseman Orlando Hudson and D'Backs management. Macgruder says Hudson seeks something close to the $15MM per year Chase Utley received to cover his free agent seasons.
Hudson seems to be asking for too much, but maybe it's just his starting point. Aaron Hill seems like a better comparable than Utley, and Hill has options for his free agent years at around $8MM. Brandon Phillips' free agent years were valued in the $11-12MM range; Ian Kinsler gets $7-10MM. It does seem that Hudson could crack a $10MM salary in free agency, but he won't get Utley money.
Mark Ellis is probably Hudson's main competition in the '09 free agent market. Ellis could ask for a $6-7MM salary. Teams that might be looking to upgrade at second base after this season include the White Sox, Cubs, Cardinals, Dodgers, and Rockies.
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That is just insane. Good luck Hudson, because you're not worth that ever.
Posted by: Mike Simms | April 09, 2008 at 11:37 AM
Is he high? He has never hit .300. Never scored 90 runs. Never hit 20 HRs or driven in 70 runs.
Which are all things Utley does pretty much every year. Sure Hudson has hit better since leaving the AL and going to Arizona. But still to think of him as a player worth 8 figures a year is funny.
Posted by: XD23 | April 09, 2008 at 11:42 AM
actually, he's onto something.
next time i'm up for a review, i'm gonna tell my boss to give me a 200k raise because 44k just doesn't cut it anymore. i mean, my pedestrian performance metrics are every bit the same worth as the engineering department manager who brings in 5 times what i do on an annual basis.
Posted by: barracus79 | April 09, 2008 at 11:43 AM
He has good numbers for a 2b, and great defense...I think he's pushing the defense. thing. just a note about Hill: those option years are discounted a bit because of signing him through arb.
Posted by: Guitar Hero | April 09, 2008 at 12:04 PM
Cardinals have Kennedy signed for next year. Let's them out unless they trade him or eat salary. Plus there are a couple of prospects available also.
Posted by: dep258s | April 09, 2008 at 12:22 PM
Good luck O-dog !
Its good money if you can get it. I hope his agent is Boras cause if not, then he's gonng regret making such rediculous demands ala Kyle Lohse
I really hope Mark Ellis gets signed by Beane before the end of the year. He's just raking it !
Posted by: BaseBallz | April 09, 2008 at 12:33 PM
I don't see Adam Kennedy as blocking anything.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | April 09, 2008 at 12:38 PM
I really see the Dodgers picking up O-Dog or Ellis...Being that i don't think Kent will be back
Posted by: dodgers67 | April 09, 2008 at 12:59 PM
I hope the Dodgers don't sign either Hudson or Ellis. Kent is gone after this year. Dodgers have Hu, Abreu, Young and DeWitt that can probably handle 2B and will be a heck of a lot cheaper options than both free agents. They should go after Sabbathia and/or Sheets. I can totally see the White Sox go after Hudson in the off-season.
How about LA trades for Brian Roberts?
(I kinda miss hearing his name 'round here. :p )
Posted by: la16 | April 09, 2008 at 02:45 PM
i completely agree that kennedy is not blocking anyone at second but the cards will still have no interest. they have a long history of not paying second baseman and its worked out well. they also wont overpay anyone unless he is a superstar and hudson certainly doesnt qualify. i think hudson would be lucky to get 10 mil a year. the white sox, dodgers and the cubs all make sense to me. only very large market teams can afford to overpay a second baseman. i think the white sox makes the most sense.
Posted by: Joelcards | April 09, 2008 at 03:04 PM
I think that the Cardinals will go after a shortstop hard this winter. They can get away with having a mediocre second baseman like Kennedy, but Izturis simply can't cut it at short. I think that you'll see either Raffy Furcal or Orlando Cabrera in a Cardinals uniform in 2009.
And honestly, what is going through Hudson's head? I understand that he's probably a top 5 second baseman, because he's offensively above average for the position and is arguably the best defense second baseman in baseball. But $15M a year is reserved for the elitest of second baseman, not exactly a money position, and Hudson is simply very good. Considering that he'll be 31 when he signs this contract, he really just doesn't deserve that kind of money.
I think that something like 5/55 or 4/48 would be a reasonable contract for him, even though a five year deal would take him through his age 36 season.
Posted by: scribbletone | April 09, 2008 at 04:33 PM
i think it was u scribble who recommended furcal to the cards before. that would be perfect for a leadoff man and a guy with speed. im worried he wants serious money after what the dodgers r paying him but it would really make sense. with furcal at short i could live with one more year of kennedy. i also still like burnett to the cards. i dont care if he would be overpaid, thats a guy worth overpaying. hes straight nasty.
Posted by: Joelcards | April 09, 2008 at 09:50 PM
Yeah I've discussed Furcal to the Cards before. I just think it makes so much sense since most of their hitters aren't top of the order types. In fact really none of their hitters are top of the order types. Adding Furcal would be ideal, but its true that he's gonna get some decent attention from a lot of teams. O-Cab will be St. Louis' fallback plan, although he's a pretty good one.
I think that the Cardinals are going to make some wholesale changes to their roster soon, because they need to build the team around Pujols, Rasmus and Adam Wainwright
Posted by: scribbletone | April 09, 2008 at 09:58 PM
As a D-backs fan, I absolutely love Hudson. Not just for his gold-glove defense, above average bat and timely hitting, but more for the enthusiasm and leadership he brings to this team. Now having said that, there's absolutely no way that GM Josh Byrnes and the front office give Hudson anything close to $15 mil - I would guess 10 would be max.
Posted by: dbacksbuzz | April 09, 2008 at 11:52 PM
The only ones that are high are yall because the man has won 3 gold gloves in a row while still almost becoming the NL starter last year based on his hitting numbers. Hes off to a slow start but last year he was the best hitter in baseball in April. I bet he is probably the best defensive second baseman in baseball plus his hitting is starting to really develop and he is going to put up major offensive numbers, hes a late bloomer because he is the youngest of 7 children. Just watch yall, when October gets here and we see what his regular season stats were and then we see him produce in the playoffs because he missed out last yr with his injury. He will be getting something close to Chase Utley money.
Posted by: dbacks2007 | April 10, 2008 at 08:08 AM
Yall dont understand that just because a player has 20 more of everything in ever statistic or .20 higher in every average it doesnt make him better than the next guy. This is a day in day out life for these guys and if hes asking for that money , there must be people in the league who feel he is worth it. I would give him 12 million a year.
Posted by: dbacks2007 | April 10, 2008 at 08:10 AM
To be the best defender at 2B alone is worth 10 million a year. Do you realize the runs he saves? Theres a reason why Arizona has great pitching despite pitching at the second highest elevation in baseball.
Posted by: dbacks2007 | April 10, 2008 at 08:12 AM
A player could hit .20 lower in every average category and also have 20 less of RBI and R and still be just as good as the guy who does. Just keep that in mind when you start talking about your major league baseball trade rumors.
Posted by: dbacks2007 | April 10, 2008 at 08:14 AM
Plus, What did I tell yall about Jason Kendall, whos laughing now. We had a major discussion about where he should hit, I said 2nd and everyone else said 8th. 9th is a great comprimise because he leads off the top of the order in most situations but eventually he should move to 2nd so he can be there in the 1st inning.
Tell me again, like you did in February, how I dont know nothing about baseball, its only a matter of time before he and his MLB leading BA are hitting second. And I also called Corey Patterson signing with the Reds well before anybody else on this site considered it, and almost three weeks before it actually happened. As soon as Dusty mentioned that he talked to Corey and Kenny I knew theyd choose Corey and now hes going to have an All Star season. I also called the Brewers being better than the Cubs as they proved in the opening day series. The Cubs do not and will never have the pitching to make it past the first round if they can even make it that far. Lilly and Rich Hill and even Zambrano all give up too many HR in Wrigley. It ends up becoming a predetermined self fullfilling prophecy. They need me to become GM and then I would take Ted Lillys contract and tear it up and release him. He should be pitching in Oakland still or SF or LAD or SD or SEA
I know this site is mostly Cubs fans so that why I mention it. How about those D'Backs! Mark Reynolds can mash. I think its safe to say we can see them in October.
By the way I think the Reds will go down to the wire with the Brewers for the division.
Posted by: dbacks2007 | April 10, 2008 at 08:19 AM
If you ask for $15M/yr and settle for 8-12M/yr it will seem like you're on sale. I regard his conract demands as nothing more than posturing. And the difference between Hudson and Lohse is that Hudson actually is one of the better 2B in the game. Lohse would have been a mistake (regardless of his good start) at 3yr+/30M+ that he was asking for. But he seems like (and is) a bargain at 5M.
I think Hudson (and Ellis to a lesser extent) will be the Mets biggest regret in signing Castillo (and the Astros signing Matsui) to their FA contracts.
Posted by: kab21 | April 10, 2008 at 08:38 AM
If the D'Backs go to the World Series and he is a big part of it, I think the team will give him at least 11 million a year. I think thats what Eric Byrnes is getting. I think he signed a 3 year 33 million dollar deal.
Posted by: dbacks2007 | April 10, 2008 at 08:47 AM
Hudson should get B. Phillips money.
PLEASE NOTE THAT THE ARTICLE IS PURE SPECULATION AND ALSO DOES NOT EVEN SAY HE IS ASKING 15M PER SEASON, IT SPECULATES THAT HE MAY BE ASKING FOR SOMETHING NEAR 15M. WHICH IS RIGHT IN LINE WITH WHAT HE IS LIKELY TO APPROACH. HE SHOULD GET 11-12M.
Posted by: dbacks2007 | April 10, 2008 at 08:57 AM
I guarantee he has two seasons where he averages .315BA during his upcoming 3 year contract. This is the time to sign him y'all.
Posted by: dbacks2007 | April 10, 2008 at 08:59 AM
Hudson isn't even in the same category as B. Phillips.
Posted by: The Globalizer | April 10, 2008 at 09:52 AM
"Hudson isn't even in the same category as B. Phillips."
Yes he is. Plus he does not have a history of being a headcase. I love PHillips, dont sleep on O-Dogg though.
"I think Hudson (and Ellis to a lesser extent) will be the Mets biggest regret in signing Castillo (and the Astros signing Matsui) to their FA contracts."
Couldnt agree more, though I could also see the Mets just eating half of Castillo's contract after the year because I am sure there is some team who would take Castillo for 3 years and 9 million, even with knee problems. Agreed though, I would love to see either of those guys playing in Citi Field next year. Castillo is solid, but drives me crazy with his 3-1 bluffing the bunt garbage and his inability to drive in runners from 3rd with less then 2 outs because he can only hit the ball like 140 feet.
Posted by: nrmax88 | April 10, 2008 at 10:21 AM
Hudson was a below average hitter in Toronto and since he went to Arizona, the only thing that has improved are his numbers at home. His road splits look just like the old Orlando.
Road OPS:
2003: .708
2004: .836
2005: .738
2006: .734
2007: .738
Meanwhile he hit .321/.397/.489 and .302/.382/.511 at home in his 2 years in Arizona.
Big red flag to any potential new teams next year.
Posted by: cascando | April 10, 2008 at 10:54 AM
dbacks2007, did you seriously make like 8 posts in 20 minutes? Thats impressive I didn't know someone ever had so much to say about something so unexciting. And you say yall like 800 times, who the hell are you talking about?
"Hudson isn't even in the same category as B. Phillips."
But this is just wrong. Phillips is a stud with the bat who brings power and speed, and is a good fielder. But Hudson is an equally as good hitter who is just slower and has less power, but somewhat makes up for it with better plate discipline. When you add in that he's arguably the best defensive second baseman in baseball, you have to admit that Hudson is a top second baseman.
I would consider Utley the completely obvious #1 2B, but behind him there is a pretty big group of guys where no one stands out. Phillips, Cano, Hudson, Roberts, Hill, Kinsler, Uggla, Ellis, Kendrick, Weeks, Kent, Kelly Johnson, Cabrera and Polanco are all very good second baseman, but none of them is clearly far and away better than any other one. The guys with the bigger bats (Cano, Uggla, Kent, Weeks) aren't as good with the glove as guys like Ellis, Hill, Cabrera and Polanco.
Posted by: scribbletone | April 10, 2008 at 04:38 PM
Cascando, you cant use OPS when observing leadoff and number2 hitters. Hudson has been moved down to #3 but he should be hitting 2nd. To be honest OPS should only be viewed in relation to OPS against the pitcher. Orlando has yet to strike out this season, that is a major indicator as far as im concerned.
Posted by: dbacks2007 | April 10, 2008 at 08:29 PM
"To be honest OPS should only be viewed in relation to OPS against the pitcher. Orlando has yet to strike out this season, that is a major indicator as far as im concerned."
What the hell are you talking about? You say that OPS, a very helpful stat in determining the offensive production of players, is essentially meaningless. Then you harp about how because Hudson has yet to strikeout, therefore he's playing well. Strikeouts mean nothing, they mean the same as a laser to the warning track that gets caught. If Hudson had a 1000 OPS, but struck out 180 times, you'd get rid of him, but you'd lock him in long term if he had a 600 OPS but struck out like 30 times?
If you honestly believe that strikeouts are a better indicator than OPS, then you simply should NEVER EVER EVER use statistics to back up your arguments. Because you have no idea how to use them.
Posted by: scribbletone | April 10, 2008 at 09:11 PM
Orlando is in the same league as Phillips offensively. They are different types of players and OPS isn't the only stat used to evaluate players. K's are a terrible stat to use. OPS+ is a better stat since it attempts to neatralize the various ballpark factor, but no one stat is perfect. Hudson in AZ has a 102 and 106 OPS+, Phillips has a 105 OPS+ last season. Other stuff I like about Hudson offensively is his .365 OBP the last 2 years, some power/speed, and nearly a 1:1 K:BB ratio (good plate discipline). But on the flip side Phillips does still have some time to improve since he's young.
I think he'll be in the 8-12M/yr range, but it doesn't hurt to ask for more and then negotiate down. And in his case since he's actually good (unlike Lohse for example) teams will still contact him.
Posted by: kab21 | April 10, 2008 at 10:32 PM
Scribbletone, this is not your own personal forum despite the fact that you spend your whole life posting on here. I havent been on this site in two months and you are the same creepy angry little child you were two months ago when you said the SAME EXACT THING ABOUT MY JASON KENDALL COMMENTS and now Kendall once again went 2-3 today and is still leading the whole entire professional major leagues in batting average. You all laughed when I said how good he was still, and how he will be a league leader in p/pa and will have a high batting average, that he rarely strikes out and makes contact and Hudson and Kendall are actually very similar hitters they always produce a good at bat and dont strike out much. We are 1/18th through the season and Kendall is hitting .540. Orlando hasnt struck out so thats going to be an average of about 20 strikeouts on the season which pretty much puts him elite status. Strikeouts are a great indicator if you understand baseball because a players main purpose at the plate is to produce a good at bat. If a player always puts the ball in play that means that pitchers arent getting the best of him and it is likely that he is going to start getting alot of hits very soon. Another stat is his p/pa is probably at least very respectable because hes putting wood on the ball. So yes strikeouts, or a lack thereof , is a great indicator of near term production. OPS is overrated , I have said it over and over and will continue to. Players like Kendall and Hudson cannot be evaluated based on OPS , OPS is for people who draw a ton of walks and if they are reaching base its usually either an extra base hit or a walk. If someone doesnt have a high OPS they can still be good because you need to look at their p/pa and basically just look at the number of runs they are producing. Guys at the top of the order get the most ab in a game, common knowledge so therefore you put your players who have the best p/pa at the top. That stat is always led by cleanup hitters and top of the order hitters. Now scribbletone should I go back and copy and paste all the trash you talked about Kendall two months ago when you said he was done?
Posted by: dbacks2007 | April 11, 2008 at 02:20 AM
scribbletone, jrfukudome,
arodsucksatlife, aduncaroo. You all need to eat your words regarding Kendall. And trust me if you talk trash about Orlando Hudson you will also be eating your words. You all need to stop looking at offensive producion in terms of OPS. Baseball is not HR derby.
Posted by: dbacks2007 | April 11, 2008 at 02:25 AM
kab21 is a very informed blogger. He should post more and scribbletone should post less.
Scribbletone just says "what the hell are you talking about" like hes on his own private website or something. You need to keep your rude comments to yourself or go get your own website to say things like that on.
Posted by: dbacks2007 | April 11, 2008 at 02:31 AM
dbacks you're pretty full of yourself aren't you? lmao.
Hey Tim, why do you think the Cubs will be in the market for a 2b? Granted the whole Roberts fiasco, but that was more because he was a lead off guy than anything. Your thoughts?
Posted by: Jay107 | April 11, 2008 at 06:24 AM
And Kendall will have streaks where he hits well and hits like a sucker. His defense is mediocre. There's a reason that in the playoff stretch for the Cubs he was benched for a rookie with better plate production and better defensive skills. There's a reason he was benched in the playoffs.
He may have a .900 ops right now or whatever, but he will come back to earth.
Just like Steve Stone always said... "Todd Walker is hitting .415 into the month of May, he is a career .300 hitter, he'll be that at the end of the season." meaning all established players will come back to earth with what they've done............
Posted by: Jay107 | April 11, 2008 at 06:27 AM
Actually I'm a far more informed blogger than you, dbacks2007, because I don't come on this site and just make dumb claims and predictions, I actually analyze and think about the relevant post and comments people make on it. I'm just arguing your points, which is pretty much the point of these comments. To discuss baseball and such. I simply believe that your beliefs in how to use statistics are extremely wrong, and that you're misusing them to make incorrect decisions on players. You can have your own opinions on players, but to come on a post about O-Hud and go on and on about how great Jason Kendall is after 10 stupid games and talk about how incredible you are for calling it, is simply immature.
And yes, strikeouts are meaningless. Obviously you want to strikeout less, but you can have good at bats and still strikeout a lot. Look at Ryan Howard, the guy walks a ton and has great plate discipline, but strikeouts in massive amounts. Would you consider him a bad offensive player? You need to put it into perspective and realize the point of hitting is NOT having a good at bat, but rather it is to GET ON BASE. The point is to score runs, and to do that you need to get on base. OPS isn't the end all be all of offensive statistics, but it is a good quick reference of how good a player is. Yes, WARP is a better stat, but OPS is easy to access and is a solid stat. And any player can be judged by OPS, because otherwise you'd be saying that certain players don't need to get on base and get extra base hits, because they can have value otherwise. But thats simply untrue. I'm not trying to bash you or anything, even though you just ripped me apart, I'm just trying to have an argument with you, and I choose to use some phrases to emphasize my points and such. I wish you would appreciate what other people say, rather than just trying to constantly bring up the times when you were right and the majority was wrong. Especially after ten games.
And the fact that you can't tolerate a phrase like "what the hell" simply doesn't bode very well for you in this vulgar world we live in.
Posted by: scribbletone | April 11, 2008 at 08:32 AM
Congrats to you on being a vulgar person. Im sure Tim can consider you an asset to his website.
Let me ask you a question, when the game is being played in real time do you think anybody in the dugout is concerned about WARP and OPS?
NOOOOOOOO!!!!!
The game is about being clutch and that starts with Defense and the teams who sign Orlando and Kendall are very pleased with them from that standpoint so you can take your WARP and OPS and go crawl up into your Baseball Prospectus. Youll never be a member of a front office. Youll be sitting on MLBTR.com posting all day long. In three days ill get burnt out from this and move on to something else and come back in a month and youll still be posting on here all day long. You keep backing up your arguments trying to play both sides of the coin, theres an inverse way to look at every stat and you keep using both ways trying to argue the other when they are not related. I am not talking about Ryan Howard striking out 130 times. Im talking about the lack of strikeouts of a contact hitter at the top of the order. Do you realize that? Youre a kindergartner looking at the back of a baseball card. Of course you can find a way to argue me when your using both sides of the statistic. Youre like a little fat kid. Its so annoying.
Posted by: dbacks2007 | April 11, 2008 at 09:00 AM
Who the heck is O-Hud? Ive never heard that before , you live in your own world.
And 10 stupid games? What is that?
The season is 1/15th the way over after tonight or tomorrow. Youre so involved in yourself and your stupid nicknames of players that dont exist (O-Hud) that you dont realize that the world is passing you by in real time.
Posted by: dbacks2007 | April 11, 2008 at 09:03 AM
I came on this site for the first time in February and my first post was how Kendall should hit second and this guy and the Aduncaroos and Arodsucksatlife and maximumpotential ,jrfukudome, they all laughed and and told me how I dont know anything about baseball like this was their own private site for Cubs fans. That just because "kendall got benched by a rookie" last year means hes finished. You dont realize that means absolutely nothing. He simply did not belong on the Cubs. WHat are you trying to say that its his fault the Cubs go crushed by the DBacks? Id say it was Ted Lillys fault and all the HR he gives up.
So now look 1/16th of the way through the season Kendall is hitting .550 and has the best batting average in baseball so I think I probably have a bit more knowledge than all you Cubs fans who think that if a player doesnt produce for the Cubs then he sucks. Well Mark Grace had to leave Chicago to win a World Series. Andre Dawson should have done the same thing.
Posted by: dbacks2007 | April 11, 2008 at 09:09 AM
Here look I will prove how immature you are as a baseball person this is your quote from just now.....
"And yes, strikeouts are meaningless. Obviously you want to strikeout less, but you can have good at bats and still strikeout a lot. Look at Ryan Howard, the guy walks a ton and has great plate discipline, but strikeouts in massive amounts. Would you consider him a bad offensive player?"
Thats your response to me stating the leadoff capabilities of Hudson and Kendall since this post is about the value of Hudson and throwing your Kendall Sucks stuff back at you, so its all very relevant. But, anyway. That quote of yours is so stupid because it proves that you look at every hitter in the same exact way , batters 1-9. And that proves thatyou dont know anything about baseball you just know that HR is good and no HR is bad. High OPS good, low OPS bad. Go back to watching Hockey and Football and the NCAA tournament.
Posted by: dbacks2007 | April 11, 2008 at 09:14 AM
"Let me ask you a question, when the game is being played in real time do you think anybody in the dugout is concerned about WARP and OPS?"
Actually yes, many managers say they look at all those stats as well as go with their gut.
Posted by: Jay107 | April 11, 2008 at 09:22 AM
well I'm only 16 and I don't like baseball enough that i'd be in a front office. I have better things to do but when I'm not at school or getting high I prefer to sit on this site and discuss baseball.
And I realize that having guys that don't strikeout a lot is key at the top of the order, but just because a guy doesn't strike out doesn't make him a good top of the order hitter.
And the reason that Kendall is finished is because Kendalls OPS+ the last three years have been 79, 88, and 63. Thats terrible. 100 is considered average. I don't care how many pitches he takes or any of that. If your OPS+ is 63 you don't belong at the top of a batting order. He's been below average for an extending period time, but because he's played well for 10 games, that completely offsets the last 3 years?
And at no point did I reference HR, RBI or strikeouts, which are essentially counting statistics that show little about how effective a hitter is. I expect a good OBP and at least decent speed from top of the order hitters, and good power and plate discipline from the middle of the order. You're simply oversimplifying everything I say in order to benefit your argument.
And WARP includes defense in its measurements, by the way.
And must you constantly bash me personally, claiming that I am dumb and immature and such. Your needless tolchocking of who I am as a person is a waste of your time, because you don't know who I am, and youre basing it off of comments on a baseball blog. Can you please be more respectful and simply argue what I say instead, thanks.
Posted by: scribbletone | April 11, 2008 at 12:46 PM