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You can view today's draft picks and live blog here. Also you can see the top 30 with Keith Law's analysis here.
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Thank you Houston for taking Jason Castro. I was dreading the Mets taking him.
Posted by: nrmax88 | June 05, 2008 at 02:07 PM
I read a comment from a guy named Jacob that talked about it not being fair that signability be a factor and "isn't there something we can do about it"
Well there is and that's leave it alone, it's like our eco-system, don't mess with it and there's all an ebb and flow to all things... Sure you miss out on players now, but it also causes a lot less premier players to sign with the Scott Boras' of the world because they don't want to be taken late in the round.
Honestly, do you really want a guy that would sign with Boras anyways?! I mean sure he still has a good number of players, but I'd be surprised if Scott Boras has more than 50 clients in 10 years. Right now he's got hundreds if not thousands and that number is becoming less and less.
Technically a 1st round player is a 1st round player and someone on her posted the numbers and routinely ONLY the 1st overall pick is likely to be successful out of the top 10, it's less than 50% success rate for the 2-9 players.
Whether injuries or performance issues, most players never reach their potential. It's all about the farm system and the way the team developes the talent. Some teams are focused on what's best for the player, others are worried most about the team.
High pitch counts does two things it weeds out the weak arms and it points out the players most likely to succeed for a full-season. While it's bad for most baseball players to be on a team that graduates their players to the next level to quickly and puts too much demands on the body, it's great for the team because they never waste their time with dead weight on the MLB roster.
Point being that you can't screw with the system, we left the free agency alone and eventually teams started buying out their players and now you are seeing more and more players stay with one team for a long period of time. They took agents out of the equation by eliminating free agency. Be patient and baseball's economics and parity will be the best it's been in almost a century... Probably as soon as 2010-2020.
Posted by: BaseballGuru | June 05, 2008 at 07:30 PM
dude, Castro would have been gone before the Mets picked regardless. There's a huge gap between him and the next tier of catchers....btw, do the Mets even have any catching prospects?
Posted by: Darin | June 05, 2008 at 07:33 PM
Those numbers also date back before economics was a HUGE factor, like the early 90s when KC was a good team and there was really no onus put on big market or little market franchises. The other thing is that #1 players are also only a little more than 50% success rate. Players like Ben MacDonald who was drafted in 1990 I think by Baltimore became a nobody, other 1st round picks have made it to the majors and been unremarkable at best.
Most of the good players that make it to the majors it seems come from the 2nd and 3rd rounds or even later... The Mariners have done well the last three years it seems, we can't say for sure, but Clement and Aumont look great and Morrow has been awesome! In general, most of their players are much later round picks... Ibanez 27th round I believe; Putz 7th round; Jeremy Reed, Jarrod Washburn and Arthur Rhodes 2nd rounders; Sean Green 12th round; Mark Lowe 5th round; Feierabend 3rd round; Bedard & O'Flaherty 6th round; Jamie Burke 9th round; Felix, Silva, Beltre, Lopez, Betancourt, Ichiro, Balentien, Batista, Rowland-Smith, Johjima, were all international free agents...
The point being that Aumont looks AMAZING right now, but he's still a ways away from proving himself on the major league level and Clement still has some work to do to warrant the 1st round selection, but there are VERY few impact players that are taken in the 1st round.
Everyones' focus is on Alex and Griffey as 1st rounders, but everyone forgets about Jose Cruz Jr. who never became anything close to what he was supposed to be, Ryan Christianson (catcher of the future), Ryan Anderson (little unit), Roger Salkeld, Marc Newfield, and the list goes on of crash and burn 1st rounders and all teams have them... It's a crapshoot no matter what you do, so just home you have a good farm system and don't worry about whether you get the 5th or 15th or 25th best player in the draft, chances are the real draft doesn't start until the 2nd round anyways!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | June 05, 2008 at 07:50 PM
home you have a good farm system = hope you have a good farm system
Posted by: BaseballGuru | June 05, 2008 at 07:52 PM
"Technically a 1st round player is a 1st round player and someone on her posted the numbers and routinely ONLY the 1st overall pick is likely to be successful out of the top 10, it's less than 50% success rate for the 2-9 players." - "guru"
I'd really love to see where "guru" gets his numbers. ONLY the top pick? 2 words 2005 Draft. I think 7 or 8 of them are in the Majors right now.
BTW "guru" Your Mariners didn't draft Jeremy Reed you acquired him in the freddy garcia deal with the ChiSox. + He wasn't late round he was a 2nd round pick.
Posted by: AriGoldisaG | June 05, 2008 at 08:07 PM
"routinely ONLY the 1st overall pick is likely to be successful out of the top 10, it's less than 50% success rate for the 2-9 players."
Did you know that 75% of all statistics are made up on the spot?
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | June 05, 2008 at 09:11 PM
Actually its only 16% of stats are made up? 75% of stats are false
Posted by: Barroid_Bonds | June 05, 2008 at 09:22 PM
"dude, Castro would have been gone before the Mets picked regardless. There's a huge gap between him and the next tier of catchers....btw, do the Mets even have any catching prospects?"
Dont be mad at me because your team took a massive reach for an overated C prospect that is "close to ML ready" when the Astros already have a pretty good rookie catcher back there and they dont need an overated catcher who is "close to ML Ready".
Posted by: nrmax88 | June 06, 2008 at 05:33 PM