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By Tim Dierkes [June 30, 2008 at 11:13am CST]
The Padres have lost eight in a row, slipping to 9.5 games out in the NL West. CEO Sandy Alderson says "it's probably easier to see us as sellers at this point." He added that they could still look to buy if the Padres can creep up to 6.5 games out by the break (which begins July 14th). Here's another look at the team's top trade chips:
- Tim Sullivan says southpaw starter Randy Wolf is "almost certainly gone." Wolf was having a very similar season in '07 but was done by July 3rd. Aside from health concerns, Wolf has a 14-team no-trade clause that includes many Midwest clubs. The Phillies, Yankees, or Mets could make sense.
- Greg Maddux isn't talking much about whether he'd waive his no-trade clause. Fans have speculated he could go back to Atlanta or Chicago.
- Brian Giles wants to stay in San Diego, and can veto trades to eight teams. He also gets a salary boost if traded. Would Oakland be a fit?
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I still think Maddux to the Braves makes a lot of sense. They get an innings eater that will come pretty cheap. They could save ther best prospects to add a LF bat like Nady or Bay.
Posted by: Joe | June 30, 2008 at 11:34 AM
How about a trade with Minnesota? Do they have any interest at all in an innings eating, back of the rotation Livan Hernandez?
Posted by: Andersklasen | June 30, 2008 at 12:25 PM
Giles would be interesting, though the question would be if the Padres would cover some salary or not in this situation, and if Giles would leave SD if it meant staying in California (Albe it Northern California)
Posted by: Zonis | June 30, 2008 at 12:27 PM
The A's going after Giles would make no sense! The A's already have too many outfielders.
The A's need an impact bat like Bay or Holliday, not and old veteran like Giles.
Posted by: green_and_gold | June 30, 2008 at 12:38 PM
I think you could include several other trade chips in the short list that was presented.
Michael Barrett, Tad Iguchi, Tony Clark, Kevin Kouzmanoff, Khalil Greene are all parts that could be traded.
I think the Brewers would match up well in their quest for a starter...maybe AA shortstop Alcides Escobar for Wolf...
Moving Maddux to the Braves or Cubs makes sense, the rest of the cast offs this team has as trade chips will bring mid-level prospects at best.
It cannot get any worse as a Pads fan, there is no reason to hold on to players that are getting old, and have limited value. Trade what you can now, and take what the market will bear.
Posted by: SanDiegoGuy | June 30, 2008 at 12:54 PM
Just wanted to focus on the top trade chips in this post as noted. I did a full look a couple weeks ago I think.
Giles may not be the fan's "impact bat" but he'd have a comparable impact to Bay or Holliday for a much lower price.
Too many outfielders doesn't matter much when the team's RFs have compiled a .652 OPS.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | June 30, 2008 at 01:13 PM
Don't forget about Hoffman. He's in the last year of his contract, and Heath Bell is completely capable of closing.
Posted by: moebarguy | June 30, 2008 at 01:40 PM
I think Brandon Jones+lower lvl prospect to SD for Giles might work. Atlanta would get the LF bat they want (along with some OBP), SD gets a ML-ready prospect and someone else. Sliding Giles into the #2 hole behind Kelley Johnson allows Escobar to drop down to 6th behind McCann.
Or, there's the possibility of Jordan Schafer+Brandon Jones to SD for Giles+Maddux.
Posted by: FineHamAbounds | June 30, 2008 at 02:31 PM
1. Maddux to Milwaukee???
- We need a veteran guy that knows how to win in the postseason.
- If we do trade for maddux, theres no way in hell that we would trade alcides escobar. There is no way that maddux is that valuable.
- Greg Maddux for TONY GWYNN JR.
Posted by: glover28 | June 30, 2008 at 02:44 PM
"Or, there's the possibility of Jordan Schafer+Brandon Jones to SD for Giles+Maddux"
Yes, please.
Posted by: fnpadre | June 30, 2008 at 03:08 PM
I think the padres are in an interesting position.
They know they have the pitching to be a good team when they are healthy. So looking towards next year is a possibility.
They also are in an odd position in that the most valuable players they have to trade are also their higher paid/older players, which is great for them.
We all know Towers is good at getting rid of old talent and finding gems. I think that at this point the padres should seriously consider trading:
Giles, Maddux, Barrett, Kouz, Greene, Wolf, and Clark.
All have value and we could use the extra salary dumped out by these trades to grab some free agents next year.
Maddux or wolf to the yanks makes sense at the major league level but I just don't see where it fits for the padres in terms of who they will recieve in return.
The Padres should be able to demand major league ready prosepects for maddux,giles, wolf, and possibly even barrett. I would imagine that Tony clark will be packages with a wolf or maddux and giles would be traded seperately.
I just don't see where greene would go, I'm hoping padres ship him out too but it looks tough.
I think iguchi or E. gonzalez would do fine at 3rd for the remainder of the season and possibly next year if we do find the right team for the kouz.
I wouldn't mind to see the padres get tony gwynn jr... but i dont think its enough for maddux.
This is why July is so fun!
Posted by: BobUecker | June 30, 2008 at 03:48 PM
"The A's need an impact bat like Bay or Holliday, not and old veteran like Giles."
Giles will make very close to the impact the other two would and would cost significantly less.
"I wouldn't mind to see the padres get tony gwynn jr... but i dont think its enough for maddux."
Think about this logically. Maddux is a 42 year old number 3-4 starter with a sizeable price tag, assuming no salary relief from the Friars. He is not the hyper-dominant ace he was 7-10 years ago and prior. Meanwhile, Gwynn Jr. is buried in MKE and has a lot to offer the Padres as his style fits that park and the obvious family connection.
"Don't forget about Hoffman. He's in the last year of his contract, and Heath Bell is completely capable of closing."
Is he though? The guy has had 2 good years and it is yet to be determined whether Bell would be able to stand up to the heat of the closer role.
Posted by: AA | June 30, 2008 at 04:09 PM
IMO Tony Gwynn Jr. ought to be more than enough for Maddux.
The Cubs would've been thrilled to get that much for Maddux two years ago.
Instead they got a lump of coal (Cesar Izturis).
Posted by: davearm | June 30, 2008 at 05:00 PM
Exactly what part of Gwynn's career sub.-700 minor league OPS makes him "more than enough" for Maddux?
Posted by: fnpadre | June 30, 2008 at 05:25 PM
"Exactly what part of Gwynn's career sub.-700 minor league OPS makes him "more than enough" for Maddux?"
The 25 year old, 235 career at-bats part. Seriously, how much do you think Maddux is worth? If you and I were both running major league teams would you trade me your best prospects every year for 42 year old pitchers? The guys is an all time great first ballot HOF'er, but as a player he's not worth a whole lot right now. Adjust your expectations accordingly.
Posted by: pageian | June 30, 2008 at 05:51 PM
The Padres should look for offers for Chris Young. His ERA away from the pitcher-friendly Petco Park this year is 6.58 and that's no fluke. Last year it was 4.50 away from home. He's a flyball pitcher. There are teams out there who would drool over his ERA and it would definitely help them replenish their farm system by shopping him.
Posted by: Wake's Knuckles | June 30, 2008 at 07:39 PM
I agree with everyone that agreed with me about Tony Gwynn Jr.
Posted by: glover28 | June 30, 2008 at 07:50 PM
As a Cubs fan I really don't want them to trade for maddux. He's having a good year but his ERA is 2.45 at home and 4.75 on the road so Petco is definitely helping. I'd rather use a combination of marquis/hill than give up anything for maddux. of course I'd like to see the cubs go after burnett/harden/sabathia but I don't see Maddux as that big of a step up over what he have at this point in his career. that being said he's one of my favorite cubs of all time.
Posted by: John Difford | June 30, 2008 at 08:12 PM
Tony Gwynn Jr. plays just a tad like Chris Gwynn Jr. would play.
Posted by: coryjwilson | June 30, 2008 at 11:07 PM
the proposed maddux for gwynn trade makes perfect sense. gwynn goes to san diego where his dad played and where outfielders r needed, maddux goes to milwaukee for veteran presence to work with his brother the pitching coach. it must be done.
Posted by: Joelcards | July 01, 2008 at 02:04 AM
Tony Gwtynn Jr. is a 4th OF. Is that what the Pads want for Maddux?
Posted by: FineHamAbounds | July 01, 2008 at 06:47 AM
MADDUX: bottom line is padres need to get youth and lose the old guys.
What i think would be an interesting trade for MADDUX would be....
PADRES-
MADDUX, ChIP AMBRES (AVG:.290 HR:16 RBI:62), and CLAY HENSLEY
-FOR-
BRAVES-
JASON HEYWARD
...... HEYWARD is an amazing athlete and would help the padres out in the outfield when he is ready for the big leagues, the braves would get a 2 pitchers and a outfielder capable of playing at the big league level and helping the braves out.....?
Posted by: padre23 | July 05, 2008 at 04:39 AM
As the biggest fan ever, it's time to sell, couple of ideas-
Maddux/Clark to MWK for Gywnn/Branyan
Wolf to CHC for Cedeno
Kooz/Meredith to PIT for Bay
Giles/Iguchi to Angels for Rivera and Figgins or Willits
Barrett for anything!!
After all this your lineup-
Gywnn cf
cedeno ss
Gonzalez 1b
Bay lf
Rivera rf
Headley 3b
Gonzalez 2b
Hundley c
Try to trade Greene, use Gerut as your 4th OF.
Your staff
Peavy
Young
Towers
Baek
Estes/Hensley
Posted by: padrefan63 | July 07, 2008 at 02:04 PM
There's no sense in stating specific trade scenarios of player X for player Y because you simply don't know what GMs want. However I think its valid to discuss the needs of the team and who should go and who should stay.
padrefan63 has a few ok suggestions, but I think its not realistic at all.
Who should go: Maddux, Wolf, Kouzmanoff, Iguchi, Green, Barrett, Tony Clark (if someone is looking for a PH/DH and is willing to give up a Single A prospect), Scott Hairston, Brian Myrow (because as long as Adrian is here he has no shot)
Who should stay and why: Giles, every team needs heart and character and a clubhouse leader and I think he can be a productive .300 hitter for a few more years. How many other .300 hitters do we have?
Gonzalez boys, if both of them haven't cemented their position on the team I don't know what Towers is thinking. Adrian is obvious, but Edgar with a little work on his defense in the offseason appears serviceable at the least. Again, how many .300 hitters do we have?!
Gerut, this is his first full season back from devastating injury. He has shown he can cover CF VERY well and is hitting .280. If his power ever showed up again, he'd be a great addition. We should give him some time, even if its just as a 4th OF in the future.
Chase Headley, everyone keeps saying he's going to be a monster. I'm worried about his BA and his popensity to overswing and K. He is an average defender at best in the OF and at 3B. I hope he develops this season while the losing is going on.
What we need to get in return for any trades: at least one MLB ready OF (doesn't matter which position), a SS that could supplant Green if traded, AA or AAA infielders.
Who should get a shot after the trade deadline: Chip Ambres (if he's not traded), Nick Hundley, Josh Geer, Will Inman, Steve Garrison.
If Wolf and Maddux are traded there are gaping holes in the rotation until Young and Estes are ready to come back. Throw those three into the mix just to see how it goes.
I too, would like to see Tony Gwynn Jr. be a Padre, although I don't know what kind of impact he'd have here. I'd love to see him play here, he'd be loved for sure and he might get some good coaching from dear old Dad on a more routine basis. He's not going to hit .330 like his Dad or provide power like we need, but if he can steal bases I'd love to see that.
Another intersting trade would be for Adam Dunn of the Reds. This guy is an enigma. Many don't like his attitude (he's not a problem player, some label him apathetic) but from all accounts, none of the assessments are true. For a team with no power hitters outside of Gonzalez, Dunn would put 40 HR back in the lineup, even in Petco. He's not good defensively so having a GREAT CFer would be essential (Gwynn, Jr? Gerut? Torri Hunter? Ambres? Venable?). The Reds might be OK with a Kouzmanoff for Dunn deal straight up. Think about that one for a moment KT.
If Green is dealt, Christian Guzman (Nats) or Ronny Cedeno (Cubs) would be possibilities. Guzman is a known commodity with respectible defense and a solid bat (historically).
Many Pads fans would like to see Jason Bay return and I think the Padres should consider a blockbuster with the Bucs. Jack Wilson and Jason Bay are on the block and would fit nicely in the Padres plans for '09 (although neither is young talent any more but not old by any stretch). Pads would have to give up top end minor league talent for them. Green and Garrison to the Bucs? Green, Myrow, Ambres and Geer? Something to consider.
DW
Posted by: bluecoat | July 07, 2008 at 08:38 PM
OH one other thing...I know this is kind of like saying I'd like to start a Nazi rally in Harlem, but I think Heath Bell should get a few shots at being closer after July 31. Trevor simply isn't the door slam that he used to be and I think Bell would love the shot. He's got that combination of Goose Gossage and Rod Beck with better stuff. I think he'd be a great closer.
DW
Posted by: bluecoat | July 07, 2008 at 08:45 PM