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By Cork Gaines [July 25, 2008 at 1:33pm CST]
Some random links as we head toward the trade deadline, from the Blogosphere...
- One writer at Bugs and Cranks thinks that the Rockies should not lower their demand for Brian Fuentes and feels that the Cardinals are the most likely team to land the closer.
- UmpBump wants the Rockies to keep Matt Holliday and would prefer moving Garrett Atkins, allowing Ian Stewart to play third.
- Meanwhile, another writer at Bugs and Cranks wants the Cardinals to pass on Matt Holliday and Jason Bay, but think St. Louis should go after George Sherrill and/or Fuentes.
- Outs Per Swing does not feel that the Rays need to add a player like Xavier Nady, but they are also skeptical that Rocco Baldelli can be the right-handed bat the team needs.
- MetsBlog does not see the Mets landing George Sherrill or Huston Street, noting the O's are asking for too much and the Mets will not meet the A's demands. MetsBlog also feels the Mets have more obvious holes than relief pitcher.
- River Ave. Blues says the recent success of Ian Kennedy in Triple A has given the Yankees a very big chip in the trade market.
- Drunk Jays Fans says Roy Halladay will not be traded, despite recent reports that the Jays were secretly shopping him.
Cork Gaines writes for RaysIndex and can be reached here.
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It should be clear to anybody and everybody that in the Mets situation as currently contructed, they need a corner OF so much more then a relief pitcher. The Mets bullpen is fine. This is maddening to see everyday, if they spend their last trade pieces on a bullpen arm I will be pissed.
Posted by: nrmax88 | July 25, 2008 at 01:37 PM
So will the Cards surrender Colby Rasmus for Fuentes? I mean the Rockies wanted Buchholz from the Sox, Niese from the Mets and now they might not lower their demands?
What the hell...
Posted by: Meoveryouok | July 25, 2008 at 01:38 PM
Couple things here.
One, hasn't Holliday already said that if Atkins goes, the Rockies have no chance of resigning him because of their close relationship?
Two, while Baldelli seems like a good guy and supremely talented, I was just reading an article on ESPN.com where Baldelli himself questioned his ability to ever play again.
Posted by: AA | July 25, 2008 at 01:39 PM
"River Ave. Blues says the recent success of Ian Kennedy in Triple A has given the Yankees a very big chip in the trade market."
No it hasn't. We saw this same thing last year.
Unless by big you mean valuable enough to land Washburn.
Posted by: Meoveryouok | July 25, 2008 at 01:39 PM
I'm constantly amazed (and bewildered) by comments that the Orioles are asking too much for George Sherrill. Not only is he pitching well now, but he's under inexpensive contract for several years. Why should the Orioles trade him for somebody the other team doesn't care about giving up? If he's worth so little, why does the other team want him?
Posted by: Playwright | July 25, 2008 at 01:42 PM
Some one find Sherrill's monthly stats.
IIRC he was trending downward for sometime. Posting a near 800 ops against righties and on the wrong side of 30.
Not to mention he's never saved this many games before, on pace to pitch more innings than he did anytime recently and a reliever, which obviously comes with it's own problems.
Teams aren't biting because you'd have to suffer from brain damage to offer top prospects for a LOOGY having a career year.
Posted by: Meoveryouok | July 25, 2008 at 01:46 PM
"I'm constantly amazed (and bewildered) by comments that the Orioles are asking too much for George Sherrill. Not only is he pitching well now, but he's under inexpensive contract for several years. Why should the Orioles trade him for somebody the other team doesn't care about giving up? If he's worth so little, why does the other team want him?"
He's a closer with a 3.80 ERA. Pass.
He'd be the 6th best reliever in the Yankees' pen.
Posted by: V | July 25, 2008 at 01:51 PM
I grow tired at hearing that the prices are too high for these players teams are chasing. What is a run at the championship worth? Most of the rumors I hear are for prospects and every fan makes it seem like their prospects are future HOF's. Maybe they will be, then again, maybe they won't. I fail to see how you can value an unproven prospect over a proven commodity. If you don't want to trade away a quality "prospect" for a quality vet, more power to ya. Quit your whining just cause you can't get what you want at the price you want.
Posted by: enchinga | July 25, 2008 at 01:52 PM
You will be the one whining when the Pirates hold on to Nady and he falls back down to a .270/330/450 hitter and you couldn't get anything for him, and the Pirates are doomed to eternal suckitude. Oh wait, that Pirates have already sucked forever. And nothing looks to be changing soon. Jason Bay is a star, Xavier Nady is nothing resembling one. They will regret not moving him, like they regret every decision they make.
Posted by: nrmax88 | July 25, 2008 at 02:00 PM
I agree that the Rockies should not lower their price on Fuentes. Any return they get for him has to be greater than the two picks they will get when he leaves during the off season plus the two months of service he will give them. Also remember they are only 6 games out of the division lead, and they know all too well that anything can happen in the playoffs.
Posted by: mkorpal | July 25, 2008 at 02:03 PM
"Waaaaaa. They won't trade Nady for a bag of balls to us." I hope they hang on to Nady. Nady, Bay, and McLouth are a much better outfield than the Mets have. That's why the Mets are looking to make a move at that position. And that is also the reason they have asked about Nady. Good luck picking up someone else that can give you the same numbers that any one of the OF's on the Bucs is putting up this year. And if you do, lets see what their price tag will be...
Posted by: enchinga | July 25, 2008 at 02:04 PM
"I grow tired at hearing that the prices are too high for these players teams are chasing. What is a run at the championship worth? Most of the rumors I hear are for prospects and every fan makes it seem like their prospects are future HOF's. Maybe they will be, then again, maybe they won't. I fail to see how you can value an unproven prospect over a proven commodity. If you don't want to trade away a quality "prospect" for a quality vet, more power to ya. Quit your whining just cause you can't get what you want at the price you want."
That's funny, because I grow tired of people mashing the keyboard without thinking.
Do you understand the value of young cost-controlled talent, especially talent with high upside? You don't dump it for high-priced fickle relievers or outfielders having career years. It doesn't benefit your club in the long run, and people seem to forget that baseball is a business first.
Additionally, we're seeing impact arms like CC go for one top prospect, Harden didn't even bring back a "blue chipper" and yet the Rockies want a Buchholz type arm for Fuentes? That's laughable even if you're a Rockies fan.
I think if anything you're a fan of one of these teams and are understandably tired of seeing them suck.
Posted by: Meoveryouok | July 25, 2008 at 02:10 PM
Obviously it is a better outfield then the Mets have. Their 2 opening day corner OF's are hurt. Man, you are really on top of things Sherlock. I don't want Xavier Nady, at all. Met fans want him because he was a fan favorite back in the day, not because he is some star. He just isnt that good. It makes more sense to buy low on a similar player then to buy high on Nady. I will be pretty annoyed if the Mets pickup Nady.
Posted by: nrmax88 | July 25, 2008 at 02:14 PM
I think the Pirates end up blinking, and dealing Nady for a solid package of B-list talent. They are not served well keeping McCutchen in AAA, blocked by... Nady?
Posted by: V | July 25, 2008 at 02:22 PM
You're entitled to your evaluation of Sherrill's worth, and if you think he's worth so little, then, of course, you wouldn't give up much. I said as much before. If you think he's worth so little, don't go after him. But if he's worth going after, then he must be worth something. Don't constantly complain that the Orioles are asking too much. He's either worth something to you or not. If he's worth something to you, you evaluate how much. If you think he's not worth to you what the Orioles are asking, fine. But don't complain that the Orioles are asking too much. That they're asking more than you value him is not the same.
Posted by: Playwright | July 25, 2008 at 02:22 PM
What are you talking about? Who is CONSTANTLY complaining about the Orioles' demands?
The fact is, like every decent reliever, Sherril's price is exorbitantly high and simply not worth it. If the O's want to trade him you'd assume the price would have to come down.
Also, I'm not going after Sherrill. I don't work for any baseball teams...
Posted by: Meoveryouok | July 25, 2008 at 02:27 PM
Can't believe Atkins isn't drawing bigger Rumor interest anywhere.
With Ian Stewart crushing the ball lately and Helton due back soon, the Rox could find some solid return on Atkins.
The Twins for one have some solid young pitching available and could use the upgrade at 3rd desperately.
With Liriano back to his old self, the Twins could actually deal a young starter and still upgrade their rotation with the addition of Liriano.
Not sure what the Rockies are looking for in return for Atkins, but I'd have to guess its pitching.
Posted by: baxter4218 | July 25, 2008 at 02:37 PM
Meoveryouok- No s@$*! You DON'T work for any baseball team. The fact that those who DO, seem to value Sherrill might tell you something.
You can pick apart just about ANY player's stats and make him out to be worse than he is. To call Sherrill a LOOGY is simply ignorant. The fact remains that Sherrill WAS terrific for two season with the Mariners in a specialist role, then became a closer...a role in which he's flourished.
Regardless of what you think of the All Star selection process, only a moron would denigrate the performance of those few who make the team. Furthermore, Sherrill's stats are largely skewed by a rough patch toward the end of the first half...a rough patch he appears to have gotten through. If you need evidence of what he's capable of doing, take a look at the gutty performance he gave in the mid-season classic.
Does that make him worth X amount? Depends who you ask; what a team's needs are; how realistic said team's chances at a post-season berth are. So much of baseball comes down to timing. If you don't strike while the iron is hot, there's no guarantee you'll have that shot again any time soon.
Most of the major leaguers who DID NOT make the All Star team came up as top prospects. The bulk of them don't pan out. And, while youth is a prime commodity in today's baseball landscape, it cannot and will not, ever eclipse winning.
Posted by: milehigh78 | July 25, 2008 at 02:48 PM
"You're entitled to your evaluation of Sherrill's worth, and if you think he's worth so little, then, of course, you wouldn't give up much. I said as much before. If you think he's worth so little, don't go after him. But if he's worth going after, then he must be worth something. Don't constantly complain that the Orioles are asking too much. He's either worth something to you or not. If he's worth something to you, you evaluate how much. If you think he's not worth to you what the Orioles are asking, fine. But don't complain that the Orioles are asking too much. That they're asking more than you value him is not the same."
Huh? No. I wouldn't give up much. I wouldn't give up anything. I'M NOT A MAJOR LEAGUE GM.
I'm not complaining about the Orioles asking for 'too much'. I'm merely stating that they're stupid to do so.
Posted by: V | July 25, 2008 at 02:51 PM
a) Sherrill is more than a LOOGY. Raise your hand if you have actually WATCHED him pitch?
b) Sherrill is probably miscast as a closer. Better suited as a setup man. As he was used in Seattle. But the Orioles have nobody else to close, thus he was promoted.
c) 6th best pitcher in the Yankee pen? You are not just nuts, but funny in how crazy that statement is.
d) as per a trade. Do I think asking for Rasmus is too much to ask for? Yes. Is it wrong to ask? No. Do I think Pie and Cedeno is far too little? Yes. I'd probably laugh and hangup. Or hangup then laugh.
IF the Orioles trade Sherrill, it will be for pitching, a SS, a 3B, or a 1B.
I like Jess Todd from the Cardinals, but would need something more. Lowrie from the Red Sox is nice, but again, I'd need something more.
Hello? The Orioles keeping George Sherrill is not the end of the world. As it turns out, he isn't half bad.
Posted by: delaware_bird | July 25, 2008 at 03:00 PM
"Do you understand the value of young cost-controlled talent, especially talent with high upside? "
Yes, as a matter of fact I do. But as much upside as that talent has, it is still unproven. Most minor league talent will never see the light of day in the majors. But yet here you are touting said unproven talent like they were the second coming of Babe Ruth or Cy Young.
"Man, you are really on top of things Sherlock. I don't want Xavier Nady, at all."
I know that they are hurt, but it doesn't amount to a hill of beans. Minaya is the one who's been asking about Nady, not you. At this point I will trust that Minaya being a baseball GM has more sense than you and is trying to acquire a quality part for his team.
Posted by: enchinga | July 25, 2008 at 03:01 PM
One more thing. Perhaps you were alluding to Fuentes, but to call Sherrill a 'high-priced, fickle reliever' ignores both his past successes and his price tag, which is quite cheap and will likely remain reasonable as a consequence of long-term team control.
You speak of the long term...now THAT is fickle. Today's top prospect is tomorrow's bum while a Cy Young centerpiece like Chris Carpenter can dominate one year and fall prey to injury the next. THAT is why GMs justify taking a risk on 'exorbitantly' priced relievers or OF'ers having career years.
There are exceptions, of course, and I'd be the first to acknowledge that Sherrill is not worth, say, Colby Rasmus or David Price or some such star. However, what's unreasonable to you may ultimately prove palatable for a team taking its shot.
BTW- doesn't a player under a team's control for 4 or 5 years fit the concept of 'long term' planning? Just curious. After all, relievers aren't exactly old at 31. Just look at Todd Jones! (on second thought...don't; maybe 41 is pushing it)
Posted by: milehigh78 | July 25, 2008 at 03:02 PM
V-
'I'm not complaining about the Orioles asking for 'too much'. I'm merely stating that they're stupid to do so.'
Same difference. Would you prefer he said, 'I'm sick of people disparaging the O's for asking so much...'? It still sounds like a complaint to me.
And yes, we know you're not a MLB GM. But thanks for clearing that one up.
Joelcards- interesting to think about. What would you think were the O's to ask for Jess Todd, Pete Kozma (SS- more upside than Ryan), and Allen Craig?
Another thought- you say Rasmus is too much. I agree. What additions would the O's have to make for you to be OK with parting with the farm's gem?
Posted by: milehigh78 | July 25, 2008 at 03:10 PM
"You will be the one whining when the Pirates hold on to Nady and he falls back down to a .270/330/450 hitter and you couldn't get anything for him"
+1
"Obviously it is a better outfield then the Mets have. Their 2 opening day corner OF's are hurt."
So you're saying the Mets would have an outfield on par with the Pirates if Alou and Church were healthy, which is pretty ridiculous. Offensively: Bay > Alou. McLouth > Beltran. Church is a little better than Nady for his career, but Nady is a monster this year. Beltran's glove is the best, but Alou is a cripple in the field.
"Sherrill is probably miscast as a closer. Better suited as a setup man. As he was used in Seattle. But the Orioles have nobody else to close, thus he was promoted."
Agree. Setup man might be too high, but he's a solid reliever. I thought part of the reason they made him a closer was to try raise his value through a stupid stat that some people think is a measure of success.
"Do I think asking for Rasmus is too much to ask for? Yes. Is it wrong to ask? No."
It's not wrong to ask, but it's going to kill trade talks. It's like a car dealer asking for $40k on a used Carolla. Sure, it's a nice, reliable car, but why are you starting with a price that no one would ever pay? It's just bad negotiating.
"Do I think Pie and Cedeno is far too little? Yes. I'd probably laugh and hangup."
That's worth more than what Rauch got, right? Rauch is under control for the same number of years, younger, and is better than Sherrill. Guess the Rauch trade brings things back down to earth.
Posted by: Victor | July 25, 2008 at 03:29 PM
"Offensively: Bay > Alou"
Are you kidding?
You are talking theoretically if neither got hurt IF and that is a big if Alou could could stay healthy for a whole season he would put up monster numbers. Bay is only better because he can play more than 2 weeks at a time without getting hurt.
Posted by: willie randolph sucks | July 25, 2008 at 04:04 PM
That's your arguement? If he was healthy? Puh-leeeze, spare me that BS. There is no way in hell a washed up, ancient Alou is better than Bay at this point in their respective careers. No more kool-aid for you sir.
Posted by: enchinga | July 25, 2008 at 04:18 PM
LOL Moises Alou isnt even comparable to Jason Bay...and I mean not even close.
Maybe 4-5 yrs ago, but certainly not now.
In the last 5 seasons you can count the number of NL players that have put up better numbers than Bay on 1 hand. (Not counting the thumb either)
Now I will say that Nate McLouth, although having an incredible coming out party this season, probably is not a better production guy than Beltran. But we can even revist that a few yrs down the road if McLouth proves to the pirates that he is for real.
Fuentes, Sherril, and Marte are all over priced. to be honest, because of the contract length, I might even say Sherril is the most valuable of the 3. I dont think he is the best pitcher of the 3, but in terms of value...its Sherril as a no brainer.
But this time of year, we see contenders enter the market of supply and demand. Teams either need to payup or shutup.
There are teams out there right now with pieces that fit other teams puzzles. Is it more compelling to sleep at night knowing your triple A team is loaded? Or Perhaps falling asleep knowing you are World Series Contender this October.
Teams possibly cannot expect the best of both worlds. To get a proven asset, you're gonna have to part with a few unproven assets with good upside.
Teams like Colorado, Balitmore, and Pittsburgh don't need to have a fire sale to rescue the organization from financial turmoil. These teams obviously retain the right to ask for more in return than they would receive under normal circumstances. If teams don't want to pay...Heck go ahead and roll the dice...maybe your lineups are good enough right now. But good luck with that.
Posted by: Dempsey | July 25, 2008 at 04:44 PM
I'm sick of all this Baldelli crap. The Rays always think he'll be back next season, next season. And they never go out to get someone to replace him.
They did a good job this year by getting Floyd and Hinkse, but they are starting to slup.
They need a right fielder and they need one right now.
Posted by: Sal from Tampa | July 25, 2008 at 04:53 PM
First off, I don't know that I'd call Rauch better than Sherrill, although his peripherals are impressive. When it comes down to it, a closer has to...close. Rauch blew five saves in 22 chances; Sherrill's blown 6 in 35 opportunities. Nevertheless, a very strong case can be made for Rauch, so I won't fight you too hard on that.
What I will fight you on is the impact of the Rauch trade. In short- and I'm basing this not on my personal feelings, but on what I'm reading on this site and elsewhere- the Rauch trade has done nothing to change the market or the perception of value thereupon. More than anything, I think it once again proves Josh Byrnes as one of the better young baseball men around. The D'backs should be praised for the deal; the Nats chided. Then again, deadline foul-ups are nothing new to Jim Bowden.
Looking at Fuentes and Sherrill, as well as righthander Huston Street, it's clear that other sellers are not following Bowden's feeble lead. Certainly the price is high; maybe too high (it all comes down to whether a team is willing to pay it and how desperate a seller is to flip their closer), but McPhail isn't going to suddenly reverse course and make an ill advised deal with Chicago for what, at present, would appear to be less than what the market could bear? Not a chance.
As for a Rasmus asking price killing talks, I really haven't found that to be the case. Typically, teams tend to start high and work their way down. I think every GM knows the dance. Furthermore, as Joelcards explained, Sherrill COULD return a stud like Rasmus...just not on his own. Were the Birds to add on to it; perhaps including a Daniel Cabrera or maybe something along the lines of Nolan Reimold and Chorye Spoone... Add a little here, take a little there; it's all about being creative and finding what works for both sides.
Posted by: milehigh78 | July 25, 2008 at 04:56 PM
Joelcards-
For starter, no...I am not a Rockies fan. The nickname is an allusion to my last name (which I will not be revealing).
As far as the Sherrill/Cardinals talk...a couple of ideas.
In the 'Almost Certainly Not Going to Happen' department, I was thinking that a Sherrill/BRob pairing might make sense for St. Louis and might be workable from Baltimore's side if, for instance, Rasmus, Todd, and Kozma were included and St. Louis threw in some low minors talent with some promise as filler. That would be a pretty big step up from Adam Kennedy, I would think and adds a whole new dimension to the offense. Just a thought.
For Sherrill alone, I think the O's would ask for Todd; just a feeling. Other than Rasmus, he and Garcia look like the team's best bets prospect-wise.
Something in between, however, would be what I mentioned in my post above... I actually got myself pretty excited until I remembered that I'm not Andy McPhail nor have anything to do with the Orioles organization whatsoever. Still, it's fun to think about so... The Cardinals get Sherrill and either Daniel Cabrera or Reimold and Penn. Penn's been inconsistent, but the stuff is still there. Reimold gives you a Top 100 OF'er with big time power to replace Rasmus and you get Sherrill for this year's 'pen...and beyond. The Cards might have to include a low minors prospect or two in order to satisfy McPhail's lust for numbers, but hey- no one really special.
Any number of variations could work too. I'm sure McPhail might try to get Kozma in there too, since we're so obviously bereft of any shortstops...anywhere in the organization. Still, something along those lines might work, don't you think?
Posted by: milehigh78 | July 25, 2008 at 05:08 PM
Eric Chavez told reporters before tonight's game the he "feels he may be done for the season".
Are there any 3B on the market that the A's would be interested?
Posted by: jolstad | July 25, 2008 at 09:45 PM
I don't understand the fuss over Brian Fuentes at this point. I know he has been an all-star a few times in his career, but he has been somewhat inconsistent, especially after the meltdowns in Houston last year and losing a once-believed bulletproof closer role to Manny Corpas. Hell, the guy got chosen to the all-star team and lost his job in the same week! I think of Jon Rauch as an equal reliever, if not better, than Fuentes, and I don't think he is worth Colby Rasmus, Clay Buchholz, Jon Niese, Chris Volstad, or any of these other prospects that he's being associated with.
With that being said, I think the Rockies are playing serious hardball with Fuentes because they don't think they are out of it. Garrett Atkins would be on the trade block if they thought they were out of it, but after last year's run and the fact that Arizona and Los Angeles don't want to take over the division, Colorado shouldn't break up this team. In fact, I think they will win the NL West as soon as Jeff Francis gets back healthy, but that's just me. I think they feel like the ball is in their court because they could make a run with Fuentes if he stays, and I feel like it's within reason.
Posted by: MattyMets | July 26, 2008 at 12:09 AM
Joelcards, I would gladly give you Sherrill & Penn for Todd, Kozma, Reyes & Craig. I think most other O's fans would agree with me on that. I also think I have figured out the O's curse. We are one of the few teams without a player from the Far East (i.e. Japan & China). Call me crazy but I think its a jinx.
Posted by: dirttrackin50 | July 26, 2008 at 04:20 AM