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Odds and Ends: Delgado, Heilman, Teixeira, Alvarez

Time for today's linkage.

  • Geoff Baker tries to determine who "won" the Jose Vidro trade.
  • Ken Davidoff doesn't expect anyone of value to clear waivers.  We didn't have much August trade action last year either.  Some decent names were dealt in August of '06 though - David Wells, Shawn Green, Jamie Moyer, Livan Hernandez, Ryan Franklin, Eric Hinske, and Scott Schoeweneis.
  • The Mets can retain Carlos Delgado for '09 at essentially $8MM, since there's a hefty $4MM buyout on his $12MM option.  Back in May Delgado's agent said it was a $16MM option.  However, MetsBlog's Matthew Cerrone told me that is only the case with a top five MVP finish.
  • Joel Sherman wonders whether Aaron Heilman will be a non-tender candidate this winter.  Seems unlikely; he won't be that expensive.
  • Mark Teixeira's three favorite places to play are New York, Seattle, and Anaheim, for what it's worth.
  • Yahoo's Kevin Kaduk considers "Dr. James Andrews" the worst three words in baseball.  He also lists some other three-word contenders.
  • The Pirates will not "grossly exceed" the market to sign Pedro Alvarez.  They seem to be hoping Scott Boras will come down to the $4-6MM net present value range on August 15th.
  • The Nationals are thinking around $2.15MM for Aaron Crow.
  • RotoAuthority discusses trading injured players in fantasy leagues.


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Mets would be dumb to keep Delgado. Let's not forget from April 07 to June 08, he was awful.

aren't the marlins paying some of delgado contract so isn't it less than 8 mil

You have to wonder how bad Heilman can get until Mets fans admit that he is not valuable. He might be the worst set-up man in either league.

Delgado has improved his OPS every month. Even with his horrible start he currently has a 123 OPS+. Stats are great, aren't they?

And Heilman has no value? That's interesting. I could have sworn he's had ERA+ of 140, 120, and 130 the past three years to go along with WHIP of 1.07, 1.16, and 1.15. Seems pretty valuable to me.

What's that? One down year overrules the past 3 seasons? Oh ok. That makes total sense.

Noobs.

Someone should let Steve Popper know Delgado has a 16 mil option, not 12 prior to the buyout.

Carlos Delgado 1b
4 years/$52M (2005-08), plus 2009 option

* acquired 11/05 in trade from Florida (as part of deal, Marlins paid Mets $7M - $1M in 2006, $2M in 2007, $4M in 2008)
* 05:$4M, 06:$13.5M, 07:$14.5M, 08:$16M, 09:$16M option ($4M buyout)
* 2009 option may vest based on MVP voting rank
* if 2009 option does not vest, club has $12M mutual option ($4M buyout)
* MVP award bonus ($50,000 for finishing 2nd to Bonds in MVP vote)
* signed as a free agent 1/05

"What's that? One down year overrules the past 3 seasons? Oh ok. That makes total sense.

Noobs"

Whoa whoa whoa

Let's watch out for this guy.

I'm going to insult you for doubting the abilities of a set-up man.

"What's that? One down year overrules the past 3 seasons? Oh ok. That makes total sense.

Noobs."

His 3 seasons before 2007 are meaningless now. He's never going to put up great numbers like those again and I doubt his ability to a) keep producing this season and b) produce at this level the next 2-3 years.

His option is too expensive and they need to get rid of him sooner rather than later. I rather get 2 draft picks from letting him walk now than keeping him until he he's neither Type A nor Type B.

Yowza! I'm sure the Alvarez/Crow talk is just another case of posturing; part of the game. Still, for the first time, I'm beginning to wonder...

Both guys have been linked to preposterous bonus demands and in either case, it REALLY doesn't sound like the big league club is planning to back down.

With Washington, I tend to think of Kasten as a straight shooter. I think he might be willing to let Crow return to school if the price doesn't come down. Even though every first round pick last year, eventually signed, that was actually pretty unusual. It would hardly prove unprecedented were we to see one or more of this year's picks go unsigned. Considering the perceived depth of next year's class, it might even turn out to benefit the Nats (though that's surely not the team's official stance).

On the other front...despite a price tag that almost certainly exceeds Crow's, I still think Alvarez will sign. Bucs fans are still smarting from the club's decision to pass on Wieters last year and the club can hardly afford another draft-related public relations nightmare. That, I think, would prove more costly than 'grossly overpaying.' Picking up LaRoche in the Bay deal provides some leverage, but let's be honest...Alvarez is, by far, the more important of the two in terms of the club's future. While he'll likely move off third, his bat still profiles to play its way into more than a few All Star lineups. Furthermore, it seems that most scouts consider Alvarez a much better bet to reach his potential than Crow- a power arm with some mechanical questions (particularly with regard to health).

Nevertheless, the danger exists for Alvarez and the Bucs to continue their starting contest too long. If both sides wait for the other to blink, it could mean another year at Vandy for the former and two top picks in '09 for the latter. Hardly the end of the world, but I'm sure it's not what either side wants. You have to think a compromise will be reached.

It IS intriguing to consider the prospect of two such high profile picks- and perhaps more, based on Posey's similarly absurd demands and the lack of action on the Beckham and Alonso fronts (though I don't expect a problem in either case)- returning to school and, more importantly, returning to the draft pool for '09. It's worth noting that early word has this coming draft among the better classes (along with '07) since the windfall of '05. Certainly it has a more certain- and exciting- No. 1 in Steven Strasburg. Alex White and Kyle Gibson are nice consolation prizes on the pitching front, while Dustin Ackley and Ryan Jackson are a pair of intriguing bats. And that's just a small sampling from the college ranks. As always, the prep ranks will swell with talent- and hype- the closer we get to draft day.

Add Crow and Alvarez to the group and you've got a first round bonanza!

Read again dak. It's a $16MM option if it vests. If it doesn't (and it won't), it's a $12MM option with a $4MM buyout.

"His 3 seasons before 2007 are meaningless now. He's never going to put up great numbers like those again"

Pass the crystal ball when you're done with it.

And the draft picks are nice, but who do you plan on replacing him with next year? None of the young guys are capable of putting up his numbers next year.

icedrake,

if you nontender someone, you don't get draft picks. You have to offer arbitration to the player and he has to decline it. "Letting him walk" gets you nothing.

I think you're refering to Delgado, and I believe that the guy your replying to was talking about Heilman.

Either way, if the Mets decline Delgado's option, why would they offer him arbitration (if they even could)?

On a side note: I'll be interested to see how the Crow negotiations effect the Orioles' talks with Matusz. Conventional wisdom says Matusz's handlers are simply waiting on Crow in order to set the market price. If Washington's negotiations with Crow fail or go down to the last minute, it could, conceivably, jeopardize Baltimore's chances. Granted, this is a long shot and, based on all reports, its a veritable love-fest between the club and Matusz (despite there being no deal in place); particularly compared to what's going on down the road in DC and up in Pittsburgh. Still, it's worth asking...

Also, does anyone else find it strange that, on the one hand, nearly every organization in baseball has become (overly?) enamored of (cheap) young talent- extremely reluctant to part with top prospects even if it means picking up an All Star veteran for the stretch run- yet, on the other, the same teams- even in the midst of baseball's healthiest economic period in ages- seem to be taking a hard-line approach to negotiating deals for draft picks this summer? Just a thought.

BTW- what's a noob?

google is your friend

No way the Mets risk offering Delgado arbitration. He is the perfect candidate for someone who will accept a one year deal.

You would then end up paying his $4m for declining the option and then risk paying another $12m or so in arbitration (assuming he keeps up his production).

Not sure that Carlos will get a better deal anywhere else.

"what's a noob?"

It's a shorter and more derogatory term for newbie.

Tim...I have to disagree with that note credit to MetsBlog. Delgado indeed has a 12 million or 4 Million "buy-out". The additional factors are there to possible increase Carlos up to the 16 million of last season. The buy-out from the Mets point of view is accomplished with the 4 Million due from the Marlins for year 2008.

The M's should not sign Teixeira/anyone this offseason IMO. Big FA contracts are what got the M's into this mess.

I still stand by the notion that Teix is Giambi Jr.(with less power) and will be in pinstripes come winter.

"I still stand by the notion that Teix is Giambi Jr.(with less power) and will be in pinstripes come winter."

Tex is a better defensive player, a switch hitter and far less injury prone. He also has a career slugging percentage a mere 1/10 of a point lower than that of Giambi. The only place Giambi really has ever had anything on Tex is that he is more fiery and more of a leader.

Heilman will probably be in the Mets rotation next year. He never gets hurt, throws 2 plus pitches with an improving slider, and will cost pennies compared to what you have to pay for a number 4 starter on the open market. Heilman is a good arm. He is having a season that has been mixed with untimely homerun balls, and a lot of bad luck. He has been good for a while now, there is no reason to just nontender him. He would probably end up pitching in St Louis and winning a CY Young.

A few things...

The whole ''Aaron Heilman in the rotation'' saga has been going on a long time now, and I don't think the Mets would go that route. I agree with you Max, but I still don't think it's in the cards for Heilman to start in Queens. As a former first-round pick, if the Mets really thought of Heilman as a starter it would've happened already.

As for the Teixeira talks, I think Seattle would be a good fit for him. The Mariners are in this mess because they have no one with a decent on-base percentage other than Ichiro or Ibanez, not exactly free agent signings. Granted that the Silva and Washburn signings pitching-wise have been poor, but they have potential to have some good starting pitching on the horizon with Felix and Morrow. I think the only really bad signing with the offense was obviously Sexson, as Beltre hasn't exactly been a bust in Seattle.

There are huge differences between Teixeira at 28-29 years old and a player like Richie Sexson, who put up big power numbers in Milwaukee but always had average numbers otherwise. Plus, they signed Sexson in '05 after he had 90 at-bats with Arizona the year before. Teixeira is a consistent .300/30/100 guy(at least) with gold glove potential every season. A big difference from a hack like Richie Sexson.

I still think the Yankees will need the first baseman spot for one of their over-the-hill stars and will be too strapped to sign Teixeira, but that's just me.

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