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4:19pm: Jays pitcher Shaun Marcum needs Tommy John surgery, which seemingly would increase the need to keep Burnett.
10:51am: More on the Burnett topic from Jeff Blair of The Globe and Mail. Blair says Burnett will be able to exercise his out clause after the World Series. Blair talked to an exec who thinks Burnett will require $15-18MM over four years.
10:28am: According to the Toronto Star, by way of Drunk Jays Fans, the Blue Jays will try to sweeten A.J. Burnett's deal to get him to stay. Certainly the two years and $24MM remaining on his contract won't cut it. Here's what GM J.P. Ricciardi said:
"We would think about adding some years. But we're not going to get in a bidding war. We'd love to have him stay but if someone wants to blow him out of the water, that won't be us."
It seems that the Jays would have to add two years, maybe three. And with Carlos Silva now averaging $12MM per year, the Jays would probably have to offer a $15MM salary. Burnett is the only pitcher to receive an opt-out clause; it'll take a lot to keep him off the market.
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If Marcum indeed needs to have Tommy John and will miss the entire 2009 season, this is looking more likely by the minute. The Jays will probably offer Burnett something like another 2/36 to make his deal a 4/60, and it will be up to him decide how much he actually likes Toronto (a lot, according to Brad Arnsberg, his pitching coach and longtime friend). I'd be extremely surprised if JP added a third year or more money to make it more in line with the 5/80 the Yankees are likely to toss at him.
Posted by: 92-93 | September 19, 2008 at 10:53 AM
Oh man I hope they don't give him 18 mil a season that is crazyness.
Posted by: Dev0 | September 19, 2008 at 11:50 AM
This is just stupid. The guy still has ERA of 4+, is injury prone but still wants 4/72? I hope the Yankees sign him for Pavano v2.0.
Oliver Perez will give you only slightly worse numbers at a lesser price while not being injury prone. Ben Sheets will give you much better numbers for same money and and perhaps slightly more injury risk.
Posted by: viktor06 | September 19, 2008 at 11:58 AM
Always amazes me how fast a pitching Surplus turns into a pitching need.
Marcum out for the start of next year, Question marks about McGowan because he's in the middle of being out for a year. If they lose Burnett they are in a lot of trouble.
The Rotation could look like Halladay-Litch-Purcey-?-? at opening day, I'm not sure if McGowan is expected to be ready by opening day.
Posted by: Dev0 | September 19, 2008 at 04:29 PM
Giving Burnett $18m will be a really, really bad decision. They guy is so overhyped.
Posted by: bjsguess | September 19, 2008 at 04:33 PM
Who ever gives Burnett more then $15 mil an year is making a mistake...Yes he strikeout alot of batters,but he also walks alot of batters,has a high ERA,and has been injury prone...Maybe the Blue Jays should let him walk and make a run at CC Sabathia.
Posted by: JT89 | September 19, 2008 at 11:37 PM
nationalsportsnation.com reported sumthhin like that. old news. miguel cabrera mvp? y no respect?
Posted by: joebenmas | September 20, 2008 at 02:02 AM
18M for Burnett??? I'd hate to see what Garland or Lowe will ask for if that happens.
I agree with JT, if it's true that Burnett wants 18, throw in an extra 2 or 3 and join the Sabathia sweepstakes.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | September 20, 2008 at 02:06 AM
Burnett is better then Garland and Lowe I'm sorry, I agree 18mil is insane but I don't think 15 mil is honestly. Consider this fact I got from watching the game today.
Since Cito Gaston took over as the Jays manager Burnett is 12-3 with a 3.21 era. Before Cito Burnetts era was over 5 it was huge because of a couple games that he got completely blown up in. During todays game he was also on a 17 inning scoreless streak. Not to mention he might win 20 games this year.
Posted by: Dev0 | September 20, 2008 at 03:53 AM
Garland will get somewhere between $10-12m. Burnett's better than Garland - but not by very much (when you include durability).
Burnett has #1 starter stuff. Problem is he is never more than just a decent #2/#3.
His last run is exactly why the guy is so hard to gauge. It seems that when he puts effort into his starts he becomes lights out. What does that tell you about his bad starts? Call my a cynic but I think his latest run has much to do with FA. Exactly the opposite performance for someone who I would consider signing to a multi-year contract.
Posted by: bjsguess | September 20, 2008 at 08:59 AM