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Offseason Outlook: Kansas City Royals

Next up in our offseason outlook series, the Royals.  Here's how they set up for 2009:

C - John Buck - $2.2MM+
C - Brayan Pena - $400K
1B - Kila Ka'aihue - $400K
2B - Alberto Callaspo - $400K
SS - Mike Aviles - $400K
3B - Alex Gordon - $406K
IF - Ross Gload - $1.9MM
IF - Esteban German - $1MM+
LF - Mark Teahen - $2.3375MM+
CF - David DeJesus - $3.6MM
RF - Jose Guillen - $12MM
OF - Joey Gathright - $427K+
DH - Billy Butler - $400K

SP - Gil Meche - $11MM
SP - Zack Greinke - $1.4MM+
SP - Brian Bannister - $421K+
SP - Luke Hochevar - $1.325MM
SP - Kyle Davies - $427K+

RP - Ron Mahay - $4MM
RP - Jimmy Gobble - $1.3125MM+
RP - Joel Peralta - $450K+
RP - Robinson Tejeda - $400K
RP - Joakim Soria - $1MM
RP - Leo Nunez - $405K
RP - Ramon Ramirez - $400K

Other commitments: Yasuhiko Yabuta - $3MM, Luke Hudson - $475K+, Miguel Olivo - $2.7MM club option with $100K buyout; can be voided by Olivo

Non-tender candidates: John Bale, Mark Teahen, Brandon Duckworth, Jason Smith, Ryan Shealy, Tony Pena Jr.

This setup has the Royals committed for $52MM plus arbitration raises to Buck, German, Teahen, Gathright, Greinke, Bannister, Davies, Gobble, and Peralta.  Some of these players may be non-tendered.  The Royals should come in under $60MM, regardless.  They began '08 with a $58MM payroll and peaked at $67MM to start '07.

Rany Jazayerli has already provided an intelligent take on the '09 lineup.  Shifting Aviles to second base and signing Rafael Furcal or Orlando Cabrera seems a distinct possibility.  Plus, the free agent market is loaded with interesting left fielders.  A few things would have to click, but the Royals could have a solid offense next year.  I also agree with Jazayerli that Dayton Moore may target a young catcher this winter.  I'm sure the Rangers would love to get Greinke, but I don't see him going anywhere.

Two situations to monitor in '09: Ka'aihue's playing time and Teahen's contract.  Ka'aihue, 24, posted a .314/.456/.628 line between Double and Triple A, and deserves a 300 plate appearance audition at first.  Teahen has a .692 OPS this year - does his versatility make him worth $3MM in '09?

The Royals have a fantastic front two in the rotation, and question marks beyond that.  Given Moore's success digging up relievers on the cheap, I'd like to see Soria moved to the rotation.  Or, the Royals could sign Brian Fuentes to fill the void. 

The Royals have been awful this year, but they could be a sleeper in '09 with the right additions and a couple of breakout seasons.  Stranger things have happened.


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Comments

Has Soria ever started before?

Yes Soria has pitched as a starter. He was a starter in the Mexican league or winter leagues. He also has a no hitter as a starter. I prefer we leave him where he is and make a push to get some big name free agents. Go Royals!

Kila Ka'aihue? Is he any relation to Braves prospect Kala Kaaihue?

In the Mexican League in '06 before he was taken in the Rule 5. Shouldn't be too much of a problem, when you're in the position the Royals are you can afford to stretch the guy out and see if he can handle 150 or so innings next year, possibly 180 in 2010.

So I agree, move Soria into the rotation. To replace him in the closer's role, give Jason Isringhausen a one-year, incentive-laden deal, see if he can become a Type A FA after '09 and turn him into picks, or just trade him at the deadline.
As for LF, Milton Bradley won't come cheap necessarily but wouldn't require a long-term commitment, maybe sign him for 2/$24? Juan Rivera's probably a better fit. Cabrera at SS probably costs no more than $2-3 million.

Soria started in the minors. Something tells me that Ka'aihue won't get any type of shot, Aviles basically forced his way on with a 4 hit game after riding the pine for two weeks while Pena continued to flounder.

But Tim is right that a lot of lucky things have to happen for the Royals to be contenders in '09, which means it won't happen. Since when have the Royals been lucky? Gordon has turned to crap, like every other "highly touted" prospect in our system, (actually, he's probably the first highly touted prospect we ever had) Hochevar can't pitch well at all, I say he's probably already a bust as well. The earliest we'll contend would be 2011, but I bet by then we'll be in another rebuild.

And can we do something about TypeKey, it took me 5 times of signing in and out to get this here.

"Cabrera at SS probably costs no more than $2-3 million."

That would be a fantasy for any team. Cabrera is going to cost at least $7 million a year, if not more, and he will probably want a multi-year commitment.

"Juan Rivera's probably a better fit."

Juan Rivera is a great fit for just about any team, because he is going to be cheap, can play all three OF positions and 1B, and has shown every indication that he can mash if given steady playing time. That said, I am not so sure the Angels don't just resign him, especially if they can figure out something to do with Matthews.

Bradley is a good player but he won't play for the Royals. We traded Nunez for him last year and he voided it by saying he was hurt. He was shortly traded or signed with another team soon after. Even though this isn't much he a lot of hate towards our TV brocaster, he tried earlier this year to go up to the booth to fight him.

Joelcards

your one of the main reasons most people in KC can't stand the Turd that you call STL.

That's a valid point, Joel, but I still would rather have 150-200 innings of good pitching, if he can manage it, than 50-70 innings of great pitching. It's harder to find good starters than great relievers, or at least ones who can effectively close out ballgames.

Kala is Kila's brother.

Finally some love for the Royals.

I would look to trade Teahen. He just isn't a good enough bat for a corner outfielder and he wont see third base again as long as Gordon is healthy.

Gobble won't be on the team next year and Peralta may not be either. Gobble has been down right horrible and doesn't deserve a major league contract after his performance this year.

I also wouldn't be surprised to see Jose Guillen take a hike. He has been a big cry baby and Dayton is sick of him for sure.

Look for KC to go after Raul Ibanez and may be even trade for Matt Holliday. The problem will be the price of Holliday because Dayton won't sacrifice too much young talent even for the best hitting outfielder in today's game.

I agree with Tim on most counts. The Royals are a huge disappointment this year. I really thought they would have contended for the AL Central title. Wow - was I ever wrong on that one.

Anyway, Soria should close. He is so lights out that I wouldn't want to tinker with him at all. KC can add FA's but most of them are going to have some sort of baggage OR the team will need to really overpay.

Also, what kind of market is there for Alex Gordon and would KC ever consider trading him? If you can fill multiple holes is that something to consider? Let him take his lumps and learn the game on someone else's dime.

IF Soria can start, he should start. A #3 starter is more valuable than a closer IMO.

KCRoyals5- Why the h3ll would KC want Holliday? That would be one of the stupidest moves DM could make. Holliday is a 1yr rental. His agent is Boras. The Royals aren't locks for contending next year.

With Gil Meche, Grienke, Bannister and Hochevar, the Royals already have four solid starters locked into their rotation for next season. If Soria could prove to be at least a solid 3-4 next season, and improve in future seasons into a very good #3, that would be far more valuable than having him be a lockdown closer. With that rotation if they could patch together the back of the bullpen, the pitching staff would be in pretty solid position.

If only Alex Gordon, Billy Butler and Mark Teahen would produce like was once expected of them, then this offense would be in far better position. I think Butler will improve a great deal next season, and Gordon should get better as well. Teahen will probably revert into the old version of himself with the .280 average, solid plate discipline, but not a great deal of power. As a corner position player he doesnt hold a great deal of value. But the addition of an Orlando Cabrera or Rafael Furcal could potentially be really valuable for them.

I think this team is definitely in better position than say, the Nationals

And just to throw this out there, but if you were the Royals, would you trade Alex Gordon when Mike Moustakas is ready, if Gordon doesnt show enough improvement next season? I mean, Gordon is going to start getting expensive eventually, and the Royals could still build around Moose, Hosmer and Butler, primarily.

Bannister and Hochevar are far from solid. Bannister is already 27, will be 28 next season, so not much more development from him, and it's not like he has pitched well at all this year, which makes those doubting him in the offseason look like geniuses.

As far as trading Gordon, I think if next season he doesn't look like he's going to be that superstar player everyone thought he would be, and Moustakas is ready, then there might be some consideration. Though, Moustakas probably won't be ready to take over in 2010, he's only in A ball and came straight from high school. It's going to be a little while longer for him. Probably mid 2010, early 2011. Hosmer will be ready by then most likely, that is, if Boras hasn't screwed him over like Alvarez.

Can we get to the teams that people actually care about?

Do you really think the Royals are ready to cut the cord on Gordon? He was such a highly touted prospect that I can't see them dumping him now. I'd say give the kid another year and see if he develops, it's not like they've got a replacement in house worth starting over him, at least to my limited knowledge of the Royals and their farm system.

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