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« MLBTR Chat Transcript | Main | Blue Jays To Retain Barajas, Not Zaun »
Next up in the Offseason Outlook series, the A's. Here's how they might line up in 2009:
C - Kurt Suzuki -$400K
C - Rob Bowen - $410K+
1B - Daric Barton - $400K
2B - Eric Patterson - $400K
SS - Bobby Crosby - $5.25MM
3B - Eric Chavez - $11MM
IF - Jack Hannahan - $400K
IF - Cliff Pennington - $400K
LF - Aaron Cunningham - $400K
CF - Carlos Gonzalez - $400K
RF - Ryan Sweeney - $400K
OF - Rajai Davis - $400K
DH - Jack Cust - $410K+
SP - Justin Duchscherer - $1.2MM+
SP - Greg Smith - $400K
SP - Sean Gallagher - $400K
SP - Dana Eveland - $400K
SP - Dallas Braden - $400K
RP - Huston Street - $3.3MM+
RP - Brad Ziegler - $400K
RP - Joey Devine - $400K
RP - Santiago Casilla - $400K
RP - Andrew Brown - $400K
RP - Jerry Blevins - $400K
RP - Josh Outman - $400K
Other outfielders: Travis Buck - $400K, Chris Denorfia - $400K, Matt Murton - $400K
Other starters: Gio Gonzalez - $400K, Dan Meyer - $400K, Vince Mazzaro - $400K, Trevor Cahill - $400K, Brett Anderson - $400K
The A's opened the '08 season with a $48MM payroll, down $31MM from the year before. They have roughly $29MM committed for '09, plus arbitration raises to Bowen, Cust, Duchscherer, and Street. They'll surely come in under $40MM, and could trade Duke or Street.
Oakland's pitching has been strong once again, and their fourth-ranked ERA holds up even after you subtract Rich Harden, Joe Blanton, and Chad Gaudin. Lack of offense is the problem - the A's are dead last in baseball in OBP, SLG, and runs scored.
Cust and Suzuki made positive contributions offensively; Sweeney was OK. The infield could be an area to upgrade this winter (second base would require a stopgap solution due to the minor league depth). Chavez will figure in if he can come back from shoulder surgery, but he may be incapable of playing third base. The A's have tons of outfielders, but no real trade surplus. Given Billy Beane's success developing and finding pitching, that's the surplus. He could deal Duchscherer or Street or attempt to swap young pitching for young hitting.
The A's could target third basemen such as Edwin Encarnacion or Kevin Kouzmanoff, though neither player is an offensive monster. Young shortstops are more difficult to find via trade. Dan Uggla could be an interesting target for second or third base. The A's probably aren't in the market for a first baseman, though Prince Fielder might be available. That'd make for an amusing story. Mike Jacobs could be a more feasible target.
Shrewd free agent signings might be a better and more likely path - Jason Giambi, Rafael Furcal, and Casey Blake could help. The outfield market is strong, if the A's don't mind pushing various youngsters further down the depth chart.
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Is it bad that when I saw Pennington, I immediately thought Billy Beane had somehow traded with Bill Parcells?
Posted by: bsalamon | September 16, 2008 at 03:40 PM
Wow, that team is CHEAP!
Posted by: Andy Braves Fan | September 16, 2008 at 03:52 PM
I'd much rather go after Edwin Encarnacion then Kouzmanoff. He's younger and has just as much power if not more then Kouzmanoff
Posted by: whokid | September 16, 2008 at 04:27 PM
I would rather have Kouzmanoff than Encarnacion. Their BA is the same, terrible .260, but I think that Kouzmanoff has more power. So far this year, Kouzmanoff has 25 HRs and Encarnacion has 21 HRs.
If you consider the fact that Encarnacion plays in Cincinnati and Kouzmanoff plays in San Diego, I would favor Kouzmanoff. Kouz also plays in a pitchers division, so maybe he can adjust better to the AL than EE??
It would be pretty funny to trade Cust back to San Diego, when we got him for cash.
Kouzmanoff is a more likely trade candidate, but if we really are looking for more power, Fielder is the way to go. We also have a lot of payroll flexibility, so maybe we can get a good contract.
Posted by: green_and_gold | September 16, 2008 at 04:52 PM
"I think Jack Cust and a mid a guy like Henry Rodriguez could get Kevin Kouzmanoff."
Why would the Padres trade for Jack Cust when they practically handed him to Oakland a year or two ago? Maybe for a good pitching prospect and one of the plethora of 2nd base prospects the A's have would get a Kouz deal done.
Posted by: randam12 | September 16, 2008 at 04:54 PM
test
Posted by: The Juice | September 16, 2008 at 05:16 PM
Wouldn't mind seeing the Mets take a chance on Huston Street. Have to think F-Mart and Daniel Murphy would be untouchable though, and I'm not sure a package around someone like Mike Carp would be enough, so it might be hard to find a match.
Posted by: AdropOFvenom | September 16, 2008 at 06:06 PM
I think Uggla would be the one to go for this off season by the A's.
If in the extremely unlikely event the A's could pry Hanley Ramirez away too, that would be great, but I am not holding my breath.
The truth is that the A's need a lot of help when it comes to the Infield. The outfield is, while not "set", overflowing with players who could start.
Also, do not be so quick to pencil in Eric Chavez at 3B when no one knows if he can even play the field again, and most likely not 3B. He might make it back as a 1B.
Posted by: Zonis | September 16, 2008 at 06:11 PM
Sign Giambi & Furcal.
Trade Cust for Kouzmanoff.
Trade Street, Crosby, reliever for Uggla.
1B: Barton/Chavez
2B: Uggla
SS: Furcal
3B: Kouzmanoff
C: Suzuki
LF: Cunningham
CF: Gonzalez
RF: Sweeney
DH: Giambi/Chavez
Playoff team right there.
Posted by: Athletic Domination | September 16, 2008 at 06:22 PM
Well if the the Athletics are looking for a young ss, then why did they want Adrian Cardenas rather than Jason Donald from the phillies?
Posted by: prov1x41 | September 16, 2008 at 06:56 PM
Cust is "a solid left fielder that is a Kevin Towers type of player"? Solid as in immobile? Frozen? Opposite of liquid or fluid? Yep, that he is.
As for Kouzmanoff vs. Encarnacion? Man, that's kind of a crapshoot. Kouz walks about as often as he homers, which is pretty uninspiring. But he's also a plus defender and has hit better outside of Petco over his career so far. Encarnacion is two years younger and has more experience, and seems to have improved his zone judgement and power this season. But he's an absolute butcher at third.\
As for Chavez, he's gotta be viewed as a non-entity until further notice.
Posted by: scatterbrian | September 16, 2008 at 06:57 PM
Athletic Domination- I'm an A's fan, but you are effing crazy if you think Street, Crosby, and a reliever will net Uggla. One of Gio, Mazarro, Simmons, or Anderson is as good as gone in an Uggla deal. One of the top position player prospects, Cunningham, Carter, or Corey Brown is as good as gone as well. The A's will have to give up top talent to get Uggla.
prov1x41- Cardenas can play some shortstop, and is overall a more highly touted prospect (and younger) than Donald.
ADropOFvenom- Street to the Mets makes sense. Too much sense, actually. The guy of target will probably be Daniel Murphy, although a deal without him could be constructed (or a deal where the A's give up more and the Mets throw in a filler to get Murphy).
Posted by: melonis rex | September 16, 2008 at 07:37 PM
1. On the EE v. Kouzmanoff debate. EE is younger, and appears to have more power (although Great American Ballpark could have some influence on that). It would depend on the prospects required to get him.
2. Cust in LF is a DH with a glove.
3. Trade Street. There is no need for him on the A's; there are others who can get the job done. Sweeten the pot if necessary...Street should be the #1 trade chip; hopefully involving a 3B/SS prospect.
4. Trade Crosby. Don't hope for much in value, again, if the deal is right, the A's might have to sweeten the pot.
5. Put Anderson, Cahill, and Carter off limits. The A's have built a great farm system, the cornerstones don't need to go anywhere.
6. Eric Chavez doesn't exist anymore. Disregard his existence until he returns healthy.
Posted by: melonis rex | September 16, 2008 at 07:45 PM
Here's what you do. Moore in Kansas City has said all players all available 'cept for a few. I say the A's make a trade for Alex Gordon. Street, G. Gonzalez, and Crosby/prospect to the Royals. Then you turn around and trade Trevor Cahill, Travis Buck, and a prospect to the Marlins for Dan Uggla. Even with all the trades, the A's still have a rock solid farm system and now are a contender. Just my thoughts.
Posted by: bravesrule14 | September 16, 2008 at 07:50 PM
I also think they should sign one of Rafael Furcal or Orlando Cabrera if Crosby is traded.
Posted by: bravesrule14 | September 16, 2008 at 07:52 PM
The A's are in great shape going forward. Rebuilding has set them up for a very nice run in the future and they have plenty of money to sign FA's to fill in the gaps.
Now, I don't think they will be contendors in 09 but '10 will potentially be scary for other AL West teams.
Posted by: bjsguess | September 16, 2008 at 08:30 PM
No way Billy Beane trades for Mike Jacobs and his .289 OBP. A Giambi retrun might work out.
Posted by: Rob M. | September 16, 2008 at 08:41 PM
Ahhh... If I remember correctly the last time I was on the A's were in the thick of the race. Things change.
Bravesrule14,
I think those are some of the dumbest moves Beane could make while he's in the postion hes in. Lemme just say that I personnal believe that Cahill, Anderson, Carter, and Simmons are untouchable. I believe, then the "you'd better gimme the best deal or they aint going anywhere" guys are Henry Rodriguez, Adrian Cardenas, and maybe even Josh Donaldson, hes torn it up since getting to our system. That's not even mentioning guys on the big league team, Ryan Sweeney has done better than ok Tim, he leads the A's in BA, hes off limits along with the obvious in Carlos Gonzales.
Now back to your points braves, Beane wouldnt trade G.Gon and then some to the royals for a kid who hasnt lived up to his potential. And like I said I believe Cahill to be untouchable. And I dont even think that deal would be enough for the marlins.
I think the A's deal street for a 3B prospect, although Baisley is interesting, then trade a couple in that roatation, like Dallas Braden and Dana Eveland, to open the rotation up for some of the more intriguing prospects to pitch. Deal Crosby for something if anything else to open up more salery, then go and sign one big namer, just to bring the fans out. My vote is for Furcal. But those are just my thoughts.
Posted by: AriGoldisaG | September 16, 2008 at 09:10 PM
AriGoldisaG- Cahill, Anderson, and Carter are definitely off limits. I would think of dealing Anderson IF and ONLY if it were for a non-rental star (i.e. Dan Uggla). Cahill? This does sound like homerism, but no. Cahill isn't worth more than Uggla, I just don't want to see him do well for another team.
I think a Prince Fielder deal is in order. I see him as more attainable.
Posted by: melonis rex | September 16, 2008 at 10:07 PM
Fielder deal makes a lot of sense for both teams. Gamel plays first for the brewers and the a's give up duke and street. The a's lose no of their farm and open a rotation spot for anderson (who is a stud) along with cahill who are not going anywhere. If any of the pitchers get trade for a big bat it will be mazzaro or simmons. They might not be rated that high on the a's top prospects but would net a good return.
Posted by: thegoods24 | September 16, 2008 at 11:44 PM
I like uggla but if cantu is putting up close to thirty bombs in that stadium it might be scary playing in a different stadium. Also going from ellis to uggla on the defensive side would not help young pitching. Anyone remember the all star game?
Posted by: thegoods24 | September 16, 2008 at 11:46 PM
"Gamel plays first for the brewers and the a's give up duke and street."
If you think an average reliever that nobody wanted at the deadline and a 31 year old 1st year starter who broke down the last month and half of the season is gonna net you Fielder, then I have some ocean front property in the desert i'd like to sell you. Fielder is gonna cost you one of your young guns, end of story.
Posted by: forlife61 | September 16, 2008 at 11:54 PM
For the record I read that the A's tried to get Donald in the Blanton deal by including Alan Embree but the Phillies declined. Cardenas was the Phillies top infield prospect, and probably top prospect overall.
I personally think the A's should trade Crosby for whatever they can get. He's not great, but hes a good defensive SS and better offensively then a lot of other defensive SS's out there. He's hit a lot of doubles this year, and knocked in his share of runs. He'll make a good 1 year stop-gap for somebody. Then the A's should make every effort to sign Furcal. Excellent defensively and a leadoff type hitter which is something the A's lack. Unless the A's go out and sign a real impact type OF'r like Manny, Raul Ibanez, or maybe Abreu I just as soon the A's go with the current core of young guys between Buck/Sweeney/Gonzalez/Cunningham. The A's definitely need some power, and young power at that so I say trade for Dan Uggla. Yes his defense is bad, but Chavez is done at 3rd so stick him there or at 2nd and give Cliff Pennington a shot next year to play the other position. Send Florida Gio Gonzalez, Vince Mazzaro, Corey Brown or Sean Doolittle and one of the better relief prospects like Demel/Lansford/Bailey. The a's get two solid bats to add to their lineup, and avoid losing their "top guns".
Posted by: jpshark | September 17, 2008 at 10:44 AM
Also, I wouldn't call Street an average reliever. He had his issues mid-season but the demotion from the closer role has been a kick in the ass for him and he has really picked it up. The guy was one of the top relievers in the game the last few years and after a bump in the road this year people are labeling him average. Take a look at his stats. 3.95 ERA, 65/26 K/BB ratio in 66 IP while only giving up 6 HR's. The walks are up a little, but for a down year thats pretty damn good. And oh yeah, he's still barely 25 years old.
Posted by: jpshark | September 17, 2008 at 10:49 AM
Sorry about the multiple posts, doin this from work so i'm not 100% with it! I also just wanted to add that Street has only given up 57 hits in his 66 innings this year. The guy is still good and if it wasn't for the fact that the A's have 2-3 other guys who are ready to step in as closer I would root for the A's to hold onto him.
Posted by: jpshark | September 17, 2008 at 10:52 AM
Street is definitely not an average reliever.
His career numbers so far:
265 IP - 267/77 K/BB ratio, 2.92 ERA 1.08 Whip...average? for a 25 y/o?
Duchsherer would fit right into the Brewers #2 spot once CC leaves town. Not to say that is enough for Fielder, but throw in a couple mid-high level prospects and those pieces definitely work for the Crew. Just depends on who Beane wants to part with from the farm.
Posted by: dtownmbrown | September 17, 2008 at 01:14 PM
I'd pass on Uggla. As it was mentioned before, he's a below-average 2B defensively, and will affect the A's staff regardless of the age of their pitchers.
But what scares me about Uggla are his post-ASG numbers.
Pre: .286/.374/.605/.979, 23 HR, 59 RBI
Post: .227/.341/.405/.746, 7 HR, 27 RBI
He'll also be a FA in two years and will probably command more than he's worth, because I'm pretty sure we've seen his peak.
Posted by: scatterbrian | September 17, 2008 at 02:34 PM
1. There has to be a top young SP going for Fielder. I'm guessing that Anderson, Cahill, and maybe Simmons are off limits (I'd move Simmons for Fielder) in the pitching department and Carter's off limits in the hitting department.
2. Street is above average, just having a down year. His career numbers have already been posted, so I won't post them again. He can net a top prospect on his own, although he would need to be paired with someone else for Fielder.
3. Duke has very little trade value right now. Best thing the A's can do is hold on to him for now, either trade him at the deadline or pick up the draft picks on him when he hits FA.
Posted by: melonis rex | September 17, 2008 at 03:46 PM
I bet you're going to be hearing a few rumors about the Indians and A's trying to match up on a trade.
2 of their 3 needs this winter are closer and a mid-rotation starter.....Oakland has both that they're willing to part with in Duchscherer and Street. Tribe can part with Laffey and Barfield to start (who Beane was rumored to like). Barfield would be as good if not better than bringing Ellis back. He's got 3 maybe 4 years til he's a free agent as well. Tribe would then throw in some prospects....Scott Lewis has come on strong, or David Huff as far as pitchers. Hitters include top 3B prospect Wes Hodges (who could be ready sometime in 2009) as well as a few OF/1Bs. I'd say they could have Marte. Francisco or Choo could be thrown in to sweeten the deal as well....
Posted by: Hermie13 | September 17, 2008 at 07:26 PM
The Yankees need to keep Jason Giambi and give him the money he deserves. If they want to get rid of someone it should be Alex Rodgiguez!! He is not worth the moeny they spend on him!!!!
Posted by: Theresa | September 17, 2008 at 08:17 PM
the duke has value. He is going to be very affordable next year and he is going to be healthy. He is pitching this week. duke is a two time all star and would fill the brewers need. duke and street for fielder is market value. forlife61 get a clue. fielder will be get a huge raise next year which hurts his value, also players like him overweight dh type do not age well. Fair trade both ways. If the brewers insist they need a young pitcher they could have smith, eveland, or braden in the deal. These guys will have no value to the a's after next year.
Posted by: thegoods24 | September 17, 2008 at 10:42 PM
If the a's could exchange a young pitcher instead of duke they would do it in a heartbeat. duke is a stud. simmons, mazzaro, lansford, italiano could be had in the the deal instead. barton could also be used to sweeten the deal. cahill, rodriguez, anderson, carter, cardenas, weeks, all outfielders are going no where (brown, dolittle, gonzo, cunningham, sweeney, buck)
Posted by: thegoods24 | September 17, 2008 at 10:47 PM
gio, mazarro, and dollittle for uggla is poposterous. the a's would give mazarro up for bay, they are not going to give all three for uggla. mabye one gets moved along with lower prospects or a second base prospect such as weeks.
Posted by: thegoods24 | September 17, 2008 at 10:51 PM
Thegoods your drastically undervaluing Fielder and Uggla both, and overvaluing the A's players. I am an A's fan and even I can see this. Duke is an excellent pitcher when healthy. The problem is there is questions about his health, and there will always be questions about his health until he pitches a full season as a starter without any setbacks. He has value, but I don't think its as much as your trying to present. Mazzaro had a good season at AA, then was hit pretty hard after his promotion. He's still a legit prospect because he was playing at a very young age at AAA, and guys struggle sometimes but prior to this year Mazzaro wasn't even considered one of the A's top prospects. The A's wouldn't give him up for Bay because the A's are stacked with outfielders, and weren't going anywhere this season anyways.
Both Uggla and Fielder are under team control for 3 more seasons. They are both premier power hitters, thus their value is quite high. Considering this, either team would be nuts to not demand a high price for either guy. Gio/Mazzaro/Doolittle is exactly the type of deal the Brewers or Marlins will be looking for, and probably more. I would think either team is going to ask for one of Anderson/Cahill, but im hoping their both off limits.
Posted by: jpshark | September 18, 2008 at 12:13 AM
1st off: Kouz v. Encarnacion
Kouz is a slightly better hitter for average, but one of the worst defensive 3rd basemen in the league. Encarnacion has his problems offensively and is rather streaky, but is very good defensively.
Encarnacion in a landslide.
2nd: If the A's do make a trade for a bat, it will only happen if they are able to offload Street's contract and possibly Duke's as well. Most likely candidates: Duke- Colorado; Street- NYM
3rd: If the Marlins will give Uggla, they will want one of the A's top 5 prospects, if not 2. They drive a hard bargain and usually get what they are looking for. I would give Gio, Henry Rodriguez, and Patterson to get it done if they'd take it... but I doubt that'd get it done.
If I'm the A's I hold on to Cahill, Anderson, Mazzaro, Simmons, Carter, Doolittle, and Cardenas unless I'm getting a truly premier player in return. Like Hanley... not Uggla.
Posted by: jclay | September 18, 2008 at 12:50 PM
j clay is on the dot with his info. been thinking for the day and are really uggla or fielder what the a's really need? I was thinking probably not. The a's need an identity and a player to build around. I was thinking of players that could be had for the right price and rollins comes to mind. He is from the area and does everything the a's don't. the phils will need to cut some payroll and if they are confident that mcdonald could step in a deal could be made. I know it will take some to get rollins. I wonder if eveland, simmons, buck/dollitle, and devine/street would get it done. the phils have a week farm this would help it dramitically and it would not kill the a's.
Posted by: thegoods24 | September 18, 2008 at 10:35 PM
thegoods24: this is the trade i would assume would always happen. It's going to be real hard for a new gm to come into philly and not want to pull the trigger on it, and it will be impossible for beane to forget moneyball for a minute and realize that bringing a local, premier player home, will be too difficult to say no too. That franchise needs to be energized and j-roll is the guy to do it. If anything beane will possibly even overpay for rollins, if he became available. As a phillies fan, it will be hard to watch Rollins go, but we have a whole outfield and most of a pitching staff to think about and Ryan Howard is not going anywhere.
Posted by: tmichalski | September 18, 2008 at 11:56 PM
Let's talk SS.
First off, I don't know why everyone is so willing to get rid of Bobby Crosby. I watch a lot of A's games, and when he is not in the lineup, it hurts. He is a very solid SS. I recall a game with Harden on the mound earlier this year (when his pitch count was the talk of the town), and Petit made a throwing error with two outs costing Harden an extra 20 pitches in the inning. This was mentioned earlier, but if you want to build confidence in young starters, solid infield defense is crucial. I would take Crosby over most SS in the league, especially since he is relatively young, will be relatively cheap considering his numbers are down since his rookie year, and still has a high upside. I also recall a stat where the A's are "terrible" when he is hurt, and "great" when he plays. I used quotation marks because I don't recall the numbers. Furcal is a very bad idea. Keeping Crosby makes a lot more sense.
Posted by: Know ID yuh | September 19, 2008 at 10:39 PM
Know ID yuh
I agree Crosby is serviceable at short. When you take a look at the overall contributions offensively and defensively at SS, Crosby comes out slightly above average... that doesn't mean there is not more room for improvement there than at other positions on the field.
The reason SS is a position so commonly looked to by A's fans for an upgrade is two-fold. As I'm sure you know, A's fans' frustrations with Crosby have reached a boiling point with his seemingly stubborn refusal to alter his approach at the plate and take the ball the other way.
The other side of it is when you view the entire offense and the personnel, 3rd and SS are the easiest spots to upgrade.
1st has Barton locked in as the starter and Chavvy his backup. Barton will be given every chance to prove he is the answer there... and if he fails Carter, Doolittle, and Everidge are close to ML-ready.
2B has Petit, Pennington, and Patterson knocking on the door with Cardenas and Weeks the future of the position. OF has a slew of ML-ready prospects and young major leaguers all ready in place. Catcher and DH have Suzuki and Cust entrenched as starters for the forseeable future.
3rd is a no brainer with Chavez's move to 1B/DH, Hannahan's bat underwhelming at best, and no real prospects to speak of that are close to ML-ready.
So that's how we get to Crosby. The closest projectable shortstops are in single A, and we've already established that Crosby leaves something to be desired at the plate. Crosby is a slightly above average SS, but if they have the opportunity to bring in Rollins at a price that won't kill the farm system, I'd do it.
Posted by: jclay | September 22, 2008 at 03:43 PM
Of all the moves Beane as made, I find it interesting the guy he kept long term barely ever plays, and Chavez never really lived up to the money he was given.
Posted by: twoseamer | September 25, 2008 at 03:34 AM
Other than showing the ability to draft and nurture good pitching why is Billy Beane lauded as being such a great GM? I think he's destroyed the team. Is the city/franchize so strapped that they can't afford a team with a 60-80 million dollar budget?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | September 28, 2008 at 11:11 PM