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A few notes from Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle:
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The market undervalues defense. Billy Beane values what the market undervalues, thus signs players for bargain prices. Hmm..this seems very much like a book I read.
Posted by: DirtyThirty | October 20, 2008 at 10:33 AM
Tim, what are the implications you think that the Ellis signing, especially the years/dollar amount, will have on Orlando Hudson's payday, especially since he is now the premier 2B FA on the market?
Posted by: melonis rex | October 20, 2008 at 10:50 AM
Obviously, the A's would heavily benefit from Bonds in their lineup. One of the few players, if not the only, the A's should allow Cust to roam LF again for.
I wouldn't sign Giambi. There has been talk of Chavez having to shift to 1B/DH, which would cause a logjam at those positions and/or Cust in LF (which is not a good thing). Giambi isn't that great at this stage in his career to do such a thing. Much rather trade for a 3B/SS.
I want to know more about Chavez's recovery, and the inevitable news that he will be returning as a 1B/DH
Posted by: melonis rex | October 20, 2008 at 10:52 AM
I think Giambi would be a solid signing, but the A's are definitely more in need of help on the left side of their infield. Crosby continues to prove that he'll never be the player everyone thought he could be, and really the A's need to start looking at long term replacements.
With Chavez' injuries and little in terms of third base prospects, I wouldn't be surprised to see Adrian Cardenas get some time over there now that Ellis is locked up (likely until Jemile Weeks will be ready.)
They would probably be better off just leaving Cust at DH, Barton at first, and going with Gonzalez, Sweeney, Buck and Cunningham in the outfield. I would definitely look into short term free agent signings but there are very few of those available so their options are pretty limited.
I could see them go after Juan Rivera though, in hopes of adding some power to an outfield that doesn't have very much. A one or two year deal could make some sense for Oakland
Posted by: scribbletone | October 20, 2008 at 11:09 AM
scribbletone- you want Juan Rivera yet you already listed 4 OF and Cust at DH?
The one thing Oakland doesnt need is more OFers.
How about trading Huston Street for Troy Glaus? That's killing 2 birds with 1 stone, filling the 3B hole and getting the power bat Beane promised he'd get to protect Cust.
Posted by: Athletic Domination | October 20, 2008 at 11:27 AM
Street for Glaus? Your joking right? Glaus a beyond prime 3B with little to offer defensively and not a ton of power for a young reliever with a bright future? i hope your joking
Posted by: Soxfan017 | October 20, 2008 at 11:36 AM
Sorry Athletic D,
I'm with soxfan, that would be a horrible deal, Glaus is WAY past his prime. I would like the Giambi signing, but that would essentialy make Barton a back-up, because I think Giambi really wants to play first. And Cust as all A's fans know runs the 40 yard dash in about 40 seconds. Joking. But he's better fit for DH. So Giambi at first, and Cust DHing, Barton would mearly be a fill in guy.
As for the left side of the infield problem I think that the A's could bait Street and maybe a lower level prospect, like that guy Spencer who we got from the phils to a team like the padres for either Chase Headley or Kevin Kous. Both would work in my book. And the jettison crosby and chavez. I love 'um both but neither or them can figure out how to stay healthy and hit the ball in the same season.
Posted by: AriGoldisaG | October 20, 2008 at 12:02 PM
Athletics Domination,
The reason I think signing Rivera would be a good move is because he would offer them some power, which they really need. He would likely take a short deal, which would give their young guys some more time to develop. Rivera can play first too so he would be able to get time in left, right and at first and DH. Buck, Cunningham and Sweeney don't necessarily need or deserve 600 at bats at this point, and Rivera would be a quality short term solution to spell them.
And I think the A's would be far better off going after younger players than Glaus if they move Street.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 20, 2008 at 12:11 PM
depth for depth trade
cards needs a 2b, eric patterson is stuck w/ ellis resigned and cardenas/weeks behind him. patterson speed and versatility better used in nl
cards have glaus + freese/craig/wallace at 3b
patterson for freese seems like a fair deal
Posted by: arly2380 | October 20, 2008 at 12:12 PM
Of course Chavez is open to the idea. He was dirty himself, and probably wants to get his hands on more designer drugs that can't be detected!
Posted by: rememberthecoop | October 20, 2008 at 01:52 PM
Glaus sucks? The guy posted the 7th best OPS for 3B in all of baseball last year. He was virtually a statistical tie with Evan Longoria in OPS.
The downside to Glaus is obviously his contract and defense. His value is tempered because of the financial commitment a team has to make ($11.25m for 09). That said, he is far from a chump and would be a huge upgrade for several teams with aspirations of contending. I don't see the Cards moving him though.
As for Street he had a very poor season. Out of 25 save opportunities he blew 7 of them. That's not good. Year before he blew 5 out of 21. Year before that (2006) 11 out of 48. Folks, 75% conversion rate is awful. He is below average as a closer.
I like Street a lot but he should not be closing games. Nor should he be paid like one. Some team will make a very poor decision to trade for a closer and end up with a good set-up man instead.
Posted by: bjsguess | October 20, 2008 at 02:04 PM
Happy to see Elly stick around. He is a great teammate and saves a lot of runs with his glovework.
Posted by: 1quik6 | October 20, 2008 at 02:11 PM
"With Chavez' injuries and little in terms of third base prospects, I wouldn't be surprised to see Adrian Cardenas get some time over there now that Ellis is locked up (likely until Jemile Weeks will be ready.)"
I think the position the A's are planning for Cardenas is SS. He's playing it in the AFL. Locking up Ellis could be seen as an endorsement of Cardenas at SS, to an extent.
3B would also be a good idea for Cardenas, as you said. Depends on what happens this offseason in terms of trades, and whether there is a trade for either another prospect(s) at one of 3B/SS.
Posted by: melonis rex | October 20, 2008 at 02:46 PM
The thing about Street is: He plays hurt and doesn't tell anyone and hurts his team in doing so. He's been great at times and simply awful at other ones. I dont know if he's reached his ceiling already, but there's plenty of signs that he has.
Glaus, you know what you're getting: league average defense and an OPS+ of 120-130. Give him 600 PAs and he will give you 100 RCs. If we could have that kind of run production out of 3B, our team would be very good. Not to mention how well Glaus hits in Texas and Aneheim....
Street appears to be a lil over-rated by some posters here, we already have about 20 different options to go to internally for relief pitching, and Joey Devine deserves a shot at closing, so Street should be traded now while his value is still good. Chase Headley for Street would be an absolute steal for us, and Kouzmanoff is basically Hannahan with 15 more dingers a year, no thanks.
Posted by: Athletic Domination | October 20, 2008 at 03:01 PM
Personally, I'd like to see Oakland go after Ian Stewart over there in Colorado. I know they're trying to move Garrett Atkins to make room for him, but if Oakland offered up the right deal(which they could, thanks to their absurd amount of young talented pitching prospects), they could could the cost-effective and productive third baseman they need.
Posted by: DirtyThirty | October 20, 2008 at 03:06 PM
they could get*
Posted by: DirtyThirty | October 20, 2008 at 03:09 PM
I support getting Ian Stewart here, but it probably wont happen. It would be like another team trying to get CarGo from us.
Posted by: Athletic Domination | October 20, 2008 at 03:12 PM
Any player can be traded for the right price. The Rockies want young started and are going to need a closer after Fuentes walks?
What can't be worked out that the A's don't have in that category?
Posted by: green_and_gold | October 20, 2008 at 03:17 PM
*young starters
Posted by: green_and_gold | October 20, 2008 at 03:17 PM
Street is somewhat overrated, I will agree. Closers in general are overrated. If people continue to regard Street as a "closer" though, he will be at below market value. For a top notch set-up man (which, I will agree, he is),
Although, I think the theorized "dropoff" between closers and set-up men are marginal, and heavily fabricated.
Which is why it is best not to deal Street alone, but to package him with a pitching prospect(s) (i.e. Vin Mazarro, James Simmons, etc.) to net a nice 3B/SS prospect. Use that depth to fill holes. Just don't move Anderson or Cahill.
Posted by: melonis rex | October 20, 2008 at 03:28 PM
**for a top notch set up man, he is market value.
Posted by: melonis rex | October 20, 2008 at 03:28 PM
That Tango article is ridiculous.
He signed at below market value. Nobody FORCED him to sign that deal. He could have tested the market if he wanted to. Please shut up and stop trying to make controversy over it.
Posted by: melonis rex | October 20, 2008 at 03:32 PM
"Which is why it is best not to deal Street alone, but to package him with a pitching prospect(s) (i.e. Vin Mazarro, James Simmons, etc.) to net a nice 3B/SS prospect. Use that depth to fill holes. Just don't move Anderson or Cahill."
The main issue is that there are so few available shortstop prospects that in order to land one you need to give up massive value. Off the top of your head, who would the A's go after? Andrus? Triunfel? Lowrie? Escobar?
Nearly every top shortstop prospect that is actually going to stay at short will be untouchable because there are so few elite shortstop prospects high up in the minors. Most top SS prospects end up moving off of short by the time they are closing in on the majors.
But the concept of packaging Street with other players is definitely something I like, because I think the A's will be fairly disappointed by what the offers are for Street. If they are willing to include a guy like Simmons or Mazzaro though, I think that package would hold a pretty good deal of value.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 20, 2008 at 04:13 PM
scribbletone-
You're definitely right. Most good SS prospects are pretty much untouchable. If an offer comes up, which it might, you never know with the market, BB should jump on it, hopefully though. 3B is also a position of interest and, in my opinion, the #1 position to upgrade.
"Any player can be traded for the right price. The Rockies want young started and are going to need a closer after Fuentes walks?
What can't be worked out that the A's don't have in that category?"
The key is that the Rox need a SP who will contribute NOW at the level of a #2-3. A's don't have that. Duke's injuries are a turnoff, Eveland/Smith/Braden are #5 type/upside guys, Mazarro/Simmons/Outman/etc. aren't ready yet, and I'm not sure on Gallagher (although I really think he will be something special, and want to keep him, trading him might be a bad idea). Rox have decent near-MLB ready SP prospects in Greg Reynolds and Franklin Morales, the former being a #2? overall pick (I know it was somewhere in the top 5).
Posted by: melonis rex | October 20, 2008 at 11:56 PM
I think it's true that Braden is a #5 type at best, but I think Smith will have a better career and in his prime could become a solid #3-4 type pitcher. For not having dominating "stuff", the guy knows how to get batters out. And, i've seem him dial it up to 90-91 when he has to. He's never gonna be a front end guy, but he's good enough to become a solid middle of the rotation guy. I also think Eveland has the stuff to become a solid #3 type. It's just a matter of him gettin ahold of the mental part of his game, because the potential is there. It wouldn't suprise me to see Beane move one of these guys in the offseason in a package, or for 1-2 position prospects. Cahill and Anderson will both be knocking on the door before A's fans know it.
Posted by: jpshark | October 22, 2008 at 07:11 PM