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Odds and Ends: Yankees, Lowe, D'Backs

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I thought they already made the decision on Giles option. Anything other than picking it up would be moronic.

I do think the Unit will be a bargain, because he has shown that he can still pitch. I don't think that Lowe will be, however, because I think they will get at least market value for him.

I would love to see the Yanks make a trade for Butler if they can't sign Tex. That would give them a very cheap option for 1B while being able to spend money on pitching... or Manny. The line-up could resemble something like this:

1. Damon CF
2. Jeter SS
3. A-Rod 3B
4. Manny LF/RF
5. Matsui DH
6. Posada C
7. Nady RF/LF
8. Cano 2B
9. Butler 1B

That would be a nice line-up to have.

Cardinals ought to consider a Rick Ankiel for Kelly Johnson and Derek Lillibridge swap.

The Cardinals are pretty deep in outfielders (Rasmus, Jay, Robinson, Mather etc.) and could certainly use middle infield help. Lillibridge's stock took a hit this year, but St. Louis could take a chance on him, while Johnson is an ideal answer for their second base woes.

If the Yankees are going to try an unproven player, they've already got Juan Miranda on the 40 man roster. Lefty bat, mashes righties, can't hit lefties.

Personally, I could see a team like Boston, Baltimore, Toronto, New York (both, actually) and maybe Philadelphia give Derek Lowe something like 4 years, $68 Million with a mutual option for a fifth year (maybe $12 Million with a $3 Million buyout?) Does that sound about right for Lowe?

Also, I agree with AA about Randy Johnson being considered a "bargin." Regardless of how well he pitched last year, a 45-46 year old starter should get no more than $6 Million. This is the reason why I hated the $8 Million deal the Red Sox gave Curt Schilling last year.

Colton,

That team would score alot of runs...but that may be the worst defensive team ever.

"Also, I agree with AA about Randy Johnson being considered a "bargin." Regardless of how well he pitched last year, a 45-46 year old starter should get no more than $6 Million. This is the reason why I hated the $8 Million deal the Red Sox gave Curt Schilling last year."

Well, Johnson has much less of an injury history than Schilling and is a little better liked by the general public. Also, Johnson has really transformed himself from a hard, wild thrower to a command pitcher (not that throwing 93 consistently is a bad thing). I think he actually has at least 2 productive years left if he wants to stick around.

"Derek Lillibridge"

Brent. Did we nearly have our first mention of Derek Lilliquist on MLBTR?

If the Yanks should fail to sign a 1B then what do you think of going after Kevin Millar for a 1 year deal and maybe platooning him with Miranda and see how Miranda handles major league pitching? In this case, unlike the idea of bringing in Mike Cameron to play CF, I would be willing to bring in an older guy to help usher in a rookie. If Miranda does well then you give more playing time and Millar adds to your bench strength. If Miranda fails then it's back to the minors and Millar becomes your regular 1B and you start all over again in winter 09 for an improvement. With so few really good minor league prospects I really want to avoid any trades unless where picking up a substantial palyer.

"That would be a nice line-up to have."

And also about the worst defensive field I have ever seen. The only guy you have out there who could legitimately field his position on a day to day basis is Nady. Damon can barely handle fielding to begin with these days, much less going back to Center, and Manny's bad enough in left without the Monster to protect him, throwing him in a foreign position would be an absolute joke. That's not even getting started on the questionable left side of the infield the Yankees already have going and the questionable ability of Posada to continue catching. Sure, that's a line up that can mash with the best of them, but mashing doesn't account for much when you've got mediocre fielding behind mediocre pitching.

Signing Manny would be the single biggest mistake the Yankees could make this offseason. They're already weighed down by enough albatross signings in guys like Posada (Who fell apart immediately upon re-signing), A-Rod (The perennial star who's an immovable object) and Jeter (Who's been losing a step each year he continues at short). Throwing a guy like Tex a long contract is one thing, but Manny's going to want a four year deal and that would be an epically idiotic move to make for them. A fifth DH is about the last thing the already potent Yankee offense needs. They need to shore up their inconsistent starting pitching, terribly shallow relief pitching and mediocre defense. The only thing they've got right at the moment is offense, adding another big hitter at the expense of fielding is not the resolution there.

"Personally, I could see a team like Boston, Baltimore, Toronto, New York (both, actually) and maybe Philadelphia give Derek Lowe something like 4 years, $68 Million with a mutual option for a fifth year (maybe $12 Million with a $3 Million buyout?) Does that sound about right for Lowe?"

Not even close. Lowe is a league average pitcher who was helped by a pitchers' park. He is not going to draw $17 million per with a fifth year option. Even at a cheaper price, I couldn't imagine Boston giving him a contract of that length. If Pedroa freakin' Martinez couldn't pull that much time out of them, Derek Lowe sure as heck won't. Signing mid thirties pitchers to long term deals is the complete opposite of Epstein's entire M.O. I don't think he's ever signed a pitcher past thirty to anything more than a two season commitment at a time. The longest contract I've seen Epstein sign a pitcher to in his time here was Matsuzaka's six years, and he was only twenty-six when he signed that.

Will Ohman may want to stay in Atlanta, but as a Cubs fan, I would like to see him sign with one of the following teams:

a. Milwaukee
b. St. Louis
c. Houston
d. Cincinnati
e. Pittsburgh

Randy Johnson is a bargain for a few reason.

First he wouldn't cost any prospects to acquire as he's not a type A/B free agent and is available vis free agency vs a trade.

Second he'll likely only go for a 1 year deal so there's no long term risk involved.

Third, he's got a real solid chance at being one of the last, if not the last, pitcher to earn 300 wins and should do it in 09.

There is some risk involved, as with every transaction, but I think the rewards here make signing him a no brainer for any team with the free payroll and an opening for a pitcher.

I don't see Lowe being a bargain. We've heard his name mentioned regarding 2/3 of the teams in baseball. Once Sabathia is off the board everyone is going to be trying to grab Lowe as a parting gift. The only way he'll be a bargain is if he takes less money to play where he wants.

I'm not pushing for the Yanks to sign Man-NY but it would be amazing to have him hit behind Arod as a DH. We would have to dump Matsui on someone but it would be worth it.

I often wonder if being in NY would solve some of Man-NY's problems?

-Would playing in a more ethnicaly diverse market make Man-NY more comfortable? The Yanks have tons of latin players in Arod, Posada, Rivera, Cano, Cabrera, Bettemit, etc as opposed to just Ortiz and Lugo.

-Would coming back to the Bronx where there's a large Dominican population give him more of a sense of pride and respect on how he handles himself?

-Would the fact that this last contract will be his last opportunity to turn around his image as a bad "personality" going into the end of a HOF career?

-Would playing along stars such as Arod, Jeter and Rivera help him because all eyes wouldn't be on just him?

-If he's DH'ing full time then his defense wouldn't be an issue.

-WOuld Man-NY take pride in being "the one" to bring the 1st WS banner to the new stadium. If he did that he would easily be the most popular Yankee next to Jeter. He could write his own ticket in that city.

It's intriguing to think about it and would certainly be the kind of move that George would've made in a heartbeat.

I think Lowe is going to get a lot more than you think, Zerobsessions. A lot of small park, big money teams are going to like a durable righty GB guy like him. Agreed that 5 years is too much, but 4/60 doesn't seem impossible. Phillies make so much sense.

I could see Randy Johnson going to the Dodgers. Torre would love to have a vet on the staff, especially if they cant sign CC. He would make a solid #3 or #4 and give the team a little nastiness. I guarantee you he would've had no problem throwing at the Phillies after they thru at Man-NY.

I've actually bringing up on other forums I post in the thought of the Yankees trying to make a deal with the Royals. They have way too many potential first basemen, and not only that, some are very talented.

0bsessions, I know that the Red Sox won't give him the 4 years. The only reason I put them on there is because Lowe wants to come back. Everything we have seen on here, from Tim and the media, says that Boras wants a 4 year, $60 Million deal for Derek Lowe. If one of those teams offers him 4/60, the rest will need to outbid them, which is where my 4/68 with an option figure came from.

P.S. I only put East Coast teams on there because Derek said that's where he's going.

Lowe's choose's:

BoSox - Can afford
Mets - Can't afford with Santana's contract.
Yankees - Need a salary cap.
Pirates - Can't afford.
Orioles - Don't want him?
Braves - Can afford.
Rays - Can't afford.
Marlins - Can't afford.

So, Lowe signs with BoSox, Braves or Dodgers.

JRD, would the Braves still be able to afford him if/when they acquire Jake Peavy? I know how cheap they are, but would they ACTUALLY be able to afford both?

"M

Lowe's choose's:

BoSox - Can afford
Mets - Can't afford with Santana's contract.
Yankees - Need a salary cap.
Pirates - Can't afford.
Orioles - Don't want him?
Braves - Can afford.
Rays - Can't afford.
Marlins - Can't afford.

So, Lowe signs with BoSox, Braves or Dodgers."

BoSox- Can afford

Mets- Can afford another starting pitcher. They have about 30MM to spend. They just shouldn't go for CC.

Yankees- They don't have their salary cap yet, so they can sign him.

Pirates- Nah

Orioles- Could be a darkhorse for him. They need pitching, big time.

Braves- Most logical choice IMO.

Rays- So many reasons not to.

Marlins- Nah.

"JRD, would the Braves still be able to afford him if/when they acquire Jake Peavy? I know how cheap they are, but would they ACTUALLY be able to afford both?
"

Lowe would be an option if the Braves couldn't get Peavy.

Lowe is cheaper than Peavy is. Lowe will require like 15-20 million a year. Peavy will require 11 million to 22 over 5 years with 5 players. So, please tell me which one you would rather have?

Correcting myself:
Peavy will get just shy of 60 million over 4 years and 22 million club option in 2014. Meaning, he'll get about over 80 million over 5 years.

Based on what you give up, Lowe. Based on caliber, age, talent/ability, and stats, Peavy. It all depends on WHO those 5-7 players end up being.

The Padres want two of the five top prospects, including Hanson.

I thought the Braves had alot of great, young arms? If they do, I would loosen the grip on Hanson, seeing as how it's for 5 years of Jake Peavy.

Lowe a bargain? What is he smoking? Unless you consider $16 mil over 4 seasons at age 35 a bargain for a guy who parties hearty...

Lowe is not NEAR the same league in talent as Peavy.

As a Yankees fan, I don't want Lowe at all! He does not have the stuff to get out AL Beast hitters. If he did, the Red Sux wouldn't have let him go in 04' after he went 14-12 5.42era! Do you all think just because he pitched well in the worst division in MLB that he'll come back to the AL Beast five years older and dominate? No thanks!

LOL @ Worldcup! I know what you mean.

The Yankees need to make a trade with the Royals and land Zach Greinke. He's young, has great stuff and has already proven he can handle AL batting orders.

If they don't feel Garder can handle full-time duty, expand the deal to include DeJesus...and if they aren't planning on landing Tex, maybe try and get Billy Butler as well. The Royals just traded for Mike Jacobs today. Why...who knows...but now they have a log jam at 1B.

DEREK LOW IS A BUM..... no maby not a bum.....he is just ok.....he pitshes in a pitchers park....in the NL WEST..... kie igawa could win 15 games in that division....he should get no more then a 2 year 20mill deal......but he will prob get around 48-52 mill over 4 years.....oh yea and he is old

Last time I checked. Yankees are looking for a power hitter for 1B. 19 home runs and 107 rbi's over a 2 year period is not what the Yankees want.

Unless Burnett opts out. It's either Peavy or Lowe.

Hooray for silly trade posts!

Since when is Rick Ankiel (a Boras client who's a FA after next year) worth 3 years of Kelly Johnson AND 5 years of Brent Lillibridge? But that doesn't even take into account the fact that Martin Prado would be the only guy to my knowledge left to start at 2nd base. Or, they could bring back Marcus Giles! Rasmus maybe. Could you see Rasmus and Schafer out there for the next 6+ years?

jjyankeesfan2: To get a young controllable fairly (and I use that term kinda lossely) proven pitcher like Grienke, a solid CF with a good contract like DeJesus, and what some consider a high-upside hitting prospect like Butler, you need to give up some quality players in return. I don't think guys like Melky and Kennedy are gonna cut it. The Royals front office is committed to winning or at least trying to win in the next year or 2, so unless they'd be getting back Hughes or Jackson you wouldn't see that many players moved. Though I will agree that the Yankees should be targeting a Royals 1B in a trade.

Maybe I'm undervaluing Hughes here though, I'd be interested to see how the non-NY fans respond to that, lol.

"The Yankees need to make a trade with the Royals and land Zach Greinke. He's young, has great stuff and has already proven he can handle AL batting orders.

If they don't feel Garder can handle full-time duty, expand the deal to include DeJesus...and if they aren't planning on landing Tex, maybe try and get Billy Butler as well. The Royals just traded for Mike Jacobs today. Why...who knows...but now they have a log jam at 1B."

What exactly would the Yankees trade for those three players, b/c AJax, Montero,Hughes and Kennedy wouldn't get it done? Now i could see them acquiring Grienke for a Hughes, Montero, Kennedy + 1 package but i don't think they can get all three.

"The Yankees need to make a trade with the Royals and land Zach Greinke. He's young, has great stuff and has already proven he can handle AL batting orders.

If they don't feel Garder can handle full-time duty, expand the deal to include DeJesus...and if they aren't planning on landing Tex, maybe try and get Billy Butler as well. The Royals just traded for Mike Jacobs today. Why...who knows...but now they have a log jam at 1B."

What exactly would the Yankees trade for those three players, b/c AJax, Montero,Hughes and Kennedy wouldn't get it done? Now i could see them acquiring Grienke for a Hughes, Montero, Kennedy + 1 package but i don't think they can get all three.

Grienke makes a ton of sense for the Yankees because he is young...cheap...and had a nice year this season...dont forget that his brother was drafted by the Yankees this year (Luke Grienke) and that may influence him to come as well...

Greinke is young and talented but he has only had one good year (13-10) in a week division playing outside the spotlight. I wouldn't trade HUghes, Montero, kenedy, Ajax and a prospect for him. That's getting fleeced. Hughes alone has the potential to be a 13-10 guy. Or you can just sign Oliver Perez and get the same production and save the prospects.

"-Would playing in a more ethnicaly diverse market make Man-NY more comfortable? The Yanks have tons of latin players in Arod, Posada, Rivera, Cano, Cabrera, Bettemit, etc as opposed to just Ortiz and Lugo."

He was crying for trades back when the Sox were known for being one of the most Latino clubs in the Majors.

"-Would coming back to the Bronx where there's a large Dominican population give him more of a sense of pride and respect on how he handles himself?"

Boston has a rather sizable Dominican population as well. He's not exactly hanging out with the fans.

"-Would the fact that this last contract will be his last opportunity to turn around his image as a bad "personality" going into the end of a HOF career?"

I really don't imagine he's too concerned with his image, otherwise he wouldn't have behaved the way he did on his way out of Boston.

"-Would playing along stars such as Arod, Jeter and Rivera help him because all eyes wouldn't be on just him?"

Playing next to guys like Ortiz, Pedro and Nomar didn't seem to shut him up.

"-If he's DH'ing full time then his defense wouldn't be an issue."

This is a moot point, considering the Yankees already have three guys skirting the fence of full time DH in Damon, Matsui and Posada. They don't need a fourth.

"-WOuld Man-NY take pride in being "the one" to bring the 1st WS banner to the new stadium. If he did that he would easily be the most popular Yankee next to Jeter. He could write his own ticket in that city."

Ummmm...yeah, about that. I sincerely doubt that bringing that oh so long awaited first banner to the championship starved city of New York in all of just under a decade is really going to overshadow being one of the guys who ended an eighty-six year long drought in Boston.

Face the facts, there is no conceivable way that Manny in Pinstripes is a smart move for that club right now. I'm not saying this as some big Manny hater or anything as I loved the guy in Boston and he is probably one of the three greatest right hand bats of the last decade along with Pujols and A-Rod. The fact of the matter is, a bat's presence in the lineup is not the only consideration when signing a player. If it were, the Sox wouldn't have traded him to begin with, since they had complete control over him through the 2010 season with his team option years. The Yankees have been consistently one of the top five offenses in the MLB for years running, adding another big bat isn't going to help them. They need pitching and defense. Throwing a $100 million contract at a big bat while ignoring their other needs is how they got into the complete mess they're in right now. Mark Teixeira is one thing, he brings gold glove D to the table and is likely to be a top tier player for close to another decade, Manny's got maybe another three years in the tank if he's lucky. Not to mention his completely bipolar attitude. In February, he wanted to retire a Red Sox, he loved it here and wouldn't trade it for anything. In August, he wanted to retire a Dodger, he loved it there and wouldn't trade it for anything. He has made it abundantly clear that he is a bat for hire that will give you between 75 and 85% dependent upon how far you are going to please him at the expense of everything else.

"What exactly would the Yankees trade for those three players, b/c AJax, Montero,Hughes and Kennedy wouldn't get it done? Now i could see them acquiring Grienke for a Hughes, Montero, Kennedy + 1 package but i don't think they can get all three".

LOL!! There is no way on Earth the Yankees would NEED to offer that much. It cracks me up how non-Yankee fans come on here and think we should give Hughes, Kennedy, A Jax, Montero, Cano, Romine and all of Big Stein's grandkids for one nice pitcher and two average players. Last I checked, DeJesus is a .285 8hr type of player who plays average D. Butler had a nice 2nd half but he's raw and only 22. I wouldn't give Montero ALONE for Butler AND DeJesus...and either would the Yankees.


Obsessions: WHo said signing Man-NY would in anyway keep them from signing other needs?

First off, I said Man-NY would be an intriguing luxury to have. I agree that pitching would be a #1 concern. But it also wouldn't hurt to have an amazing bat like Man-NY hitting behind Arod. I think CC, Perez and Tex would be my ideal pickups with Man-NY being a temptation.

CC-25 mil
Perez-12 mil
Tex-20 mil
Man-NY- 25 mil

We lose 80 mil off the books plus we would have to dump Matsui's contract on someone and pick up half so it wouldn't kill the Yanks budget to sign Man-NY. May kill 'em in other ways...haha.

"Cardinals ought to consider a Rick Ankiel for Kelly Johnson and *Brent* Lillibridge swap."

Johnson is a younger player at a harder position to find than Ankiel with a better eye and gap power equivalent to Ankiels raw power. Why would the Braves do that when they could use him to get someone better or just sign Ibanez? o.0

Kelly Johnson's "gap power" is hardly equivalent to Ankiel's raw power. KJ posted a .440 slugging percentage; Ankiel .506.

The Braves are seeking a slugging outfielder, and Ankiel fits that mode. His defense is also stellar; he was a regular Web Gem contributor. Johnson is a nice ballplayer, but Cox didn't see him as an everyday player.

And Ibanez is 36 years old. If a team wants to bank on a 36 year old guy changing leagues, so be it. The Braves will pay him a lot more, and he's just as likely to go in the tank as continue putting up decent numbers.

"Kelly Johnson's "gap power" is hardly equivalent to Ankiel's raw power. KJ posted a .440 slugging percentage; Ankiel .506."

Johnson has a much better OBP, makes better contact, has a better eye and plays 2B, which is almost always the weakest offensive position on the team.

"The Braves are seeking a slugging outfielder, and Ankiel fits that mode. His defense is also stellar; he was a regular Web Gem contributor."

Ankiel's +/- disagrees with you. He was a -15 this year. Also, his RF/9 was below average in both CF and LF. He has a great arm, but he is slow and still learning how to read balls.

"We lose 80 mil off the books plus we would have to dump Matsui's contract on someone and pick up half so it wouldn't kill the Yanks budget to sign Man-NY. May kill 'em in other ways...haha."

Unless they eat the majority or the entirety of his contract and accept back a deal along the lines of Wily Mo Pena and Willie Harris, the Yankees probably aren't dumping Matsui's contract.

Ankiel isn't even worth Johnson or Lillibridge, individually. So, if the Cardinals want either one of them, they better start giving up Ankiel and a prospect. For both, it will cost Ankiel and a few prospects, maybe like 3.

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