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I'd disagree with Jackson's assertion that Teixiera would "marginally" outperform Giambi. According to the plus/minus system, Teixiera was 42(!) plays better than Giambi at 1B last year. +24 to -18. Easiest, most obviously way to tighten up a weak defense, even if it is 1B.
Posted by: Not Joe Morgan | October 17, 2008 at 10:24 AM
That plan for the White Sox simply doesn't work. There is ZERO chance that they sign a CF without first trading Swisher, Dye, or Konerko. First of all it doesn't make sense from a payroll standpoint, and secondly, there's no way Swisher sits on the bench when a trade could be made for something useful, because even with Swisher's lousy 2008, he has a reasonable contract and wouldn't be hard to shop.
Posted by: cabiness42 | October 17, 2008 at 10:52 AM
So Mets sign K-Rod for like 15m per and Manny to 25m per and then two 'second/third tier' starters...that could be another 8-10m...so the Mets should have a 160m payroll?
Posted by: viktor06 | October 17, 2008 at 11:13 AM
i dont think Dunn fits into the Cubs lineup that well (to many K's). i think the Cubs would like to get Bobby Abreu.
Posted by: cubs land | October 17, 2008 at 11:15 AM
I see where Jackson is going with this.
Jeter and A-Rod will begin to show signs of aging before their contracts end. I think they will be adept with their bats through their careers, but I'm skeptical that their gloves will be as skilled, especially with the demands of their respective positions.
The Yankees could sign Teixeira, and not put a long-term commitment in LF, so one could move to LF and the other to DH if necessary.
Posted by: melonis rex | October 17, 2008 at 11:20 AM
I have to say that the Braves will get one OF. Who? I'm not sure.
Posted by: melonis rex | October 17, 2008 at 11:21 AM
Andrew- I agree with you, although Swisher shouldn't be traded.
Posted by: melonis rex | October 17, 2008 at 11:22 AM
I'm a little puzzled on how and why Moneyball would be turned into a movie.
Posted by: Aaron | October 17, 2008 at 12:21 PM
BONDERMANNNNNNN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by: Not Joe Morgan | October 17, 2008 at 12:30 PM
(tosses chair through wall)
Posted by: Not Joe Morgan | October 17, 2008 at 12:30 PM
They should get Jeremy Brown to play himself, seeing as it's not like he's too busy in professional baseball or anything like that.
Posted by: 92-93 | October 17, 2008 at 12:39 PM
Subtitle for Moneyball movie:
How to beat a 4-team division with terrible GMs and then get your a--es handed to you in the playoffs every year.
Posted by: cabiness42 | October 17, 2008 at 12:51 PM
I think there is almost no doubt that one of Konerko, Thome, or Dye has to be moved. The Sox simply can't keep Swish in center and that leaves five guys for four spots with Quentin.
Ideally they would be able to move Konerko and push Swisher to first base, but Konerko probably has the least value of any of those guys and he has a NTC.
As for Dunn on the Cubs, my main reason for saying no would be defense. Having Soriano and Dunn on the corners would give the Cubs awful defense, especially if they played Fukudome in center some. He's a lefty power bat that would definitely look nice in the lineup but I would look at other alternatives first.
And this was discussed last night, and now I've slept on it and decided it's a move I would be in favor of making:
Soriano (6/106 left), Felix Pie, and one of Mike Fontenot and Chad Gaudin to the Blue Jays for Vernon Wells (6/100 left).
The Cubs get an elite CF with a contract nearly as brutal as Soriano's, while greatly improving their defense and pushing Soriano out of the leadoff spot. The Cubs have their hands tied with Soriano leading off and I really think they need to look into moving him.
The Blue Jays can either move Rios to center and Snider to right or move Snider to first and put Pie in center. Soriano would give the Jays a powerful bat for their lineup as well as some speed that they're lacking. They also land a future CF replacement for Wells and either a guy to get time at second since Hills coming back from injury or a solid youngish reliever who can start in Gaudin. The Cubs may have to shift around some guys in the deal to make it work but a Soriano/Wells swap seems very interesting to me.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 17, 2008 at 12:52 PM
Moneyball movie?
Who will watch this other then hardcore baseball fans? Even then will they see it? Brad Pitt? This is Billy Beane? Like the real joe morgan I'll say " of course Beane would make himself the hero in his own book/movie!" This is a bad idea.
Posted by: joemorgan=#1 | October 17, 2008 at 01:06 PM
Scribble-
I'm sure the Jays would jump at that in a second. I know I would. They would slide Gaudin into that rotation and Soriano would give them a serious power upgrade and fontenot would look real nice in that infield if they moved Hill back to short. I just think the cubs would be getting too little return. Wells has been injured and playing way below his old self.
Posted by: joemorgan=#1 | October 17, 2008 at 01:11 PM
I wish Billy Beane would write a book about Michael Lewis to completely confuse Joe Morgan.
Posted by: Not Joe Morgan | October 17, 2008 at 01:20 PM
Yea i agree Lowe and Giambi won't be back with their teams and the Cubs won't be signing Dunn...I don't think Manny will go to the Mets either i think the Dodgers will resign him because they got guys like Lowe,Nomar,and Kent leaving and they can take the money and resign him and the Mets more need pitching.
Posted by: JT89 | October 17, 2008 at 01:41 PM
I like that deal for the cubs though. They get a nice CF, which is much more valuable then Soriano's contract. Besides, Vernon is due to have a monster season this year. 03,06,09? Is it a trend? ;-)
Posted by: nrmax88 | October 17, 2008 at 01:42 PM
I am okay with the deal for Soriano for Wells, BUT i do not agree with other players in that deal? Why cant it just be a evan swap if anything? Toronto is getting one hella of a deal with all those players; therefore, i dont see that deal ever happening unless they take those players out.
Posted by: cubs land | October 17, 2008 at 01:49 PM
The Cubs would have to throw in players other than Soriano because Soriano's contract is worse (last through age 38, Wells until he's 35), and because overall Vernon Wells is a better player. He's a similar hitter to Soriano, although he doesn't have as much power he makes more contact. And then there is defense, where Wells is an elite CF and Soriano is a mediocre LF. This move would greatly improved their defense. Plus, I think the Cubs would move Pie anyways if they got Wells, and those other players are pretty expendable.
I'm just completely convinced that Sorianos contract with be god awful when his tools begin to decline, because his discipline and defense aren't good. Everyone knew this when the deal was signed, but now I think it's really important for Chicago to get out of his deal before his stark decline begins.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 17, 2008 at 03:00 PM
(Wells' numbers in CF last season absolutely sucked. -16 and a bad RZR.)
Posted by: Not Joe Morgan | October 17, 2008 at 03:44 PM
"(Wells' numbers in CF last season absolutely sucked. -16 and a bad RZR.)"
"He's a similar hitter to Soriano, although he doesn't have as much power he makes more contact. And then there is defense, where Wells is an elite CF and Soriano is a mediocre LF."
Wells was not a -16 last season (2007), but Soriano's arm actually adds significant positives to his defense. In fact, in 2006, they were both a +15 in the field and ranked among the top in the league at their respective positions in +/-
As for their bats, I really don't think anyone can argue that Soriano is the better overall hitter. Wells is fast but never seems to use his speed and Soriano is still good for 20 SB if he is healthy. They had nearly identical OBPs this year, and Soriano's numbers suggest he is developing a better eye. I wouldn't be surprised to see him break .350 next year.
Posted by: AA | October 17, 2008 at 04:07 PM