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« Marlins Raise Payroll Limit To $40 Million | Main | Marcus Giles: Not Retired »
Lynn Henning of the Detroit News looks at the Tigers' offseason situation this morning. The Tigers need help in the bullpen and at shortstop and catcher. They don't have the payroll room to support this shopping list, so a trade of Magglio Ordonez may be necessary.
Ordonez, 35 in January, hit .317/.376/.494 in 623 plate appearances this year. Assuming 457 plate appearances in 2009, Ordonez is owed $51MM over the next three seasons ($17MM per year on average). That's about market value. Henning says the Tigers could trade Ordonez mainly for salary relief, or eat money to get better players in return. My guess at possible suitors: the Rays, Reds, and Phillies.
Henning figures that money, as opposed to lost draft picks, might make it difficult for the Tigers to wade into the free agent market to fill their needs.
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I still think that Ordonez to the Reds is a very interesting concept. The Reds really need a veteran run producer for the middle of their order, as well as a LF, and Ordonez could fit that slot. The Reds could afford to take on his salary, and have one of the most stacked farm systems in baseball. Something like Ordonez for Chris Valaika and Daryl Thompson could be very interesting. I'm assuming the Tigers would want a SS like Valaika in the deal, as well as some pitching. The Tigers could also look at guys like Devin Mesoraco, Homer Bailey, Juan Francisco, Juan Duran and Todd Frazier as well, although the Reds will surely not be willing to give up very much.
Another team could be the Cubs, if they didn't mind that he's a righty. He would fit into their lineup quite well and maybe the Cubs could include Marquis to offset the money somewhat. Something like Ordonez (3/48) for Marquis (1/10), Gaudin, Cedeno and Ceda?
The Cubs get their big bat without taking on big salary. The Tigers get an innings eater, a solid bullpen arm, a potential SS option and a potential future closer. I don't know if either team would be interested, just throwing the idea out there.
Another team could be the Dodgers, if they didn't resign Manny. Ordonez would give them a big name for the middle of their lineup, and the Dodgers could offer either Chin Lung Hu or Ivan DeJesus to become Detroit's everyday SS, and then throw in a good young pitcher like maybe Elbert or Wade.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 28, 2008 at 11:29 AM
I have a hard time picturing the Rays or Reds. Both are "small market teams" and will want Detroit to eat salary probably. This doesn't work if Detroit is looking for salary relief (depending on the $ amount).
The Phillies, if unable to retain Burrell are in, as are the Dodgers, Mets and perhaps the Rangers if Milton Bradley is not retained.
Maybe a three-way is involved with someone spinning prospects to Detroit from another team? Anyone want to get creative with that?
Posted by: turnthe2 | October 28, 2008 at 11:37 AM
how about...
Maggs for-
Bailey, Thompson, A-Gon
Two pitchers the Tigers could slot into their rotation both with many years left (both are not sure-fire Aces, but theyre good) and a shortstop, and they save about 12 million. Maybe they want some of the Reds relief prospects...
Posted by: GmblngPtchr20 | October 28, 2008 at 11:38 AM
I'd think the Braves, with their available cash and need for a right-handed power bat in the outfield, would be a good fit. Especially if the Tigers are so desparate to unload that salary that they wouldn't require any of the top-shelf prospects on Wren's list of untouchables.
Posted by: Stu | October 28, 2008 at 11:39 AM
"Another team could be the Cubs, if they didn't mind that he's a righty."
They do mind. They HAVE to have a lefty. This won't happen.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 28, 2008 at 11:40 AM
turnthe2...i dont think the Reds would require them to eat salary..Reds have money and payroll flexibility.
Posted by: GmblngPtchr20 | October 28, 2008 at 11:41 AM
Tigers will either have to eat salary or take lesser prospects. They won't be able to have it both ways.
Posted by: MickS | October 28, 2008 at 11:50 AM
Remember the Reds cut alot of payroll this year. They traded Dunn and Griffey, lost a decent amount of smaller contracts that add up to around 10-15 million (Patterson, Weathers, Affeldt headline this group)
I don't think the Reds would deal both Bailey and Thompson in the same deal though. Rather it be something like this
Majewski or Ronieke (sp), Thompson, Alex Gonzalez or Janish, and Tatum with the Reds taking on all the contract.
Tigers would get a reliever, a starting pitching prospect that looks to be a 3-5, a decent to good defensive SS and a solid catching prospect.
I think Bailey still has upside and if he were to be in the deal I would want the Tigers to take Gonzalez and split the difference remaining between the two contracts.
Maggs would definately work for the Reds though, very close to the perfect player for them, just would perfer someone a little younger that was stronger defensively, but you can't have it all.
Posted by: schellis | October 28, 2008 at 11:51 AM
one team that should be interested for magglio is the oakland a's. they are looking for a middle of the order right-handed bat, and actually have money to spend. A trade of Huston Street, Bobby Crosby and Aaron Cunningham for Magglio and some cash makes sense for both teams.
Posted by: a7j5s | October 28, 2008 at 11:54 AM
Well then scratch the Cubs off.
The Reds definitely have the money to afford Maggs, as well as the fact that he's a good fit. I forgot about Gonzalez, surely the Tigers would be interested in him. I could see a deal along two lines right now:
1. Ordonez for Cordero, Valaika and a prospect.
Tigers get their good closer, a potential SS and a good prospect, the Reds get their guy without taking on big money.
2. Ordonez for Gonzalez, Bailey and a prospect.
Tigers get a solid veteran SS, a high ceiling young arm that could be ready soon, and a prospect.
I dont really see the Rays or Phils going after him though.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 28, 2008 at 11:56 AM
Why would the Tigers do a trade including Cordero who makes 12 mil a year when they are trying to cut payroll and that is their reasoning behind trading Ordonez
Posted by: cwilli | October 28, 2008 at 12:08 PM
I think the Reds NEED to include Bailey to get the Tigers to bite.
I think A-Gon, Roeneke, and Bailey is very very fair, and a good trade for both teams.
Posted by: GmblngPtchr20 | October 28, 2008 at 12:08 PM
Tigers should definitely eat "some" salary so they can get prospects back. It will still free up a good amount of salary, just if enough could be eaten to get Magglio to a 13-14MM/yr range, it would attract better prospects.
I could see the Phillies going after Magglio to fill the void after Burrell leaves. Especially if the Mets go out and sign a big bopper for LF.
Reds and Cubs make sense as well. The Reds did cut payroll by trading Dunn/Griff, and will have the cash to spend on a big bopper. Cubs could easily do a trade involving one of Marshall/Gaudin (cheap MLB arm to plug into rotation) and other stuff. Tigers wouldn't have to eat salary to trade to the Cubs though.
Rays make zero sense. I could see payroll being the issue here. Sternberg plans to raise payroll, but I don't think it will be enough to both sustain the raises due to current core players who should NOT be traded, deal with arbitration cases, fix minor issues on the team, AND take on a 17MM commitment (Rays have no significant money coming off the books). I don't know though. If the Tigers were willing to eat a good portion of salary, they could get some fine pitching in return though.
Posted by: melonis rex | October 28, 2008 at 12:10 PM
"Why would the Tigers do a trade including Cordero who makes 12 mil a year when they are trying to cut payroll and that is their reasoning behind trading Ordonez"
12MM is less than 17MM, and the Tigers fill a major "need" on their squad. Although, that trade does make limited sense, and the Tigers should focus on prospects.
Posted by: melonis rex | October 28, 2008 at 12:11 PM
I've watched Bailey closely and I'm not sure what to make of him. That mid 90's fastball on draft day has settled in at 90/91 m.p.h. and is as straight and flat as an arrow. He can't locate his off-speed stuff and he has a reputation as uncoachable and unwilling to listen. Still, he's probably a reasonable gamble due to his youth and the Reds seem more than willing to deal him. Gonzalez has played very little for the Reds owing to injuries and family issues. The Tigers would have to insist on a Valaika or Stubbs type talent coming back to make it a fair trade.
Posted by: MickS | October 28, 2008 at 12:11 PM
I think Cordero has a limited no-trade clause. That being said I wouldn't mind the Reds moving him provided they resigned Affeldt or brought in another solid bullpen arm and move Burton into the closer role. I thought Burton was the Reds best reliever last year anyway.
I don't think the Tigers get alot for him though unless they are picking up alot of the contract as well. There are some good offensive OFs on the FA list that teams could take on without the cost of prospects.
Posted by: schellis | October 28, 2008 at 12:14 PM
Schellis beat me to the punch. I meant to meantion the trade offs of Junior and Dunn. Plus, didn't they want to get rid of Arroyo? Maybe if they did Arroyo and some, that may make sense.
Like I said, the Phils do make sense IF they don't keep Burrell. His $ for this year is just a few mil less than Magglio. Plus, what is Jenkins contract? Was it just one year? Maybe him and a package of prospects....I dont know what their farm is like, but if they have any good/decent middle infielders it's highly unlikely that they will overthrow Utley/Rollins.
Posted by: turnthe2 | October 28, 2008 at 12:15 PM
I don't see the Reds dealing Valaika or Stubbs, especially Stubbs for potentially one year of Maggs.
Posted by: schellis | October 28, 2008 at 12:17 PM
The Phillies do have a SS prospect that is near ML ready. Just can't remember his name at the moment.
The Reds could deal Arroyo but his contract is beginning to get expensive for a back of the rotation pitcher, though I suppose it could be a take these two guys (Arroyo/Gonzalez) and you can have this prospect type deal as well.
Posted by: schellis | October 28, 2008 at 12:19 PM
as far as bailey goes im still not ready to give up on him. In his last game of the year in the AAA playoffs he pitched very well while sitting at 96 with his fastball. The Bats manager said its the best he has seen him pitch. Id very surprised if Walt does not try his best to get magglio to get that RH bat to hit between Votto and Bruce.
How about
Gonzalez , Roenicke , Thompson , and Tatum
for Maggs
Tigers get a shortstop , future closer in roencike who throw in upper 90's , good sp pitching prospect , and a good catching prospect.
then the reds would have a lineup of
dickerson / stubbs - cf
valaika / keppinger - ss
votto - 1st
maggs - lf
bruce - rf
phillips - 2nd
ee - 3rd
hanigan - c
rotation
harang
volquez
arroyo
cueto
bailey / micah
pen
cordero
burton
weathers if resigned
affeldt if resigned
bray
fisher
Posted by: redsfan | October 28, 2008 at 12:22 PM
"The Phillies do have a SS prospect that is near ML ready. Just can't remember his name at the moment."
Jason Donald?
Posted by: melonis rex | October 28, 2008 at 12:25 PM
"Rays have no significant money coming off the books"
Actually right now, with the current 09 Rays, salary increases included and all options picked up, it leaves the opening day payroll around 53 million. According to Sternberg and ownership, they would at least raise payroll 20%, which would be right at roughly 53 million. However, with Floyd and Percival questionable to play again because of injuries, thats 7 million off the books right there. So conceivably they have at least 7 million to add for next year with no other holes to fill, except for maybe a closer (likely via trade). If the Tigers pick up a portion of the contract (maybe one third), the Rays could offer the tigers a starting pitcher (Edwin Jackson or Andy Sonnanstine) as well a mlb ready shortstop in Ben Zobrist or top prospect Reid Brignac, who are both above average offensively and defensively. Seems to work well for both teams. Even if the Tigers eat a half of the contract, either of those pitchers and shortstop roughly make between 1-3 million combined, so the Tigers would have money to spend. 17MM-8MM(salary eaten)+2MM(players salary recieved)=11 million free to spend on bullpen or catcher.
Posted by: delmonmvp | October 28, 2008 at 12:25 PM
Dear Dave,
Julio Lugo is due for a resurgence at shortstop. Because we're such good friends, I'll swap 'lios with you, and even subsidize some of Lugo's contract.
Love,
Theo
Posted by: DunkinDonuts | October 28, 2008 at 12:30 PM
As a Reds fan I am ready to turn the page on the Bailey era, but I rather trade him for something that is going to be here longer. I think Bailey still highly regarded, in my perfect Reds off season they bring in Magglio or Kevin Youkilis (which I know is not going to happen) and trade Bailey to the Rangers for either Teagarden or Salty. Bailey for Salty makes so much sense for both teams that there is no chance that it will happen.
I can get behind the package that was offered above, might have to add another prospect to the deal but I think it would be better then any other team would offer for potentially one year of Magglio.
Posted by: schellis | October 28, 2008 at 12:35 PM
Melonis Rex that was the Phillies SS prospect that I was thinking of. I don't think he's a future all star by any means, and I thought there were concerns about him sticking at the position as well, but there aren't to many blue chip SS prospects that are on the market this year.
Posted by: schellis | October 28, 2008 at 12:36 PM
Lillibridge, Soriano and Flowers for Magglio. Plus the assumption of the salary the Tigers need to dump.
Posted by: daslied | October 28, 2008 at 12:49 PM
Oh, and I know that Lillibridge is probably greatly overrated, but that's where the salary dump part comes in. :)
Posted by: daslied | October 28, 2008 at 12:50 PM
If the Dodgers can't get Manny, Magglio is really a perfect fit. He can move to LF and provide a true RH power bat with both good contact and a great eye (anyone else notice the most K's in a season for Maggs is 87).
I like the deal better as a salary dump, as the Dodgers wouldn't have to give up anyone too serious and would have plenty of cash to do the deal. Perhaps Hu + Castillo. If they get some salary relief, perhaps Hu + Elbert.
Posted by: AA | October 28, 2008 at 12:54 PM
The A's would be a perfect fit for Mags if they really are willing to take on payroll to address the power issue as they've stated.
Street, Crosby, and Vince Mazzaro for Ordonez would work out pretty well for both teams.
The Tigers get their replacement closer, a SS replacement who is about average and only under contract for 1 more year, and a very good, high ceiling pitching prospect.
The A's get a premier name, and a premier power bat to put in the middle of the order. Subtracting the probable $10M they owe Street and Crosby (after arb) that's adding $8M to the payroll in '09, $9M in '10, and $15M in '11 when Chavez's contract is off the books.
Even with adding that payroll to the team now, it still only brings them to approx $45M.
Works well on both sides to me....
Posted by: jclay | October 28, 2008 at 01:07 PM
He could go to the Mets the Mets give up Parnell Owen and Tejada and eat most of the salary. He would add depth to the Mets lineup.
Posted by: tinski | October 28, 2008 at 01:13 PM
Almost sure Frank Wren will look into this. They could give up Flowers and a young arm to fit the tigers catching and fill a spot in the bullpen while eating most of Maggs salary, not to mention the desperatley need a right handed clean up hitter
Posted by: chipperowns10 | October 28, 2008 at 01:25 PM
AA: Dodgers really is a great fit for Maggs its all about revenue and you know the Dodger's will give a blank check to Manny.
Posted by: JuNeYanksFan | October 28, 2008 at 01:27 PM
Magglio to the Rays for Edwin Jackson and Reid Brignac.
Jackson slot into the middle of the rotation, still has 3 years left before free agency. Brignac, one of the few blue chip shortstop prospects, is ready for the majors, and could develope lower in the order.
Magglio takes over in RF and makes a potent 3 though 6 in Upton, Ordonez, Pena, and Longoria.
Posted by: delmonmvp | October 28, 2008 at 01:36 PM
"AA: Dodgers really is a great fit for Maggs its all about revenue and you know the Dodger's will give a blank check to Manny."
Hey, I don't mind a blank check to Manny, because he is a veritable cash printing press. That said, if Manny really wants more years than the Dodgers are willing to give, something will have to be done. Obviously Manny is the first priority, but Magglio is hardly a poor alternative.
Posted by: AA | October 28, 2008 at 01:59 PM
the phils arent going to bring back Burrell. So the phils will def be in the Mags sweepstakes to get another power LF and Mags fits the bill.
Donald is going to be a solid SS. Unfortunely for the phils he cant develope into a 3rd baseman. He has a good glove and will hit around .300 with about 15-20 hrs around 70 RBI's. T
Posted by: derman1984 | October 28, 2008 at 02:01 PM
I don't see Mags going anywhere without some team giving up all young players, not mid 30 players.
Posted by: BravesRed | October 28, 2008 at 02:05 PM
Aren't the Braves trying to trim payroll? They have the need and the prospects if they want to get it done...
The Rays would have to give more than Edwin Jackson and Brignac. A mediocre starter and a good SS prospect is not going to get it done.
I can't imagine the Reds taking on that salary, nor that the Phils have the prospects to get it done.
Posted by: jclay | October 28, 2008 at 02:13 PM
"the phils arent going to bring back Burrell. So the phils will def be in the Mags sweepstakes to get another power LF and Mags fits the bill. "
Wait now. Why wouldn't the Phills sign Burrell, then turn around and trade players for a guy who will make the same kind of money and is a similar producer?
"Donald is going to be a solid SS. Unfortunely for the phils he cant develope into a 3rd baseman. He has a good glove and will hit around .300 with about 15-20 hrs around 70 RBI's."
Any good SS can develop into a 3B defensively. If he can maintain something around a .850 OPS in the majors, especially with those OBPs he has posted in the minors, Donald will be just fine at 3B.
Posted by: AA | October 28, 2008 at 02:30 PM
AA, the Dodgers were actually one of the first fits I thought of for Mags.
If they dont retain Manny they'll need a big name OF for the middle of their order, and Ordonez is exactly that.
The Tigers need a young MLB-ready SS, and the Dodgers have two to deal in Hu and DeJesus. Match up one of those two with Elbert, and take on the salary and I think you got a deal. Hu/DeJesus could take over in 2009 and Elbert gives them a good lefty prospect who should at least be a good reliever.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 28, 2008 at 03:05 PM
One team that was always had Magglio on its radar are the Red Sox. When they were trying to get A-Rod in 2003, the plan was to trade Manny and Nomar in a three way trade with getting Magglio to replace Manny.... Of course this means trading Bay, or trading Crisp and Ellsbury...
Posted by: okojo | October 28, 2008 at 03:16 PM
One team that was always had Magglio on its radar are the Red Sox. When they were trying to get A-Rod in 2003, the plan was to trade Manny and Nomar in a three way trade with getting Magglio to replace Manny.... Of course this means trading Bay, or trading Crisp and Ellsbury...
Posted by: okojo | October 28, 2008 at 03:21 PM
Here I'll trade you
Ryan Theriot
Jose Ceda
Jaosn Marquis
and a bag of banannas for
Maggilo Ordonez
Posted by: BLEEDINGCUBBIEBLUE | October 28, 2008 at 03:25 PM
"The Rays would have to give more than Edwin Jackson and Brignac. A mediocre starter and a good SS prospect is not going to get it done."
I doubt many GMs consider Edwin Jackson a mediocre starter. With inflated salaries and limited pitching available, Edwin is one of the top starters available in a trade. Hence why Tim named him as one of the top starters likely to be traded. he made great stride this year and still has outstanding stuff. Entering his first year of arbitration, probably will only make 1-2 million and post an ERA in the high 3's or low 4's. Further, Brignac is major league ready.
The fact is that the Rays have the goods to get Ordonez, no doubt. It would ultimately come down to how much of the salary Detroit would eat.
Posted by: delmonmvp | October 28, 2008 at 03:45 PM
If I were the Cubs, I don't give up Theriot, Ceda and Marquis for Ordonez. As a righty bat he doesn't fit our team perfectly, and I don't think the Cubs should move Theriot after he posted such a high OBP in 2008.
Honestly the Cubs are better off going after Abreu, or maybe guys like Hermida and Randy Winn.
And there is simply no way the Red Sox land Magglio. Jason Bay is probabl a better all around hitter as is, and if the Red Sox perdue any outfield hitter it will be Holliday.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 28, 2008 at 03:51 PM
Calling Jackson a mediocre starter is not a knock.. it's just a fact. He's a cheap, average starter. So, the Tigers get an average starter, a good young SS, AND have to eat part of the contract? I don't know about that one... they could get a better deal elsewhere.
The Rays could get it done, but you'd have to be talking Davis, Hellickson, or McGee to go along with Brignac.
I'm just not so sure the Rays want to bring on that level of payroll with so many young players approaching free agency and arbitration. But they would be smart to do so and go for it now while they've got all the surrounding pieces in tow.
Posted by: jclay | October 28, 2008 at 03:59 PM
"Calling Jackson a mediocre starter is not a knock.. it's just a fact. He's a cheap, average starter. So, the Tigers get an average starter, a good young SS, AND have to eat part of the contract? I don't know about that one... they could get a better deal elsewhere.
The Rays could get it done, but you'd have to be talking Davis, Hellickson, or McGee to go along with Brignac."
Jackson may have just been a mediocre starter in 2008, but it shows steady improvement upon his previous season, and he's finally developing. The guy was a stud prospect for so long because of his raw stuff, and it seems like he's finally figuring out how to pitch in the majors. He still has good 2/3 upside, he'll be 25 for most of next season, and hes been steadily improving. Jackson is more than just a cheap, average starter.
If the Tigers could land Jackson as well as Brignac, one of the best shortstop prospects in the upper minors, that would be a stroke of brilliance by Detroit.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 28, 2008 at 04:05 PM
I know what you are saying. Jackson is probably a number 3 on some clubs, but more than likely a good solid number 4. Still has a lot of upside though, and that always has to be taken into consideration. Could take a Carmona-like leap foward anytime, just needs to keep working on his control.
The only reason I was mentioning guys like Jackson and Sonnanstine is because, well, the Rays need to move them to make room for Price. Both guys have good trade value and could be an assett to almost any team as a starting pitcher. I personally dont think the rays would entertain trading one of the young pitching prospects when they have to trade a starter from the major league rotation. That being said, the Ray definately have the depth in the minors to add onto the deal. I just personally think it would start with Jackson or Sonnanstine.
Being in the world series and already expecting to increase payroll (with no burdonsome contracts), the Rays are definately flexable to adding payroll. They have said that they would be willing to increase payroll for the right player(s). I agree that the time to strike is now, when they have all of this young talent locked up.
Posted by: delmonmvp | October 28, 2008 at 04:07 PM
To jclay:
"Aren't the Braves trying to trim payroll? They have the need and the prospects if they want to get it done..."
No, they've apparently got $40-$45 million to spend this offseason. They could easily afford Magglio.
Posted by: daslied | October 28, 2008 at 04:30 PM
""The Rays would have to give more than Edwin Jackson and Brignac. A mediocre starter and a good SS prospect is not going to get it done."
That is a fine package for Magglio. I have no idea what you're talking about. That fills 2 holes and gets rid of a huge load of money, which is their goal in this process.
Posted by: nrmax88 | October 28, 2008 at 04:57 PM
"The fact is that the Rays have the goods to get Ordonez, no doubt. It would ultimately come down to how much of the salary Detroit would eat."
Exactly.
Posted by: nrmax88 | October 28, 2008 at 04:58 PM
I win!
Posted by: delmonmvp | October 28, 2008 at 05:02 PM
Maybe I'm wrong, but Jackson and Brignac plus eating some of the contract doesn't sound like a very good deal if I'm giving one of the best hitters in all of baseball at only 3 years/$48M.
To get a hitter of his caliber right now, the other options are give Manny $80M+ over 4 years or Tex $175M over 7. They Tigers are going to want players with higher ceilings than Brignac and Jackson if they're eating part of the contract, or the Rays will have to take on the total $48M.
Posted by: jclay | October 28, 2008 at 05:39 PM
You are missing the point. The Tigers have holes to fill. Holes they cannot fill if they don't shed salary. Getting Brignac, one of the best SS prospects in the league, and Jackson, a young fireballer coming into his own, fills two massive voids for the Tigers. They will find the offense in other places. Besides that, you are really underating Brignac and Jackson imo.
Posted by: nrmax88 | October 28, 2008 at 06:08 PM
Thompson, Bailey, Dorn, and A-Gon
Valkia, Thompson, Roeneke
(almost mlb-ready SS, mlb-ready SP, mlb-ready RP)
Arroyo, Gonzales, Bailey, Thompson, Roeneke, Dorn
Maggs, Willis
get rid of willis, while the reds gamble with him.
Posted by: GmblngPtchr20 | October 28, 2008 at 06:36 PM
"If they dont retain Manny they'll need a big name OF for the middle of their order, and Ordonez is exactly that."
I agree, though I think Maggs is more of a #5 hitter. Still, if Kemp pushes his SLG up to .500 and Martin's power rebounds, I don't think the Dodgers need all that much more power in the lineup.
"The Tigers need a young MLB-ready SS, and the Dodgers have two to deal in Hu and DeJesus. Match up one of those two with Elbert, and take on the salary and I think you got a deal. Hu/DeJesus could take over in 2009 and Elbert gives them a good lefty prospect who should at least be a good reliever."
I think Elbert profiles as a reliever much more than as a starter. That said, I think Elbert has the stuff to be a closer, which makes him more interesting. Also, as a Dodger fan, I would prefer Hu be moved. I think DeJesus has the more translatable skill set and profiles better than Hu at 2B. Hu projects to have more power and probably has the higher ceiling, but I worry about his sudden decline in bat speed. DeJesus profiles dead on as a lead off man or a number 2 hitter and could be really deadly in a lineup with Furcal.
Posted by: AA | October 28, 2008 at 07:09 PM
From a Phils POV.. and a question to Tigers Fans:
Maybe Madson, Kendrick/Happ, Jason Donald and Jason Jaramillo and the Tigers eat $3mil a year.
Madson and Happ are good value - Donald and Jaramillo are near MLB-ready albeit not likely to be all-stars but solid major leaguers at least.
PersonallY I really love JD and thinks he's a gamer who will hit a clutch .300-10-60, bat 2nd/6th and give you solid D at 3B, maybe 2B - Aki Iwamura with a little more average, Eckstein-ish winner kind of guy.
Another interesting alternative would be Brett Myers for Ordonez - Myers really wants to be a closer and is owed $12mil but for one year.
Not sure Im ready to give up our #2 after his 2nd half last year but..
Also - Why Ordonez over Burrell?
1) 76 Ks vs 136 Ks
2) Maggs.317 vs Pat .250
3) Tigers will eat $$$
4) Shorter term possible (Pat may want 4-5 years)
5) Defense
Posted by: steveh | October 28, 2008 at 07:39 PM
I agree that the reds make perfect sense. There is no way that the reds should give up both Bailey and Thompson. I would love to see Mags in a reds uniform, but i wouldn't mortgage the future on a guy that won't stick around for 3-5 years. With a package involving Bailey and Thompson, the reds could be a front runner in the Fielder sweepstakes who will be around for longer and slightly cheaper. Obviously I would take Cain over Bailey and Thompson, but I don't think that the Giants would give up Cain...so to me that is out of the question. Bailey and Thompson would probably be the best type of pitchers package that the brewers could get for Fielder.
Posted by: coltholt | October 28, 2008 at 07:41 PM
oh...and for the bailey for salty idea, i have been in favor of that for the past year...walt, get on the phone and get it done!
Posted by: coltholt | October 28, 2008 at 07:42 PM
Edwin Jackson is all hype the guy throws gas but it is straight as an arrow thus he has continued to get lit up. He had a good first half of the year thats about it.
Posted by: cwilli | October 28, 2008 at 07:57 PM
I'm not sure the Phils are in the market for a $15M+/year player right now. They're facing a raft of expensive arbitration awards, which will probably eat up most of the savings if they don't bring back Burrell. Management will have to increase the payroll significantly if the Phils are going to get an established top hitter like Ordonez or retain Burrell.
Posted by: ColonelTom | October 28, 2008 at 07:58 PM
"Another interesting alternative would be Brett Myers for Ordonez - Myers really wants to be a closer and is owed $12mil but for one year.
Not sure Im ready to give up our #2 after his 2nd half last year but.."
Myers alone isn't worth Ordonez and is definitely not worth that price as a closer. Further, there is no guarantee Myers doesn't regress or let his off field problems haunt him again.
"Also - Why Ordonez over Burrell?
1) 76 Ks vs 136 Ks
2) Maggs.317 vs Pat .250
3) Tigers will eat $$$
4) Shorter term possible (Pat may want 4-5 years)
5) Defense"
The contact numbers are certainly in Magglio's favor, but I don't see why you waste prospects on a player when all you need to do is pay money to the other, who is nearly as productive. Further, even if the Tigers eat some money, the Phills will likely still be on the hook for what they would pay Burrell. As for defense, there isn't much of a difference between the two at this point. Magglio isn't a great defender either and both have big arms.
Posted by: AA | October 28, 2008 at 08:50 PM
I dont see why they dont just move Dobbs to leftfield full time. Wouldnt be any worse than Burrell in the field, and he desverves a full season. Be interesting to see just what he could do. I read a rumor that they were thinking of trying that.
Posted by: delmonmvp | October 28, 2008 at 09:54 PM
"Edwin Jackson is all hype the guy throws gas but it is straight as an arrow thus he has continued to get lit up. He had a good first half of the year thats about it."
Edwin Jackson has really matured as a pitcher this year and I think he will continue to get better. Before he was just trying to get by on stuff, but he realized that he needed to learn to pitch. Like some pitchers do, he took a little bit off his fastball to gain better command. So when he used to be 96-97 every fastball, this year he was consistently 93-94, but could crank it up to 99 if needed. Also, his change up is coming along nicely and actually looks like a solid third pitch. The only reason he ever gets lit up is when he doesnt have command of his slider, thats why the development of his change up is so important. If he doesnt have control of his slider that day, hitters sit back and wait on his fastball. When his slider is on, look out!
Posted by: delmonmvp | October 28, 2008 at 09:58 PM
What part of "tigers may NEED to trade Mags..." makes it seem as if Detroit dictates their return?
Posted by: Kenan and Kel | October 28, 2008 at 10:39 PM
"What part of "tigers may NEED to trade Mags..." makes it seem as if Detroit dictates their return?"
Another reason I like the Dodgers if they can't sign Manny
Posted by: AA | October 28, 2008 at 11:33 PM
You are missing the point. The Tigers have holes to fill. Holes they cannot fill if they don't shed salary. Getting Brignac, one of the best SS prospects in the league, and Jackson, a young fireballer coming into his own, fills two massive voids for the Tigers. They will find the offense in other places. Besides that, you are really underating Brignac and Jackson imo.
Posted by: nrmax88 | October 28, 2008 at 06:08 PM
Not missing the point of their holes, I'm saying they hold more cards than you guys are giving them credit for. That is not an indictment of Brignac and Jackson, that is just saying they can and should get more, especially if they have to continue to pay part of Mags' salary.
If you add a minor league P with a high ceiling like Hellickson, Davis, or McGee deal would be done IMO.
Posted by: jclay | October 29, 2008 at 10:49 AM
Elbert, Hu, and May gets the job done IMO
Posted by: keithmp42 | October 29, 2008 at 11:18 AM
I think that's already plenty. Detroit isn't really in a position to eat salary, it's the point of trading one of their best players, because they need the fricken money.
"If you add a minor league P with a high ceiling like Hellickson, Davis, or McGee deal would be done IMO."
While I'm not a believer in Brignac, Tamp Bay Hype Machine anyone?, Jackson + Reid + Hellickson/Davis/McGee is ridiculous.
I couldn't see Tampa pulling the trigger on that if Detroit ate the whole contract.
Posted by: Kenan and Kel | October 29, 2008 at 12:18 PM
you underrate Magglio. You don't send perennial MVP candidates signed for 3 years at market value for cheap.
A young starter with upside, a SS prospect with a high ceiling, and a pitching prospect with a high ceiling is not an absurd asking price. Especially when the team dealing is in dire need of a SS, closer, and young starters.
Too many holes to fill for just getting two guys.
Posted by: jclay | October 29, 2008 at 01:01 PM
Makes no sense keeping Sheffield and trading Magglio
and also taking the bat out of the hands of Miquel Cabrera. Dumb Dumb Dumb
Magglio is one of few players that have actually have earned their keep
Posted by: gary | October 29, 2008 at 01:41 PM
why does maggs trade talk even come up....it ain't gonna happen, maybe in the press, but not in the team.
Leyland Said So.......
Posted by: gary | October 29, 2008 at 01:47 PM
"A young starter with upside, a SS prospect with a high ceiling, and a pitching prospect with a high ceiling is not an absurd asking price. Especially when the team dealing is in dire need of a SS, closer, and young starters."
You just explained why it's too much. The Tigers are not in the drivers seat on this trade, they're the ones with huge holes to fill and very little cash to do it. 17 mil for an aging Mags, in my opinion, is not below market value and it doesn't appear Detroit is eating cash.
You're not going to get salary relief and premium prospects + starting pitching back.
Besides, with the exception of the 2007, Mags is not a perennial MVP candidate.
Posted by: Kenan and Kel | October 29, 2008 at 02:36 PM
Thats quite a throw in. Personally, I value Hellickson, Davis and McGee higher than Jackson or Brignac. Its one thing to throw in a pitching prospect with a high ceiling, its another to throw in one of the top 20 pitching prospects in baseball. McGee and Davis are better pitching prospects than Porcello and Hellickson will be ranked just as high, if not higher, next year. He is the best of the group now. Again, the Rays have tons of top young pitchers that they dont have to include any untouchables in any trade. Maybe a Niemann, Talbot, or Hammell instead. Another pitcher for more salary relief though.
Posted by: delmonmvp | October 29, 2008 at 03:24 PM
"You just explained why it's too much. The Tigers are not in the drivers seat on this trade, they're the ones with huge holes to fill and very little cash to do it. 17 mil for an aging Mags, in my opinion, is not below market value and it doesn't appear Detroit is eating cash."
If the Tigers have a chance to get one of Hellickson or Davis back, they should without a doubt eat salary.
Eat salary, and do Niemann (downgrading on the SS prospect), Jackson, and Hellickson.
Posted by: melonis rex | October 30, 2008 at 03:24 PM