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Jake Peavy Rumors: Monday

SI.com's Jon Heyman has the latest on the Jake Peavy trade talks, after talking to Padres GM Kevin Towers.

Towers seems to think the Cubs are a more likely suitor for Peavy than the Braves.  The Cubs have obstacles - their ownership/financial situation is in flux, and they'll need a third team to get the Padres the players they want.  But Towers hasn't spoken to the Braves in weeks, and they may object to Peavy's desire for a full no-trade clause.


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Aside from the Cubs and the Braves, I wonder if the Yankees would try to go hard after Peavy if they can't sign Aj, CC, or Lowe. What's your thoughts out there?

I am amazed that the cubs are still in on this marathon negotiation.
There must be a mega blockbuster deal coming very soon to even remotely be able to do this.

I still don't understand HOW the Cubs remain a player in a Peavy trade. Three team deals have happened before, but how could the Cubs get more value from another team and then turn right around and trade that to the Padres.

Makes little, if any sense at all.

The Cubs with Peavy are the team to beat in the NL next year.

The no-trade clause situation is ridiculous. Why would the Braves go that far along in negotiations with The Pads if they were going to let the no-trade get in the way of the deal. I don't really get why the Cubs feel this is what they need to get over the hump. They got knocked out of the playoffs because they couldn't hit or play D, not because they couldn't pitch. Still think in the long run, Braves get it done.

What thoughts are there the yanks are not even a consideration.
Remember the no trade clause the yanks are not 1 of the 5 teams that he would wave it for.endo story

"The Cubs with Peavy are the team to beat in the NL next year."

You Cubs fans say that every-year though it NEVER happens. Even with good players you'll never win another World Series. Enough said.

You have to love the fact that Towers is now playing the "Peavy probably wouldn't have gone to ATL because of the NTC" as hard as possible. To me it just reeks of a GM trying to get people to forget the offer the Braves made in case his final haul doesn't look nearly as good (or in case no deal happens and the prospects pan out).

I'm interested to hear how Padres fans feel about how this whole situation has worked out. With no current market for Peavy and little on the horizon is anyone starting to think Towers overplayed his hand, or do you guys still think Towers will be able to get a comparable bounty if he does move Peavy in the future? Serious question...not trying to put down Towers or anything

"The Cubs with Peavy are the team to beat in the NL next year."

...and the team to disappoint in the playoffs...

The braves my still be the 1 2 make it happen.
The cubs dont need peavy they need that magical RFer that hits for power avg and can lead off from the left side thats all.

spieg7 & zephyr8
The cubs will have 2 eventually win the world series and 2 say it will never happen is rediculous.

@ Spieg7 who said..

"You Cubs fans say that every-year though it NEVER happens. Even with good players you'll never win another World Series. Enough said."

This is an insanely stupid comment, and i'm not even a Cubs fan.

"do you guys still think Towers will be able to get a comparable bounty if he does move Peavy in the future? Serious question...not trying to put down Towers or anything"

And a good question. I've been thinking this myself. Obviously Peavy must be traded now to obtain the highest value. Towers is either:
1) using this NTC and Cubs stuff to try to get braves to reopen conversation and up their offer.(doubt it would work)
2)thinking that he can deal peavy at Allstar break to a contender for a bounty. (i doubt he would get more.

I dont think either of these are his real intentions because they are sad strategies. The highest value will be obtained now and I dont see an offer comparable to the braves opening up.
I think Towers is waiting for the braves to reopen conversations instead of doing it himself. If he crawls back he would probably end up getting less, so he wants Wren to inquire again instead.

"The Cubs with Peavy are the team to beat in the NL next year.

Posted by: surfacetear | November 24, 2008 at 06:02 PM"

That is breaking news!

The Cubs were the best team during the regular season last year...

The Phils will be without Utley for part of the season.

The Dodgers are going to lose most if not all of Lowe, Penny, Manny, Blake, Furcal, Nomar, and Kent...

Matt Holliday is out of the National League and the Rockies and Padres are gutting their team.

Marlins seem to be dumping yet again...

Mets are still a mess!

The Cubs should be heavy favorites "without" Peavy!

"spieg7 & zephyr8
The cubs will have 2 eventually win the world series and 2 say it will never happen is rediculous."

I didnt say it would never happen. With the Cubs putting out a big payroll and a stacked team every year, I am surprised it hasnt happened these last 5 years.

Yes you did say they would disapoint again even with peavy.
Are you staring at your crystal balls for this prediction or just talking out your ass.

03 was the best shot they had in my lifetime

This is redundant. Cubs Braves, Braves, Cubs, Yanks, Cubs, Braves.

Yeah it is stupid the cubs very well can lose without peavy.

"Yes you did say they would disapoint again even with peavy.
Are you staring at your crystal balls for this prediction or just talking out your ass."

gunsnascar,

Just a classic Cubs joke...tough crowd I guess. Well any way, I did say the Cubs would be very good but playoffs are never a guarentee. Plus, I really cant see the Peavy to Cubs thing happening, but If it did that rotation would be scary. So just take it easy, im no cubs hater, in fact I often root for them in the playoffs because im sick of seeing the same thing every year. If they won just once they could put the "cure" behind them.

"curse" not cure my bad lol

Maybe Towers is waiting until after Thanksgiving to approach Wren, who will probably not aquire a top line FA pitcher, and then try to raise the offer?

lol no offense zephyr
It would be nice to end this drought for all of baseball not just the cubs.
They have broke my heart too many times and I tired of all this BS drought and am starting to not even care anymore.

How is Towers going to be able to raise the offer with the Braves if Furcal and Renteria are already off the market? If they miss out on those two, its unlikely they will move Escobar in a deal to acquire Peavy.

Geez I wish I knew if this is real or BS.
It is well known that the cubs dont need peavy anymore and they dont have the salery for him in the budget.

Please can we just get this over with. Send Vitters to some team for a big time pitching prospect, and make the deal, or keep Vitters and move on.

Basic example of format of deal:

Cubs get: Jake Peavy
Padres get: Tim Alderson, Felix Pie, Sean Marshall, Ronny Cedeno
Giants get: Josh Vitters

This is really the only type of deal that could ever happen. I just don't see any other way it could ever happen, the Cubs don't have the pieces unless Vitters is gone.

Steve Bartman is the one to blame.

gunsnascar,

i guess your a Cubs fan. Well i am a braves fan so the old one and done in the playoff got old to me too, but these last 3 years, the braves havent made the playoff and i learned getting to the playoffs isnt easy and so im hoping the braves get back in it. I guess i was spoiled for 14 years in a row of getting to the postseason. O well somday the braves and Cubs will be WS champs. Lets hope inside 10 years.

"It is well known that the cubs dont need peavy anymore and they dont have the salery for him in the budget."

They don't have the budget for Giles either, but they exercised his option.

No offense to you braves fans cuz they are my 2nd fav team but wining the WS once in 14 years of post season play is embaresing. It may be the only thing worse than not winning for 100 years. Heck the braves were the yankees on the NL and had awesome teams and only won 1 time.

Every single team would want Brian Giles he is going to get a great hull when they trade him, maybe the Cubs could look into that, because Towers will be shot on opening day at PETCO if Peavy is a Cub and their isn't a third team involved....

The braves were the Yankees minus the Evil Empire aspect...

Nixa, I don't think Towers overplayed his hand, but I wish he wouldn't be as willing to air things out in the media - that definitely doesn't do any good. Not sure if he would get more for Peavy at the trade deadline, I think it could go either way.

I do know that, as a Padre fan, I'm thrilled he didn't accept the reported offer. I'd much rather take my chances that there will be a better market later. Peavy for a good (not great) young SS, a 4/5 starter, a very young CF with high upside/low-ish probability, and a garbage bullpen arm isn't good enough, IMO.

I don't think they have to trade him now.

Renteria rumor is yet another false story again in a story telling day around here alot of BS flying around here thats why I tend 2 believe the cubs peavy thing is also BS

"Nixa, I don't think Towers overplayed his hand, but I wish he wouldn't be as willing to air things out in the media - that definitely doesn't do any good. Not sure if he would get more for Peavy at the trade deadline, I think it could go either way."

The problem is that Peavy's no trade clause is never going to go away though. That's the biggest issue with his value, because it's tough to set a high price when the market consists of 5-8 teams.

CptTopOff,

I understand that Padres fans weren't enthralled with the Braves offer, but it seems clear at this point that no one is in a hurry to even match that offer, so I think as far as the market is concerned it was a "fair" haul. Some people on here even thought the Braves were offering up too much. I think that should probably tell you something.

While Escobar might not be a "great" young SS, a strong argument can be made that he will be the 3rd most valuable SS over the next 5 years, behind only Ramirez and Reyes. Obviously he's not in the same class as those two, but he is certainly very promising.

The only other guy I'd argue with your opinion on (though we don't even know where exactly he would have fit in a trade) is Blaine Boyer. The guy was great in his only full season in the bigs before this year and his peripherals were outside of his HR rate were great this year and Petco would definitely help with that problem. He seems like he'd be a strong bet as a successful bullpen arm over the 4 years he has left under team control.

I just wish the cubs would get this done.Peavy would be a heck op a pick up. i mean who could be the thrid team? I mean who would fit nice in there and get this deal done? the marlins,Who knows i just wish the cubs get Peavy and sign Griffey for a one year contract. what do you guys think.? Griffey at wrigley with lou May get him going.

Griffey only if he will play 4 peanuts as a bench player and that could be a good start to fixing 1 problem that they have.

The Marlins wouldn't make any sense as the third team. The whole third team concept basically implies that the Cubs would trade Josh Vitters to a third team, and then trade what they got in return to SD as part of a Peavy package.

In that case, the Marlins likely would have no interest in Vitters, as they already have a big time upside 3B in the minors in Matt Dominguez.

I have said this before and its just my opinion. This could be important for the Cubs to get Peavy. Not just for the 2009 season. We will be losing 2 pitchers after next year. And with the new ownership, who knows when that will get done, we might have budget problems next year too. He is signed at or probably below market value. So picking him up now would be ideal. Anyone agree?

Finding this 3rd team seems very difficult. I mean dont you think the Cubs would have come up with something by now. Their last real chance is the winter meetings.

What about Tampa Bay as a 3rd team? They seem to have an excess of young high upside pitchers.

Who does Tampa want from Chicago though? With Longoria entrenched at 3B, Vitters doesn't seem like the best fit there.

HA thanks "nixa37" I was trying to think of Tampa's Farm system who they might have. I forgot of Longoria. So I guess that wouldn't work.

They have said that Vitters could play first base too...

chicago gets peavy
baltimore gets vitters
san diego gets radhames liz, marshall, fontenot, pie

I still always come back to the conclusion that Matt Cain could be a fit. I dont know if Vitters would get him straighg up but they could work out a deal.

"chicago gets peavy
baltimore gets vitters
san diego gets radhames liz, marshall, fontenot, pie"

well... it makes some sense but i still think atlantas offer is better than radhames liz, marshall, fontenot, pie.
This is gonna be a tough one to work out.

"I still always come back to the conclusion that Matt Cain could be a fit. I dont know if Vitters would get him straighg up but they could work out a deal."

I really doubt it straight up. Sadly he probably has a higher price tag than Jake Peavy.

You might be right. Sometimes I wish I was the GM or an Assitant to the GM, just so I knew what was going on or what the hold up was.

Whoa.

Josh Vitters is worth WAYY more than Radhames Liz.

Liz will already be 26 next season and although he has good stuff, he still has a career ERA of 6.77 in 109 innings.

Vitters is one of the best pure hitting prospects in baseball, and an elite prospect overal. He would cost an equally elite pitching prospect.

How about Tillman, Matusz or Arrieta for Vitters?

LOL at the bitter Braves fans lashing out now that it's becoming clear that their team is not going to get Peavy... carping about the irrelevant 100 years business and trying to convince themselves that "a strong argument can be made that (Escobar) will be the 3rd most valuable SS over the next 5 years, behind only Ramirez and Reyes.

Way to stay classy, ATL!

If the Cubs could somehow get Cain, then you stick, and wish Towers/Peavy good luck.

The notion that the Marlins would have no interest in Vitters on the grounds that they already have Matt Dominguez is pretty silly.

Get the most talent into your system as you can, and sort out positions later... in this case, years later.

If you get Cain, you just keep him and the rest of the guys. Sanchez would be a legit possibility though from San Fran.

I think as a Cubs fan I'd rather keep Vitters and actually see what happens and what we need at the deadline. Start Pie in CF and platoon him with Johnson, and let Fukudome stay in RF. Both he and Pie need to be given one more chance in a Cubs uni...and you can decide what to do at the deadline.

I agree with you Aduncaroo, but if you get a chance to use him to get Peavy that is not something you pass up in my opinion. Especially since he is signed for quite a while.

"The notion that the Marlins would have no interest in Vitters on the grounds that they already have Matt Dominguez is pretty silly.

Get the most talent into your system as you can, and sort out positions later... in this case, years later."

It'd be assumed that the Marlins would be trading a prospect of similar caliber to Vittesr to Chicago, something like Vitters for Andrew Miller.

In that case, the Marlins aren't bulking up their system, but rather just switching the position of their talent.

I am really not sure why the Padres dont just take Vitters to bulk up their farm system. I believe the Cubs have offered a fair deal.

Probably, but the braves offer is still more appealing to the pads. So theyre using that offer as a standard for other offers.

Am not sure how Braves fan is saying that Peavy will have less value after the major FA pitchers are gone. If Lowe and Burnett sign elsewhere (very good chance), where do you go for a #1?

Will it be Oliver Perez? A diminshed pool of talent would give Peavy more value as the Braves become more desperate to fill the unfilled void at pitching.

If the Braves don't sign a SS, they may not include Escobar but have to give up something else equally (or more so) valuable to get a player like Peavy....

"While Escobar might not be a "great" young SS, a strong argument can be made that he will be the 3rd most valuable SS over the next 5 years, behind only Ramirez and Reyes. Obviously he's not in the same class as those two, but he is certainly very promising."

Not quite. He won't even be the 3rd most valuable in his own division when you consider Rollins. Off the top of my head I'll add in Furcal, Tulo and maybe Hardy and/or Drew.

But that's beside the point. The point is the Pads need to be sure to get at least one real impact player in return, and I don't see it in that offer.

Fair point with Boyer, however I've seen him throw enough to have formed a poor opinion, regardless of the results.

Also, let's not point to others on here as evidence that the trade offer was fair. This place is loaded with delusional fans, on both sides.

Scribbletone, the NTC WILL go away in 2 years (or start to - I think he can veto 12 teams then and only 8 the next year). Now, obviously the Pads don't want to wait that long, but you better believe that is in the back of Peavy and Axelrod's minds. Also, given his salary numbers, the Pads CAN afford him the next couple years. Its when the salary climbs to around $15M that they would be forced to dump him. Basically, I think Peavy will loosen his demands as this thing draws out.

At this point I'm hoping they wait until the right offer is presented, even if that means waiting til next season, or even offseason.

"I think as a Cubs fan I'd rather keep Vitters and actually see what happens and what we need at the deadline. Start Pie in CF and platoon him with Johnson, and let Fukudome stay in RF. Both he and Pie need to be given one more chance in a Cubs uni...and you can decide what to do at the deadline.

That is exactly the conclusion I am ALMOST convinced that the Cubs should take in '09. A few days ago I thought the same thing...let's keep Kouske in RF where he is comfortable and let Felix and Reed platoon in CF. No doubt it's rolling dice on offense. At least the 'D' would be lock tight in those two positions. I can't blame those who would disagree, but I am getting a good feeling that Fukudome will bounce back to be respectable offensively. Not sure about Pie yet. I will continue to think this one over because my gut tells me it could be the best case scenerio and no worse than some ideas rumored.

towers is an idiot for not taking the trade from the braves....it'll be the best deal he is offered.

Um, no. Towers is SMART for not taking that sub-par offer. If that's the best offer, then keep him. Besides, good chance Braves increase offer after they lose out on Lowe, Burnett, etc.

I have to agree with CptTopOff, who has well summarized most SD fans' thinking.

I've discussed numerous times why we thought this offer was sub-par. You're trading a guy who had won 2 K titles and 2 ERA titles then a Cy Young by the time he was 26 for an above average SS, a CF prospect and a 4/5 at best.

Ultimately, you can discuss the quality of the offer all you want, but I think where the Braves failed is addressing what Towers wanted. He's said from day one that he wants good young pitching in return for Peavy, and Atlanta offers a SS and a CF prospect.

It's like going to a dealership to buy a sports car, and having the sales guy talk you into an SUV. You can talk about the quality of the SUV all you want, but that's not why you went to the dealership in the first place.

And all this talk about Towers overplaying his hand is nonsense. No one can say for sure that the Braves' offer is the best he'll get. I mean, the winter meetings haven't even happened yet. It's still months till the deadline. Don't you guys think it's a little early to judge the situation?

I always thought that the real market for Jake would begin once the big FA's were off the market, and that teams seeing what it costs to sign a big time FA in 2009(especially Boras clients) would turn to Peavy as a more reasonable option. None of that has happened yet. Once again, too early to tell.

However, you can't tell me that Jake's contract at 5 years and 71 million (this is with the 22 million option being picked up in 2013 as he'd probably request that) isn't a more attractive option than CC's reported 6 years, 140 million or Burnett/Lowe wanting somewhere in the region of 5 years/80-85 million. Even if he costs good prospects, he's way cheaper than CC and at least as good, not to mention younger. And he's even cheaper than Lowe or Burnett and much better.

If those guys get anywhere near what they're asking for, you can bet the market for Jake will pick up.

"towers is an idiot for not taking the trade from the braves....it'll be the best deal he is offered."

Towers is not going to give the Cubs the ace they need for what either they, or the Braves are attempting to get away with just because he wishes to pitch in the NL league and both those teams are attempting to blackmail him into a low ball offer.

Towers is no idiot, have mentioned this multi[le times and most of his past trades will support this and the biggest trade chip he had ever had he is not going to give away, just because Braves and Cubs fans wish it so.

Towers is going to try and leverage a talk stage at least with Angels and Boston so he can get juicy pitching prospects like Bowden, Bard, Bucholz, as well as position player such as Howie Kendrick into the mix whom are superior to anything mentioned in the offers the Cubs and Braves are trying to get away with.

johns-

Towers could go and talk to Boston or LAA all he wants. That still doesn't mean Peavy will wave his FULL NTC to play for one of those teams. Towers could get a super amazing package, where Boston is over paying BIG TIME, and Peavy might not wave his NTC. So, it's not crazy to say that Towers will accept the sub-par offers from the Braves and Cubs.

Rumors are way off today. From Lou Piniella regarding the Peavy rumors:

"''No. Starting we don't need. We're set. We've got six good starters [including Sean Marshall], and they're all experienced. Getting Dempster back was the key. We're in good shape with our starting pitching. Bullpen-wise, [we're looking for] possibly one more experienced pitcher. We've got a lot of young kids out there.''


Also regarding the ridiculous Mark Teahen rumors (yeah I'm sure the middle of the order left handed bat the Cubs desire is Mark Teahen!)

"Continued stirring over the weekend of the Mark Teahen-to-the-Cubs trade rumors continue to ring of hollow speculation, with no signs from either side of any movement. The Cubs' plans to increase Mike Fontenot's role and the value of Sean Marshall in their pitching plans make those players too steep a price for Teahen."

Absolutely right. Both Mike Fontenot and Sean Marshall by themselves have more value than Mark Teahen.

Source: Chicago-Sun-Times

"The Cubs' plans to increase Mike Fontenot's role"

I am happy to hear that. He is a lefty bat...and he might not continue to have a +.900 OPS...but he is a good hitter to have.

The Braves are being silly right now. Instead of taking the sure route and at the expense of a few prospects get Peavy, the would rather go out into the wild free agent pool with the Angels, Sox and Yanks and over pay for a walking injury report in Burnett, who will be over valued by about 8 million bucks, and the hitters best freind and over all around hitting tee Paul Byrd. Way to go Braves!

I don't think any of you guys actually get what is going on here. It's not about the players. If it was, the deal would be done right now. It's all about the money. Peavy costs way to much for the Cubs. The Cubs would have to trade away the likes of Marquis or Fukudome to even have a chance at Peavy and his 11 million dollar contract. Unless all the players the Cubs trade away can add up to 11 million, then it isn't going to happen.

"Towers could go and talk to Boston or LAA all he wants. That still doesn't mean Peavy will wave his FULL NTC to play for one of those teams. Towers could get a super amazing package, where Boston is over paying BIG TIME, and Peavy might not wave his NTC. So, it's not crazy to say that Towers will accept the sub-par offers from the Braves and Cubs."

It is the leverage of getting more prospects from NL teams 9Cubs/braves/Dodgers etc..) more than anything Cubs4ever, not that i am saying, or even wanting him myself in Boston for 2 or 3 of the prospects i mentioned above. Once Towers can bring a team into negotiations that has top prospects that he dearly needs, the teams will be more willing to up the offer, it is classic negotiations and what towers needs. especially so with Boston and to a lesser scale with the Angels if Kendrick can be brought out as a possible trading chip. Once a Bucholz and Bard could be brought out however, I have a feeling that the Braves pitching could be virtually unlocked if the Braves want to have any chance at acquiring Peavy at all and it is made known that peavy would ok a trade to Boston (hopefully Boston would not do the trade however).

How about 3 possible trades that padres do:
1st one:
Braves get:SP:Jake Peavy
Padres get:SP:Tommy Hanson,OF:Gorky Hernandez,SS:Yunel Escobar,RP:Steve Marak or RP:Blaine Boyer
2nd one:
Cubs get:SP:Jake Peavy,SS:Khalil Greene,OF:Brian Giles maybe
Padres get:SS:Ryan Theorit, OF:Felix Pie, 3B/OF:Josh Vitters, RP:Jeff Samardzija, SP:Rich Hill, SP:Sean Marshall, and 2B:Tony Thomas
3rd one:
Giants get:1B:Derek Lee
Padres get:SP:Tim Alderson, SP:Henry Sosa, SP:Rich Hill, SS:Rodney Cedeno, OF:Felix Pie
Cubs get: SP:Jake Peavy

these trades are good plz comment on these trades

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