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5:46pm: Manager Lou Piniella thinks the Peavy-Cubs rumors are "only talk." At least, he hasn't talked to Cubs GM Jim Hendry much about it. Piniella remains fixated on a lefthanded hitter.
4:31pm: Yahoo's Tim Brown has an update on the Jake Peavy trade talks, though it's not very exciting. A Padres exec says the team has options, but nothing is close. The Padres have not yet asked Peavy to approve a trade.
Interesting note from Brown - the Yankees pushed hard, while the Red Sox and Mets "inserted themselves" into the mix.
Brown notes that Peavy would probably want the fifth year of his contract guaranteed upon a trade. At that point it'd be a five-year, $81MM deal. How much worse off would a team be signing a solid free agent starter at a lower price, while preserving the farm system?
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How much worse off would a team be signing a solid free agent starter at a lower price, while preserving the farm system?
Great Question, do the Cubs even have a notable farm system? Why not bet everything on 09'?
Posted by: Teddyballgame | November 12, 2008 at 04:34 PM
Being a Sox fan I hope the Yankees get him since he is not worth it.
Posted by: slashieboy | November 12, 2008 at 04:35 PM
how bout Braves try to get Grienke or Cain with a slightly lesser package? Towers is clearly a dumbass.
Posted by: Showtime35 | November 12, 2008 at 04:38 PM
He would be the second best pitcher in free agency and his price tag will be lower than derek lowe and aj burnett and at this point it looks like he wont cost that much so i see it as worth it
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | November 12, 2008 at 04:39 PM
i hate the padres =] this whole thing is just absolutely ridiculous, wren give up.... please, build for 2010 make the pads take the cubs inferior package!!!!
Posted by: chipperowns10 | November 12, 2008 at 04:39 PM
well showtime, cain is basically untouchable and 23 i think so itd take probably just as much
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | November 12, 2008 at 04:39 PM
I wonder if the Yankees included Phil Hughes and/or Austin Jackson in their offer, because honestly if that was the case, then suddenly you may have a better centerpiece than any other. Hughes could be really good in Petco.
Posted by: scribbletone | November 12, 2008 at 04:41 PM
If he insists on the 5th year and 81 million, I would walk away from that deal.
Posted by: sweetswingingbw | November 12, 2008 at 04:42 PM
That article told us absolutely nothing. That was a worthless piece of journalism.
I'm amazed Yahoo posted it, as it has ZERO new information in it.
Posted by: garlick | November 12, 2008 at 04:44 PM
Not sure what is taking so long for this trade to get done but if its what I think and that Towers is just stalling to get a little extra then he might get stuck with a lesser package. Once free agency starts both teams might drop there offers especially if they sign another starter. If the Cubs are able to resign Dempster I could see them taking some from there offer and if the Braves sign someone they might do the same thing.
Posted by: jtd | November 12, 2008 at 04:45 PM
garlick, yahoo has posted alot of stupid stuff in the past... and jtd i hope that happens sooo bad, towers has been trying to milk both teams for everything he can possibly get, granted he should do this but not for this long, im praying the padres get fleeced here...
Posted by: chipperowns10 | November 12, 2008 at 04:50 PM
"That article told us absolutely nothing. That was a worthless piece of journalism."
I didn't know that the Yankees made a hard push for Peavy before this article
Posted by: defense | November 12, 2008 at 04:52 PM
Tyler Flowers just had a 3 HR 7 RBI night in the AFL.
I'd like the Braves to move to whatever they were going to do before Peavy came on the market. Good luck KT on finding a better offer.
Posted by: Land-Man | November 12, 2008 at 05:14 PM
I believe both Olney & Rosenthal had mentioned the Yankees were in pursuit.
If the writer had written about who was offered from the Yankees, that would have been news. Instead we just get "the Yankees made a push." Which means zero in the terms of worthwhile reading.
Posted by: garlick | November 12, 2008 at 05:15 PM
How much worse off would a team be signing a solid free agent starter at a lower price, while preserving the farm system?
Answer: not much
If the Braves could sign Burnett, Lowe, Dempster, or even Garland they'd be better off without Peavy and with Escobar. They can use pieces like Reyes, Morton, and Flowers to go after other trades and still be very competitive. Trading Escobar just leaves a huge hole.
Posted by: AtlantaBred | November 12, 2008 at 05:19 PM
one problem, the only pitcher that will cost less that isn't a bad option is Dempster. And he could go as high as 5 years $75 mil. Everyone else will go over $81 mil. except maybe Sheets but he is to injury prone.
Posted by: jtd | November 12, 2008 at 05:22 PM
Tyler Flowers is playing his way on to that so called untouchable list as we speak. Trade Kotchman and put this monster at first. We will worry about Freddy Freeman when hes ready.
Posted by: tsweet9000 | November 12, 2008 at 05:23 PM
AtlantaBred,
thats all great if they sign Burnett, Lowe or Dempster, but I really dont think we will. I think we'll be stuck with Oliver Perez or Ben Sheets, which is alright as your second added starter, but we need a number 1. The more I think about the Peavy deal I hate it, but think about where we'll be if we dont get Peavy and miss out on those free agents. Grienke seems like he'd be had for less, I dont know why, but Dayton Moore's connections with Atlanta make me think that the trade can get done fast.
Posted by: Showtime35 | November 12, 2008 at 05:28 PM
FYI, Flowers just hit 3 HRs today to make it 7 so far in the AFL. He's becoming a very valuable trading chip.
And yeah, I think I'm done wanting Wren to float Esco out there. Pull him back and offer Flowers, Lilli, Gorkys, JoJo and maybe another pitching prospect and say do or die.
Posted by: BobbyCocks | November 12, 2008 at 05:28 PM
I don't think that Flowers should be untouchable he is blocked by McCann. Flowers has been hitting well but he played at Myrtle Beach last year. He will be at AA next year and hasn't had that much experience at first playing in just 92 games with a .989 fielding percentage. He is still a year off and I would much rather have Kotchman's good glove and steady bat at first next year.
Posted by: jtd | November 12, 2008 at 05:34 PM
I'm a life long Braves fan, but guys, let's calm down about Flower's turning into an all-star because of his performance in the AFL. It's the AFL. The competition isn't even fully AAA level.
Flower's is an interesting prospect, but he's not a blue chipper because he hit 3 homers in one AFL game.
Posted by: garlick | November 12, 2008 at 05:38 PM
Yeah, I think Towers should feel more urgency - because if the Cubs sign Dempster and the Braves sign a free agent starter, their packages for Peavy will certainly not get any better if not worse.
Maybe Towers is willing to hold onto him until next offseason, but that would definitely be taking a risk - his trade value is probably at it's peak for the next several days after that, it's unclear.
Posted by: Banks1954 | November 12, 2008 at 05:44 PM
These wannabe GM's need a reality check.
I keep hearing the word prospect as if it means anything and people keep putting down Marshall.
Marshall isn't a slouch and he'd be great for Petco Park and he's actually proven something in MLB.
Does that make the Cubs' offer better than the Braves' offer? From what I've heard are involved in the deals, no, clearly not.
The reality is that neither team needs Peavy. The Braves would probably be fine if they went into rebuild mode and unless the Astros, Brewers, or Reds bake a huge splash the Cubs are going to win the Central for a third year by at least 10 games.
Posted by: maynardgilmour | November 12, 2008 at 05:45 PM
maynardgilmour we discussed the whole which deal is better on every other Peavy post. We also discussed the which deal is better thing on other posts and since no one knows who exactly has been offered we can't judge the trade offers.
Posted by: jtd | November 12, 2008 at 05:51 PM
maynard, no one on this post has said anything about marshall, go to a cubs board or something. Towers better accept one of the cubs or braves offers sometime in the next week otherwise he is in trouble cause i doubt peavy wants to come back now
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | November 12, 2008 at 05:56 PM
"Towers better accept one of the cubs or braves offers sometime in the next week otherwise he is in trouble cause i doubt peavy wants to come back now"
Tower doesn't have to accept anything he doesn't want too. He's the GM of the Padres, not you.
Posted by: BravesRed | November 12, 2008 at 06:01 PM
Bravesfan, as you know names have been thrown around here for a week now nonstop, so don't act all high and mighty all of the sudden.
The more I look at this... I don't even think I want Peavy for the cost anymore. I'd rather resign Dempster to a fair deal and put money into a left handed right fielder and be done with it.
If Hendry can fleece KT without Vitters name being dropped... I'm ok with it. Once his name comes up, just walk away. We dont need 3 #1 starters in Peavy, Zambrano and Harden... Let's spend our money intelligently please.
Posted by: Bdlugz | November 12, 2008 at 06:02 PM
Bdlugz, I have never quite understood the Cubs' interest in Peavy... and I really do wonder if it's just Hendry doing his pal Towers a favor by dropping some hints to drive the market.
Seems like we've never heard a firm offer from the Cubs...
I also can't really believe the Cubs would be willing to spend the money to sign Peavy and Dempster, with all their other contracts.
Anyway, end of conspiracy theory.
Posted by: AtlantaMike | November 12, 2008 at 06:06 PM
Braves don't need Peavy, they should play next year, than try to contend in 2010. They'll have Hudson back, Jurrjens, Hanson, maybe another good pitcher, another pitcher that is atleast half decent pitcher.
Posted by: BravesRed | November 12, 2008 at 06:09 PM
Now that Lou came out and said he thinks the Cubs involvement is all talk, and Wren has confirmed the Braves to be in discussions for Peavy, doesnt that pretty much make it just the Braves? Sounds like Towers is now holding out hoping that the Dodgers would give up enough to justify trading him in the division. I only sat that because of the list of teams Peavy has. If the Cubs are not in it and the Braves are, what on earth is holding this up?
It is not like more teams can get involved since Peavy limits where he will go. Time to do the deal or take him off the market Towers. If this is true about the Cubs being all talk it is no wonder the Braves are so annoyed with this deal.
Posted by: SoleMaverick | November 12, 2008 at 06:21 PM
Of course they're all talk. The rumors have the Cubs sending over a pile of crap.
Posted by: tsizzle | November 12, 2008 at 06:23 PM
It could be Peavy holding it up. The Cubs will win the Central with or without him next year, but the Braves are still stuck in the same divison as the Phils and a Mets team that might finally live up to expetations this year. Plus the always dangerous Florida Marlins.
Posted by: Hoffpauir Hour | November 12, 2008 at 06:25 PM
SoleMaverick-
The Cubs may not be "all talk". What Lou said only means that he doen't care if we get Peavy, and that he hasn't talked to Hendry about it. The article states that Piniella THINKS the Cubs are all talk. And if this deal will require Vitters then don't do it. Just get the lefty bat, and I'm happy.
Posted by: cubs4ever | November 12, 2008 at 06:34 PM
J. Peavy to yanks 09
Yanks have a nice package to offer
The Braves could look at a FA pitching ... possibly B. Sheets ... may want to hang onto T. Hanson, J. Reyes, Y. Escobar, etc.
z
Posted by: arod13 | November 12, 2008 at 06:37 PM
Hey arod13:
What part of Peavy doesn't want anything to do with New York City don't you understand? LOL @ Arrogant Yankees Fans!
Posted by: Mistyck | November 12, 2008 at 07:00 PM
Lou wouldn't say a word if it were up in the air, even if hendry told him about it...so please stop acting like its a story.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | November 12, 2008 at 07:03 PM
slashieboy,
you hope the yankees get him because he's not worth it?
he is trade bait without any known demands made by the padres, so how the hell do you know what he's worth?
yankees need to step up to the plate for peavy. they need him. he's the real deal.
Posted by: TheJuiceDidIt | November 12, 2008 at 07:06 PM
I feel like in a baseball community such as this that should be common sense Aduncaroo... kind of sad to see people actually counting this as any kind of word one way or the other.
As for the Cubs sending over a pile of crap, we've already discussed and decided that if they are offering Vitters, he has a higher ceiling than anyone the braves are offering. It is hardly crap. Gah... got me going again, especially since we have NO idea what the Cubs are offering or being asked for.
Posted by: Bdlugz | November 12, 2008 at 07:08 PM
peavy said he would go to the Yankees. Not the Red Sox
Posted by: SuperChargers | November 12, 2008 at 07:12 PM
"These wannabe GM's need a reality check.
I keep hearing the word prospect as if it means anything and people keep putting down Marshall.
Marshall isn't a slouch and he'd be great for Petco Park and he's actually proven something in MLB.
Does that make the Cubs' offer better than the Braves' offer? From what I've heard are involved in the deals, no, clearly not."
Marshall has proved about as much as Chuck James has for the Braves does that mean anything? If your terrible your terrible, and Marshall is clearly terrible.
As for the Braves, forget the Pads, go after Burnett, Lowe, and Dempster and pursue other trades if you only get one or none of those guys. The Braves offer is superior to the Cubs period. There are a lot of teams who want KJ and Esco that are willing to give up a pitcher.
Posted by: siskel_god | November 12, 2008 at 07:18 PM
siskel_god,
In every year Marshall has pitched his ERA and WHIP have dropped, his BB/9 has dropped, and his K/9 has gone up.
His last year as a full time starter he posted a 3.92 ERA over 19 starts. I'd certainly not call that crap, the Braves would kill to get that production out of their 5 starter, so let's hold your attacks.
Also, you don't know the Cubs offer, so you can't say it's crap. However, if it's Vitters/Ceda/Marshall/Pie/Cedeno, that is not necessarily better than the Braves offer.
If you want to make an arguement try using stats and not being a dick about it, you'll get further.
Posted by: Bdlugz | November 12, 2008 at 07:29 PM
I have been saying this since the beginning. I really think K.T. is being very stingy and is annoying not only Wren but other GM's around the league with this Peavy deal. I have a feeling that whether or not K.T. deals Peavy it is going to hurt his reputation. And if he doesn't he will be doomed!
Posted by: ChiefTomahawk | November 12, 2008 at 07:29 PM
arod13 if the Braves dont hear back from the Padres by Friday then they are going after Demspter, Lowe and Burnett. Wren said he has no interest in Sheets due to his injury problems.
Posted by: ChiefTomahawk | November 12, 2008 at 07:32 PM
Why do you people even respond to arod13? He is worse than that "RED SOX DYNASTY" person. He wants your attentions, because no one loves him, so he has to get it from somewhere, so ignore him.
Posted by: BravesRed | November 12, 2008 at 07:36 PM
"Why do you people even respond to arod13? He is worse than that "RED SOX DYNASTY"
thats a little extreme. at least arod says his piece and leaves.
Posted by: GeneralManager | November 12, 2008 at 07:41 PM
what a red sox fan siding with a yankees fan did hell freeze over
Posted by: jtd | November 12, 2008 at 07:52 PM
I honestly would not be shocked if the Yanks land Peavy. Its always the underdog who gets the stud.
Posted by: ChiefTomahawk | November 12, 2008 at 08:13 PM
Here is a blog by John Donovan about why the Padres should trade Peavy:
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2008/writers/john_donovan/11/12/donovan.peavy/index.html
Posted by: BravesRed | November 12, 2008 at 08:38 PM
I'm hopin' he goes to the Cubs, seeing as how they'd stack up to the D-Backs as having the 2nd best 1,2 punch in the league.
Posted by: Ms4life | November 12, 2008 at 08:39 PM
Garlick,
Why are you putting an apostrophe in Flowers' name? It's "Flowers," not "Flower's."
And he's not a coveted prospect solely because of his recent AFL performance. He's a 22-year-old who just OPSd .921 in high-A ball, with a 98/102 BB/K ratio. And he has at least a chance of remaining behind the plate which gives him tons of value, independent of his AFL numbers.
Posted by: FireJoeMorgan | November 12, 2008 at 08:56 PM
Can one person tell me why the Cubs need Peavy? They already have one of the top 5 rotations in baseball. They already have one of the best teams in baseball. If Marshall is as good as Cubs fans say he is, why is he in trade talks? Why is Pie in trade talks? Hill had one good year, which was his rookie year, he has sucked ever since.
Can one person tell me why Braves should not have Peavy? Their rotation was crap in 2008, it will be crap in 2009, unless they get two good starters. One person wrote earlier today that Vitters would be the best players in the both deals, if added. Here's a clue, Escobar is the best player in both deals.
Can one person tell why the Yankees need Peavy? They already have Chamberlain, Wang, and will get some good starters in FA. Whoever says Cano is a good player, go jump off a bridge, because you are clueless.
Posted by: BravesRed | November 12, 2008 at 08:59 PM
I am no Cubs fan but Vitters is the best player in the deals being talked about.
Escobar is ML ready but ceiling wise, Vitters is a beast.
Posted by: BraunHolio | November 12, 2008 at 09:25 PM
"I am no Cubs fan but Vitters is the best player in the deals being talked about.
Escobar is ML ready but ceiling wise, Vitters is a beast."
Thank you! You should have seen the discussion on this earlier...
"If Marshall is as good as Cubs fans say he is, why is he in trade talks? Why is Pie in trade talks? Hill had one good year, which was his rookie year, he has sucked ever since."
Marshall or Marquis < Peavy
Replacing one with the other makes the team better...but I agree, Peavy is a luxury for the Cubs, not a need. However, we do lose Marquis and Harden after this year, and Lilly after next...so Hendry is thinking how he is going to replace those guys.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | November 12, 2008 at 09:31 PM
I am not sure why the Cubs need Peavy, what is the offer for him. I heard they are looking at Marshall, Vitters, Pie, and maybe Cedeno. If so that is pretty weak.
I say forget about Peavy and Dempster, sign Lowle and Furcal and maybe try and trade for Hermedia from the Marlins and there you go.
Posted by: #1Cubsfan | November 12, 2008 at 09:31 PM
Okay the cubs guy that said marshall is good and then listed his stats, go look at chuck james basically the same. would you trade for either of those guys? honestly i wouldnt unless it was long relief
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | November 12, 2008 at 09:32 PM
sorry about the apostrophe, I shouldn't be putting it in there, but I was typing quickly at work, and half paying attention.
As far as my post. It was more pointed at the people who now are talking like he's a blue chip prospect and could be ready NEXT year for Major League time.
He put up good numbers this year, but was very average in the 1.5 years before that, and he's going to need at least 2-3 years more of minor league time to be major league ready, and he could regress to his pre 2008 numbers,which is 800 OPS not the mid 900 he was at this year.
Posted by: garlick | November 12, 2008 at 09:35 PM
Bdlugz
I am pretty sure that if a manager is going to go out and say that he has not talked to his GM about his team trading for the priemer starter on the market and thinks that the rumors are all talk, that is a story. Especially with Lou who has always been very involved in personal on every team he has managed. I would think in a baseball community like this one the relationship between a manager and his GM would be obvious...
Posted by: SoleMaverick | November 12, 2008 at 09:35 PM
I love all this talk about teams not needing Peavy. His ERA+ over the past 5 seasons has been 171, 134, 99, 159, 134. ERA+ is park neutral. 100 is league average, 120 is 20% better than league average.
Let's compare Peavy to other pitchers over the last 3 years:
1. Lowe 124, 118, 131
2. Burnett 115, 119, 105
3. Sabathia 140, 143, 162
4. Dempster 96, 99, 151
5. O. Perez 67, 120, 100
Peavy is better than all but Sabathia, and he'll cost less. Yes, he'll cost prospects, but to claim he's not needed on your team is just obtuse.
I'd love for the Dodgers to trade McDonald, Hu, Elbert for him. But clearly Towers is going to do everything he can to not let the Dodgers have him.
Posted by: DodgersBruin | November 12, 2008 at 09:38 PM
I don't think anybody seriously argued that Vitters has the highest ceiling among the all the players involved in the Peavy talks. I'd also say its a complete joke to call Vitters the best player involved in the Peavy talks. I'll give you that he's the best prospect, but you can't seriously argue that Vitters, a 19 year-old prospect who has never played full season professional baseball and is 3-4 years away from the majors, is a better player than Yunel Escobar, who already has 800+ AB in the majors with a .303/.373/.420 line, a 109 OPS+, and the 2nd best +/- defensively among SS last season. I guess you could knock him since he is "only" under team control for 5 more years, but that's about it.
Posted by: nixa37 | November 12, 2008 at 09:59 PM
#1CubsFan why do you want Jeremey Hermida? I'm so sick of hearing his name, look at his splits he is not a good player. I'd much rather go after Raul Ibanez who is forgotten about because he has been playing in Seattle for the past years, though he is older his splits are still very consistent throughout these past years.
Posted by: shempel10 | November 12, 2008 at 10:00 PM
The argument about who needs Peavy is dumb because every team could use him. He would be the ace on about half of the teams. The argument that is trying to be made is that the Cubs have other more pressing needs and could use there money and prospects on other needs.
Posted by: jtd | November 12, 2008 at 10:07 PM
Maybe the Astros can still be a player here? Pence to the Rays for a top pitching prospect which would get sent to the Padres + whatever is left in the Astros system.
That would be cool to see happen.
Posted by: BraunHolio | November 12, 2008 at 10:09 PM
Braves Padres near Peavy deal
http://www.sportsline.com/mcc/blogs/entry/6270335/11665079
Posted by: GeneralManager | November 12, 2008 at 10:19 PM
finally some news that this might be over soon
Posted by: jtd | November 12, 2008 at 10:24 PM
"I don't think anybody seriously argued that Vitters has the highest ceiling among the all the players involved in the Peavy talks. I'd also say its a complete joke to call Vitters the best player involved in the Peavy talks. I'll give you that he's the best prospect, but you can't seriously argue that Vitters, a 19 year-old prospect who has never played full season professional baseball and is 3-4 years away from the majors, is a better player than Yunel Escobar, who already has 800+ AB in the majors with a .303/.373/.420 line, a 109 OPS+, and the 2nd best +/- defensively among SS last season. I guess you could knock him since he is "only" under team control for 5 more years, but that's about it."
You don't? Vitters ceiling is easily higher than Yunel's, its just that he is much further away from reaching it. Yunel is not an MVP calibur hitter, nor will he ever be, because its nothing his ceiling. Thats the ceiling of a hitter like Vitters.
By the way, a 109 OPS+ is highly inflated from last year. This year, he had a 103, barely above average, and saw all the important numbers regress.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | November 12, 2008 at 11:32 PM
"I'd also say its a complete joke to call Vitters the best player involved in the Peavy talks."
Did anyone say Vitters was the best "player"? If so, that is a complete joke...but I don't think it happened.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | November 12, 2008 at 11:34 PM
"I would think in a baseball community like this one the relationship between a manager and his GM would be obvious..."
The relationship between Lou and the media is a whole other story. Do you think before they signed Soriano he would have said, yeah, we are going to his hotel room right now to try and sign him....no. Lou hates the media and isn't going to give them inside information like this...especially during a conference call for him winning manager of the year.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | November 12, 2008 at 11:35 PM
Ibanez over Hermedia, are you kidding? Ibanez is a guy in his early thirties that is anbad fielder with just okay fielding ability and we already have one of those in left
Cubs need a leadoff man and a left handed power hitter before they look at pitching. Peavy is nice, but is it the need at this time. I would say only if you can get a team to bite on taking Lee and Hardon off you hands in a three team deal.
Also let demp go, he is worth resigning but not the 5/80 that he wants
Posted by: #1Cubsfan | November 13, 2008 at 12:41 AM
Aduncaroo,
You literally quoted the post where BraunHolio said "Vitters is the best player in the deals being talked about" and said finally someone agrees. I figured you had read the post you were quoting.
You also just make a sweeping blanket statement about Yunel's numbers regressing without actually bothering to look them up. Which of his important numbers regressed other than his batting average? His walk rate went up significantly (7.8% to 10.3%), while his strikeout rate dropped from 13.8% to 12.1%. I guess he also saw a slight drop in his ISO (.125 to .113). The important thing to take away from that is his approach at the plate significantly approved, while his BABIP dropped pretty drastically.
Obviously Escobar is not the type of guy who is ever going to win an MVP. He is a young SS who is a pretty good bet to develop into an ideal #2 hitter that OBPs between .380 and .390 with an OPS in the 800-830 range in his prime. If you buy Dewan's +/- numbers, he also has elite range at SS. A great fielding SS that can post those offensive numbers is incredibly valuable and he's completely locked up through his prime (26-30). I think I'll take that over the possibility that Vitters reaches his (admittedly tremendous) ceiling.
Posted by: nixa37 | November 13, 2008 at 03:25 AM