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« Odds and Ends: Teixeira, Hunsicker, Burrell | Main | Brewers Re-Sign Chris Capuano »
According to Danny Knobler of CBSSports.com, the Braves aren't interested in available starters Jake Peavy and Derek Lowe. The market for Lowe seems to be shrinking, as Scott Boras sticks to demands for four or five years at $16.5MM per (similar to A.J. Burnett's deal). Knobler says there's still bad blood between the Braves and Padres over the Peavy talks.
It sounds like the Braves have turned to Kenshin Kawakami to complement their Javier Vazquez acquistion.
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I think we should sign Hideki Irabu and call it a winter
Posted by: siskel_god | December 15, 2008 at 03:26 PM
Doesn't make sense...
Posted by: Stephen Peele | December 15, 2008 at 03:26 PM
cole hamels thinks the braves are off season choke artists
Posted by: the_kid_01 | December 15, 2008 at 03:28 PM
Good hopefully more teams won't pay 16.5 for lowe!
Posted by: whitesox4life | December 15, 2008 at 03:28 PM
Well it doesn't make much sense to come out and say "We really really want Peavy!"
Despite the fact they could really use him.
Posted by: Kenan and Kel | December 15, 2008 at 03:29 PM
Towers shot himself in the foot.
Posted by: eric23 | December 15, 2008 at 03:29 PM
That's unacceptable. Wren needs to get back in there and give Towers one more shot, and/or call up Boras and listen to what he has to say, then undercut him and hope it works. Adding Kawakami and Vazquez does not a starting rotation make.
Posted by: FineHamAbounds | December 15, 2008 at 03:32 PM
Why did towers shoot himself in the foot? The Padres Owner CEO and GM have all said that they are fine with Jake being a padre in 09 it just limits the flexability they have in filling some of moves they can make...If KT was really under pressure to dump his salary Peavy would be a brave or a Cub by now.
Posted by: Grey Suit | December 15, 2008 at 03:33 PM
because of this i say he is going to be a met.
think
the phillies re sign moyer and sin ibanez
braves have no interest
the yankees have signed cc and aj and shifted to offense
the only suitors are the met for 15 per year bargain
Posted by: beastOftheEast | December 15, 2008 at 03:38 PM
I truly hope that this is NOT Frank Wren's PRIDE holding us back from dealing with the Padres and their lackluster tactics when working on a trade, whether it be Kevin Towers inability to make a decision or the constant outbreaks of leaks about players in the possible trade!
I do not understand why it would not be in our best interest to reopen those negotiations and stop trying to get into a pissing contest. I want what is best for our team and if Frank does not feel Peavy is best for the team then I will respect that and agree, but if we are not going after Peavy because of Pride, then Frank Wren in my mind better start looking for another job.
Posted by: Braves or Die | December 15, 2008 at 03:39 PM
I think FW needs to take all of that Peavy energy and direct it towards Oswalt, Greinke, Cain, Arroyo, Harang or anybody else even rumored to be available.
Posted by: daslied | December 15, 2008 at 03:39 PM
I thint Wren is also pissed that a bunch of the names on the braves side in the potential Peavy trade were leaked. The Braves always act very quietly so that their players don't freak out about trade rumors. I'm guessing this has to do with some of the bad blood between the two. In addition, Wren shot down a bunch of the rumored packages between the Braves and Padres.
Posted by: DKA | December 15, 2008 at 03:39 PM
Daslied,
Where are you hearing that Arroyo and Harang are available? If the REDS move anyone, I'd expect to be Arroyo but haven't heard that anywhere.
The talk I've heard from the front office is that the REDS rotation is one of the few areas that won't be messed with this offseason.
I'd be fine with an Arroyo deal, but think it'd be foolish to trade Harang right now. He's signed to a good contract and is coming of a very bad year. Please Walt, don't sell low on Harang.
Posted by: bweav44 | December 15, 2008 at 03:46 PM
Has anyone actually watched/seen footage of Kawakami pitch, his number very admirible, plus a two time "Cy Young" equivalent winner...he would be a veteran presence not a #1, probably not a #2 but another arm that can eat innings at a solid rate...my only concern...is for the a big chunk of his career he has been the highest paid player on his team...maybe he will command a salary north of 10 million, and if that is the case I say forget it...
Posted by: bartendermlb | December 15, 2008 at 03:50 PM
JS mentions in his book that he has would avoid dealing with certain GMs because of the way they would handle negotiations. I'm sure if the right situation arose they would consider dealing with KT again, but they'll avoid him if possible. Honestly, I don't think the Braves are a good match for Peavy anymore. The Braves aren't comfortable trading Escobar given the current SS market and I just don't see a deal working without Hanson, Heyward, or Escobar as a part of it and the Braves clearly aren't interested in that.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 15, 2008 at 03:53 PM
bweav44, I have no proof of that - I meant to say "anyone even rumored to be rumored to be available." :)
Posted by: daslied | December 15, 2008 at 03:53 PM
I am hoping Wren has something up his sleve to get us a young high end SP. I need something here hell sign a power outfielder give me something to be positive about.
Posted by: thedeuce | December 15, 2008 at 03:54 PM
Bartender MLB, I am not sure but I believe that I read Kawakami averaged about 130 or so innings. I know that the seasons are shorter but as far as innnings eater I believe that is untested.
Posted by: Braves or Die | December 15, 2008 at 03:55 PM
Wren wanted two studs going into the offseason. Javier Vazquez and Kenshin Kawakami? Sign me up for season tickets next year!
Posted by: Land-Man | December 15, 2008 at 03:55 PM
I know the Braves probably won't do it, but I think they need to look at Sheets.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 15, 2008 at 03:57 PM
Having the names leaked is probably one thing that has Wren upset. Especially when one was Yunel. He is still young and emotional so that might mess with his head. But some of this I think is for something else. Towers could be thinking the Braves are desperate right now and will come crawling back. Maybe Wren is saying what he is saying to counter that potential feeling and level the playing ground. Also I think going after a Kawakami and a Garland?Perez?Cabrera wouldn't be the worse thing. No there aren't any one true ace (unless the legend John Smoltz comes back to Atlanta) but that would be a very solid pitching staff from top to bottom that would eat innings and not post that bad of numbers. It could lead to a more solid team because there would be more money to fill other holes (left field, bench, and lefty reliever). Plus with the second tier guys you could get them on shorter deals so when Huddy, Hanson, and the rest of the young arms are ready there aren't a lot of contracts in the way
Posted by: the_eddy | December 15, 2008 at 03:58 PM
Burrell and Kawakami and Smoltz would not be terrible. a rotation of
1. Smoltz
2. Vasquez
3. Jurrjens
4. Kawakami
5. Morton/Reyes/Hanson
could be decent enough to contend if it works out. and before anyone bashes me for putting smoltz at the top just look at his numbers the last couple of years and this guy is excellent at coming back from injury
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | December 15, 2008 at 04:00 PM
That was my worry too but I would be happy with him eating 160-170 innings for us...Campillo can't make it the long haul of the season and we don't need to overwork Jair, all we have to eat innings are Vazquez at this point, I'd say anyone that can eat 160-170 consistently for a fair rate for us is a good pick up at this point...
Posted by: bartendermlb | December 15, 2008 at 04:00 PM
I think the Braves are just planning on waiting out the LF market. They figure they can get a pretty good deal on one of the 2nd tier guys after Manny and Tex sign. Personally I'd try and add Burrell on 1-2 year deal if at all possible. He'd finally give us a guy who can mash against LHP (Dunn does not) and he should cost less than Dunn in years and dollars.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 15, 2008 at 04:02 PM
on kind of a related note, looks like the padres might be up for sale soon...
http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/sns-ap-bbn-padres-goldman-sachs,0,1599710.story
maybe this changes things as far as peavy goes??
Posted by: 100backeduptrucks | December 15, 2008 at 04:06 PM
"maybe this changes things as far as peavy goes??"
Who's gonna wanna buy a sucky team that can't even win a division title in the NL West?
Posted by: BravesRed | December 15, 2008 at 04:08 PM
well we really can't afford Lowe or Peavy now. We dont have anymore players to offer. We would have to give up Yunel to either one and if we do that we wont have a shortstop unless we get in on the running with Furcal. Then we would have to fork out another big contract and wont be able to get the outfielder we need.
I understand the Vaquez deal bc we need a pitcher but we could have held out for something better than a +4 ERA and a career losing record.
I think now the braves need to look harder into signing smoltz back before we end up losing him to the red sox. Theres no telling how good hes gonna be when he gets back. A guy throwing 94 with a hurt arm all season and having surgery to make it stronger. Theres a chance hes gonna be throwing some gas this year.
The braves need to start rebuilding their team. We need to get a solid left fielder and get a good backup first baseman which would have been better than signing a backup catcher.
Posted by: EC28 | December 15, 2008 at 04:11 PM
Who's gonna wanna buy a sucky team that can't even win a division title in the NL West?
Posted by: BravesRed | December 15, 2008 at 04:08 PM
Most people who buy clubs don't buy them because of the competitive success (or lack thereof). Just like anything else, owning a baseball club is an investment. If you can reap the benefits from Hal and Hank Drunkensailor in New York and their revenue sharing, why not do so? Look at David Glass in KC and a lot of these other "absentee" owners around the league.
Posted by: unbiasedhomer | December 15, 2008 at 04:14 PM
Maybe the Braves don't plan on contending in 2009? Perhaps Braves fans will have to wait for that glut of untouchable prospects to mature in the next few years? Then again, maybe Frank Wren will get his act together and concede to give up some talent for a top 5 ace. Go Mariners!
Posted by: rudolf | December 15, 2008 at 04:17 PM
EC28,
I agree with your first paragraph but seriously disagree with your take on Vazquez. At worst, he should provide 200+ IP at a league average ERA. With a bunch of young guys and Campillo (a 1 year wonder at this point without the history of throwing lots of innings), the Braves really needed the stability that Vazquez provides.
The Braves are clearly very interested in bringing Smoltz back. Even the DOB blog post this site quoted as saying it appears more likely Smoltz will leave Atlanta only estimated the likelihood of him leaving at 20%. I just don't see him leaving as long as the Braves don't low ball him and makes some moves to help the team in the meantime.
I also can't imagine why you think a backup 1B pickup would be better than getting Ross as our backup C. Clearly your C needs games off, while your 1B should be able to play everyday unless of injury. Ross is also a great match with McCann because he hits very well against LHP, allowing the Braves to rest McCann against lefties without losing a ton offensively.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 15, 2008 at 04:19 PM
First no one knows that smoltz will be able to start again. So before we put him as the #1 we have to find out if he will start and if he does it may not even be for the braves. Second I am pissed the Phils and Mets are killing us this offseason. Look at the mets pen alone. We have not done anything that will help us beat these teams this offseason. I dont know what Wren is waiting for but it is not looking good for the Bravos right now.
Posted by: Bravesfansince1990 | December 15, 2008 at 04:19 PM
"Who's gonna wanna buy a sucky team that can't even win a division title in the NL West?"
Did you honestly just ask why someone would want to own a professional baseball team, let alone one in San Diego?
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 15, 2008 at 04:20 PM
EC28, So many things that don't make sense. First we have plenty of players that could be offered and Lowe is a free agent so he wouldn't cost any players. Vazquez was not brought in to be an ace he was brought in to eat innings and be a veteran presance. Smoltz didn't pitch anywhere near a full season only 6 games and 28 innings. A backup catcher is really important because McCann can't sit back there for 162 games.
Posted by: jtd | December 15, 2008 at 04:20 PM
Yeah the braves are going to compete in 2009!!!! Well with that nationals that is for owning that cellar spot!!! Im really starting to wonder about wren...
Posted by: chipperowns10 | December 15, 2008 at 04:20 PM
"Who's gonna wanna buy a sucky team that can't even win a division title in the NL West?"
i was talking more about selling off the highest paid player on a team potentially for sale, but good job on completely missing the point
Posted by: 100backeduptrucks | December 15, 2008 at 04:22 PM
What's wrong with going out and re-signing Smoltz?
Anyone that watched him last year..in his 5 starts..he went 3 and 2..(because of no run support)..with a 2.57 ERA in 28 innings, and 36 K's..before he was forced to shut it down for the season..he was masterful. I watched him in 4 of his 5 starts..and he was looking brilliant. I say re-sign him for 2 years..make him the ace..Jurrjens 2nd..Vazquez 3rd..re-sign Glavine, make him 4th..and let Parr, Morton, Reyes, and Campillo work the 5th spot..
Posted by: Storm | December 15, 2008 at 04:27 PM
and ..Oliver Perez is still out there..the Braves should sign him (if for no other reason, just so they won't have to face him..he owns the Braves)
Posted by: Storm | December 15, 2008 at 04:32 PM
Maybe Wren isn't willing to mortgage the future just in the hopes that we can compete with the Mets and Phils next year. Even if everything breaks right, the Braves still might not make the playoffs next year. Sure, they should do what they can within reason to improve the team, but emptying the farm for a few extra wins in 2009 makes no sense.
The Braves really aren't a fit for Peavy right now. We clearly can't trade Escobar for him and I would hope Wren keeps Heyward and Hanson off limits. That means the only way the Braves get him is by basically selling off the rest of the farm system. Probably something along the lines of Hernandez, Morton Rohrbough, Locke, Freeman, and another guy. That just doesn't make sense for the Braves.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 15, 2008 at 04:34 PM
"Maybe Wren isn't willing to mortgage the future just in the hopes that we can compete with the Mets and Phils next year. Even if everything breaks right, the Braves still might not make the playoffs next year. Sure, they should do what they can within reason to improve the team, but emptying the farm for a few extra wins in 2009 makes no sense."
I agree. People really need to look at the young guys that are coming up through this system right now. They already have the core of McCann, Escobar, Johnson, and Kotchman on the ML roster, as well as other guys like Schafer, Heyward, Hernandez, Freeman, Jones and Hicks. The pitching has Jurrjens, Hanson, Rohrbrough, Locke, Reyes, Morton, Teheran, Medlen and Marek.
This organization has a lot of very interesting players coming up through the system, and some good pieces already on the team. The Teixeira trade costed them big time with Salty, Andrus, Feliz and Harrison, which is a simply astounding haul, and they basically threw away Joey Devine, but the Renteria trade was huge by landing Jurrjens and Hernandez.
This team may not be much better than a 80-82 win team in 2009, but they may very well be contenders in a couple of years, with a star studded lineup of Heyward, McCann, Schafer, Freeman, Escobar and Johnson.
Posted by: scribbletone | December 15, 2008 at 04:53 PM
I think the Mets will end up with Lowe. The Braves just don't seem interested in the guy (maybe because Frank Wren's head doesn't seem to be screwed on just right), and the Phillies, Yankees and Red Sox just don't have the need. That leaves the Mets competing against small market teams for a guy who will probably end up signing for 3/45.
The Braves need to stay put. Heyward is a monster, and Tommy Hanson is another very solid prospect. Both are far better than anything the Mets have on the farm, with the possible exception of 17 year-old Wilmer Flores. Keep them, and keep Freeman and Morton. I'd definitely trade Jordan Schaefer and Jo-Jo Reyes, but that's it.
Posted by: metsobsessed | December 15, 2008 at 04:56 PM
The Braves really screwed themselves when they traded Neftali Feliz and Elvis Andrus. Had they kept Feliz, arguably the best pitching prospect in baseball (although I'd put D. Price and Porcello ahead), they could've traded Hanson, and had they kept Andrus, they could've traded Escobar. Anyone think the Padres would've taken Hanson, Escobar, Reyes, and a lower-level prospect?
Posted by: metsobsessed | December 15, 2008 at 05:00 PM
i suggested garland awhile ago, like someone said we just need stability. Let vazquez be the number 1, garland and keep jur at 2 and you still got money for a left fielder. I rather not have oliver perez. No vazquez and garland arent the answers/ace but its better than not having any rotation. Any braves fan knows if we didnt get peavy or burnett we wouldnt compete for the NL east so lets say hanson is the stud he is suppose to be. He can step in etc. I say lets hit the rebuilding mode and keep our "prospects".
Posted by: atheleticsNbraves | December 15, 2008 at 05:04 PM
Baseball America actually just ranked Hanson ahead of Heyward in the Braves top 10. I think he's underrated right now because not everyone doing the rankings has seen him since he added his slider back into the mix. BA just ranked that slider as the best in the Braves system and its been compared to Smoltz's, coming in at 86-89 with sharp downward bite. If he can throw that pitch consistently that gives him 3 pitches that profile as at least plus pitches to go along with an average change. I think that raises his ceiling from a good #2 to borderline ace range.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 15, 2008 at 05:09 PM
Andrus wouldn't have allowed the Braves to trade Escobar this offseason, because he clearly isn't major league ready yet. Escobar is the proven player and he is only under team control for one less year, so you clearly move Andrus over him. Besides Andrus upside is basically Escobar with the ability to steal bases. I really have no regrets about trading him.
Obviously the Braves regret moving Feliz, but he was a 19 year old in rookie league who wasn't even that dominate. Obviously he's made huge strides since then and definitely has the ceiling of an ace. Still, I might take Hanson over him at this point because Hanson's ceiling isn't that much lower and he's a half a year to a year ahead of Feliz in terms of development.
Even if the Braves had all those guys, I don't think they'd move Escobar and Hanson. I don't think they'd move there starting SS no matter what. They might consider Hanson/Feliz and Andrus, but even that would be questionable if they're adding anything else of value to the pot.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 15, 2008 at 05:22 PM
Yeah I think at this point Tommy Hanson is an untouchable prospect. The guy has near ace potential and seems fairly likely to make it considering his fastball command and the emergence of plus offspeed stuff. At this point, Feliz has the better raw arm and has the higher ceiling, but Hanson is far more likely to reach his potential, and is therefore the guy I would take first at this point.
Andrus does have higher upside than Escobar, but as you put it that's basically Escobar with plus speed, and he probably won't be able to play everyday until 2010 at the earliest.
Posted by: scribbletone | December 15, 2008 at 05:36 PM
hey scribbletone i wouldnt quite throw hicks or jones into a ctaegory with shafer, gorky, hanson,heyward, and freeman. Jones and hicks will never be major league players especially hicks, hes worse than lilli with less upside, all he does is strike out and play great D. He strikes out once every 3 abs.
And i admire the fact that wren isnt giving away the farm to get what he wants, however esco,morton,gorkys, and locke arent the farm. He made a list of "untouchables" and none of them are in that group.
Also if ur going to give away one of ur hottest prospects at a premium position in tyler flowers for a back end starter u better be doing something else to improve ur team. If wren doesnt plan on competing this year then that trade will be absolutley horrid!!!!
Posted by: chipperowns10 | December 15, 2008 at 05:40 PM
I think Frank Wren is doing a great job. The absolute worst thing he could do would be to trade away the farm system for injured players. And I don't blame him for giving up on the Peavy deal. Towers leaked every single detail to the media...and probably even embellished a few details to try to make Wren look bad. Who wants to deal with someone like that? Let Peavy stay with the Pads and have his Tommy John surgery on their dime.
Even with Mr. Wonderful Peavy, the Braves would not be contenders next year - not with the Mets and Phils in their way. They are at least a couple of years away from having a solid lineup. My suggestion for the rotation is to sign one more guy (Kawakami or Wolf) and re-sign Smoltz. The 2009 rotation will not be spectacular but will just be a bridge to the next generation.
2009 Rotation:
Vazquez
Jurrjens
Kawakami/Wolf
Campillo/Smoltz
Charlie Morton/Tommy Hanson
2010 Rotation:
Tim Hudson
Vazquez
Jurrjens
Tommy Hanson
Charlie Morton
2011 Rotation:
Tommy Hanson
Tim Hudson
Jair Jurrjens
Charlie Morton
Cole Rohrbough
Posted by: BravesAllTheWay | December 15, 2008 at 05:42 PM
hey all my fellow braves fans i just joined 2day but been a braves fan since i was one years old i am now fifthteen and love sports. the braves are gonna be better than people realize this year casey cotchman is going 2 come into his own this year frency is going 2 return back 2 form we are going 2 resign john smoltz and also sign this guy from japan i also think we should take a look at corey hart he is on the trading block we are gonna be ok guys!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!and also kid 01 cole hamels said the mets were choke artist not the braves. GO BRAVES 09 BABY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by: denzy | December 15, 2008 at 05:44 PM
"i wouldnt quite throw hicks or jones into a ctaegory with shafer, gorky, hanson,heyward, and freeman"
I wasn't, I was just throwing them out there as other position prospects that the Braves have. Obviously the future core of this team is going to be Heyward, McCann, Escobar, Freeman, Schafer, and possibly Kotchman and Hernandez.
Posted by: scribbletone | December 15, 2008 at 05:48 PM
is this post serious?? ^^^
Posted by: chipperowns10 | December 15, 2008 at 05:52 PM
The fact that the Braves traded a hot prospect who "plays" a premium position is a good thing. We traded Flowers at what was probably his peak value. There are obviously questions about Flowers' ability to stick behind the plate, and those will only get louder (and drop his value) if he doesn't show improvement this year. He also was never going to play C for the Braves so it would be a waste to not trade him at some point. As good as he looks with the bat, he's probably never going to be anything more than league average for a 1B. Most of his value derives from his ability to play C, so you cash in on that while you can.
You also seriously underrate Vazquez. At worst he's a solid #3/#4 pitcher that will give you 200 IP minimum. On a young staff like the Braves, you don't want to have to rely on young pitchers and injury risks for all your rotation spots. The stability that Vazquez provides is huge and Flowers was the only real valuable prospect we gave up.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 15, 2008 at 05:52 PM
scribbleton im DEF not one of the guys saying that we should trade away our top prospects for anyone let alone peavy, howver i think it is a lil dangerous to plan on pretty much our whole team being filled by in house options, especialy the pitching staff....
Posted by: chipperowns10 | December 15, 2008 at 05:53 PM
Nixa, you are right about Flowers. He is 22 years old and has never played above A ball. The Braves traded him at the perfect time and got just the type of pitcher they needed. Vazquez is nothing but a bridge to the younger guys who aren't ready yet.
Here is the Baseball America listing of the Braves top prospects:
1. Tommy Hanson, rhp
2. Jason Heyward, of
3. Jordan Schafer, of
4. Gorkys Hernandez, of
5. Freddie Freeman, 1b
6. Cole Rohrbough, lhp
7. Jeff Locke, lhp
8. Julio Teheran, rhp
9. Kris Medlen, rhp
10. Craig Kimbrel, rhp
The future looks very bright for the Braves - just maybe not next year.
Posted by: BravesAllTheWay | December 15, 2008 at 05:56 PM
nixa a few things first off i dont underrate vazquez and im srry i shud have said a middle of the rotation guy, i like vazquez and would love to have him if we had a chance to compete. However i really think ur wrong about flowers. If he put up a big year at AA next year his value would have sky rocketed to somewhere around where saltys value was. His value could easily improve. And i wouldnt be against the trade if we did something else to improve but with the way things are going we wont be competitve till 2011 and vazquez will be a FA by then anyways...
Posted by: chipperowns10 | December 15, 2008 at 05:57 PM
There is absolutely no comparison between Salty and Flowers. Salty is actually a decent defensive catcher and was one of the top prospects in all of baseball. He also is currently the same age as Flowers. Flowers projects more as a DH at the major league level.
Posted by: BravesAllTheWay | December 15, 2008 at 06:00 PM
is what post serious
Posted by: denzy | December 15, 2008 at 06:04 PM
Im not saying right now flowers is anywhere near what salty is im saying if he had a real big year next year at AA, and come on anyone one CAN improve defensivley, not saying he will, but he COULD.
Also its just down right dumb to expect that all these prospects of the braves are going to pann out. Theres a chance that NONE of them will be stars at the major league level.Especially the young pitchers. Even hanson isnt a SURE thing, ya hes about as close as it comes but hes not, especially guys like locke, rohrbough, and teheran.
Posted by: chipperowns10 | December 15, 2008 at 06:07 PM
haha ur post denzy
Posted by: chipperowns10 | December 15, 2008 at 06:07 PM
Right, but he keeps the Braves from giving way too many innings to young pitchers or signing a free agent for too many years just so they don't have to push the youngsters. Besides, I don't think its out the question for the Braves to be competitive if they get Kawakami, Smoltz, and Burrell/Dunn. Obviously it would take some combination of more development from JJ, actual development for Reyes and/or Morton, a rebound for Frenchy, KJ and Escobar circa 2007, and the emergance of Schafer and/or Hanson.
Flowers value would have gone up if he tore it up at AA next year, but there was definitely no guarantee of that. There's just as much of a chance he would have continued to not hit for a ton of power and he'd struggle with Ks against better breaking stuff. Besides, if his catching skills don't get better, even a great offensive season wouldn't raise his value much because the chance of him sticking at C significantly decreases and he has to get better offensively to be a good prospect as a 1B.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 15, 2008 at 06:08 PM
Right, but there is a very good chance that if you keep Locke, Rohrbough, and Teheran at least one will make a significant contribution at the big league level. There is also a great chance that at least one puts up numbers next year to significantly increase their stock come the 2009 offseason, so there is the opportunity cost of not trading them then.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 15, 2008 at 06:11 PM
Nixa im not trying to be mr. negative here but there are ALOT of ifs in that. It would really be a miracle if we won the division next year. Also I really think that flowers will improve defensivley. Hes a catcher at heart and wants to play the field. The main reason he was even in the AFL was to improve defensivley, but i guess only time willl tell on that. And i agree with u that we needed to get a guy in the rotation with a veteran presense that can eat innings to save the young arms howver wolfe or garland could have done the same thing for the same amount of money but we wouldnt have lost any prospects. IF we dont do anything else to seriously improve our team i will see the vazquez trade as a waste.
Posted by: chipperowns10 | December 15, 2008 at 06:14 PM
I'll ask again... what's wrong with Derek Lowe? If they sign Kawakami, Lowe, and Adam Dunn, they're set for 2009.
Posted by: FineHamAbounds | December 15, 2008 at 06:14 PM
I still dont get why braves fans want adam dunn?? He plays horrible D in LF- granted so does burrell- but hes left handed and strikes out wayyyy to much. Id rather see us go after a guy like bradley or even burrell, but if its jus kawakami and a LF id rather march brandon jones out there and save the money till next year... Theres no point in spending money jus to spend it and compete with the marlins for 3rd place....
Posted by: chipperowns10 | December 15, 2008 at 06:19 PM
Clearly that's a lot of ifs, that was kind of the point. Its unlikely the Braves will compete, but its not out of the question either. Neither Garland or Wolf provides nearly the upside that Vazquez does (i.e. even less chance of a playoff berth), Wolf seems to want to go back west not the SE, and Garland's peripherals are trending down to scary levels and he's probably still holding out for 3 years. We also would have been waiting on decisions with them for awhile, while Vazquez filled the need immediately.
I think the Braves aren't in on Lowe because he isn't really interested in going to Atlanta. He seems to be focused on the NE and has indicated he might take a discount to go to Boston. Everything considered, I think Atlanta would have to go a year beyond anyone else at the same money. If we're going to be forced to overpay its not worth it.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 15, 2008 at 06:24 PM
Lowe fits well with this ballclub cause anytime these strikeout maniacs face him, they make him look like a REAL GOOD pitcher. Wren would be foolish to sit back and not spend that extra cash on a pitcher who will be better than Morton, Reyes and probably Vazquez.
Posted by: BraveNewWorld | December 15, 2008 at 06:24 PM
I think the problem is that Wren is on such a tight leash that he may not have the cash for Lowe. You respond, "But they offered so much for Burnett!" I say, he was their guy. They don't like Lowe's age, and figure they can get a parallel pitcher in Jon Garland or Randy Wolf. They're wrong, of course, but that's the thinking.
Posted by: metsobsessed | December 15, 2008 at 06:32 PM
Lowe wants to play for a team that will no doubt be in contention next year. and im glad he doesnt want to come because he wants 5 years and 16+ per season which at his age is ridiculous. also chipperowns people want dunn because he is consistent. you can count on him to hit at least 35 homers next season if healthy probably even more if mccann was behind him. yes the strikeouts are bad and the average is too but with his homers and OBP he more than makes up for his shortcomings. also if we are going to get a left fielder this is the year to do it. the market has multiple strong options so the price is down on guys like burrell and dunn.
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | December 15, 2008 at 06:35 PM
Lowe is definitely not a #1, has never shown potential to be an ace and burnett has thats why i think we were more willing to go after aj. for the price of lowe, we could get kawakami and garland/wolf.
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | December 15, 2008 at 06:37 PM
Dunn doesn't make as much sense though because he does nothing to solve the Braves problem against LHP. Sure he's not terrible, but that .239/.359/.474 isn't exactly middle of the order caliber and neither are the numbers of any other RH on our team. Even Chipper has very little order from that side of the plate anymore. Burrell might not be as good as Dunn, but he comes quite a bit cheaper and he fills a huge hole against LHP (.276/.410/.540 career). The Braves have enough weapons against RHP without adding Dunn.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 15, 2008 at 06:41 PM
I'm not a fan of Dunn either. If he were only a good fielder I could ignore the .235 batting average and the ton of strikeouts. But he is a HORRIBLE fielder on top of that anemic batting average. But, I'm really not a fan of any of the free agent outfielders. They all have problems of one sort or another.
Posted by: BravesAllTheWay | December 15, 2008 at 06:46 PM
Uh, Storm,
Smoltz had reconstructive shoulder surgery this year. Dr. Andrews says Smoltz had the most damage of anyone he's ever repaired. And only one major league starting pitcher has ever come back from surgery to rebuild the labrum.
I'm a huge Smoltz fan, and you can't question his competitiveness or his heart. But if the Braves, who know his medical records inside out, aren't leaping at a chance to re-sign him, then I'm guessing he's a long shot to ever again be an effective pitcher.
Posted by: ink-stained scribe | December 15, 2008 at 06:59 PM
If Jurrjens wasn't completely burned out last year, he should be good for 200+ innings in 2009. He may be the ace of the staff in fact if not by reputation.
Posted by: ink-stained scribe | December 15, 2008 at 07:05 PM
nixa37 i agree in that burrell is #1 on my LF wish list but i dont think dunn would be terrible either, doesnt help our hitting against lefties but certainly improves power of team
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | December 15, 2008 at 07:10 PM
I think alot of people are underating Campillo as well as Vazquez.
Vazquez will def give us 200 IP with at least a league average ERA not to mention around 170-190 K's
And as far as Campillo. it was already stated somewhere that he was worn because he came from pitching in the Mexican League then pitching in AAA both of which wore his arm down and he still managed 158 IP with the Major League Club. so all the talk about him not being able to give us any innings is rediculous.
i can see a solid 180-200 ip from him.
JJ also went to around 180 this year so 190-200 next year isnt out of the question.
I personally think that if the Braves were to just go out and get a left for the rotation they would be decent. they would have a bunch of guys who would all be around league average ERA, 190 ip, and around 180 k's
so i would gladly take
Vazquez
Randy Wolf/Oliver Perez
JJ
Campillo
Then if we have Smoltz and he is healthy put him in the top of the rotation if not then we could give Morton another shot who was good everytime but when he was injured
Posted by: drumzalicious | December 15, 2008 at 07:36 PM
Personally, I dont think I could ever watch the braves the same way if Smoltz were to leave
Posted by: zephyr8 | December 15, 2008 at 08:01 PM
Zephyr: why not??
Posted by: chipperowns10 | December 15, 2008 at 08:33 PM
If we got vaquez to eat innings and not win games then why dont we stick with chuck james or someone like that. and as far as the veteran presence if we are able to old on smoltz and glavine thats some veteran presence right there. and i agree with the catcher my fault for not lookin in on that. all i'm sayin about first base is that kotchman was pretty much a flop at first base when we got him. he didnt produce like we hoped for and we ended up having to throw someone in for him at the end of the season.
Posted by: EC28 | December 15, 2008 at 09:11 PM
I would just like to see the braves get a left fielder. peavy will have arm surgery soon and then all we will have is another mike hampton.
Posted by: dt31320 | December 15, 2008 at 09:23 PM
Chuck James struggles to go more than 5 innings. Once he starts going through the order the 3rd time he's in trouble. Unless he makes a ton of improvement, there is no way he can give the Braves more than 170 IP. Vazquez is a solid pitcher that eats innings and he will only help us if we are competing for a playoff spot. He also has the stuff to put up a sub 4 ERA in the NL, which would obviously be a huge help in any playoff push.
As for Kotchman, I was never a big fan in the first place. Still, he's not as bad as he looked in Atlanta last year and we really just have to hope turns it around.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 15, 2008 at 10:02 PM
Chuck James is hurt and would have been out most of the season even if he wouldn't have been non tendered, as far as kotchman goes it's not like we benched him for his stuggles he had to attend to his ailing mother and raked when he got back...
Posted by: chipperowns10 | December 15, 2008 at 11:05 PM
Looks like we can put this one to rest. I sincerely hope you guys do well in 09. Even with Peavy, we won't.
I guess we'll have to wait and see how the season pans out to find out if Wren was right in this case.
Posted by: tomfromsd | December 16, 2008 at 02:51 AM