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According to Scott Lauber, the Rockies told the Phillies Garrett Atkins is available - if they're willing to surrender top pitching prospect Carlos Carrasco. Lauber says the Phils are "positively unwilling" to trade Carrasco, however.
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Colorado is making things way too difficult in their way of trying to get Atkins. Asking for just too much. I just don't see them ending up moving him if this type of thing continues.
Posted by: wes37walz | December 11, 2008 at 04:41 PM
No, it makes sense. 1 solid prospect or let him leave as a likely Type A.
Posted by: Gleb | December 11, 2008 at 04:43 PM
Thats fine if they can't move him though. He puts up huge numbers for them and is still under control for a few more years. Better to ask for too much than too little.
Posted by: ProgMatinee | December 11, 2008 at 04:44 PM
Nice try by O'Dowd at least
Posted by: wayne gomes | December 11, 2008 at 04:45 PM
T-W-I-N-S
Posted by: twinsfan | December 11, 2008 at 04:47 PM
Well they would be asking for more than just Carrasco, that's just the main trading chip they would want in any package for Atkins. I just don't think teams are willing to give up their top prospects for him, and it seems Colorado is wanting not just a teams top prospect, but asking for 2 really good players, like they tried with the Twins in wanting Slowey and Span, that wasn't going to happen.
Posted by: wes37walz | December 11, 2008 at 04:48 PM
Not the Twins... Especially since the asking price is way to high and Atkins is overrated to begin with.
Posted by: MNRunLeft | December 11, 2008 at 04:49 PM
Hahaha O'Dowd has balls atleast.
Posted by: IFiredScottBoras | December 11, 2008 at 04:50 PM
Not worth it for Philadelphia. Atkins catches a lot of crap since people think that he won't be able to hit outside of Coors Field, so the Rockies might as well reap the benefits of having him be a productive hitter there.
Posted by: MattyMets | December 11, 2008 at 04:51 PM
"Well they would be asking for more than just Carrasco"
More?
How often do you see a team trade their top prospect for a slightly above average third baseman?
The Rockies overvalue their players way too much.
Posted by: UtleyFan | December 11, 2008 at 04:53 PM
As another poster said, he'll bring back two picks. Why trade him for less when he continues to put up big numbers in your park?
I hardly think it's overvaluing.
Posted by: CubbyFan23 | December 11, 2008 at 04:56 PM
Yeah especially seeing how they play at Coors. You would think they would undervalue their players because of that. Garrett Atkins isn't awful but he is starting to look like Morgan Ensberg more and more.
Posted by: IFiredScottBoras | December 11, 2008 at 04:58 PM
He's better than Morgan by far but what if he wasn't playing at Coors?
Posted by: IFiredScottBoras | December 11, 2008 at 04:59 PM
Everyone thinks Rockies players should be given away for a song.
Posted by: ProgMatinee | December 11, 2008 at 05:00 PM
"How often do you see a team trade their top prospect for a slightly above average third baseman?"
"their top prospect" is very, very subjective.
The Orioles' top prospect is Wieters.
The Phillies' top prospect is Carrasco.
The Astros' top prospect is Jason Castro.
Huge difference.
In this 3B market, asking for Carrasco for Atkins is a fair price.
You get 2 years of Atkins + the draft picks, because barring major injury or major falloff in performance, he's Type A.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 11, 2008 at 05:01 PM
"As another poster said, he'll bring back two picks. Why trade him for less when he continues to put up big numbers in your park?
I hardly think it's overvaluing."
When you're in a rebuilding phase, those numbers could end up being quite meaningless.
The draft pick compensation gets overblown too. Even if the Rockies hold onto Atkins until his contract expires, and he gets Type A status, and they are able to offer arb., there's still a much bigger risk on the players you're drafting than prospects in a minor league system.
Posted by: UtleyFan | December 11, 2008 at 05:03 PM
True lol Jason Castro
Posted by: IFiredScottBoras | December 11, 2008 at 05:03 PM
Why do the Rockies get the rap for overvaluing players? Atkins is a Type-A third baseman when it's all said and done, and in a Phillies uniform, with a hitter's park and a huge lineup, he could be just as good a Phillie as he is a Rockie.
Carrasco breaking into AAA at age 21 is impressive, but he hit a considerable wall when he hit AA. He has average control for a starter and looks like a 6.7 to 7.0 K/9 type of guy at best. Six impressive starts in the International League just aren't enough to peg this guy as the Phillies' next SP2, you know?
My point is every team overvalues its players. That's how trade negotiations always start.
Posted by: Ruck859 | December 11, 2008 at 05:10 PM
Colorado's lineup without Matt Holliday will take a hit this season, so getting Atkins out of there before seeing any stat regression would be wise. Granted he's a decent player and a so-so defensive player at best, but the Rockies won't benefit from trying to swap Atkins out if he starts the season hitting in the .250s or lower to start the season.
Posted by: Ruck859 | December 11, 2008 at 05:14 PM
Young starting pitching is the currency of baseball and Carrasco is one of the best minor league prospects and is just about major league ready. Look at Atkins's splits, its night and day. Cmon now.
Posted by: GForos01 | December 11, 2008 at 05:19 PM
Ruck859 is definitely right.
Atkins no longer has Holliday hitting with him in the lineup, so the Rockies should sell him at his highest value, which is now.
Posted by: nymforlife | December 11, 2008 at 05:33 PM
"Young starting pitching is the currency of baseball and Carrasco is one of the best minor league prospects and is just about major league ready. Look at Atkins's splits, its night and day. Cmon now." - GForos01
What leads you to believe that Carrasco is "one of the best minor league prospects" and "just about major league ready"? His six starts in AAA in '08? What about his 34 games (32 starts) in AA where he put up a 4.88 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP?
Carrasco is nowhere near big league ready.
Interesting note on Atkins: Over the course of his career, he's hit 44 homers at Coors (1192 ABs) and 45 on the road (1242 ABs).
Posted by: blb | December 11, 2008 at 05:47 PM
Carrasco breaking into AAA at age 21 is impressive, but he hit a considerable wall when he hit AA. He has average control for a starter and looks like a 6.7 to 7.0 K/9 type of guy at best. Six impressive starts in the International League just aren't enough to peg this guy as the Phillies' next SP2, you know?
yes and look at him in AAA and the Venezuelan Winter League. He's one of if not the top pitcher there. He has an ERA at 2. And had an ERA below 2 in AAA.
No way Atkins is worth it even if he was best buds with Chase. Sorry, TOP pitching is a priority everywhere, especially here when we have so little to go around.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 11, 2008 at 05:53 PM
Carrasco isn't Felix Hernandez, but he's pretty close to ML ready.
Phils don't have much else big league ready pitching, so we're not trading our best one for a bad defensive 3B with below league average OPSes outside of Coors 3 of the past 4 years
What would we do anyway, stick him in LF?
Posted by: wayne gomes | December 11, 2008 at 06:00 PM
"yes and look at him in AAA and the Venezuelan Winter League. He's one of if not the top pitcher there. He has an ERA at 2. And had an ERA below 2 in AAA."
How do you even have the nerve to type that last part when the guy you quoted said that Carrasco only tossed six starts in AAA?
And what in the world do stats in the Venezuelan Winter League have to do with anything?
Carrasco needs to drastically improve his control over a full season in the minors before he can even be considered for a callup.
Posted by: blb | December 11, 2008 at 06:14 PM
Not so fast people. With San Diego having a fire sale and the Dodgers not doing much so far, why does it make sense for Colorado to give up Atkins?
The Rockies got rid of Holliday before they lost him to Free Agency and got some decent pieces in return.
With Todd Helton's health and productivity still a question mark, why would they want to get rid of Atkins before they see what the Dodgers do?
If the Dodgers lose their Pitchers and don't resign Manny, then the Rockies have just as good of a shot at winning the Division as everybody else.
Why not ask for the moon at this point? All the other teams can do is say no.
Posted by: ctownboy | December 11, 2008 at 06:19 PM
I think its a bit of a stretch to call Carrasco one of the best minor league pitchers is a gigantic stretch. He's definitely a solid pitching prospect that might be able to contribute to the Phils rotation sometime this season or possibly by the start of 2010. I definitely think that he's more valuable than Atkins and I would never consider that trade. Still, he has some pretty big question marks surrounding him.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 11, 2008 at 06:31 PM
blb,
you "noted" his small sample size in AAA so i mentioned that in winter ball he's pitched another 10 now at the same or better results. That's 16 starts now, half a ML season. If he does well in ST there's a remote shot that he stays up. More than likely he goes back to LHV and does very well and comes up mid year for an injury/replacement of the 5th starter.
What leads you to believe that Carrasco is "one of the best minor league prospects" and "just about major league ready"?
What leads me to believe that is that he was ranked the 28th best overall prospect by MLB.com
And it doesn't hurt that he's still 21.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 11, 2008 at 06:33 PM
Carrasco is the 28th ranked player on milb.com, so obviously i'm not the only one who thinks he's one of the top minor leaguers.
Posted by: GForos01 | December 11, 2008 at 06:34 PM
and don't worry nixa,
i wouldn't think about comparing him to #24.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 11, 2008 at 06:38 PM
That list isn't exactly the most respected one out there. They're definitely way higher on Carrasco (actually with their procedure only a few guys need to be real high on him) than many other, including myself. Sickels ranks him as a B- prospect (lower than Rohrbough for one), which puts Carrasco well outside his top 100.
I also just took a closer look at the rankings on milb.com and even though they rank Carrasco 28th, he still wasn't one of the 10 best pitchers on the list. Even on a list that ranks him especially high Carrasco still doesn't even qualify as a top 10 pitcher in the minor leagues, so I think its fair to say that calling him one of the best pitchers in the minors is a stretch.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 11, 2008 at 06:47 PM
exactly where do i find, Nixa37's list?
here's the excerpt from one of his two visits to BA's hotsheet. Is he one of th elite top pitchers in the minors, no. But he absolutely has #2 stuff. Its just a matter of him developing it and putting it together every 5 days.
Team: Triple-A Lehigh Valley (International)
Age: 21
Why he’s here: 1-1, 0.75, 12 IP, 13 H, 5 R, 1 ER, 4 BB, 18 SO
The Scoop: After a solid Triple-A debut (6 2/3 innings, two runs, four strikeouts, two walks, six hits), Carrasco flat-out dominated both Buffalo and Scranton this week, striking out 10 and then eight batters—though he was undermined last night by a balk and then a wild pitch, costing him a chance for a win. Nevertheless, Carrasco pitched at 93-96 mph for much of the outing and effectively mixed in his curveball.
and nice how you mention he's not in the top 10. He's 11th behind your Braves' Tommy Hanson. And please don't compare him to some kid in High A ball. If you want to focus on just his AA then ya he's average. if you focus on what he did higher up, he's much better.
His fastball and changeup are plus pitches and his curveball is very close to being the same.
He'll do just fine.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 11, 2008 at 07:55 PM
actually look at his stats from AA a little bit closer. its only a 1 or 2 starts where he actually doesnt pitch well. there is a reason this kid has been pitching in the futures game for the past 3 years. and with many young pitchers his control is not that good because it doesnt have to be when your that much better than anyone else
Posted by: derman1984 | December 11, 2008 at 08:17 PM
Atkins ain't worth Carrasco...I'd give em J.A. Happ and another prospect.
Posted by: JT89 | December 11, 2008 at 10:41 PM
Here's the links to Sickels rankings if you're interested...
http://www.minorleagueball.com/2008/10/28/648643/philadelphia-phillies-top
http://www.minorleagueball.com/2008/10/23/641522/atlanta-braves-top-20-pros
My point wasn't that Carrasco wasn't a one of the top putchers in the minors since he didn't rank in the top 10 pitchers on the milb.com list. My point was that list has him ranked at the top end of what he could possibly be ranked and he still didn't crack the top 10 pitchers. Other people who aren't as high on him, John Sickels for one, have him much lower. In Sickels case he has him ranked lower than a guy like Rohrbough.
Hanson on the other hand is ranked towards the lower end of the spectrum of where he can be ranked and he is still a top 10 pitcher. I also think Hanson is still underrated by a lot of scouts who haven't seen him since he started mixing his slider back into his repertoire. I think his ceiling is considerably higher if he actually can mix in a 4th pitch that is at least average.
Honestly, I'm not really trying to take anything away from Carrasco. I think he's a very good prospect that's a very good bet to be a #3/#4 SP with the upside of a #2. I just don't happen to see him as one of the better pitchers in the minors.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 11, 2008 at 10:46 PM
Wow, my bad, Sickels does have Carrasco as a B, not a B-. I really messed that one up. Anyway I still think is clearly a tier below guys like Tillman, Hanson, Parker, Cahill, etc. I'd probably put him somewhere in my top 40-60 prospects. Probably top 15-20 pitchers.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 11, 2008 at 10:57 PM
OK, i was ABOUT to hammer you about making him a 4. There's no WAY he's a 4.
And realize at the end he said, Maybe a B+
WHEN he starts strong next year, he'll earn that B+
And thanks for including the links but I've got some disagreements with Sickels both ways + and -. But he's the expert, who am I.
I'd take Marson to be better than a C+
I don't think Collier is anywhere near a B-
I'd move Drabek up a bit because his command in admittedly a small sample set seemed good in winter ball and he could take a big leap early next year. If he does well at Clearwater where I expect he'll start, I'd move him to a B-
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 11, 2008 at 11:15 PM
no way...we give dobbs same ab's as atkins better numbers..i bet full season of dobbs would almost 280-90's and and 25-30 hr..cc is going to be an ace...they are hard to come by..more than power, he has funky stuff
Posted by: huey | December 12, 2008 at 08:55 AM