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« Mark Sweeney May Retire | Main | Non-Tender Candidates »
4:54pm: The Big Unit is open to the Giants or A's, not a big surprise. Johnson's agent says about ten teams have expressed interest, Giants included.
11:49am: Ken Rosenthal is working overtime; here's his latest.
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KJ has a 20+ point advantage in career OBP and he ranks well above Cano defensively in both BP's system and Dewan's +/- system.
Also, how in world can you quote KJ's 2008 season as his best sesason? In 2007, he hit .276/.375/.457 w/ 16 HR 10 3B and 68 RBI, which is clearly better than his 2008 season
Posted by: nixa37 | December 04, 2008 at 06:41 PM
wow nixa you need to get over it. Was i wrong, YES. Should I have brought it up in that context, NO. I've already agreed to that, get over it. The giants fan i had it with at the time TheManagement got over it and we had a nice discussion afterwards. The fact that you remember it from, what over a month ago? What does that say about you???
And am I wrong? What is the point of the site? To have discussion about players/prospects? make trade proposals? Argue/disagree in a calm manner without calling people douches?
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 04, 2008 at 06:47 PM
and here's exactly what i said:
The better question now that Lincecum has won the Cy Young (congrats to him) is who you'd rather have at age 24, Lincecum or Hamels??? HMMMM
NOTE THE CONGRATS TO HIM.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 04, 2008 at 06:48 PM
douchey attitude...
lol.. really?!
yeah philsws! you and your perfumed attitude!
jk brother
cano for kemp?
i would rather sign grudz, or loretta.
if were moving kemp i would rather package him with mcdonald for something very sweet. but that would have to be something huge.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | December 04, 2008 at 06:51 PM
"The better question now that Lincecum has won the Cy Young (congrats to him) is who you'd rather have at age 24, Lincecum or Hamels??? HMMMM"
i would take hamels, but it would be very very close. its not fair when youre waiting on the power change up and you still cant hit it.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | December 04, 2008 at 06:54 PM
661dodgerblue,
thx. at least i don't stink huh? I wouldn't trade Kemp for Cano either. I think Kemp's upside is higher.
And I don't know who I'd take. To me I'd love to see what Lincecum/Cain could do in the postseason if they ever got there. I hope they do becuase that'd be a great story. (ya I'm sure you want to hear that). I've said that for years about Cole and Chase Utley. Hamels got a bad rap for his first postseason start last year and I was at the game and a couple of walks made the difference. this year he was dominant. Hopefully he carries it into next year.
I admittedly don't see Lincecum enough and when he plays against my phils he isn't as dominating as he is against other teams.
I plan on taking a keen eye to watching more Lincecum on mlb.com this coming season, that way I can watch the reigning Cy Young while i stay springtime fresh in the privacy of my own home, LOL.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 04, 2008 at 07:07 PM
Ivdown chill out....Yanksfansince87 makes alot of sense. Were the Yankees shopping Cano? No. Were the Dodgers trying to acquire Cano? Yes. Did you even read yanksfansince87's post? The Dodgers are trying to get Cano not shop Kemp you moron so take a step back before you blow your gasket again.
Also I think you are confusing Cano's "work ethic" with his style of play. Its just his personality...hes a laid back guy who plays laid back and makes everything look easy. He loses focus sometimes (like most all young players do as they mature) but he is not lazy. Would you consider working out 7 hours a day (like he is doing every day in the dominican right now) bad work ethic. Seriously man think before you speak and do some research and maybe, even maybe, watch Cano play before you start criticizing him about what you heard from through the grape vine.
Yes both Kemp and Cano and tremendous talents and rising stars. But when all is said and done Cano will have the better career. Besides SB Cano has shown more promise (and put up better stats) in every offensive category. Last year the Yanks maybe would have traded Cano for Kemp straight up because of the panic the Yanks had in CF. Not going to happen now.
Posted by: yanks09 | December 04, 2008 at 07:07 PM
Didn't call you a douch e, I said you had a douchey attitude. You decided to ask me "oh and by the way, exactly what does my team affilliation have to do with your opinion of my opinions nixa?" Which I took to be you insinuating I don't like you because I'm jealous of the Phils, since I never mentioned anything about your team affiliation. I noted it wasn't worth arguing with you because you generally will just make statements to get an argument going (i.e. the Lincecum-Hamels thing). You also seem to always poke your head into anything Braves related to point out that no matter what they do they won't finish better than 3rd or 4th in the division.
I love how you just posted your original post. You obviously posted that originally so you'd get to make your argument for Hamels and that's what you proceeded to do. My post earlier was simply pointing out that it wasn't worth arguing with your 2B list because that's all you were looking for when you made it.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 04, 2008 at 07:08 PM
nixa37 wrote:
KJ has a 20+ point advantage in career OBP and he ranks well above Cano defensively in both BP's system and Dewan's +/- system.
Also, how in world can you quote KJ's 2008 season as his best sesason? In 2007, he hit .276/.375/.457 w/ 16 HR 10 3B and 68 RBI, which is clearly better than his 2008 season
__________________________
Ok, I thought 08 was a better overall season but let's go with what you consider to be his best season.
kj's best vs cano's worst + career avg
bavg kj .276 vs cano .271 career avg .303
obp kj .375 vs cano .305 career .335
hrs kj 16 vs cano 14 career 17
rbis kj 68 vs cano 72 career 77
xtra bs hts: kj 52 vs cano 52 career 57
So other than obp how is KJ obviously better than Cano?
Defensively I can show you just as many metrics/stats that say Cano is better defensively.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 04, 2008 at 07:09 PM
I mean if you do feel that in your opinio KJ is btter then fine but I can't see you saying he's OBVIOUSLY better. If so based on what?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 04, 2008 at 07:10 PM
As for the Lincecum vs. Hamels debate there is no right answer for who is better. There are so many factors to consider it would be impossible. If you asked 100 people (who aren't bias fans), 50 would probably say Lincecum and 50 would say Hamels. Both have already accomplished more than most players could dream about at a young age. Tiny tim pitches for a crappy team and has a cy young and had the better year, Hamels pitches for a good team and has a WS ring. A good question to ask is if they switched places would the Giants have been so bad and would the Phils still would have won the WS. My money is the Giants still would have been garbage and Lincecum would have been the ace of a Phillies WS team.
Posted by: yanks09 | December 04, 2008 at 07:12 PM
nixa,
the reason i asked that is FyreKnight is a Phils fan (I believe) except you can't necesarily tell that from his name.
Why would you be jealous of the Phils? Yes we won the WS this year, but we of the 10k losses have no reason for jealous. We have perfected futility until this year.
If anything we should be jealous of the Braves and their 13 or 14 division championships in a row (in which you won a WS too). Heck we both should be jealous of the Marlins and their 2 WS in what 10+ years of existence.
And ask Yankees/Giants/Mets/Red Sox fans. I poke my head there as well. I poke my head where I find things interesting, or teams I find interesting. Is that OK?
And I do think they'll likely finish 3rd of 4th in the divison. We're pretty good right now as are the Mets. We spend a lot so that's why. In about 2-3 years I'd expect situations to be turned. You've got a lot of solid prospects that if they turn out you'll do well.
Honestly you read wayyyy too much into it.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 04, 2008 at 07:14 PM
YanksFan,
OBP is the most important offensive statistic. I think the better question is what does Cano do better to make up for KJ's higher OBP? They hit for a similar amount of power and neither is anything special defensively. I'd give KJ a slight advantage as a baserunner, but nothing big. I honestly don't think you can prove one is better than the other. Both have points that can be made in their favor. I personally think they're basically equal.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 04, 2008 at 07:20 PM
philsWSchamps,
Guess I read too much into it, and sorry that I made that snipe about your attitude. Just seems like too often you'll interject into a post about a rumored Braves move to say it won't make a difference they'll still finish 3rd or 4th and then not add anything else to the conversation. Maybe its just selective memory on my part. You just come across as someone who wants to bait people into arguments at times.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 04, 2008 at 07:24 PM
I really think arguing KJ versus players like Cano and Alexi is futile because they're all so young, have potential, and have been inconsistent thus far. I would say a lot of you are overvaluing Uggla - he's a beast in the month of May and sucks the rest of the year (except this year his streak lasted to the ASB).
I'd say: Utley, Pedroia, BRob, Phillips, and Kinsler are locks for top 5, whereas Kendrick is a beast and just needs to stay healthy.
Lastly, to the usual suspects mocking Cashman and Yankee fans (specifically since 78) I'd like to reiterate that the Dodgers approached the Yankees and asked for Cano, for which they reportedly said "you'll need to give up Kemp." It's the equivalent of owning ARod in fantasy and telling the owner who asks about acquiring him "sure, I'll do it for HanRam straight up." It's to make a point about how available the player being inquired about is.
When you spew your venom you only reveal how biased you are.
Posted by: cdg02001 | December 04, 2008 at 07:25 PM
Nixa,
no problem.
that's not my intent. Listen, if you add a good bat, get Burnett and your 5th starter comes around (whoever he is) and your bullpen does well, you could very well surprise everyone. Many of your guys had down years (especially Francoeur) and you were devestated by injuries to your starters. To me losing Hudson until August really hurts. If you had him to start 09, you could really challenge.
And heck, we had a lot go right for us, especially our bullpen. That could go to crap and we'd be lucky to be in 3rd. You never know, that's why they play the game. We could be beset by injuries (God forbid) and then we'd be screwed. That's why they play on the field and not on paper.
I never take it for granted, no matter how I seem now because for the last couple years prior to 07 and 08 we were the 5th best team in the league and always missed out by a game. Anything can happen.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 04, 2008 at 07:34 PM
and i don't want to bait people into arguments. I want to bait them into "discussions". There's a big difference for me. If i was arguing i'd be saying, "F---U" and you'll never hear me say that, but i want to argue why I think Howard's misunderstood as a hitter and how he can rebound and why I think "x" pitcher is better than "y" pitcher
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 04, 2008 at 07:36 PM
How about a lifetime batting avg 30+ higher than KJ's .273?
And why would you say obp is THEE most important stat?
OBP is an important stat to measure a hitters worth but you can't go by that alone. Milton Bradley had the 3rd best obp in baseball last year. DOes that make him last years 3rd best hitter?
Marcus Giles had a better OBP than Arod, Youk, Cabrera, Wright and many others. Is he a better hitter than any of them? Obviously not.
Don't get hung up on 1 baseball stat and throw the rest out the window.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 04, 2008 at 07:36 PM
And I will agree that both KJ and Cano are very good players with upsides. I just wanted to know what criteria you were using to make the statement that KJ was obviously better than Cano.
It's all good.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | December 04, 2008 at 07:47 PM
nixa37,
and i also especially enjoyed your argument with another fan about if "clutch" is a statistic that can be measured. I believe that while its difficult to measure it can have an affect on those in the surrounding situation, ie. a random average pitcher is in the ALCS and comes up against David Ortiz of say 2 years ago with the winning run on 2nd and one out. Don't you think he's more concerned than if its say Coco Crisp? Of course he is, and maybe that concern translates into a lack of focus and he misses his spot and Ortiz tattoes it. Is that clutch, yes, but not necessarily 100% of that belongs to Ortiz. part of it to me is taken FROM the pitcher and part is Ortiz' faith in his ability that in any situation he'll get it done.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 04, 2008 at 07:50 PM
OBP is not the most important stat in baseball. It is an important stat but it also depends on what type of hitter the player is. Cano has more offensive talent....hence he swings more because he can hit any pitch so he walks less. Johnson has to be a smarter hitter and wait for his pitch since he can not do the things Cano can. As Cano matures he will learn to take more pitches and become more of a threat. Also KJ's OBP will be used in different spots in the lineup. While KJ will be a bottom of the order hitter or bat 2nd at best Cano is seen as a potential 3 or 5 hitter.
In the future Cano will be the guy you want up when you need someone to drive in a run while KJ will be seen as a player who you hope gets on base to keep the tables turning.
Posted by: yanks09 | December 04, 2008 at 07:54 PM
and Utley is hands down the best 2b in baseball (sorry sox fans). I think Kinsler would be 2nd if he plays at 80% of what he did before his season ended due to injury (offensively speaking atleast). But its no debate about Utley he is the complete package....look what he did this year even with an old man rivers broken hip.
Posted by: yanks09 | December 04, 2008 at 07:57 PM
I never said KJ was clearly better than Cano. He was one of a group of guys I said you could make an argument that KJ was better than.
I also never said OBP was the only important offensive stat, just that it is the most important single stat. Obviously a higher OBP alone doesn't make one player better than another, but everything else being similar I'll generally take the higher OBP guy. Cano might have a better average, but KJ makes up for it with a higher OBP and ISO.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 04, 2008 at 07:59 PM
Yes, I am a Phillies fan. Born and raised in South Philly, now living in Clearwater, FL. It was fun having to cheer the Philles over all the Bandwagon Rays fans!
Posted by: FyreKnight | December 04, 2008 at 09:16 PM
FyreKnight,
I figured as much. Must be nice to see the young kids in spring training. Can't wait to see Carrasco, Donald and Marson's shots this year at making the big league club. Hope you get back here every now and again to see CBP. I went to game 6 in 1980 when I was ten and I'll never forget it and took my oldest to game 4 this year, Blanton's HR game. I finally got around to listening on MLB radio on XM over the holidays as they were playing the hometown replay of the game and i can't believe how loud we all were chanting "EVA". I tell you that got under his skin.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 04, 2008 at 10:06 PM
I was there for the 1993 playoffs and world series, went to every home game, paid a lot, but worth every penny. game 6 against the Braves when Schilling struck out the first 5 batters the Vet was crazy!!! The floor under us shook, it was amazing. I was 13 in 1980, was there for the parade, wish i was there this year, however my dad taped it and sent it to me.
Posted by: FyreKnight | December 04, 2008 at 11:08 PM
even with a down year, Cano' has shown alot more than Kemp has... I guess contracts even that out, though...
Posted by: ArodMVP217 | December 04, 2008 at 11:11 PM
"Dear Mr. Cashman
Please sign Oliver Perez to a lengthy contract as an early Christmas present. Love,
Red Sox Nation"
Happy Birthday Mr. President
Posted by: ArodMVP217 | December 04, 2008 at 11:22 PM
"That's why they play on the field and not on paper."
As a Cubs fan, I would like to ammend this rule to make paper games count as well. Thank you.
Posted by: Bdlugz | December 04, 2008 at 11:29 PM
"even with a down year, Cano' has shown alot more than Kemp has... I guess contracts even that out, though..."
do you mean the extra 1000 abs?
or his 342 batting average in 06?
290avg with 18 home runs and 35 stolen bases.. good defender. i think he was like top three in assists from the outfield this year. and hes 2 years younger than cano..
also making pennies compared to cano.
that best is yet too come. please believe
if that trade goes down i throw up wherever i am.. and i become a lancaster jethawk fan full time.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | December 04, 2008 at 11:50 PM
oh also randy johnson shouldnt go back to the al... the angels will be licking their chops
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | December 04, 2008 at 11:56 PM
Ohh yeah... back in 1993, we chanted "Larry" for Chipper Jones... it affected him too..
we also did the "reverse tomahawk chop" - remember that???
Good times!
Posted by: FyreKnight | December 05, 2008 at 12:22 AM
best guess is that the Dodgers sign Randy Johnson.
although on a 1 year contract, would LOVE to see him in a Phillies uniform, but won't happen.... he's a west coast guy.
Posted by: FyreKnight | December 05, 2008 at 12:24 AM
Chipper played 8 games in 93 before he tore his ACL...I think you might be misremembering that one. That 1993 series was a good one...I was at game 5 when the Braves scored 3 in the 9th to tie it before losing in the 10th.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 05, 2008 at 09:12 AM
Cano's contract MORE than makes up any difference between what he and Kemp have done. I'll take Kemp and his years of being cheap over Cano and his bloated contract all day long.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 05, 2008 at 09:15 AM
Yes both Kemp and Cano and tremendous talents and rising stars. But when all is said and done Cano will have the better career. Besides SB Cano has shown more promise (and put up better stats) in every offensive category. Last year the Yanks maybe would have traded Cano for Kemp straight up because of the panic the Yanks had in CF. Not going to happen now.
Posted by: yanks09 | December 04, 2008 at 07:07 PM
Can you tell me the lotto numbers for next week?
Oh, you don't have the ability to see into the future? Thats weird, with what you said I could have sworn you were able to.
Posted by: Ivdown | December 05, 2008 at 02:19 PM
Chipper played 8 games in 93 before he tore his ACL...I think you might be misremembering that one. That 1993 series was a good one...I was at game 5 when the Braves scored 3 in the 9th to tie it before losing in the 10th.
haha. misremembering. a Roger Clemens reference!!
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 05, 2008 at 03:05 PM
I think if the dodgers are going to trade Kemp use him to get Roy Halliday or Peavy...not Cano. It just doesn't add up.
Posted by: gibson88 | December 06, 2008 at 11:38 AM