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Odds and Ends: Andruw, Marquis, Coonelly

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Tim-

I've noticed that the three teams that have publicly voices their support for a salary cap are all in the NL Central.

I think the reason they support a cap is they are in a division with the Cubs who will always be able to out spend them.

The Cardinals are the team in that division that has not called for a salary cap. They are the most successful team in the division over a long period of time and the Pirates, Brewers and Astros could be just as successful if the emulate the Cardinals.

Murray Chass also revises his payroll calculations. Despite all the hemming and hawing, the Yankees really will likely have a payroll lower than last season.

"The Cardinals are the team in that division that has not called for a salary cap. They are the most successful team in the division over a long period of time and the Pirates, Brewers and Astros could be just as successful if the emulate the Cardinals."

The Cardinals are cheap. They try and hide under the umbrella of a small to mid market team, when in fact they are a mid to high market team. Ownership pockets a ton and the fans deserve a better product after filling that stadium over and over.

forget about the salary cap,
what we really need is a salary floor, cause the marlins and rays payroll suck.
raise the limit to 35mil a

1. Cahill and Anderson won't be up in July. I'd think September at the earliest. Don't rush prospects. Outman should be up opening day unless there's a SP signed; he's more ready than Gio Gonzalez is. Another reason to sign Ben Sheets. I'm going to toot that horn repeatedly.

2. Re: Gallagher and weight. Look at his 1st half/2nd half splits. He did have an injury late in the season, and it was rumored that he was pitching through that injury. Pair that up with the A's conditioning staff's sketch reputation. Gallagher's first half was solid. Slightly above league average. Second half was a disaster.

3.I LOVE the title of the Sox Machine article. Love it.

cows-good point, i didn't notice that coincidence (?) before. fwiw, i think the brewers are in decent shape. they've drafted well, have a real stud in gallardo to head the rotation and some real talent in the minors. the rest of their rotation is suspect (i'm not sold on parra just yet) but they have a good organization, they'll be fine.
i've heard people say the pirates, while obviously not the yanks or even the cubs, actually do have some money to spend due to the revenue sharing, but choose not to spend it. i don't have a link for where i heard that, it's more speculation from fans/journalists i've read. and the players are starting to be more vocal about mgmt. going to get better players. and as for the astros, maybe stop making ill-advised trades for miguel tejada and randy wolf, or bending over for roger clemens and maybe things will get better. and while carlos lee can still mash, maybe giving him $100 million wasn't the best idea? was there anybody even close to that dollar amount for him?

"I think the reason they support a cap is they are in a division with the Cubs who will always be able to out spend them.

The Cardinals are the team in that division that has not called for a salary cap. They are the most successful team in the division over a long period of time and the Pirates, Brewers and Astros could be just as successful if the emulate the Cardinals."

The Cardinals are the only other team in that division that can come even close to the Cubs in terms of payroll, and their ownership doesn't even seem terribly willing to dole out cash either.

The Astros and Cardinals will spend a pretty penny once in a while, but the Reds, Brewers and Pirates really don't stand a chance.

The big issue with the Pirates, Astros and Reds, is that all three teams have been ran pretty poorly in the last couple of years.

I hate the idea of a salary cap.

Of course the owners want a salary cap, if one is put into place then they get to keep more of their own money.

A salary cap just gives owners the opportunity to spend less on the team/roster and more on themselves.

Let me guess, an agent is going to come out and say he doesn't want a salary cap????

Also, nothing like a good The Beatles reference.

Although I do think Doctor Robert[s] could ail a good deal of what's wrong with that offense (speed, OBP at top of the order).

Right now, the A's payroll is at 44MM, (they only added ~10MM in overall salary w/ Holliday b/c they cleared Street's salary) If opening day payroll is projected at 50-65MM, the A's can easily afford the pitcher they need.

"Right now, the A's payroll is at 44MM, (they only added ~10MM in overall salary w/ Holliday b/c they cleared Street's salary) If opening day payroll is projected at 50-65MM, the A's can easily afford the pitcher they need."

I think the A's should be the team that forks up cash for Sheets.

They can give him a shorter deal, say two years, and he could potentially transform that pitching staff until Cahill, Anderson, and Co. are ready.

A rotation of Sheets, Duke, Eveland, Gallagher and Braden/Gonzalez is pretty good, and would enable the team to not feel the need to rush Cahill or Anderson.

If they could get him for say, 2/24 with incentives and a vesting third year option, then I'd be totally for it.

It seems like it could be another interesting Billy Beane move that nobody saw coming.

I agree scribble...with that rotation and Holliday, I actually think they might give the Angels a scare.

Scribble-

You're exactly right. The reasons the Pirates have been terrible for so long is they have been grossly mismanaged. A salary cap would not make the Pirates successful.

I would also like to point out that it matters how a team spends their payroll more than how much they actually spend.

The problem the Cubs ran into for several years is a large chunk of their payroll was on the DL and not on the field (Nomar, Wood, Prior, Lee). This effectively ruined the 2005 and 2006 seasons.

Each year, the most successful teams tend to also be the healthiest because their payroll is on the field for the most part. There have been some exceptions but health seems to be a better indicator for success than payroll.


I don't see why the Pirates payroll has been so low to begin with anyways. Pittsburgh is obviously a great sports town and fans would flock to the stadium if the team was a little better. There's still a lot of die-hard fans for a team who hasn't won in 16 years, just give us a real team to root for in September and October!

Does anyone have a market value that perez is looking for? All things considered, I dunno y anyone wud pursue perez while lowe is still on the market.

I do NOT see Andruw going to the Yankees. He seems to want to get out from under the performance pressure, and the Bronx is not the place for that.

Of course, I don't know of anywhere that wouldn't boo him after last year's performance.

Santana/Beckett FTW -

Perez and Lowe are both represented by Scott Boras.

You are correct that Perez will not sign until after Lowe has. That is how Boras operates.

As for his market value, it seems it is TBD how the next level of player will be affected by the economy. Teams seem to be waiting out FA this year.

forget about the salary cap,
what we really need is a salary floor, cause the marlins and rays payroll suck.
raise the limit to 35mil a


Posted by: marlinsman1120 | January 05, 2009 at 11:04 AM


That is just amazingly well said.

And yea, when I first read that thing about the cap room, I noticed all three teams mentioned were in the national league central. But what I dont get is that the Cubs in the past have not really been a big spending team. The Tribune company was accused for that for years until about 2004 when they saw that they had a chance to win and started pumping money into the team. I mean, isnt that the thing that ballclub management SHOULD be doing? I mean yea, if you know that you are in a rebuilding mode and are not named the Yankees, then you are not required to put a team out on the field that has a budget that competes with the best of them. Although some teams have been able to compete with low payrolls, ie. the marlins and rays in recent history, for the most part, you must spend money to win ball clubs. Look at the Pirate for example. In recent history, they have had half way decent players on that team that might have been able to be pieces to a winning ballclub: Kendall in his prime, Giles in his prime, Jason Bay, Xavier Nady, Oliver Perez. I by no means want to sound like I'm ripping on the Pirates, but I'm just showing the trades such as the one involving Jason Bay make no sense if you are a team that is trying to rebuild to compete.

Not sure how raising the floor to 35MM would impact the Rays. They were at $44MM last year and are projected at $56MM for 2009 due to raises, and that's without the rumored signing of another hitter.

I think the payroll floor should be closer to $50M.

If one team is closing in on a $200M payroll, then I think at the very least all teams should come within being 25% of that payroll.

If the Yankees go up to $240M, then the minimum would be $60M.

Alas, I think we should really just leave the payrolls alone.

Fixing things like the draft and draft compensation are bigger issues.

Without Texeira, there are 40 guys on the roster right now. That means one of them has to go. My money is on Shelley Duncan. However, it could be Dan Giese or Chase Wright.
The excuse of 'the holidays' was used to delay Tex' physical. However, I would think the Yankees have something else up their sleeves. Could this be the day Melky is traded?

Just a hastily prepared thought ... If you are to institute a payroll floor, it shouldn't be a dollar amount per team. There should be a minimum amount paid to each player per year of service. So, if a team wants to field all rookies, they can do so and it will be inexpensive. But, if they want to be competitive (and, thus, draw fans), they will have to spend some dough.
A major caveat here is that the team fielding rookies to save money cannot complain about the lack of parity.
This will also get rid of some veterans who don't qualify for salary minimums and will make more roster spots available for younger, higher energy players.

"Fixing things like the draft and draft compensation are bigger issues."

Agreed. IMO, limit the number of type A free agents that a team can sign to 2. Place a cap on rookie signing bonuses.

I'd also like to see MLB fix the compensation for losing type A free agents. Being labled as type A shouldn't hurt the player.

At the very least, create some correlation between a team's payroll and benefits from revenue sharing (ie the marlins shouldnt be recieving 60m from revenue sharing with a 40m payroll.

Couple points, the David Chase article is really interesting.

Second, I really like Jeff Passan, but he states that Gorkys Hernandez or Brendon Hayword will be in the Atlanta CF position soon, and he's wrong on both accounts.

Hernandez was almost traded for Peavy, which to me says he won't be around that long, and Hayword is a corner outfielder, not a CF'er.

Other than that, it was a good look at the Braves, especially looking at the rotation where nobody has recognized what Campillo did for the team last year.

I think a team should get compensation for losing a player regardless if they offer arbitration to the player.

Chase's grammar needs work.

Also, it sort of seems like Passan's just spouting the first things that come to his mind. He knows a lot, but doesn't seem to do much fact-checking, or research.

I personally believe draft pick compensation should completely ignore the preset rounds.

Add a sandwiche pick round for compensation picks based on an updated and modern player ranking system, but don't force teams to lose picks.

I'd prefer to just scrap the draft compensation in general and set hard draft slots. It'd allow for more player movement, and the current system is broken and inequitable.

I think a payroll floor is the most effective way to go. The one addition I would like to see is player development cost counted towards this floor. If a team wants to throttle back it’s 25 man pay roll but increase is minor leagues operations they should not be penalized.

In fact the “Reduce over head” cadre of owners should encourage it because if a teams are successful they will potentially produce more replacement level ( or better) players then they need. This could make it easier to avoid signing older more expensive veterans to round out the roster.

If you institute a salary cap then, as a Yankee fan, I would want to see the floor be set at a minimum of $80 mil. That number is a bit arbitrary on my end but I'm tired of small market teams hoarding the money they get from revenue sharing and not putting it towards their teams.

Also, I think they need to stop rewarding teams for finishing in last place by giving them early round picks AND allowing them to sign Type A's w/o losing their picks. How is that fair? If the Giants sign Man-NY then not only does LA lose their biggest player, but then they get screwed out of a 1st pick and only get the sandwhich but the Giants still get to pick a possible stud at #6 overall.

And this might be biased, but they should leave the draft bonuses as is. A team like the Yanks, the Angels and the Red Sox will almost never have a chance to draft a top 10 ranked player unless they gamble on injured players (Brackman, Melancon), over slot on bonuses for players who were college committed (Dellin Betances, Gerrit Cole) or just get lucky because teams passed(Ellsbury, Lowrie, Joba were all drafted as sandwhich picks).

I think you guys need to look at an actually salary cap/floor to understand that realities of it. It would not decrease players salaries for the most part. In fact i am also most sure it would increase them. In the NFL they have a hard cap, meaning no team can exceed the cap number. As such that is set at 60% of the year before revenues. Not profits, but revenues. And the floor is set to 85-90% (depending on year) of the cap. If these figures held true for baseball, with its 6 billion dollar revenues last year, teams would have a cap limit of 137.5 million (4 billion divided by 30 teams) and floor would have been about 120 million.


Who really thinks that would happen?

Thumper: I agree. Most people, when they discuss salary caps, they rant on and on about the "Evil Empire" blah, blah,blah. It would be much easier for the Yanks to go down to meet a salary cap than it would for some of the smaller market teams to mee the salary floors, which I'm sure would be a lot closer to 100 mil than it would be to $50 mil, which is what some posters have suggested. If the Rays b*tch they can survive at 44 mil then how will they fare if forced to pay 80, or as you mentioned 120 mil?

And that could be wrong, say the follow the NBA format with a soft cap, and that would allow teams to spend over the cap for players they developed. So there is no way to say it would limit the Yankees payroll, but it sure would increase the Rays/Marlins/Brewers/Padres, hell just about everyones payroll.

"Who really thinks that would happen?"

No one in their right minds. The NFL sells out nearly every game...the Marlins can barely sell out one of thier 162. There is too big of a discrepency between revenue of the Marlins/Pirates compared to the Yankees/Redsox for that system to work. It would have to be based on each individual's team revenue, which I actually think could happen if the right people were behind it...but it almost certainly won't.

While we are at it, allow teams to trade draft picks!

Yanksfansince78-

The reason the Yankees never draft high is because they're always good. If you have a problem with that then, yes, you have a massive bias.

And I don't think the problem is that top 15 picks are protected. I think the problem is the system as a whole. It's completely inequitable among the 30 teams and seemingly constantly leaves teams totally screwed over (like the Brewers not getting a first rounder for CC).

Totally eliminating the draft pick compensation system and forcing hard draft slots would be ideal. It's fairer and would lend to more player movement, which is entertaining.


But Aduncaroo, thats an idea, but it would very very complex, and the players would never go for it.

But the big difference in the salary capped NFL is the revenue sharing, and TV contracts. Revenue sharing would have be massively increased for New York and Boston and other large market clubs, that way the numbers equal. But which owner that has a profitable club is going to want to give money to other clubs so they can compete with theirs?

And Aduncaroo, its the same in the NHL, a hard cap set by league wide revenues, that has to count more Canadian teams than MLB does.

I understand what you are saying...and maybe you are right...but I bet you that MLB has the biggest discrepency between lowest and highest revenue of the bottom team and the top (Yankees). Salary Cap only works with a salary floor though...thats for sure. Problem for the sport is, the Yankees would no longer be the Yankees...it would change the sport in its entirety. For the good or bad is argueable...

scribble: I understand "why" the Yanks never have an early round pick and of course I'd rather take a playoff run over a draft pick any day of the week. However, I'm tired of people making the arguement that the Rays and Brewers are doing it the "right" way or that they are the "model" franchize w/o people accepting the fact their fans had to endure horid season after season to be in a position to consistantly have a top 1-10 draft slot each and ever year.
The Yanks have had a draft pick every year in the last 15 years w/ the exeception of 2002. We did horrible jobs turning those late 1st rnd picks into winners, but its not rocket science to find a stud if your drafting 1-5 every year....unless your the Pirates that is.

Dare I say this, Boston probably has the best model, in that they have a good scouting system and aren't afraid to splurge on FA's. I think Cash is following their model as well.

As for "hard slots", can you delve into that idea a little more?

Derek Lowe will end up with the braves for 4yr/56 million dollar deal with option for 5th yr.

sharx:
"Look at the Pirate for example. In recent history, they have had half way decent players on that team that might have been able to be pieces to a winning ballclub: Kendall in his prime, Giles in his prime, Jason Bay, Xavier Nady, Oliver Perez. I by no means want to sound like I'm ripping on the Pirates, but I'm just showing the trades such as the one involving Jason Bay make no sense if you are a team that is trying to rebuild to compete"

You are definitely correct saying that the Pirates have had pieces. And the pieces you mentioned helped the Pirates stay respectable most years. They always said that they needed to trade current pieces for future pieces, which obviously never worked. But, from the names you mentioned...Giles - traded to SD for Perez and Bay. Perez traded to Mets for Nady. Not sure what Kendall brought in return, probably not much. But the Pirates are a team that always has a few good pieces, but never a good team. Until this past season, Mcclouth Doumit Maholm, all the pieces they had were obtained through trades. I believe Giles came in a trade as well. And I don't even need to get into the Pirates previous abilities to draft and develop good players.

I have been an Angels fan since 1989 and I'm going to give you guys a list of players the Angels have brought up and/or acquired as prospects and brought up in the past 20 years...

Jim Abbott
Paul Sorrento
Dante Bichette
J.T. Snow
Gary DiSarcina
Lee Stevens
Tim Salmon
Jim Edmonds
Garrett Anderson
Orlando Palmeiro
Troy Percival
Darin Erstad
Jarrod Washburn
Troy Glaus
Scott Schoeneweis
Ramon Ortiz
Adam Kennedy
Scot Shields
John Lackey
Frankie Rodriguez
Chone Figgins
Ervin Santana
Jered Weaver
Howie Kendrick
Erick Aybar
Joe Saunders
Mike Napoli
Jeff Mathis
Jose Arredondo

There are actually more, but I'm drawing a blank lol.

Now tell me this...

How the hell does being a big market ballclub have anything to do with winning when you can bring up this many quailty players, many of which are/were All-Stars?

The Angels have a $120 million payroll because Arte Moreno is trying dethrone the Dodgers, and then he is going to try and dethrone the Yankees.

There is one problem, however. The Angels are not the Yankees, and never will be. We have our own identity and I am sick of all the whining about getting big bats when we already have them in our organization. They just need to mature a little bit.

The Yankees' 26 Championships were mainly the product of building from within. This monopoly (for lack of a better term) that NY has, as far as I know, has really only existed in the past 10 years.

Those spectacular seasons of 1996 and 1998 were won by players who were not stars at all (Bernie Williams, Jimmey Key, Paul O'Niell).

Now everyone on the Yankees is a star, yet they haven't won anything since 2000.

Define irony. LOL

The Pirates have no excuse.

The Rays did it right.

A's management just doesn't care.

Although I do believe a $35 million payroll is ridiculous.

Which brings me to salary caps...

Many of the teams already have an imaginary salary cap (Oakland, Pitts., etc.) because their owners are so greedy they are afraid of losing money and taking that risk, so they pocket everything and let the players and fans suffer.

Just like Charlie Comiskey in 1919!

Thank God for the Players' Union!

But then again...

That's Capitalism! LOL

"The Yanks have had a draft pick every year in the last 15 years w/ the exeception of 2002. We did horrible jobs turning those late 1st rnd picks into winners, but its not rocket science to find a stud if your drafting 1-5 every year....unless your the Pirates that is."

But, as you said before, the Yankees have no issues drafting studs in the late first round, thanks to the soft slotting system.

Basically, right now MLB makes recommendations to the teams on the cost of the signing bonus, but does nothing to punish teams who sign players for over slot.

Thanks to that system, the Yankees managed to land Brackman, a top 5 talent, and drafted Gerrit Cole, a top 10 talent, despite picking in the bottom five. Other teams like the Pirates, Brewers, etc. couldn't afford to pay these guys (even though they can, and I don't believe there is any excuse to not spend on amateur talent) and so regardless of their talent level they end up falling to big money teams like New York and Boston.

Under a hard slot system, which is what they have in the NBA, the league determines how much players are paid in the draft. Essentially, MLB would determine that the #1 pick in the draft would get a $7M signing bonus, and when the guy is drafted, there are no negotiations or anything, the guy gets his cash and plays.

I just dislike nearly everything about the draft in MLB, in terms of how it's ran. The draft should ALWAYS give the best amateur players to the worst teams from the previous year, but under the current system that doesn't happen. If a team screws up in the draft, it should be from poor scouting, not from budget restraints.

"The Cardinals are cheap. They try and hide under the umbrella of a small to mid market team, when in fact they are a mid to high market team. Ownership pockets a ton and the fans deserve a better product after filling that stadium over and over."

That's what the Angels did all through the 1990s when Jackie Autry took over baseball operations for Gene. Then Disney took over and nothing changed.

That list of players I posted earlier provided a buffer for our corporate management and an excuse to stand pat and pass on acquiring Mark McGwire in 1997.

What sucked about being owned by Disney was that they would go through a bureaucracy of 10 people before making the decision to sign or acquire a star player. And that is not the business of baseball.

The Angels won the 2002 World Series because they had that LOOOOONG list of quality players they brought up from within, and Disney didn't have to spend any money.

Building from within benefits everyone (players, coaches, fans, upper-management, and owners alike) in the long run.

Cam Bonifay and Dave Littlefield couldn't field a .500 ballclub with a 200MM payroll.

The Rays did it the right way? By finishing in last place every year and stocking draft pics each year?
_____________________

melonis wrote:


Thanks to that system, the Yankees managed to land Brackman, a top 5 talent, and drafted Gerrit Cole, a top 10 talent, despite picking in the bottom five. Other teams like the Pirates, Brewers, etc. couldn't afford to pay these guys (even though they can, and I don't believe there is any excuse to not spend on amateur talent) and so regardless of their talent level they end up falling to big money teams like New York and Boston.
-----------------------

That's not really accurate or at least not w/ the examples of Brackman and Cole. Brackman slipped down to 30th overall because he was injured and required TJ and the Yanks took a chance and Cole fell because people new he was committed to college. The Yanks threw a lot of money at Cole and he passed.

Now I have heard Boras tell teams not to draft a player because they didn't want to be their but those players seldom went to any of the major market teams. That happens all 4 of the big sports.

YFS78-

I didn't write the thing about Cole/Brackman/the Yanks draft picks. :-)

Mia colpa..I meant scribbles.

"The Rays did it the right way? By finishing in last place every year and stocking draft pics each year?"

At no point did I say a single thing about the Rays or winning the right way. I could care less how a team wins, to be honest, as long as they win. I mean, it's far from impressive when the Yankees are good, but what the hell are you going to do? It's still good baseball and I'm not saying I like the Yankees, but a good baseball team is a good baseball team.

"That's not really accurate or at least not w/ the examples of Brackman and Cole. Brackman slipped down to 30th overall because he was injured and required TJ and the Yanks took a chance and Cole fell because people new he was committed to college. The Yanks threw a lot of money at Cole and he passed."

Okay fair enough that's mostly true. But at least throughout the draft the Yankees and high budget teams are far more capable of drafting and signing higher quality talent, because they can easily afford to pay overslot for their draftees.

Way to pick out the single flaw in my argument and reference nothing else..

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