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Discussion: Billy Wagner

Mets' lefthander Billy Wagner hasn't pitched this season after undergoing Tommy John surgery last September, but he's expected to begin throwing to batters by the end of June. A team official said a September 1st return date is "very conservative". The Mets hold an $8MM option for his services next season, but they have reportedly already told Wagner that the option will not be picked up, instead paying him a $1MM buyout.

I'd like to see what the MLBTR readers think about Wagner's situation. If he comes back later in the season and is effective, what kind of market do you think there will be for be for his services in the offseason? As a 38-yr old coming off major surgery, could his distinguished track record still land him a multi-year deal? Could Brian Fuentes' two year, $17.5MM deal with the Angels work as framework for a potential contract?


Comments

I think alot will have to do with his velocity and how he pitches on back to back days and how effective he is.

I dont think a team will give him more than a 1 year deal unless he just blows away hitters

I think if he comes back pitching lights out, he might be looking at a possible two year deal but no where near the money Fuentes got. Maybe an incentive laden deal could get him close if he is willing to accept that.

I think wagner is going to be fine and will still be a respectable option for many teams that are looking for a closer.

If his price tag isn't up there, I wouldn't be surprised to see the braves look into him. Soriano and Gonzalez are both FA's after the season, and I don't know if both will be resigned, though I'd like them to stay.

I see him probably netting a one year deal and if lights out when he comes back for the mets, a possible two year deal, but with many incentives and not nearly the amount of guaranteed money Fuentes has coming in.

Teams I really see looking at him would be Braves, as GoldenGlove said, and the Rays. Percival is done and so is Izzy, plus that closer by committee role they have working with Howell, Balfour, etc. is really just their set up men who, in my opinion, aren't closers.

Unless he puts up numbers like Joba's in 2007, they should buy him out. Putz is pretty much in the same boat but he's more likely to bounce back since he's younger and it's a less significant surgery.

Let Wagner go, keep Putz.

This is good news on Wagner and maybe he can even get back through rehab and even help the Mets some by late August/September even? It seems that guys always suffer some kind of little set back after Tommy John surgery and 1 year is usually the very soonest, same with Hagedone in Sox organization who is making his 1st start tonight after nearly 12 months tonight for high A ball. Hope that Wagner does not lose any velocity either, some team would really like him, a dominant closer.

You pretty much have to figure that Wagner will not have a difficult time finding work, but it will likely be for a one year incentive laden contract. For most pitchers coming off a major surgery this is not an issue and rather expected; however, Wagner's age throws the proverbial wrench into this plan. At 38, he is nearing the end of his career. He may not ever receive a multi-year contract again. He may just have to settle and go year to year from here on out. That is unless he performs exceedingly well, and stays healthy, when he comes back this year and next year.

Take Trevor Hoffman for example, he is older but has not had as severe of an injury at his age, and he was able to pick between two teams this winter (the Brewers and the Dodgers). Its a one year deal but this is one of the craziest FA markets we have seen in some time. There is hope for Wagner, but he may bounce around from team to team over the next couple of years.

With Putz situation and the likelihood that they're not going to pick up his option either it wouldn't be out of the question for them to reconsider Wagner if he comes back healthy and productive. KRod is good but he showed signs of slowing down last year even with the gaudy save totals. What drove the Mets to acquire both Putz and KRod in the same offseason could lead them to keep Wagner if and when Putz is let go. If other teams are interested in Wagner why not the Mets? The money is big but if he comes back very good they may think it's worth it.

Agreed. I think there's no way the Mets bring Putz back, so I think Wagner's option might be back on the table.

How old is he compared to Kerry Wood? If they are similar in age I would expect them to have similar deals.

He's going to want to be a Closer so I don't see him coming back to the Mets in a diminished role. That is, unless he can't find a job closing anywhere.

The days of multi year deals for injured players over 35 are OVER. He might get a mil with incentives but that is it. Take a look at the absurd contracts around the league and the players being dumped now. The economy will still get worse - maybe much worse- and teams will make last year's free agent signings look generous. Even the Yankees will think twice before spending stupid money. Two words for BW- Tom Glavine.

I think there is a 0% chance the Mets exercise the 8 million dollar option. I do believe that if he comes back, and is effective, they will try to negotiate a one year incentive laden deal. If the upcoming offseason is anything like the one we just had, there is no way he gets a multi-year deal.

On the other hand, I predicted the Mets would exercise JJ Putz' 8.5 million dollar option, as I thought he would be lights out and injury free as the set up man...so you never know.

As of right now, we have K-Rod in the 9th, and Bobby in the 8th, and all I care about is today.

Would Wagner be receptive to not getting his option picked up but re-signing with the Mets anyway at something like $5M plus the $1M buyout?

The Mets will cut all possible ties with Wagner after this year, I hope. He's everything they don't need. An old injury prone large ego whiner. They've been stuck with guy's like him, Alou, Pedro, Castillo and so many for too long. Omar's starting to actually realize that now. I highly doubt someone would give Wagner two years in this market. One year, plus an option, maybe. Like a Brad Penny type contract is what he might be able to pull off. A team like the Rays may be interested, with Percival's contract coming off the books. He still has potential, but is probably more a set up man at this point in his career.

Even without Wagner and Putz, the Mets still have a very good bullpen, with K-Rod and Parnell anchoring it. The two guy's they held onto, Feliciano and Stokes, are doing very well and Takahashi's been a nice suprise. Even Green's starting to make a nice turn around. Hopefully, they'll get Delgado, Putz and Wagner, all by early August, kind of like acquiring guy's at the deadline, but that could be wishful thinking. It's pretty obvious they're going to need to trade for a bat, because Ryan Church simply doesn't look good enough to be an every day 6 hitter.

The Mets can buyout his option then resign him to something like Takashi Saito's deal with Boston, give or take a mill or two. It's what would make the most sense, especially seeing that no team will let Wagner close until he proves himself again. The Met's haven't had a great lefty set-up man for a while...

It is funny to me how when Wagner comes out after a game and says I suck, or he actually holds his teammates accountable, he is considered a selfish, racist, whiner, yet Carlos Beltran is criticized for precisely the opposite reason, because he is too laid back and he doesn't show emotion. These NY media hacks are such morons, and even worse, are the Mets fans who buy into this junk. The only way the media will take to you is if you are a golden child pretty boy like Jeter or Wright, and you cater to the media non stop, answer all their questions the way they want you to. Otherwise, you are either too emotional, too self centered, not emotional or gritty enough, not team oriented, too laid back, etc. These idiots look for bad instead of good. I honestly don't know why anybody would sign up to play in NY. Just look at the two best players in NY, Alex Rodriguez and Carlos Beltran. You would think that you have Wes Helms and Corey Patterson playing those positions, with the way the media portrays these guys. It is sickening. I just wish people could formulate their own opinions instead of relying on the hack newspaper writers and the stupid SNY shows, and idiots like Joe Benigno.

Max,

Do you see any chance of the 8M option of Wagner's being picked up next year, considering that Putz now has a severe arm injury and if Wagner comes back and shows that he is healthy and is his old dominant self again? K-Rod-Wagner would be a dominant pair to either set up games, or either alternate closing games like Boston does with Papelbon and Saito and can be invaluable and the 8M salary is not really that much higher than the 5.5M that Saito looks like he is going to earn (counting all the bonuses) making using K-Rod in more games than the Mets usually would, with Wagner always being available for the next day to close if needed.

Just a thought that wanted to get your opinion on, since you are a knowledgeable Mets fan and this all hinges as well on the "hurt" of Wagner possibly getting over Minyana telling him publicly that his option would not be picked up earlier, as well as Wagner being his old dominant self.

Well, Wagner, ever since he went down, has sworn that he just wants to win a world series before he retires, and he would be okay being a setup man or a 7th inning guy, so we are about to see how true that actually is. I don't see them picking up that option, but if Wagner is willing, and still throwing hard, I can see them trying to get him back for 4M or something, or a total of 5M after the buyout. I always liked the guy, I mean he blows the inopportune save now and then, but he was always one of the better closers, and his peripherals were flat out dominant last year. I would certainly be open to brining him back, but we will have to see whether he was serious about actually trying to win, or if he will bolt for the money. As some others have said, I could possibly see him ending up on a team like the Cubs, the Rays or maybe the Cards, depending how their closer situations work out this year. I don't think he will take anything to personally, he realizes this is a business, and regardless of what people will say, Wagner is a stand up guy, this doesn't change because he holds his teammates accountable. He will be the first guy to stand up and tell everybody how awful he was after a bad game.

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