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By Nat Boyle [June 28, 2009 at 10:00am CST]
The Boston Globe has posted a few notes today from Amalie Benjamin and Tony Massarotti.
- Massarotti says that between Daisuke Matsuzaka on the DL, the age John Smoltz (42) and Tim Wakefield (43), and not knowing how much Clay Buchholz can contribute, Brad Penny is "more valuable to the Red Sox than people may think" and there shouldn't be any urge to move him. Massarotti quotes Terry Francona, "We didn't
sign him to trade him. We signed him to win. He’s worked hard. I only
think it’s going to continue to get better."
- While Jason Bay isn't concerned about getting a contract done, Massarotti says the Sox "have every intention of revisiting talks with the outfielder before the end of the season, a baseball source has confirmed."
- Amalie Benjamin suggests that Jed Lowrie's return could mark the end of the Julio Lugo era in Boston. Before yesterday, Lugo had not started since June 14, ceding time to Nick Green who is making $8.5MM less. According to Benjamin, "...the shortstop would be foolish not to prepare for the possibility of being released. The Sox would be on the hook for his salary, and he could be signed by any club for the league minimum."
Boston is going to almost HAVE to get Bay signed over the mid summer now, like Beckett and they did Ortiz, there is just nobody available via FA this year, or even potentially available in 2011 that is near what he has done for the Sox since Holliday has flopped so badly at Oakland this year. Bat likes Boston and a deal can be done, just not the 2/20M nonsense that Dunn signed for, but maybe 3/45M w/another club option year could happen.
If Lugo has not figured out by now how worthless he is, then he really needs to get a clue. His defense has not been missed, his poor throwing arm, nor has the few singles that he was able to get now and then and he can barely run anymore either. When he was called on to bunt in Friday's game as a PH, he had a scowl on his face, so much for a team player. Too bad Lowrie got hit on the knee in his 3rd rehab game at AAA and was set back several games, it delayed dumping Lugo a little while.
Posted by: johns | June 28, 2009 at 10:12 AM
Funny how you trash Lugo when he is just playing like he always has. I question whoever signed him, knowing he would play like he is.
Posted by: A | June 28, 2009 at 10:23 AM
Sign Bay, dont trade Saito, keep bringing up the kids, dont worry about Smoltz. Many bad signings in baseball, that is why important to keep up the farm.
Posted by: Cyyoung | June 28, 2009 at 10:45 AM
@ johns: Well said, my man, well said. The Red Sox MUST resign Bay. Bay and Youk have become the heart of the Sox offense.
@ A: Lugo was a little bit than he was now when he was with Tampa. Off the top of my head I think I remember him hitting .280 a year and .290 another yeah, something like that. I never liked Lugo and I'm still hurting that the Sox didn't resign Cabrera back in 05 (lol).
Posted by: Umair | June 28, 2009 at 10:47 AM
The Sox fans all want Bay back, despite that this is obviously a career year for him. But if they do not re-sign him for some reason, and decide that Boras' demands for Holliday are absolutely insane, there are other options for a sluggling LF. Josh Reddick may or may not get a shot. I suppose Jermaine Dye isn't the sexiest name for FA outfielders, but he does have some skills.
But the most likely alternative is to make a deal for an outfielder, especially since Varitek might be making his own case for 2010.
The Sox could offer, say, Bard and/or Masterson, for example, and see what that gets them. Or, possibly even Papelbon (though I doubt it). But his relucatance to commit long term could influence his future with the team short term.
Papelbon for Ryan Braun? (Won't happen, but it would not be the worst deal.)
Not sure what Bard or Masterson can get.
and as always, Mike Cuddyer will be available for some price. Given his deal, he won't be a bank breaker in terms of prospects...
Posted by: notin | June 28, 2009 at 10:48 AM
"Papelbon for Ryan Braun."
Thanks for the laugh. Braun is signed to a very team friendly contract through 2015 (Yep, six more years). There's no way in hell he's going to get traded in the next several years unless some team decides to pay out the rear for him.
Small market teams don't exist just to be feeder teams for the big market clubs, ya know?
Posted by: Invader3K | June 28, 2009 at 11:02 AM
Ryan Braun has to be one of the most untouchable assets in the game, with guys like Justin Upton, Jay Bruce, Matt Wieters and David Price. Braun is going to get expensive sooner than they will, but he's an absolute monster.
Posted by: scribbletone | June 28, 2009 at 11:29 AM
I don't think there is any one guy on the Red Sox roster that the Brewers would trade Braun straight up for- especially not Papelbon, a guy who thinks he's going to be worth 15-20 million a year. He's way too full of himself.
Posted by: THEBIGFISH99 | June 28, 2009 at 11:48 AM
There isn't anyone on Boston's roster.
It would take something like Buchholz and Lars Anderson.
Posted by: scribbletone | June 28, 2009 at 12:02 PM
Whether or not that deal is viable isn't really the point.
The point is that the Sox have other options for LF besides Bay and Holliday. and there is no rule that states a departing free agent has to be replaced with another free agent.
Most Sox fans seem to have the teams future plans ironed out in their heads and get totally sidetracked by any deviation. "We re-sign Bay. Trade for a young catcher. and Youkilis moves to 3b to accomodate Lars Anderson."
It all might happen, but then none of it might, and the Sox are a pretty well positioned team to deviate from that ironclad plan, which can apparently be completely derailed by Jason Bay receiving a better offer. So if Ryan Braun isn't in LF (and Milwaukee would have a quick closing window with hellbent free agents Fielder and Papelbon leaving at the same time), but they certainly can make a trade. And it could be for a player that most fans think is "untouchable."
Anderson and Buchholz might be more than the Sox FO is prepared to deal, but they have moved significant prospects before, and as the A-ball guys (Westmoreland, Hissey, Kelly, Pimental, Alamanzar, Gibson, Fife, Weiland, Mailman, Rizzo, etc.) move up into AA and start becoming either legitimate prospects or suspects, the Sox ability to make deals could possibly even get better.
Or it could completely plummet if they all start faltering...
Posted by: notin | June 28, 2009 at 01:11 PM
But realistically, the Brewers would have to be so blown away to move Braun that a deal really isn't plausible.
Milwaukee would likely want so much for him that Boston would be better off looking in a different direction.
Posted by: scribbletone | June 28, 2009 at 01:38 PM
I'm both a Red Sox fan and a Braves fan. I personally hope the Sox do release Lugo and eat his salary. Nothing really personal against him, but we have better options and he's a waste of a roster space as the 3rd Shortstop.
That being said, were I Frank Wren and the Sox released Lugo, I'd absolutely take him in an instant. I'd only be paying the league minimum, and he'd provide the team with another decent hitting, decent fielding player for a couple years until the Braves can figure everything out. I've been posting a lot here lately saying "I'd love so-and-so on the Braves, blah blah". At this point I'm just looking for ANYONE competent to replace Jelly Johnson, Diory Hernandez, Gregor Blanco and Jeff Francoeur.
Trading for Teahen would take care of the Francoeur problem until Jason Heyward is ready, not to mention he could give anyone on the infield a day off here and there. Lugo is the same way. He can play 2B, SS and 3B as well as emergency outfield. I wouldn't mind him at Second at all. I'd take him hitting .270 over Johnson's .216 ANY day. Their defense is practically the same as well.
On a different note, I do think the Sox need to lock up Bay. The last thing we need is the Yankees picking him up and having him murder our pitching for the next 5 or more years. Bay, Youkilis and Ortiz are a simply fantastic 1-2-3 knockout most of the time. Keeping that in order would only prove to be a positive thing. He may cost more than a young guy coming up, but who says Reddick isn't a bust? (like Jordan Schafer was earlier this year for the Braves) That isn't saying he'd never turn it around, but Epstein would kick his own ass for not re-signing Bay then.
Posted by: Matt | June 28, 2009 at 01:39 PM
I don't understand why everyone seems to think that Lugo should just be released. While it's true that his signing has not turned out as hoped, and it's also true that his poor defense and Green's continued acceptable hitting mean that he shouldn't be starting, he does provide value.
Last year, his OBP was .355, better than Crisp, Lowell, Varitek or Ellsbury. This year, he has more power and a higher OBP; his .361 OBP is better than all of those players AND Nick Green. Lugo's OPS+ this year is 91. For a backup infielder, that's very good.
Just because he's not worth $9m doesn't mean that the Red Sox should release him. The money is a sunk cost, and Lugo provides value.
Posted by: Gugs87 | June 28, 2009 at 01:39 PM
Umair, I agree with you on Orlando Cabrera.
Hindsight is 20/20, but I was questioning the Renteria addition at the time. Why replace Cabrera (who fit in, thrived in Boston, and just helped you win a WS) with a similar player (who turned out to be a major bust, of course) in Renteria and spend more in the process???
Now, if the Sox hadn't signed and subsequently traded Renteria we wouldn't be in this Lugo mess right now...
I also agree with Gugs87 in that Lugo is not a COMPLETE waste of space, though. If he is OK with coming off the bench and is willing to play 2nd or even in the OF occasionally, then he does have something to offer. I just don't know what to do with him when Lowrie comes back. Do you send Green down so he can keep getting at bats and innings at SS? I don't know...
Posted by: SamUMF6 | June 28, 2009 at 03:57 PM
Lugo's salary is already a sunk cost so his value to the team has to be weighed against the value of whoever would occupy his roster spot (the only available spot) if he's moved. With Green playing decently right now Lugo's roster replacement would be Lowrie or?...probably Baldelli. So who'd you rather keep, Lugo or Baldelli?
It's not completely out of the question that Baldelli could go given his health issues and limited flexibility. But barring a surprise multi-player trade or injury logic suggests Lugo will be gone shortly. Still, Lugo would have some value in a multi-player arrangement if the deal includes cash and a high-end player...say like a pitcher with a big mouth that's hoping for a big FA payday in a year or so.
Posted by: Lock | June 28, 2009 at 04:37 PM
There's no law that says Lowrie has to be the Red Sox' shortstop. He still has option years, and he hasn't shown anything that tells me that he's head and shoulders better than what the Sox are running out there right now.
Green's had a nice couple of months. It probably won't continue, and if he falls off then he should be jettisoned to bring up Lowrie. But if he does, then Lowrie can get some polish at Pawtucket (where he has less than 100 games played in his career, and where he has a .489 OPS on his rehab assignment) while Green and Lugo hold down the fort in Boston.
Posted by: Gugs87 | June 28, 2009 at 05:43 PM
"and where he has a .489 OPS on his rehab assignment"
Your .489 OPS point is based off 8 ABs. Pretty sweet sample size.
Lowrie, if he is fully healed, will be the Sox starting SS because of what he does defensively at the position. The fact he's a decent hitter makes this a dead argument... again, this is assuming there are no lingering effects of the wrist.
Posted by: carini26 | June 29, 2009 at 08:43 AM
It is not a carreer year for him >Why does everybody think that he Is doing what he always does hit about 280 and hit 30 + hr the only Difference is he is on a better team that gets on base more and in turn he drives in more and gets more at bats and lowrie WILL be a 300 hitter that works the count and sprayts the ball from gap to gap
Posted by: 26Rings4Ever | June 29, 2009 at 11:25 AM
Orlando is garbbage thats why he never stays anywhere We don't know thw whole story and what goes on in the clubhouse Lugo will be released and get another 14 mil in money he hasn't earned except his first year with the sox he only hit 234 but 74 rbi no WS with out his production in 07
Posted by: 26Rings4Ever | June 29, 2009 at 11:29 AM
I think Bay is one of those guys who you can't let get away.
He means more to the team and to Red Sox Nation than simply being a good LF.
He's been a good clutch hitter, and those are the kind of guys we need. As well, he's a proven guy, and someone else would not be proven to come up big for the Sox in key situations.
Bad move if they let him go.
Posted by: Emy Earnhardt | June 30, 2009 at 12:00 PM