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Odds And Ends: Chapman, Werth, Marlins

More links for the morning...

  • One GM told Brian Lewis of the New York Post that he expects Cuban lefty Aroldis Chapman to sign for less than the $52MM that Daisuke Matsuzaka received before the 2007 season.
  • One executive told Lewis that Chapman will need some minor league seasoning.
  • Padres GM Kevin Towers told MLB.com's Corey Brock that the Padres tried to sign Jayson Werth a few years ago. Towers is impressed with the former catcher's athleticism in the outfield.
  • Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald hears from Marlins president David Samson that the team isn't discussing long term deals with any of its players. Even with a new ballpark on the way, Samson said the Marlins need to be cautious spenders.  
  • Be sure to follow MLBTR on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook, where we're asking a question that's on everybody's mind: Where will Roy Halladay end up?


Comments

everyone could have had two thirds of the phils starting outfield for a song a couple years back. Victorino was a rule 5 draftee that was offered back and not accepted for $25k. Whose laughing now. And Gillick himself went to Werth's house and supposedly how the story goes Towers went there soon after and was told Gillick had already been there and that Werth was already going to sign with the Phils so he was wasting his time.

Let's look at the facts. The White Sox have a quality major league starter to offer in Gavin Floyd, and a WEALTH of prospects. Flowers, Poreda, and Beckham are just the closest to major league ready. They also have Daniel Hudson, Stephen Sauer, Dexter Carter, Charles Leesman, and Gregory Infante. They also have Juan Silverio, an 18 year old SS in Bristol.

Comments appreciated.

The Phils DO NOT have the prospects to get Halladay. Just because they want and need him doesn't mean they're "the frontrunner" or some such nonsense.

I'm on board with the White Sox or Angels.

If KW makes the trade I expect it'll be the same as the Peavy deal was supposed to be plus Beckham. They won't get rid of Floyd.

"The Phils DO NOT have the prospects to get Halladay. Just because they want and need him doesn't mean they're "the frontrunner" or some such nonsense."

Who declared you the judge of who has the prospects? If your going to make a blanket statement like that then justify it. The Phillies and the Rays are the only two teams to have three prospects in Baseball America's top 25.

Danks is cheaper, younger, and better than Floyd. He'd be a better starting point.

However, it's irrelevant, because the Sox won't trade Beckham and Flowers... they're trying to get younger, as an organization. Trading away their young talent to get Halladay won't help that philosophy.

Phillies have the prospects, the need, they'll get him if anyone does. Angels are next in line.

Happ. Drabek. Donald. Done.

"The Phils DO NOT have the prospects to get Halladay. Just because they want and need him doesn't mean they're "the frontrunner" or some such nonsense."

Who declared you the judge of who has the prospects? If your going to make a blanket statement like that then justify it. The Phillies and the Rays are the only two teams to have three prospects in Baseball America's top 25.


Posted by: Chris | July 15, 2009 at 11:49 AM


he's a braves fan if i remember correctly(if not I apologize for calling you one!). he's actually very concerned if we get him because it means they won't have a chance for the next two years plus.

"However, it's irrelevant, because the Sox won't trade Beckham and Flowers... they're trying to get younger, as an organization. Trading away their young talent to get Halladay won't help that philosophy.

Phillies have the prospects, the need, they'll get him if anyone does. Angels are next in line."

I really don't think the White Sox are trying to get younger.

Last offseason was more "dump who Ozzie doesn't like" than "get younger". Vazquez was replaced with Colon, who is older. Swisher, who is in his prime, got dumped over Dye/Konerko, both of whom are old.

And, they made a play for Jake Peavy earlier this season, which is why I think they're pretty likely to get Halladay. Kenny is not afraid of trading away prospects, he's traded away his organization's #1 and #2 ranked prospects at the time in the same deal before and he's generally an aggressive GM.

And the Angels don't have the prospects to get Halladay. Especially now that Walden is hurt.

If you White Sox fans don't start doing something crazy like actually going to games, you won't have the money for Halladay.

"The Phils DO NOT have the prospects to get Halladay."

From the Baseball America "Stock Report," which picks the Phils as one of three organizations exceeding expectations this year:

"Phillies: If Philadelphia wants to deal for Roy Halladay, it has the pieces to make the move. Righthanders Kyle Drabek and Jason Knapp are legit power arms; Dom Brown and Michael Taylor are athletic power bats; and Travis d'Arnaud, Jason Donald and Lou Marson are up-the-middle assets."

Honestly, if the White Sox give up Gordon Beckham, Aaron Poreda, Clayton Richard and another good prospect, for Halladay, then I won't really know what to think.

Beckham looks like a future quality everyday player, and I think there is some major upside in Poreda and Richard. I'm not convinced that Halladay would make this team a legitimate WS contender, as good as that rotation would be, and it wouldn't last long, that team would be old.

I'd rather keep the talent, build around the Danks, Floyd, Quentin, Flowers, Viciedo, Beckham, Ramirez, Getz, Pena, Danks, and other pieces.

And there's absolutely no way that you move John Danks in a Halladay deal. There's a massive difference between Danks and guys like Drabek and Poreda.

Danks doesn't turn 25 until next April, but he's already posted a 3.44 FIP in 195 innings last year, and a 3.93 FIP in 101 innings this year. He's already a legitimate top of the rotation starter on his own, and he's used the cutter that they've taught him to become a weapon.

I'd give up Poreda, Richard, and hell, I'd even give up Alexei Ramirez, but I don't want to see Beckham included in a Halladay deal.

Just checked the scouting reports. Hudson is a control freak, but an average high 80s-low 90s FB. Infante is your typical Latin American pitching prospect-mid 90s FB, has a high ceiling. I really don't know why Carter has not gotten more recognition. He has a mid 90s FB, he is young, and he is a control freak. Stephen Sauer has another average FB, but is a control freak. Silverio, to me, looks like another Hanley Ramirez because of his power and youth. Just check out a website called The Baseball Cube.

My proposed deal: Floyd
Silverio
Hudson
Leesman
Sauer

The WS can also get more prospects to offer by trading Bobby Jenks.

Again, comments appreciated.

BTW, one other team often mentioned in the Halladay sweepstakes -- the Angels -- was also listed among the three organization's whose stock is going up, while another -- the Cardinals -- was listed as one of three whose stock is going down.

Here's what BA said about the Cardinals: "Ranking this system eighth in the preseason proved optimistic, as the Cardinals lack impact talent after big league rookie Colby Rasmus. Starting pitching—there's a lack of power arms—looks like a glaring system-wide weakness."

For what its worth, the teams rumored to be in mix with their pre-season 09 prospect rankings (per BA)

#1 – Rangers

#5 – Giants
#8 – Cardinals

#12 – Phillies
#13 – Red Sox

#15 - Yankees
#16 – White Sox

#23 – Dodgers
#25 - Angels

suzys,

WOW. the Phils had the 12th prospect rankings and the Red Sox were 13th and that was PRESEASON numbers?

With Taylor's meteoric rise coupled with Lars Anderson's coming back to earth I'd expect that's even moreso now.

philsWS ... I think that was the point of the "stock report" Baseball America posted on its website yesterday, to point out that the Phils would be higher than 12th if they reranked the organizations today.

The two other "stock-rising" clubs were ranked way near the bottom in the pre-season -- the Angels @ 25th and the Astros @ 30th.

"WOW. the Phils had the 12th prospect rankings and the Red Sox were 13th and that was PRESEASON numbers?"

Yes, but I do believe it may be a bit deceiving when talking about the Red Sox and Yankees specifically. Players like Buchholz or Lowrie could easily be part of a Boston package, but they dont factor to their rankings. Likewise, the Yankees have Hughes, Joba, Gardner, etc, who would be possibly included if they really wanted him. Both Boston and New York have the ability to put together stronger packages then anyone else without disrupting their current team - just will they? And if they did, would it only be used by the Jays to drive the price higher for an out-of-division team?

Just throwin this out there:

Werth+Howard+Drabek for Peavy+Gonzalez+Kouzmanoff

Who says no?

"My proposed deal: Floyd
Silverio
Hudson
Leesman
Sauer"

I'm a White Sox fan, and even I think that this offer isn't even close.

You're not going to give up Flowers, Beckham, Poreda, Richard, neither of the Danks', or Viciedo, in a deal for Roy Halladay?

Of the guys that you listed outside of Gavin Floyd, the only one that made Sickels' Top 20 CHW prospects is Dan Hudson.

And Juan Siverio is the next Hanley Ramirez? Are you kidding me? Do we have the next Pujols, Sizemore, Greinke, Longoria, Mauer, Pedroia and Bruce in our system too?

"Werth+Howard+Drabek for Peavy+Gonzalez+Kouzmanoff

Who says no?"

Padres, easy.

The idea of moving Peavy/Gonzalez would be to save money and restock the farm system, and adding Ryan Howard absolutely doesn't do that.

Howard is a clear downgrade from Gonzalez despite having a substantially higher salary, and Peavy/Gonzalez alone could land far more talent than that three-man package.

the Padres say no. It makes no sense for them at all.

Phils Phans: Dont talk about flop-in-the-making Jason Donald in terms of a Halladay trade. The Jays would be better off signing Marco Scutaro long term than to take a shot at a guy whos ceiling is getting lower and lower by the day.

"Phils Phans: Dont talk about flop-in-the-making Jason Donald in terms of a Halladay trade. The Jays would be better off signing Marco Scutaro long term than to take a shot at a guy whos ceiling is getting lower and lower by the day."

Sure, signing Scutaro long term could be a good idea, but that depends on the price.

Donald has struggled a lot this year but he hasn't been totally healthy, but he excelled at every level of the minors until hitting AAA this year. He still doesn't turn 25 until September, and most scouts seem to believe that he can be adequate defensively at shortstop or even plus at second or third.

Donald is still a good prospect, and it's not like the Blue Jays have a lot of SS talent in their organization outside of Justin Jackson.

"Donald has struggled a lot this year but he hasn't been totally healthy, but he excelled at every level of the minors until hitting AAA this year. He still doesn't turn 25 until September, and most scouts seem to believe that he can be adequate defensively at shortstop or even plus at second or third.

Donald is still a good prospect, and it's not like the Blue Jays have a lot of SS talent in their organization outside of Justin Jackson."

But he's also likely to be overvalued due to that relative dearth of SS prospects who are remotely likely to stick there (not counting the guys in the 2009 draft class, which was weak on position players anyway).

And, if I'm trading Halladay, I'm not worried about 2010. Nature of the beast. Jays trade Halladay, they're looking at 2011 and beyond.

I want one of Drabek/Knapp, Carrasco, one of Brown/Taylor, Marson, and a decent 5th guy. Between getting Marson and Donald, or Donald and a prospect who might be further away but has a higher ceiling, I take Marson/the higher ceiling guy all day. Especially since it looks like not a lot of teams have catching/catching prospect depth.

melonis and scribbletone,

while Donald is still an OK prospect he has been far surpassed in our system by the likes of Drabek, Brown, Taylor, Knapp etc. That in a way devalues him in our eyes.

I think people sometimes forget that he did very good in the AFL last year as well as in the Olympics. The problem with him is a similar problem we had with Cardenas. He was blocked and couldn't move positions adequately enough to have a place with our team long term.

And he has been injured but hey I won't whine and complain like some Sox fans about our prospects injuries but he is getting older and has seemingly reached his ceiling.

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