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Congrats to All-Star Game starters Roy Halladay and Tim Lincecum. What a matchup. Here are some more links to look through...
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Bruce's injury looked just as painful as when it happened to Hideki Matsui. Made me cringe watching it.
Posted by: Timotheus | July 13, 2009 at 11:28 AM
Good for Roy. Hard to believe after all these years he hasn't had the chance to start one, he deserves it.
Posted by: s17 | July 13, 2009 at 11:31 AM
TIMMAY!!!
Posted by: 55saveslives | July 13, 2009 at 11:38 AM
Give me the best prospects you would trade for Gonzalez. Would Kelly and Bowden be enough or would they want Buch and Kelly?
If so would you accept a Mejia, Holt, Thole and Flores for A Gonzalez?
Posted by: theJonathan | July 13, 2009 at 11:51 AM
Some of these teams just dont get it. I mean the management not the fans.
There are plenty of kids in AAA, that cannot make the major league squad, because not enough room. Invest in scouting big time.
Posted by: Cyyoung | July 13, 2009 at 12:00 PM
Tim Alderson, Angel Villalona, Nick Noonan, Conor Gillaspie, Henry Sosa and Josh Mazzola for Adrian Gonzalez
I know teams don't like to trade within the division but would this deal work?
Posted by: Bleacher_bum_SF | July 13, 2009 at 12:05 PM
Send 'em both to the East.
Bell to the Rays and Gonzalez to the Sox.
Posted by: WestCoastBias | July 13, 2009 at 12:06 PM
Just because they won't compete for five years doesn't mean they should trade Gonzalez. You have to have someone to bring in ticket revenues, he is of latin descent playing in hometown SD, and his contract is very reasonable. They shouldn't trade him unless absolutely blown away by a trade offer.
Posted by: Kinsm | July 13, 2009 at 12:10 PM
Speier must be wrong. J.P. Riccardi, himself, told a reporter that Halladay gave him a list with more teams he would not waive the no-trade clause than teams he would accept. That report is listed here on MLBTR and contains quotes.
Posted by: Steve in MA | July 13, 2009 at 12:13 PM
"Would Kelly and Bowden be enough or would they want Buch and Kelly?"
Writers keep saying Buchholz is untouchable, but I'd bet for Gonzalez he's completely available. Kelly on the other hand... well frankly all things considered, I sincerely doubt Theo would allow his name in discussions and I think some other GMs would prefer to wait for the SP/SS experiment to be played out.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | July 13, 2009 at 12:17 PM
How about A Gonz for Kelly,Bard, Fife and Navarro
and Health Bell for Barnese and McGee?
Peavy for another 2 possible top 25 prospects. They really could have a great team by 2011.
,
Posted by: theJonathan | July 13, 2009 at 12:18 PM
"How about A Gonz for Kelly,Bard, Fife and Navarro"
Still don't think Kelly will be discussed, see my previous post. But I also think Bard won't be moved. He's insurance for closer.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | July 13, 2009 at 12:23 PM
"Tim Alderson, Angel Villalona, Nick Noonan, Conor Gillaspie, Henry Sosa and Josh Mazzola for Adrian Gonzalez"
If the Padres are going to trade Adrian Gonzalez within the division, then they're going to likely start conversations with Madison Bumgarner.
Then again, this is probably what the deal would look like if those teams did make a deal.
The Giants moving Bumgarner or Buster Posey would absolutely shock me.
Posted by: scribbletone | July 13, 2009 at 12:27 PM
Give me the best prospects you would trade for Gonzalez. Would Kelly and Bowden be enough or would they want Buch and Kelly?-the jonathan
i think bowden would be in the package but kelly seems to be untouchable considering his amazing upside and the red soxs deciding whether in the long run whether he is a future SS(his choice) or SP( what the red soxs want)
as far as adrian goes i read somewhere that he has the lowest amount of xbh compared to HR in baseball doesnt sound like a theo-esque player i would rather have numerous other available sluggers than him IMO though to get him to the sox would take a combination of
bard/delcarmen,+bucholz(if theo refuses buch then)/bowden+tazawa,josh riddick/anthony rizzo
IMO the sox shouldnt trade the farm this year wait till the offseason see whats available and after next yr we can get an instant upgrade at C as both V-mart and joe mauer are free agents
Posted by: zeppelin3593 | July 13, 2009 at 12:36 PM
"Tim Alderson, Angel Villalona, Nick Noonan, Conor Gillaspie, Henry Sosa and Josh Mazzola for Adrian Gonzalez
I know teams don't like to trade within the division but would this deal work?"
I sincerely hope this was a joke. Give up 3 very good infield prospects and 1 very, very good pitching prospect, plus Sosa and Mazzola and just get Adrian Gonzalez in return? I don't think so.
I wouldn't be opposed to bringing Adrian Gonzalez in to SF at all, just not at that cost. It would make more sense to swap out Villalona, Alderson, Lewis, and PTBNL. We're not going to decimate half of our top prospects just for 35HR a year.
Posted by: richard.cordrey | July 13, 2009 at 12:46 PM
Adrian is one of the more under rated players in ALL of Baseball playing in the extreme pitchers PETCO park! He has zero protection in the lineup and still has good number considering he hasn't done anything for about a month! He would be in very high demand and would bring back a major haul of prospects! I think people are not giving him true value. Bell would on his own bring back some prospects as well. Between the two players could potentially bring back 6 top prospects from two different teams. Remember closers of Heath's caliber are few and far between these days and closers value's have gone increasingly up. The two players Adrian and Bell would NOT be dealt in the same deal that would not bring back enough top tear talent.
Posted by: Mickeykoke | July 13, 2009 at 12:46 PM
If the evaluator is correct and SD is 5 years away from being competitive you HAVE to move Gonzalez, Belle, and anyone else that has trade value.
Five years from now players on the team today will either be FA's or entering their last year of arbitration. Unless the Pads are infused with cash, any good talent on the roster today will not be on the roster 5 years from now.
As for attendance - SD is already in the bottom 3rd for attendance at 24k/game. Even an awful Padres team will get 18-20k.
As for alienation - Padres fans want winners. Who cares if Gonzalez is on the team if your club loses 95 games? Sure, there will be short term pain from ignorant fans who may know one or two players on the squad. Those that follow baseball will realize that this is the only way out.
As for what the Padres should be looking for ... low minors/high upside players. This works out well for the club. They don't need Buccholz or Bumgarner. Good teams are reluctant to give up talent that is close to contributing. You can get a much better haul by going after kids that are 2+ seasons away from the bigs. Targeting guys like Hansen, Hughes, Chamberlin, etc would just perpetuate their current problem. Go after the very best of the kids who are 18-20. Get quantity and upside and watch them develop.
Posted by: bjsguess | July 13, 2009 at 12:51 PM
"Adrian is one of the more under rated players in ALL of Baseball playing in the extreme pitchers PETCO park! He has zero protection in the lineup and still has good number considering he hasn't done anything for about a month!"
That's true, but he has also hit 16HR away from Petco... That means he's only been good for 8 at home, which isn't all that impressive.
Posted by: richard.cordrey | July 13, 2009 at 12:59 PM
richard.cordrey-thats probably the only kind of non MadBum/Posey package the Padres would consider and for a young hitter who can also field like Gonzalez its probably worth it for the Giants.
bjsuess-Bumgarner IS 20 yrs old, he'd be a great target for SD if they did decide to try to move Gonzalez. He's a big enough name that most fans wouldn't revolt and he's probably at least a full year from the bigs
Posted by: thegiantswinthepennant | July 13, 2009 at 01:00 PM
I really don't know how you can say Pads are 5 years away, the low minors (A, A+, and AA) all have very promising prospects. I expect Pads to compete in 2 years
Posted by: Pads/Angels fan | July 13, 2009 at 01:19 PM
"I sincerely hope this was a joke. Give up 3 very good infield prospects and 1 very, very good pitching prospect, plus Sosa and Mazzola and just get Adrian Gonzalez in return? I don't think so."
Right, because it's not like Adrian Gonzalez is a superstar. Oh wait..
Do you realize how suppressed his numbers are by Petco Park?
He has a .937 OPS away in 2009, and a .877 OPS at home.
From 2006-2008, his away OPS was .927, while his home OPS was .787.
Gonzalez is a plus defensive first baseman with 40+ HR power and top notch plate discipline, and he's cheaply under control through 2011, if I'm not mistaken.
He's going to cost any team an absolute haul, and especially so from a divisional rival in San Francisco.
"That's true, but he has also hit 16HR away from Petco... That means he's only been good for 8 at home, which isn't all that impressive."
Which is because Petco is the hardest place to hit home runs in the game. BP Daily put up a piece that said that Gonzalez would've hit something like 6-8 more home runs before the All Star break had he been hitting in a neutral home park, rather than an extreme pitcher's park.
Gonzalez is an elite first baseman, and the only guys that can even compete with him are Teixeira, Berkman, Cabrera, Morneau, Youkilis and Fielder. Pujols is on a whole different level.
And you know that Gonzalez is going to age far better than Fielder and Cabrera.
Posted by: scribbletone | July 13, 2009 at 01:22 PM
If the padres put Adrian on the blick sabean better make sure he lands in SF. He's the middle of the order bat we're looking for and is a gold glove first baseman. He's the perfect fit
Posted by: FutureGiantsGM | July 13, 2009 at 01:23 PM
Okay , from Boston to Padres for A. Gonzalez :
One of DelCarmen or Saito
plus Mark Kotsay ,
one of Buchholtz or Bowden ,
any TWO shortstop prospects NOT named Casey Kelly,
plus Lars Anderson, plus ANY catcher prospect, plus one of : Felix Doubront or Stolmy Pimentsl .
Would this get it done ??
Posted by: jimedfred | July 13, 2009 at 01:33 PM
OOPS ! Should be Stolmy Pimental , not Pimentsl.
So a decent closer, a backup of /1b , a MLB-ready starter, 2 ss prospects, a 1b and a catcher prospect, plus a killer SP prospect, either from AA or A.
Heck , we'd even throw in Julio Lugo, with salary PAID !
Posted by: jimedfred | July 13, 2009 at 01:36 PM
@ scribbletone
I realize that he's a great player, but he's not worth Villalona, Alderson, Gillespie, Noonan, Sosa, and Mazzola... Ever heard of not putting all your eggs in one basket?
He's much more likely to draw something like I already proposed: Villalona, Alderson, Lewis, and PTBNL, and MAYBE one more prospect thrown in, but a mid-level one at best.
Posted by: richard.cordrey | July 13, 2009 at 01:38 PM
"I realize that he's a great player, but he's not worth Villalona, Alderson, Gillespie, Noonan, Sosa, and Mazzola... Ever heard of not putting all your eggs in one basket?"
Yep, but if you aren't willing to give up that type of package, then just forget about Gonzalez and go in a different route.
Gillespie has been incredibly unimpressive this season, and while Noonan and Sosa are good prospects, they aren't particularly special.
The Padres have zero motivation to deal Gonzalez within the division, so unless you're absolutely blowing them away, they'll shrug and trade him to Boston or some other team that's offering similar value.
I'm not convinced that Villalona, Alderson, Lewis and a mid-level prospect is enough to land Gonzalez, compared to what other teams outside of the division would be willing to offer.
Posted by: scribbletone | July 13, 2009 at 01:50 PM
Buckholtz, Bowden, Anderson for Gonzo is realistic and I as a die hard Padre fan would not be thrilled to se Adrian go but think that would be a fair trade for both teams.
Posted by: Mickeykoke | July 13, 2009 at 02:10 PM
To Mickykoke :
I said ONE of Buchholtz / Bowden , NOT both !
Hence all the other players in the deal !
But if you threw in Kouzmanoff, we'd give up Penny !
Posted by: jimedfred | July 13, 2009 at 02:22 PM
"One of DelCarmen or Saito
plus Mark Kotsay ,
one of Buchholtz or Bowden ,
any TWO shortstop prospects NOT named Casey Kelly,
plus Lars Anderson, plus ANY catcher prospect, plus one of : Felix Doubront or Stolmy Pimentsl"
So, in proper english, the offer would be:
Manny Declarmen, Clay Buchholz, Lars Anderson, Yaimaico Navarro, Oscar Tejeda, Tim Federowicz, and Stolmy Pimental for Gonzalez?
Honestly, the Padres probably make that deal. Yeah, it's a quantity offer, but you can't ignore the quality that's included as well.
Buchholz and Anderson are elite prospects, Declarmen is a good young reliever, and Pimental and Federowicz have seen their prospect statuses increase greatly in the past year or so.
I doubt that the Red Sox are willing to give up seven players just for Gonzalez, though.
Posted by: scribbletone | July 13, 2009 at 02:39 PM
Padres do not want Penny. They need controllable prospects such as Lars, Bowden and Buckholtz. Bo. would need to give up a similar package for Adrian because of right now the Padres are not even exploring the notion of dealing him.
Padres would want quality NOT quantity.
Posted by: Mickeykoke | July 13, 2009 at 03:05 PM
"Yep, but if you aren't willing to give up that type of package, then just forget about Gonzalez and go in a different route.
Gillespie has been incredibly unimpressive this season, and while Noonan and Sosa are good prospects, they aren't particularly special."
I wasn't proposing that it would be something that would be pursued; I was just responding to what someone else wrote. I hadn't even considered it before today, honestly.
Second, I see that you conveniently left Alderson and Villalona off that list of what you obviously consider lukewarm prospects... Add those into the 'unimpressive' Gillespie and the 'good' Sosa and Noonan, and you've got more than the Padres could possibly dream of getting for just A Gonzalez. I'd have to see him plus either the Pads eating some salary or throwing in a prospect of their own.
Posted by: richard.cordrey | July 13, 2009 at 03:17 PM
"Second, I see that you conveniently left Alderson and Villalona off that list of what you obviously consider lukewarm prospects... Add those into the 'unimpressive' Gillespie and the 'good' Sosa and Noonan, and you've got more than the Padres could possibly dream of getting for just A Gonzalez. I'd have to see him plus either the Pads eating some salary or throwing in a prospect of their own."
Well, obviously Villalona and Alderson are two of the better prospects in all of baseball, so I don't have many qualms with them.
My point is that Gonzalez should command a Teixeira-like haul, and that includes multiple good prospects on top of two elite prospects, and those elite prospects would be Alderson and Villalona.
The Padres would have little use for Fred Lewis because he'd be gone before the next winning Padres team, so they would assuredly prefer higher upside talent in the lower levels of the minor league system.
The Padres are assuredly expecting a haul for Gonzalez, and that includes even more talent when you factor in the whole interdivisional thing.
Posted by: scribbletone | July 13, 2009 at 03:40 PM
As a Red Sox fan I would do Buchholz, Bowden, and Anderson. That sounds fair.
Posted by: Walley | July 13, 2009 at 03:44 PM
The Red Sox have owned the Yankees this year so I'd say a straight-up trade...the Yanks for Gonzalez...might be doable for Boston. I wonder if the Sox could get Giles and Belle as throwins if they agreed to keep Steinbrenner and Cashman.... hmmmmmm.
Posted by: Lock | July 13, 2009 at 04:06 PM
How about Buchholz, Bowden, Bard, Reddick for Gonzalez and Bell?
Posted by: bkoke | July 13, 2009 at 05:20 PM
If (again that's based off the idea that the talent evaluator is correct) the Padres are 5 years away from being competitive why would they want Buccholz?
Let's go best case scenario. Buccholz turns out to be a stud. He pitches lights out in Petco. It's 3 years from now. Buccholz is asking for $10-12m in arbitration. Meanwhile the Pads are still a 85-90 loss team. What good is Buccholz outside outside of trade bait?
If the Pads are building to win then they need to focus on guys sitting in A ball or possibly AA. Anyone who is ML ready or will be ready in 2010 is too far advanced and will be too expensive.
This isn't an age issue, it's a service time issue. You don't want guys coming up getting their arb clocks ticking until the organization is prepared to be competitive.
Posted by: bjsguess | July 13, 2009 at 06:05 PM
Buch is young and they can always trade him to another team if he turns into a stud and gets expensive before the Padres turn it around.
Posted by: bkoke | July 13, 2009 at 06:17 PM
"Well, obviously Villalona and Alderson are two of the better prospects in all of baseball, so I don't have many qualms with them.
My point is that Gonzalez should command a Teixeira-like haul, and that includes multiple good prospects on top of two elite prospects, and those elite prospects would be Alderson and Villalona.
The Padres would have little use for Fred Lewis because he'd be gone before the next winning Padres team, so they would assuredly prefer higher upside talent in the lower levels of the minor league system.
The Padres are assuredly expecting a haul for Gonzalez, and that includes even more talent when you factor in the whole interdivisional thing."
I see your point, but I guess that as a fan, its not worth it to me... Gonzalez would be great to have, but when there are so many FA bats to be had after this season is over, its a pretty big price to pay.
I could see the Giants giving up that sort of talent for Halladay, but that's a talent that doesn't come along very often. I would rather see the Giants trade out Alderson, Villalona, Gillespie, Sosa, Noonan, and 2 or 3 other prospects for Halladay and then wait until FA to get one or more of the following: Holliday, VMart, Glaus.
Posted by: richard.cordrey | July 13, 2009 at 07:57 PM
Bucholz, Bowden, Anderson, delcarmen, and julio Lugo9salary aten by Red Sox) for Gonzalez?
Posted by: Braves for NL East!! | July 13, 2009 at 09:59 PM
Julio Lugo's 09 salary eaten by the RS
Posted by: Braves for NL East!! | July 13, 2009 at 10:04 PM
I meant Red Sox by Rs, not IRS..lol
Posted by: Braves for NL East!! | July 13, 2009 at 10:16 PM
@Braves for NL East: I think the Red Sox and Padres are a good match if an Adrian trade takes place. Just doubt it would be for the players you suggested.
Lugo: He isnt worth anything, and the Padres have Cabrera at SS and see him as the future at the position (doing quite well for someone who jumped from A-ball to the majors)
Delcarmen: Nice piece, and a solid reliever. But wont be around for the next winning Padres team.
Anderson: I think he was over hyped, and baseball prospectus agrees(http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=9154), but he still a solid prospect. But I think Padres would prefer Reddick to him.
I have nothing but priase for the headlining of the package, but the rest is not what the Padres would/should be looking for in an Adrian deal.
Also, I think most agree that the timeline for a rebuild team in SD is about 3-4 years, not quite 5, but service time will definitely play a role in what the padres will want back. Also I see the Padres with a desire for left handed pitching, which is utterly lacking in the system (to be more specific power left handers)
Posted by: AirmanSD | July 14, 2009 at 01:29 AM
Many of you out there doubt the talent of Adrian Gonzalez, but please realize he was not even supposed to make the all-star game. He had been passed over by Manuel and the coaching staff as a reserve, BUT the players voted him in. That says a lot. He is the best in the league defensively (though he has been a little distracted the past month and a half) and offensively he may have the best power in the league (now that's different the biggest because that would go to Howard, Fielder, and Dunn). He's probably a Justin Morneau with more power and slightly less average outside of PETCO. Maybe even better than that.
Posted by: jude | July 15, 2009 at 01:38 AM