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By Tim Dierkes [October 28, 2009 at 11:54am CST]
Got a bad contract on your hands? Maybe you can swap it for another team's problem. I'll list the bad contracts, you connect the dots.
- Vernon Wells, Blue Jays - five years, $98.5MM
- Alfonso Soriano, Cubs - five years, $90MM
- Barry Zito, Giants - four years, $83MM
- Alex Rios, White Sox - five years, $59.7MM
- Travis Hafner, Indians - three years, $40.25MM
- Aaron Rowand, Giants - three years, $36MM
- Carlos Guillen, Tigers - two years, $26MM
- Carlos Silva, Mariners - two years, $25MM
- Francisco Cordero, Reds - two years, $25MM
- Oliver Perez, Mets - two years, $24MM
- Gary Matthews Jr., Angels - two years, $23MM
- Milton Bradley, Cubs - two years, $21MM
- Juan Pierre, Dodgers - two years, $18.5MM
- Jeff Suppan, Brewers - one year, $14.5MM
- David Ortiz, Red Sox - one year, $12.5MM
- Jeremy Bonderman, Tigers - one year, $12.5MM
- Jose Guillen, Royals - one year, $12MM
- Eric Chavez, Athletics - one year, $12MM
- Dontrelle Willis, Tigers - one year, $12MM
- Eric Byrnes, Diamondbacks - one year, $11MM
- Fausto Carmona, Indians - two years, $11MM
- Scott Linebrink, White Sox - two years, $10.5MM
- Nate Robertson, Tigers - one year, $10MM
- Edgar Renteria, Giants - one year, $9.5MM
- Pat Burrell, Rays - one year, $9MM
- Kei Igawa, Yankees - two years $8MM
- Jeff Francis, Rockies - one year, $5.75MM
- Kyle Farnsworth, Royals - one year, $5MM
- Willy Taveras, Reds - one year, $4MM
- Aaron Miles, Cubs - one year, $2.7MM
- Honorable mentions: Michael Young (4/64, some deferred), Carlos Lee (3/55.5), Derek Lowe (3/45), Todd Helton (2/40.3), Kyle Lohse (3/32.625), Magglio Ordonez (1/18, possible vesting option), Mike Lowell (1/12), Chris Snyder (2/11.25), Cristian Guzman (1/8), Jamie Moyer (1/7.5), Kaz Matsui (1/5)
Derek Lowe for Eric Byrnes
Jose Guillen for Dontrelle Willis
Just throwing some out there. I don't really expect many if any of these contracts on the list to be moved but its great to have them all listed in one place.
Posted by: bbxxj | October 28, 2009 at 11:59 AM
Alfonso, Zito, and Wells= too long to move. Ouch.
What is the rule regarding releasing these guys? Are they (the team) on the hook for the entire contract amount, or do they just have to pay up until the player signs with someone else, regardless of that person's new deal?
Posted by: TheAntiRecruiter | October 28, 2009 at 12:04 PM
The difference between the Orioles of a few years ago and the Orioles under Andy Macphail...
The Orioles are not featured on this list but would have been featured many times a few years ago.
A sign that things have certainly changed in Baltimore. Whether that translates to winning or not remains to be seen.
Posted by: baez's mom | October 28, 2009 at 12:05 PM
Any of these players half-decent at 2B for a trade with the Dodgers?
Juan Pierre for Luis Castillo is an idea I've heard floated...
Posted by: dodgersdan | October 28, 2009 at 12:08 PM
I know Im in the minority but I will glady take Juan Pierre on the Braves any day of the week. I just plain like what he brings to the team. It may not be power but speed and obp out of the lead off spot would be nice.
Posted by: Phillip_Cannon | October 28, 2009 at 12:09 PM
If you release a player you are on the hook for the entire contract amount less the contribution of the signing team. However, in most cases the signing team pays just the league minimum.
At least that is my understanding of the process.
Posted by: bjsguess | October 28, 2009 at 12:11 PM
How about Bradley for Matthews Jr. Angles need a RF if they don't bring back Vlad and if they do then that would be a good DH RF combo with Vlad and Bradley. The Cubs get rid of that virus and get a good defensive right fielder who can get on base and round off the bottom of the cubs lineup.
Posted by: chicubs14 | October 28, 2009 at 12:12 PM
Lowell For Young
Posted by: 04Forever | October 28, 2009 at 12:12 PM
aaron miles isn't listed?!?!?!?!?!?!?! i know he's only got one year and 2.5 MM left but... he's pointless to have on the roster! for the cubbies, i would trade bradley for pierre in a heartbeat. pierre was successful as a cub and a great teammate/hard worker. i do understand bradley was on the dodgers before however, and im sure most of you recall him throwing the ball bag on the field lol. prolly wouldn't work out, but i would love to see it.
Posted by: rootman1010 | October 28, 2009 at 12:12 PM
WOW, what recession?
Posted by: Cyyoung | October 28, 2009 at 12:14 PM
No Luis Castillo???
Posted by: JimmyPage | October 28, 2009 at 12:14 PM
renteria and zito for wells
Posted by: torontolion | October 28, 2009 at 12:15 PM
@TheAntiRecruiter
If they are cut the team is still obligated to pay their remaining contract value and the player is free to sign with another team. I do believe if the player released signs with another team the new team must pay him the league minimum 400K and the old team is relieved of that yearly 400K. I know, big deal right but its a little bit back.
Posted by: bbxxj | October 28, 2009 at 12:16 PM
I like the Soriano for Rowand idea.
The Cubs can put Rowand in CF and move Kosuke to RF. That would allow them to pursue more of a true run producer for LF.
The Giants need the offense, and I think Soriano would benefit from being out of a place like Chicago, as far as removing the "win the WS for the first time in 100 years" pressure goes.
Posted by: BDeitch | October 28, 2009 at 12:16 PM
and btw...how does Papi's deal signify a bad contract?
Posted by: torontolion | October 28, 2009 at 12:18 PM
Which of these contracts was the most obviously horrendous from the get-go?
I'd vote a tie between Vernon Wells and Barry Zito. Wells' went under the radar because it was an extension with his current team and it was heavily backloaded, but the amounts and years are equal and just as horrendous.
Posted by: BomberMan26 | October 28, 2009 at 12:18 PM
Pierre for Castillo would be a coup for the Dodgers, but I don't see it happening since Castillo rebounded this year and only has a year left.
I think Rowand for GMJ could work. The Giants get essentially a Randy Winn replacement with more power and lose a year of commitment, while the Angels can plug Roward in RF. The only issue is that the Angels would probably have too many RHB.
Pierre for Young might not be a bad idea, especially if the Rangers lose Byrd and if Young agrees to play the only defensive position he was ever any good at, 2B. Pierre's speed would be coveted by Washington and he could probably hit for a touch more power in Arlington. Well, 1 HR a year would be better than 1 in 3 years. The exchange is obviously that Young's deal is longer and for more money, but I think the Dodgers can get value out of it.
Posted by: AA | October 28, 2009 at 12:19 PM
LA sends Pierre to us for Suckpan- accomplishes two thngss:
1- LA gets a bottom of the rotation pitcher who could excel in that park/with that team
2-we get a # 1 or 2 hitter to take over in CF so we dont have to pay both Cam and Suckpan big bucks. Frees up some $$$ for other things (pitching!!!)
Posted by: pdog1309 | October 28, 2009 at 12:20 PM
How is Fransisco Cordero a worse contract than Lowe?? Cordero was great last year. Lowe was mediocre at best. Is his a bad contract based on his team's payroll? He makes a lot of $, but he was better than some closers making more (K-rod).
Posted by: metsfanincincy | October 28, 2009 at 12:21 PM
I'd do a Vernon Wells for Alfonso Soriano or Zito deal as a Jays fan....don't know what the Cubs would think.
I just think Soriano has a better chance of bouncing back as a player, as he's only had one bad season where as Wells has had been bad or injured for the last three.
Zito can at least eat inning as is off the payroll a year sooner. Hell throw in Rowand, haha to even it out.
Posted by: Jayzilla | October 28, 2009 at 12:22 PM
Gary Matthews to Houston for Carlos Lee. Houston saves $32m in payroll and unloads a good hitter that ought to be a DH. Angels save money in this deal - Vlad, who made $15m this year, leaves and so does Matthews at $11.5m. That's $26.5m in savings and you take on $18m. He can rotate through DH and Left Field. Maybe I'm smoking crack but the pieces fit.
Posted by: Angelsfansince79 | October 28, 2009 at 12:26 PM
Luis Castillo for Jeff Suppan? I know the Brew Crew doesn't really need Luis, but they would get about 8 mil in payroll flexibility for this season and the Mets could use a SP in the worst way. Even if it is Jeff Suppan.
I'm not even going to try and entertain a possible trade involving Ollie Perez. There's no way anyone would take him
Posted by: mookie and doc | October 28, 2009 at 12:27 PM
*or should for that matter.
Posted by: mookie and doc | October 28, 2009 at 12:27 PM
No Luis Castillo???
Posted by: JimmyPage | October 28, 2009 at 12:14 PM
Castillo has 2 years, $12M. Not great but not horrible either. He rebounded this year, too.
----------------------------
Pierre for Castillo would be a coup for the Dodgers, but I don't see it happening since Castillo rebounded this year and only has a year left.
Posted by: AA | October 28, 2009 at 12:19 PM
Castillo has 2 years left. Dodgers would only be saving $500K by swapping him for Castillo.
Posted by: icedrake523 | October 28, 2009 at 12:27 PM
Why is Jeff Francis on the list? He's a pretty decent pitcher, he just got hurt and the team has rotational depth. Still, he will be expected to assume a spot this coming season.
Some of these deals are SO bad, Suppan and Silva are getting some serious cash and might end up being 10M long relievers. Maybe Dave Duncan can fix Silva, but I don't know if anyone can fix him at this point. He might be a servicable 5th starter in the NL.
Posted by: bigpat | October 28, 2009 at 12:28 PM
I'm sure the Dodgers would have a ton of interest in a pitcher aptly nicknamed "Suckpan". Well, perhaps not.
Posted by: vtadave | October 28, 2009 at 12:29 PM
I might be crazy, but V. Wells afor Zito almost makes too much sense for both teams. Am I wrong?
Posted by: mookie and doc | October 28, 2009 at 12:30 PM
Barry Zito looks like hes coming back to somewhat form of himself. I would take Jeff Francis in and instant! Its not like he struggled he just got hurt. And if you ever get Aaron Rowand out of that ballpark in San Fran he might put up 20+hrs!
So how about Aaron Rowand for Milton Bradley.
Posted by: idun215 | October 28, 2009 at 12:32 PM
Carlos Silva fun fact:
I was just looking at his stats, and in the 2005 season, he walked 9 batters in 188 innings!!! That has to be the lowest walks for at least 180 innings, never seen anything like that before.
Posted by: bigpat | October 28, 2009 at 12:33 PM
Aaron Harang not on the list?
Posted by: Ethanator99 | October 28, 2009 at 12:37 PM
Any of these contracts that are one year are not in the same class as the other, I don't care how much money. Farnsworth, for example. He shouldn't be on this list. Yes, $5M is a lot for him, but it's one year, then he's gone. Vernon Wells, for example, is a 5 year commitment. Totally different situation.
Posted by: metzfan22 | October 28, 2009 at 12:37 PM
I think Harang gets like 12.5M next year.
Posted by: Ethanator99 | October 28, 2009 at 12:38 PM
No one said the contracts were all equal to each other.
Anyway, plenty to debate, but Miles will be added.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | October 28, 2009 at 12:38 PM
And Castillo has two years left, not one, for whoever earlier in the comments said Castillo only has one year left.
Posted by: metzfan22 | October 28, 2009 at 12:40 PM
I think you have to cut Harang some slack. He pitches for one of the worst teams in history right now and was actually pretty good until almost mid august. If he played for someone in contention i think he would come alive, he is an absolute strikeout animal (even though i think he did have an under performing year)
Posted by: 04Forever | October 28, 2009 at 12:40 PM
Carlos Lee for Derek Lowe, solves both teams problems. Give Braves a power hitting left fielder and gives Astros a groundball pitcher, something you need in that park.
Posted by: JonB. | October 28, 2009 at 12:44 PM
There's not Cardinals on the list, but I think maybe Lohse should be.
Posted by: inthecards | October 28, 2009 at 12:47 PM
Nats would gladly swap Christian Guzman for any of the starters with expiring contracts.
Posted by: stickyfurr | October 28, 2009 at 12:49 PM
I was thinking the same thing on the Carlos Lee for Derek Lowe idea. Braves might be able to find the little bit of extra money.
Posted by: Chicago Braves Fan | October 28, 2009 at 12:51 PM
It would be really cool/pretty tedious if someone not named me could match up these players and their contracts with what they've been worth over their years under these contracts. Fangraphs actually just posted an article about Zito where they calculated his value at about $23 mill meaning the Giants have lost about $20 mill to date. I'd be curious to see which contract on this list is actually the worst value.
Posted by: Dave8603 | October 28, 2009 at 12:52 PM
I like the Lowe for Pierre. Gives the Braves a CF, moves McLouth to a corner spot, and frees up a lot of money with Lowe's contract today ($5mil) and the next 2 years ($6.5 in '11)(Pierre/Lowe off books in '12 $15mil). Diaz/Pierre/McLouth in the OF. Allows you to spend on another OF/RP.
LA gets much needed pitching/Vet pitcher and trades away an expendable OF. LA also frees up $12mil Jason Schmidt off the books.
Kershaw
Billingsley
Lowe
Kuroda
Garland(Opt $10mil, AZ on hook for buyout)/Wolf(re-sign)
But is LA willing to spend the money on the difference between the two? Owner is in a Divorce (ie Padres' situation last year). To bad they couldn't throw Kelly Johnson in the deal for something. Dogers lose Belliard/Hudson to FA if not re-signed
Posted by: shorts2525 | October 28, 2009 at 01:00 PM
Carlos Zambrano 4yr/$72M
Ryan Dempster 3yr/$40M
Kosuke Fukudome 2yr/$26.5M
Jim Hendry 3yr/???
Posted by: MPM | October 28, 2009 at 01:02 PM
Some of those listed aren't really 'bad' contracts, they are just big, and perhaps questionable, contracts. But it is good to see the list of possibilities.
Posted by: AbnerD | October 28, 2009 at 01:03 PM
I wouldn't mind seeing Seattle take a flyer on D-Train if Detroit ate about $8M of that 12...he could do well at The Safe.
Posted by: willardthegreat | October 28, 2009 at 01:05 PM
Moyer is actually up to $7.5M in 2010 after hitting incentives.
And can Ibanez's contract still qualify? He'll be paid $5M more in '10 and '11 each than he was in '09 (his age 38 and 39 seasons), and could have an abdominal tear.
Posted by: thephrontiersman | October 28, 2009 at 01:06 PM
Any of these players half-decent at 2B for a trade with the Dodgers?
Juan Pierre for Luis Castillo is an idea I've heard floated...
Posted by: dodgersdan | October 28, 2009 at 12:08 PM"
I would do that in a heart beat, then the Mets can sign Hudson! Works for everyone.
That nice 400 on base percentage would be awesome.
No way the Mets should trade him.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | October 28, 2009 at 01:17 PM
I'd like to see Seattle call Detroit with a Silva for Carlos Guillen proposal. Silva may be a #5 horse and feel more comfortable in the AL Central. Guillen can't play much D anymore but he could have some veteran, switch-hitting leadership off the bench. M's lose only $1 million in 2 years there and their abundance of pitching allows for them to use it towards their bench.
Posted by: MarinerFella | October 28, 2009 at 01:21 PM
I think Micheal Young earns his money.
Posted by: Slu | October 28, 2009 at 01:23 PM
I'd actually rather see the Mariners swap Silva for Bradley. Milton'd make a solid OF4/DH, and as a switch-hitter would work out okay in Safeco. You can even count on his injuries to give Mike Sweeney some additional ABs.
This is predicated upon the Cubs needing an SP. Silva would be a horse, and in the NL would probably put up acceptable numbers. It's really a case of the circumstances favor the swap for both players... my only question is whether the Cubs need the SP or not, I honestly don't know.
Posted by: KingCorran | October 28, 2009 at 01:26 PM
"Nats would gladly swap Christian Guzman for any of the starters with expiring contracts."
I wouldn't go that far, especially since Mike Rizzo not Jim Bowden is now Nats GM. Lohse, maybe (though 3 years might be a bit much for the Lerners). Robertson, maybe. The Nats might have interest in Cordero, Suppan, or Moyer, but would the Reds, Brewers or Phils have any interest in Guzman?
Posted by: Steven J Berke | October 28, 2009 at 01:30 PM
No way do they want to bring in Bradley to their finally sane clubhouse! He's got the talent they need but absolutely no patience, focus or social skills.
Posted by: MarinerFella | October 28, 2009 at 01:31 PM
Eric Byrnes for Dontrelle Willis
Posted by: Yak | October 28, 2009 at 01:38 PM
What about Carlos Lee for Milton Bradley? Maybe its too much one sided of a trade. But Lee tears up wrigley.
Posted by: holycow | October 28, 2009 at 01:39 PM
"I'd actually rather see the Mariners swap Silva for Bradley."
Shoot...I'll take a bag of crackerjacks for silva at this point. As for getting guillen, that's just unrealistic. No one wants a has-been (never-was?) silva. really, we should just release him and cut our losses.
Posted by: willardthegreat | October 28, 2009 at 01:39 PM
Carlos Lee? Seriously? Dude is a hitting machine, how the hell can having him locked up for three years 55 mil be a bad deal? Thats about 18 mil a year, consider that Jason Bay and Holliday are gonna get about 15 or more a year for 5 years, and Lee has better numbers. If the stros' wanna give the Bravos Lee for Lowe I would do it in a heartbeat, hell I would do Lee for Vasquez!
Posted by: siskel_god | October 28, 2009 at 01:40 PM
Are the Reds looking to get rid of Cordero? Bradley for Cordero?
I do like the Bradley for Mathews Jr proposal.
Posted by: holycow | October 28, 2009 at 01:44 PM
As an M's fan the how to get rid of Carlos Silva is priority #1. Would love Milton Bradley as he would also fill the DH role, we would just have to bring back Griffey to tickle him like he did to Ichiro. Who knew that is what the clubhouse needed. Another option would be Tigers...I would really like Bonderman to come back to his Washington roots...how about Silva for Dontrelle Willis and Bonderman. M's pay 24.5 to Silva's 25, but, they eat it all in 1 year versus 2. I doubt the Tigers do it, but, maybe the M's throw them Luke French back with an apology note for Washburn pitching so poorly.
Posted by: baseball2044 | October 28, 2009 at 01:49 PM
I'd like to see the Brewers with their new pitching coach make a run at Carmona. If that guy gets his head straight his stuff can be unhittable.
Posted by: Redbird | October 28, 2009 at 01:51 PM
Pdog thats a hell of an idea that might work for both teams. Especially if you can get the Dodgers to throw in a little cash. Maybe wishful thinking. Bringing back Cameron will eat up most of the little cash that's left to spend.
Posted by: kipwells2000 | October 28, 2009 at 01:51 PM
AJ Burnett 5 years 82.5M 16.5M/yr. Limited no-trade claus. Can block 10 teams each year. That contract is awful.
Posted by: BlakJakk | October 28, 2009 at 01:54 PM
''Carlos Lee? Seriously? Dude is a hitting machine, how the hell can having him locked up for three years 55 mil be a bad deal? Thats about 18 mil a year, consider that Jason Bay and Holliday are gonna get about 15 or more a year for 5 years, and Lee has better numbers. If the stros' wanna give the Bravos Lee for Lowe I would do it in a heartbeat, hell I would do Lee for Vasquez!''
Yeah, seriously. Carlos Lee does not have a particularly bad contract. Of all those $100 million contracts (Soriano, Wells, Helton, etc.), he is probably one of the best ones. The guy has 99+ RBIs 7 years in a row, and aside from one crappy year in Milwaukee he has hit .286 or better each year in that time span.
Give me a break with this Gary Matthews or Derek Lowe for Lee crap. Lee has been one of the better power hitters in baseball for quite some time. He's coming off a .300/26/102 in a year in which he was pretty quiet for half the year.
Posted by: MattyMets | October 28, 2009 at 01:56 PM
Yikes, I forgot about Hafner's situation. For a team in rebuild mode, they struck bad luck there.
Posted by: humannature | October 28, 2009 at 02:01 PM
Carlos Lee is an awful defender in left field but I'd take him for Lowe in a heart beat too. I think he has a no trade clause, and I don't know if he would want to be traded to Atlanta.
How about Garry Matthews, and Peter Bourjos for Derek Lowe? Two bad contracts, and it would solve the Lackey vacant spot. D. Lowe had a bad year, but he can bounce back like his done in the past
Posted by: tommy | October 28, 2009 at 02:02 PM
Carlos Zambrano 4yr/$72M
Ryan Dempster 3yr/$40M
Kosuke Fukudome 2yr/$26.5M
Jim Hendry 3yr/???
Posted by: MPM | October 28, 2009 at 01:02 PM
________
Haha, completely agree with you MPM but I'm a Sox fan. I don't know if you are as well or a frustrated Cubs fan but those deals are awful. Hendry is probably the worst because he will still be around for a while to make some more questionable(at best)signings. Have fun with with 'Tommy Boy' Cubs fans.
Posted by: BlakJakk | October 28, 2009 at 02:04 PM
Alfonso Soriano for Derek Lowe?
Posted by: tommy | October 28, 2009 at 02:06 PM
"hell I would do Lee for Vasquez!"
That is much more logical than what everyone else has put out there I don't think it would be done from either side, but much more fair than those.
Bradley for Lee--Why in the world would the Astros want Bradley, much less trade Lee inside the division unless Vitters and Cashner come with Bradley
Mathews for Lee--No need for Mathews at all and I would take the 10 million more per season that Lee is being paid than a player that is only a back-up. And there is no need for a center fielder in Houston. So, no that doesn't help both teams, only the Angels and by a huge margin.
Lowe for Lee--The Astros do need some SP, but why would they take a guy that is coming off a poor season for a guy that just drove in 100 runs again?
I'm not sure how Lee is a bad contract, other than the fact that it is expensive. As someone else said it is better than most of the 100 million plus contracts because the man produces.
Bottom line--There are no swaps for bad contracts with Lee that are on that list.
I would take Carmona for Kaz in a heartbeat, but I doubt that would get done, even with the Astros having to eat double what Kaz is making.
Posted by: H-Town-Baller | October 28, 2009 at 02:08 PM
Tommy--He can be traded after next season (if I remember correctly), but that is the only year he doesn't have one, but will be a 10-5 player so he can veto any trade after that too.
As for the defense part. He is bad, but LF at MMP isn't exactly a huge place to roam for a LF, and Bourn in CF helps out a ton and can help cover much of the ground that Lee can't. I'll take Lee's bad D, with his good bat any day of the week with Bourn in CF.
Posted by: H-Town-Baller | October 28, 2009 at 02:10 PM
Lowe won 15 games pithching in 190 innings, and he has a history of bounce back seasons. And Lee is making 18mill/per year for the next 5 years, playing Adam Dunn type defense.
Posted by: tommy | October 28, 2009 at 02:11 PM
Where do you get Lee making 18 per year for the next 5 seasons, when his contract is only for 3 more years?
Posted by: H-Town-Baller | October 28, 2009 at 02:14 PM
Where is Carlos Zambrano's contract? Hopefully, he'll get tired of the expectations and leave early. He's got a HUGE player option in 2013. Still, if he chose not to exercise that, it would still be a bad 3yr/54mil contract. Ryan Dempster's bad contract is where on this list? 26mil/2yrs(if he doesn't exercise his 2012 player option)for an above average pitcher? The money that Hendry gave to Dempster last offseason could've gone to Jake Peavy, who was singing "Go Cubs, Go" at karaoke night, while Hendry and Dempster were palling around. Peavy is younger and clearly a better pitcher than Demp, and it's gonna be hard to move a 32(33 next May)y/o pitcher, especially with teams not as willing to spend. Hendry needs to explore Alfonso Soriano to the Blue Jays for Vernon Wells, straight up. Bad contract for bad contract. The Jays would get a DH/part-time left fielder, and the Cubs would get a pretty good centerfielder for the next five years. Hopefully, no turf would prolong Wells career, and the DH duty would do the same for Soriano.
Posted by: bleedingcubbieblue | October 28, 2009 at 02:17 PM
"Lowe for Lee--The Astros do need some SP, but why would they take a guy that is coming off a poor season for a guy that just drove in 100 runs again?"
This is more about the fact that Carlos Lee is overrated by HR/RBI numbers, than the fact that Lowe is still that good.
RBI's are relatively worthless, especially when you have guys like Berkman, Tejada, and Pence batting around you, and Lowe was actually fairly solid last season, he just wasn't really a $15M pitcher.
The ERA wasn't pretty, but his 4.00 FIP and 4.18 xFIP are still fairly solid, the major issue is that Lowe has seen a major decline in his ability to miss bats, his contact rates skyrocketed this year.
Meanwhile, Lee is a good power hitter, but not only did he show a decline in his power production in 2009 (his first ISO below .209 since 2001), but he doesn't have particularly good on-base skills, he needs to hit his way on base most of the time. And we haven't even gotten into his below-average defense, which is tolerable, but not as much for a hitter of his quality who's making $18M per season.
Lee and Lowe are fine players, but if the choice was Lee through 2012 at $18.5M per season, or Lowe through 2012 at $15M per season, I would take the reliable sinkerballer.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 28, 2009 at 02:20 PM
"Yikes, I forgot about Hafner's situation. For a team in rebuild mode, they struck bad luck there."
Posted by: humannature | October 28, 2009 at 02:01 PM
If the Indians could get out from under the Hafner contract I'm sure they would but Hafner's 2009 production looks awful only in comparison to his monster 2006 numbers.
2009
BA: .272
OBP: .355
SLG: .470
OPS: .826
OPS+: 113
Those are Carlos Lee-like numbers. If his shoulder problems are finally behind him he could be headed for a rebound in 2010.
Posted by: MickS | October 28, 2009 at 02:27 PM
Miles's $2.7M is really a silly inclusion when you have Magglio listed as an Honorable Mention.
Who hangs up? Zito/Rowand for Soriano/Bradley. Difference is roughly $5M.
Posted by: scatterbrian | October 28, 2009 at 02:31 PM
Yuniesky Betancourt probably belongs on this list, since the Mariners extended him in 2008.
2009 salary: $2 million
2009 value: $-9.8 million
Total sunk cost: $11.8 million
He's got 2 years / $7 million left with a 2012 club option, otherwise known as "push this button and your GM gets fired."
Looking at the players on this list, I think Soriano was the worst value overall. Having earned $16 million, he put up a value of $-3.6 million for a total sunk cost of nearly $20 million in one year! I don't think anyone else comes close.
Posted by: ugen64 | October 28, 2009 at 02:32 PM
"Who hangs up? Zito/Rowand for Soriano/Bradley. Difference is roughly $5M."
San Fran. Only and idiot would think Soriano and Bradley in the same outfield is a good idea.
Posted by: MPM | October 28, 2009 at 02:36 PM
"I think Micheal Young earns his money."
Thank you...Young might be making a little more than he should be, but he doesnt even belong in the same category as most of these players.
He still produces on offense, is solid on defense, and is an unbelievable teammate
Posted by: JH32 | October 28, 2009 at 02:39 PM
I would just like to say that I love this post.
Posted by: Durkadurka | October 28, 2009 at 02:52 PM
Oliver Perez to Tigers For Willis and Robertson...Perez may be better off away from the limelight...and may pitch better under less pressure...
To me, I would take a chance on Willis in my rotation along with Robertson....or keep Robertson in the bullpen and go get Randy Wolf...
Johan
Wolf
Pelf
Maine
Willis
This is one of a million options to fix my otherwise terribly managed team
Posted by: metsfan79 | October 28, 2009 at 02:54 PM
Why is Cordero up there? a 2.16 era and only giving up 2 home runs in 68 appearances is great! Castillo could be up there, but had a good year on a terrible team...Perez is untradeable at this point.
Posted by: nymets86 | October 28, 2009 at 02:55 PM
"San Fran. Only and idiot would think Soriano and Bradley in the same outfield is a good idea."
Why exactly? They've both been above average defenders in the outfield over their careers.
Posted by: scatterbrian | October 28, 2009 at 02:55 PM
Any of these players half-decent at 2B for a trade with the Dodgers?
Juan Pierre for Luis Castillo is an idea I've heard floated...
Posted by: dodgersdan | October 28, 2009 at 12:08 PM"
I would rather trade Luis Castillo for a pitcher or 1B....If we sign Matt Holliday for LF, Beltran in CF and Francoeur in RF, we have no need for Pierre and his weak arm and I would not want him to sit on the bench as he can still start....
Mets offer Castillo, Murphy and Havens for James Loney and a prospect...do you hang up?...you have a serviceable second baseman with a good OBP....the potential of a great hitter and defender in Murphy and a promising prospect in Havens....and we will pay some of his Castillo's salary...and mets get their 1B of the future...
Posted by: metsfan79 | October 28, 2009 at 03:03 PM
Bradley and Soriano for a bag of balls?
Posted by: chicubs14 | October 28, 2009 at 03:07 PM
"Thank you...Young might be making a little more than he should be, but he doesnt even belong in the same category as most of these players.
He still produces on offense, is solid on defense, and is an unbelievable teammate"
Young definitely produced offensively in 2009, his .385 wOBA was the second-best of his career, but its a change from his consistent decline from 2005 to 2008, reflected in his wOBA's: .389, .352, .341, and .331 in 2008 before bouncing back this year.
Given that he's VERY below-average defensively at shortstop, and below-average at third base as well, you're probably giving him too much credit.
He's definitely one of the most overpaid players in the game. The big difference is that he's still a good player, while that's questionable when you're talking about guys like Wells, Soriano, Matthews and Perez.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 28, 2009 at 03:07 PM
"Mets offer Castillo, Murphy and Havens for James Loney and a prospect...do you hang up?...you"
Yes. The Dodgers can't even afford to that, and I might be the biggest Loney fan on the planet. I think Loney is the pure hitter on the Dodgers, him or a healthy Manny.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | October 28, 2009 at 03:12 PM
A really really Healthy Manny.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | October 28, 2009 at 03:13 PM
The Gary Matthews signing to me, was the biggest joke on the list...I remember when this guy played for the mets and saw less time than Prentice Redman....He had one ok year and that warrants a big contract? And didn't he have a problem with PED's? And he some nerve to say he wants out of LA....
Posted by: metsfan79 | October 28, 2009 at 03:14 PM
"Bradley and Soriano for a bag of balls?"
That's a really lopsided deal for whoever is giving up the bag of balls.
"Mets offer Castillo, Murphy and Havens for James Loney and a prospect...do you hang up?"
Yeah, the Dodgers hang up.
They aren't going to deal Loney in order to pay Castillo $12M, add Murphy (who they don't really need), and Havens, who would end up being the third best shortstop prospect in their system, behind Dee Gordon and Ivan DeJesus Jr.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 28, 2009 at 03:16 PM
"Mets offer Castillo, Murphy and Havens for James Loney and a prospect...do you hang up?...you"
Yes. The Dodgers can't even afford to that, and I might be the biggest Loney fan on the planet. I think Loney is the pure hitter on the Dodgers, him or a healthy Manny.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | October 28, 2009 at 03:12 PM
That's fair...how about we replace Loney with Billingsly and a prospect and give you Pelfrey and 2 prospects...
Posted by: metsfan79 | October 28, 2009 at 03:17 PM
Not even going into the mystery injury last year, Silva has been about as bad a pitcher as a pitcher can get.
Anyone who has visions of The Cubs or Cards taking him off the M's hands, and giving an actual living, breathing player in exchange is not being realistic.
His numbers prior to being horrible were alright, but even if he matched them in his first two Ms years he'd be on this list.
Funny, the Bavasi was facing at the time was:
Gil Meche for 5/55
or Silva for 4/48
Posted by: TheAntiRecruiter | October 28, 2009 at 03:17 PM
• carlos silva for oliver perez
money's even and pitching with his buddy johan helps silva, safeco helps ollie
• wells for zito makes some sense but one thing jays have is lefties
• ortiz, papelbon, lowell and drew for maggs, inge, bonderman and granderson
• dice roll: chavez for dontrelle
• pierre for byrnes
• sarge jr for uncle miltie
Posted by: crash | October 28, 2009 at 03:18 PM
"That's fair...how about we replace Loney with Billingsly and a prospect and give you Pelfrey and 2 prospects..."
Are the two prospects like, Flores and Niese?
Billingsley is on another level compared to Pelfrey, and Castillo just doesn't have positive value on the trade market.
I just don't think that scenario is realistic on any level, the Dodgers aren't going to move Billingsley, especially for a Pelfrey-based package.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 28, 2009 at 03:18 PM
Are the two prospects like, Flores and Niese?
Billingsley is on another level compared to Pelfrey, and Castillo just doesn't have positive value on the trade market.
I just don't think that scenario is realistic on any level, the Dodgers aren't going to move Billingsley, especially for a Pelfrey-based package.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 28, 2009 at 03:18 PM
I would throw in Niese...we also have a promising pitcher in Michael Antonini...I think the mets minor league system is a tad underrated...granted we are not as stocked as your team or Boston for example...but we have some good players down there....
Posted by: metsfan79 | October 28, 2009 at 03:27 PM
• carlos silva for oliver perez
money's even and pitching with his buddy johan helps silva, safeco helps ollie
• wells for zito makes some sense but one thing jays have is lefties
• ortiz, papelbon, lowell and drew for maggs, inge, bonderman and granderson
• dice roll: chavez for dontrelle
• pierre for byrnes
• sarge jr for uncle miltie
Posted by: crash | October 28, 2009 at 03:18 PM
Never in a million years would I take Carlos Silva....I would rather deal with Milton Bradley and his crazy ass
Posted by: metsfan79 | October 28, 2009 at 03:28 PM
I haven't seen this factored in since this is a pure speculation board, but where do no trade clauses factor in to all of this?
Posted by: gibson | October 28, 2009 at 03:32 PM
@ Crash
Why would the Dodgers want to trade one extra OF (Pierre) for another (Byrnes)?
Posted by: bferb | October 28, 2009 at 03:38 PM
crash, why are all those awesome sox players in one trade for detriots crap that they really really wish would just ball up somewhere and die?
Posted by: 04Forever | October 28, 2009 at 03:40 PM
"I would throw in Niese...we also have a promising pitcher in Michael Antonini...I think the mets minor league system is a tad underrated...granted we are not as stocked as your team or Boston for example...but we have some good players down there...."
My teams, the Cubs and Sox, don't have better farm systems than the Mets, although the Cubs' system is in a similar position.
And I think that the Mets' farm system is pretty good, it's just that most of the talent is in the lower levels. Their best guys, guys like Davis, Mejia, Flores, Marte, and Havens, aren't that close to being MLB-ready, a lot of their guys are projection at this point.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 28, 2009 at 03:44 PM
I don't believe Michael Young and Carlos Lee were bad deals!!!
Posted by: Huskies635 | October 28, 2009 at 03:50 PM
My teams, the Cubs and Sox, don't have better farm systems than the Mets, although the Cubs' system is in a similar position.
And I think that the Mets' farm system is pretty good, it's just that most of the talent is in the lower levels. Their best guys, guys like Davis, Mejia, Flores, Marte, and Havens, aren't that close to being MLB-ready, a lot of their guys are projection at this point.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 28, 2009 at 03:44 PM
I agree...the mets do have the potential for a top ten farm system...you also have Holt, Antonini, Moviel. Thole and of course F-Mart who is still a young guy with a high ceiling
Posted by: metsfan79 | October 28, 2009 at 03:51 PM
Only Francis and Pierre are worth it.
Posted by: Hellion | October 28, 2009 at 03:54 PM