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Jed Hoyer was introduced as the new GM of the Padres yesterday at a press conference. Notes from the day:
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The Padres have a shot at being pretty good, pretty soon.
They shouldn't go all-in and start trading prospects for win-now pieces, but this team can contend next year with some luck and a couple of astute moves.
The offensive core is solid with Gonzalez, Cabrera, Kouzmanoff and the outfield of Blanks, Venable, Headley and Gwynn. They could certainly use another hitter, and one option would be to trade Kouzmanoff, move Headley back to third, and find a slugging outfielder, but I'm not sure if that's necessary.
The primary work to be done is probably on the rotation. Presumably, the 2010 rotation will include Young, Latos, Correia, Richard and Stauffer, but the Padres are definitely a team that should look into potential TOR starters like Harden, Bedard, Sheets, Duchscherer, etc.
The Padres can offer a low-intensity environment and the best pitcher's park in the majors, a potentially perfect spot for a veteran starter looking to rebuild his value on a one-year deal.
And I would certainly look at trade options for Heath Bell. The Padres have continued to show a good ability to develop relievers from within, and Bell has big value right now as a relatively cheap, elite reliever.
Hoyer has some work to do, but the moves that Towers made in his final few months on the job (Peavy trade, Hairston trade, Greene trade, Correia and Gaudin signings, picking Cabrera in the Rule V Draft, picking and signing Tate, Williams and Sampson) has made his work significantly easier.
I'm still somewhat surprised that Towers was let go after the moves that he made recently, although presumably the change mostly has to do with the interests of the new ownership, rather than the fact that Towers isn't good enough.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 27, 2009 at 09:46 AM
This guy will be a bust. Towers had the team on track. I assume ownership will not let him do much.
Posted by: rockford | October 27, 2009 at 11:01 AM
Ownership will let Hoyer do what he pleases.
The Padres let Towers go because their new ownership, headed by Moorad, preferred to have a GM that believes in utilizing more modern ways of evaluating players, rather than Towers' rather "old school" ways.
Towers wasn't let go because he wasn't doing an adequate job, he was let go because the new ownership preferred to go through the processes of building a team in a different manner.
I wouldn't doubt Hoyer, especially considering that he's a part of the Towers lineage of executives: Towers worked with Epstein, and Epstein worked with Hoyer.
Byrnes and DiPoto have worked out pretty well in Arizona since they left Boston, and I expect the same to happen in San Diego.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 27, 2009 at 11:14 AM
Dont kid yourself a trade with Boston could be made, but will Eptsein go for it will be the question. Padres will ask for 4 or possibly 5 of the top notch prospects. I wont specualte names, but 2 I have seen in person. I will say this I saw Murphy play in Double AA, and never thought he would be the player he turned out.
Posted by: Cyyoung | October 27, 2009 at 11:34 AM
If Kim Ng was hired instead I wonder how many AGON rumors to the Dodgers comments would be made?
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | October 27, 2009 at 12:37 PM
scribble, you seem like a smart dude and certainly have a better feel for the Padres than most non-SD fans, but in the name of providing the most complete info I must refute some of your statements.
first and foremost, the offense is NOT solid. promising yes, but solid never. padres ranked last or next to last (thank you pirates) in nearly every important offensive category. i understand that park factors didn't help this, but the numbers are much too terrible to have that much impact.
padres have no hitters that are a threat to bat .300 or .800 OPS besides Adrian (hopefully Blanks changes this next year, but I wouldn't count on a rookie to pull our team through). adding another power slugging outfield could change this, but our problem is we also would need them to play CF (assuming we can move one our 3B, and have Blanks and Veneable at the corners - i love the Gwynn lineage, but Jr. is not a proven everyday player).
the rotation is anything but impressive, but i think we can manage with the young arms we have coming back and hopefully a revitalized Chris Young. i have never been too enamored with making sure all starters have a strict "number" attached to their spot in the rotation, so it doesn't really bug me that much we haven't replaced Peavy's spot with comparable talent (there just aren't too many "#1's" out there). totally agree with conventional wisdom in signing a vet looking to rebuild value, but everybody is looking for that including the big market clubs. padres might be priced out for even the Harden, Bedard, and Sheet's of the world, but one can hope. i think patience is the most important virtue this offseason in looking to truly score with a rehab project late, just before pitchers report in the offseason .
Posted by: agonzo23 | October 27, 2009 at 06:06 PM
is it possible to have a six man rotation? if we can sign 2 quality starters then use a 6 man rotation young won't be over used because he gets injured every year, and also to keep the young arms limber.
Posted by: Tha_SD-Brain | October 27, 2009 at 08:36 PM
You guys have got the basics right, just differing opinions.
I think the Padres make a play for Mike Cameron on a two year deal.
Ask for a huge haul from BOS for Gonzalez that they "know" won't be accepted (e.g., Buchholz, Bard, Reddick, Westmoreland, Exposito and Kelly). If it is accepted, its worth it.
They may make a play for one of the Reds "available" starters Arroyo or Harang and include Correia in the deal to lessen the salary hit.
Kouz is gone IMO. Headley's potential production deficit versus Kouz much larger salary is worth it on balance.
Nice to have some positives to talk about after the last two years.
Posted by: Commie | October 27, 2009 at 09:24 PM
really commie, adrian gonzalez could go to boston without the redsox giving up even one of those players, its just a waste of tim to propose a trade that Epstein would never even look at, also who do the padres have that the reds would want for Arroyo or Harang in the first place
Posted by: bosox18 | October 27, 2009 at 10:11 PM
The METS should offer a package of IKE DAVIS,NIESE,KUNZ and another prospect or 2 for A.GONZ and H.BELL
Posted by: james | October 27, 2009 at 10:27 PM
The METS should offer a package of IKE DAVIS,NIESE,KUNZ and another prospect or 2 for A.GONZ and H.BELL
Posted by: james | October 27, 2009 at 10:27 PM
yes they should. and the PADRES could counter with an offer of KOUZ, W.LEBLANC, STAUFFER, and another prospect or 2 for D.WRIGHT and F.MART.
Posted by: agonzo23 | October 27, 2009 at 11:03 PM
Towers was fired because he focused more on trades and free agents. Hoyer says he wants to build from within which is what satisfies new owner Moorad. I think that was the key in the Towers situation, and lets be honest, that was K.T's weakest spot as G.M IMO (drafting and developing players).
Hoyer looks like a smart kid so hopefully he won't disappoint. Next year's team is not bad. We got a good infield although I wish we'd make a play for Orlando Hudson, and I would love to see an outfielder with a big bat added to protect Adrian. We got our bullpen pretty much set alongside our rotation. I'm pretty sure CY, Latos and Richard will all be in the rotation next year with two spots being left wide open if we don't resign Correia. I wouldn't mind having LeBlanc take the 5th spot as he pitched extremely well in September and signing a guy like Sheets, or any of the names in the aforementioned posts will only give this team some good depth.
Posted by: Franco | October 27, 2009 at 11:49 PM
You guys have got the basics right, just differing opinions.
I think the Padres make a play for Mike Cameron on a two year deal.
Ask for a huge haul from BOS for Gonzalez that they "know" won't be accepted (e.g., Buchholz, Bard, Reddick, Westmoreland, Exposito and Kelly). If it is accepted, its worth it.
They may make a play for one of the Reds "available" starters Arroyo or Harang and include Correia in the deal to lessen the salary hit.
Kouz is gone IMO. Headley's potential production deficit versus Kouz much larger salary is worth it on balance.
Nice to have some positives to talk about after the last two years.
Posted by: Commie | October 27, 2009 at 09:24 PM
____
Yeeeah. The Sox will give the Padres everything. Come on, now.
I can see your point of view as a Padres fan. You want as much as you can get for Adrian Gonzalez, he's a fantastic player. However, take a look at it from an outsiders point of view. The Padres cannot afford to keep AGon after his "club friendly" contract. Imagine keeping him for the next few years, then getting nothing for him as he signs another team.
The Padres should get a haul from the Red Sox for AGon. However, not every single top prospect in the Red Sox organization.
And BTW, I don't think the trade will happen, anyways. The reaction of Padres fans would be catastrophic. Most Padres fans would be rip roaring ticked off if they didn't get a huge package similar to one you described. So go ahead, keep him for a couple more years and get nothing.
Posted by: SoxFan2009 | October 28, 2009 at 10:54 PM