MLB Rumors - MLB Trade Rumors
Subscribe to MLB Trade Rumors using RSS
Home     Contact     About     Advertise     Archives     Widget     Twitter      RSS Usage

« Odds & Ends: Schueler, Dunn, Yankees, Strasburg | Main | MLBTR Chat Transcript »

Heyman On Damon, Scutaro, Red Sox

The latest from SI's Jon Heyman...

  • The Yankees are interested in re-signing Johnny Damon, and may be willing to offer two years and $16MM.  Heyman believes the White Sox and Giants will be among the other suitors.
  • Heyman says the Reds "could do worse" than Marco Scutaro at shortstop.  The Reds first-round pick (#12 overall would be protected), but they probably don't have the payroll space to add Scutaro unless they subtract a big salary.
  • The Red Sox could look to trade Mike Lowell or David Ortiz, if they acquire two hitters this winter.


Comments

With him making 1.1m last season, does anyone see the Astros trying to grab him around 2 years 5m? unless they are truly sold on using minor leaguers..

No way Yanks are offering Damon 2 years 18 mil.

Why Heyman thinks that the Red Sox will trade Ortiz? They cant trade him because he has no trade clause.

"The Red Sox could look to trade Mike Lowell or David Ortiz, if they acquire two hitters this winter".

good luck dealing two aging sluggers.

"Why Heyman thinks that the Red Sox will trade Ortiz? They cant trade him because he has no trade clause."

They CAN trade him. They would just need his permission.

After the deadline stuff he pulled, I don't trust Heyman's word.

Ditto-ing what A. Ryan said.

Sure, the Sawx can trade Lowell or Ortiz...if they want either Vernon Wells, Alfonso Soriano, Milton Bradley, or Barry Zito.

I know that but there is no way that they will do such thing. Papi is beloved by the Red Sox fans even with his low average. Theo is going to let him finish the year and let him go.

"Sure, the Sawx can trade Lowell or Ortiz...if they want either Vernon Wells, Alfonso Soriano, Milton Bradley, or Barry Zito."

You gotta be joking. An albatross for a one year contract, how the hell is that a fair deal. Both have little value and won't fetch much in return but I think Lowell would get interest, especially if the Sox throw money in the deal. How much money will determine the value of the return.

I think it's crazy to think the Sox can trade Ortiz. They only have 13 other trading partners (assuming no NL GM is stupid enough to use him as a first baseman), eliminate anyone from the AL East, teams with an already established DH, the fact that there are several potential DHs on the market, and what's left... the Royals?

2 years 18 mil? I'll pass.

Use that money on Holliday/Matsui & create this lineup.

(R)Jeter
(L)Cano
(S)Teix
(R)Rodriguez
(R)Holliday
(L)Matsui
(S)Posada
(S)Swisher
(L)Gardner

Best lineup in MLB IMO.

"I know that but there is no way that they will do such thing. Papi is beloved by the Red Sox fans even with his low average."

If you're a Sox fan, or hell a fan of any team that expects to be in the playoffs every year, then you know how quickly the mindset changes.

RE: Start Wearing Purple.
That was mostly a sarcastic post on my part. However, it would take at least a somewhat bad one or two year contract to get rid of either. You were right in saying that they only have the AL to work with, which means if they do want to get rid of them, they'd be in no position to get anything of value back for Ortiz. Lowell would be a bit of a different story, but I can't see many teams chomping at the bit to take him on unless it's close to the deadline and there's a glaring hole at third because of injury.

And the 2009 winner for dumbest comparison on MLBTR goes to........


Sure, the Sawx can trade Lowell or Ortiz...if they want either Vernon Wells, Alfonso Soriano, Milton Bradley, or Barry Zito.

Posted by: not sure | November 03, 2009 at 01:48 PM


Both Lowell and Ortiz will be in their final contract years in 2010. As for Lowell, if he is 100% healthy in the spring, he plays, in Boston. If not, he wil retire. Papi, on the other hand, had a disasterous April, May and part of June. Once he got it going, he was quite productive, all be it, from the 6 hole. I don't think it is unreasonable to expect him to come back strong in 2010. He knows he has about played out the string in Boston if he continues to be an unpredictable offensive force for a third consecutive year.

Who said anything about Ortiz or Lowell bringing anything of value back. IF the Sox acquire two hitters, they're looking to move the aforementioned aging veterans in what will likely be a salary dump.

They won't have to trade for an albatross of a contract. They might have to eat a ton of cash, depending on the interested team and the return; but it's a sacrifice they would probably happily make.

"Best lineup in MLB IMO."

What a huge accomplishment when you outspend the rest of baseball to ink your 3, 4, and 5 hole hitters.

Id trade papi for zito. basically the same contract so not much of a money differential. maybe he can turn it around with a change of scenary. i know its the nl west going to the al east. but hes proven he can pitch here. i dont know its just me but id do that if he's giving us not production

"Lowell would be a bit of a different story, but I can't see many teams chomping at the bit to take him on unless it's close to the deadline and there's a glaring hole at third because of injury."

After Figgins and Beltre the 3B market is fairly weak and Lowell still has the reputation of a defensive wiz. I know people on this site are split on whether or not UZR is a good metric and I tend to use it only when it helps me make a point (what can I say, it's my job to manipulate stats), but I've seen Mikey Lowell make plays, before and after surgery, that only a handful of third basemen can. I think if Lowell went on the market there will be at least two serious suitors especially if the Sox throw in most of his salary, it's not like they can't absorb it.

Gee, I wonder if the Reds regret paying a closer $12 million a year? Closers are basically useless for a team in their position and now they don't have room to add a marginally useful player. Would Scutaro make that big a difference for the Reds in '10? No, not likely, they aren't going to contend by adding a SS who's due for a regression to his career norms. That said, wouldn't it be nice for them if they had the payroll space to address obvious needs? Cordero is a fine closer but he's not worth what they're paying him, at least not for the Reds specifically. They could address multiple deficiencies with that $12 million dollars. They still have a long way to go either way.

Another option for the Yankees and in my opinion a much better one would be to cut Damon and Matsui loose and take their $26 million in salary and use it like so.

Chone Figgins - 4 years at $9 million per for $36 million. To play that spacious Left Field in Yankee Stadium.

Matt Holliday - 7 years $17 million per for $119 million. To play Right Field and yes he can play Right Field.

Then you would have the best lineup and baseball as well as a vastly improved defense in their outfield.

LF - Figgins
SS - Jeter
1B - Teixeira
3B - A-Rod
RF - Holliday
C - Posada
2B - Cano
DH - Swisher
CF - Gardner or Cabrera

Easily the best lineup in baseball with speed at the top and bottom. Defense is vastly improved. Swisher moves to DH. Hey just for fun, how does this look as far as rotation a bullpen go?

Rotation:
LHP - Sabathia
RHP - Burnett
LHP - Pettite
RHP - Hughes
LHP - Chapman

Tender Wang a contract and when he's ready they see what they got in him.

Bullpen:
CL - Rivera
SU - Chamberlain
MR - Coke
MR - Marte
MR - Bruney
MR - Robertson
LR - Aceves

"Gee, I wonder if the Reds regret paying a closer $12 million a year? Closers are basically useless for a team in their position and now they don't have room to add a marginally useful player. Would Scutaro make that big a difference for the Reds in '10? No, not likely, they aren't going to contend by adding a SS who's due for a regression to his career norms. That said, wouldn't it be nice for them if they had the payroll space to address obvious needs? Cordero is a fine closer but he's not worth what they're paying him, at least not for the Reds specifically. They could address multiple deficiencies with that $12 million dollars. They still have a long way to go either way.

Posted by: pageian | November 03, 2009 at 02:50 PM"

I bet the Reds also regret paying Aaron Harang 12.5mil and Bronson Arroyo 11.5mil in 2010.

Maybe the Yankees should just up their payroll again and get Holliday, Bay and Chapman. That way they can just be declared World Series Champs in January.

There's only one way to beat the Yankees anymore, with a large blunt object in a dark alley.

@chanej88

Id trade papi for zito. basically the same contract so not much of a money differential.

1. The contracts are so different that the money isn't even remotely similar.

2. Barry Zito wouldn't make the Red Sox rotation

3. David Ortiz wouldn't be able to be a full time first baseman in the NL

4. David Ortiz is a 10-5 guy and would most likely reject it.

But besides that, great point...

He'd be a perfect fit on the Giants.

Likely to be overpaid? Check.

Wrong side of 35? Check.

Coming off a career year? Check.

Declining defensively? Yep, that too.

Boras client + Heyman rumor = grain of salt

Lowell and Papi have more value to the RS than any other team. They won't be traded with the RS picking up half their salary, and then signing another player. I think they'll just play them to the end of their contract and then adios. It's possible that they could ink a 3B, then rotate Youk, VMart, Lowell, Papi and their new 3B, with mostly Lowell and Papi splitting R/L DH duties. But both have pretty big negative equity at this point.

"After Figgins and Beltre the 3B market is fairly weak and Lowell still has the reputation of a defensive wiz. I know people on this site are split on whether or not UZR is a good metric and I tend to use it only when it helps me make a point (what can I say, it's my job to manipulate stats), but I've seen Mikey Lowell make plays, before and after surgery, that only a handful of third basemen can. I think if Lowell went on the market there will be at least two serious suitors especially if the Sox throw in most of his salary, it's not like they can't absorb it."

I would be a little worried about Lowell's defense.

Yeah, UZR has its flaws, but a drop from a +15.6 UZR/150 to a -9.8 UZR/150 is massive, and that kind of change generally is caused by some sort of decline in actual ability.

Look at it in his other defensive numbers.

2008 RZR: .759
2009 RZR: .701

2008 OOZ: 28
2009 OOZ: 17

I'm certainly not saying that Lowell is now below-average defensively, but I think that you can say pretty confidently that Lowell's defense was worse in 2009 than it had been in years, and whether that was to due to injury or not is unclear, but it still should be acknowledged.

"Id trade papi for zito. basically the same contract so not much of a money differential."

Let's hypothetically say there are 2 underachieving players. One has 1 yr and $12M left on his contract. Another has 4 yrs and $83M left on their contract... how exactly is that similar? BTW, that wasn't exactly hypothetical. By the same logic an apple is similar to a shark because both exist on the planet Earth. Seriously, do a little research before talking.

brian,

my bad, i thought for some reason he was making around 12 mill too. i know he wouldnt make the starting rotation, id use him in the bullpen at best to see if he can get his act together and my bad again. i was thinking it was the last year of his contract for some odd reason, i think he has a few years left

The Sox won't get much for Ortiz. The market is FLOODED with 1B/DH types. Teams would be much better off signing Russ Branyan than David Ortiz. Lowell is expensive and still a big question mark healthwise.

I think Heyman is grasping at invisible straws with that one.

"Lowell and Papi have more value to the RS than any other team." - JoelB

Lowell and Ortiz don't have any value to any team other than the RS.

"Chone Figgins - 4 years at $9 million per for $36 million. To play that spacious Left Field in Yankee Stadium.

Matt Holliday - 7 years $17 million per for $119 million. To play Right Field and yes he can play Right Field.

Then you would have the best lineup and baseball as well as a vastly improved defense in their outfield."

if that happened i would stop watching baseball

Ortiz has ZERO positive value today. You can get similar production out of the DH hole for $5-6m. The Sox would have to eat a ton of cash to make a deal work. And that's just to unload him. If you want anything in return (that has value) then you will need to kick in even more.

Lowell is just fine defensively if you hit the ball right to him. His hands and feet are still solid. It's his range that will kill you. If I'm an opposing manager I lay down 3 or 4 bunts a game and take my chances with Lowell gunning me down.

"Ortiz has ZERO positive value today. You can get similar production out of the DH hole for $5-6m. The Sox would have to eat a ton of cash to make a deal work. And that's just to unload him. If you want anything in return (that has value) then you will need to kick in even more."

Please provide me with a list of names that you could get similar production out of for $5 - $6M? I would love to hear this one.

Lowell will be the more attractive of the two because with continued rehab and an entire offseason to recover it is very likely that he will regain a semblance of his defensive skills.

Okay for 5or6mill I think you could get Huff,Posada and even K Morales

Another option for the Yankees and in my opinion a much better one would be to cut Damon and Matsui loose and take their $26 million in salary and use it like so.

Chone Figgins - 4 years at $9 million per for $36 million. To play that spacious Left Field in Yankee Stadium.

Matt Holliday - 7 years $17 million per for $119 million. To play Right Field and yes he can play Right Field.

Then you would have the best lineup and baseball as well as a vastly improved defense in their outfield.

LF - Figgins
SS - Jeter
1B - Teixeira
3B - A-Rod
RF - Holliday
C - Posada
2B - Cano
DH - Swisher
CF - Gardner or Cabrera

Easily the best lineup in baseball with speed at the top and bottom. Defense is vastly improved. Swisher moves to DH. Hey just for fun, how does this look as far as rotation a bullpen go?

Rotation:
LHP - Sabathia
RHP - Burnett
LHP - Pettite
RHP - Hughes
LHP - Chapman

Tender Wang a contract and when he's ready they see what they got in him.

Bullpen:
CL - Rivera
SU - Chamberlain
MR - Coke
MR - Marte
MR - Bruney
MR - Robertson
LR - Aceves

______________________________________________

OK,
1) How do the yankees improve defense with matt holliday and Chone Figgins. Figgins didnt play one inning of leftfield this season and Holiday is a notoriously bad fielder (3.2 UZR/150, and imagine him shifting positions)
2) At what price would Aroldis Chapman come at? Is he major league ready?

While his post is stupid, learn to us the stat. A 3.2 UZR/150 is pretty good, and Holliday is also rated a good outfielder by the +/- system and RZR.

I can see Mike Lowell being traded on a three team deal:

Red Sox get Adrian Gonzales (SD)
Padres get 3 Top prospects (BOS) 2 Medium Prospects from (KC)
Royals get Mike Lowell (BOS) and a small prospect (Either team)

The Sox would have to eat payroll from Mike Lowell

While his post is stupid, learn to us the stat. A 3.2 UZR/150 is pretty good, and Holliday is also rated a good outfielder by the +/- system and RZR.

He does choke on the clutch, see NLDS... I was making a point that his defense isnt stellar, especially that he hasnt played right field. And he has a crappy arm, -15.8.
Itd be interesting to see how to players that dont play in those positions are an improvement over Damon/Swisher

"2 years 18 mil? I'll pass.

Use that money on Holliday/Matsui & create this lineup.
"

For $9mill you can maybe get half of Holliday or Matsui, but not both.

"
Another option for the Yankees and in my opinion a much better one would be to cut Damon and Matsui loose and take their $26 million in salary and use it like so.

Chone Figgins - 4 years at $9 million per for $36 million. To play that spacious Left Field in Yankee Stadium.

Matt Holliday - 7 years $17 million per for $119 million. To play Right Field and yes he can play Right Field.

Then you would have the best lineup and baseball as well as a vastly improved defense in their outfield.

LF - Figgins
SS - Jeter
1B - Teixeira
3B - A-Rod
RF - Holliday
C - Posada
2B - Cano
DH - Swisher
CF - Gardner or Cabrera

Rotation:
LHP - Sabathia
RHP - Burnett
LHP - Pettite
RHP - Hughes
LHP - Chapman"

And because the 2,7,8 and 9 hitters came from the Yankee system, I can assume we'll be hearing the typical boasts about the "Homegrown Yankees" who only use free agency to fill their gaps. Oh, and their 4th starter did, too.

Just the small gaps, like your 1,3,4 and 5 spots in the order, and the 1,2,3 and 5 spots in your projected rotation...

"2 years 18 mil? I'll pass.

Use that money on Holliday/Matsui & create this lineup.
"

For $9mill you can maybe get half of Holliday or Matsui, but not both.


__________________________________________________________

Just another flaw...

"Ortiz has ZERO positive value today. You can get similar production out of the DH hole for $5-6m. The Sox would have to eat a ton of cash to make a deal work. And that's just to unload him. If you want anything in return (that has value) then you will need to kick in even more.

Lowell is just fine defensively if you hit the ball right to him. His hands and feet are still solid. It's his range that will kill you. If I'm an opposing manager I lay down 3 or 4 bunts a game and take my chances with Lowell gunning me down."

Nothing against bjsguess, who can be insightful, but I'm calling you out here.

After all, it does seem a tad hypocritical to completely downplay Ortiz (whose OPS after June 1st was .904, FYI) a mere season after trying to sell Gary Matthews Jr as attractive trade bait...

"Okay for 5or6mill I think you could get Huff,Posada and even K Morales"

Posada makes more than double that and isn;t a free agent. Kendry Morales is not a free agent, either, and is very unlikely trade bait.

Aubrey Huff? Sure, you can get him for $5 or 6 mill, but he isn't going to outproduce Ortiz. Even counting his horrible April and May, Ortiz had a better OPS than Huff. And he beat him in every offensive category accept batting average. But if you think Huff's .241 with 15 HRs is better than Ortiz' .233 with 28HRs, then I can't understand why Jim Hendry hasn't hired you yet.

"Lowell will be the more attractive of the two because with continued rehab and an entire offseason to recover it is very likely that he will regain a semblance of his defensive skills."

I would't mind seeing the Sox deal Lowell to the Tigers for Carlos Guillen.

Guillen is a much better hitter, and could play 1b in Boston, assuming he stays healthy. Which is not a given.

The Tigers could save nearly $14mill in the deal, and Lowell could replace Inge at 3b. He won't play defense like Inge, but Lowell also won't give you a .525 OPS over the last 54 games of the season, either...

Lowell is productive, when he's healty & hopefully Ortiz can turn things around in 2010. Other then that I agree with most of the posts in that they both have zero trade value. I'd like to see the Sox go HARD after Pujols in 2011 & move Youk to 3rd. That would solve their 3rd base issues in 2011. Oh well, here's for dreaming of that scenerio.

"[Holliday] does choke on the clutch, see NLDS... I was making a point that his defense isnt stellar, especially that he hasnt played right field. And he has a crappy arm, -15.8."

I don't see all this grea defense out of Holliday, either. But the people who do are using a LOT more data than I am, so I take their word.

But the "Arm" thing isn't telling you what you think it is. That category is Runs Prevented by Arm, which boils down to assists (but more complicated, I bet).

At any rate, its not uncommon for players with stronger arms to not get challenged, and then therefore they don't make as many plays. And guys with weaker arms to get challenged, and occasionally they do. Case in point - Brad Hawpe has a cannon. One of the best outfield arms in MLB. But he scores poorly because no one challenges him (and because he is so ridiculously slow that most runners have already taken the bese before he picks the ball up)...

I'm betting the Sox trade a package of players (maybe Lowell, Buchholz, Lowrie, Bowden) to SD for Adrian Gonzalez this winter, and sign a LF, though I would prefer someone other than Bay. Why? Because Jason Bay, while a very good player, is not worth the money he will command this winter. I'd rather see the Sox sign either Damon or Abreu for say two years $16m than give Bay 4-5 yrs and $80m. Either Damon or Abreu would be a solid replacement for Bay, and allow for more flexibility in payroll. I'm sure someone better than Jason Bay will be available by 2012 for similar money. Mark DeRosa could be another lower cost option.
As for Gonzalez, I'm thinking the Pads would take a deal for Buchholz, Lowrie, Lowell, and another player. That's a starting pitcher, SS, and they could throw Lowell at 1B to replace Gonzalez.
After that: sign V-Mart to a multi-year extension, keep Pappi until his contract runs out, sign Rich Harden to an incentive laden 2-3 year deal, pick up A-Gon's $6m option at short, and we're set.
Imagine this:

1. Ellsbury CF
2. Pedroia 2B
3. Gonzalez 1B
4. Martinez C
5. Youkilis 3B
6. Ortiz DH
7. Abreu LF
8. Drew RF
9. Gonzalez SS

SP- Beckett
SP- Lester
SP- Harden
SP- Matsuzaka
SP- Wakefield

Can't see why the Sox would trade Lowell. Even if they go with a starting lineup of Kotchman at 1B and Youkilis at 3B, having Lowell on the bench is about the best player available to fit the Sox roster.

Otherwise, if Kotchman gets hurt and Youk slides back to 1st, who plays 3rd?

If Youk gets hurt (he gets beaned all the time) who fills in at 3rd? (Lowrie?, then who to SS?)

Lowell isn't cheap and he is aging quick; but the guy can still flash some leather and in 445 at bats he did hit .289 with 75 RBI's and 17 HR's.

If the Sox deal Lowell for an "offensive" upgrade they need to package him with a lot to do better than a guy who is still potentially a .290/20HR hitter who also plays solid defense

I wonder if Heyman has heard anyone around the Giants express interest in Damon or if he just assumes they are going to throw money at every old outfielder available? I can never tell how much actual reporting goes into his notes and how much is sheer guesswork.

Yankees aren't getting Champman, they simply don't know how to develop players anymore look at hughes he was supposed to be an ace by now but no they were impatient becuase its NY, Cano was an accident he was in double A when they called him up so what makes you think they will wait for a possible 40 million dollar man to adjust

Yankees aren't getting Champman, they simply don't know how to develop players anymore look at hughes he was supposed to be an ace by now but no they were impatient becuase its NY, Cano was an accident he was in double A when they called him up so what makes you think they will wait for a possible 40 million dollar man to adjust

Posted by: Chicagostat21 | November 04, 2009 at 11:52 PM
-----------

Ok....how was Cano an "accident"? He was highly touted prospect in their system who they called up and he immediately produced. Cabrera was another top 10 pick who they brought along and have been patient with. Hughes was inured and struggled during his mlb experience. He's only what, 23? You're acting as if he was 28 and career mop up guy. Get real.

Cano spent time at Triple A Columbus in 2004 and early 2005 before being called up.
One of the reasons they gladly traded Soriano for AROD in 2004.

"Yankees can't develop players anymore" certainly one of the more idiotic comments posted on here.

I most definetly agree with u!!! to be....The Yankees need to not worry bout this guy chapman he's jus a gamble there's a couple other choices out there!!! 2011 will be the offseason to spend $$$ I'm hoping the yankees.....

add 1 starting pitcher 2 relief pitchers
sign damon at DH for 1 yr,
sign nady LF 1yr deal
add a util guy instead of hairston and hinske
keep swisher on the bench PLEASE!!!!!
Add maybe a jermaine DYE for RF
Also send bret gardner down and lets c our great prospect CF Austin Jackson

i think damon would be a good fit for the giants if they could get him for 5 or 6 million a year.

WOw i can so see Damon fitting into the Giants but then again maybe he is too old I would rather get like a Damon, Derosa, and a Thames...? Then rather just a Bay and some utility person because i just fear as most Giants fan do about us asting so much money and he does poorly { a.k.a Zito, Rowand, Renteria... I could name so many but im feeling sad} You get the point.

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Working...
Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been posted. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.

Working...

Post a comment


Top Stories



Search MLBTR

Lijit Search

MLBTR Features



Recent Posts


MLBTR Mailing List

Enter your email address:

Delivered by FeedBurner


Rumors By Team



Monthly Archives


Live Chats


Tuesdays at 2 p.m. CST



Site Map     Contact     About     Advertise     Privacy Policy     Widget     Twitter     Rss Feed


MLB Trade Rumors is not affiliated with Major League Baseball, MLB or MLB.com.