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| Roy Halladay Rumors: Thursday »
By Tim Dierkes [November 12, 2009 at 10:55am CST]
Links for Thursday...
- MLBTR will be mentioned on ESPN2's SportsNation program today at 3pm CST, check it out!
- FanGraphs' Dave Cameron thinks the Marlins are shopping Dan Uggla a year late, and believes he'd be expensive enough in 2011 that the Marlins "are really only selling one year of value."
- David O'Brien of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution says not to dismiss the Uggla-to-left field rumor, in relation to the Braves.
- Red Sox GM Theo Epstein told Michael Silverman of the Boston Herald at the GM Meetings that "one club, I think, changed course a little bit, with more players being available." Silverman figures Epstein was referring to the Reds or Tigers.
- Joel Sherman of the New York Post plays around with various Curtis Granderson-Yankees scenarios and effects. Phil Rogers of the Chicago Tribune says the Cubs must pursue Granderson. Gordon Wittenmyer of the Chicago Sun-Times says the Cubs have yet to pursue him, but "conversations appear inevitable."
- Brewers GM Doug Melvin had a sit-down with John Lackey's agent Steve Hilliard this week, according to MLB.com's Adam McCalvy.
- MLB.com's T.R. Sullivan sees a three-year deal worth $18-24MM for Marlon Byrd, though he notes the limited demand for center fielders.
- NPB Tracker's Patrick Newman looks at American players who could wind up or remain in Japan in 2010.
- Carl Pavano's agent Tom O'Connell had an excellent first meeting with the Twins Wednesday night, according to Joe Christensen of the Minneapolis Star-Tribune. In another article, Christensen notes that Glen Perkins settled his service time grievance with the Twins.
Is it possible the Red Sox could get Granderson from Det and move Ellsbury to LF? Pretty quick OF, no?
Posted by: NuDynasty | November 12, 2009 at 10:58 AM
"Is it possible the Red Sox could get Granderson from Det and move Ellsbury to LF? Pretty quick OF, no?"
Possibly, Granderson does have power and speed. But my bet is if the Sox trade for Granderson then Ells becomes a Tiger.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | November 12, 2009 at 11:02 AM
Seems like a parallel trade if you trade Ells for him. Don't the Tigers have to look at Minor League talent if they are going to have a "fire sale" so to speak?
Posted by: NuDynasty | November 12, 2009 at 11:04 AM
Not necessarily they want to win now and Ellsbury is still young and cheap enough. So yeah it would probably be a flip flop of CF.
Posted by: ericbrat20 | November 12, 2009 at 11:08 AM
Dude, this site should be mentioned on Sportscenter daily.
Posted by: Tomahawk368 | November 12, 2009 at 11:09 AM
Theo Epstein wouldn't trade Ellsbury for Granderson. As infuriating as Ellsbury can be, Granderson would be more so. He's struck out 567 times the last 4 years. That's an average of 142 times a season for those of you who flunked the 1st grade. Nice power/speed combination, but Granderson appears to be morphing into Mike Cameron. That's not a bad thing, just not a thing you want at the top of your lineup.
Posted by: Bernard Malamud | November 12, 2009 at 11:10 AM
I remember one game this season the Sox were up by something like 8 runs, ball hit in the 9th inning, Ellsbury ran full speed caught the ball and totally smashed into the scoreboard in Left Center Field. No Bay in picture, sorry desire like that you cant teach. No way would I even think about trading this kid. He's only going to get better.
Posted by: Cyyoung | November 12, 2009 at 11:14 AM
"That's not a bad thing, just not a thing you want at the top of your lineup"
Jacoby Ellsbury isn't a great leadoff hitter either. Either way neither one should be leading off.
Posted by: ericbrat20 | November 12, 2009 at 11:15 AM
"I remember one game this season the Sox were up by something like 8 runs, ball hit in the 9th inning, Ellsbury ran full speed caught the ball and totally smashed into the scoreboard in Left Center Field. No Bay in picture, sorry desire like that you cant teach. No way would I even think about trading this kid. He's only going to get better."
Regardless his UZR is the 3d worst in the entire league among qualifying OF and the worst among CF. (Jermaine Dye and Brad Hawpe were the only ones worse)
Don't believe me look it up.
http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=of&stats=fld&lg=all&qual=y&type=0&season=2009&month=0
Posted by: ericbrat20 | November 12, 2009 at 11:18 AM
IF Uggla can play LF, Uggla to the Braves makes just too much sense not to happen. It would allow Prado to stick at 2B and his salary would be low enough that we wouldn't be forced to trade a starter even though we still may. With the stabilty of our current rotation we can afford to trade out of our depth of good young starters at nearly every level.
Posted by: bbxxj | November 12, 2009 at 11:20 AM
Not gonna lie, Uggla to the Braves would be pretty sweet in left field. It would almost obvious that Kelly Johnson would be involved in that deal because the Marlins would need a second baseman right?
Posted by: NYBravosFan | November 12, 2009 at 11:22 AM
I better call up my cable company I'm seeing a different game than other people are about Ellsbury, in CF. I wonder what CoCo Crisp stats were when he first came up to the majors. Just curious.
Posted by: Cyyoung | November 12, 2009 at 11:23 AM
The Tigers are in a dire financial situation. If they are trying to cut costs, it means getting minor leaguers in return. If you can't afford your expensive players, you trade them. Other teams aren't going to give you their cheap MLB players who are equally as good. They are going to give you prospects.
Posted by: NuDynasty | November 12, 2009 at 11:24 AM
"It would almost obvious that Kelly Johnson would be involved in that deal because the Marlins would need a second baseman right?"
Chris Coghlan or Emilio Bonifacio would suffice just fine at second base.
I don't know why Braves fans would be excited about putting Uggla in left... you have to imagine he'd be a defensive travesty out there.
Posted by: MorneauVP | November 12, 2009 at 11:25 AM
Wrong unless the Braves eat all his salary.
they are getting rid of Uggla because of money issues and Johnson costs a lot as well. They want prospects or ML ready talent and money.
Posted by: Darion | November 12, 2009 at 11:25 AM
Is Marlon Byrd the new Gary Matthews Jr of 2010? Teams should be wary of Byrd. Ask the Angels how that Matthews signing working out for them.
Posted by: Trusting the Process | November 12, 2009 at 11:27 AM
Red Sox Get: Hanley Ramirez, Emilio Bonifacio
Marlins Get: Clay Buchholz, Lars Anderson, Daniel Bard, Brandon Phillips, Bronson Arroyo
Reds Get: Jed Lowrie, Dan Uggla, Michael Bowden
I know I'm dreaming, but I think that's a pretty good trade
Posted by: culpin | November 12, 2009 at 11:28 AM
"I better call up my cable company I'm seeing a different game than other people are about Ellsbury, in CF. I wonder what CoCo Crisp stats were when he first came up to the majors. Just curious."
In Crisp first full season in the majors (2004) his UZR was 16.9 then his next year (2005) was 17.4.
If you want to count 2003 when he played half a season his UZR was 4.5.
http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1572&position=OF
Posted by: ericbrat20 | November 12, 2009 at 11:28 AM
"Regardless his UZR is the 3d worst in the entire league among qualifying OF and the worst among CF. (Jermaine Dye and Brad Hawpe were the only ones worse)"
Be careful not to take one year of UZR data too literally.
Certainly, Ellsbury isn't a plus in center, and he should be better given his raw speed and athleticism, but you can't really label him as the worst defensive everyday center fielder in the game based off a limited sample size of UZR.
Posted by: scribbletone | November 12, 2009 at 11:29 AM
Yeah, I don't think KJ gets moved in a part of a package for Uggla. It would be a package full of prospects with little or no service time (ie will play for 400k for the next 2-3 years).
Posted by: bbxxj | November 12, 2009 at 11:30 AM
"
Red Sox Get: Hanley Ramirez, Emilio Bonifacio
Marlins Get: Clay Buchholz, Lars Anderson, Daniel Bard, Brandon Phillips, Bronson Arroyo
Reds Get: Jed Lowrie, Dan Uggla, Michael Bowden
I know I'm dreaming, but I think that's a pretty good trade"
No, it isn't.
Posted by: NuDynasty | November 12, 2009 at 11:30 AM
"Be careful not to take one year of UZR data too literally.
Certainly, Ellsbury isn't a plus in center, and he should be better given his raw speed and athleticism, but you can't really label him as the worst defensive everyday center fielder in the game based off a limited sample size of UZR."
I know that but I was just pointing out that he is nothing special or at least hasn't been. Everyone seems to get caught up on his great diving catches but that doesn't mean he's a good defender.
Posted by: ericbrat20 | November 12, 2009 at 11:32 AM
How is it not Nu? Sox fill 2 holes, Marlins get MLB ready talent to fill their rotation and replace Hanley....Might have to ship cash or another piece to the Reds though
Posted by: culpin | November 12, 2009 at 11:33 AM
"
Red Sox Get: Hanley Ramirez, Emilio Bonifacio
Marlins Get: Clay Buchholz, Lars Anderson, Daniel Bard, Brandon Phillips, Bronson Arroyo
Reds Get: Jed Lowrie, Dan Uggla, Michael Bowden
I know I'm dreaming, but I think that's a pretty good trade"
Why the hell would the Marlins take Arroyo and Phillips if they are looking to dump Uggla's salary. That just doesn't make any sense.
Posted by: ericbrat20 | November 12, 2009 at 11:34 AM
Thank you, ericbrat. Culpin, that creates more holes and financial problems than it helps.
Posted by: NuDynasty | November 12, 2009 at 11:36 AM
Bleh, I guess.....I didn't realize Arroyo was making close to 13 million...geez
Posted by: culpin | November 12, 2009 at 11:38 AM
It was definitely the Tigers that changed course. The Reds have remained consistent, they don't have flexibility and they won't be pursuing free agents but they are not needing to shed players. Jocketty already confirmed this yesterday. Too much speculating and not enough facts by the media.
Posted by: BigRedOne | November 12, 2009 at 11:39 AM
As a diehard Sox fan I can't believe that I am reading about how horrible Jacoby is in center. I don't judge by stupid UZR stats. I judge from what I see and the kid is getting better & better.
Posted by: LiuKang45 | November 12, 2009 at 11:39 AM
ok, so apparently i really need to point out that after the all-star break, during which we acquired laroche, (and chipper pretty much quite showing up) the team ranked:
2nd in runs scored
3rd in obp
5th in ops, avg
SIGN LAROCHE. enough said. all we need in left is a comsistent hitter that can add a little pop and play good defense. garret anderson did a lot of damage in left last year. why in the heck would you want uggla in left? i feel like i need to ask that question a second time, but won't.
this is clearly another case of power being over-rated and defense being severely under-rated. with our pitching staff, all we need to do is fill left with some decent defense and 15-20 homers and, of course, re-sign laroche.
Posted by: blurba | November 12, 2009 at 11:41 AM
I'd like Carl Pavano to remain a Twin. If the twins retain Pavano and sign 1 more Upside Starter (Preferably a Lefty) Washburn, Bedard
Other guys I would not mind to have in our rotation next season include: Justin Duchscherer, Jon Garland, Jason Marquis, Brett Myers, Joel Piniero, Brad Penny, Ben Sheets, Chris Capuano, or Rich Harden.
Posted by: TargetField2010 | November 12, 2009 at 11:41 AM
Red Sox Get: Hanley Ramirez, Emilio Bonifacio
Marlins Get: Clay Buchholz, Lars Anderson, Daniel Bard, Brandon Phillips, Bronson Arroyo
Reds Get: Jed Lowrie, Dan Uggla, Michael Bowden
I know I'm dreaming, but I think that's a pretty good trade"
That's just idiotic. The Reds and Marlins are both looking to "dump" salary, not take it on or pay a player to play for another club. it might look like it adds up when it comes to player personnel, which it's not bad, but the finances are never going to work.
I think the Sox should send a package of prospects for Miggy and Magglio. That moves almost 40M off the books for next season, allows them to get away from Magglio's 15M 2011 option, and moves the remaining 126M on miggys deal.
Use the financial flexibility to sign Verlander long term.
Posted by: BoSox | November 12, 2009 at 11:45 AM
"
Red Sox Get: Hanley Ramirez, Emilio Bonifacio
Marlins Get: Clay Buchholz, Lars Anderson, Daniel Bard, Brandon Phillips, Bronson Arroyo
Reds Get: Jed Lowrie, Dan Uggla, Michael Bowden
I know I'm dreaming, but I think that's a pretty good trade"
thats a terrible deal for the reds.. absolutley terrible. bradon phillips is better than lowrie and uggla put together. Horrible deal. The red sox are giving up alot!!! if there gonna move such good and young peices, they might as well trade for roy holliday, not hanley
Posted by: rocket duce duce | November 12, 2009 at 11:50 AM
Jim Hendry, you better start having conversations about Granderson right now. Left-handed, lead-off hitter, with speed and power is what we Cubs fans having been talking about for idk how long? Maybe the last 6 years. Do it Hendry!
Bradley
Cashner
Fox
Darwin Barney/ Wellington Castillo
for
Granderson
and a prospect
Those who going to complain it would not make sense for Detroit.
Bradley- DH
Fox- LF/RF/3B
Cashner- Prospect SP
Barney/ Wellington Castillo- Prospect SS and or C who Detroit has questions about those positions.
Posted by: BLEEDINGCUBBIEBLUE | November 12, 2009 at 11:57 AM
Uggla to the Braves would be awesome. He couldn't be much worse than Garret Anderson in LF.
Posted by: BravesAllTheWay | November 12, 2009 at 11:58 AM
Am I the only person who wouldn't want my lead-off hitter hitting .250 with a low .300s OBP? I must be missing something....
Posted by: culpin | November 12, 2009 at 12:02 PM
@BleedingCubbieBlue
The only way the Tigers take Bradley is if the Cubs essentially eat most of his salary or the Cubs take 2 of those horrible contracts in return. The Tigers are looking to dump salary not pickup other teams spare parts for a Granderson who's contract is reasonable.
Posted by: ericbrat20 | November 12, 2009 at 12:03 PM
i don't know, garrett anderson played really poor defense, but was at least familiar with the position. uggla on the other hand plays really poor defense but has zero mlb experience there, and very little outfield experience period...not something the team should just ignore.
Posted by: blurba | November 12, 2009 at 12:08 PM
I am loving the Granderson/Jackson to Yankees idea over anything else I've heard or seen so far.
Posted by: East Coast Bias | November 12, 2009 at 12:11 PM
Am I the only one who thinks the Cubs have NOTHING to offer anyone? (Other than Milton Bradly's terrible contract).
Posted by: NuDynasty | November 12, 2009 at 12:12 PM
If the Cubs trade for Granderson, I highly doubt Bradley will be included, and if they do end up trading for Granderson, and Bradley IS included, the Cubs would have to eat up most of his contract. This is what I say the Cubs should do:
Jake Fox/Micah Hoffpauir
Mike Fontenot
Wellington Castillo/Darwin Barney
For
Curtis Granderson
And a prospect
Posted by: CubsFan25 | November 12, 2009 at 12:32 PM
Why is everyone judging Granderson and Ellsbury strictly as leadoff hitters? Neither of them is really a good leadoff hitter. Granderson's a much better player, but is also older and more expensive. I would think Ellsbury and a very good young arm for Granderson would make sense.
Also, is any team in this economy really going to give Marlon Byrd 18-24 million?
Posted by: aap212 | November 12, 2009 at 12:44 PM
"Jake Fox/Micah Hoffpauir
Mike Fontenot
Wellington Castillo/Darwin Barney
For
Curtis Granderson
And a prospect"
That is a horrific proposal. Fontenot and Fox (both out of options) could be non-tender candidates, making them FA for anyone to sign. Hoffpauir will be in that boat next season. And neither Castillo or Barney hold much trade value at all.
We would be lucky if that package brought us Cody Ross, and would never get us in the door for a Granderson conversation (much less Granderson + Prospect)
Posted by: SuzysMan | November 12, 2009 at 01:07 PM
The Tigers are in a dire financial situation. If they are trying to cut costs, it means getting minor leaguers in return. If you can't afford your expensive players, you trade them. Other teams aren't going to give you their cheap MLB players who are equally as good. They are going to give you prospects.
Posted by: NuDynasty | November 12, 2009 at 11:24 AM
___________________________
Meh. People have been saying the Tigers are in financial hot water for a couple seasons now. Mike Ilich is doing better than Fred Wilpon though. In a down economy, pizza still sells.
Posted by: Bernard Malamud | November 12, 2009 at 01:24 PM
CURTIS GRANDERSON OPS VS LHP:
484
FOUR EIGHTY FOUR!!!
Come ON people, he's a glorified platoon player at this point. He's no star, he's barely league average. He's not really of the kind of value people think.
Posted by: PL | November 12, 2009 at 01:27 PM
If the Tigers were in such financial hardship, why not trade Mig-Cab, the only player they have that will definitely get them A grade prospects?
Oh yeah, because they arent in any real financial trouble, they just signed a whole bunch of stupid contracts and are trying to get out of them by playing the poor card.
Posted by: PL | November 12, 2009 at 01:29 PM
I think Granderson makes all the sense in the world for the Yankees. He's only 29, signed affordable (for the yanks) for the next couple of years, and adds speed and defensive upgrade that they desperately need in their outfield to limit some of the gap hits.
If I was the Yankees though I would try to extend the trade by having them add in Edwin Jackson and a contract like Guillen or Ordenez that they would seemingly love to unload, even if it means giving up a few other talented prospects. I do fully expect the Yanks to have to give up some top tier talent prospects if they were to try and get both Granderson and Jackson, such as Austin Jackson, Montero, McCallister, etc., to name a few.
Posted by: money941 | November 12, 2009 at 01:29 PM
God I wish I was an adviser to Jim Hendry so I could tell him to send Grabow packing on the next flight out! Why give him $7 mil when you could wait out the market and get a lefty later down the line for cheaper. Especially one who doesn't walk as many guys as Grabow does.
Posted by: Dan | November 12, 2009 at 01:36 PM
If I was the Yankees though I would try to extend the trade by having them add in Edwin Jackson and a contract like Guillen or Ordenez that they would seemingly love to unload...
Posted by: money941 | November 12, 2009 at 01:29 PM
___________________________
Every time I hear a Yankee fan propose expanding the team's budget all I hear is wa, wa, wa...followed by:
Dear Sire, Akeem and I have depleted our funds. Kindly send 300,000 American dollars for we are in dire straits. Your humble servant, Semi.
Posted by: Bernard Malamud | November 12, 2009 at 01:54 PM
Why is everyone judging Granderson and Ellsbury strictly as leadoff hitters? Neither of them is really a good leadoff hitter. Granderson's a much better player, but is also older and more expensive. I would think Ellsbury and a very good young arm for Granderson would make sense.
Also, is any team in this economy really going to give Marlon Byrd 18-24 million?
Posted by: aap212 | November 12, 2009 at 12:44 PM
Although I agree with the Byrd statement, your Elsbury not being leadoff statement is just amazing. 70 stolen bases, he's a table-setter. Why wouldn't he be leadoff?
Posted by: twitter.com/bomberj11 | November 12, 2009 at 02:48 PM
I love how Cubs' fans don't want to give anything of value for Granderson. I've said it before and here it is...again. To get Granderson you have to give up one (and most likely two) of:
1. Marmol
2. Guzman
3. Castro
4. Wells
5. Soto
Hoffpauir, Fontenot, Fox, Theriot, Miles, and any other MiL players not listed above (I'm looking at you Vitters) have essentially zero trade value in a blockbuster deal.
Posted by: 2HeadedBoy | November 12, 2009 at 02:54 PM
lets be honest the Cubs could use Granderson. His defense alone make the Cubs a better team. He can cover all that ground that Soriano can't and paired with Fukudome the outfield defense is much better. Also lets me honest if the cubs can't get him who plays center, or leads-off.
The cubs give.
Milton Bradley & cash
Aaron Shafer
Jake Fox
Wellington Castillo
Tigers give.
Curtis Granderson
Danny Worth
Posted by: frankdick4 | November 12, 2009 at 03:00 PM
"Although I agree with the Byrd statement, your Elsbury not being leadoff statement is just amazing. 70 stolen bases, he's a table-setter. Why wouldn't he be leadoff?"
How about because his career OBP is only .350. That's horrible for a lead off guy. The ideal leadoff type guy would have at least a .385 OBP so that you can actually have chances to drive him in. If your leadoff guy isn't on base how can he possibly be a table setter.
Posted by: ericbrat20 | November 12, 2009 at 03:06 PM
dick:
Nice try, Castillo is not a top prospect anymore:
"The Tumbler: Welington Castillo, C
Castillo took the wrong year to take a step back in his development with MLB catcher Geovany Soto being bitten by the sophomore jinx at the Major League level. Castillo’s overly-aggressive approach at the plate (4.5 BB%) caught up with him in ‘09 at double-A. He was also hurt by a .266 BABIP; his overall line was .232/.275/.386 in 319 at-bats. Castillo did show some intriguing power with a .154 ISO rate, which was a career high. Defensively, he cut down on his careless errors, but he still allowed a significant number of passed balls. The 22-year-old catcher threw out 44% of base stealers"
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/a-minor-review-of-2009-chicago-cubs
Posted by: 2HeadedBoy | November 12, 2009 at 03:18 PM
Granderson, Jackson, and Robertson for Austin Jackson, Zach Mcallister, Phil Hughes, Jesus Montero, and Ian kennedy. This gives the Tigers 2 possible starters, a top prospect outfielder, top catching prospect, and late inning bullpen help to replace Rodney. This would give teh Yankees a good quality outfielder who can hopefully bat 270. , steal 25 bags, hit 25-35 homers. And a number 3 pitcher behind a.j.
Posted by: BAMF | November 12, 2009 at 03:31 PM
NYBravosFan, no Marlins are in no need of a second basemen. Thats a key reason why the Marlins may not return Dan Uggla. They have Emilio Bonifacio and Chris Coughlan who can easily play second base. Not to mention other possibilites. If the Marlins want to contend for the playoffs, keeping Dan Uggla would be very wise.
Posted by: ugglaBEASTTT | November 12, 2009 at 03:43 PM
hah just saw the mlbtr hit on sportsnation! prepare for some extra hits tonight
Posted by: lftyg33 | November 12, 2009 at 03:59 PM
it deffinatley wont take a marmol, castro, or cashner to land granderson, they can pull it off with semi-major league ready players and a middle prospect. This is a salary dump not a rebuilding theres a huge difference we dont need the deepest farm system for this. NOW GO GET HIM HENDRY
Posted by: SosaCrackers | November 12, 2009 at 04:01 PM
"The cubs give.
Milton Bradley & cash
Aaron Shafer
Jake Fox
Wellington Castillo
Tigers give.
Curtis Granderson
Danny Worth"
The new proposal is 2 prospects ranking around 15th best in a bottom 5 system, one possible non-tender non-prospect in Jake Fox (27 YO, out of option player with limited ML experience/success and no position he plays well enough to keep on a roster) and a bad contract (Bradley) to a team trying to get rid of bad contracts?
So the Tigers remove their All Star CF (Tied with Beltran for 2nd highest 3-year WAR of all CF) on an affordable deal just so they can add money (unless "cash" means about 8MM), 2 should-be DHs that they must keep on their 25man roster (one that is being run out of his 5th city because of issues) and two borderline prospects? It just isnt realistic at all.
A return for Granderson is going to cost the Cubs at least one of the top 3 prospects in our system. It would likely be one of Cashner/Vitters/Castro, one of J.Jackson/Atkins and possibly even Carpenter or Shafer being included. If someone like Fox or Fontenot made their way in, they would just be throw-ins since we are possibly non-tendering them anyway – possibly adding a Worth type on the Tigers side in a very best case.
"This is a salary dump not a rebuilding"
It is NOT a salary dump. It is removing future salary by trading the players who will bring extreme value in return. (Granderson and Jackson - both players with low salaries but huge trade value)
Posted by: SuzysMan | November 12, 2009 at 04:10 PM
Really, I wish people wouldn't gratify Granderson as they do. He's a watered down Jeremy Shockey Situation in baseball, by that I mean he makes an all-star team, but then he kinda flops on his face. His K totals rival those of Howard and Dunn, but with less power. I'll admit, he can run well, and 6 million dollars right now per year without incentives is ok,
But in this economy, a lot of teams (emphasis on LOTS) are trying to cut back on salary, and the already maxed-out payrolls don't want anymore comittment like the Yankees and Red Sox and also don't want to give up a prospect for a chance on a player like that (Yankees had Carl Pavano and look what happened).
Posted by: I coulda been a contender | November 12, 2009 at 04:33 PM
"Really, I wish people wouldn't gratify Granderson as they do."
Like I said, 2nd highest WAR of qualifying CF the last three years. 147.2 RAR, 14.5 WAR over a 3 year span, for an average of 4.8 WAR a season. Last year only 28 players provided that kind of production. Or even if you grade somehow discount his best season and grade on a weighted scale, you are still coming up with a 4.0 range WAR value – on par with what Torii Hunter provided in 2009 (and that cost the Angels 18 Million).
People don’t seem to have a very good grasp of value if they really think 29 Year Old Granderson isnt one of the top CF in the game over something as meaningless as K totals and a bad season due to a fluke BAbip.
Does that also mean Sizemore and Beltran also arent very good? Compare the 3 year averages
.277/.350/.499/.849 with 87 2B, 44 3B, 75 HR and 58 SB for Granderson
.266/.373/.472/.845 with 93 2B, 16 3B, 75 HR and 84 SB for Sizemore
.290/.375/.510/.885 with 95 2B, 9 3B, 70 HR and 59 SB for Beltran
While Granderson has the best UZR/150 of the bunch.
Posted by: SuzysMan | November 12, 2009 at 05:20 PM
The only issue I would take with Granderson is his OBP. It's kinda low for a lead off guy. You would usually want your lead off guy to get on more often but other than that he is easily one of the best CF in the league just not a prototypical lead off guy.
Posted by: ericbrat20 | November 12, 2009 at 05:31 PM
Bamf, you are a moron. That trade never happens. Keep dreaming
Hopefully they stay away from Granderson. Why give anything up for him when Mike Cameron could be had for even less money and NO PROSPECTS? I wouldn't mind Jackson, though his regression in the second half of last year is troubling.
Posted by: BaseballFan0707 | November 12, 2009 at 05:33 PM
If you're going to suggest we give up our entire farm, then substitute the names Jackson and Robertson
(who is GOD AWFUL) with the following name:
Justin Verlander.
Posted by: BaseballFan0707 | November 12, 2009 at 05:34 PM
"If you're going to suggest we give up our entire farm, then substitute the names Jackson and Robertson
(who is GOD AWFUL) with the following name:
Justin Verlander."
No way the Tigers move Verlander. The reason they are shopping everyone else is so they can have enough to give Verlander an extension.
Posted by: ericbrat20 | November 12, 2009 at 05:39 PM
"
Bamf, you are a moron. That trade never happens. Keep dreaming
Hopefully they stay away from Granderson. Why give anything up for him when Mike Cameron could be had for even less money and NO PROSPECTS? I wouldn't mind Jackson, though his regression in the second half of last year is troubling."
Um buddy austin jackson is terrible, jesus monteros cant play defense, phil hughes would give them the late inning relief they need, and ian kennedy and mcallister are dust. Granderson has more power, younger, and faster than cameron, while playing a better defense. Also the yankees have 2 solid starters right now and are in desperate need for a thrid or 4th is andy signs. This tarde works for both teams.
Posted by: BAMF | November 12, 2009 at 05:48 PM
They can also throw in Melky for all i care. And why not joba?
Posted by: BAMF | November 12, 2009 at 05:49 PM
the Yankees prospects are highly over rated.
Posted by: BAMF | November 12, 2009 at 05:49 PM
Um how is Austin Jackson terrible? Just because he had some struggles last year at the age of only 22? He still has plenty of time to develop the Yankees aren't rushing him up to the big club just yet.
Posted by: ericbrat20 | November 12, 2009 at 05:57 PM
And he wasn't even that bad last year. He still hit .300.
Posted by: ericbrat20 | November 12, 2009 at 05:58 PM
with 4 homeruns
Posted by: BAMF | November 12, 2009 at 05:59 PM
Sure but he was never projected to be a great power hitter. He hasn't had a season when he hit more than 13 HRs. His skills were getting base hits, his defense and he can run. He was never billed as a premier power guy. I don't see your point. Power isn't everything just ask Ichiro.
Posted by: ericbrat20 | November 12, 2009 at 06:04 PM
They claim he is going to be a 5 tool player, one of those tools happen to be power
Posted by: BAMF | November 12, 2009 at 06:06 PM
Im just saying he is over rated and if they could get granderson and jackson for him i think they should
Posted by: BAMF | November 12, 2009 at 06:08 PM
They never claimed he WOULD be a 5 tool player. They said he COULD be one.
He is excellent on defense. He hits .300. He runs the bases very well. He hits both lefties and righties. And this in a year where he was classifed as bad? God I'd be afraid if I were another major league team if our top prospect's bad year is hitting .300 with 65 rbs and 24 SBs in 28 attempts. He only struck out 120 times, too.
He is not terrible, and I'm sick of people who don't know anything about our farm system coming around here talking like they know our players.
He's probably our future leadoff or number 2 hitter, and a good one at that.
Montero is being touted for his bat. He's a future DH, and i can't wait to see him in our ballpark if he makes it. He was batting an overall .337 with 17 home runs with about 40 games to play before he broke his thumb.
McAllister is not dust. Except for 2007, in a short season league, he has yet to post an ERA over 3 as a starter, and is posting incredibly great strikeout numbers.
As for Ian? I'll give
him to you for free.
Bottom line-you're dead wrong if you think that we'd give all those players up for a terrible pitcher, a guy who can't hit left handed pitching, and a pitcher who had one good half season so far in his career.
Posted by: BaseballFan0707 | November 12, 2009 at 06:39 PM
MLBTR needs an edit feature. There's not supposed to be a comma after 2007.
Posted by: BaseballFan0707 | November 12, 2009 at 06:40 PM
I think that Austin Jackson will be ready in a year, if not this one. If anything, offer someone a one-year deal.
Granderson would just turn into an obstacle, and I think that Jackson in his prime will be better than Granderson in his prime.
Ian Kennedy will be a 2nd or 3rd starter. Don't trade him. Maybe move him to the bullpen too. All I heard last year with Hughes was "he sucks, he can't start 'cuz he's terrible." Partially right, because hitters at-bat looked like they were batting in the dark.
Posted by: I coulda been a contender | November 12, 2009 at 06:59 PM
From what I've read and heard, Austin Jackson is NOT a power hitter, and won't ever come close to Granderson's power numbers. He's a top of the lineup solid contact hitter that gets on base, is a good baserunner, and has plus defense in the outfield.
Granderson would be nice if you're willing to deal him for Jackson, but eh... it would be nice to see Jackson develop here, although I will say that I'm not against Granderson at all.
Posted by: O'Neill Fan | November 12, 2009 at 07:14 PM
Power is the last thing to develop, and austin is a very strong man. I doubt Cashman would trade Jackson in a trade for Curtis
Posted by: ArodMVP217 | November 12, 2009 at 07:28 PM
What you clearlydont get is that the yanks are built To win now. I don't think it matters if they trade away prospects because they can alwAys sign free agents. I just feel jacksons very overrated.
Posted by: BAMF | November 12, 2009 at 07:35 PM
who the hell says that Dan Uggla can't play left field? He would at least have a little more passion that Garrett Anderson ever did and would bring a hell of alot more power. And I get the feeling that he would work on it just a bit in the offseason, so shut your lips and be open to suggestions. Also remember, this is the AJC talking. The same people who told us that Griffey had signed with us. So who the hell knows? All I know is that Uggla is a baseball player who has at least some experience in left field. And there is another guy on our team who proved that a guy can move to the outfield from the infield and still be successful...I think he plays third base and bats third, but I could be mistaken. Now of course i am not comparing uggla to chipper but my point is that it could happen
Posted by: NYBravosFan | November 12, 2009 at 08:17 PM
The Tigers are in a dire financial situation. If they are trying to cut costs, it means getting minor leaguers in return. If you can't afford your expensive players, you trade them. Other teams aren't going to give you their cheap MLB players who are equally as good. They are going to give you prospects.
Sounds like this guy is clueless!! Cabrera is untouchable, nobody wants magglio and his 18mil. bonderman-willis-robertson are a combined 28mil. If anything we are guilty of a terrible GM who rewarded players for 1 good season. We have a lot of money that comes off the books next year, but what Dombrowski is trying to do take an "All-Star" in grandy and replace two positions because we have to let the best 2nd baseman walk.
Posted by: jaydawg98 | November 12, 2009 at 09:30 PM
All the people talking smack about Ellsbury as a CF: Let's not forget he played 179 straight games without an error, and tied the MLB record for 11 put outs in a game. He doesn't get the greatest jump on the ball but has the ability to close and make the play due to his speed and killer glove. He should remain in CF. Let's remember he's only been at this level for two full seasons! The Sox best bet is to re-sign Bay or go after Holliday.
Posted by: fenwayfanatic1 | November 13, 2009 at 09:03 AM
"The Sox best bet is to re-sign Bay or go after Holliday."
That will only bring the sox back to where they were offensively this year. And that wasn't enough to compete in the playoffs. They need to sign Bay or Holliday AND add another bat.
Posted by: wally | November 13, 2009 at 10:04 AM
"
Red Sox Get: Hanley Ramirez, Emilio Bonifacio
Marlins Get: Clay Buchholz, Lars Anderson, Daniel Bard, Brandon Phillips, Bronson Arroyo
Reds Get: Jed Lowrie, Dan Uggla, Michael Bowden
I know I'm dreaming, but I think that's a pretty good trade"
No, it isn't.
Switch Arryo to the Sox and Bonifacio to the Reds and it would make sense. The Marlins don't have the money for Arryo
Posted by: nakid | November 13, 2009 at 03:50 PM
I like granderson but not sure he fits what the cubs really need...at least at lead off yes good speed and has power but he strikes out way to much and doesn't hit for average, not your prototype lead off guy.Bring him in if you can move someone else like bradley and look else for a someone else in who can play small ball to lead off sure.But big problem is at what cost to do so.Either way you look at the way the current line up is and figure in there high team salary and its tough for the cubs to make a big splash.they will have to be creative
Posted by: justme | November 13, 2009 at 06:10 PM
"And there is another guy on our team who proved that a guy can move to the outfield from the infield and still be successful...I think he plays third base and bats third, but I could be mistaken."
I see your point, but that's a terrible example. Chipper regularly attributes his recurring leg problems and chronic foot pain to his switch to the outfield. not that i'm saying that would happen to uggla, but still.
and whoever else said it hit the nail on the head: justifying uggla in left by saying he's better than garrett anderson is a really poor way to start a discussion... or to build a team for that matter.
as an alternative/back-up plan to laroche, why not trade for carlos pena. true, he's a lefty, but so is laroche. his avg took a dip this year, but he still walked more and had a higher slg and ops than laroche...and what braves fan wouldnt like to see 35-39 homers resting in the middle of the lineup? that'd allow the team to fill the outfield vacancy with someone closer to a true leadoff hitter, and bump mclouth down a few so that he can have some people on base to drive in. we'd have a very solid lineup and probably the deepest rotation in baseball.
the rays really need to clear some payroll and could move zobrist to first, so its not ridiculous to think it could happen.
Posted by: blurba | November 18, 2009 at 02:58 PM
also, pena's only got one yr left, so he wont block freeman. if were gonna spend $10 mill this offseason, might as well get 35 hrs out of it.
Posted by: blurba | November 18, 2009 at 03:07 PM