« Mariner Musings: Lackey, Washburn, Bedard, Branyan |
Main
| Giants Advise Winn To Seek Employment Elsewhere »
By Mike Axisa [November 9, 2009 at 3:52pm CST]
Here's some more links on a busy first day at the GM meetings...
- WEEI.com's Alex Speier writes that when Jed Hoyer took over as GM of the Padres, it only made it tougher for the Red Sox to pull off a deal for Adrian Gonzalez. “He knows all my tricks, and I know his,” said Theo Epstein of Hoyer.
- Meanwhile, WEEI.com's Rob Bradford reports that Roy Halladay has identified the Red Sox as a team he'd be willing to accept a trade to. Doc has a full no-trade clause.
- Andy Pettitte has apparently told his Yankee teammates that he'd like to come back for one more year, though there's been no definitive word according to SI.com's Jon Heyman. GM Brian Cashman said he expects the team to be more "cautious than anxious" this offseason, and that he plans to go slow, even with their own free agents according to Joel Sherman of The NY Post.
- Mets' GM Omar Minaya "has told several of his friends in the industry that he badly wants to add a run-producing bat at either first base and/or left field," according to Sherman.
- MLB.com's Steve Gilbert reports that Chris Snyder confirmed there has not been a setback in his rehab from back surgery. The Blue Jays nixed a potential Snyder for Lyle Overbay swap over the weekend over concerns about the catcher's back.
- The Orioles claimed righthander Armando Gabino off waivers from the Twins, according to Joe Christensen of The Star Tribune. Meanwhile, a team press release says the Rays claimed righty Ramon Ramirez off waivers from the Reds.
- FoxSports.com's Ken Rosenthal and Jon Paul Morosi report that Melvin Mora is working out at other positions to increase his versatility and up his value as a free agent.
- Dave Cameron of FanGraphs compared Jason Bay to Mike Cameron, and determines that the latter is a better value.
- Jon Weisman at Dodger Thoughts breaks down some Chad Billingsley rumors.
I could see an Uggla for Billingsley swap
Posted by: FishRock | November 09, 2009 at 03:56 PM
If the Marlins get offered that they should jump up and down in joy...
Posted by: Mickey Mac | November 09, 2009 at 03:58 PM
"I could see an Uggla for Billingsley swap
Posted by: FishRock | November 09, 2009 at 03:56 PM"
Marlins 2010 Eastern Divisional Champs? Yeah sounds about right.
Dodgers 2010 winner of the most poorly ran club? Yeah even better.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | November 09, 2009 at 04:04 PM
I wonder how much the Blue Jays would be asking for Halladay now. With only one year left on his contract im assuming they'll be asking for around 2 top prospects and 2 mid level prospects, gets them more than the draft picks would. What do you guys think?
Posted by: redsox22 | November 09, 2009 at 04:04 PM
i dont like how omar is sounding so desperate. scott boras much be chomping at the bit to talk matt holliday with him.
Posted by: Jspencer8 | November 09, 2009 at 04:08 PM
"Dodgers 2010 winner of the most poorly ran club? Yeah even better." They've got stiff competition with the Mets there!
Posted by: Aranathor | November 09, 2009 at 04:12 PM
Sounds like a krod for pujols swap
Lol
Posted by: beastOftheEast | November 09, 2009 at 04:16 PM
"I wonder how much the Blue Jays would be asking for Halladay now. With only one year left on his contract im assuming they'll be asking for around 2 top prospects and 2 mid level prospects, gets them more than the draft picks would"
Sounds about right. In case people are wondering, Happ would not be a top prospect, in Phillies' case. He'd possibly be the mid-level guy, as he projects as nothing more than a #3 starter.
I can see the Red Sox making a play for him, obviously. Then when talks break down between Beckett and Boston, they have a ready replacement right there.
The Angels should be interested in acquiring Halladay as well. With Lackey as good as gone, and after Weaver, the Halos don't really have a solid consistent pitcher. One can make a case for Kazmir, but c'mon. If the Halos want to win, they need to surrender those prospects.
I can't see the Dodgers acquiring Halladay. I can see them kicking the tires though, but with Kemp/Kershaw being untouchable, and not wanting to trade Billingsley, I don't see the Jays being interested in anyone else the Dodgers could offer.
The Jays are looking for an MLB ready pitcher, a top hitting prospect, and others.
Posted by: Ink&Paper | November 09, 2009 at 04:18 PM
"I could see an Uggla for Billingsley swap"
See, this is why I don't understand how Red Sox, Yankees, Mets and Cubs fans get bad reputations for making awful trade proposals that insanely benefit their side. The Dodgers have like 3 solid options at 2B but they are going to trade their ace for a pretty good 2B? No.
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 09, 2009 at 04:19 PM
"I can't see the Dodgers acquiring Halladay. I can see them kicking the tires though, but with Kemp/Kershaw being untouchable, and not wanting to trade Billingsley, I don't see the Jays being interested in anyone else the Dodgers could offer."
I really think they make a deal for him. They could just completely empty the farm(Wouldn't do it.) They could Package Bills and 2 kids(I wouldn't ever do it this either)
So yeah I think they can get it done at the cost of our future, which makes me sad thinking about it.
If the Dodgers can get Garland for less than 6 million and pick up one of the Injured Aces, we should be in great shape.
Hitting cost us in the playoffs, not a true number 1 starter. Would it of helped? Yes, no doubt. Would it of mattered? Most likely not, the team outside of a few guys forgot how to hit.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | November 09, 2009 at 04:24 PM
Sorry Ink, I slightly misread your post about Bills.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | November 09, 2009 at 04:25 PM
It's okay.
I agree with what you say though. Man-Ram completely failed the Dodgers, and now they're stuck with him for another year. While it wasn't pitching that killed the Dodgers in the playoffs, it was the lack of a shutdown pitcher in the final days that screwed them over as well. While Padilla is talented, he's also inconsistent, and it showed in the final game. The Dodgers did play pretty well though, and they possibly would add someone like Harden. Heck, they would probably even add Lackey, and I wouldn't even be surprised!
Posted by: Ink&Paper | November 09, 2009 at 04:42 PM
I am sorry but some of these comments are insane. You do not trade your cheap ace that is controlled for years for one year of halladay and you definitely don't do it for Dan uggla.
Posted by: JOEYB33 | November 09, 2009 at 04:47 PM
nrmax88,
Couldn't have said it any better.
Posted by: aap212 | November 09, 2009 at 04:53 PM
did the marlins front office ask all 35 of their fans to start virally putting the good word out on uggla? that guy's terrible.
Posted by: danielpwnz | November 09, 2009 at 04:53 PM
^
Posted by: GScott | November 09, 2009 at 04:59 PM
I think that the Yankees should not bring matsui back, but damon for a year at DH. between Melky, Gardner, Jackson and Swisher, it should be just fine. The outfielders will be the bottom three spots of the lineup, so all the need to do is bat about .270 and they'll be fine. Swisher can hit homeruns, and is a switch hitter, Melky is a switch hitter who has shown progress, and with a .270 average for Gardner he can easily steal 30+ bases.
As for starters, bring back Wang on an incentive based deal, resign Pettite for a year, and try out Erik Bedard on an incentive based one year deal also.
Then in 2011, the DH spot will be free, put Jorge there, spend major money on Mauer, because Jorge only has one year left, and then go out and also get Carl Crawford, who is an excellent athlete, and get Roy Halladay.
Posted by: Kenneth Szwech | November 09, 2009 at 05:06 PM
@danielpwns
Yeah thats why 35,000+ showed up to the last three games right?
And calling Dan Uggla terrible is way off line.You can say what you want about his strikeouts, but a guy who is the fastest to 100 HR for 2B ever, boy that guy's awful. Adam Dunn, Mark Reynolds, Ryan Howard, boy, they are awful players because they strike out a lot. .257 batting average could be a little better, but that is not "terrible." .344 OBP is "terrible" too right? Knock in 92, hit 32 HR? You guessed it, terrible.
Posted by: FishRock | November 09, 2009 at 05:11 PM
I think you're selling Happ a BIT short...he wouldn't be THE big name in a Halladay deal, but most big-name prospects don't even reach the level of serviceable #3. He's certainly got more value than a B-level prospect.
Posted by: Muggi | November 09, 2009 at 05:13 PM
"Dodgers 2010 winner of the most poorly ran club? Yeah even better." They've got stiff competition with the Mets there!
Posted by: Aranathor | November 09, 2009 at 04:12 PM
Oh snap!
Posted by: withpower | November 09, 2009 at 05:15 PM
I think that the Yankees should not bring matsui back, but damon for a year at DH. between Melky, Gardner, Jackson and Swisher, it should be just fine. The outfielders will be the bottom three spots of the lineup, so all the need to do is bat about .270 and they'll be fine. Swisher can hit homeruns, and is a switch hitter, Melky is a switch hitter who has shown progress, and with a .270 average for Gardner he can easily steal 30+ bases.
As for starters, bring back Wang on an incentive based deal, resign Pettite for a year, and try out Erik Bedard on an incentive based one year deal also.
Then in 2011, the DH spot will be free, put Jorge there, spend major money on Mauer, because Jorge only has one year left, and then go out and also get Carl Crawford, who is an excellent athlete, and get Roy Halladay.
Simple to put it... easier said than done.
Gardner is not good enough to produce well at the major league level. swisher is fine, and melky is alright too. I havent heard much about Jackson, but i prefer him over gardner. So basicly you want three guys to play for center in the spring of this coming year? Bedard is a huge injury risk, and mauer is probably going to stay with the twins.
Posted by: yanksrdashit | November 09, 2009 at 05:19 PM
Idiotic = saying Dan Uggla is "terrible"...
Just as idiotic = thinking trading a cheap,young solid starter for a good 2B scheduled to make in the area of $8 million is a good idea for the Dodgers.
Posted by: vtadave | November 09, 2009 at 05:20 PM
Austin Jackson is not ready for the majors yet so he will be in the minors. So that gives you an outfield of Melky, Swish and Gardner. Not many fall back options there. The Yankees went into 2009 with Nady as their starting right fielder and Gardner as their starting center fielder and within a month it was a complete different scenario.
If the Yankees let Matsui go they need to find a way to replace his production. A rotation of Gardner, Cervelli and Ramiro Pena aren't going to able to do that (they are ultimately Matsui's replacement if the Yanks go in the direction of using the DH as a day off for Arod, Damon and Jeter).
I agree with slow playing most of the free agents to be on the Yankees except Pettitte. If Andy isn't back it changes the entire outlook of the Yanks rotation. With Andy in the rotation the Yanks can afford to have both Hughes and Joba in the rotation, but if he decides to retire they need to find another veteran presence.
Posted by: yanks09 | November 09, 2009 at 05:23 PM
yanks 09
i think the yankees need to get another pitcher no matter what, whether pettitte stays or not. You dont need a big name, maybe someone lke garland, he eats up innings, and had a slightly lower era than burnett did. You cant have 2 guys or 40% of your rotation be question marks, or you end up with the same situation as the 2008 yankees. I think you have to let hughes and joba pitch in spring training, whoever succeeds gets the number 5 spot. Keep in mind that hughes is going to have the same limit that joba had last year. The hughes rules.
Choice 1
sabathia
burnett
pettite
garland
joba/hughes
Choice 2
Sabathia
burnett
pettitte
joba
hughes
Posted by: yanksrdashit | November 09, 2009 at 05:29 PM
Okay, I take back my first post. Uggla + Anibal Sanchez + Jai Miller for Billingsley
Posted by: FishRock | November 09, 2009 at 05:40 PM
If the Yankees let Matsui go they need to find a way to replace his production. A rotation of Gardner, Cervelli and Ramiro Pena aren't going to able to do that (they are ultimately Matsui's replacement if the Yanks go in the direction of using the DH as a day off for Arod, Damon and Jeter).
---------
Poorly thought out IMO. Pena, Cervelli and Gardner are going to be in the lineup on days off for Jeter, Arod or Damon regardless of whether or not Matsui is there. I don't see the Yanks standing pat with Cabrera/Gardner/Swisher if Matsui is let go and Damon is brought back to DH. I'm not sold that Gardner can be an everyday player. I think he can be a decent league average hitter if he were to grow a pair and not take the first two pitches for strikes. Someone needs to tell him that plate discipline means laying off balls six inches off the plate not looking at fastballs right down the middle.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | November 09, 2009 at 05:51 PM
"I am sorry but some of these comments are insane. You do not trade your cheap ace that is controlled for years for one year of halladay and you definitely don't do it for Dan uggla."
I am a big Fish fan and Uggs is one of favorites, but really.. Billingsly is a serious over payment, but exactly the kind of guy the Fish are looking for.. Good young power pitcher, about ready to "maybe" break out.
Neal Huntington might make that move, but I doubt Colleti would be so foolish.
NrMax, Uggs would probably be moved to 3B before long is my guess anyway with regards to your post above, he is a serious short timer at 2B, his limited range grows shorter each and every year.
Posted by: johns | November 09, 2009 at 06:03 PM
Uggla is Swedish for "owl"
Posted by: DodgersLBC | November 09, 2009 at 06:06 PM
Anibal Sanchez tore his labrum and has averaged 56 innings a year since 2006. I doubt his inclusion sways the Dodgers to deal Billingsley. If Billingsley winds up in FLA, it's probably on a blockbuster involving both Uggla and Josh Johnson, with obviously more going Florida's way than Billingsley.
Posted by: vtadave | November 09, 2009 at 06:21 PM
If I'm Theo Epstein I'm trading my minor leagues for Roy Halladay and Adrian Gonzalez/ or Hanley Ramirez. I think in order to compete with the yankees we have to get another big bat and an ace in the cards. With Adrian/Hanley we made our line-up extremely strong and with Roy we have without a doubt the best front 3 starters in baseball. Imagine having to play a team in the playoffs when you face Roy Halladay, Jon Lester, and then Josh Beckett. If we get Adrian/Hanley and Roy Halladay I think we have a solid shot at 2010 champs.
Posted by: Jerry | November 09, 2009 at 07:04 PM
solid shot? it wouldn't even be fair, and it would never ever happen. to get all 3 of them you would have to trade all your prospects. What do you think would make that a fair trade, just curious. i can see getting either gonzales or hanley and then halladay. but al 3 i dont think so
Posted by: yanksrdashit | November 09, 2009 at 07:12 PM
I don't buy it and I'm not just being all homer but I see a deal going down. I see both Adrian and Heath Bell getting dealt, with Adrian going to Boston. It will take a lot to get him, but it will be a 'keeping up with the Jones' kinda theory, well in this case keeping up with the pinstripes.
Posted by: jondogg1985 | November 09, 2009 at 07:14 PM
" i can see getting either gonzales or hanley and then halladay. but al 3 i dont think so"
He said one of HanRam or AGon and Halladay...
Although I don't see us getting 2 of them. Maybe one, but not 2.
Posted by: lestercy | November 09, 2009 at 07:15 PM
as a yankee fan i would hate it, but it's a posibility. you can sign halladay after this season, and trade for one of them, you'd most likely lose most of your farm system but if you really wanted to get it done you probably could.
Posted by: yanksrdashit | November 09, 2009 at 07:18 PM
I think that the Yankees should not bring matsui back, but damon for a year at DH. between Melky, Gardner, Jackson and Swisher, it should be just fine. The outfielders will be the bottom three spots of the lineup, so all the need to do is bat about .270 and they'll be fine. Swisher can hit homeruns, and is a switch hitter, Melky is a switch hitter who has shown progress, and with a .270 average for Gardner he can easily steal 30+ bases.
As for starters, bring back Wang on an incentive based deal, resign Pettite for a year, and try out Erik Bedard on an incentive based one year deal also.
Then in 2011, the DH spot will be free, put Jorge there, spend major money on Mauer, because Jorge only has one year left, and then go out and also get Carl Crawford, who is an excellent athlete, and get Roy Halladay.
Posted by: Kenneth Szwech | November 09, 2009 at 05:06 PM
And then what yankee fan? Have A Bench of Albert Pujols, Ryan Howard, Chase Utley, and Grady Sizemore? You know, I try to post reasonable posts unlike some people and its things like this that make me upset at the viewpoint most yankee fans have.
Posted by: jondogg1985 | November 09, 2009 at 07:20 PM
im a yankee fan and that post was definately insane. mauer isn't going to happen. Crawford probably wont either. but honestly our outfield sucks.
Posted by: yanksrdashit | November 09, 2009 at 07:24 PM
The Red Sox are most likely not going to be pulling off any major trades like the ones proposed above this offseason. Our best prospects are at the lower minor league levels so we need to give them another year to develop before we can truly find out their potential. Also, Buchholz had a solid second half of the year and I am sure Theo is going to want to see if he can repeat that in 2010. With Lowell and Ortiz coming off the books next year I expect them to make a lot more dynamic trades next year and go after free agents this year.
Posted by: redsox22 | November 09, 2009 at 07:36 PM
So how soon before we make a trade for adrain? thats if we even do make a trade.
Posted by: harrison | November 09, 2009 at 07:55 PM
"So how soon before we make a trade for adrain? thats if we even do make a trade."
My guess would be that Theo stays in contact with Hoyer throughout the entire offseason but in the end decides not to part with all the prospects it will take to acquire Gonzalez.
Posted by: redsox22 | November 09, 2009 at 08:01 PM
Lets not forget that $15 million will be let free from the books for Posada, and the Yankees can sign Mauer for $18 on average a year.
Teams would be lucky to have the bottom three hitters on their team hitting .270, especially how each of them hold different positive attributes. Tell me three other teams who have those type of people at the bottom of the order.
Our Payroll is $208 million approximately, and $40 million is coming off with Damon, Matsui, Pettite, and Nady. Due to the current economy, I don't think that the Yankees will hold a payroll over $200 million.
For 2010- Damon $9 million
Pettite $9 million
Bedard/Garland/Lilly $6 million
That totals to $24 million, which lowers the payroll to about $184 million, which is substantially lower then what it is now.
It looks like in 2011, Pettite possibly may retire, opening another $9 million, and Damon will be gone, $9 million. Whatever bottom of the rotation guy is gone after 2010, will free up the $24 million dollars.
Perhaps Roy Halladay will not fit in the budget. But don't forget that $15 million will be coming off of the books when Posada retires, so thats about $40 million. That is easily enough money to retain Hughes and Joba, and get Crawford and Mauer.
2010 Payroll- $185-190 million
2011 Payroll- $190-195 million
2012 Payroll- $185
Its not that impossible, it's money management.
Posted by: Kenneth Szwech | November 09, 2009 at 08:28 PM
I sure wish that Cafredo, Speir and the rest of the Boston media would just stop drooling all over Adrian Gonzalez already. We are only 1 month into the off season and Gonzo has taken up nearly has much print space here as has Milton Bradley, then at least Gonzo is wanted by somebody :-)
To rehash what several others have posted before on *Minimum* to get Gonzalez and that was with Towers, Jed Hoyer is going to be far more familiar with Sox prospects than Towers was..
If any proposed deal was centered around young, controllable MLB talent, it would have to be headered by either Bucholz (never happen) or Jacoby Ellsbury, then include at least another pair of good, young arms. Boston would NOT include Casey Kelly as one, they would include from a list of Kyle Weiand, Stephen Fife, Felix Doubront and also one of the AAA pitchers Tazawa, or Bowden. Whether or not the Sox give up more than one of the A ball top prospects, or let go of the good arms they have in the GCL is a good question.
Without letting go of Bucholz, Bard (doubt he moves either), or Ellsbury, the only way to see any deal even remotely possible is to move either Ryan Westmoreland, or casey Kelly, both of which the Sox have deemed untouchable, which makes Gonzalez to Boston a moot point, they don't have much of anything at AA, or above right now ready to make the jump, other than Josh Reddick, maybe Tazawa and Bowden as longshots. The Sox depth is all at A Ball and lower since the V-Mart deal and all the promotions over the last year of young core players.
That is why a Gonzalez to Boston trade is far fetched.. The chips are not there since the Martinez deal. Masterson and Hagedone were VERY good pieces that could have been used, but no longer.
In short? Stop dreaming Boston fans and let Padre fans stop getting mad every time they see his name here in some hair brained/ludicrous offer.
Posted by: johns | November 09, 2009 at 08:38 PM
good post johns. i don't think padre fans get mad seeing him in all this print though. if anything it is a little exciting and flattering seeing the padres get some sort of national attention.
we have trust in our new management (perhaps unfounded thus far), and our ownership seems to realize that there isn't another player in the MLB that fits better with SD out there.
Being a local-boy and Mexican might seem trivial, but they are really a good draw for the Padres. More important though Adrian has an excellent swing and his defense improves the overall infield defense by helping out the throws from other positions. There is nothing controversial about Adrian, so I see him as a great foundation for anything the Padres want to do in the near or distant future.
Cardafo and others' claims that SD can't afford to keep Adrian seem like simply wishful thinking from Beantown fans.
Remember when Boston/NYY were convinced that they were going to acquire Todd Helton because Colorado couldn't afford to keep him. Well same thing here with SD and Gonzalez, only Adrian makes much more sense for SD.
Posted by: agonzo23 | November 09, 2009 at 09:00 PM
"Remember when Boston/NYY were convinced that they were going to acquire Todd Helton because Colorado couldn't afford to keep him."
Ah yes Agonzo23, I remember that.. Colorodo had it through their thick heads that Helton and his horrendous contract that at that time (prior to 2007 season) had like 100M left on it was worth Mikey Lowell (about to walk as a FA after the year) AND Manny DelCarmen.. Lowell turned out to be the WS MVP that year vs those same Rockies and Helton has been hurt the majority of the time since, along with his massive contract, Lowell signed a 3/36M contract after putting up 21HR, 120RBI, 324 Avg and a 879 Ops that year, to go along with his WS MVP season and has been pretty fair, injury and all, at least a better value that 17M average salary than helton until the year 2011.
Posted by: johns | November 09, 2009 at 09:21 PM
2010 Payroll- $185-190 million
2011 Payroll- $190-195 million
2012 Payroll- $185
Its not that impossible, it's money management.
Posted by: Kenneth Szwech | November 09, 2009 at 08:28 PM
What the hell do you know about money management ALL you've bloody done is talk about how many unrealistic transactions and signings you (obviously ca$mans stunt double) think the yankers should make. it's quite rediculous maybe you should preread your posts, but wait, you're just a blindsighted yankee fan. i tell you what, if they sign ALL of those players you mentioned, why don't Selig just time warp all the way to October 2010 since March-Sept would be a fricken waste.
Posted by: jondogg1985 | November 09, 2009 at 09:24 PM
"2010 Payroll- $185-190 million
2011 Payroll- $190-195 million
2012 Payroll- $185
Its not that impossible, it's money management."
How is that money management, spending almost $200 million? Money management is what teams like the Rays do, not the Yankee$.
Posted by: Price14 | November 09, 2009 at 09:47 PM
@johns, big deal on not acquiring Helton. the point was that Col didn't sell. Lowell won a WS MVP; big deal, so did Eckstein. Helton would have much better numbers than Lowell in that lineup. DelCarmen is thoroughly avg.
It still would have been a dumb move for Col to trade Helton, but it would be even dumber for SD to trade Gonzalez (which i thought was your point). If you enjoyed Lowell and DelCarmen more than Helton this year, then that is your problem.
Boston fans were much more enjoyable as lovable losers, before they won a WS and became a bunch of d-bags. Don't ever win a WS Cubbie fans, lest you may suffer from Boston-itis.
Posted by: agonzo23 | November 09, 2009 at 10:00 PM
Agonzo,
It was my point on Gonzalez to not attempt to make the deal, we have our wires crossed..
The Sox simply do not have the chips to make the deal without moving core pieces (Ellsbury, Bucholz, Bard) at the MLB level, or top guys in Westmoreland and Kelly that they are hanging into and have *said* said least they don't want to move.
The non trade for Helton was just smart, Youkilis was on the way up and was no reason to make that trade. He was 5+ years younger, owed 15+M less and no health risk, plus they were going to get a 2nd year's worth of a look at that time at Lowell to see how he performed in the AL and see if they wanted to pursue him.
The Sox already had a LH heavy lineup and needed RH bats moreso, it was a smart move and DelCarmen was once a decent prospect, though you are correct that his star has fallen.
Boston and the Sox FO usually do not go out and sign guys to huge contracts Agonzo, look at the contracts they have, sure there are some large ones as compared to many teams, but not like the NYY, they have many in the 8-10M range, but only Ortiz and Drew over 10M i am almost certain.
"Boston fans were much more enjoyable as lovable losers, before they won a WS and became a bunch of d-bags. Don't ever win a WS Cubbie fans, lest you may suffer from Boston-itis."
C'mon now.. I like the Fish about as much as Boston and liked them back in the 60's as much as do now...
Posted by: johns | November 09, 2009 at 11:54 PM
i think i see what you are saying now johns. you seemed more realistic in having the red sox forcing the padres to trade gonzalez by offering ellsbury, buccholz, etc to get a trade done.
however, you lost me in your 2nd message seeming to claim that by avoiding Helton and keeping Lowell and DelCarmen, the RedSox were able to win the WS. i think this is faulty logic bc they would have prob won the world series even harder if they acquired Helton as a middle of the order bat (with Youk at 3B and Papi at DH). i mean even you have to agree that Helton leading the Rockies to the WS is a little more impressive than Lowell winning a WS MVP. regardless, the sox turned around and gave a pretty hefty contract to the aging Lowell.
but even before the rumored trades in late 2007, the big market clubs were readying themselves to acquire Helton via FA erroneously believing that Col couldn't possibly afford Helton long-term. you see history repeating itself here?
in my opinion, helton never had a horrible contract. sure it is big, and takes up a larger proportion of Col payroll than it would for other teams. however, Helton is a consistent .320 hitter who is worth the money. with Col playing a bunch of kids with huge upside around him, that club has done very well for themselves the last few years. also, the big contracts are mostly insured against injury these days, so it isn't as great of a risk as in the past.
the Rockie model is how i see the padres handling Adrian, but the media writers seem to forget about Helton and the Rockies as a useful guide of how the Padres could actually afford Gonz for the long haul. maybe it is easier for the media to write the stories that way, or they think the readers are too stupid to comprehend such a concept.
"Boston and the Sox FO usually do not go out and sign guys to huge contracts"
this is just an inaccurate statement from my perspective. i can count about 9 guys on the roster who are making big money (10 mil plus or coming upon 10 mil plus years). Drew, Ortiz, Lowell, Beckett, Youk, Matsuzaka, Papelbon, Lester, Pedroia (and we'll see what they do with V. Martinez).
this is a great resource for the numbers if you haven't checked it out before: http://mlbcontracts.blogspot.com/
face it Red Sox nation, you are Yankees-lite. not quite as big of a payroll, but you are positioned well ahead of about 25 other teams.
as for a grown man rooting for an expansion team, i can not support this (or having an alternative team at all). in my stupid opinion, expansion teams can only rightfully be supported by children who grew up with the team, and the parents who take them to the park.
wow, longest post ever. fortunately for others, no one will prob read this bc this is an old set of links now.
Posted by: agonzo23 | November 10, 2009 at 01:22 AM
Agonzo,
Yeah on our going back and forth with our getting into a habit, friendly chats.
Youk, Pedroia, Lester, Papelbon are nowhere near 10M yet on contracts. granted the contracts of Youk, Pedey and Lester call for it, but that is 3+ years down the road. One could count that, but this coming year for instance, Pedey is set to make 3.5, Lester 3.75, Papelbon and Youk will end up with close to 8-10M (Youk is signed for 9.1M) and Dice-K is signed for 8M. That is 8-10M that I mentioned above, with Ortiz and Drew making the huge cash, don't know how forgot to mention Lowell when I even mentioned him making 3/36 above...
Beckett's 12M option did not think of either, but these are the types of deals the Sox FO trys to do and can fully see how fans of other teams may get annoyed, I don't want Boston giving Bay anywhere near 15M a year either, but figure they will and end up with a dead contract in about 2 years, like Ortiz and Lowell are now.
Then root for the Fish and hope they can keep Danny Uggla, who just makes a lousy 5M.. What a difference, understand where you are coming from with being hard to keep core players. Imagine having a team you dearly like totally dismantle a WS champion over the off season.. The Fish did...
Yankee-Lite, I like that. Why not the Cubbies, or Dodgers? Because they make sorrier signings of players? They spend more money, just spend it poorly, like on bloated contracts, to players (like Helton) with age against them and too long of a period. Contracts like that will shackle a team.
Spend on the farm system and build the core from within and add a piece here or there with the fruits of the system. have seen it work for the 1st time in history as a Sox fan. Fish do it pretty well also, only they are always rebuilding.
Posted by: johns | November 10, 2009 at 01:39 AM
I would have to assume that the Padres asking price on Adrian would be:
Bucholz
Bard
Kelly
Reddick
There would be no incentive for the Padres to move Adrian if they were not getting this kind of talent in return.
I heard the new season ticket holder brochure for the padres doesn't have Adrian or Kouz featured. hmmmm....
The Padres are not under any kind of payroll pressure anymore, may have about 10m to spend. The Padres should only move Adrian, Kouz, or Bell if they feel like they have the advantage in the trade. These players are more productive than their salaries and therfore perfect for the Padres to keep.
Posted by: PadresFuture | November 10, 2009 at 01:30 PM
That Todd Helton albatross of a contract is one of the 5 worst in baseball. Anyone defending it or the non-trade to Boston is an IDIOT!
Posted by: RED SOX DYNASTY! | November 10, 2009 at 01:40 PM
"I would have to assume that the Padres asking price on Adrian would be:
Bucholz
Bard
Kelly
Reddick
There would be no incentive for the Padres to move Adrian if they were not getting this kind of talent in return.
I heard the new season ticket holder brochure for the padres doesn't have Adrian or Kouz featured. hmmmm....
The Padres are not under any kind of payroll pressure anymore, may have about 10m to spend. The Padres should only move Adrian, Kouz, or Bell if they feel like they have the advantage in the trade. These players are more productive than their salaries and therfore perfect for the Padres to keep."
your kidding right the red sox verbally stated bard and bucholz were of limit kelly serves dual roles for boston and is as well off limits reddick with the trade of hermida is the only one there
Posted by: Soxfan4lyfe | November 10, 2009 at 01:56 PM
"I would have to assume that the Padres asking price on Adrian would be:
Bucholz
Bard
Kelly
Reddick
There would be no incentive for the Padres to move Adrian if they were not getting this kind of talent in return.
I heard the new season ticket holder brochure for the padres doesn't have Adrian or Kouz featured. hmmmm....
The Padres are not under any kind of payroll pressure anymore, may have about 10m to spend. The Padres should only move Adrian, Kouz, or Bell if they feel like they have the advantage in the trade. These players are more productive than their salaries and therfore perfect for the Padres to keep."
your kidding right the red sox verbally stated bard and bucholz were of limit kelly serves dual roles for boston and is as well off limits reddick with the trade of hermida is the only one there"
Dude, Dont get your panties in bunches. I am not suggesting the Redsox would or should trade this type of package. If you actually read the entire post.... the point is unless the Red Sox or any other team is willing to trade this level of talent, then why would the Padres be in a hurry to move Adrian.
Posted by: PadresFuture | November 10, 2009 at 07:57 PM
Do Red Sox fans actually expect to get Adrian or Halladay for that matter without giving up "untouchable" minor league talent?
Posted by: PadresFuture | November 10, 2009 at 08:00 PM