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« Billy Wagner Could Accept Arbitration | Main | Tigers Will Listen On Edwin Jackson »
The Phillies are "showing preliminary interest" in free agent reliever Fernando Rodney, according to Ken Rosenthal and Jon Paul Morosi of FOX Sports. GM Ruben Amaro Jr. told David Murphy of the Philadelphia Daily News that he's reached out to five or six free agents, so Rodney is presumably among those.
The FOX writers expect Rodney "to draw heavy interest from a large number of clubs," which comes as a surprise to me. I suppose it all just depends on Rodney's demands - will he take a one-year deal at less than $8MM, and is he open to a set-up role? Here in 2009 I imagine GMs aren't terribly impressed by 37 saves when they come with a 4.40 ERA, 7.3 K/9, and 4.9 BB/9. To his credit, Rodney was one of few free agent relievers with a strong groundball rate (57.9%).
Rodney could benefit from being classified as a Type B free agent rather than Type A. But with relievers, the importance of those designations seems overblown because arbitration offers are far from certain. Jose Valverde, Mike Gonzalez, Rafael Soriano, LaTroy Hawkins, Rafael Betancourt, Kevin Gregg, John Grabow, Billy Wagner, Darren Oliver, Takashi Saito, and Octavio Dotel are Type A free agents, but only a handful will actually be offered arbitration.
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This would make sense for the Phillies, because they wouldn't have to pay him closers money, but if Lidge was to struggle again than they can plug Rodney into the closer's role.
Posted by: jrenz31 | November 11, 2009 at 09:28 AM
Giving Rodney a 1/8 deal would be a mistake, he's just not that good.
He's never had good command, and that didn't change in 2009, his 4.88 BB/9 was still quite high, and he didn't really make up for it with a good strikeout rate, his 1.49 K/BB ratio is relatively unimpressive for a Closer.
The guy throws essentially two pitches, a fastball and a changeup, and while the changeup is a good pitch that induces a lot of groundballs, his fastball is pretty straight, so he still struggles to miss that many bats.
He's a decent reliever, but once again, I don't see how Rodney is remotely a superior option to Madson.
Posted by: scribbletone | November 11, 2009 at 09:30 AM
God, no. If Fernando Rodney is the answer, you're asking the wrong question.
Posted by: ColonelTom | November 11, 2009 at 09:35 AM
I don't mind Rodney as a set up man, not a closer. Also if he can come rather cheap I would believe that teams like the Astros, Diamondbacks, Mets, and Yankees having some level of intrest. But agree with scribbletone, the Phillies are better off with Madson and signing Mike Gonzalez than signing Rodney.
Posted by: Teixiera/ARod FTW | November 11, 2009 at 09:36 AM
Man that 4.9BB/9 is pretty gnarly.
Why do teams continue to pay big money for closers when internal options and cheaper arms give returns so close to 'shut down' closers? There are always going to be Nathans and Marianos but by and large its better to get a bunch of guys whom one of could turn into a Bell or Aardsma or Franklin instead of giving big money one guy to be a KRod or Lidge or Wood.
Posted by: bbxxj | November 11, 2009 at 09:38 AM
"There are always going to be Nathans and Marianos but by and large its better to get a bunch of guys whom one of could turn into a Bell or Aardsma or Franklin instead of giving big money one guy to be a KRod or Lidge or Wood."
Because somehow, some GM's are still mesmerized by the Closer label.
Although on the whole Kerry Wood thing, he was coming off a really, really good season with the Cubs.
Posted by: scribbletone | November 11, 2009 at 09:40 AM
The Phillies are going to spend a lot this offseason but i bet you that all of their people who they will sign will be bad. Watch the Phillies will come back to 3rd plaace in their divisoon. They have no pitching and their offense has to let down soon... shouldn't they?
Posted by: Black-And-Proud | November 11, 2009 at 09:41 AM
People pay big money to closers because there are barely anyone that can close games out. That is actually the most important cause if you think about it. You could have lost 50 games as a closer...? Not everygame is a blowout and you cannot just bring up a guy from the minor leagues and make them your closer.
Posted by: Black-And-Proud | November 11, 2009 at 09:42 AM
@Black-And-Proud
Yes you can. You can't just bring any guy up but if you have a guy with a decent strikeout rate and decent control he will save most games. Relievers are such fickle creatures that you don't give them long term deals or big money. Unless they are Rivera... who is in a world by himself.
Plus, your SN is kind of offensive. I would prefer not to get into a race discussion but stuff like that makes you seem elitist, and from history we know how that works out...
Posted by: bbxxj | November 11, 2009 at 09:46 AM
"They have no pitching and their offense has to let down soon... shouldn't they?"
We're talking about the Phillies team that already has Cliff Lee, Cole Hamels, Joe Blanton and J.A. Happ locked into their 2010 rotation, right? No pitching my ass.
"Not everygame is a blowout and you cannot just bring up a guy from the minor leagues and make them your closer."
Yes, because of course that failed for guys like Joakim Soria, Andrew Bailey, Huston Street, Bobby Jenks, Matt Capps and Brian Wilson, right?
Posted by: scribbletone | November 11, 2009 at 09:50 AM
God, no. If Fernando Rodney is the answer, you're asking the wrong question.
***
Well, not if the question is, "Name a player the Phillies could sign that would end up being a total and complete waste of resources." :)
Posted by: HollywoodHamels | November 11, 2009 at 09:50 AM
The term "closer" has ruined pitcher use and the economics of relief free agents so much that I get a little queasy every time I hear it or read it.
It's such a bogus term.
Posted by: thephrontiersman | November 11, 2009 at 09:52 AM
Take it from a Detroit fan if you plan on winning the World Series you do not want this guy pitching the 8th or 9th.
Posted by: Sparticus | November 11, 2009 at 09:56 AM
Does anyone here know exactly why the Phillies are so down on Madson as a closer?
In the past two seasons, he's posted ERA marks of 3.05 and 3.26, and xFIP marks of 3.66 and 3.24. He misses bats, has solid command, and isn't particularly homer-prone.
Seems to me like Madson would be a significantly superior option than practically anyone that the Phils can add on the open market.
Posted by: scribbletone | November 11, 2009 at 09:59 AM
BlaCk and proud
"They have no pitching and their offense has to let down soon... shouldn't they?"
They have Cliff Lee, Cole Hamels, J.A Happ And Blanton.
when you dont know what your talking about just shut the **** up.
Utley and Howard and young enuff they could improve.
Rollins will have a better year, Werth looks like he can hit another 25-30.
only player might regress is Ibaniez and he could still hit 20-25 hrs.
Hawiian kid could also improve
Posted by: BxSquad | November 11, 2009 at 09:59 AM
I'll agree that the term "closer" is vastly overrated, but I think there is limited merit to it.
Good K rate and decent control are essential, of course, but these are still human beings subject to psychological limitations. There are some guys who are just better at handling different levels of pressure than others.
Where teams tend to go wrong is in thinking that proven mediocrity is better than unproven excellence.
I'd go with Mathieson in that spot if he's ready and still able, or go for a Gonzalez or Putz otherwise. Relievers are relatively easy to find mid-season.
Posted by: ajhenry2383 | November 11, 2009 at 10:04 AM
@scribbletone:
They're mostly down on him because he did so poorly when given the job last season, while Lidge was injured...blew 1/2 the save ops he had during that period.
FWIW I still think he could do it.
And please, God, not Rodney. I'd rather they go after Lyon, who's cheaper and better.
Posted by: Muggi | November 11, 2009 at 10:19 AM
Some guys make fine setup men but wind up being miscast as a closer. LaTroy Hawkins comes to mind. Perhaps the Phillies feel the same way about Madson.
I'm guessing Charlie Manuel isn't a guy who actually thinks about using his best relievers in high-leverage situations.
Posted by: vtadave | November 11, 2009 at 10:29 AM
Tim- your take on Rodney is exactly the same as mine. F Rod has one of the filthiest change ups in the game, but it's completely useless if he can't locate his fastball. When the fastball is on, Rodney is a lights out closer, as he has two near unhittable pitches. But he throws the fastball for strikes about 49% of the time (my guesstimate), he puts about 1.5 runners on base per inning, and if hitters will just wait him out and sit on the change, he can be totally ineffective. In 2009, he kept the ball in the park, and he saved 37 of 38 chances.
Rodney looks attractive right now, because all the other closers are Type A free agents, meaning that a top 15 club has to give up a first rounder for him, AND he's the only one that has closed in the AL. The Tigers should offer arbitration to Rodney and Lyon, and be happy if either accepts. But both will want multi year deals, and that's only fair after good seasons from both.
Posted by: Tigerdog | November 11, 2009 at 10:32 AM
"And please, God, not Rodney. I'd rather they go after Lyon, who's cheaper and better."
Totally agree, Lyon has a much more solid track record, even if he didn't go 37/38 in save opportunities last season.
"Some guys make fine setup men but wind up being miscast as a closer. LaTroy Hawkins comes to mind. Perhaps the Phillies feel the same way about Madson."
True, but guys like Hawkins are the exception, not the rule. Generally, a good all-around reliever is more than capable of being a solid closer.
Posted by: scribbletone | November 11, 2009 at 10:35 AM
Madson is fine. There is absolutely no truth to this 9th inning mentality myth.
Give Madson a full season of closing/saving duties would show plenty of people that he's more than adept at relieving.
I think most Philadelphians just hate me and insist on trolling me.
Posted by: thephrontiersman | November 11, 2009 at 10:37 AM
i don't get where the need for bullpen help is coming from. I'd much rather get a solid, reliable 5th starter until Drabek is ready in late 2010 or 2011.
Lidge, Madson, Durbin, Romero, Eyre are fine. Add in a Bastardo maybe even a Mathieson and we'll be fine.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | November 11, 2009 at 11:06 AM
@philsWSchamps:
That's the thing though...Eyre may retire and both Eyre and Durbin are FA's.
They're going to have to either resign those guys, or find replacements...so may as well look at upgrades in the meantime. No one is going to be beating down Chad Durbin's door anytime soon.
Posted by: Muggi | November 11, 2009 at 11:14 AM
muggi,
I'm thinking Eyre had so much fun last year he may give it one more shot. I'd resign durbin as long as it doesn't end up more than 2/6. Oh and a note to those other Mathieson fans out there. He was added to the 40 man roster the other day. I think he's got a good shot at making the team. There were plenty of people in the front office who liked him just as much as Madson coming up before his two TJ surgeries.
I'm just so anti Rodney at 1 for 8.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | November 11, 2009 at 11:19 AM
If I was the Phillies I would explore the Mariners and their bullpen. Maybe a trade that kid Mark Lowe, has one of the best arms in baseball.
Posted by: Cyyoung | November 11, 2009 at 11:22 AM
Chad Durbin is not a FA. This is his final year of arbitration eligibility.
Posted by: thephrontiersman | November 11, 2009 at 11:35 AM
MY BAD, phrontiersman is correct, Durbin has one more arb year. I got that messed up somehow.
I could see Eyre coming back, and I'd like to see him back, but I don't mind them looking elsewhere as well. I agree though, NO RODNEY.
Funny you brought up Mathieson, I was just posting about him in another thread...that's good news. BA still rates him as the best fastball in the Phils' farm system!
Posted by: Muggi | November 11, 2009 at 12:02 PM
Mathieson will definitely be in the mix, and could emerge as a setup man or closer very quickly. The talent is there.
Durbin's control went completely haywire last year, but apparently he was pitching hurt for much of the first few months of '09. He looked much better in the playoffs and should be back and effective in 2010.
Posted by: ColonelTom | November 11, 2009 at 01:14 PM
Actually, the Phils need to go into the offseason with the idea that the pen is the biggest weakness...
From there, they need to do one of two things...
Sign a low risk high reward guy like JJ Putz to a one year deal...
Or
Go for broke on a guy like Valverde to sure up the pen...
Posted by: allabouthephils | November 11, 2009 at 01:14 PM
wouldnt spend a lot on a reliver. chan ho might be comin back, jc is already paid for and he ll be healthy. buy LOW on a reliever because you never know what your going to get.
ask the mets and jj putz.
save the money to bring in beltre or figgins at third.
Posted by: jrollpatrol2008 | November 11, 2009 at 02:22 PM
i cant see rodney in a phillies uniform
Posted by: philly phan | November 11, 2009 at 02:28 PM