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« Blue Jays, D'Backs Discussed Snyder For Overbay | Main | Phillies Decline Option On Pedro Feliz »
After falling short in their quest to repeat as world champions, Ruben Amaro Jr. & Co. are charged with the task of putting the organization in position to take the crown in 2010. Buster Olney, Baseball Prospectus and the Insider Staff reviewed the Phillies' '09 campaign and discussed what might be in store for them this winter. An Insider subscription is required, but here are some highlights for those without:
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Trading for Roy Halladay would go against the history of this ownership group, so I don't see that happening, unless they trade Victorino. As for thirdbase I think they will get Beltre if they don't bring back Feliz or trade for a young thirdbaseman, like Alex Gordon or Brandon Wood.
Posted by: Chris | November 08, 2009 at 05:04 PM
I do not for a second believe the Jays value Happ enough to be the centrepiece of a Halladay deal.
Posted by: stoeten | November 08, 2009 at 05:14 PM
I actually kind of hope that the Phils don't go after Halladay this offseason. He's going to have a huge pricetag, and while we need him, I'd rather save the farm and go after him next offseason. I hope they decline Feliz's option and sign him to a 1 or 2 million dollar deal and have him be a bench bat and put some money into Beltre. I think he'd be a wonderful fit and could do that lineup wonders. I would love it if the Phils also went after Sheets and Bedard.
Posted by: worldchamps08 | November 08, 2009 at 05:18 PM
If Jake Westbrook proves himself recovered from T.J. and back to form, we'll see another Phils-Tribe transaction.
Posted by: MickS | November 08, 2009 at 05:21 PM
Happ most likely could not be the centerpiece of a Halladya trade. He is already in his mid twenties and doesnt look to have that huge a cieling. the phils kinda gave away some good prospects for lee (although they havent panned out) and trading for halladay could potentially wipe out their system. plus, then they would be faced with the problem of re signing both lee and halladay next offseason. so then if they fall out of contention they might trade one of them midseason- the whole thing gets so complicated.
i think beltre would be perfect. great defense and going back to the NL might rejuvinate his bat.
Posted by: www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1189366223 | November 08, 2009 at 05:31 PM
Ben, I can't see the Phillies falling out of contention, ESPECIALLY if they trade for Halladay. Something drastic would need to happen.
Posted by: worldchamps08 | November 08, 2009 at 05:33 PM
At this point I can't see any team being willing to give up a quality mlb pitcher for 1 year of Halladay. Unless Halladay allows (or is allowed) to talk extension, then I don't think anyone will trade quality young mlb pitching (ala Happ, Billingsley or Joba) for Halladay, and certainly not multiple blue chip prospects.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | November 08, 2009 at 05:45 PM
With Lee and Blanton FA's next year and Hamels mindset being a little "iffy" I would think Happ has become a player worth holding on to. Can anyone imagine a Halladay trade involving Happ being made with an extension already done for him or Lee? Then that means that at the end of 2010, Hamels would be the only pitcher of quality under contract for the following season.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | November 08, 2009 at 05:48 PM
....involving Happ being made withOUT an extension already done for him or Lee?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | November 08, 2009 at 05:49 PM
pitching rotation is fine and the yankees, red sox have a better chance at holladay than the phillies. i don't think the phillies want to increase payroll. lee,hamels,happ,blaton is a good rotation. sign a cheap free agent for the 5th spot.
Posted by: antor | November 08, 2009 at 06:13 PM
I really dont get why so many ESPN writers believe that Happ is really as good as his 09. He had ONE GOOD YEAR! Not even a full year. He has a #3 potential, nothing more. Its amazing.
And I dont put Joba or Happ in the category of Billingsley. Billz needs to cut down his walks and will be an ace. He has ace stuff, strong FB, great curve, nice slider, along with a slighty differnet curve, thats slower with the same break. If Torre doesnt throw him out there when he can barely walk to the mound because of how many pitches he has already thrown, he will become an ace.
Joba may have had that potential, but I think the Joba rules messed up his arm and he needs to be allowed to pitch w/o restriction to see what he can do. Either he becomes a starter, or is the heir aparant to Mo.
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | November 08, 2009 at 06:54 PM
"And I dont put Joba or Happ in the category of Billingsley."
I dont think any of us knowledgeable Phillies fans do...
Posted by: Jeff Goldberg | November 08, 2009 at 06:58 PM
I still can't wrap my brain around a guy whose sig is "lakersdodgersyankees4life"
I mean seriously... you should just change that name to
"frontrunningbandwagoner4life"
also ... Buster is smoking crack... JA Happ is not better than a compensatory pick ... unless Drabek is coming the other way ... its a no go...
Buchholz and Kelly for Doc.
Posted by: cortez101 | November 08, 2009 at 07:07 PM
THIS IS NOT J.P. RICCARDI ANYMORE PEOPLE.
I think every Jays fan is fully confident that Anthopolous isn't interested in any deal centered around J.A. Happ. Kyle Drabek and Dominic Brown? Yes.
Posted by: morays | November 08, 2009 at 07:11 PM
"Buchholz and Kelly for Doc."
The first reply to that trade offer would be a dialtone.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | November 08, 2009 at 07:16 PM
I hope Halladay is traded this offseason ! Anthopolous has a much better head on his shoulders and is not on the same hotseat Riccardi was sitting upon.
That said the best things the Phil's have going for them is that they don't play in the AL east which significantly cuts down the amount of actual suitors for Halladay.
I don't see how getting Hallday reduces the Phillies chances next year. Halladay rocks the Yanks most nights and if the Phillies could find one pitches besides Cliff that can beat the Yankees in the playoffs then you wouldn't repeat 2009 next year.
Posted by: BaseBallz | November 08, 2009 at 07:18 PM
How can a guy who struggles at defensively at 2b claim to be "more comfortable" at 3b? Uggla needs to check himself.
Posted by: shermanatr | November 08, 2009 at 07:36 PM
I wasn't saying that JOba, Bills or Happ were all of equal value, even though I think Joba's stuff is on parr with Bills. What I was referencing was simply young starters with mlb success under their belts as opposed to minor league prospects.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | November 08, 2009 at 07:39 PM
If the Jays are smart, they trade Halladay for whatever they can salvage this offseason. If a deal centered around Happ is the highest, then they should suck it up and take it.
Posted by: d32123 | November 08, 2009 at 07:53 PM
could you imagine a 2 headed monster at the top of your SP rotation of Doc and Lee? Wow, thats all i would have to say about that if it happened
Posted by: allstarlineup | November 08, 2009 at 08:04 PM
If the Jays are smart, they trade Halladay for whatever they can salvage this offseason. If a deal centered around Happ is the highest, then they should suck it up and take it.
Posted by: d32123 | November 08, 2009 at 07:53 PM"
Somebody will give up someone better than Happ.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | November 08, 2009 at 08:24 PM
Can we please stop it with this JA Happ stuff? Guy had a nice year but enough of this centerpiece for Roy Halladay stuff, ok? What is he like a #3 or #4 starter? A #5? The Phils don't wanna part w/ their best prospects for an ace pitcher (& in Halladay's case maybe a guy who'll be a HOF'er one day) & y'know that's their prerogative & it's completely ok. But they flat out ROBBED Cleveland for Lee - but why in the world would Toronto think JA Happ is any sort of centerpiece? Ask a Cleveland fan how they feel about what they got for Cliff Lee. Those poor folks are probably still vomiting from their eyes & burning their GM in effigy.
Posted by: deeselig | November 08, 2009 at 08:35 PM
JA Happ? Really? Guy has the definition of average stuff.
Posted by: brian91388 | November 08, 2009 at 08:43 PM
i like the rotation the way it is. spend money on beltre--have that be the big deal of the offseason. maybe a bullpen guy/backup catcher/platoon guy like a dobbs, bruntlett. But beltre, 3years 10mil per season lock it up. this lineup is deadly now, wait till beltre gets here.
Posted by: jrollpatrol2008 | November 09, 2009 at 08:07 AM
I'm just wondering when Sox and Yanks fans are going to realize that the Jays are most likely not going to trade within the AL East. I know you guys think you deserve every great player, but that is not the case. The way most Yankee fans think is that they should just have an "American All-Star" team also known as the New York Yankees. It's a joke and yeah I know their three big signings weren't that great in the WS, but they prob would not have gotten there or possibly not in the post season without them. Having all the great players on one team makes the games a non-event and frankly it's bad for baseball. The sad thing is that so many Yanks fans think they deserve all the great players just because they're "The Yankees." Please grow up, get over yourselves, and realize what your team is doing to baseball as a whole. Also, have fun with headcase Lackey next year...
OK now for the Halladay talk; Happ is a great rookie pitcher, since when is 12-4 and 2.93 ERA mediocre? He would have had more starts and prob more wins if he had been the starter all year, but they had to give it to Chan Ho because he had a better spring training and more experience overall. Domonic (not Dominic) Brown and Taylor are top 25 prospects in the country and the Phils only need one future outfielder, so they can deal without having one of them. Also, Drabek will prob be ready for 2011 and possibly late in 2010 so giving up Happ for a year (and possibly more who knows)of Halladay would prob work out ok. The Jays were stupid and didnt trade Halladay last trade deadline when they should have and now they won't be able to get as many prospects for him. A trade of Happ, Taylor or Brown, and another decent prospect is prob what the Phils would offer. I;m not saying the Jays will take it, but it would prob be smart if they did.
Posted by: slj9486 | November 09, 2009 at 08:16 AM
slj9486, Brown & Taylor are fine prospects. I would never dispute that. I think Brown in particular would be someone of interest to the Blue Jays, who desperately need good young position players. And as I said before, JA Happ had a great year - there's no disputing that either. But the only person who actually thinks he's going to repeat the type of year he had is his mother. No one thinks he projects as more than a back of the rotation starter. The Blue Jays have plenty of guys just like him & I'm willing to bet that once the Yanks, Red Sox & Rays saw him a couple of times he'd have no better luck than a guy like R. Romero. JA Happ is the very definition of 'Just Another Guy'.
Posted by: deeselig | November 09, 2009 at 08:57 AM
And furthermore, where is there any indication that the Phillies are going to increase payroll in 2010? From what I understand their payroll will be roughly the same as it was this year. Are they going to upgrade 3rd base & pay Roy Halladay on top of that?
Posted by: deeselig | November 09, 2009 at 08:59 AM
They will only increase by 2/3 million a year max on 3rd baseman, and will spend 10 million max on arbitration, so there is about 17 million to spend, which will be used for 3rd and possibly some pitching help.
Posted by: Covy | November 09, 2009 at 09:22 AM
Well payroll will increase with the amounts granted in the contracts of a lot of the current players and players like Victorino and Ruiz may get paid more as well. They need a 3B, BP help, and a right-handed bat off the bunch more than a top of the line starter, but it wouldnt hurt. I agree Happ prob won't have nearly as good a year as he did this year considering it was the first time these teams had seen him; young pitchers are rarely as effective after a stellar year (i.e. Cole Hamels). I would love to have Halladay, but the Phils could manage without him.
Posted by: slj9486 | November 09, 2009 at 09:23 AM
Also, by dropping the Feliz option that's an indication that they are going to upgrade at 3B.
Posted by: slj9486 | November 09, 2009 at 09:24 AM