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Twins Notes: Mauer, Crede, Duensing

MLB.com's Kelly Thesier fielded questions from Twins fans in her mailbag today.  Here are some of the more noteworthy tidbits:

  • While the Twins may raise their payroll to about $85-90MM, most of that increase will go towards retaining their own players and, potentially, an extension for Joe Mauer.  Thesier says that as a result, it is not likely to be a busy offseason for the team in terms of acquisitions.  However, the team still may have enough space to add an infielder or starting pitcher.
  • With that in mind, it is "very unlikely" that the Twins will pursue free agent Chone Figgins.  The 31-year-old could possibly receive a deal worth $50MM over five years, which is more than the Twins are willing to spend.  Figgins projects as a Type B free agent.
  • It is unlikely that the club re-signs Joe Crede, who says his recovery from back surgery is going well.  Third baseman Danny Valencia is close to being ready for the majors, making Crede's return less than probable.  There is a "small chance" that Crede - who hit .225/.289/.414 with 15 HRs in '09 - could return if he comes at a bargain price.
  • Brian Duensing will "more than likely" be a member of Minnesota's rotation in 2010, unless the team signs two starters on the open market.  The 26-year-old recorded an ERA of 5.17 in 15 relief appearances but found more success as a starter, posting a 2.73 ERA in nine games.  Scott Baker, Nick Blackburn and Kevin Slowey "appear to be locks" in the starting five.
  • For more on what lies ahead for the club, take a look at our Twins Offseason Outlook.


Comments

If Slowey comes back healthy I could really see the Twins just running with Duensing and one of Perkins, Bonser, Manship, Swarzak, or Liriano to round out the last two spots.

That's the problem with the Twins, too many holes to be a really great team. We've got new money coming in, but with the necessity of a Mauer extension and some arbitration raises, we can't afford to do much different.

Nathan's contract is really detrimental to the team, but trading him would cause a riot around these parts as well.

Nathan's an elite closer, and I've loved having him around for the past several years, but his contract just doesn't make sense given the rest of our needs.

"Nathan's contract is really detrimental to the team, but trading him would cause a riot around these parts as well.

Nathan's an elite closer, and I've loved having him around for the past several years, but his contract just doesn't make sense given the rest of our needs."

I couldn't agree more. For a team that hasn't had any problems finding effective, dynamic bullpen arms for the last decade, it's silly to pay a closer $12MM. Think about it, that's 3 Nick Punto-type players ;)

Contracts like that don't help, either.

Bill Smith's done very little to convince me that he's anything other than incompetent.

Zach and the other writers of MLBTradeRumors.com ...

If you want to get a start on the '10 off-season I'll give you a post today that can be used one year from now:

-- Scott Boras and Joe Crede are both reporting that Crede's back rehab is going better than expected. Despite only playing in [fill in the number of games here] for the [fill in the team here] in '10, Crede expects to be fully healthy and ready for the '11 season. "Joe has consistently demonstrated that he is one of the toughest ball players in the game. His glove and power will be an asset to any team."

^ Don't forget to mention that Joe Crede was an all-star last season, for some odd reason.

I wouldn't mind seeing Duensing as the 5th starter going into 2010. It would be great if we had a veteran for the 3rd or 4th spot. Carl Pavano has said he would like to stay in Minnesota. I wonder if he would sign a 2-yr contract at 6-7 million a year.

Scott Baker
Kevin Slowey
Carl Pavano
Nick Blackburn
Brian Duensing

No true "ace," but very solid with Liriano, Bonser, Swarzak, etc. waiting in the wings.

Sounds like Twins aren't expecting much from Liriano ?

Liriano shouldn't be given up on yet, his command has been his biggest issue of late, and that's generally the last thing that pitchers get back when trying to return from major surgery.

He's still got good stuff, and the Twins could use him in their rotation. Slowey and Baker have good control but are homer-prone, Blackburn is solid but more of a 4/5, and Perkins' ability to miss bats hasn't translated to the ML level.

Unless the Twins can trade him for a good player that can help now (such as J.J. Hardy), they should keep him around as the fifth starter.

As horrible as Bill Smith as been some of his veteran contracts (Punto, Nathan)...

...and as incompetent as he has been with his trading (bungling the Santana situation, trading Garza/Bartlett on a whim for a poor return)...

...you have to at least give him credit for finally spending for some of these high ceiling prospects the Twins never used to go anywhere near (Sano, Gibson, Kepler)

"...you have to at least give him credit for finally spending for some of these high ceiling prospects the Twins never used to go anywhere near (Sano, Gibson, Kepler)"

Not to mention Aaron Hicks.

A few years ago, you never would've seen a Twins prospect list highlighted by toolsy, high-upside players like Aaron Hicks, Miguel Angel Sano, Max Kepler-Rozycki, Billy Bullock and Kyle Gibson. Generally you'd see more guys of the Revere/Ramos/Salcedo/Parmelee variety.

You gotta like some of what Smith has done. But still, it's hard to let go trading Johan Santana, Matt Garza and Jason Bartlett for Delmon Young, Brendan Harris, Jason Pridie, Carlos Gomez, Phil Humber, Deolis Guerra and Kevin Kulvey. That's brutal.

Johan had a no trade clause, from Terry Ryan, that prevented Bill Smith from ever getting true value for him.

I'm not giving up on DY yet. Tampa screwed up his development and the Twins were forced to let him learn hitting in the bigs.

The Twins should acquire a true Ace. A rotation of

New Ace
Baker
Pavano
Slowey
Blackburn/Duensing

would be sweet. Also, they need to get one legit infielder.

Xmas, you make landing a legitimate ace sound like it's a simple task. If that were the case, every team would have one.

The only shot the Twins would have at an ace would be to sign John Lackey, and that's not going to happen.

And again, adding a "legit" infielder is difficult as well. You can't just snap your fingers and produce talent out of thin air.

Delmon's had two seasons with the Twins and done absolutely nothing to show the trade was worthwhile. It could happen, but I think hoping for it/expecting it is too much at this point.

And while Terry Ryan gave Johan a no-trade clause, Smith still turned down an offer that included Jacoby Ellsbury and an offer that included Jon Lester. Even a Yankees package centered around Melky Cabrera may have wound up being better than what the Twins have currently received.

Gomez and Guerra better pan out, or it's a complete and utter failure. I agree that Johan did the Twins no favors, but Smith took the worst package offered by any of the three bidders. He traded the best pitcher in the game without even getting the Mets' top prospect. No Fernando Martinez? Come on now.

At any rate, your suggestions would cost the Twins:

Ace (John Lackey): $18MM+/season

Pavano: $5MM+/season

A few "legit" infielder options:

JJ Hardy: ($6MM + prospects)
Chone Figgins: $10MM+/season
Felipe Lopez: $4MM+/season

Where do the Twins get money to extend Mauer and make these acquisitions?

VP,

I never said it would be easy. Nor did I make it sound simple. Thanks for assuming though.

I just said that they should acquire an Ace. They should if they want to be a serious contender.

Signing Lackey isn't the only answer for an Ace: They could trade for one. They have pitching depth and outfield depth in both the majors and minors. Trade a prospect or two and build a rotation that can go deep in the playoffs. That's what I want to see.

The Twins would be significantly better with a new infielder, yet I even know that won't happen. I just suggested that they should add one to be a better team.

Don't ask me where the money is coming from. Ask the Pohlad family. They have to decide if they want to be serious contenders with Mauer now or in 2-3 years provided that he stays. With a weak Central, I would want to win now. The team must spend money on quality players or settle with Gardy maximizing the baserunning talents and potential of Nicky Punto types. That goes deep in the playoffs...

Also, did you really want Johan in the AL for the next 10 years? Bill Smith is no genious but he isn't a complete dullard.

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