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« Mets Rumors: Bay, Holliday, Cameron, Delgado | Main | Olney On Wagner, DeRosa, Betancourt, Wolf »
The Twins and Carl Pavano are both interested in making a deal, but it's unlikely we'll see anything finalized before Pavano hits the open market, according to Joe Christensen of the Minneapolis Star Tribune. The Twins have exclusive negotiating rights for now, but Pavano's likely to test the open market first.
The righty made $4.35MM this season, mostly by reaching performance incentives. This time, Pavano's agent suggests his client deserves more guaranteed money. Pavano has repeated that he enjoyed playing for the Twins after they acquired him from the Indians in August, so a return seems possible.
Pavano is a Type B free agent; the Twins will get a supplementary round pick if they offer arbitration only to see Pavano sign elsewhere.
Another Twins free agent, Orlando Cabrera, won't be playing shortstop next year, but manager Ron Gardenhire wants him back regardless. Sid Hartman of the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports that Gardenhire would like Cabrera at second base, J.J. Hardy at short and Nick Punto at third.
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1. span cf
2. cabrera 2b
3. mauer c
4. morneau 1b
5. cuddyer rf
6. kubel dh
7. young lf
8. hardy ss
9. punto 3b
not so bad. get another starting pitcher though!
Posted by: rootman1010 | November 10, 2009 at 10:02 AM
Pretty impressive lineup, Cabrera would be great at 2nd. Sign Lopez to play 3rd and have punto on the bench and sign Harden or Bedard. Bam, not that expensive and thats a stacked team.
Posted by: Kenny H | November 10, 2009 at 10:09 AM
Hardy should definitely bat second or seventh in that lineup, but agreed Rootman... not a bad looking lineup.
I question Cabrera at second base though. He hasn't played there since 1998, and his defense at SS this past season was terrible.
I don't mind the idea of putting Punto at third base - it's actually his best defensive position - but I'd prefer a better option at second base if that were the case.
Span
Felipe Lopez
Mauer
Morneau
Cuddyer
Kubel
Hardy
Young
Punto
Looks much better. Either that, or if we're gonna go through terrible defense at second base, splurge for Dan Uggla and at least get some OBP and power numbers to go along with it.
Posted by: MorneauVP | November 10, 2009 at 10:10 AM
Punto at third? The Twins always go down in the playoffs because they don't have a good hitting DH or 3rd baseman. I'm not a Twins fan, but I root for them when there in the playoffs (small market team) and I wish they would get someone who could help Mauer and Morneau. Kouz would be a great fit, good fielder and has some pop, and could probably be had for Young. I think Punto's numbers would play alot better at 2nd.
Posted by: DB | November 10, 2009 at 10:11 AM
I have a bad feeling about putting Cabrera at 2b. Id be more comfortable signing a FA third baseman (Beltre, Atkins, Derosa if the Phils dont end up signing him) and playing Punto at 2b.
At 2b, it is more than excusable for Punto to have a substandard bat. Putting Punto at 3b relegates a useful offensive position to little to no offensive output. Also, it seems that Punto plays a better 2b than 3b defensively.
Posted by: Dashboard | November 10, 2009 at 10:11 AM
I really hope the Twins don't overpay another aging player in Cabrera. I would rather see Felipe Lopez, Mark DeRosa, Adrian Beltre or Troy Glaus or even another incentive laden 1-yr deal with Joe Crede than put Cabrera at 2B. Seeing Punto off the bench would be fantastic.
Posted by: NickL1538 | November 10, 2009 at 10:12 AM
Felipe Lopez is probably the best FA fit outside of Figgins for the Twins positional needs and need for a number 2 hitter
Posted by: Dashboard | November 10, 2009 at 10:14 AM
Kouzmanoff's OBP is a black hole, and that leaves a hole in left field.
The strength over the rest of the lineup now offsets Punto's bat at third base, and his glove there makes the infield defense its strongest.
Delmon Young's numbers are the same as Kouzmanoff's, offensively, and while he's horrible in LF, swapping the two would push Kubel into LF, which is hardly an improvement. And then we'd still have the hole at DH.
Punto at third is fine with a strong lineup around him.
Posted by: MorneauVP | November 10, 2009 at 10:15 AM
please god, don't let bill smith re-sign cabrera. at any position on the left side of the diamond. if you have to stick with punto, at least sign a free agent 3b with solid defense and some pop. i can't take an entire season of o-cab and punto manning the infield.
Posted by: jimmylegz | November 10, 2009 at 10:15 AM
or sign both Lopez and one of DeRosa/Glaus/Beltre
CF: Span
2B: Lopez
C: Mauer
1B: Morneau
RF: Cuddyer
DH: Kubel
3B: Beltre/DeRosa/Glaus
SS: Hardy
LF: Young
Posted by: NickL1538 | November 10, 2009 at 10:16 AM
I'm up in the air on this one. Not a big fan of orlando at 2nd he had how many errors at shortstop last year? He is a gold glove winner in the past but seems his d is slipping. And we need to figure something out about punto, don't get me wrong i love the guy his defense is amazing but his bat is so sparatic we need to get someone in there to put up consistant numbers day in and day out. But if he could bat atleast .250 id happy with him at second. Further I dont even need to bring it up that we have a need for a 3rd baseman have for years, hopefully this year we actually bring in someone dependably to fill the need, its getting anoying.
Posted by: wobigs | November 10, 2009 at 10:18 AM
"Punto at third? The Twins always go down in the playoffs because they don't have a good hitting DH or 3rd baseman."
The Twins had with out a doubt the second best DH in baseball this year.
Cabrera's OBP is too bad to hit second. As is JJ Hardy's.
Posted by: JoeBraga | November 10, 2009 at 10:19 AM
Lopez would be the best fit. We really need a #2 hitter and I don't think thats Cabrera. Lopez>Beltre and fits Twins style much better.
Posted by: Kenny H | November 10, 2009 at 10:20 AM
The best case scenario would be signing Felipe Lopez to play 2B and having Danny Valencia go nuts in Spring Training and boot Nick Punto to the bench. Is that just wishful thinking?
Posted by: NickL1538 | November 10, 2009 at 10:22 AM
It's fine to have someone with a weak bat at third base with a strong lineup. Look at the Phillies and Pedro Feliz.
The Twins can't afford to have a $4.25MM bench player this season, I don't think. Nick Punto makes too much money to sit, and he's Ron Gardenhire's favorite player anyway. He's going to play, whether it's the smart decision or not.
Felipe Lopez does indeed make great sense - a lot more than Cabrera. Here's hoping, but Gardenhire really liked Cabrera and he absolutely loved playing in Minnesota... if you follow the Twins closely, it's pretty obvious that Gardenhire gets what he wants when he wants it.
Hearing this news, I wouldn't be surprised to see Cabrera re-signed at all. I'd still prefer Harden over Pavano, though realistically, who wouldn't?
Posted by: MorneauVP | November 10, 2009 at 10:22 AM
Sign Cabrera as long as we also sign Crede. I know Gardy wants Punto to be in the line-up and he can be when Crede wants a break.
Posted by: Twins777 | November 10, 2009 at 10:23 AM
I would be ok with O-CAB at 2b, that way you can bring Valencia up slowly and have Punto at 3b. I think the Twins have options and don't have to rush now that they went out and got Hardy, I would like them to sign a pitcher first then worry about the infield.
Posted by: BabyJesus | November 10, 2009 at 10:24 AM
When was the last time the Twins had a third baseman with power? Gary Gaetti? It's a strange organizational tendency.
Posted by: aap212 | November 10, 2009 at 10:24 AM
Noooo Cabrera. Just let him go. Get the picks. It's not worth it.
And besides, Mauer is probably gonna be batting second.
1 - Span, CF
2 - Mauer, C
3 - Cuddyer, RF
4 - Morneau, 1B
5 - Kubel, DH
6 - Crede, 3B
7 - Hardy, SS
8 - Young, LF
9 - Punto, 2B
... is what I'd like to see.
Posted by: joeiscool12 | November 10, 2009 at 10:25 AM
"The best case scenario would be signing Felipe Lopez to play 2B and having Danny Valencia go nuts in Spring Training and boot Nick Punto to the bench. Is that just wishful thinking?"
A strong spring training for Valencia isn't too crazy, no. Thinking that it will carry over into the regular season probably is.
Twins can't (financially) afford to have Punto on the bench and Gardy would never put him there full-time unless he hits under .200 for two months... again... It's just not realistic.
Posted by: MorneauVP | November 10, 2009 at 10:25 AM
"Noooo Cabrera. Just let him go. Get the picks. It's not worth it."
We won't get any picks. Cabrera has a clause in his contract that says he can't be offered arbitration if he's a Type A free agent.
Posted by: MorneauVP | November 10, 2009 at 10:26 AM
Lopez and Beltre play different positions. How can you say that he 'fits the Twins style much better?'
Lopez plays good D while Beltre's is outstanding.
Lopez's OBP is higher, but neither plays OBP is great.
Don't get me wrong I would be more than happy with either player, I just didn't understand where you were coming from.
I HATE NICK PUNTO.
Posted by: JoeBraga | November 10, 2009 at 10:26 AM
This isn't really too shabby. I think both Cabrera and Pavano would be willing to take small salary breaks in order to stay with Minnesota, where they seemed to really enjoy themselves. That saves money, which is almost always a good thing.
I'd rather see Cabrera adjust to third and leave Punto at second -- seems like it makes more sense from a defensive standpoint, especially considering how very good Hardy is at SS. I'm guessing it's all going to depend on Cabrera's price versus Crede's.
Also, Pavano hates the Yankees, and in my book that's worth lots.
Posted by: realityfish.com | November 10, 2009 at 10:26 AM
Lopez can play 3rd and has. Lopez has been playing amazing since he got traded from Washington.
Posted by: Kenny H | November 10, 2009 at 10:29 AM
The obvious answer regarding what to do about the #2 spot is simply to shift everyone up a notch and have the league's best OBP guy in the 2 position.
Span
Mauer
Morneau
Cuddyer
Kubel
Young
Hardy
"NewGuy"
Punto
Unfortunately, it's not so obvious to Gardy who seems intent on slotting in lousy OBP infielders at the #2 spot to ensure there's always at least 1 out before his best hitters come up.
Posted by: JimCrikket | November 10, 2009 at 10:30 AM
I don't understand the appeal of Punto as an outsider. He couldn't hit water if he fell out of a friggin' boat. Is his defense really that good?
Posted by: Timotheus | November 10, 2009 at 10:30 AM
It will all come down to money. Cabrera should be cheaper than Beltre, but not too much cheaper (if any) than Felipe Lopez, and Lopez is younger (29, the prime of his career). Here is to hoping it is Lopez over Cabrera.
Posted by: NickL1538 | November 10, 2009 at 10:31 AM
Punto is a plus defender at 2B, SS and 3B. His career UZR at each is 5.2, 23.5 and 25.4.
Posted by: NickL1538 | November 10, 2009 at 10:34 AM
Agreed, Jim. But Gardenhire is set in his ways and sticks to them for better or worse (usually worse).
I'm fine with any of these options:
-Beltre at 3B, Punto at 2B
-Glaus at 3B, Punto at 2B
-Crede at 3B, Punto at 2B
-Punto at 3B, Lopez at 2B
I really don't want to see the Twins bring back Cabrera. Gardenhire will bat him second for some bizarre reason, and you're asking a player on a defensive decline to switch positions as well. There's just no real sense to it other than that Gardenhire liked him.
Posted by: MorneauVP | November 10, 2009 at 10:34 AM
Gardenhires love for Nick Punto is grotesque. I can see no senario where he will allow his little friend to sit on the bench for no more than 2 days. They could go out and acquire Polanco to play second and Belte to play 3rd, and I'd garantee Punto would get atleast 400 AB's. Its sick.
Posted by: TwinChargers | November 10, 2009 at 10:35 AM
"And besides, Mauer is probably gonna be batting second."
What are you basing that off of? Are you familiar at all with Gardenhire/The Twins?
"Lopez can play 3rd and has"
Yes, but he has only started 8 games there since 2004.
Posted by: JoeBraga | November 10, 2009 at 10:36 AM
"I don't understand the appeal of Punto as an outsider. He couldn't hit water if he fell out of a friggin' boat. Is his defense really that good?"
At third base and SS; yes. At second base he is above average but not spectacular. (Similar to Lopez according to UZR)
Posted by: JoeBraga | November 10, 2009 at 10:38 AM
"I don't understand the appeal of Punto as an outsider."
I've been a Twins fan since I was three years old, and I still can't understand his appeal. At this point though, if he's getting paid $4MM, he should start. His option should be declined, and we should be rid of him. (Please?)
"He couldn't hit water if he fell out of a friggin' boat. Is his defense really that good?"
Unfortunately, his range is pretty outstanding, yeah. He makes a lot of bonehead errors though by trying to make routine plays look spectacular or by making wild, ill-advised throws when there's no play and he'd be better off just putting the ball in his pocket.
I think Justin Morneau is pretty underrated defensively, simply because of the number of errors he saves the rest of our infield from by picking short hops. Guess all those years as a goalie in hockey carried over to baseball. :)
Posted by: MorneauVP | November 10, 2009 at 10:38 AM
Here is a good article on Punto:
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nick-punto-and-the-little-things
Posted by: NickL1538 | November 10, 2009 at 10:38 AM
He was a 9.4 Uzr last year at 2B and in 2007 when he played 108 games at 3B it was 23.8 so with the glove he is the real deal and he has pictures of Gardy and the Twins front office we all know it. I think the Twins should concentrate on pitching first before the infield and I hope they do.
Posted by: BabyJesus | November 10, 2009 at 10:38 AM
Here is a good article on Punto:
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/nick-punto-and-the-little-things
Haha, I played baseball with that kid in college and he wrote that article after I begged him too for a month. I hate Punto.
Posted by: JoeBraga | November 10, 2009 at 10:40 AM
Once again I agree with MVP.
"I'm fine with any of these options:
-Beltre at 3B, Punto at 2B
-Glaus at 3B, Punto at 2B
-Crede at 3B, Punto at 2B
-Punto at 3B, Lopez at 2B"
Posted by: NickL1538 | November 10, 2009 at 10:43 AM
If I had my choice Lopez and his .395 OBP last year is playing 2B and hitting #2 for the Twins next year. I realize that's a career high but even if he can get around a .360 OBP I'd be very happy with him hitting #2.
To anyone who thinks Mauer will bat 2 you must not watch the Twins. Yes, it makes sense but for some reason Gardy is completely opposed to it. With the current roster I almost guarantee Gardy misguidedly puts Hardy in the 2 hole.
Punto would be fine at 3rd as the rest of the lineup is strong and our infield defense is very good with Lopez - Hardy - Punto in there. Valencia struggled to take walks at AAA this year and probably needs a bit more time there before coming to the bigs. I look for him to be ready to come up halfway but only if he's going to get a decent amount of playing time otherwise he should just stay in AAA.
Posted by: halfchest | November 10, 2009 at 10:44 AM
Span
Uggla
Mauer
Morneau
Cuddy
Kubel
Hardy
Young
Punto
Posted by: skippitydoo | November 10, 2009 at 10:45 AM
Once again I agree with MVP.
"I'm fine with any of these options:
-Beltre at 3B, Punto at 2B
-Glaus at 3B, Punto at 2B
-Crede at 3B, Punto at 2B
-Punto at 3B, Lopez at 2B"
I agree with that as well. While I would much rather see them acquire both a second and third baseman, I realize the chances of very slim... actually they are zero.
Posted by: JoeBraga | November 10, 2009 at 10:45 AM
Get Uggla. 350-360 OBP every year and 25-30 HR. Great in the No.2 Spot.
Posted by: skippitydoo | November 10, 2009 at 10:48 AM
Perhaps the Twins should pull this off:
Sign Glavine, Smoltz, and Hampton.
DH for Punto?
Posted by: Timotheus | November 10, 2009 at 10:49 AM
Why Punt(o) offense at third if you don't have to?Get rid of OCab,get a 2b and 3b and let Punto be the first guy off of the banch.
Posted by: joeysdadjoe | November 10, 2009 at 10:49 AM
This is the exact reason Gardenhire isn't the GM. Cabrera has only a handful of starts throughout his lengthy career at 2B, his last coming nearly a decade ago, and his defense is declining no matter where you put him. He meshed well with the team throughout the last 2 months, but was underwhelming despite his late season surge. If this team is serious about the whole "Win Now" mantra that seems to be being implemented (trading for Hardy, hopefully resigning Mauer, new stadium, etc), Smith would turn his interest to better, younger FA options like Lopez or Beltre.
Here's what I'm hoping for in the end...
Span
Lopez
Mauer
Morneau
Cuddyer
Kubel
Young
Hardy
Punto
Don't sign a 3B... Punto's defense will make him an average player, and if his career trend of having decent hitting season in even numbered years continues, maybe he'll be even above average :). But seriously, use the money on a starting pitcher or two.
Posted by: twinkieattack | November 10, 2009 at 10:50 AM
Anybody know if there's something going on with O-Cab that we don't know about?
He's got a Kenny Lofton thing going on, it seems. 6 teams in the last 5 years but he's still relatively young and productive. Is this a product of personality or just bad luck on his part?
Posted by: ThinkBlue | November 10, 2009 at 10:55 AM
OCab isn't any better than punto. Slightly better on offense. Much worse on defense. Why not stick with Tolbert and Punto then?
Posted by: skippitydoo | November 10, 2009 at 10:58 AM
"Anybody know if there's something going on with O-Cab that we don't know about?
He's got a Kenny Lofton thing going on, it seems. 6 teams in the last 5 years but he's still relatively young and productive. Is this a product of personality or just bad luck on his part?"
He is not very productive. He is essentially replacement level offensively while being awful defensively.
Posted by: JoeBraga | November 10, 2009 at 11:00 AM
For thos asking about Nick Punto, let me give you my take on him as an outsider.
Cons:
-Hit .228/.337/.284 resulting in a .621 OPS
-Has no power with a .056 ISO and only 4HR in the past three seasons.
-He makes 4M this year
Pros:
-He was actually pretty unlucky last year. He hit a greater percetage of LD and GB (as these result in a higher rate of hits) but his BABIP fell 20 points off of his career average when it should have risen based on LD% and GB% raises.
-He has a very good eye at the plate getting almost as many walks (61) as strikeouts (70) with a nifty 14.5 BB%
-If you adjust his stats last year by taking out the BABIP gap and add in a bit for the increased LD&GB rates he could be looking at a line right about .250/.360/.300 which would be just fine in the #2 spot.
-According to UZR/150, Punto would be in the great-to-elite catagory at 3B with a career UZR/150 at third base of 19.9.
So in summary, if Punto is just has average luck and keeps his increasing periferals steady the Twins could have an more than solid fielding 3B with a OBP that works in the #2 spot while not eating 4M with him sitting on the bench.
Posted by: bbxxj | November 10, 2009 at 11:02 AM
"He is not very productive. He is essentially replacement level offensively while being awful defensively."
To Cabrera's credit, this was his first terrible defensive year. He played a nice SS for the ChiSox in 2008.
Signing a 2B and 3B is too much. The Twins need one decent option at one spot, Punto at the other, and the rest of the money needs to go to an SP (preferably NOT Pavano) and extending Joe Mauer.
Posted by: MorneauVP | November 10, 2009 at 11:04 AM
aap212 koskie had some good power but yeah i know exactly what you are saying
Posted by: twinsfan06 | November 10, 2009 at 11:11 AM
joeiscool12. we cant get any picks out of ocab because his contract stated we cant offer him arbitration if he is a type A free agent
Posted by: twinsfan06 | November 10, 2009 at 11:12 AM
Hey Joe Braga,
I'll agree that Kubel had a great year, but in the playoffs they had Morales and Tolbert at DH. I know this was due to injury, so you're right they don't need a DH (sorry), but they sorely need a 3rd baseman who can hit.
I don't know if the Twins need to spend money on an injury prone 3rd baseman either.(Beltre, Glaus, or Crede) There payroll doesn't allow for mistakes and if they sign any of these players they have no one to back them up with the bat. They'd be right back to square one.
Posted by: DB | November 10, 2009 at 11:15 AM
I can't imagine Glaus or Crede costing much. They'll both likely be forced into incentive-laden, one-year deals, which is what the Twins should look for.
Otherwise, Lopez at 2B and Punto at 3B is the safe play.
Again, trade for Uggla before you re-sign Cabrera. If you're getting terrible defense, you may as well get some plus offense out of it. I'll take Uggla's .350+ OBP and 30 HRs over Cabrera's refusal to draw a walk and declining glove.
Posted by: MorneauVP | November 10, 2009 at 11:21 AM
VP,
Why not Pavano? I think he could be a valuable addition to the rotation.
O Cab at 2nd? I'd rather find someone better for 3rd. Gardy plays favorites and keeping an aging O Cab with Punto at 3rd is simply weak.
Posted by: xmasjjm | November 10, 2009 at 11:22 AM
"I don't know if the Twins need to spend money on an injury prone 3rd baseman either.(Beltre, Glaus, or Crede) There payroll doesn't allow for mistakes and if they sign any of these players they have no one to back them up with the bat. They'd be right back to square one."
I would not consider Beltre injury prone. He has played 140+ games every season except last year because of an injury to his man bags.
Signing someone like Crede to an incentive laden deal:
1) Does not hurt their payroll very much (thus the incentive part)
2) They do have Danny Valencia or Punto to take his place if need be.
I think the ideal player for the Twins is Dan Uggla, but I would be surprised if they pulled the trigger.
Also Tolbert/Morales in the playoffs.... Worst. DH/3B Combo. Ever!
Posted by: JoeBraga | November 10, 2009 at 11:22 AM
It really doesn't matter that 3B would be weak offensively as long as 2B was productive. Really doesn't matter where the production comes from.
Posted by: skippitydoo | November 10, 2009 at 11:24 AM
cabrera would be a waste at short or second. his defense is really heading downhill and his offense has been getting worse every year. if you're going to spend, you might as well gamble on beltre who offers better overall defense (plus punto better at 2nd) and more upside offensively. and if he does get injured they have backup in tolbert and danny valencia.
Posted by: minnesotawins | November 10, 2009 at 11:30 AM
Joe,
Beltre has under preformed so badly, in comparison to what he makes, the last few years I guess I was hoping he was injury prone. His numbers aren't awful, but how much is he going to ask for?
Also, if Valencia is ready, why don't they just go with him? They could then use whatever money they were going to give Beltre on a starting pitcher.
Posted by: DB | November 10, 2009 at 11:36 AM
"Why not Pavano? I think he could be a valuable addition to the rotation."
Better question is "Why Pavano?" He pitched decently, but he was acquired because there was no better option on the table through trade or free agency at the time.
I think people are assuming that Pavano's 199 IP last season have stricken the "injury-prone" label from his record. This is the same guy who threw 145.2 innings for his entire Yankee tenure.
If you're going to pursue an injury-prone starter, then pony up the extra few million and get Harden on an incentive-laden contract with a vesting option.
He's a better pitcher than Pavano no matter how you spin it. I just don't see the sense in bringing in another injury-prone or declining backend starter if there's no upside to it. Harden has ace upside and carries the same risk as Pavano.
I'm sick of the "aging veteran" acquisitions for the Twins. Livan Hernandez, Ramon Ortiz, Sidney Ponson... if you're going to try to catch lightning in a bottle in your rotation, at least make sure the guy's got some electricity to begin with.
Posted by: MorneauVP | November 10, 2009 at 11:40 AM
DB, Fangraphs actually has him undervalued. He was only making an average of 12.8 a year to go approx: .265/20/80 (with the exception of his last year). Throw in his great D and I take him at that value. (back then that is, I don't mean that much moving forward)
Posted by: JoeBraga | November 10, 2009 at 11:43 AM
Why do you keep calling Cabrera an aging veteran? The guy won a Gold Glove in 2007, played incredible D in 2008, and had one bad year (error wise) in 2009. Trading Gomez and losing Cabrera = zero fire on this team.
Posted by: SCball | November 10, 2009 at 11:45 AM
"Beltre has under preformed so badly, in comparison to what he makes, the last few years I guess I was hoping he was injury prone."
He was also playing in one of the worst parks a RH hitter could ever get confined to over in Seattle.
"Also, if Valencia is ready, why don't they just go with him? They could then use whatever money they were going to give Beltre on a starting pitcher."
Valencia isn't ready... his walk-rate plummeted at AAA, and the rest of his numbers slipped too. If you're struggling to keep up adjusting to AAA, then your adjustment to the Majors is likely going to be even worse.
Signing someone on a one-year deal isn't a terrible notion. Valencia is far from an elite prospect. He won't suffer from another year at AAA one way or the other.
Posted by: MorneauVP | November 10, 2009 at 11:45 AM
Maybe this is a little bit unlikely but lets say the Twins do grab Beltre for somethin like 1yr 8-10 and Lopez for 2yr 8 mil. Then non-tender/trade Crain for scrap parts and trade Punto the the Phils (being they need a utility infilder) for a warm-body and grab Bedard for 1yr 8mil. This combined with a 7-8 mil raise from Joe Mauers 12.5 mil and the twins are right around 93-95 mil. this would give us a lineup of
CF-Span
2B-Lopez
C-Mauer
1B-Morneau
RF-Cuddyer
DH-Kubel
3B-Beltre
SS-Hardy
LF-Young
SP-Baker
SP-Bedard
SP-Slowey
SP-Blackburn
SP-Duensing
CL-Nathan
SU-Rauch
SU-Guerreir
MR-Mijares
MR-Nesheck
MR-Liriano
LR-Bonser
B-Harris
B-Tolbert
B-Morales
B-Pridie
I would say that team if healthy is a legitimate playoff contender and not completely unreasonable. It is at least financially viable
Posted by: Den_Orath | November 10, 2009 at 11:46 AM
Errors have little to do with good defense, and neither do gold glove awards. Cabrera is getting old and showing it on the field.
Posted by: skippitydoo | November 10, 2009 at 11:49 AM
Save some money and grab DeRossa to play 2nd or 3rd. Then the Twins can go out and sign someone like Pavano as well as an upside starter like Harden, Bedard or Sheets. The lineup wasn't the problem last year it was the pitching.
Posted by: MNRunLeft | November 10, 2009 at 11:58 AM
I agree that Harden is a way better pitcher but wouldn't the Twins loose a draft pick? That's why they won't get him.
Keeping Pavano, granted at a reasonable price, and trading for a top of the line pitcher makes the most sense to me.
Posted by: xmasjjm | November 10, 2009 at 12:00 PM
Harden and Bedard are both Type B's so they won't cost a draft pick.
Posted by: MNRunLeft | November 10, 2009 at 12:03 PM
Den:
stop using drugs
Posted by: 2HeadedBoy | November 10, 2009 at 12:47 PM
"Sid Hartman of the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports that Gardenhire would like Cabrera at second base, J.J. Hardy at short and Nick Punto at third."
If I were a Twins fan, I would not be thrilled about that from an offensive standpoint. That is two, potentially three below average hitters, with only Hardy offering much upside. Cabrera should not be hitting second, either.
Posted by: WY | November 10, 2009 at 12:50 PM
I think signing OC to play 2nd is Gardy's back-up plan. Is everyone forgetting that Hardy spent half the year in Triple-A last year? Everyone seems to be worried about Cabrera's one bad year out of like 12, but no one is too concerned about JJ having an awful year last year too. Offensively, OC was solid last year, led all AL shortstops in RBI's, hit over .280 after a slow start in Oakland.
Posted by: SCball | November 10, 2009 at 12:56 PM
Punto's best roll would be a super sub off the bench. Forget about the money, he's still worth having because he can spell the entire infield on any given day. DO NOT START!
What if the twins made a HUGE splash and traded with the fish to get Dan Uggla and Josh Johnson!? Now this would cost a lot, no question BUT the fish have never been averse to taking on prospects, if fact they'd prefer it.
So why not trade an Aaron Hicks/Ben Revere 5 star prospect and package some young arms that have many many years of control to get bigtime bat and an ace pitcher??
If this is not swingable, I'd like to see either GLAUS, BELTRE or CREDE at third. In the new stadium, power will be the name of the game. Crede and Beltre would be the best defensive options providing power at the hot corner.
At second, let Gardy make a choice between Punto and Cabrera to start, not both! If he chooses Cabrera then he can still have Punto just as a bench guy.
Posted by: TargetField2010 | November 10, 2009 at 01:12 PM
Two Possible Lineups I'd love to see....
Span
Mauer
Morneau
Kubel
Cuddyer
Beltre
Hardy
Young
Cabrera
Span
Mauer
Morneau
Kubel
Cuddyer
Crede
Hardy
Young
Lopez
(You have to have a high OBP guy batting Ninth and Mauer in the 2 means more AB's and 1st inning pressure with Mauer and Morneau smacking you right in the face in the first inning)
Of the two, I think the 2nd lineup would be perfect. Resigning Crede should be very possible so all they would have to do is pick up Lopez on a 2 year deal with a mutual 3rd year option. Having Punto on the bench provides insurance for the health problems Crede seems to always have - so if Joe Awesome goes down then Punto is there, no loss defensively. Sorry but Lopez > Cabrera and the money should not be that much more to get him. BILL SMITH PLEASE MAKE THIS HAPPEN!! Don't worry about Gardy, he will like Lopez as much or more than Cabrera.
PS 2010 is the year of DELMON YOUNG, buy his Baseball Cards now cuz they are going up next season! Great move to keep him!
Posted by: TargetField2010 | November 10, 2009 at 01:27 PM
As far as pitching goes, I would like them to add two guys. Carl Pavano (I really do like him) and Jarrod Washburn (Underrated lefty).
So this would be a great offseason in my opinion:
- Trade for JJ Hardy (done)
- Resign Joe Crede
- Sign Felipe Lopez
- Resign Carl Pavano
- Sign Jarrod Washburn
Done.
Posted by: TargetField2010 | November 10, 2009 at 01:35 PM
Pavano did help the Twins this year but he's going to want retread money rather than rehab money but that 5.0 ERA is not worth 2-3 years at $6 million per year. Better off going after Harden or Bedard and offer rehab incentive money for a year or two. Higher upside than with Pavano or other retreads although Piniero sounds interesting. I too am looking for a breakout year power-wise for Delmon, he just needs to changes his approach, the stroke is there. Punto's defense is so outstanding that I can live with all those putrid at bats as long as the other guy playing 2B/3B has something to offer offensively.
Posted by: Redbird | November 10, 2009 at 01:37 PM
Crede is cheap and if he can stay healthy can put up decent numbers, if he gets injured put in Punto. Sign Lopez for 2 years, and Bedard or Harden.
-Span
-Lopez
-Mauer
-Morneau
-Cuddyer
-Kubel
-Young
-Crede
-Hardy
-Harden/Bedard
-Baker
-Slowey
-Blackburn
-Duensing/Liriano/Swarzak
Not unrealistic and makes us a much better team.
Posted by: Kenny H | November 10, 2009 at 01:53 PM
I think signing Harden or Bedard should be at the top of the list(Obviously behind extending Mauer). We need a dominating pitcher.
Posted by: Kenny H | November 10, 2009 at 01:56 PM
TargetField, it's an interesting idea you bring up regarding the Marlins trading Johnson and Uggla. I was actually thinking about that too, and while it is very unlikely, I dont think its impossible. Contract extension talks would need to turn south between the Marlins and Johnson and it would depend if the Marlins would be willing to take a group of our pitchers who dont necessarily have ace potential. From a twins perspective, I think they would love to have Johnson, but I'm not sure Uggla really fits our team. I dont think he's really a 2 hitter despite his decent OBP. That would mean putting either Hardy or Punto in front of Mauer who aren't much better at 2. Interesting none the less, I guess bumping Mauer up a spot isnt a bad idea although i dont think Gardy would go for it.
I am hoping we add Lopez at 2nd and a couple starters. Im ok with Punto at 3rd. No one likes him but he plays great defense, has great AB's (he, not mauer led the team in pitches per AB), and is acceptable in the 9 hole IMO. I would love to add Bedard, Harden,or Sheets to the rotation along with another vet.
Posted by: Mauerneau | November 10, 2009 at 01:58 PM
>>Crede is cheap and if he can stay healthy can put up decent numbers, if he gets injured put in Punto. Sign Lopez for 2 years, and Bedard or Harden.<<
This sounds good, except I'm not sold on Bedard.
Also, please no OCab as he is old and losing range and arm strength.
And I'm thinking we're going to have an extra bullpen arm come April that must be traded for a 4th OF that can play CF. The inhouse options there are ghastly.
Posted by: Cris E | November 10, 2009 at 02:13 PM
The reason Punto is in the picture is because he makes $4M....its probably about $1M more than he's worth, but he's not really a tradeable guy, so he's playing somewhere.
Lopez would be a great #2 with solid OBP, but EVERYONE knows that so he won't be cheap. You should assume the Twins can't afford him.
Atkins seems like the most interesting option for the Twins. He's young, he could probably get a low trade tab or be had if he's non-tendered which it sounds like he will be. His a buy-low offensive guy, with a .289 career avg and 20HR a year.
Posted by: afdaddy | November 10, 2009 at 02:48 PM
Mauerneau, I'm NOT ok with Punto starting at any infield position. I watched all 182 Twins baseball games last year and the amount of times Punto came to the plate in a key sitution with men in scoring position and coming up empty was simply MADDENING! I do appreciate Punto for his hustle, his defense, his ability to work the count, taking walks, and his intangibles but to me that is the definition of a GREAT bench guy! As for your Uggla assessment, I think the twins are changing philosophically. The new stadium is forcing this hand and a hitter like Uggla would fit the bill just fine in a small ballpark where teams that flat out mash will come out on top. Why did the yankees win it all this year? Cuz they could flat out mash and the twins played them admirably.
Harden is not who I'd like to see in our rotation. I think twins fans are enamored with his name because of the waiver claim we made on him mid-year. I think a guy like Washburn or Bedard (a much needed lefty) would be more valuable. I think Washburn outpitched Bedard last year and would cost less due to an unexpected late year decline (which helped us win the AL Central). If I had to pick only 1 guy to add to our rotation between Harden/Bedard/Washburn/Pavano I would rank them like this:
Washburn
Bedard
Pavano
Harden
Twins have been linked to Washburn in the past so if this happens I would not be surprised at all.
Harden is a lesser version of Scott Baker and with Baker/Slowey/Blackburn as our Right Handed Starters we really need to concentrate on an effective left-hander.
Posted by: TargetField2010 | November 10, 2009 at 03:00 PM
I'd have to disagree on Harden, he is flat out nasty when he's healthy. That is a big if, but he was fairly healthy last year. I'm not saying I want him any more than the other guys i mentioned but he is one of the best when healthy. The biggest problem with him other than injuries is that he rarely makes it past 6 innings which hurts the bullpen. But if your looking for high risk high reward and a possible ace, Harden is a candidate. Another lefty is definitely something we need, but for some reason I'm just not crazy about washburn. I would rather take a chance on Bedard's power arm.
Posted by: Mauerneau | November 10, 2009 at 03:47 PM
I agree with Mauerneau, I think Harden is a fantastic pitcher and he could be an ace. This is my order. Top 2 are debatable.
-Bedard
-Harden
-Washburn
-Pavano
I think Bedard and Harden have potential to be a dominating ace whereas Washburn and Pavano aren't that caliber.
Posted by: Kenny H | November 10, 2009 at 04:17 PM
Cabrera on a one or two year deal would be great for the Twins. He was a very strong 2 hole, he had a ridiculous streak of run scoring games late in the season. But the priority right now has to be starting pitching. I feel like the Twins can take a risk on an injury prone pitcher like Harden or Bedard because we have lots of durable pitchers in AAA/MLB.
Posted by: Twinsfan | November 10, 2009 at 04:46 PM
Here is a 2009 statistical comparison of the four players recently mentioned above.
Player A = 14-12 5.01 ERA 148K in 198 innings
Player B = 9-9 3.78 ERA 100K in 170 innings
Player C = 9-9 4.09 ERA 171K in 141 innings
Player D = 5-3 2.82 ERA
90K in 83 innings
From a stat point of view Player D was obviously injured but played well when healthy. Player B had the best statistical year.
A = Pavano
B = Washburn
C = Harden
D = Bedard
I would feel very uncomfortable fielding a team with only 1 left-handed starter (Brian Deunsing)
Posted by: TargetField2010 | November 10, 2009 at 05:38 PM
One more side note on WASHBURN before his disasterous Tigers Stint - Washburn was 8-6 with a 2.64 ERA in 133.0 innings. YO!
Posted by: TargetField2010 | November 10, 2009 at 05:40 PM
"One more side note on WASHBURN before his disasterous Tigers Stint - Washburn was 8-6 with a 2.64 ERA in 133.0 innings. YO!"
A flyball pitcher in one of the biggest parks in the AL with the best outfield defense in baseball behind him should succeed.
Target Field will be smaller than Safeco, and an OF of Delmon/Span/Cuddyer can't begin to touch Chavez/Gutierrez/Ichiro. Washburn is just a simply terrible idea for the Twins. His FIP and xFIP with the Mariners were 3.87 and 4.71, respectively. He was tremendously lucky to have that outfield behind him. All three of Seattle's respective OFs are superior at their respective positions to the alternatives the Twins will trot out in 2009. No Washburn. No way.
Bedard induces far more ground balls and misses far more bats. That's what the Twins should be looking for, because our outfield defense for 2010 is not going to be pretty.
And Twinsfan...
"Cabrera on a one or two year deal would be great for the Twins. He was a very strong 2 hole, he had a ridiculous streak of run scoring games late in the season."
How on Earth would Cabrera be "great" for the Twins? He posted a .309 OBP as a Twin, and saw just 3.7 pitches per plate appearance. Those are horrid numbers for a #2 hitter. Additionally, you're asking a 36-year-old who is declining before our very eyes to switch positions on top of that?
Signing Cabrera at this point would be disastrous, given infield alternatives like Lopez, Beltre, Crede, and possibly Glaus.
Posted by: MorneauVP | November 10, 2009 at 11:29 PM
I just read the Phillies are much more interested in DeRosa than Beltre. If that's true, it will sure help keep the cost down a little I would think, unless some other large market teams jump in the race who i'm not thinking of.
Posted by: Mauerneau | November 11, 2009 at 01:31 AM
I just read the Phillies are much more interested in DeRosa than Beltre. If that's true, it will sure help keep the cost down a little I would think, unless some other large market teams jump in the race who i'm not thinking of.
Posted by: Mauerneau | November 11, 2009 at 01:32 AM
"Signing Cabrera at this point would be disastrous, given infield alternatives like Lopez, Beltre, Crede, and possibly Glaus."
Cabrera is one of the best offensive and most durable shortstops in the league. (he had 186 hits this year and the before mentioned run scoring streak.) It is hard to believe it would be the best defensive move to make, but moving Cabrera to second would be a great right-handed option that would be somewhat cheap and dont have to trade prospects for. Being such an aggressive hitter isnt as terrible when you hit in between Span and Mauer. I'd rather see Cabrera at second then Crede or Glaus on the DL.
Posted by: Twinsfan | November 11, 2009 at 05:03 PM
I see everyone is crazy over Lopez but I personally would rather see the Twins go after Figgins for 3B. Adding his speed and bat in the 2-hole would set up a nice lineup.
Span - CF
Figgins - 3B
Mauer - C
Morneau - 1B
Cuddyer - RF
Kubel - DH
Young - LF
Hardy - SS
Punto - 2B
Then focus on adding a starter -- would love to see Harden or Bedard but probably unrealistic if they sign Figgins. Getting Pavano back. A healthy Slowey adds to the mix of Baker, Slowey, Pavano, Blackburn and one of the following -- Duensing, Liriano, Swarzak. Even though I would love to see a trade for ROY -- Say Blackburn and Perkins plus a ML
At least get involved.
Posted by: go4ers_rule | November 11, 2009 at 05:20 PM
I would scrap the idea of resigning Cabrera, Crede, Glaus or Beltre. All either injury prone or getting old.
Posted by: go4ers_rule | November 11, 2009 at 05:22 PM
@ go4ers rule
Yes Figgins would be a great fit, but would cost a lot more and cost us a first round pick which I don;t see the Twins doing. Adding an ace(Bedard or Harden) would be the best for the team then sign a cheaper option like Lopez, DeRosa etc.
Posted by: Kenny H | November 11, 2009 at 06:35 PM