Poll: Extending Mike Trout

Mike Trout's on-field excellence need not be repeated here, nor compared to that of other players. He is really young, and really good, and is those things combined in a manner unmatched by any other current player. Also, having not yet qualified for arbitration, he is really cheap.

Trout will remain youthful for some time, and every indication is that he'll continue to be outstanding. But he will not continue to play for a league minimum salary for much longer.

Set to hit arbitration next year with potentially unprecedented levels of performance, Trout could well shatter records if he is allowed to go year to year. Then, qualifying for free agency after the 2017 season at just 26 years of age, Trout could become the most sought-after open-market player in baseball history.

On the other hand, injury or decline could change things. And Trout's career earnings are relatively meager as things stand, in spite of his two monster years of performance, leaving him somewhat exposed entering his platform seasons.

So, both Trout and the Angels face risk, and both sides have incentives to talk about a new deal. Indeed, recent reports indicate that the parties are legitimately interested in making a serious run at reaching an extension at the start of the current year.

That makes this an opportune time to ask MLBTR's readers how they see things. The poll below comes with two questions, broken into two parts, both of which assume an extension scenario during the current offseason (or reasonably early during the 2014 campaign, when any contract is likely to be inked due to luxury tax considerations).

First, it asks you to opine as to the largest deal that the Angels should be willing to agree to with Trout (years and dollars). Second, it asks you to predict what deal Trout will ultimately land.

I have set fairly generous response parameters, designed to avoid patently absurd responses. The number of years must be between 3 and 15, while the amount (in $MMs) must fall between 50 and 500.

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Click below to view survey results.

3:30pm (6,019 responses)

1) largest deal Angels should be willing to make

 

years

$

average

10.10

289

median

10

300

mode

10

300

2) deal likely to be reached

 

years

$

average

8.62

249

median

9

250

mode

10

300


Leave a Reply

90 Comments on "Poll: Extending Mike Trout"


Lee Foo Young
1 year 6 months ago

I can’t get the survey to work. I punch in my years, but I can’t get it to allow me to punch in dollar values.

publius varrus
1 year 6 months ago

Perhaps Arte should just sign over team ownership to Trout?

wrxguy
1 year 6 months ago

Plus keys to the stadium, blank check, his own island, and 2 787’s to top Tanaka.

1 year 6 months ago

Great Idea

BrocNessMonster
1 year 6 months ago

Well… I had willing at 12/$384MM and likely at 7/$216MM

America's Idol
1 year 6 months ago

I wrote Willing Max pay likely 10/$315MM

attgig
1 year 6 months ago

I’m having trouble judging how much he would get in his first year of arbitration, much less a huge extension… all I know is that the Angels have to get it done…

LAAUSC
1 year 6 months ago

2 million in 2014, 7 year extension signed after opening day so it won’t affect the 2014 luxury cap…10 million dollar signing bonus and 5 million more for 2015…18 million for 2016…22 million for 2017 ( 55 million total for arbitration years ) 30 million for 2018 and 2019….35 million for 2020 and 2021 and a team option for 40 million for 2022 ( total 7 year 185 million plus 1 year 40 million team option )…he becomes a free agent at age 31…lifetime security for Trout, slight discount for Angels if he continues to play like he has and young enough to land another huge contract at age 31…..

attgig
1 year 6 months ago

I’m having trouble judging how much he would get in his first year of arbitration, much less a huge extension… all I know is that the Angels have to get it done…

attgig
1 year 6 months ago

I’m having trouble judging how much he would get in his first year of arbitration, much less a huge extension… all I know is that the Angels have to get it done…

jaysfan4life
1 year 6 months ago

Honestly the highest i’d go is 8/$220MM.

start_wearing_purple
start_wearing_purple
1 year 6 months ago

Trout will get the kind of pay that will make even the most conservative fans stand up and say “how outrageous.”

The Angels just need to accept the fact that he’ll be paid something in the 300 million with an opt out deal.

Harfman
1 year 6 months ago

Most likely he signs for 0/$0 and hits FA, but that wasn’t an option.

Brent Stephenson
1 year 6 months ago

As an Angels fan, I say give the man what he wants. I don’t care how much. I’d just love to be able to go out to the park and watch him play for the next decade or so. When Trout is on the field, it brings a completely new level of excitement to the game. At any given moment you could find yourself witness to something absolutely spectacular. If Arte is willing to give a 10 year deal to a “31” year old Albert, why not Trout?

kdub53
1 year 6 months ago

I like how you put 31 in “” lol

Brent Stephenson
1 year 6 months ago

As an Angels fan, I say give the man what he wants. I don’t care how much. I’d just love to be able to go out to the park and watch him play for the next decade or so. When Trout is on the field, it brings a completely new level of excitement to the game. At any given moment you could find yourself witness to something absolutely spectacular. If Arte is willing to give a 10 year deal to a “31” year old Albert, why not Trout?

Giorgi Almonte
1 year 6 months ago

I would give hime 5 years and 20MM, maybe 22MM anually. I think it would be perfect for both sides.

Bleed_Orange
1 year 6 months ago

That is probably what the Angels are thinking but no way Trout takes that. He’s going to hit some ridiculous numbers in arbitration if the Angels choose to go that route.

LazerTown
1 year 6 months ago

$100M/5 would be way overpaying him if it bought out his 2014 season.

Giorgi Almonte
1 year 6 months ago

Well, that’s why I think is perfect. Trout would get a huge raise and be a free agent at age of 26-27. The Angels could get a bargain from him if he continues performing this way, but wouldn’t pay that much(comparing to 27-30MM/year) if he underperform.

Bleed_Orange
1 year 6 months ago

That is probably what the Angels are thinking but no way Trout takes that. He’s going to hit some ridiculous numbers in arbitration if the Angels choose to go that route.

Metsfan93
1 year 6 months ago

Given Clayton Kershaw signed away his FA years for 32.5 apiece, anything under 30 for Trout in FA years is where he walks away and says “Hey, I’m hitting free agency as the best player in baseball and at age 26. What’s going on in your life?”

Trock
1 year 6 months ago

All the while Bryce Harper sit’s in the corner and says “Yea, I’m mad bro”

LazerTown
1 year 6 months ago

That would be way too high. 500K for this year, and then figure 10/15/20 which is pretty optimistic for arbitration. And you are essentially paying $54.5M for one free agent season.

Giorgi Almonte
1 year 6 months ago

Trout would get a huge raise and be a free agent at age of 26-27, I know that. But The Angels could get a bargain from him if he continues performing this way, but wouldn’t pay that much(comparing to 27-30MM/year) if he underperform. They would’t have to worry about him the next 4 years, and considering that players like Pujols and Hamilton can play well the next 5 years, I think thats a win-win

Eric Droegemeier
1 year 6 months ago

I think he takes a hometown discount. 15 years, 1 billion a year

Michael
1 year 6 months ago

That’s a pretty affluent town.

jmo
1 year 6 months ago

10 years, 300m
Is most realistic!

Rangerbourne
1 year 6 months ago

I just can’t fathom that they’ll give him any less than $300mil in total. If they gave Pujols 10 years in his age-31 season, it seems like a no-brainer to do the same for Trout. I can see a 12/$300mil with an opt out after 6.

dc21892
1 year 6 months ago

I think if he went to free agency when he’s supposed to, 12/350 makes sense. Sounds crazy to sign a player to 12 years, but at 26, you’re getting at least 6 extremely productive years – unless major injury – and we all know how free agency works. It ends in extreme overpay.

LightUptheHalo
1 year 6 months ago

I have a hard time determining Trout’s value because there has been not real comparisons. However, I will say that because the Angels would be buying out arb. years, which most likely would not be as high as $20-25 mil annually; I would think an 8-10 year deal in the range of $175-$200 mil. should be sufficient rather than in the range of $250 mil +. By then, he can hit free agency again.

sallen22
1 year 6 months ago

I would give Mike Trout the money. All the money.

Rob Black
1 year 6 months ago

Arod like contract (12,350). Surely Angels want to keep Trout for his whole career. Some of this money is to reward him for what he has already done versus what he likely will do in last 2 or 3 years of the contract.