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By Steve Adams | at
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Roger 2
I don’t think there’s any hurry for the Reds. They are at .500 and have 2.5 months to decide if they should sell.
W.G
I agree. Cardinals are great, yes, but injury is an unpredictable variable, and even the best team can decline because of them. Brewers aren’t in contention, the Cubs’ young players still have to find maturity and consistency, and the Pirates will struggle if Andrew McCutchen and Josh Harrison don’t improve.
If Votto, Phillips, and Frazier stay healthy and produce, along with Leake and Cueto anchoring the rotation and Chapman closing the games, they could easily be at least a wild card team. It’s way too early to say they can’t do well this season.
Brixton G.
Who can the Reds really sell other than Leake and Cueto? Marlon Byrd isn’t gonna bring you anymore than what they gave for him at this point. Phillips and Votto are held down by contracts.
I still hate the idea of giving up top prospects for relievers. Look at the Astros, they build a good bullpen by signing Chad Qualls, Luke Gregerson and Pat Neshek. Acquiring Chapman isn’t gonna do much more for your team than going and getting KRod from the Brewers or Clippard from the A’s, and they aren’t gonna cost anything near what Chapman would cost.
Steve Adams
The difference between Chapman and K-Rod or Clippard is markedly larger than you’re giving it credit for, in my mind. Especially in terms of postseason play, when you can ramp up your best reliever’s workload due to built-in travel days. When the Red Sox won the 2013 World Series, they went from Koji Uehara throwing about 5% of his team’s regular season innings to 10% in the postseason (Dave Cameron wrote an excellent examination of this at Fangraphs last year.)
He’s also a ~3-win piece that can be controlled in 2016 for somewhere around $11MM which, while pricey for a reliever, is still plenty reasonable in relation to the value he provides.
You can say that the Astros built a bullpen by signing cheap-ish arms, but we see that same method fail each year with various teams as well.
Bob Bunker
The big splash would be to trade Frazier.
Dock_Elvis
I think if you’re the Reds, you just wait to see how it pans out until closer to the deadline.. Then you deal Cueto…possibly Chapman. Chapman would have value to a contender. Sure, realistically he’s not going to add much more than those guys…but there’s not many who wouldn’t rather roll Chapman out there.
I suppose it’d be solid to rebuild with some advanced minors players and let the scouting dept do the rest.
Stuart Brown
Byrd has been on fire of late and over the last month is posting a .239/.327/.522 batting line. If they sell sooner rather than later I’d imagine he’d have his fair share of interest.
Lefty_Orioles_Fan
If I am the Reds, I would do nothing until I had to!
oh Hal
Rosenthal makes a pretty poor argument. The list of young talent on the Cards is uninspiring, they have a lot of old guys, and not a lot on the way. Old Jon Jay hits the DL and they’re stuck. The Pirates young talent includes McCutchen in his late 20s and the pitching that he touts in the minors is as much projection as performance and they have injury problems. I wonder if someone asked Rosenthal who was next in line for those rotations whether he’d have a clue. I doubt he knows one answer is Clayton Richard or that Marco Gonzalez is getting crushed in AAA.
Melvin has said repeatedly over the years that in reality all players are available for trade. There’s a good argument that Lucroy was the MVP last season. He’s a complete player, including intangibles at an incredibly scarce position. Let’s hear Rosenthal’s proposal. I’d guess it’d be similar to Cameron who thought that the Brewers should basically give Segura to the Padres for whatever reason.
Sure, trade Gomez and Lucroy if someone makes the right offer. If not, they can keep them and trade them later.
David Coonce
Clayton Richard? When did he last pitch in the majors? 2012?
sam_lammert
Well Jon Jay is only 30, Carpenter is 29, Wong 24, Carlos Martinez 23, Lynn 28, Wacha 23, Borjous who has had a great start to the season is 28, Heyward is hitting over .300 in his last 10 games. Marco is getting crushed at triple A? He’s only had 5 starts and is coming off an injury. Plus players like Piscotty, Reyes, Kaminsky coming up, i don’t know what you mean by they don’t have inspiring young talent.
craig500
Doesn’t matter if it is Segura or Sardinas, they are just keeping the position warm for Orlando Arcia. Sardinas will be showcased to get traded as well.