Email a copy of 'Poll: Should Marco Estrada Get A Qualifying Offer?' to a friend
Loading ...
By Jeff Todd | at
Email a copy of 'Poll: Should Marco Estrada Get A Qualifying Offer?' to a friend
MLB Trade Rumors is not affiliated with Major League Baseball, MLB or MLB.com
hide arrows scroll to top
bradthebluefish
Estrada’s peripherals are very concerning, but his flyball-ways seem to be a fit for Rogers Centre. If the Jays are okay with the possibility of Estrada accepts a QO, then they should definitely offer him one, but I’m expecting him to decline after having his best year and being a free agent for the first time. At 31, this is Estrada’s time to cash in.
DAKINS
SkyDome is more suited to groundball pitchers, the ball tends to find the seats pretty often in that small park.
jb226
I say yes. I find it hard to believe, even at age 32, that Estrada can’t secure a contract with a total value in excess of the QO (heck, even two years/$10MM AAV would get him there and he can probably get three). He’s a valuable pitcher in the sense that he can be both an acceptable back-end starter, a long-man and a middle reliever depending on the team’s needs and how they may change during a season or a deal, which makes him extra attractive. That all leans toward him rejecting.
Meanwhile, there’s not a ton of upside to accepting. He had a really fine season so the odds that he improves on it enough to get a bigger deal when he’s a year older isn’t likely. Really the only reason he should even consider it is because he’s exactly the kind of questionable-to-offer candidate whom the QO hurts the most.
Calculated risk, as always, but I say offer it. With all the rotation and bullpen questions Toronto has going into next season there are worse things in the world than having Estrada back even if it’s for too much money.
templesofsyrinx
As a Jays fan, I got to see Estrada take a no-hitter into the 7th at home against Baltimore in May. Since that game he’s been an undeniable rock in their rotation since being officially implemented into the starting rotation. I think AA would be stupid to give him a qualifying offer, as he could so easily walk away from it and fetch 4 years/40 million somewhere else with more stability and more money. Although his stock has gone up significantly since pitching so well in the playoffs, it would definitely be in the Jays’ best interest to try to sign him to a multi-year deal, so that they can retain the majority of their rotation next year. As it stands, the Jays will have but Marcus Stroman, with possibly R.A Dickey in their starting rotation. Since Price is a big question mark at this point, signing Estrada would guarantee a solid starter for a season that right now has an uncertain starting rotation. I’d personally love to see Estrada back with the Blue Jays next year. But hey, that’s why Alex is the GM and not me!
fireboss
At 32 years old Estrada’s suddenly a success. . .that happens all the time right? I evaluated him i a post a few days ago and what the above post doesn’t say is why he was so successful.
AL hitters were overwhelmingly unlucky when facing him, managing a meager .216 BAbip against him as a starter (.220 overall). That was the lowest BAbip of any starter in the majors, lower than Grienke’s .229, Jake Arrieta’s .246, Hector Santiago’s 2.53, Sonny Gray’s .255, R.A. Dickey’s 257 and Dallas Keuchel‘s 2.64. All of that while his FIP was within it’s normal range at 4.40.
If they want to keep him they should offer him an extension reflecting his career numbers but a QO is a big mistake. He’s not worth a draft pick or $15.8M
go_jays_go
His 2012 and 2013 seasons were pretty decent too. He took a step back in 2014, but this year, he took a big step forward.
To suggest that Estrada is suddenly a success is false. He’s been good before; this season, he’s been great.
go_jays_go
Also, simply citing BABIP as a factor of luck is somewhat naive.
Estrada was the league leader in generating pop-outs. (he’s consistently been among the league leader in that category)
This means that Estrada is doing a good job of generating weak contact.
Has lucky played a part? Sure. But he’s also a fly-ball pitcher in the hitting-friendly SkyDome. His success this season is more than just ‘good luck’.