Email a copy of 'Twenty Free Agents Receive Qualifying Offers' to a friend
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By Jeff Todd | at
Email a copy of 'Twenty Free Agents Receive Qualifying Offers' to a friend
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skrockij89
I can actually see Rasmus accepting the QA.
rct
So, should Brett Anderson take it? I probably would if I were him. Unless, given his injury history, he thinks he could secure a little more on a 2 year deal somewhere (though who’s going to give up a pick for him?). That’s not a chance I would take.
Ken M.
If I’m Brett….. it might be my last time to get a biggish contract. Dude is always hurt. I go for the multi year even if the AAV is less.
BlueSkyLA
Yeah you never know when you are going to fracture a foot or break a finger again.
BlueSkyLA
Anderson is only 27, and none his injuries speak to a chronic medical issue. They were all unrelated or freaky. The Dodgers would not have extended the QO if they thought he was likely to be hurt again. Yet he is a good candidate to be the first to take the QO because, again, he is only 27. If he plays another year without being hit by a meteorite or something he would finally lay that “injury history” thing to rest and get himself a longer term contract at age 28.
Jeff Todd
Ask yourself this, though: if you are Brett Anderson, and now is the chance at a multi-year deal, isn’t it the time to test the market, when you are still young and were finally healthy?
And what’s the worst that will happen if you take the risk? Some team that has already kicked a pick or two, or that has a protected pick, will bail him out at 10 or 15 or 18 or whatever million in February.
Worth the risk, I think, to try to get the longer deal.
BlueSkyLA
So far this has been the route all free agents have gone, so it would be a surprise if anyone, including Anderson, took the QO. The point I am making is the “injury history” narrative has taken over for him, and (just as this article shows), one season of not having some weird injury isn’t going to erase that narrative. Two healthy seasons might do it though, so he’s probably got the best case for being the first to accept the QO. A lot will depend on how he feels about himself. Before this season he talked about how he’d been unlucky so I suspect he feels pretty good about himself.
bradthebluefish
20 offers. You’d think someone has to be the first to accept a QO.
NL_East_Rivalry
Someone better because I can say there’s over an 80% chance that teams this year won’t forfeit a total 20 draft picks first round or not.
Free Agents without QO’s might be picked up quickly by teams unwilling to part with picks or they will find themselves sacrificing those picks in February
Jeff Todd
Teams value those picks in assessing players, for sure, but I don’t think a lot of them are just completely unwilling to give one up. Look at the Mets’ signing of Cuddyer last year: they pretty much just approached it like a trade that sent out a pretty far-off future piece and brought them back a veteran at a fairly reasonable salary.
Also, there’s always the declining penalty that attaches to teams that have already signed one or more QO-bound players. If you give up pick 1 for David Price, it doesn’t hurt as much to give up pick 2 for Ian Kennedy and pick 3 for Colby Rasmus. (Or whatever.) The O’s did this a few years back with Ubaldo and Cruz.
GoRav114
Quite a few guys I could see a case for them accepting. Murphy, Rasmus, Anderson, Estrada, and/or Wieters.
ianthomasmalone
Estrada and Rasmus should accept. Anderson, Iwakuma, and Fowler should consider it, but I don’t see them accepting.
johnsilver
When you see the Kennedy’s, Gallardo’s and Estrada’s getting offered the chance to take a guaranteed 16m for a single season? It makes one wonder why some people want Wade Miley moved as part of the overflow of innings eating starters Boston has.
Those 1st 3 have the chance to get massively overpaid now for a single season. Why can’t some of the Sox fans understand what a bargain Miley is at the remaining 3/27m?
stymeedone
Because when you have Porcello at 20mm, it makes 16mm for Estrada look reasonable.
A'sfaninUK
Iwakuma should accept. He probably will just re-sign back with Seattle anyway, but he should try the FA market after a fully healthy year.
JT19
Iwakuma is 34 so that limits his potential earnings if he decides to try and test the market in a year. Even if he stays healthy, his age might limit him to a younger Bartolo Colon with a slightly lower ERA and higher strikeout numbers.
Doug
Wow, Rasmus Anderson and Estrada at $15.8 mil? All three better accept because it’s twice what they’re worth.
angels1978
Easy prediction: Chen, Kennedy and Wieters (Boras clients) will reject Qualifying Offer. Boras is predictable. Bet they also don’t sign until late January/early February.
Dave 32
If Rasmus doesn’t accept, he’s going to follow in Stephen Drew’s footsteps and sit at home until May before re-signing with Houston or worse.
A couple other names strike me as being dudes you wouldn’t want to give up a first rounder for, but I’ve been surprised when it happens every year so why not give up a first round pick for Murphy, that sure won’t go wrong at all.