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By Jeff Todd | at
Email a copy of 'Trade Market For Relievers' to a friend
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drewm
Will Smith is almost certainly not available.
daveineg
You are correct Drew. Every player on the Brewers seems to be included on these lists but they don’t have the entire team for sale just because this season turned sour early. It’s almost laughable to think they’d deal Smith.
Jeff Todd
What’s laughable is the notion that any reliever is just plain off limits for a deadline seller. I’m sure they’re not terribly inclined to trade him – isn’t that what I said in the post? – but if an acquiring team really wants a controllable Smith, and offers a more than fair return, they have to consider it.
Relievers are volatile assets whose value is highest at the deadline. This could well be the peak of his value. Doesn’t mean they’ll be just taking the highest offer or something, but it wouldn’t be shocking if he moves (esp given the relative dearth of good options for lefties).
drewm
Well, of course. If some team wants to part with something even more valuable than Smith, they’re welcome to. But given his salary, years of control, and fantastic performance, it would be hard to do and would not likely makes sense if they did.
Jeff Todd
May or may not happen. In 2014, a half a year of Andrew Miller brought back Eduardo Rodriguez. If somebody thinks Smith is nearly as good, and values the control, and theres a bidding war, then who knows what they could pry loose? I don’t expect a deal, but it isn’t wildly implausible.
Jeff Todd
And let me add that these lists obviously include more players than will be traded. They are made up of plausible trade pieces. There are a lot of Brewers who could conceivably be dealt. Most of them probably won’t be dealt.
drewm
True. In the Brewers’ case there’s no one who is untouchable at all aside from Uecker. Everyone could be traded for at the right price, they’re not contending this year or probably next.
Jeff Todd
Love that Uecker line.
Bob M.
The Astros could covet a pitcher like Smith. If the price is right, any reliever is fair game. Especially for a team with a depleted farm system.
daveineg
Broxton’s ERA is misleading. His FIP is a more respectable 3.62. He has a strikeout per inning and has a stretch of 6 straight scoreless outings covering 6 innings allowing just 2 hits and zero walks over that time. Brewers would be willing to pick up a good share of the remaining $3.4 million left on his deal. Doubt any team will take him before the deadline, but if he continues putting up zeroes into August, a waiver deal seems quite plausible.
thecoffinnail
FIP is more of a stat for starters than relievers.. His ERA+ of 65, 10.0 H/9 and 1.361 Whip are all very underwhelming though..
daveineg
Cotts has a 1.44 ERA in June and July.
johnsilver
Taz might be the most marketable commodity Boston would consider selling with his inexpensive salary this year and probable not so high salary next year in his last year of control, but I’d rather Boston hang onto him and attempt to sign him long term before he hits FA over the winter of the 2016 season and build the pen going forward around him. Something around 3/25m and a team option perhaps for another 7-8m added for the 4th season.
El Duderino
I don’t think Papelbon’s no trade list is relevant at all based on all of his comments. Really, it’s just the closing that matters to him (with the option being guaranteed as a secondary).
Jeff Todd
Yeah, but he wouldn’t be able to demand to be traded as a closer if he didn’t have the NTC.
sportfan
I Could see the Braves package both David Aardsma and Jim Johnson and getting back a team top 20 prospect somewhere in the range of 15-20.
Jeff Todd
There’s some value in guys like that who are throwing well right now – assuming that’s how scouts see it – b/c there are always teams that would just like to add fresh arms to the mix.
tac3
Are the Rangers in the Market/Future need of a Closer? If so, what do you think of a Package deal for Hamels and Papelbon? That could be a playoff win right there if A) they can get there, and B) they can score 1+ runs. Not a bad option for them, and could be a nice package.
Jeff Todd
Guess I could see that. They still have a shot at a WC, and Papelbon could be a part of the financial shifting, though I wouldn’t expect TEX to be too aggressive on him. They could use another pen arm now and for next year, of course, esp since they’ve ridden Tolleson and Kela pretty hard.
mike156
This time of year always fascinates me. i can’t imagine any relief pitcher (except a Rivera) ever being truly off limits for the right price. And the right price can be ridiculously high when the manager of a contending team says to his GM “get me another arm.” But, most relief pitchers do not sustain a high level of performance for an extended period of time–so it always feels like you are trading for the moment, not long term.
thecoffinnail
Although, I would agree that Chapman is indeed the best reliever in the National League, I would have to argue that the Yankees tandem of Betances and Miller would have to be included in the mix for best relievers in the game.. Betances has stats that are superior in every way to Chapman’s this year ERA 1.38 vs 1.73 Whip 0.809 vs 1.248 walk rate 3.6BB/9 vs 5.0BB/9 with the exception of K/9 with Chapman being at 16K/9 and Betances being 14.3K/9.. Chapman does pitch in the ultimate hitters paradise but Betances is a RHP in Yankee Stadium..
Edit: Sad to see this series of posts coming to an end.. Lots of good information..
cxcx
One would think Darren O’Day would be listed. He is an All-Star rental on a team falling out of the race and with how cheap/silly the Orioles are, they probably won’t even offer him a qualifying offer to recoup a draft pick for him. Tommy Hunter should be on there as well. Tommy Hunter should have a mention as well even though he isn’t having a great year.