Email a copy of 'Arbitration Breakdown: Addison Reed' to a friend
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By Matt Swartz | at
Email a copy of 'Arbitration Breakdown: Addison Reed' to a friend
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livinlarge
Reed has been so solid for the mets . I wish they would lock him down for a few years.
johnsilver
It would cost as much now to sign him long term as did a top closer 2-3y ago with the market has ballooned this offseason for setup guys as dominant as he is, add he’s just now entering his supposed peak performance age and it could get more expensive.
Then the NYM do not really seem all that obsessed with locking down any of the non Boras top starters they have either and casts more doubt they would be willing to spend 30m plus on one of the better setup men in the league 2y running.
Should they? I think so, then also think they should try to lock down one of Snydergard-DeGrom also, if not both and it that is not possible? An early gamble on Matz.
mikeyank55
The Mets aren’t going to lock down anyone. They have cheap owners that want as much of a big market revenue stream that they can go using mirrors. When they do spend, it is an overreaction. The deal that they have Cespedes will come back to but them in the butt. There outfield is a collection of overrated strike out prone left and right fielders.
The Mets pitchers should take the team to the cleaners financially wherever possible to make a statement that having a reckless manager “TC” has cost many of them their health and jeopardized their futures.
stanthefan
I think the short answer is “no” based upon this particular team’s priorities. Thinking of the Mets and as everyone has pointed out, their starting pitching is their priority. I think this year with hopefully everyone (Harvey, DeGrom, Wheeler and Matz) healthy, it should provide the Mets with a blueprint from here. You gotta think every year these five pitchers (now including guys like Familia, Edgin, and the aforementioned Reed as an example), it’s going to cost the Mets 10-20 million a season in arbitration $’s.
So knowing that and thinking about re-signing Reed beyond this last arbitration year, they probably have to pass.
I think the best thing the Mets can do is hope that Robles, Smoker, Lugo and Gsellman all can contribute in the bullpen in a consistent fashion this year to save money they’ll need to possibly extend some of their core pitching.
I think Harvey and maybe Wheeler are the more possible “left outs” in these discussions. Wheeler because he wasn’t as good as these guys before TJ, and he’s already in arbitration mode and Harvey because he’s a Boras client where past history indicates he’ll go to free agency before ever signing an extension.
That leaves probably DeGrom and Syndergaard as priorities with a wait and see for Matz and to a lesser extent Wheeler.
I think Lugo goes to the bullpen and Gsellman might be that guy that is the spot 6th starter.
stanthefan
That’s excellent stuff Matt. Actually interesting how you surmise the increase. I thought I’d get too bored to finish, but you made that interesting.
n888
Agree this is great. Interesting on its own, plus one of my leagues factors in real-life salaries so you guys are the go-to for this type of stuff.
slider32
Mets pitchers are all underpaid while their position players are mostly overpaid. The pitching is the key to their season, and it will all come down to their health. The Mets are one of the few pitching staffs that could beat the Cubs in a short series. The biggest mistake they made was over pitching the starters in 2015, this killed them last year. The Mets have never been good with injured players with the starters like Santana and Wright as examples. First they would say they would be out a short period of time and the next thing you know they are done. By the way , Reed has been excellent for them, which means they let him go!
BrodiesHairisGreezy!
Addison Reed was fantastic last year. If he touches 10 Mill (or if any off their other pitchers not named Noah does) he will be gone in a micro-second for some young ‘cost-controlled’ Minor-leaguer.
rrieders
Moral of the story, stop using career stats for guys who went to arbitration the year before. The teams and agents don’t use career stats for them so your model shouldn’t either.