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Josh Hamilton’s Asking Price Is Seven Years, $175MM

By edcreech | November 4, 2012 at 3:45pm CDT

Josh Hamilton, ranked second on MLBTR's Top 50 Free Agent List, is said to be looking for a seven-year contract worth $175MM, tweets John Perrotto of Baseball Prospectus (h/t the Dallas Morning News).

While the asking price doesn't match the length Albert Pujols received from the Angels last offseason, it would put Hamilton, represented by Moye Sports Associates, on par in terms of average annual salary at $25MM. Hamilton is widely regarded as the best free agent position player available, but he may have trouble finding a club with the financial flexibility to sign him. It hasn't, however, stopped reports of teams like the Braves and the Brewers being intrigued by the possibility of signing the five-time All-Star.

Hamilton said last month he will give the Rangers an oppportunity to match any offer he receives. The Rangers reportedly aren't prepared to offer Hamilton a long-term deal, but did extend him a qualifying offer worth $13.3MM. He has until next Friday to either accept or decline the tender. If Hamilton declines, any team signing him will also have to factor in the cost of losing a top draft choice.

MLBTR asked its readers last month whether Hamilton will remain with the Rangers and more than 73% of you believe he will play elswhere in 2013. 

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Atlanta Braves Milwaukee Brewers Texas Rangers Josh Hamilton

Dodgers Outright Alfredo Silverio to Triple-A
Main
East Notes: Mets, Jays, Shields, Red Sox, Nationals
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173 Comments

  1. 55saveslives

    13 years ago

    Good Luck with that 🙂

    Reply
  2. JacksTigers

    13 years ago

    He’ll get 5/110

    Reply
    • unvme7

      13 years ago

      Or possibly a 4 yr. I think it will also come down to personal preference for him, especially since he likes TX, his family and church are in TX, and he feels pretty comfortable in TX overall. If someone offers him 5 yrs and the Rangers offer 4, I wouldnt be surprised if he takes the 4 yrs.

      Reply
      • JacksTigers

        13 years ago

        I’d be extremely surprised. That relationship seems strained.

        Reply
        • unvme7

          13 years ago

          Maybe. I still think its 50/50 he’ll return to the Rangers. Agree though, not sure how much they want of him right now. Probably be better off concentrating on pitching and putting Martin or Gentry in center and pick up Hunter. Hunter being from around the DFW wouldnt be a bad alternative. He would at least come without the circus..

          Reply
          • fighterflea

            13 years ago

            It’s going to take 2 teams to bid the offers anywhere close to what he reportedly is asking for. Would the Angels and Rangers be those teams? What if Greinke signs in Texas? Does that motivate Arte Moreno to go wild on Hamilton? Does Hamilton do any endorsements? Is there any reason to think he would be a draw with the Dodgers if they moved contracts to acquire him? And shouldn’t the Dodgers be spending on starting pitching instead?

            Which team is the most helped by adding a bat like Hamilton’s? I just think it will end up being an AL team that envisions using him as a DH towards the end of his contract, particularly if it’s more than 5 years.

            Reply
  3. WonderboyRooney10

    13 years ago

    Hahahahahahahahah!

    Reply
  4. txftw

    13 years ago

    Hopefully this will kill the Brewers rumors

    Reply
    • Novak

      13 years ago

      Rofl; if you really think he is going to get that contract…

      Reply
      • txftw

        13 years ago

        I didn’t say anything about him getting it, but I doubt the Brewers can even negotiate with that as his starting point

        Reply
        • Novak

          13 years ago

          Ok, I’ll spell it all out for ya…

          Either someone hands him the 6-7 yr/150-175 mil deal and it stops there, or nobody will offer him that contract and his price will drop. At that point, the Brewers would probably be interested and jump into the bidding for Hamilton and offer him the 5 yr / 100 million deal that they offered everyone else, while Hamilton also gets the bonus of his good friends, the Narrons, as coaches and one of the best home run hitting parks, etc.

          It will take one stupid team to offer him the 7 yr/ $175, but if sanity prevails, his price should drop to the range where the Brewers could enter the fray.

          Reply
          • txftw

            13 years ago

            Sorry you spelled it wrong, the Rangers either match a deal like that or someone else outbids it. Hamilton will not be on the Brewers next season

            Reply
            • Novak

              13 years ago

              I never said he’d sign with the Brewers. I’ve only ever stated that the Brewers will end up talking to Hamilton, because his lofty demands will not be met. What the Rangers do is irrelevant, since they are only going to match whatever deal is brought to them. Therefore, unless some team is stupid enough to go 6-7/150-175, the Brewers rumors will come to fruition when they talk to him about a 5/100-115 deal that would put him in a comfortable, Milwaukee atmosphere. I never spelled it wrong; you just didn’t read it correctly.

              Reply
    • Guest 4045

      13 years ago

      the Brewers could not resign Fielder then they are clearly out of Hamilton talks

      Reply
  5. Josh Batelli

    13 years ago

    I’m asking for that too. Doesn’t mean I’ll get it.

    Reply
    • JaysGLawrie

      13 years ago

      Difference is he is an All Star baseball player who hit 43/128 this year. By your logic, no player ever could ever get 7/175.

      Reply
      • Jimcass134

        13 years ago

        He’s also 32 and gets hurt every single year.

        Reply
        • JaysGLawrie

          13 years ago

          He is not 32 yet and he has played 121, 133, and most recently 148 games the past three years.

          Reply
          • Sandals NoPants

            13 years ago

            121 and 133 games played aren’t good totals.

            Reply
          • Jimcass134

            13 years ago

            If my team is going to give out a mega deal like 7/175 I would want him out there 155+. Missing 14 games due to just injuries, not counting the slumps he goes through is quite a lot of games he is not producing.

            Reply
          • NomarGarciaparra

            13 years ago

            You realize those aren’t very high game totals, right?

            Reply
            • JaysGLawrie

              13 years ago

              148 is high. and the other two are around 80% of a season. Just so it’s clear I’ve already said that I wouldn’t give him 175 either.

              Reply
              • NomarGarciaparra

                13 years ago

                Yes, 148 is acceptable. 121 and 133…no. That’s missing a significant amount of time.

                Reply
            • burnboll

              13 years ago

              Are you really Nomar Garciaparra, or if you’re not, why are you using his name as a handle here? What do you think he thinks about that?

              Reply
          • alan104

            13 years ago

            Just to put this in perspective. If he were to average 148 games for the 7 years his average AB would gross him $42, 229.72. That’s just crazy insane for a ball player to be earning that.

            Reply
          • burnboll

            13 years ago

            Look at Hamilton’s stats. His strikeout rate has gone through the roof, it’s worse than in his previously worst season.

            Reply
      • Guest 4047

        13 years ago

        this guy might be a doctor or a teacher, or rocket scientist. All jobs more deserving of 175 million than a sports player

        Reply
  6. Jordan H. 2

    13 years ago

    Good luck with that! Only a crazed AL team’s GM would make that offer.

    Reply
  7. start_wearing_purple

    13 years ago

    Pass.

    Reply
  8. JacksTigers

    13 years ago

    People don’t get it. It’s a negotiation. This is the absolute most he’s asking for.

    Reply
    • start_wearing_purple

      13 years ago

      Even as a starting position it seems high.

      Reply
      • JacksTigers

        13 years ago

        Not really. It’s about what I expected. It doesn’t mean he’ll get it. Just means he want to start there.

        Reply
      • $6592481

        13 years ago

        wouldn’t you want to start high?

        Reply
    • unvme7

      13 years ago

      Thank you for the most intelligent response thus far. He can ask for whatever he wants, doesnt mean he’ll get it. He probably already knows this, thus the high number of years in hopes someone counters with a 5-6 yrs, or maybe someone that is desperate will go 7. It actually wouldnt surprise me if one team did..

      Reply
    • 55saveslives

      13 years ago

      Everyone knows that. Get a sense of humor!

      Reply
      • JacksTigers

        13 years ago

        I’m not so sure everyone knows that. A couple actually seem angry.

        Reply
      • Murderers' Row Boat

        13 years ago

        Sarcasm on the internet? Like that will ever happen.

        Reply
    • burnboll

      13 years ago

      I get weird flashbacks of the Ryan Howard – Ruben Minaya Jr “negotiation”.

      Rumor has it Rube’s told Ryan he was gonna give him whatever he wanted, if he re-signed.

      Reply
    • Guest 4046

      13 years ago

      “I’m going to need a SWAT team ready to
      mobilize, street level maps covering all of Florida, a pot of coffee,
      12 Jammy Dodgers and a fez.” – all he got was the maps

      Reply
  9. Guest 4050

    13 years ago

    Who does he think his agent is? Scott Boras?

    Reply
    • JaysGLawrie

      13 years ago

      Scott Boras doesn’t have rights to hard negotiating.

      Reply
  10. GasLampGuru

    13 years ago

    I’d be shocked if he even got five years. Given his history, tying yourself to a guy like him for seven years is quite the risk. The average annual dollars probably aren’t all that far off. I’m thinking 4 years, $100M or 5 years, $125M at most.

    Reply
  11. john12121212

    13 years ago

    Too long, too much. 🙂

    Reply
  12. Z....

    13 years ago

    I think I’d be willing to give him 5 years/$120-125 million. not if I’m the Braves or Brewers, but some team doing that wouldnt surprise me. Thats the most I would give him though. I still think the Braves should explore Ryan Ludwick as cheaper option for 2-3 years in left field

    Reply
  13. Murderers' Row Boat

    13 years ago

    In other news. Moye Sports Associates has now replaced Scott Boras as the leader in crazy contract demands.

    Reply
  14. JaysGLawrie

    13 years ago

    I think someone will give him 7/150. I’d welcome it to the jays
    Edit: and people blow the injury and drug thing way out of proportion

    Reply
    • jaysfan1994

      13 years ago

      Jays should offer 120/4. Offer more annually for a shorter period of time, it’d be the only way Hamilton would think about coming to TO. Paul Beeston would need to talk it through with Rogers though.

      Reply
      • Steven

        13 years ago

        cut of 20/15 mil of that and Texas may match, their problem is the length.

        Reply
    • randomkeys

      13 years ago

      People who haven’t experienced close friends or family members who struggle with substance abuse are usually (USUALLY) the ones who suggest it’s not a big deal.

      Josh Hamilton is a public figure who has repeatedly dealt with substance abuse — which makes it (for him) both easier and harder. Easier, in that there’s greater accountability for his choices, simply by virtue of being the press. Harder in that fame and money can (and often do) lead to various levels of recklessness, including drugs and alcohol.

      Any team choosing to sign Josh Hamilton ought not be so short-sighted as to think that his issues have been blown out of proportion. They are serious issues, and deserve serious attention.

      Reply
      • randomkeys

        13 years ago

        Also, all that said — he’s only been injury-free for a whole season once in his career, and he’s on the wrong side of 30. A seven year contract has trouble written all over it, drug issues notwithstanding.

        Reply
        • JaysGLawrie

          13 years ago

          he has played 133, 121, and 148 games the past three years and that 148 was the most recent. He still plays the majority of the season regularly

          Reply
          • not_brooks

            13 years ago

            Sure, but injury issues tend to get worse with age, not better.

            For Hamilton to complete a five year contract without missing a considerable amount of time would be a long shot. Seven years? Yikes…

            Reply
            • JaysGLawrie

              13 years ago

              I’m not saying you are wrong but that is pretty much the case with every player. and considering he took a big jump this season, i don’t consider it a BIG issue. Of course I’m concerned about injuries and thats why 175 isn’t good for me. But it’s not as big an issue as people make it out to be.

              Reply
              • not_brooks

                13 years ago

                Wait…

                So injuries issues get worse with age and they’re an issue for every player, but you don’t consider them a big issue for a guy who wrecked his body for years with drugs and alcohol?

                I’m confused.

                Also, what big jump did Hamilton take this season? Sure, he hit a lot of home runs, but his numbers took a nosedive in the second half and he was basically an absentee for the AL West deciding three game series in Oakland, as well as the Wild Card game against the Orioles.

                Reply
                • JaysGLawrie

                  13 years ago

                  This comment actually makes me feel like I’ve wasted my time here. If I have to answer what jump, then I might as well be explaining this to my dog.

                  Reply
                  • randomkeys

                    13 years ago

                    One has to assume you mean the jump from 121 games to 148 games. And you can compare this message board to your dog if you like, but you’re promoting ideas that aren’t really all that supported (one, that Josh Hamilton is worth 7/150 or more; two, that substance abuse isn’t a big deal; and three, that the Blue Jays would actually spend 7/150 on a 32-year old center fielder with an inconsistent history).

                    Clearly you like the Blue Jays, and clearly Josh Hamilton is a talented free agent. But he’s injury prone with or without a substance abuse problem, and he’s not getting any younger.

                    Your Blue Jays don’t have a budget that can handle 7/150 (as you proposed) if they hope to have anything else on their roster beyond journeymen and AAAA players. If I were running the Jays, I would stay away from big ticket free agents, and follow something more like the Rays business model. (Of course, I wouldn’t have traded my manager away like he was a second round draft pick either, but that’s another issue.)

                    Reply
                    • JaysGLawrie

                      13 years ago

                      I know the Jays wouldn’t actually do it, it’s more of a fantasy. And I’ll say this one more time: It’s not that drugs are not a big issue, it’s that it hasn’t effected his play.

                      Reply
                  • DerangedAngry Hilbilly

                    13 years ago

                    His performance didn’t take a jump. He’s 28th in WAR among batters since 2007. of his 4 seasons where he played at least 120 games his WAR has been :4.1,8.4,4.1 and 4.4 . Unless you are calling moving from a 4.1 to a 4.4 a “jump”. He’s a good player, but he’s not nearly as elite as some people think he is (though a permanent move to LF will help his total value a good bit)

                    Reply
                  • melonis_rex

                    13 years ago

                    His K rate went from 17.3% (which is good for a power hitter) to 25+%, and hes a significantly more indiscriminate hitter.

                    That’s fine now, but as he ages and his bat slows down, bad plate discipline is going to make his decline even sharper than it would be otherwise.

                    that’s a huge red flag, not even mentioning that he probably needs to be moved to corner outfield asap, which diminishes his value.

                    Reply
                  • not_brooks

                    13 years ago

                    This comment actually makes me feel like I’ve wasted my time here.

                    You don’t have anything to say in response, so you’re stooping to insults? Nice.

                    Reply
      • JaysGLawrie

        13 years ago

        It doesn’t effect his play though. I’m not saying that drugs are blown out of proportion, I’m saying that he has yet to falter on the field and he has shown that he wants to shake this so I don’t think it’ll get any worse than what happened this spring.

        Reply
    • not_brooks

      13 years ago

      7/150 is a huge risk for any ballplayer. Let alone a 32-year-old who has played exactly one full season over the past five years while continue to struggle with substance abuse.

      As an O’s fan, I’d be happy to see the Jays sign Hamilton for 7/150. That should put them in a world of financial hurt, and thus out of the picture in the AL East, for the next seven years.

      Reply
  15. MSUcorner

    13 years ago

    Dodgers: 10 years: $250 mil. And that’s our final offer!!

    Reply
    • Dodgersarelife

      13 years ago

      Why do I find this not hard to believe.

      Reply
    • Gumby65

      13 years ago

      Nick Punto is mulling over your offer.

      Reply
  16. matthew07

    13 years ago

    Not more than 5 years and not more than 15 MIL a season. Whatever sucker team pays more or gives more years is just asking for trouble. I think 5 years is even pushing it.

    Reply
    • Magic Johnson

      13 years ago

      Oh, nonsense! We’ll give him twice what he’s asking for!

      Reply
  17. W.G

    13 years ago

    A smart team would NOT try to sign Hamilton at this price.

    Reply
  18. Michael 22

    13 years ago

    He wants to be paid $25,000,000 when he’s 38?

    Reply
    • Sandals NoPants

      13 years ago

      probably more like $30,000,000 given the way I would expect the contract to be worked out.

      Reply
  19. Bobby Sweet

    13 years ago

    I expect him to get a 5 year deal worth somewhere around $115M.

    Reply
  20. Rabbitov

    13 years ago

    Every year there is a free agent like this. Every year we laugh at his asking price. Every year a team pays significantly more than the asking price and we are shocked. Could this be the year we change the trend?

    Reply
    • matthew07

      13 years ago

      I hope so.

      Reply
    • hardcoreforhardcore

      13 years ago

      First thing I thought of when I saw the title of the report. While I would hope a team wouldn’t offer a contract like this to Hamilton, I also didn’t see Fielder getting the deal he got.

      Reply
      • not_brooks

        13 years ago

        Fielder got his contract prior to his 28-year-old season after playing 157+ games in each of his seven full seasons in the majors. Not to mention 161+ from 2009 – 2011.

        Hamilton turns 32 in May, and he’s topped 150 games once in six seasons.

        Sure, there are issues with both players, and I can’t believe I’m downplaying Fielder’s girth, but I think the industry would consider weight issues less of a risk than injuries and substance abuse issues.

        Reply
        • westcoastwhitesox

          13 years ago

          good info, thanks

          Reply
        • burnboll

          13 years ago

          Fielder, like all husky people, is quite the jolly character. Overpaid, sure, a little bit. But he’s an awesome player with an expensive contract.

          The risk with Hamilton is that he ends up being a formerly great player with a mammoth of a contract.

          Fielder’s contract is in the same ballpark as Joey Votto (for now). Very expensive, and not a bargain. But contracts with players who are reliable.

          I predict that Fielder’s contract will remain a “fair” one throughout the length of it. Votto’s contract on the other hand, is bound to turn real sour in 5-6 years IMO.

          Reply
          • thomas1911

            13 years ago

            I’m gonna say your a tigers fan. The last 1/3 of that contract will not be good

            Reply
            • burnboll

              13 years ago

              No, I actually dislike the Tigers a lot, although I have real reason for why.

              I like a lot of their players, but their franchise just rubs me the wrong way.

              No offence Tigers fans.

              As for Prince, I just have a feeling he’s durable. Sure, he’ll be about 400 lbs in 4 years. But he’ll defy the law of physics somehow, and still bat for average, power and what ever else. Heck, he’ll probably steal 10+ bases.

              Sliding for home like a mother LOL.

              Reply
              • thomas1911

                13 years ago

                Didn’t mean anything particularly negative, just don’t think most fans agree with fielder being durable. He’ll be amazing the first few years, but when you’re that large, 9 years is a long commitment

                Reply
                • burnboll

                  13 years ago

                  Aouch, sorry, thought the contract was for 7 years. My bad. And those last three years may not be so fun.

                  I mean, unless you’re running a deep dish pizza place in Detroit down town.

                  Is Prince sponsored by Domino’s? Or is it the other way around?

                  Reply
                  • thomas1911

                    13 years ago

                    7 years for prince would be similar to 5 for Hamilton- a great get for the team. Prince waited a long time for that deal. And I think Prince could own a few Dominos if he wanted to.

                    One other thing, any reason I can only post on the mobile site?

                    Reply
                  • NickinIthaca

                    13 years ago

                    I’m pretty sure that Prince is sponsored by Little Caesars. And I’d wager that there are a few of them in the Detroit area…

                    Reply
          • LazerTown

            13 years ago

            That was a mistake to sign votto for so long. It probably is around where he would have fallen for his next deal, but they locked him up when they still had him for another 2 years. 12 years is a long time to lock a player up for that long. I just shudder to think what if he gets injured significantly,

            Reply
            • burnboll

              13 years ago

              In a few years, Votto’s contract is bound to look like Ryan Howards. What kind of production do they expect from him when he’s 37?

              Reply
          • User 4245925809

            13 years ago

            Fielder is as fat as the goodyear blimp. Don’t misuse the wood husky, for fat.

            He is (if anything) bigger than his obese father, who was fairly useful as a bat until the age 33 season and if that remains true with Jr? That leaves 5 seasons of horrendous value the Tigers are going to regret.

            Reply
        • hardcoreforhardcore

          13 years ago

          Don’t get me wrong; I’m not comparing the two players. I simply said I didn’t see Fielder getting the money and years he got, which is why, given teams’ penchants for handing out big money contracts, Hamilton getting what he wants wouldn’t surprise me.

          Reply
      • LazerTown

        13 years ago

        I actually like the Fielder contract comparatively. Sure he is a slightly worse hitter, and not as good in the field, but they signed a player that is 4 years younger at a deal for 1 year less. They only had to sign fielder through age 36, where pujols will be there til he is 41. Fielder should be pretty productive though his contract. Whereas Pujols I don’t know, because how often do players stay productive into their 40’s.

        Reply
        • douglasb

          13 years ago

          If the White Sox had managed to avoid a collapse would people already being saying Fielder was not worth what they paid him this season? 4.9 WAR for 23 million? It’s not bad I guess but it’s not good either.

          Reply
          • LazerTown

            13 years ago

            And the Angels?
            Don’t see how it’s relevant, is more than just 1 player as the reason that a team misses the playoffs. Fielder may not have been as good as we have seen him ever, but he still performed to what they paid him to do. Fielder has been better than Pujols last 2 years with the bat.

            Reply
    • not_brooks

      13 years ago

      Considering Hamilton’s age, injuries and substance abuse issues, I’d expect so.

      Reply
    • burnboll

      13 years ago

      I think there will be a shift towards locking up young players.

      There is little reason for a team to spend 11 mil a year on a spoiled vet like jimmy rollins when you instead can put that money towards extending a Manny machado.

      Spend 150 mil for 5 years of Hamilton or maybe 60 mil for 9 years of Starlin Castro?

      Easy choice.

      I think we’ve had a period where young players weren’t perceived to be ready unless they had played 3-4 years of minor league ball. But Trout, Machado, Harper, changed that.

      Free agent vets aren’t gonna be as desirable imo.

      Reply
  21. Joeypower

    13 years ago

    So he will get 5/97+ incent… + 24 beers/week

    Reply
    • thomas1911

      13 years ago

      Wasn’t funny the first time it was posted

      Reply
  22. P. Hertz

    13 years ago

    I’ll commend Mr. Hamilton on his sense of humour.

    Reply
  23. Todd Colvin

    13 years ago

    i agree good luck with that. dont think he even gets close

    Reply
  24. westcoastwhitesox

    13 years ago

    HAHAHAHA!

    Reply
  25. Murderers' Row Boat

    13 years ago

    To be blunt, baseball is a business and Hamilton is about a risky investment as there is. Very high reward for a very high risk. Not only do we have the injury issues and the addiction issues, we also have the random Hamilton-esqe problems like “can’t see during days games(Sorry Cubs), his slumps that go a month or longer, and the costs of his “people”.

    Reply
  26. Konrad Verloc

    13 years ago

    Well there’s no way that Texas will give him that kind of deal, so buh-bye!

    Reply
  27. Encarnacion's Parrot

    13 years ago

    Lawls.

    Reply
  28. soupman

    13 years ago

    when is the last time the guy at the top of the market didn’t AT LEAST get their asking price? He’ll get what he’s asking…might even get the dollar amount at 6 years, or the AAV over 8.

    Reply
  29. burnboll

    13 years ago

    Not even Ruben Minaya Jr and the Phillies will bite that. I predict he’ll get 5 years and 125 mil from the Phillies though.

    A four year deal at 90 mil is still overpaying considering Hamilton’s unlikely to play more than 110-120 games and his increasingly bad plate discipline.

    But it would be something that a team could gamble with, considering the great upside Hamilton has.

    I believe he’s worth around 22-25 mil next year, 18-19 in 2014, 15 mil in 2015 and 11-12 (similar to Ortiz) in 2016.

    Now, I am a big fan of Hamilton, but his lackadaisical play on that fly ball against Oakland, and his obvious could-care-less attitude in at-bats, is a big red flag.

    Josh is probably the most talented player in MLB, but he’s just not mentally fit to execute.

    I think Texas will be a better team without him eventually. They’ll miss his bat, but they won’t miss his lack of effort (at times).

    I wish him the best, and I hope he lands a big contract somewhere else, hopefully not with my fave teams (although it seems likely that Ruben Minaya Jr will be the guy who coughs up the dole).

    Reply
    • DerangedAngry Hilbilly

      13 years ago

      I agree with your guess of 5/125, I’m not sure which team however.

      I think that there would be a lot of suitors at 5/$100mill but somebody will throw in either an extra year (6/$120mill) or that extra AAV on a 5 yr deal. If any GM gives him 7/$175m they deserve the firing that will surely be coming in about 5 years.

      Reply
      • burnboll

        13 years ago

        Ruben Minaya Jr deserved firing after extending Ryan Howard. But he’s still around. Don’t expect this signing to get him the boot either.

        Reply
  30. Dynasty22

    13 years ago

    Not happening.

    Reply
  31. Frank 16

    13 years ago

    He ll end up with Brewers for 5 years 125 mil unless Dodgers move Either then i say he gets the 7 years 175 mil

    Reply
  32. Frank 16

    13 years ago

    Personally i would give him 5 years 110 mil, highest i would go

    Reply
  33. Prozac_for_Mets_Fans

    13 years ago

    An over-paid, oft-injured player entering his declining years… sounds like a Met already!

    Reply
    • Shane_McMahon

      13 years ago

      Or Yankee….this Guy is right down Cashman’s alley.

      Reply
  34. DerekJeterDan

    13 years ago

    Josh’s asking price needs to come down. I wouldn’t even be willing to give him a 5 year deal, let alone 7 years. He’s asking for a contract very similar to the one the Yankee gave Mark Teixeira in 2009, but when Teixeira got his contract, he was younger than Hamilton and had no little injury history or shady past to speak of. I fully believe in Hamilton’s talent. He’s had such a bad break in life on so many instances. Whether it be personal or the accidental death of that boys father. The man has his demons. Money in and of itself is another demon.It doesn’t necessarily lead to happiness. I don’t want to see Josh corrupted by money. Hamilton will get paid for sure, but I hope he learns to come down from this ridiculous asking price.

    Reply
  35. burnboll

    13 years ago

    I think Bobby’s guess is very reasonable (115 mil/5 years). But if we step back and look at what Hamilton is, and what he’s likely to be in the next few years, or at least the risk of becoming, 115 mil is very steep.

    I did a little speculation using the Fangraphs WAR stats for Hamilton. Also, it’s stated that every WAR point is worth 4.5 mil, so a guy with a 2.0 WAR would be “worth” to pay 9 mil per year.

    In 2010, Hamilton had a career year, where his WAR was 8.4. The last two seasons, 2011 and 2012, he’s had a WAR of 4.1 and 4.4, respectively. And 4.4 this year, despite playing in 148 games, much more than his career year 2010.

    In six seasons, Hamilton’s accumalated 25 WAR, an average of 4.1 WAR.

    His worst WAR season, 2009, came before his career year, 2010. What’s troubling is that his strikeout rate was LOWER that year than it was this year, 2012.

    But lets assume Hamilton rebounds next year with a 6 WAR (worth 27 mil salary). I seriously doubt it, but just for arguments case.

    Then I’ll argue that he would drop to at most 4 WAR during 2014 and 2015. Just guessing, but that’s what this board is about. 4 WAR is “worth” 18 mil salary.

    In 2016 I doubt he’s more than 3 WAR, the same goes for 2017. Both those years are 13.5 mil per year.

    In total then, a five year deal for Hamilton, that would be “fair”, would IMO be 90 mil.

    And even then, I am very doubtful about him getting to 6 WAR next year, or going to 4 WAR in 2014 and 2015.

    The increased strikeouts are a real issue.

    Look, I’m sure there are many flaws with my reasoning, one of them being that you can’t properly put a price tag on WAR. I understand this, but it’s food for thought at least, I was trying to put together something usable for once…

    Reply
    • tesseract

      13 years ago

      Interesting. Where did you come up with the “Also, it’s stated that every WAR point is worth 4.5 mil, so a guy with a 2.0 WAR would be “worth” to pay 9 mil per year.”

      Reply
      • go_jays_go

        13 years ago

        Right now it is commonly believed 1 WAR costs around $4.5m on the free agent market. Places like fangraphs have also stated that it is around $4.5m per WAR on the free agent market.

        Reply
  36. deewitt92

    13 years ago

    …And then Hamilton woke up…

    Reply
  37. phillies1102

    13 years ago

    Wow, I don;t even know who’s asking for more at this point, Swisher or Hamilton. All I can say is that both of these campers want a lot more candy than their neighbors are willing to give them.

    Reply
    • burnboll

      13 years ago

      I don’t quite see who would pay Swisher 10+ millions on a multiyear deal.

      His away split (not hitting in Yankee stadium, that is) is less impressive.

      Reply
      • The_Unnatural

        13 years ago

        His OPS was higher on the road.

        Reply
  38. gw9999

    13 years ago

    Kind of funny how people forget logic flies out the window when a player like Hamilton is available. Seven years couldn’t possibly shock anyone anymore. Part of his history is what appeals to the ticket buying fanbase. An owner will make a deal and he’ll have to deal with the consequences down the road. Not the first time, not the last.

    Reply
    • burnboll

      13 years ago

      One thing that’s gonna shake up a lot of things, and that very few people in baseball are talking about, is that TV ad revenues are going down, and fast!

      This means that TV deals that previously would secure the future of a franchise, aren’t suddenly so secure anymore.

      Even if FOX has signed on to pay X billions during a 10 year span, it doesn’t mean anything, if FOX doesn’t have any ad revenues to pay with.

      Advertising is turning to social networks, and also using networks in real life to get their messages out and about. Much more cost effective.

      This will inevitably take a cut from the teams financial strength.

      Teams may very well fill this void with other, even better sources of income, like streaming PPV games and “club events” online, but right now, TV is on the way out. The money has to come from elsewhere.

      Reply
  39. dc21892

    13 years ago

    I asked for that once too at work. They didn’t give it to me though, oh well.

    Reply
  40. Kent Kimes

    13 years ago

    The Hamilton/Braves talks is nice for us Braves fans to dream about, but it’s not happening. Of course, you’d love to have a player of his caliber but the $ don’t match, and the lineup is already left-handed heavy. They need a right-handed bat that can crush LF pitching.

    Reply
    • burnboll

      13 years ago

      Braves have a very good lineup as it is, and it looks to be even better next year, with Hayward and Freeman probably getting settled in finally. Braves will be very tough. They just have too much of a pitchers park.

      Reply
  41. Zico

    13 years ago

    Of course he’s asking for that much. You always ask for top dollar to maximize your potential earnings. You never know if someone will pony up the dough you’re asking for, or come close to it. Will he get the 175/7? Probably not. But it doesn’t hurt to ask.

    Reply
    • chicothekid

      13 years ago

      Yikes. Those numbers make Werth’s, A-Rods and Howards’, and Wells’ contracts look pretty reasonable.

      Reply
  42. johnsmith4

    13 years ago

    Hamilton is one year too late. He would have gotten easily last year from Miami.

    Reply
  43. DerangedAngry Hilbilly

    13 years ago

    I don’t think Hamilton will be worth much more than $18 mill AAV over the life of any contract longer than 2 yrs. He’s settled in to be a 4+ WAR player. you can get that production at greater value from guys like Pagan or Swisher. True he has the POTENTIAL for putting up another 8 win season, but does anybody find this becoming MORE LIKELY as he ages?

    Reply
  44. Shane_McMahon

    13 years ago

    Guess the Orioles are out….

    Reply
  45. MadmanTX 2

    13 years ago

    If the Rangers sign Greinke, it might make the Angels players against the Brewers, Braves and Mystery Team to offer Hamilton T least 6 years. They’d be fools to do it, but that never stops teams from trying to make a splash. I’d commit the money to Greinke over Hamilton if I were the Rangers.

    Reply
    • Rapture2938 2

      13 years ago

      I don’t think you will find the Rangers arguing with you over this one. It looks as though that is what they already have in mind, especially after two of their better starters went down last season and won’t even be back until the All-Star break at the earliest.

      Reply
  46. Dave 32

    13 years ago

    Here’s why he won’t get it: He’s white. He’s not marketable at all like Pujols. Pujols sells a crap ton of jerseys and other merch. Much like Ichiro crushes the Japanese market, Pujols dominates the everloving crap out of the Latino market which is half the reason the Angels knew they could pay him so much money.

    Hamilton is a normal, plain white guy with pretty much no marketing whatsoever outside of his local market, wherever that might end up.

    Even IF you know that Pujols is going to be worthless on the end of his contract, you’re still going to have sold a billion jerseys and will still have one of the most marketable players to a specific demographic as well as plenty of the rest of the market as well. I’m not sure I’ve ever seen anyone with a Hamilton jersey, and they may not even sell at all outside of Texas. That’s definitely a factor.

    Of course, general managers get desperate. I’d see him getting 4/100 with options, but seven years is a little silly for a 32-yr old guy with issues in the past.

    Reply
    • dc21892

      13 years ago

      The whole race thing is irrelevant.

      Reply
      • JacksTigers

        13 years ago

        It’s extremely relevant.

        Reply
    • gw9999

      13 years ago

      What ryear are you talking about 2006? If you look at list of top selling jerseys Hamilton was #2 in 2012. I’m not even sure Pujols cracked top ten. Very bad example. I guess your race example would be relevant if MLB is expanding to a full time time in Puerto Rico or the Dominican Republic.

      Reply
    • Lefty_Orioles_Fan

      13 years ago

      I’m not sure I’ve ever seen anyone with a Hamilton jersey, and they may not even sell at all outside of Texas.
      I am not even sure what you’re trying to say here.
      Most fans that I run into wear the hat of their favorite team. Yes some jersey’s sell, but it isn’t pro football, most of their fans wear the team jersey and not the hat.
      As for a billion jerseys for Pujols…haha, I think that’s just a bit high. Outside of St. Louis and now Los Angeles of Anaheim, I don’t think Pujols is that popular.
      To be honest, in my recent memory the only player I knew to be universally popular and you can include me in this group of fans was Bo Jackson.
      As for Josh Hamilton I am quite certain that he would help whichever fanbase of the team he decides to sign.

      Reply
    • msg333

      13 years ago

      Pujols isn’t even the best selling Jersey on the Angels. Mike Trout is by a long shot. I’ve actually seen a fair number of people at Angel Stadium wearing Angels hats and Pujols St Louis jerseys they likely picked up cheap online.

      Reply
    • chrisrg

      13 years ago

      You’re kidding, right? If anything, all of the Jesus/”overcoming adversity” glurge is uber-marketable.

      Hamilton’s not looking at a Pujols-like contract because he’s older and a lot less durable. Plain and simple.

      Reply
    • Kyle

      13 years ago

      Worst arguement ever.

      Reply
  47. Troy Dishman

    13 years ago

    Hamilton doesnt mean he’ll get. No way I go 7 years with his injury and off field issues especially if I am an NL team. Could buy him alot of oh nevermind

    Reply
  48. iheartyourfart

    13 years ago

    i just got an austin powers flashback

    Reply
  49. TurdFerguson

    13 years ago

    Hamilton and McCutchen is going to make a nasty outfield in Pittsburgh

    Reply
  50. BonjourMadam

    13 years ago

    Worst part is, some team out there will give him what he wants, thus contributing to a never ending trend of contract inflation.

    Reply
  51. LazerTown

    13 years ago

    Definetely not worth it, Hamilton will probably be a full time corner ofer soon. I also dont see him as the 45 hr hitting cf he was this year, his career suggests he is more of a 30-35 hr guy, with poor plate discipline.

    Reply
    • msg333

      13 years ago

      But if you extrapolate the best 3 months of his season into a full 162 he’s as good as Barry Bonds !

      Reply
      • LazerTown

        13 years ago

        Not even, Bonds retired with a career .444 obp. And 650 of those were intentionanal walks. Bonds was feared, Hamilton is good but not even close.

        Reply
        • SierraM363

          13 years ago

          I agree. Hamilton has to prove that he could get he could get quality steriods like Barry in order to get to the next level.

          Reply
        • sourbob

          13 years ago

          msg333 was making a joke about hyperbole. It was the very best joke about hyperbole EVER.

          Reply
          • LazerTown

            13 years ago

            I know. Just saying how good bonds was.

            Reply
  52. rvallejo

    13 years ago

    I think the guy is doing drugs again…

    Reply
  53. Nathan Boley

    13 years ago

    It’s amazing Hamilton thinks he’s worth that much. Here in Pittsburgh we got McCutchen wrapped up for 6 yrs/$51 mil! Talk about a bargain!

    Reply
    • vtadave

      13 years ago

      Not exactly an apples to apples comparison given the service time McCutchen had when he signed the deal.

      Reply
  54. optionn

    13 years ago

    Thats a short term deal for a star player. He is being too generous to the MLB Clubs. Minimum should start at 10 years and 300 million.

    Reply
    • Nathan Boley

      13 years ago

      ..is this Scott Boras?

      Reply
  55. Rapture2938 2

    13 years ago

    Teams will not get hung up on the asking price, but on the length of the contract.

    Reply
  56. Goriax

    13 years ago

    To the guy that suggested the 5/115 contract, I agree with you but we all know it aint going to happen. This is a pickle, theres a lot of variables and factors here but the fact is that someone will offer him what he wants and itll be a team thats desperate, then itll be up to him to decide to play for a crappy team for the right money or lower the asking price for a better fit and a shot at contending.

    Reply
  57. jwsox

    13 years ago

    Gotta love everyone over reacting. When you negotiate a contract you don’t start low then go up. You start high then work down.

    Reply
  58. Lou D.

    13 years ago

    I guess he’s retiring then.

    Reply
  59. Mike Corbitt

    13 years ago

    I am a die hard Braves fan and a huge fan of Josh Hamilton. That being said, the Braves can get BJ Upton and either Shane Victorino or Nick Swisher for the same amount or less. They really do not need anymore left handed bats, but right handed and switch hitters will be just fine. Let’s get Upton and Swisher to go with J-Hey in the outfield!!!

    Reply
  60. bmoneyy20

    13 years ago

    He needs to look at his 2nd half numbers. This would of been a starting point after 1st half. always better to have huge 2nd half/big playoffs like carlos beltran. this is the year no team gives him 7 years/ it is insane. it will be funny when he gets 8 yrs 200 million

    Reply
  61. burnboll

    13 years ago

    5 years and 80-90 mil is fair value, considering josh might get you 4 WAR/season. That’s no gimmie though, he may get injured and miss a lot. Not to forget, he’s been hitting in Arlington. Hitters paradise.

    Reply
  62. Andrew Ochs

    13 years ago

    Well thanks for playing

    Reply
  63. douglasb

    13 years ago

    yeah, ah, that’s not gonna happen from the Brewers. any fool can tell you that. the Brewers will bid 100 over 5 years and they’ll be topped by the Dodgers at 200 for 7. Moye Sports Associates will say “are you sure?” and the Dodgers will say “OK, 210”.

    Reply
  64. douglasb

    13 years ago

    OK, wild idea so someone can tell me why it wouldn’t work. 14 million base salary and 20 million bonus for 1st in MVP ticking all the way down to 1 million for 20th MVP. He could be getting 14 mil for a bad season and 34 mil for a great season. A solid season with 10th in MVP and he gets his 25 million. Any reason they couldn’t do this? Is there a cap on incentives?

    Reply
    • msg333

      13 years ago

      Managers of opposing clubs would vote for Hamilton as MVP just to reduce the financial flexibility of whatever team ends up getting ihm

      Reply
      • douglasb

        13 years ago

        managers do not vote for MVP.

        Reply
  65. Pecos_Drifter

    13 years ago

    Thanks for your time in Texas…..

    Reply
  66. Dock_Elvis

    13 years ago

    Not sure who can afford a massive overpay right now. Hamilton is just such a risk.

    Reply
  67. tank1682

    13 years ago

    As a husky/fat guy I think its awesome that prince got a good contract! Don’t be mad that an overweight guy can play ball better then you!

    Reply
  68. Jesse Moore

    13 years ago

    The Rangers cannot win the division without Josh. Up the money lower the years but keep him a Ranger.

    Reply
  69. Justin A

    13 years ago

    no way my braves pay that

    Reply
  70. coolstorybro222

    13 years ago

    If he wants that much he needs to stay in the AL

    Reply
  71. tigerfan1968

    13 years ago

    With each large signing the clubs willing to pay this much dwindles. Who is left ?
    In the American League where DH gives you some comfort for later years of the contract,
    Boston only and maybe Seattle and Baltimore.

    Reply

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