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MLBTR Chat Transcript

By Steve Adams | July 1, 2025 at 1:01pm CDT

Steve Adams

  • Good morning! We’ll get going at 1pm CT, but feel free to send in questions ahead of time, as always.
  • Good afternoon!

Grover

  • if anyone does pick up candelario who will it be

Steve Adams

  • Brewers, Astros, Mariners could all take a more or less free look while they wait for more appealing options to become available on the trade market.

Dinelson Lament

  • Assuming he stays healthy and reaches free agency, what type of contract might Skubal command in the 2026-2027 off season?

Steve Adams

  • Something north of $400MM

Ben

  • Will Eugenio Suarez cost a top 100 prospect, considering no top 100 prospects were traded at last year’s deadline, including for multi-year controllable players, while Geno is a rental?

Steve Adams

  • “Top 100” prospect are subjective. There are several different lists, and the gap between the No. 100 prospect and the No. 130 prospect is pretty negligible. The Tigers probably had Thayron Liranzo as a top-100 guy when they got him as the Flaherty headliner last year. He was generally considered a 50 FV prospect, which is where all back-of-the-top-100 guys are. Within a few weeks, he was on most top-100 lists.Top-100 rankings are far more volatile than a lot of people give them credit for, and they kind of inherently misrepresent that there’s a larger gap between 100 and 150 than there really is. (Or between, say, 60 and 100, for that matter).At any rate, I don’t think Suarez will command a 50 FV type of prospect, but a 45 type headlining the deal wouldn’t surprise me.

Utah Fan

  • Who gets traded by the TWINS at the deadline, if their recent decline continues?

Steve Adams

  • Willi Castro, Chris Paddack, Harrison Bader, Danny Coulombe all make sense. Someone might grab Ty France as a cheap RH bat off the bench.

Read more

Phil

  • What do the Phillies prioritize more, a relief arm or high impact bat?

Steve Adams

  • Dave Dombrowski himself said bullpen arms just last week:
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/06/phillies-trade-rumors-bullpen-h…

Scott

  • Will the Padres be buyers or sellers? I think they will be sellers as the pathetic offensive display has been going on for a while now and unloading a few contracts can help them for next season.

Steve Adams

  • They’re one game back from a Wild Card spot. They’re not selling without a huge collapse.

Bendix

  • If the Marlins keep up this hot steak, though obviously not winning every game. Will they be inclined to not sell off the veterans they have and at least be in a holding pattern or do you still see them as selling completely regardless?

Steve Adams

  • Selling regardless. Maybe the scope of the sale won’t be quite so great if they can get within 2-3 games of .500, but I don’t think Peter Bendix & Co. are looking at this roster and thinking, “Yeah, we can make a playoff run here.”

Ken

  • More likely to be traded: Severino or Springs?

Steve Adams

  • Springs. The contract is just easier to move and he’s pitching better. The A’s overpaid to get Severino, and now he’s unhappy and not pitching well at home. Both parties would probably like to move on, but I can’t imagine the A’s are excited to include cash to pay down his contract. Maybe they could swap him out for a bad contract elsewhere, but they feel kind of stuck with one another for right now.

The Duke

  • What is Luis Robert Jr worth at this point? Lottery ticket or two?

Steve Adams

  • A lottery ticket if the White Sox pay down pretty much all of the remaining guaranteed money.

brian

  • Bednar, Keller or both?

Steve Adams

  • As in, who’s likelier to be traded? Bednar (and Dennis Santana) are much likelier to go than Keller. I’d be surprised if Bednar or Santana stayed in Pittsburgh beyond the deadline. Keller has a real chance to go, but with 3+ years left on the contract, there’s no urgency to do it now.

Buy or Sell

  • Angels

Steve Adams

  • Should sell, but owner Arte Moreno lives in an alternate universe and will talk himself into being one piece away despite being a bottom-five team in batting average, on-base percentage, strikeout percentage and walk percentage on offense and a bottom-five team in FIP, strikeout rate, walk rate and SIERA both in the rotation and bullpen (and a bottom-five bullpen ERA/bottom-10 rotation ERA)
  • The Angels are where they are because they keep winning one-run games. They’ve been very fortunate with health on the pitching side of things but have minimal depth on either side of the roster. This isn’t a team that should be sacrificing future value to win in the short term, but that hasn’t stopped Moreno in the past.

Adam Steves

  • Then Arty should trade Mike Trout?

Steve Adams

  • They’re not trading Trout
  • Trout has a full no-trade clause, has never given the indication he wants to move, and his contract is far greater than anything he’d get in free agency right now. Arte Moreno isn’t going to pay tens of millions of dollars to make Trout, a franchise icon, go away.

MLBTR

  • Could MLBTR start doing MLB mock drafts? With the draft approaching…I think it’d be really fun & interactive if MLBTR started to do this!

Steve Adams

  • The draft isn’t a big area of focus for us. Can’t trade picks outside comp balance picks, and we’d need to hire someone specifically to cover what would be a niche topic even among our already niche (relative to broader baseball fandom anyway) readership.

Will Lehnertz

  • Will Bregman get traded? Seems like the Mariners are interested given the recent Adam Jude Article.

Steve Adams

  • Adam Jude is a (very good) reporter with the Seattle Times for those unfamiliar. But really, all he said was if the Red Sox decide to move him — there’s no indication that’d happen — the Mariners would probably have interest. He specifically called a Bregman trade a long shot. I agree.I feel I take one or more of these questions every week, but people keep asking, so I suppose I’ll continue.Trading players with opt-out clauses (which Bregman has) is *extremely* difficult. It’s almost pure downside for the acquiring team. You either get a veteran player who comes in, performs well, and opts back into free agency at season’s end … or he gets hurt/tanks, forgoes the opt-out, and you’re stuck with the extra year(s). And the selling team will be asking for legitimate prospects, while you know you’re at best getting a rental and at worst giving up those prospects for what’ll turn into a bad contract.
  • Bregman’s $40MM AAV, even with deferrals, would also be extremely hard for the Mariners to absorb. I’m sure they’d want the Red Sox to include cash, which only further muddies things. Ownership gave the Mariners $15-16MM total to add 2-3 bats this offseason. I cannot see them suddenly saying “Actually, that $40MM AAV feels fine now that we’re four games over .500 in July.”

3K Club

  • After Kershaw, who is the next to 3k strikeouts?

Steve Adams

  • Chris Sale and Gerrit Cole can both get there. After that, it’s tougher. Aaron Nola probably has the next-best chance. Kevin Gausman would be a long shot, but maybe he pitches into his 40s?

Freddy

  • Any chance Byron Buxton gets moved?

Steve Adams

  • Full no-trade clause and Twins aren’t looking to tear everything down. He’ll stay regardless.

birdbats

  • what are the odds Arenado is traded

Steve Adams

  • Borderline nonexistent. No one wants that contract, and the teams that could most plausibly stomach it, in a vacuum, are the ones who are already in the top tier of luxury penalization and would thus pay a 110% tax on the remaining AAV.

Mike Elias

  • I have several potential QO candidates, which ones do I offer it too (O’Hearn, Efflin, Sugano, Mullins)? Obviously disregarding those that will be traded in the next month.

Steve Adams

  • ROH and Mullins should get QOs. I’m not making a QO to Eflin when he’s struggling like this or Sugano at his age and with a K% sitting around 14%
  • That assumes no trades, of course, but I’d be open to trading all of the rentals barring some insane 12-game win streak or something. Even with the O’s playing better of late, they’re 10 under .500, last in the division and 7 back in the Wild Card.

Juan Soto

  • Am I back

Steve Adams

  • Soto never went anywhere. He had a two-week slump and certain corners of the media/internet decided to cook up a “What’s wrong with Juan Soto” narrative. Juan Soto is an elite baseball player. He’s also human, and when he shows that humanity early in a season, I suppose people will freak out ad nauseum, but the notion that there was ever anything “wrong” with Soto never held any traction for me.

Marlins

  • If Sandy Alcántara can’t show teams that he’s back to his 2023 form, Miami should just keep him and see what he’s got next spring, right?

Steve Adams

  • White Sox fans asked this same thing about Luis Robert at last year’s deadline.

Suarez to Cubs

  • Doesn’t this make too much sense?   Allows Shaw to go to bench and gets rid of Berti/Brujan.   Slots Dansby out of 4/5 hole to 7.  Gives Cubs that power bat needed in playoffs.    Improves bench, lengthens lineup again and give thump if needed.  Of course you live and die with strikeouts,  but hes the perfect offensive guy needed.

Steve Adams

  • If the Cubs get Eugenio Suarez, they’re going to send Shaw to AAA to get everyday at-bats, not play 1-2x per week. So that doesn’t really improve the bench.And while sure, Suarez makes sense for the Cubs, he also makes sense for the Yankees, Tigers, Mariners, Brewers and others, so it’s not like we’re talking a fait accompli here.

Trader Jerry’s

  • Which do you think should be a higher priority for the Mariners this deadline: finding a reliable infield bat or shoring up the bullpen?

Steve Adams

  • Getting more offense. The Mariners have a nice track record of spinning low-cost, seemingly fungible relief pickups into quality bullpen pieces. They don’t need to pay an exorbitant price in trades to add a reliever. Plus they just got Matt Brash back a bit ago. Munoz/Brash is one of the most outrageous late-inning combos in MLB.

Sophia

  • Any chance the Pirates could have a winning team next year?

Steve Adams

  • I wouldn’t call it especially likely, but they  could have a rotation led by Skenes, Chandler, Keller (if he’s not traded) some combo of Ashcraft/Harrington/Burrows/Barco, and a cheap veteran fill-in…. get a rebound from Reynolds, a true breakout from Cruz, slightly above-average offense from Horwitz, and hit on a cheap offseason bat … I mean, it’s a lot that has to go right, but no, I don’t think it’s impossible. Just like … “possible” in a 10% chance sort of way.

Blake

  • If the Pirates trade Bryan Reynolds, what will they get in return?

Steve Adams

  • Some salary relief? Reynolds is 30 going on 31, his offense this year is below average, and he’s signed all the way through 2030.

John

  • Will we see draft picks become tradeable in the next CBA? Seems like something both sides should be ok with that would make the draft more interesting for fans, while also opening up new avenues to competing for rebuilding teams.

Steve Adams

  • I’ve been saying for the past three CBAs that I hope so, but it’s never really been a hot-button issue. I doubt it will be this time around, either, but here’s hoping.

Michael

  • Would the Phillies consider trading Ranger Suarez to add a right-handed bat, considering their SP depth and that it remains unlikely they sign him in the offseason with other SP salary commitments?

Steve Adams

  • I’d be very surprised. They have nice rotation depth, but Abel and Painter will be on workload limits, Nola is already banged up, and pitching depth dries up in a hurry.Ranger is an easy QO candidate, too, so he’ll net them a pick even if he leaves. They could very easily add a right-handed bat without giving up Suarez.

ARGHHHH

  • About how many questions do you get during these?  Seems my questions never get answered

Steve Adams

  • This is a curiously lightly attended chat and there are 549 people in here right now

Red Sox Fan

  • Is it possible that the Red Sox trade Bregman, then Bregman resigns in the offseason?

Steve Adams

  • See prior answer re: Bregman

CBA

  • Word has it that Manfred wants to change how Free Agency works in the next agreement, by putting a deadline on SIGNING.   Thoughts??   I think that is as unlikely to happen as an actual SALARY CAP.

Steve Adams

  • Bregman and the owners have wanted a signing deadline for awhile. Why wouldn’t they? It’s extra leverage for them. Players are going to push back on anything they deem a restriction on a truly open market. A signing deadline is that.
  • I know some fans want it. I — even absent my employment here — have always liked that the offseason spans all winter. I’m a baseball sicko. Why wouldn’t I want year-round baseball news and transactions? Keep it nice and dragged out, haha

Matt Gage

  • Can you see me ending up back with the Dodgers.  They know me and they always seem to have injured pitchers.

Steve Adams

  • He’s a cheap left-handed reliever. I can see him landing with any team in MLB, honestly. He’s going to be on the fringe of the roster wherever he lands and could well be in this same spot again a few weeks or a month from now

Manfred

  • Why do I care what Bregman wants for a deadline?

Steve Adams

  • Ha, whoops
  • Bregman on the brain I guess. Rent-free!

Bobby Bonilla Day

  • Not a single tip of the cap to the captain of the deferred contract.   Let’s give credit where credit is due….each July 1.

Steve Adams

  • Bobby Bonilla day is a weird narrative. The Braves gave Bruce Sutter a way crazier deferral structure back in like 1985, one that paid him for 30+ years, and no one talks about it.
  • https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/399252/2018/06/25/move-over-bobby-bon…

MikeM

  • Any interest in Yoan Moncada at the deadline?  Hes having a decent year when healthy.

Steve Adams

  • Sure, I don’t think he’d fetch a huge return, but he’s been productive in the 30 games he’s managed to stay healthy and he’s a non-QO-candidate free agent

Yankee trader

  • Dominguez and Spencer Jones to Philly for Stott and Marsh? Philly needs a JOLT and Aiden Miller should be here sometime next season?

Steve Adams

  • Yankees aren’t making that trade (and I don’t even really like Spencer Jones)

Who Says No

  • Severino for Santander in a regrettable free agent signing swap.

Steve Adams

  • Santander’s on a longer deal and owed more money. Doubt the A’s are that anxious to move him. He was also playing through a shoulder subluxation for a good chunk of May, so let’s see what he looks like when he’s healthy.

kc

  • Anyone traded on A’s besides Urias?

Steve Adams

  • Urias, yes. I think Springs has a good chance. Andujar

More O’s Losses Please

  • The better Trevor Rogers throws, the better the argument for keeping him AND trading him. I say trade while he’s throwing well. What’s your call?

Steve Adams

  • He’s made four starts with a below-average K%, a .200 BABIP and an 81% strand rate. He’s throwing a bit harder. The pitch selection is largely unchanged minus swapping out some sinkers for more four-seamers. I haven’t dived headlong into seeing if the shape and movement on his breaking pitches is dramatically different, but this feels far more like some small sample noise than a genuine rebound.
  • He’s giving up boatloads of hard contact (52.5%) and wasn’t even pitching well in Norfolk before his recall. I’m sure the O’s are pushing the “we rebuilt him! we fixed him!” narrative, but as of now, I’m not buying it and don’t think he’d command much of a return in a trade.

bob e

  • Could Cal Raleigh get trade in mega blockbuster

Steve Adams

  • Nope

Tim

  • Do the Cardinals  extend a qualifying offer to Ryan Helsley

Steve Adams

  • If they don’t trade him, they should.

QO Bubble

  • Aside from nobrainers, who just makes it as of now and who just misses

Steve Adams

  • QO: Josh Naylor, Ryan O’Hearn, Gleyber Torres, Framber Valdez, Ranger Suarez, Dylan Cease, Michael King, Kyle Tucker, Bo Bichette, Ryan Helsley, Devin Williams, Luke WeaverSome borderline/big-name candidates who I’d probably pass on right now, QO-wise: Luis Arraez, Willi Castro, Trent Grisham, Tyler Mahle, Zac Gallen, Paul GoldschmidtWilliams and Weaver are admittedly a little borderline, but I like both pitchers well enough that I expect them to justify it more clearly in the final three months.

    D-backs would probably QO Gallen regardless, but man he has been SO bad.

Matt Arnold

  • Bo Bichette for Luis Pena and Tyler Black. Who says no?

Steve Adams

  • Blue Jays aren’t going to sell
  • I mean, I suppose they could lose like 12 in a row, but … as of right now, not happening.

reds reds reds

  • could suarez or naylor make sense for the reds? both have ties with the team and geno has been open to a return. naylor has longtime connections with tito. it would provide the bat the reds need to make a playoff push.

Steve Adams

  • Both make sense, sure, but as I noted on Suarez earlier, they both make sense for a good 5-10 teams around the league. (Not all the same teams, but both will have broad-reaching markets)

More likely

  • Which is more likely, Dodgers losing 12 in a row or White Sox winning 12 in a row?

Steve Adams

  • Which is likelier?

    Dodgers lose 12 straight (49.7% | 90 votes)
    White Sox win 12 straight (50.2% | 91 votes)

    Total Votes: 181

Taker55

  • Bellinger feels like a sure opt-out at this pace, right?

Steve Adams

  • It’s a net $20MM decision. I’ve been of the mind since spring training that he’ll opt out unless he gets seriously injured or reverts to his horrendous 2021-22 form.
  • Right now, it’s an easy call to opt out.

Joey Gallo Superfan

  • Could the Rockies sign Joey Gallo to be their closer

Steve Adams

  • I support this plan.

Windows of Contention

  • For Arizona in particular, should they be focused on 2026 or 2027 for their next splurge? There’s a lot leaving the team this year (either via trade or free agency), but there’s also significant mound talent returning in the second half of 2026. Whether in trades or free agency, should the team be focused on MLB ready talent or guys who may take another year to reach MLB ready status?

Steve Adams

  • They’re still going to have a lineup built around Carroll, Perdomo, Marte, Moreno and hopefully Jordan Lawlar, with some decent role players like Pavin Smith, Lourdes Gurriel, etc.The pitching needs work, but the lineup is impressive and the books are reasonably clean. There’s a lot of work to be done on the pitching side of things, but the second half can be used as a means of evaluating some in-house arms (and some younger guys they pick up if/when they trade Suarez, Naylor, Shelby, etc.) … I wouldn’t punt on 2026 by any stretch, but they do need to figure out how to get some affordable pitching help. Big investments in Burnes and E-Rod obviously haven’t worked out.
  • Ok, I’ve got to call it this week.I’m on X @Adams_Steve and Bluesky @adams-steve.bsky.social if you have more questions.If you want more opinions from the MLBTR team, you can learn about our Front Office subscription package and sign up here. In addition to ad-free viewing on the site and in the app, you’ll get weekly analysis/opinion columns from Anthony Franco and myself, a weekly mailbag column from Tim Dierkes, weekly fantasy baseball chats and columns with Nicklaus Gaut, two weekly subscriber-only chats (one with me, one with Anthony) where your odds of getting a question answered are much better, direct Q&A opps with Darragh McDonald, access to our new Trade Deadline Outlook series, access to our Contract Tracker, GM Tracker and our Agency Database, and more. It all starts at $2.99/month.

    Enjoy the rest of your week, everyone!

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MLBTR Chats

15 comments

Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript

By Steve Adams | June 30, 2025 at 2:19pm CDT

Steve Adams

  • Good afternoon! Sorry to start a bit later than usual today. Schedule moved around a bit with Darragh having a well-deserved day off. We'll get going at 3:30pm CT, but feel free to ask questions ahead of time, as always.
  • Good afternoon! Let's get underway

El Chupacabra

  • If the Royals were to trade Seth Lugo today, how much more - or less - would the return likely be vs. if they waited until the trade deadline?

Steve Adams

  • I don't think the return would be materially different. You could say the acquiring team might be forced to give up more to compensate for the extra month of control, but there'd also be fewer teams bidding, which could impact the price as well. The extent to which those offset each other can really only be theorized upon.For what it's worth, I also don't expect the Royals to trade Lugo. They're intent on contending, and GM JJ Picollo was recently quoted on record when discussing how important back-to-back playoff appearances would be.

    Further, as I often say, player options/opt-outs are so hard to navigate in trade talks. Eventually we'll see a prominent player with an opt-out at season's end traded, but these guys never really move in actuality. The team trading for Lugo would have to know he's either going to pitch well and opt out or that he'd get hurt and/or see his performance tank and forgo the out... thus saddling them with an unwanted salary on the 2026 books.

  • That makes it really hard to agree on prospects to be exchanged in the deal, as the Royals will want to market him like a playoff-caliber starter but the acquiring team knows that if he bombs, they're essentially taking on a bad contract. Pricing in that downside makes the trade less appealing for Kansas City. And, again, the Royals probably don't really want to trade Lugo in the first place.

Stockholm, AZ

  • What are the Diamondbacks gonna do? That was a crap series against Miami, and now they’re under .500. Season beyond rescue? I had such high hopes..

Steve Adams

  • I just have a hard time seeing them wind up in genuine contention with Carroll out, Burnes out, and Zac Gallen pitching more like Zack Godley. Even if this iteration of the D-backs got to the postseason, could they feel good about a playoff rotation of this version of Gallen and Merrill Kelly leading the way, followed by one of Pfaadt or E-Rod? And without Justin Martinez or AJ Puk in the bullpen? It just feels like a soft reset (trading Suarez, Kelly, Gallen, etc.) is kind of inevitable to me.

RoxTalks

  • Does the Rockies' nepotism hiring of Monfort's son to be executive VP basically ensure this team will be bad forever? It is extremely difficult to continue to support this team. Cannot believe the league allows stuff like this.

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Front Office Originals MLBTR Chats

2 comments

MLBTR Chat Transcript

By Mark Polishuk | June 29, 2025 at 8:42pm CDT

Mark P

  • Beads, bees, stew preparation, and maybe even some baseball discussion….we’ve got it all here in the latest edition of the Weekend Chat!

ChrisMC88

  • What should the mets prioritize more at this point, pitching or offense.. both need attention.. or even maybe look deeper into their hitting coaches.

Mark P

  • Things have looked rough in general for the Mets over the last couple of weeks, but their rotation is still the bigger need than their lineup.  I expect the front office to pursue help in both areas, but it seems like the patchwork that has been the Mets’ rotation is simply starting to fray

Brian

  • Do u think Crawford(Phillies prospect) has better change to play for Phillies or be traded by deadline this year???

Mark P

  • Seems like a better chance that he’ll stick with the Phillies, since they need OF help already.

John

  • Is there a world there the orioles don’t sell?

Mark P

  • Because baseball is baseball, the O’s could turn around and win 11 of their next 13 games and nobody would bat an eye.

    That being said, it would take an extreme hot stretch like that in July to get the O’s fully back into the playoff picture.  Feels like they just dug themselves into too big a hole too early.

Read more

Orbit

  • With Yordan and Melton coming back, do the Astros really need Mullins ? There isn’t must to trade with and Crane is so hesitant to go over the tax luxury.

Mark P

  • Melton is still an unproven commodity, and one can argue that Houston is still too righty-centric even with both Alvarez and Melton.  A veteran left-handed hitter like Mullins could help, even if Mullins’ own bat has been ice cold for two months now.

Ken

  • Is Severino’s vocal criticism of the Sutter Health Field 1) part of a ploy to get traded to a contender (now that he has an above market contract), 2) a veteran giving voice to criticisms that younger, less established players also have about playing there, or 3) just an indication of how much it sucks to play there?

Mark P

  • I think all of the above.  You make a good point that Severino is probably speaking for a number of teammates, many of whom have less security and tenure in the sport.  As MLBTR’s Nick Deeds noted today, Severino is a difficult trade candidate due to his contract, his opt-out clause after 2026, and how his numbers aren’t entirely tied to his home/away splits

Theo

  • If you were the GM of the Blue Jays, what would you do at the deadline?

Mark P

  • Add pitching, first and foremost.  At least a solid innings-eater type starter to solidify the back of the rotation, and it wouldn’t hurt to check in on any possible frontline types that may or may not be available. The heavily worked bullpen could also use a new arm or two.

Mikey Mousel

  • Bees?

Mark P

  • Beads?!

ANM

  • Clase to Philly for Abel,Miller and or Crawford… Who says no?

Mark P

  • Clase is a terrific closer under long-term control via his contract, but I don’t think I see the Phillies parting with that level of prospect for him.

MKE

  • What are the Brewers going to do with the excess of starting pitching? With proven big league arms like Peralta, Woodruff, Cortes, Quintana and young talent like Priester, Miz, Patrick, and Gasser there seems to a log jam. Easy bet is Gasser stays in the minors when he returns and a 6-man rotation is in play. Anyone on the move?

Mark P

  • Easy answer is that every pitching surplus is quickly diminished by injuries.  The Brewers will wait until late July to determine whether or not everyone is healthy before they decide to move a starter or not.

    Someone like Quintana might be a decent bet to be moved, as he was probably someone that might not have really been on the radar anyway if it wasn’t for some of their health concerns in camp.

Braves

  • Seems like the Braves aren’t that far back. They likely pass the Mets, but can they leap frog enough other teams to be buyers?

Mark P

  • The Braves are about to get passed by the Marlins in the standings, so I’d pump the brakes on them making a run at contending.

    As much as Anthopoulos wants to compete and won’t sell until he absolutely has to, Atlanta is another team that needs a major hot streak in July to get back into the “realistic buyer” conversation

Garrett

  • Best baseball card you own?

Mark P

  • Sadly (and foolishly?), many of my old baseball cards were sold away at a garage sale years ago.

MN

  • Is there a reason Luis Garcia (Nats Version) isn’t more discussed as a trade candidate?

Mark P

  • Under arb control through 2027, and the Nats certainly hope they’re contending again during Garcia’s time with the team. I don’t think they’d hang up the phone if someone called with an intriguing enough offer, but the Nats are going to try moving several other shorter-term veteran types before exploring trades for players like Garcia

Sandy

  • Are the Marlins… good?

Mark P

  • They’re on a heck of a run right now, though I’d hesitate to say they’re going to be this year’s surprise team or anything.  But, wins are wins, even though the Fish have taken advantage of a couple of teams (SF, Arizona) who are struggling right now
  • In short, if you think Miami will suddenly be deadline buyers or anything, I’d calm down.  But if you’re a Marlins fan, seeing the team play some good ball has to be nice, especially with some of this young talent seemingly emerging

Bert

  • with the large amount owed to Alcantara and his awful stats, Hoyer should be fired if he gives up anything good for him right?

Mark P

  • Alcantara was starting to look like his old self before he struggled against the D’Backs the other day.  At this point there’s probably a better chance Alcantara is moved in the offseason than at the deadline, but I wouldn’t be shocked at a short-term move

Kyle

  • Breslow still saying the Sox will be buyers at the deadline; just posturing or are they still looking to add pieces for this year?

Mark P

  • He’s not going to throw in the towel in late June.  But, here’s yet another team that now looks like they need a big winning streak sooner than later, since the club has looked pretty lost since the Devers trade

Mike elias

  • Mullins for Spencer Arrighetti who says no

Mark P

  • Such a deal would be about the future for Baltimore, so the fact that Arrighetti is currently on the IL might not be a big obstacle?  But, a broken thumb on a throwing hand isn’t nothing for a pitcher, so the O’s (who are notoriously finicky about pitching health) would want a deep dive into the medicals before making such a swap

Framber Valdez

  • POLL: Do I get traded by the deadline?

Mark P

  • If you’re an Astros team in first place, why trade a guy having a great season and who has a long playoff track record for you?  Houston has been willing to let plenty of impending free agents just walk in the past, since the team is trying to win.

Tarik Skubal

  • Wow, I am pitching pretty well right now, no? It’s pretty impressive how I still have time to check out the MLBTR chat while pitching!

Mark P

  • You posted that just as the perfect game was broken up, so jinx!

Bucs

  • What’s you favorite Dave Parker memory?

Mark P

  • Most of Parker’s career was before my time, but I was a young Blue Jays fan when the team picked up the Cobra in September 1991.  He hit well during his brief time in Toronto and helped the Jays win the AL East, even if he was ineligible for the playoffs due to his late acquisition date.

    I think I vaguely recall my reaction being “great, Dave Parker!….who’s that?” and my dad filling me in about the Cobra’s storied history.  RIP to a great player, and it’s a shame he didn’t make it to the actual induction ceremony next month.

Brewer Fan

  • My question is on Quinn Priester and also the Brewers pitching system. They have the reputation of getting the most put of pitchers but it can’t happen this quickly right? So by extension,  since his results are already pretty good,, is Priester’s ceiling higher than we thought once he has a full offseason in the system?

Mark P

  • Priester isn’t far removed from being a first-rounder and a top-100 prospect, so it’s not like he’s some guy the Brewers found off the scrap heap.  The upside is certainly still there, and it should be noted that if Priester’s ceiling is “only” what it is now, that still makes for a serviceable starter over the long term

Dalton Rushing

  • What sort of return could the Dodgers get for me if they strictly wanna swap me for pitching?

Mark P

  • Teams will undoubtedly be calling about Rushing, and Will Smith’s long-term contract probably means LA will be open to hearing offers.  That would put the Dodgers in need of a veteran backup catcher type, but those are readily available.

    Offering Rushing would open the doors to a lot of potential arms on the market for the Dodgers, and he’s a sought-after enough commodity that I don’t think LA moves him for just a rental.

Logjam

  • Mark I loved your article today about Yoshida. The obvious question is how will they work it with Anthony/Duran/Abreu/Rafaela when none of them can DH against RHP since Yoshida will be doing that?

Mark P

  • The Sox can be judicious in giving people some off-days, since there’s no clearcut way to manage it.  Rafaela could conceivably be used at 2B but that’s not an idea use of an outstanding defensive center fielder

Fox Mulder

  • Pepsi or Coke, Mark?

Mark P

  • My power rankings go…
    • Pepsi and Coke tied
    • Diet Pepsi (which I’m drinking right this moment)
    • Coke Zero
    • (small gap)
    • Pepsi Zero
    • (Grand Canyon-sized gap)
    • Diet Coke

CardsRPathetic

  • what type of return can the Cardinals expect to receive in a trade of Thomas Saggese, who is blocked by other young midfielders

Mark P

  • He’s an intriguing enough trade chip that I doubt St. Louis would trade him for less than a big return, i.e. a player who is controlled beyond 2025.  My guess is that the Cards will shop Gorman first (notwithstanding now Gorman has been red hot over the last few weeks)

Michael Gillis

  • If the Braves want to compete, a huge change is needed in the core. Who goes?

Mark P

  • Albies had a huge 2023 season, but that was his only good year in the last four.  This season has been particularly rough, as Albies has barely been a replacement-level player.

    He is controlled for two $7MM club options beyond this season, so at that price, it’s easy to see the Braves retaining him to bet on a turn-around.  But, perhaps in a way because second base is a relatively easier position to address, I could see AA decide to trade Albies before the option deadline to get some other team deal with his struggles.

Angels Fan

  • If Ethan Holliday is not picked #1 by the Nationals do you see the Angels taking him or are they looking at a college bat that can be brought up to the majors by next season?

Mark P

  • That would seem to fit the Angels’ fast-tracking M.O. They could also opt for a college pitcher like Arnold or Anderson

Pop Fisher

  • The Natural or The Sandlot?

Mark P

  • Sandlot all day.  This might be an even hotter take than my Coke/Pepsi rankings, but I don’t think the Natural is a good movie.

Friars

  • Padres, meet your new left fielder, Seth Brown, am I right?

Mark P

  • He isn’t much of a defender, and his bat hasn’t done much in a few years.  I could see SD taking a flier on Brown since they’re so thin for left field options, but there would seem to be better candidates out there

Josh Bell

  • Tell it to me straight… am I getting traded or DFA’d before the deadline?

Mark P

  • I think he’ll be dealt, if even for a minimal return.  The legend of Josh Bell’s sudden turn-arounds will make some team interested in making Washington an offer

Reggie

  • Was there ever a good explanation why the Jays didn’t sign Yarborough at the end of spring training when it was clear that their rotation is on the older side and Scherzer can’t be counted upon…ie the Jays were always clearly going to need depth starters at some point.

Mark P

  • Shi Davidi explored this a couple of months ago, as apparently the Jays wanted Yarbrough to sign an advanced consent clause, thus giving the team the ability to keep up on the active roster for up to 45 days without guaranteeing his full salary.

    https://www.sportsnet.ca/mlb/article/as-blue-jays-search-for-fifth-sta…

  • I absolutely agree that this was a big mistake for the Jays, as Yarbrough was just what the rotation needed as a depth arm.  The error became evident almost immediately when Scherzer got hurt in his first start.

Krall’s Self Doubt

  • Does the Jeimer Candelario release show that the reds are willing to make a big move at the deadline or is it just a cap cut for open space

Mark P

  • The Reds don’t save any money for the early release, as they’ll be eating the rest of Jeimer’s contract.  (Minus the minimum salary that will be covered by whatever teams signs him next.)

SF

  • On the rotation, I know it was said that we have depth for days. But with the Devers trade, Harrison and Hicks were given up, along with the slow down of Birdsong and approaching career innings for Roupp, it seems to be a thin rotation. A starter at the deadline? Who though would Posey target? Hopefully not a rental, I wouldn’t think he would.

Mark P

  • Black or Winn could be called up to cover innings, but agreed that a more proven SP option would be helpful.  It doesn’t need to be an ace or a “will start a playoff game” type — just a veteran who can eat some innings and provide some stability for the kids.

Eriepopcorn

  • Is it safe to say after getting swept by the cards. The guards have gone from Maybe adding to 100% selling now

Mark P

  • Guardians are still only two back of the last wild card slot, so it’s too soon to wave the white flag yet

Buster Posey

  • Did I make to big of a move to fast considering where the roster is?

Mark P

  • Picking up Devers is a long-term move beyond just what the Giants hope to accomplish in 2025.  I think Posey makes that deal 10 times out of 10, even if the Giants had been struggling

Adell

  • Why is my turnaround not getting more attention?  And have the Adell trade Qs finally gone away?

Mark P

  • It feels like the Angels are collectively flying under fans’ radars, though to be fair, I can understand the “I’ll believe it when I see it” sentiment given LAA’s recent history.

    Adell could be World Series MVP en route to leading the Halos to a title, and I’d still get “is this the right time to sell high on Jo for pitching?” questions

Billington

  • Is Buxton finally the Buxton we all thought he was gonna be??!!

Mark P

  • I think everyone is holding their breath and hoping that Buxton can finally stay healthy, but All-Star level performance was always his ceiling if he could stay on the field.

Starryl Drawberry

  • Are there any expensive and underperforming pitchers out there that the Mets could cash in Starling Marte for? Marte doesn’t seem to have a place on the Mets, and they desperately need pitching right now.

Mark P

  • As amusing as a Starling-for-Severino might be, I’m not sure Marte carries a lot of trade value.

Jorge

  • The White Sox seem to have done well with two rule 5 pitchers, are they exploiting a new market inefficiency?

Mark P

  • The Rule 5 has been around for a century in one form or another, so it’s not exactly a “new” inefficiency.  But if you’re a rebuilding team that is willing to give a young player plenty of time, why not take a flier or two on any interesting available prospects?

Blue

  • With Sheehan seems to be ready in MLB, why did Dodgers send him back to minors? I am still confused.

Mark P

  • I’m knocking on the biggest piece of wood I can find, but right now, the Dodgers’ rotation is….

    /looks upwards for any falling pianos
    /looks both ways before crossing a busy street

    ….reasonably healthy right now?  Wrobleski has been pitching well and has earned the right to keep getting some starts.  Sheehan will definitely get more looks as the season goes on, and as the staff undoubtedly is altered again by returns and other injuries

Frankensteve

  • The Mariners haven’t traded elite prospects for rentals in the Dipoto era. With such a tight, if not mediocre, American League, could this be the year they make splashes and actually make a legitimate effort to get to the World Series (as difficult as that may be with the lack of available talent and number of hopeful teams looking for upgrades).

Mark P

  • Moving Harry Ford seems like the most feasible “splash” move of an elite prospect possible, given that the M’s have already made the big commitment to Cal Raleigh.  I suggested last week that the Mariners could do worse than simply calling Ford up to help out with their DH needs, but dealing him for a more prominent proven bat is also plausible

H.Kim Dodgers

  • Is hitting .400 not enough to be an everyday starter these days? The phones are gonna be ringing off the hook for me at the deadline. Hope I can get on a team where I’m an everyday player.

Mark P

  • I don’t think Kim is at all regretting joining such a stacked team, and his time will come.  Now that Edman is getting back into OF duty, that could get get Pages into LF in Conforto’s place, and open up 2B for Kim more often.

Mayor

  • Would you consider Alex Cobb a bust for the Tigers? If so to they trade at the deadline for another starter?

Mark P

  • It’s June 29 and he hasn’t thrown in the majors yet, so yeah, unfortunately Cobb’s deal is looking like a big whiff at the moment.  The fact that he’s still dealing with hip inflammation isn’t great.

    Detroit’s rotation is still awfully strong even without Cobb, and Olson will be back within the week.  The Tigers probably will explore other needs before focusing too much on the rotation

John

  • Hall of Fame question. Should Cooperstown change their policy and allow someone to be inducted both as a player and a manager? In basketball that is allowed ( Jerry West for example as a player and executive) . Joe Torre is in as a manager but he also had a 57.8 WAR as a player- more than Dave Parker for instance. Not saying Torre should be a HOF but he should be considered

Mark P

  • I’m not sure you necessarily need two inductions for the same person, even if an individual has excelled both on and off the field.

    I am in favor of something like a “cumulative” vote, for a candidate who might not be quite over the line as just a player or just as a manager/executive, but the sum total of their career makes them worthy.  This was the argument for Gil Hodges for a while before the Era Committee just put him in as a player

Aaron Judge

  • I can’t carry the team the whole year and now that I’m struggling we don’t look so good

Mark P

  • The Yankees did score 12 runs today, but I see your point.  Judge having (again) one of the literal best seasons in the history of baseball has elevated this lineup to an incredible extent, and he had to (relatively) cool off at some point

Al Kaline Battery

  • Riley Greene -does the world realize how good I am?

Mark P

  • Looks like Greene will be getting some spotlight time come October, the way the Tigers are playing.  He still needs to cut back on the strikeouts, but everything else is aces

Michael Harris Sr

  • When will the Braves send my son down to AAA to regain confidence and figure out the strike zone?

Mark P

  • Harris wasn’t in the lineup for Atlanta’s last two games, which is in part a function of the Phillies’ left-handed starters, but Snitker said it was intended as a mental break.  Monday is also an off-day for the Braves, so the team is hoping Harris can reset himself after this mini-rest period.

Etc.

  • Arizona won’t trade Eugenio Suarez unless they drop out of the race and he isn’t worth much more than salary relief, correct?

Mark P

  • Salary relief?  Suarez would arguably be the best hitter available at the deadline if the D’Backs decided to sell.  Even as a rental, Arizona would get a nice return for him.

Noah Schultz to Cubs

  • Matt Shaw, James Triantos, and a prospect for Noah Schultz and a pitcher?  Who says no?

Mark P

  • The Cubs, since if they’re moving all that young talent, it will only be for premium established help

Bregman

  • I think he will opt out from the 40m next year from Redsox. What contender might look at him for 3/100?? Tigers again??

Mark P

  • Bregman isn’t opting out for another short-term, high-AAV contract.  He’ll be looking to cash in big, much closer to the $200MM that was at least his initial asking price last winter

Guest

  • Bednar and Keller are we playing for Pittsburgh or Chicago in 2 weeks?

Mark P

  • Pittsburgh. just because I think the Bucs wait until closer to the deadline before making any significant sells.

Dodgers POBO

  • We want Framber and won’t take NO for answer!  Could Rushing do it straight up? If he helps us win another WS it would be worth it.

Mark P

  • But to my earlier point, why would the Astros do this?  They’d be moving a SP who would be their #1 or #2 starter in a playoff series, thus putting Houston on the lookout for finding more pitching.

    While Valdez could leave for nothing in free agency after the year, “if he helps [Houston] win another WS, it would be worth it.”

Etc.

  • Teams can sort of trade draft picks, right? Like SF just did for Devers. They just have to pick the guy and then wait how long? before he’s tradeable.

Mark P

  • I believe teams cannot trade a player until at least six months after the draft.
  • Time to wrap things up for the evening.  Thanks for all the questions in another spirited chat, and we’ll be back with more next weekend!
  • If you’re interested in more baseball Q&A, one of the many benefits of our Trade Rumors Front Office subscription is the exclusive weekly live chats. The more limited field means you’re about 10 times more likely to get a question answered, as opposed to battling for space with hundreds of other questions in today’s chat. For more on our memberships, check out this link:

    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/membership?ref=chat-6-29-25

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MLBTR Chats

26 comments

Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript

By Anthony Franco | June 27, 2025 at 3:20pm CDT

Anthony Franco

  • Hey everyone, hope you've had a good week!

Tony

  • Thanks for the chat! My question is Cardinal related. It appears that their biggest needs are bullpen and right handed hitting outfield. If they packaged Fedde and Gorman (change of scenery) and a minor league catcher (or Pages from the MLB team) what kind of returns would you expect? Any impact players?

Anthony Franco

  • Not getting any impact talent with those guys. I think they each have slightly positive trade value but that's a quantity over quality package at this point. You'd probably need a team that really likes Pages' glove and thinks he's a low-end #1 catcher to get anything of note back

Sandy

  • All of the mock trades for me have been wild. If seen mocks that include both Leo De Vries & Ethan Salas is crazy. What type of package do the Marlins get for me

Anthony Franco

  • I have no idea what you're referring to on the mock specifics but yeah, they wouldn't get either De Vries or Salas
  • I do think they can pull a 50-FV type headliner though, someone who'd fall into the back half of the top 100 range. The velocity's still there, the command has been better lately, and he's making fourth/fifth starter money

Grateful Follower

  • Do you think any team (Tampa?) might attempt to acquire Soderstrom from the A’s with an eye towards possibly returning him to Catcher (even if the switchback was to wait until next year)?  Or has that ship sailed?

Anthony Franco

  • That'd be a really interesting one. I can see the logic, especially if they pull a controllable MLB starter. Doesn't even necessarily need to be a catcher conversion -- that'd be really tough to do midseason especially -- but just finding a team that can put him back at first base makes some sense

Utah Fan

  • Who would be targets for the TWINS if they are buyers at the deadline?

Anthony Franco

  • Man, any kind of functional pitching. Aside from Ryan, the staff has totally collapsed after the López and Matthews injuries. Feels like they need multiple relievers and at least one new starter if they're going to try to make it work this year

Knock-Knock

  • If Garver is your backup catcher you’re doing great at the position. He was brought in to DH for the M's, but that didn’t work out. He is overqualified for his current job, but I’d rather have him sit in the dugout 4 days in a row than bring up Ford to sit. With Cal as the forever catcher, Ford is tradeable. Why bring him up and run the risk of diminishing his value or to play once a week when he can add to his value playing every day in the minors?

Anthony Franco

  • This one seems like it's conditional on a Garver IL stint but at some point, Ford just has nothing left to show them in Triple-A
  • Cal's not going away anytime soon. They're just going to have to do the Drake Baldwin/Dalton Rushing thing of using him infrequently as a backup with the potential for occasional DH starts and letting him get his feet wet against big league pitching

Gimenez

  • Whatever happened to Andres Gimenez? Did he peak at age 23? It's one thing being a .250 hitter, but he's been below the Mendoza line for most of the season.

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Front Office Originals MLBTR Chats

6 comments

MLBTR Chat Transcript

By Steve Adams | June 24, 2025 at 1:01pm CDT

Steve Adams

  • Good morning! I’ll get going at 1pm, but feel free to send in questions sooner than that if you like.
  • Greetings!
  • Let’s get underway

Oz

  • I don’t see any chance that the Braves can overtake 5 clubs currently ahead of them in the standings to qualify for the postseason, especially in view of the injury to Chris Sale.  If they decide to be sellers at the trade deadline, who are their most marketable assets?

Steve Adams

  • Marcell Ozuna, Aaron Bummer, Pierce Johnson. Raisel Iglesias if he gets right between now and July 31. President Alex Anthopoulos sure doesn’t sound like someone who’s keen on a mass sell-off, so even trading Johnson and Bummer with their affordable options might be deemed a bridge too far, but reliever performance is volatile and teams overpay for bullpen help every deadline.

Nolan Arenado

  • Will Yanks, Astros, LAD, or Mets be interested in pursuing me this trade deadline? My defense is still superb, and while I had a down May, my April and June have OPS+’s of over 110

Steve Adams

  • Astros won’t go over the CBT. Yankees, Mets and Dodgers would pay a 110% tax on Arenado’s continued offensive decline. He’s just not worth his current contract — especially not for a top luxury offender — and he has the full no-trade to boot.
  • He’s not even an upgrade in L.A. over Muncy (raking since late April) or Paredes (great all year). Suppose you could play Paredes at 2B, but again, owner Jim Crane doesn’t want to cross the CBT line

Artie moreno

  • Will we see Kyren Paris again this year. What does he need to do

Steve Adams

    • Paris had a crazy start to the season but had terrible contact rates even when he was hot. It never felt sustainable. His contact rate since being sent to AAA is better than it was in the majors with the Angels but also worse than it was in AAA last year. I just don’t think he has the hit tool to be a big league regular, even though the power/speed combo is obviously tantalizing

Read more

Trader Jerry

  • Montes, Ford + 1 FOR Naylor & Suarez + $  WHO SAYS NO?

Steve Adams

  • Can’t see the Mariners giving up that much for a pair of rentals.

Kevin Gregg

  • Suarez + Gallen for Caisie?

Steve Adams

  • Same here … Caissie is a steep ask for two rentals. Gallen isn’t even pitching well.

Optimistic Ms Guy

  • If u had to pick between o’hearn or naylor…. Who’s the better fit for us?

Steve Adams

  • O’Hearn is the bigger upgrade to the lineup, but he’ll cost more, too. That’s not a knock on Naylor, who’s also quite good and would be a pronounced upgrade in Seattle — ROH is just having himself a moment in 2025.

Ray

  • Is Casey Schmidt the best fit at 2B for the Giants once Matt Chapman is back at 3B, especially with Tyler Fitzgerald losing his spot, or will they look to add further before the deadline?

Steve Adams

  • I think they’ll be open to further additions at 2B. Doesn’t necessarily have to be long-term since I’m sure they still hope Fitzgerald can be that (and because the offseason will have ample options to peruse at 2B, as always). Brandon Lowe, Willi Castro perhaps, Luis Urias — there’ll be some names, not all of them sexy, who could be had as a 2B alternative.

Dr. Mantis Tobogan

  • Which CBT-never-payor (AZ, BAL, CIN, CLE, COL, KC, MIL, A’s, PIT, STL, TBR, MIA) will be the next one to pay it for the first time?

Steve Adams

  • Ohh, that’s fun. The D-backs ran their payroll up to $200MM+ this year, so I’d probably go with them. None of the others seem likely to at any point anytime soon, but the Cardinals have at least pushed to the $175MM range, so I would take them — certainly over the Reds, Guards, Royals, Brewers, A’s, Pirates, Marlins.
  • Twins are up for sale, too, so who knows if they end up with an owner with deep enough pockets. Hard to imagine and wouldn’t be anytime soon, but I don’t think it’ll happen anytime soon for any of these teams.

Jeimer Candalario

  • Do I get another chance in the majors and with who? I wasn’t expecting DFA.

Steve Adams

  • Oh yeah, someone will pick him up once he clears release waivers and is a free agent.
  • Yankees, Tigers, Brewers, Twins could all use some other options in the infield. Back to the Cubs to see if he can recapture something there again doesn’t seem completely outlandish.

Paul

  • Roki Sasaki for MacKenzie Gore: who says no? Seems like this could truly be a win-win for both teams.

Steve Adams

  • It’s a fun question. I may be in the minority here, but I wouldn’t trade Gore for Sasaki. Touted as he is, Sasaki is almost completely untested against MLB lineups and is currently on the 60-day IL. He also had a notable injury history in Japan. MacKenzie Gore is among the best young pitchers in the league right now and has 2.5 years of club control remaining. At least in a straight-up swap, the Nats would have to ask for more.

NotBob

  • Could Failter bring back a top 100 prospect?

Steve Adams

  • No, Bailey Falter isn’t going to get that kind of return

John

  • Do you believe the Rays will trade a starting pitcher for more offense with Boyle most likely ready to step into a starting role with the big league team

Steve Adams

  • Both Joe Boyle and Ian Seymour are shoving in Triple-A. I think Zack Littell stands as one of the likelier trade candidates in the game, but he’s not having a great year and probably won’t bring much in return. Would be far, far more interesting if Tampa Bay sold high on Drew Rasmussen, whose contract is hugely valuable and could thus probably net them a pretty major return.Rasmussen is great, but workload and health are always going to be concerns and the Rays have the pitching to absorb that loss (especially since there’d probably be some kind of pitching prospect of note coming back in the deal).

Dana Brown

  • I have Yordon coming back soon do I go get another left handed bat or a starting pitcher?

Prospect Hunter

  • Rank the following prospects based on their next 3 years:  Chase Burns, Bubba Chandler, Andrew Painter, Travis Sykora

Steve Adams

  • Oops, didn’t mean to double-publish there, but I’ll do both (in order)
  • Brown said two days ago that a LH bat is his “big issue” and that he’s exploring various avenues:
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/06/astros-trade-rumors-left-handed…That’s the big one. The rotation question is contingent on the rehab processes of guys like Spencer Arrighetti, Cristian Javier, Lance McCullers, J.P. France, etc. — as Chandler Rome suggested in his recent Mailbag piece:
    https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6446390/2025/06/24/astros-trade-deadl…

    I think SP is on the back-burner with so many arms on the mend, but further injuries between now and July 31 could impact that.

    Also have to consider payroll. Houston is about $5.5MM from the CBT threshold and, again, Crane doesn’t want to pay the tax.

  • On the prospects, I would go Chandler, Burns, Painter, Sykora — but I am not someone who is paid to specialize in evaluating prospects, so take that with a grain of salt.A lot of people might say Painter has the highest ceiling, but with a notable injury like this already under his belt, I’d dip him beneath Bubba and Burns.

    You can promote Bubba anytime now, Pirates.

SoCal Southsiders

  • What would a Zach Neto extension look like?

Steve Adams

  • https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/05/mlb-mailbag-neto-nationals-trad…

Perry

  • What would it take to get German Marquez? I know it’s not a sexy pick up. But he could help the back end of of the rotation.

Steve Adams

  • Yeah, I don’t think the asking price could be all that high — couple of 40-FV (future value) type prospects. Typically those guys fall in the 10 to 20 range of a team’s farm rankings, depending on depth of the system of course.

Nats Guy

  • What would a James Wood or MacKenzie Gore extension look like?

Steve Adams

  • They’re both young superstars repped by Scott Boras. Gore is already only 2.5 years from free agency. I don’t see either being extended, but the price on both is well into nine figures. Gore would probably be eyeing Crochet’s $170MM extension and looking to top it. Wood is good, I don’t even know. $200MM+? He’s an absolute monster.
  • Phone call, one second
  • Ok

Pirate Maximus

  • What happened to candelario?  A low average slugger to dfa?  Age, injury or other?

Steve Adams

  • He was injured for a lot of his time in Cincinnati. I’m surprised he fell off so sharply, but it sounds like he played through a fair bit of pain, at least in year one. I liked the deal for them at the time. Well above-average hitter in three of the four seasons prior to signing, with the exception being a 2022 season wrecked by shoulder problems.

Cubbie

  • Would the Cubs consider making a move for Gore?   What would it cost prospect wise?

Steve Adams

  • Any team that needs pitching would love to. Cubs included. The cost would be obscene, though. Like Horton, Shaw and then some? You’re talking 2.5 years of someone who increasingly looks like a genuine No. 1 starter and who has the prospect pedigree that’s always suggested that outcome is in there.You’re not getting him without multiple 50-FV types and/or young big leaguers. Plus, the Nationals are going to want to contend sooner than later. They’re four seasons into this rebuild. It would need to be a massive return. Gore has the second-highest K% of any qualified starter. Even if you include all qualified relievers, he’s 18th in K% — and he’s doing it with a plus walk rate. He’s up there with Skubal and Wheeler in terms of K-BB% and trailing only Skubal and Cease in swinging-strike rate.

Not Mark P

  • Quick and easy one. Geno back to Seattle. Maybe?

Steve Adams

  • “Maybe,” sure. But as I said before re: Jeimer, lots of teams could use some 3B help. Yankees, Brewers, Tigers, etc. etc.

James Wood Money

  • I think I’m worth more like Vlad G money right?  500 million extension or more.

Steve Adams

  • Wouldn’t be surprised if that’s the sort of deal Boras was eyeing long-term. If you told me right now the price was over $300MM, I wouldn’t even blink. James Wood is a superstar.

Ken

  • Do you see the A’s regretting the Joe Boyle-Jeffrey Springs trade?

Steve Adams

  • There’ll be all kinds of tentacles to it, namely because I think they’ll trade Springs in the next 38 days and then we’ll have to sit here saying, “Well the A’s gave up Boyle, but then they got XYZ for Springs………”
  • Side note, if the Rays have managed to fix Joe Boyle’s like … 30 (??) grade command, I just throw my hands up and wonder what they can’t do, pitching-wise.
  • (Besides, apparently, get good production out of Aaron Civale, which still seems weird)

Clint Eastwood

  • Do you think WAR is an overrated stat? Especially since it combines hitting, defense and baserunning equally. Being sub-par in one area can hide your skill in another when I’d honestly rather have a good hitter than a good defender.

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think it needs to appeal to everyone. You’re finishing your question with an opinion — “I prefer good hitting to good defense” — when WAR exists to try to function in place of such subjective measures. It boils things down to runs created (whether on offense, defense, baserunning), assigns run values and tries to empirically place a value on a player’s entire skill set.It’s of course not flawless, but it’s not intended to be used as a be-all, end-all measure of value. MVP voters aren’t sitting down thinking, “Oh — got to fill out my ballot … let me just sort B-Ref or FanGraphs by WAR, and there we go, there’s my list. Copy and submit!”
  • I think, like any stat, it’s useful within its lane and also has fundamental aspects that it can never capture

Cory

  • How would you fix whatever mojo the Twins don’t have right now?

Steve Adams

  • They still have that now 16-month-old rally sausage floating around somewhere?

Tj Friedl

  • Should it be me, EDC, or Abbott representing the reds in the ASG?

Steve Adams

  • Any of the three are defensible. Could be multiple. Elly should be there for sure.

Last Marlins Fan

  • Who’s the better prospect? Heriberto Hernandez or Victor Mesa….

Steve Adams

  • Mesa, but I don’t think either of them is a big league regular.

Ben Fried Rice

  • With Senga down, has the Mets pitching been exposed after being shockingly good to start?

Steve Adams

  • It’s just being tested. They’re more talented than they’ve been recently, but it takes a toll when you lose your ace, get some short starts from the other guys and then have to ask the bullpen to take on a bigger load. Leads to long mop-up stints for guys who shouldn’t be in the game anymore but need to save the rest of the group. It gets and looks ugly in a hurry.The Twins have had basically the exact same thing happen over in the AL. Lost two starters back-to-back, got some short starts from the remaining guys and it all snowballs quickly.

    Both teams were among the best all-around staffs in baseball from mid-April through mid-June, and both are better than they’ve been during the recent slide.

I Miss Vin Scully

  • Is Alex Feeland the centerpiece of a trade next month or do you believe the Dodgers keep him?

Steve Adams

  • I think they’ll be open to listening but aren’t going to shop him or anything. Generally how the Dodgers are with their very top prospects. I haven’t heard or read anything to suggest that they expressly won’t part with Freeland. They did more or less take that stance with Rushing (although for the right player, pretty much anyone is available)

AJ Preller

  • Does having to watch James Wood go nuclear so soon after the Soto deal change my wheeling and dealing ways? Or am I still going for broke and sending our (now lacking) top prospects away for a short term fix?

Steve Adams

  • AJ Preller trades so much that he’s bound to ship out a star. Hasn’t stopped him before. Trea Turner immediately broke out in Washington after that trade and Preller shrugged and went right back to working the market.It stings to see someone blossom into a star like that, but I believe it’s also a genuine strength for a GM/president to be able to have the courage to trade those guys anyway. Some execs clearly get paralysis when it comes to trading top-tier talent and frequently watch those prospects slowly bleed value until they’re devoid of real value.

    Preller has traded away so many “he should be untouchable” types, and more of them have gone the way of Luis Urias than James Wood.

    Plus, he indirectly has Cease and Michael King by way of trading Soto, and that’ll only create further value both in terms of contending seasons in ’24-’25 and potential draft picks if/when they reject QOs

Guest

  • thoughts on the Miguel Vargas trade now?

Steve Adams

  • I’m on record at the time — and even into the offseason — as saying people are too quick to dump on guys like Vargas, who exhaust their prospect/rookie status and don’t immediately hit the ground running.
  • People were aghast that Fedde/Kopech didn’t net a “top 100 prospect” and “only” got Vargas and two others, while ignoring that Vargas was less than a year from being like the No. 40 prospect in baseball and had never gotten a true everyday look in L.A.I’m wrong about plenty of trades — PLENTY — but that was one where I thought the return was far better than a lot of people were giving it credit for.

Dean

  • What are the chances the Rays flip HSK if he has a few weeks to show his arm is back?  More or less likely than trading Brandon Lowe?

Steve Adams

  • Trading Lowe is way likelier. Kim has the opt-out on his contract that’ll make it very difficult to move him. I won’t go full broken record, but I say every week how opt-out guys are overwhelmingly difficult to trade.
  • I think Lowe has a very good chance to be moved.

ORIOLES SCOUTING CUBS PROSPECTS

  • That is the rumor going around.  Who might the CUBS want from Baltimore and why??  What would be a prospective package going back to the Orioles??

Steve Adams

  • Every team scouts every other team. I don’t put tons of stock in “this team sent an extra scout to watch this team.” There are probably 10 teams that would like to trade for one or more of Zach Eflin, Cedric Mullins, Ryan O’Hearn, Andrew Kittredge, etc. etc.Orioles haven’t made that call yet, but it behooves them to be as informed as possible if they get there.

Marlins

  • Houston wants a LHH, would Jesus Sanchez get Brice Matthews?

Steve Adams

  • No, I don’t think Sanchez has that kind of value. I also think whichever LHH they get would be better off being able to play both infield and outfield.

Still an A

  • Ryan McMahon was a big trade target last year and the Rockies screwed that up by holding onto him. Does he have any value going into the deadline this year and does he get moved?

Steve Adams

  • I gave my colleague Anthony Franco a hard time last week since he wrote back on May 1 how the Rox missed the boat by not trading McMahon when interest was high in 2024. He had been terrible for nearly a calendar year at that point, with a ton of ugly trends (K’s up, hard contact down, walks down, all kinds of red flags)
  • McMahon homered that night and has been on a TEAR since.
  • All arrows pointing up … lower K%, more walks, better contact, all of it.
  • Anthony saved the man’s career.
  • To your point, yes, McMahon should have considerable value and the Rockies should 100% trade him.I am … 15%  sure they do.
  • McMahon is hitting .268/.362/.518 since Anthony wrote that piece, ha (which, to be clear, I agreed with in full at the time)

Padres getting old

  • Oh boy. So when Cease and King leave we get a few draft picks and Randy Vasquez from the Soto dominos.

Steve Adams

  • Well, that and a deep NLCS run last year and a possible playoff run this season. And those picks will be in the top 40 of the draft, so they could immediately turn into high-end prospects (who, with Preller at the helm, are possible bait to acquire even more star-caliber players).The circle of life!

Chris Gimenez

  • Should the Guards trade one of Manzardo or Santana??

Steve Adams

  • I’d be open to trading Santana, who’s on a pricey one-year deal, regardless of contention status. Manzardo can move to 1B full-time. I don’t think the return would be great, though, so if it gets to the point where you’re potentially pissing off the clubhouse to add some Low-A relief prospect with a 3-5% chance of developing into a big leaguer, then it’s probably not worth it.But if Santana goes on a tear here and rebuilds some trade value, you’ve got to at least be open to it.

Senator Blutarsky

  • If not traded, would Ohearn and or Mullins get a QO?

Steve Adams

  • Both should.

Minister of Silly Walks

  • Even if the Cards are contending, could you see them try to move Nolan Gorman. He’s a power hitting lefty but the Cards are already pretty good on the infield (Nado, Wynn, Donny, Willi with Saggese already up and JJ looking ready for AAA)

Steve Adams

  • Gorman increasingly feels like a change-of-scenery guy to me, yeah

MostlyToasty1

  • Who is a player not being talked about much that you think is very likely to be moved prior to the TDL?

Steve Adams

  • Trying to think of a few off the cuff here. I already mentioned Jeffrey Springs. Mike Tauchman isn’t a big name or talked about much (despite playing on a clear seller) and is having a nice year. Edward Cabrera in Miami isn’t “very” likely but is plausible. Feels like the Astros will want to find a taker to buy low on Chas McCormick.Adolis Garcia?

D Hat

  • How do you rate questions worthy enough to be asked in your chat?

Steve Adams

  • There are 784 people actively in here at the moment, plus people coming and going the whole time. I just try to grab one I can answer quickly, usually. And obviously if I see a bunch of readers with different IP addresses (not usernames, haha … I think many don’t realize we can tell when you’re just changing your name) asking about the same topic, I’ll try to get that since it’s on a lot of peoples’ minds.

Steve Cohen

  • Now that Chase Burns is making his debut tonight isn’t it overdue for  Bubba Chandler to make his MLB Debut?

Steve Adams

  • Bubba has been overdue for about 2-3 months, but the Pirates clearly want to make sure he doesn’t get a full year of service in 2025.

TREVOR ROGERS

  • If Rogers manages to pitch 4 more starts like the one from yesterday, could the Orioles be BOLD enough to attempt to FLIP him to recoup some players ( since Mike Elias sacrificed Stowers & Norby for this guy )?????

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think it’s out of the question. If it makes you feel better, I’m not at all sold on Stowers being a legitimate building block in Miami. I liked Norby a lot coming into the season but it’s been a rough year.

Mike Rizzo

  • If you’re shopping for a back end starter at this deadline, would you rather go for Soroka or Trevor Williams

Steve Adams

  • Personally, I wouldn’t target either. Although I’d be happy to take Soroka and put him in the bullpen.

Mets

  • What can the Mets receive for Blackburn?  Not enamored with his ability and would love to see him get moved.

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think they’ll trade him at this point with Senga and Megill down
  • Side note
  • Twins president of baseball ops Derek Falvey said this to the Minneapolis Star Tribune yesterday:”Even when we had a couple injuries, there was a team that felt like they had some pitching depth and we had a brief trade conversation, ‘Hey, could we pick off some?’ And they were open to it. Within 72 hours, there were two different pitching injuries on that team that ultimately peeled them back from the market.”
  • Gee, I wonder which team he could be talking about. Ha.
  • Doesn’t mean a deal was close, but sure seems like the Twins were looking into Blackburn to backfill the fifth spot in the rotation with Lopez/Matthews out and Woods Richardson/Festa struggling.
  • Alrighty, I’ve got to call it this week. I’m on X @Adams_Steve and Bluesky @adams-steve.bsky.social if you have more questions.If you want more opinions from the MLBTR team, you can learn about our Front Office subscription package and sign up here. In addition to ad-free viewing on the site and in the app, you’ll get weekly analysis/opinion columns from Anthony Franco and myself, a weekly mailbag column from Tim Dierkes, weekly fantasy baseball chats and columns with Nicklaus Gaut, two weekly subscriber-only chats (one with me, one with Anthony) where your odds of getting a question answered are much better, direct Q&A opps with Darragh McDonald, access to our new Trade Deadline Outlook series, access to our Contract Tracker, GM Tracker and our Agency Database, and more. It all starts at $2.99/month.

    Have a great week everyone!

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MLBTR Chats

5 comments

Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat, Today At 2pm CT

By Steve Adams | June 23, 2025 at 1:55pm CDT

Steve Adams

  • Happy Monday! We'll get going in about 90 minutes, but feel free to send in questions ahead of time.
  • Hello! Let's get underway

Rafael Devers

  • (Sorry for the old news but it’s still hot for a lot of us.). Is my contract “under water”?  Some reports say yes, the market (I.e., the Giants) apparently say no.  Great hitter but not much more.  Is there surplus value in the contract or not?

Steve Adams

  • I wouldn't say it's underwater. Devers is an elite hitter, top-10 in the sport, who won't turn 29 until October. We just saw Guerrero get a $500MM contract and Soto $765MM. Devers is owed $238.5MM beyond this season, starting with his age-29 campaign. That's older than Soto and Vlad were when they signed their contracts, of course, but if you asked me whether Devers would clear $238.5MM as a free agent this winter, I'd say he would, yes. Maybe not by leaps and bounds, as many teams would view him as a DH, but yeah, I think he'd get more than that in the open market still.

Knock-Knock

  • Are there ever thoughts about changing All Star Voting? I think the starters should be based on stat leaders at each position and then reserves should be who the fans vote for. Too many homers vote for their favorites when clearly, they aren’t the best. This year is better than past years (so far) but not totally true to who is playing the best at each spot.

Steve Adams

  • I doubt there will be, but yeah, I said last week in a chat that I don't really care about the All-Star Game whatsoever, in part because I find the voting process so stupid in the internet/social media era. It's always been more popularity contest than anything else, but it's just so exacerbated now.It'd be more appropriately labeled the "Fans' Choice" game or "Fan Selection" game, but in general, I don't find much excitement in it. I'll watch it if I have nothing else going on that night, but I find the All-Star Game less exciting than just tuning into a random Pirates/Reds game to watch Skenes vs. Greene or something.But it's also probably not aimed at the hardcore fan or a baseball sicko like me who consumes as much baseball content as I do. So maybe I'm just jaded and grumpy, haha.

What about Ann?

  • Tyler Fitzgerald a fit for Braves 2b?

 

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Front Office Originals MLBTR Chats

3 comments

MLBTR Chat Transcript

By Mark Polishuk | June 22, 2025 at 7:53pm CDT

Mark P

  • After a two-week hiatus due to some shift rescheduling, the Weekend Chat is back!

Thomas

  • Twins need to sell some pieces at the deadline. What would a trade package for Duran look like?

Mark P

  • It would be pretty substantial, yet I’m not sure I see Minnesota making that big of a move if they do sell.  Trading Duran would say something about the team’s plans for 2026 and beyond, and I think the Twins expect (hope?) to reload for next year if this season ends up going off the rails by the deadline

YamaPhoto

  • You predict the Braves to be sellers at the deadline?

Mark P

  • Anthopoulos pretty firmly closed the door on the idea of trading Chris Sale or anyone at the deadline, unless the team absolutely cratered.  These statements were made before Sale’s IL placement, however, which dealt another big blow to Atlanta’s chances.I don’t see the Braves selling (or fully deciding to sell) until close to the deadline, if at all.

Die Hard Rox Fan

  • What would a Jake Bird return look like. 2 top 100s?

Mark P

  • Bird’s having a great season, but that is a very, VERY optimistic hope for a reliever who hasn’t shown a whole lot prior to 2025

Andrew Abbott

  • Am I firmly in the Cy Young conversation?

Mark P

  • Too many NL pitchers having better years, and the advanced metrics hint at some regression coming for Abbott. That doesn’t detract from the fact that he’s pitched really well this year, and greatly helped Cincinnati’s rotation

….

Read more

Natitude

  • Shouldn’t the Nats consider a college arm or Hernandez at #1 overall? Seems like the farm system doesn’t have more than 1-2 high end arms on the way in the next few years. Plus, I’ve read varying opinions on the projectability of Holliday in the future.  Doesn’t sound like a slam dunk difference maker.

Mark P

  • It seems like this draft class doesn’t have any “slam dunk difference makers,” as much as those players even really exist in a baseball context.  It all depends on how the Nationals internally feel about Holliday or any of the other top candidates, since in a year without a clear-cut #1, any number of guys might rise or drop in the order

Darthyen

  • Will the Blue Jays look to move just their pending free agents (Bichette, Bassitt…) at the deadline or will they be full blown sellers and move pieces with a bit more control (Clement, Gausman, Lukes, Varsho….)?

Mark P

  • Right now the Jays are on pace to be a wild card team, so they won’t be selling anyone.  It remains to be seen if Toronto can keep it going and stay in the hunt, but they’re another team I don’t expect to see as “sellers” unless things totally go south in the next month.

Mr Bean

  • What might a return for the Mariners J.P. Crawford look like if he were to be moved?

Mark P

  • This is a moot point of a question, as why would the contending Mariners move a shortstop who’s having a career year?

Boston

  • Jaren Duran for who?

Mark P

  • With Devers now gone, the Red Sox have opened up the lineup enough that they probably no longer need to move an outfielder.

I don’t know’s on 3rd

  • Where can I find how players hit in each stadium? I

Mark P

  • This info is available on a player’s “splits” page on Baseball Reference

Adam

  • Mets demoted Alvarez. Is there a C out there that they can trade for.

Mark P

  • Between Alvarez’s demotion and the Rutschman/Handley injuries, I was wondering if McCann might head to one of his old teams, but instead the D’Backs swooped in.Catching is such a rare commodity that I’m not sure the Mets can find a real upgrade on the open market.  I think their hope is that Alvarez can get it together with some time in the minors, and rejoin the team by the break (if not earlier)

Ken

  • Luis Severino has some crazy home/road splits. I think his road ERA is under 1, while he’s struggled at the AAA park. If the A’s made him available (and chipped in some cash), what kind of return would he fetch?

Mark P

  • They’d get a decent return but nothing outlandish, especially if only “some” cash is being chipped in.  Don’t forget that the A’s may have beaten the market to overpay slightly for Severino and convince him to join a borderline (at best) contender pitching in a minor league park.
  • As obvious as it is that Severino is really bothered by pitching in Sacramento, he’s also obviously not going to keep posting Bob Gibson numbers if he were to get dealt.

Blue 24

  • Will the Dodgers make a another move possibly a leftfielder?

Mark P

  • The Dodgers’ deadline moves will very likely be focused on pitching more than anything with the position player mix.
  • Also, simply sitting Conforto and having both Kim and Pages in the lineup on a more regular basis might itself be the simplest solution

Dombrowski

  • Every fan thinks that we can trade from our rotation depth but I say no. Too many things can happen, and we will need our only expiring contract (Ranger) in the playoffs for sure. What say you?

Mark P

  • Dombrowski’s history implies that no prospect is entirely untouchable (though Painter/Crawford are probably extremely close to that level).  I agree that it’s more likely that Philly holds onto their MLB-level pitching, since Murphy’s Law would dictate that as soon as a starter was dealt at the deadline, another starter would get injured like a week later

Ryan

  • What would you do with Harry Ford? Would you promote him and find a way to get him in the lineup or trade him for some major league help? What kind of return would he get at this point?

Mark P

  • The outfield experiment with Ford last year seems to have ended, as he has only been a C/DH at Triple-A this season.  Ford has been hitting really well in his first taste of AAA ball and seems ready for the majors, and just calling him up as the backup catcher and part-time DH seems like a reasonable move for a team that still needs hitting.The x-factor here is Polanco, since having him still at DH so regularly limits what the Mariners can do.  Once Polanco gets back to normal infield duty, calling Ford up as another bat would be a logical move. If that means releasing Garver and eating the money, so be it

BrewCrew27

  • How is Otani able to pitch 1 inning yet stay as the DH?

Mark P

  • MLB made a rule change to allow Ohtani (or any pitcher, but let’s be real, Ohtani) to stay in the game as a P-then-DH back in 2022

ClarkeinEcuador

  • Can Cal Raleigh keep this up?

Mark P

  • Let’s hope he can, just because it’s awesome to see a player suddenly go from “this guy is pretty good” to having an all-timer of a season

Ron

  • Hoffman really blew the game today despite not giving up an earned run. Is a closer Toronto’s biggest need at the deadline? Would Chapman be available if the Sox fall 6 games out at the deadline?

Mark P

  • Starting pitching is the Blue Jays’ biggest need, but the bullpen isn’t far behind, in part because the rotation’s struggles have led to a lot of innings for the relief corps.Hoffman got off to an amazing start, but his performance has sharply swung downwards over the last month.  Bringing in another closer type after already paying Hoffman so much money isn’t ideal, and another closing candidate isn’t obviously waiting in the wings unless perhaps Rodriguez gets a shot.
  • Bullpen help of some kind definitely seems like a deadline priority, but it’s probably more likely to be a reliever with some past closing experience, not necessarily “A Closer” like Chapman

Darren

  • Would the Jays consider playing the hometown card and trading for Michael Soroka given the Nats would logically be sellers and Soroka is starting to fire on all cylinders (for five innings, at least!)

Mark P

  • Soroka’s hometown of Calgary isn’t exactly near Toronto, but sure, he’s the kind of relatively inexpensive SP add I can see the Jays making

Steinway

  • Would you have moved Devers? It’s tough to justify the move from a fan standpoint but it is all about being a team.

Mark P

  • Not working last Sunday night meant that I missed out on covering the Devers trade, so here is my week-old hot take!I think the trade perhaps had to be made, if things had soured so quickly between Devers and Red Sox management.  The fact that things went from 0 to 100 so quickly doesn’t reflect well on either party, as it seems like simply keeping Devers more in the loop about Bregman/Arenado/any 3B plans last offseason might have been an easy solution.  One wonders what might’ve happened if Casas (often mentioned as a trade candidate) had actually been dealt, as perhaps then the Sox would’ve approached Devers about 1B much sooner.
  • My other note here is that it puts even more pressure on the “big three” prospects to contribute immediately, since how Boston’s lineup is missing its best hitter.  Anthony, Mayer, and Campbell were already facing an extra spotlight based on the Boston media market and all of the hype, but if they (as most rookies do) need time to adjust, it adds more drama to what has already been a soap opera of a season.  We’ve already seen Campbell hit his first obstacle, for instance.

Seeing Reds

  • Thoughts  on Burns call up?

Mark P

  • As much as Burns as dominated pro ball so far, he still has only 66 innings to his name.  There’s nothing that says the Reds are obligated to keep him in the majors for an extended period, of course, so Burns might get sent back down pretty quickly if he struggles.

MoonbeamMcSwine

  • Not working???..  what does that mean to you?.. fishing?.. boating?.. becoming a couch potato?.. how about some details?

Mark P

  • Haha, last Sunday I was on MLBTR during the morning/day shift, rather than my standard Sunday night shift.  No time on the lake for me!

FamousMortimer

  • Re: the Nats question, you never draft for need, right?

Mark P

  • Correct.  What a team needs in 2025 may be vastly different from what a team needs in the (usual) couple of years’ time before a top draft pick is ready for the big legues
  • leagues

RaysUp

  • You buying Rays to win the AL east. Also, do they buy or sell or both at the deadline?

Mark P

  • I wouldn’t at all be surprised if Tampa caught the Yankees for first place.  As usual, the Rays have overachieved and adjusted well to their unusual ballpark situation
  • Most of the Rays’ deadline moves should be focused towards adding, but moving a salary in a semi-sell type of move wouldn’t at all be surprise

Angels

  • Schanuel doubters should be apologizing now right??? Or does he have more to prove?

Mark P

  • You’d ideally want to see more power, but Schanuel developing into a solid overall hitter is a perfectly fine outcome.  With almost half the season in the books, his play can’t be entirely written off as a fluke or anything.

bmcferren

  • is Dylan Crews an outfielder that the Pirates have the goods to acquire this summer?

Mark P

  • Pittsburgh has enough top-flight young pitching that they can make an offer that would at least get the Nationals’ attention, even if it’s highly unlikely that Crews would be moved.  To repeat a common refrain, lots of future stars struggled in their first season or two in the majors, so the Nats have far from given up on Crews in any way

Guards

  • Why is Delauter still in AAA?

Dropout

  • Any idea why cleveland is calling up delaughter yet?

Mark P

  • “Chase The Laughter” actually sounds like the title of a Game Changer episode, but I digress.DeLauter has all of 124 pro games played over two-plus seasons.  As much as he’s going to get a shot in the Show at some point in 2025, I don’t blame the Guardians for wanting to give him a good chunk of game action just for the sake of getting him back into a rhythm.  Better to do that in a lower-key Triple-A environment than in the majors, especially with the added pressure of DeLauter being seen as a saviour for the Guards’ outfield woes

Angels

  • If the Angels are in the same spot a month from now. Do they stand pat, at the deadline? To see how it plays out? Rather than sell the few pieces they have.

Mark P

  • If LAA is still only a couple of games out of a wild card spot by the deadline, they’ll definitely buy to some extent.  Arte Moreno absolutely wants to break the playoff drought.

Dana Brown

  • I said today, on pregame radio that a left handed bat is our top need at the deadline! Wouldn’t Willi Castro be a spectator option? A rental, especially with a weak farm in HOU…a switch hitter who can play 2B or OF.

Mark P

  • It would be a great fit, though if the Twins do decide to sell, Castro will be one of the most underrated trade chips in the league.  The Astros would likely have to outbid a lot of teams to land him.

Curious A’s Fan

  • Philly is calling, they want Mason Miller. Who is your Must Have to do the deal?

Mark P

  • Figuring a trade for a reliever is tricky, even one with Miller’s years of control (through 2029) and ceiling. From the Athletics’ perspective, why not ask for one of Painter/Crawford/Miller/Abel — both to see if the Phillies bite, and because asking for a top-100 prospect is a justifiable ask for a high-leverage reliever who has shown star potential.

Ken

  • Nick Kurtz is establishing himself at 1B and Brent Rooker is entrenched at DH. Is the Tyler Soderstrom as left fielder experiment working, or do you think a trade is in the offing?

Mark P

  • Soderstrom’s got a -3 DRS and -2 OAA through 316 innings as a left fielder.  He’s likely not going to be a Gold Glover out there, but if he can remain at this level of “below average but passable,” his bat will play

Buster Posey

  • Am I done dealing?

Mark P

  • Doubtful, as SF can still probably use at least one more bat even with Devers now in the fold.

Weekend at Bernies

  • How impressed are you by the debut of Jacob misiorowski? And is there a better pitchers duel on paper than him vs Paul skenes this Wednesday?

Mark P

  • He’s looked terrific, and already he’s grabbed some notoriety with the career-opening no-hit streak.  I’ll definitely be tuning in Wednesday to see the action.

Cards Fan

  • Arenado made a mistake by not accepting Houston trade?

Mark P

  • The Cardinals have also been playing some pretty good ball, so I don’t think Arenado is having too many regrets (if any).  Perhaps his own numbers might have ticked upwards with a change of scenery, but who knows.

Will Smith

  • Steve Adams said last chat that The Big Dumper was unequivocally the best catcher in The Show. Do you concur, Mark?

Mark P

  • No doubt about it.  Raleigh is on pace for the best season a catcher has ever had.

Cashman

  • Do I end up trading a bat to clear up playing time?

Mark P

  • The report about the Yankees looking at IKF indicates they might be looking to add.  Either a complementary piece like Kiner-Falefa, or they might take a big swing with an everyday 2B/3B.
  • Trading a player away simply to make room could be possible, but given how Stanton and other prominent Yankees have injury histories, the team probably want to keep depth around

Will P

  • When do you think Sam Basallo finally gets the call?

Mark P

  • Hitting-wise, he doesn’t seem to have much left to prove at Triple-A.  But, he hasn’t actually been a catcher much this year since injuries limited him to either DH work or kept him out of action entirely.The O’s aren’t going to rush Basallo even given their need for catching on the active roster, even if that does leave them scrambling now if Handley is also hurt

Non-mathematical analysts?

  • Much has been said about how Kyle Harrison won’t be able to develop a good secondary pitch because of his arm angle. Were any writers saying this when he as a prospect? Are there any scouting-oriented writers you know of that are capable of making these types of observations?

Mark P

  • Just from glancing at Baseball America’s page on Harrison, all of their annual scouting reports mention his arm angle in some context or another.  From 2022, for instance, “His arm is loose and whippy and easily produces velocity and deception from a low slot and cross-body finish, but he doesn’t repeat it well enough yet to throw strikes consistently.”
  • Keep in mind, Harrison was a third-round pick, and not really a blue chipper until after he started to gain notice following his first pro season.  It’s not like his potential flaws weren’t already known, as (like with most pitchers) it was just a matter of how or if Harrison would overcome or adjust

Timothy

  • Why does josh bell get so much playing time with  a batting average under .200?

Mark P

  • At this point the Nats are hoping Bell goes on one of his patented ice cold-to-red hot sudden turns, in order to build his value for the trade deadline

Buzz Aldrin Bavasi

  • With the D’backs starting pitching injuries and soon-to-be free agents, is the org looking at a quick rebuild this year and in 2026?

Mark P

  • It’s tough for the D’Backs since their lineup is still so excellent.  I don’t think they’ll sell unless things get really dire by the deadline, since their offense is so good that the front office will hope they can simply slug their way to a postseason berth.

Joshua

  • What would it take for Cincy to get Luis Garcia from the Nats?

Mark P

  • Garcia is controlled through 2027 as a Super Two player, and he has been really heating up after a slow start.  The Nationals therefore likely aren’t going to move him without a significant return, like perhaps one of the Reds’ better young pitchers.I felt the Nats were going to be a lot more competitive than they’ve been, but in terms of the team’s overall outlook, one figures they still want to/hope to be in contention for 2026.  Moving Garcia might not be something the Nationals want to do unless they plan to kick the can down the road another year

Phanatic

  • Is Dave going to blow up the farm system to fix the bullpen and maybe an outfielder? Would you trade Painter, Miller, Crawford, or Tait in a blockbuster?

Mark P

  • One or even two of them, sure, if it’s for an ideal fit of a player.  Cleaning out the farm doesn’t seem optimal, even as much as the Phillies are in win-now mode

Playoff expansion

  • Are you a fan of shortening the regular season to like 144 games and expanding the postseason to 16 total teams getting in?

Mark P

  • Nah, I’m not a fan of expanded playoffs.  Baseball is such an unpredictable sport that letting more teams into the bracket opens the door for more upsets and random champions, which isn’t really a true reflection of the full season.

Guards Nation

  • Do the Guards have legit rotation arms in Luis Ortiz and Slade Cecconi?

Mark P

  • Both have looked pretty decent, which probably isn’t surprising since the Guardians have been so good at developing pitchers.  Makes sense that they’d also be good helping pitchers they’ve acquired take the next step.
  • The only issue is that the rotation as a whole has looked “pretty decent” at best, which translates to a middle-of-the-pack starting five.  It’s not really Cleveland’s style to make such a move at the deadline, but the Guards are a team that could really use an ace.

Christian

  • It’s too hot in the Midwest. Give me your coldest take of the 2025 season so far

Mark P

  • Aaron Judge is going to have a great 2025 season

Yankee fan

  • Does Freddie Freeman sign an extension with LAD?

Mark P

  • Not that he’s slowing down at all, but Freeman will be 38 when his contract is up after the 2027 season.  Retirement might well be in the cards, but if he’s still performing like this in 2026, the Dodgers will surely have interest in seeing if he’s willing to stick around for another year or two

Marcus Semien

  • Could the Rangers get anything for me this summer and is it time to move on?

Mark P

  • Semien is owed over $85MM through the 2028 season, and is currently in the midst of his second straight year of decline at the plate.  The Rangers aren’t going to be able to move him unless they eat a lot of money, or take on another undesirable contract in return.
  • Time to wrap things up for this week’s chat.  Thanks to everyone for the questions, and barring any further shift changes, we should be back with more answers next Sunday evening
  • If you’re interested in more baseball Q&A, one of the many benefits of our Trade Rumors Front Office subscription is the exclusive weekly live chats. The more limited field means you’re about 10 times more likely to get a question answered, as opposed to battling for space with hundreds of other questions in today’s chat. For more on our memberships, check out this link:https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/membership?ref=chat-6-22-25

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Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript

By Steve Adams | June 20, 2025 at 2:00pm CDT

MLBTR's Steve Adams hosted a live chat today at 2pm CT, exclusively for Trade Rumors Front Office subscribers.

 

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MLBTR Chat Transcript

By Steve Adams | June 17, 2025 at 12:55pm CDT

Click here to read a transcript of Tuesday’s chat with MLBTR’s Steve Adams.

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11 comments

Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript

By Anthony Franco | June 16, 2025 at 3:20pm CDT

Anthony Franco

  • Hey everyone, hope you had a good weekend! I'm not feeling great today so I'm going to keep this one around an hour. Let's get rolling

Duffy Scliff

  • You’re gonna get a million Devers questions, but tell me this, have you ever seen a trade like this? Where a contending team trades a player early into a massive contract? This is not Mookie, or Sale, or Nomar. This is not like A Rod or Stanton being traded in a salary dump. This is 100% unprecedented. This relationship must have been so far beyond repair and we didn’t see it. This is one of the most shocking trades in baseball history.

Devers

  • Why would SF do this deal? They don't have 3B open for him and with Eldridge coming up soon, Devers is going to be a very expensive DH only bat. The upside exists, but that's gambling a lot on a guy adjusting to the NL West gaunlet and changing his clubhouse negativity for a team surprisingly in the midst of a tough playoff race.

Anthony Franco

  • A quick control Ctrl-F shows there are 18 mentions of Devers in the queue. Not going to publish all of them for obvious reasons
  • Broadly speaking, I like it more for SF though I get where both sides are coming from. If Boston felt the relationship was truly beyond repair, I have a hard time seeing them getting more than this. Giants took the whole deal (minus the Hicks contract, which is a negative value asset but a short-term commitment) and Harrison and Tibbs are arguably on par with Top 100 type prospects
  • Harrison obviously is no longer a prospect but I think he'd be valued equivalently to a back of the top 100 guy if he hadn't exhausted his rookie eligibility
  • There's definitely risk for the Giants in creating a long-term logjam at the corner infield with Chapman signed forever and Eldridge knocking on the door. But we've also seen the top of the market for elite hitters spike in the couple years since the Devers contract was signed -- Vlad Jr. might be a worse player and just got $500M -- and they're in a division where there's always going to be huge pressure to pursue top-end talent

Dear Evan Carter

  • do you see the Mets transitioning well given canning is starting to show his true colors and senga being out awhile? i am concerned about what we could expect from montas/manaea given the time off.

John

  • Would it make sense for the Mets to trade one of their depth starters to try to get a higher leverage reliever or use some of the younger prospects in a bullpen role later in the season? I get a feeling the bullpen market will be light given how scarce quality arms are, especially lefties

Anthony Franco

  • Yeah I think they're going to be fine. The rotation is going to regress a little bit but the offense was heating up (at least going into the TB series) and they were starting to produce more with RISP
  • I imagine they'll just deal prospects to a non-contender for lefty bullpen help but I wouldn't be wedded to keeping Blackburn if they had another win-now team that wanted to swap MLB assets

Bat first

  • Yankees' designating Pablo Reyes for assignment in favor of keeping Ben Rice in the lineup is a bit surprising. With Rice/Escarra on the bench, that leaves Peraza/Grisham (or whichever outfielder is sitting that day) as the only pieces on the bench that can play a position other than 1B or C. Wouldn't it have been better to give Rice or Escarra everyday reps down in AAA, rather than let your 100 wRc+ players rust on the bench if you simply don't have everyday spots for them?

Anthony Franco

  • They like Escarra more than Rice defensively as the backup C and I'd much rather have Rice on my team than two of Reyes and Peraza
  • Tough to count on Stanton playing every day and there's not much harm in mixing in a few more rest days for Goldy. Between that and maybe an occasional start at catcher, I think they can find 3-4 starts a week to keep Rice in a groove

Robert from SC

  • I saw that Braves fans were disappointed today when Nacho Alvarez was optioned. I don't understand why. He's not going to save this team from the disappointing season they're having. Is Nacho the long term answer at SS?

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