Headlines

  • Yordan Alvarez Shut Down Due To Setback With Hand Injury
  • Giants Exercise 2026 Option On Manager Bob Melvin
  • Astros Place Jeremy Peña On Injured List With Fractured Rib
  • Tucker Barnhart To Retire
  • Tyler Mahle To Be Sidelined Beyond Trade Deadline
  • Reds Release Jeimer Candelario
  • Previous
  • Next
Register
Login
  • Hoops Rumors
  • Pro Football Rumors
  • Pro Hockey Rumors

MLB Trade Rumors

Remove Ads
  • Home
  • Teams
    • AL East
      • Baltimore Orioles
      • Boston Red Sox
      • New York Yankees
      • Tampa Bay Rays
      • Toronto Blue Jays
    • AL Central
      • Chicago White Sox
      • Cleveland Guardians
      • Detroit Tigers
      • Kansas City Royals
      • Minnesota Twins
    • AL West
      • Houston Astros
      • Los Angeles Angels
      • Oakland Athletics
      • Seattle Mariners
      • Texas Rangers
    • NL East
      • Atlanta Braves
      • Miami Marlins
      • New York Mets
      • Philadelphia Phillies
      • Washington Nationals
    • NL Central
      • Chicago Cubs
      • Cincinnati Reds
      • Milwaukee Brewers
      • Pittsburgh Pirates
      • St. Louis Cardinals
    • NL West
      • Arizona Diamondbacks
      • Colorado Rockies
      • Los Angeles Dodgers
      • San Diego Padres
      • San Francisco Giants
  • About
    • MLB Trade Rumors
    • Tim Dierkes
    • Writing team
    • Advertise
    • Archives
  • Contact
  • Tools
    • 2025 Trade Deadline Outlook Series
    • 2025-26 MLB Free Agent List
    • Contract Tracker
    • Transaction Tracker
    • Agency Database
  • NBA/NFL/NHL
    • Hoops Rumors
    • Pro Football Rumors
    • Pro Hockey Rumors
  • App
  • Chats
Go To Pro Hockey Rumors
Go To Hoops Rumors

Service Time Considerations For Top Prospects

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | February 28, 2012 at 3:00pm CDT

Timing the debuts of top prospects is essential for MLB teams. No club wants to expose a player to top competition before he's ready, but keeping a player in the minors when he could be contributing at the big league level is hardly appealing either. It's a balancing act.

Though a player's development generally determines his timeline to the Major Leagues, service time is undeniably a consideration. MLB teams can obtain an extra year of control from a player by delaying his debut and they can decrease his chances of qualifying for an additional year of arbitration with enough patience.

Heavily-hyped prospects often have carefully-timed debuts, and Baseball America's list of the game's top 100 prospects features those currently generating the most buzz. Of the 100 players on the list, 31 project to arrive in the Major Leagues in 2012. The chart below presents two key dates for each prospect who might make an impact this coming season.

First, there's the approximate date on which the team can call the player up while keeping him under control for an extra year — through 2018. Next, there's the approximate date on which the team can call the player up without setting him up for super two status and a fourth trip through arbitration. I've estimated conservatively when it comes to projecting super twos, since more players than before will qualify under the new CBA.

Updated ST Prospects '12

Yu Darvish and Yoenis Cespedes probably won’t be subject to service time manipulations given their distinctive contract statuses. The same likely applies to Matt Moore, who signed a long-term deal with the Rays, but I've included him on this list all the same. Keep in mind that many players not listed could also be subject to service time management by teams.

Share 2 Retweet 0 Send via email0

Uncategorized

Offseason In Review: Atlanta Braves
Main
Latest On Russell Martin
View Comments (26)
Post a Comment

26 Comments

  1. WonderboyRooney10

    13 years ago

    Terrific post. This is why I love this site

    Reply
  2. kräftig. entschieden

    13 years ago

    If Bryce Harper hits the FA market after ’17… he’ll just be turning 25. If he dominates like he’s supposed to, he’ll end up with the most ridiculous contract ever.

    Reply
    • Norberto Paulino™

      13 years ago

       That’s why if I’m the Nationals I wait as long as I have to to delay that.

      Reply
      • Lunchbox45

        13 years ago

        or get him to sign one of those evan longoria/matt moore deals.

        all the cool kids are doing it!

        Reply
        • Tom

          13 years ago

           Scott Boras

          Reply
      • Ok

        13 years ago

        Norberto’s right on the money.  If you are the Nats and you want to have him in his prime when he’s 27 or so, why would you bring him up now?  As Tom says, he’s not going to sign an extension with Boras as his agent.  Wait 2 or 3 years to call him up and get to keep him through his presumed prime age 27-28 seasons.

        Reply
        • Shane Heathers

          13 years ago

          That is an excellent idea in this way. The Nats could have their cake and eat it too. Boras has been playing games with teams for years. The Nats should forsce Boras’ hand by starting him at double A this year. Tell Boras they would be fine giving him three plus more years in the minors without any big league service time until May 2015 at which point Harper would be 22. This would allow the Nats to have him in 2015, 2016, 2017 at what ever price they want. Harper would be arbitration eligible in his 25-28 seasons not allowing him to hit free angency until he is 29 year old season. He already has 3 years remaining on his rookie deal at 2 million a year. Force Boras’ hand and the keep Harper locked up through the next decade or let him Put up mostrous numbers in triple A for the next couple years. If I were the Nationals I would leave him in tripple A this year and call him up in May of next year, afterall when was the last time a 19 year old position player made the team out of camp and really made a mark. Another year or two developing would be in the best interests of both parties.

          Reply
        • Sean Matrai

          13 years ago

          That is phenomenal idea except for the fact that Nationals park would deteriorate because they would be constantly trumped by the Braves and the Mets if they didn’t.The Nationals felt that with the 2nd past offseason to get werth and the last offseason move to acquire Gonzalez was enough to contend also considering that Strasburg was coming back from season ending surgery.

          Reply
    • Jose_Bautista

      13 years ago

      Just like Alex Rodriguez!

      Reply
    • Sean Matrai

      13 years ago

      either that or this could end up being a Miguel Cabrera 2.I don’t think Washington would sell Harper’s soul for 6 lousy prospects from another team.

      Reply
  3. jondogg2010

    13 years ago

    Simply put, you have an above average prospect such as Harper, Trout or Strasburg. Who cares about contact timing if you have a player who will not only cost less in the here and now, but someone you drafted. That’s why certain teams have been losing for a long time. They feel taking a flyer on a free agent for a one year deal and paying them is better than playing their stud and having to worry about Super Two. I don’t get why there is even talk about this. If you have a player who needs more time in the minors, great! But if you have a stud, play him.

    Reply
    • Norberto Paulino™

      13 years ago

      Because they want to retain the stud they developed a while longer. Now we are seeing teams extend young player and I think thats great but its an exception not the norm.

      Reply
    • notsureifsrs

      13 years ago

      bryce harper’s age 19 season is not likely to be as good as his age 20 season, let alone his age 24 season. so it isn’t just a question of timing; it’s also a question of quality

      on top of that, delaying the start of his rookie season by just a few months means gaining an entire additional season of control during his prime. that’s a season that’s potentially worth $10M-$20M, gained for the price of a couple months delay with a stopgap

      throw in the fact that the nationals, for example, have a better shot at contending after 2012 than during, and you have a pretty easy decision there

      Reply
      • patrick

        13 years ago

        less than one month delay necessary…so the math is, 1 month of his age 19 season versus his entire age 25 season…pretty simple really

        Reply
      • Twins GM

        13 years ago

        GREAT IDEA!  Lets just keep him in the minors till he is out of options so when he is called up he will be in his prime years.  Age 22-27 is much better than 19-24.  After all you want to max out his talent so why not wait so you get more bang for your buck right?  Who cares if he is hitting 40+ HR’s each year in AAA we want to save money!!!

        Reply
  4. garylanglais

    13 years ago

    Nolan Arenado (BA Rank 42) should be on this list and with 0.000 service time he would be part of that top group.

    Yes I saw that Ben said many others could be considered but it seemed this list dealt with the players in the BA top 100 who had a chance to play this season.  Arenado may break ST as the Rockies 3b.

    Reply
    • notsureifsrs

      13 years ago

      arenado was just above average in high-A last year. it would be pretty reckless of the rockies to call him up

      Reply
      • garylanglais

        13 years ago

        His competition is Casey Blake and little else. Dont sleep on him contributing as early as this season

        Reply
    • PhillyTwins

      13 years ago

      Well right now, if you google Nolan Arenado it says, Nolan Arenado will not by part of September call-ups.

      Reply
  5. melloken

    13 years ago

    Oversight? Devin Mesoraco is listed as SD, when it should be Reds!

    Reply
    • cubs223425

      13 years ago

      Probably a simple mixup with Grandal.

      Reply
      • 123redsox

        13 years ago

        who said meseraco?

        Reply
        • cubs223425

          13 years ago

          This is 6 months old. I don’t even remember what was going on in the slightest.

          Reply
  6. Sir_Larry

    13 years ago

    I’m confused…do the Rays gain anything by holding Matt Moore down in the minors this year, given he signed a contract already?  If not, why is he on this list?

    Reply
    • MatthewWHall

      13 years ago

      You obviously didn’t read everything

      Reply
    • MatthewWHall

      13 years ago

      You obviously didn’t read the whole thing.

      Reply

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Please login to leave a reply.

Log in Register

    Top Stories

    Yordan Alvarez Shut Down Due To Setback With Hand Injury

    Giants Exercise 2026 Option On Manager Bob Melvin

    Astros Place Jeremy Peña On Injured List With Fractured Rib

    Tucker Barnhart To Retire

    Tyler Mahle To Be Sidelined Beyond Trade Deadline

    Reds Release Jeimer Candelario

    Dave Parker Passes Away

    Griffin Canning Diagnosed With Ruptured Achilles

    Pirates Reportedly Have Very Few Untouchable Players At Trade Deadline

    Griffin Canning Believed To Have Suffered Achilles Injury

    Mariners Looking For Corner Infield Bats; Ownership Willing To Bump Payroll

    Wander Franco Found Guilty Of Sexual Abuse

    Mariners Place Rowdy Tellez On Release Waivers

    Max Meyer To Undergo Season-Ending Hip Surgery

    Whit Merrifield Announces Retirement

    White Sox Sign Noah Syndergaard To Minor League Deal

    Corbin Carroll Placed On IL With Wrist Fracture

    Hoops Rumors Has The Latest On NBA Draft, Free Agency

    Mets Option Francisco Alvarez

    Reds To Promote Chase Burns For MLB Debut

    Recent

    Mets Trade Donovan Walton To Phillies

    Colin Poche Elects Free Agency

    Trey Mancini Opts Out Of D-Backs Deal

    Padres To Select Eduarniel Nunez

    Brewers’ Connor Thomas To Undergo Elbow Surgery

    Yordan Alvarez Shut Down Due To Setback With Hand Injury

    Jorge Mateo To Miss 8 To 12 Weeks With Hamstring Strain

    Reds To Sign Buck Farmer To Minor League Deal

    Pirates Trade Hunter Stratton To Braves

    Rockies Designate Sam Hilliard For Assignment, Select Austin Nola

    MLBTR Newsletter - Hot stove highlights in your inbox, five days a week

    Latest Rumors & News

    Latest Rumors & News

    • Sandy Alcantara Rumors
    • Luis Robert Rumors
    • Alex Bregman Rumors

     

    Trade Rumors App for iOS and Android App Store Google Play

    MLBTR Features

    MLBTR Features

    • Remove Ads, Support Our Writers
    • Front Office Originals
    • Front Office Fantasy Baseball
    • MLBTR Podcast
    • Trade Deadline Outlook Series
    • 2025-26 MLB Free Agent List
    • Contract Tracker
    • Transaction Tracker
    • Extension Tracker
    • Agency Database
    • MLBTR On Twitter
    • MLBTR On Facebook
    • Team Facebook Pages
    • How To Set Up Notifications For Breaking News
    • Hoops Rumors
    • Pro Football Rumors
    • Pro Hockey Rumors

    Rumors By Team

    • Angels Rumors
    • Astros Rumors
    • Athletics Rumors
    • Blue Jays Rumors
    • Braves Rumors
    • Brewers Rumors
    • Cardinals Rumors
    • Cubs Rumors
    • Diamondbacks Rumors
    • Dodgers Rumors
    • Giants Rumors
    • Guardians Rumors
    • Mariners Rumors
    • Marlins Rumors
    • Mets Rumors
    • Nationals Rumors
    • Orioles Rumors
    • Padres Rumors
    • Phillies Rumors
    • Pirates Rumors
    • Rangers Rumors
    • Rays Rumors
    • Red Sox Rumors
    • Reds Rumors
    • Rockies Rumors
    • Royals Rumors
    • Tigers Rumors
    • Twins Rumors
    • White Sox Rumors
    • Yankees Rumors

    Navigation

    • Sitemap
    • Archives
    • RSS/Twitter Feeds By Team

    MLBTR INFO

    • Advertise
    • About
    • Commenting Policy
    • Privacy Policy

    Connect

    • Contact Us
    • Twitter
    • Facebook
    • RSS Feed

    MLB Trade Rumors is not affiliated with Major League Baseball, MLB or MLB.com

    Do not Sell or Share My Personal Information

    hide arrows scroll to top

    Register

    Desktop Version | Switch To Mobile Version