Tough news coming out of New York today as it was revealed that Matt Allan will undergo Tommy John surgery sometime this month, per Deesha Thosar of New York Daily News. Allan is the Mets’ top pitching prospect and their third-ranked prospect overall by both Fangraphs and Baseball America, who each place Ronny Mauricio and Francisco Alvarez in the top two spots.
Baseball Prospectus, however, slots Allan ahead of Alvarez as the Mets’ second-ranked prospect. Jeffrey Paternostro of BP wrote just a couple of days ago, “There isn’t a ton to look forward to in 2021 if you are a Mets prospect watcher. It’s a thin, top-heavy system. The top is quite good however, and Allan stands out as the prospect most likely to take a big step forward. His fastball velocity has continued to creep up as a pro, along with spin rates that push it into the plus-plus range. The breaking ball is a potential true hammer, and his changeup is coming along as well.” BP ranked Allan as the No. 79 prospect in all of baseball. He makes Fangraphs’ top-100 at No. 96, while Baseball America is a bit more bullish with a No. 86 valuation.
Allan was a third round draft pick in the 2019 draft. As such, the 20-year-old California native has just 10 1/3 innings of professional pitching to his name. After 8 1/3 innings in Rookie ball back in 2019, Allan was promoted to Low-A for one two-inning outing to close out his first professional campaign. He’ll now miss all of this season as well as a good chunk of 2022, tweets Newsday’s Tim Healey.
Wow. Again with the young guys, Giant upside getting TJ surgery. Honestly might be the biggest problem in baseball. Hope the kid undergoes successful surgery and he can still have a good future.
Sucks. Hopefully he’s good to go when he’s in the majors and gets it totally out of the way now. Is way worse IMO when you lose two years of service time because of it
Allen wasn’t a 3rd round pick for talent reasons; he was easily the best prep RHP in that draft. Kudoos to BVW for arranging his draft pool to pay (I think) 3M in order to sign him. FWIW, I thought he was the best HS pitcher I had seen in a while; tremendous repeatability in his delivery, used his legs the way the great ones do….
Too bad. Hope he comes back strong.
It sounds crappy, but it seems like it’s just a matter of time for a lot of pitchers. At least he has plenty of time to heal and work his way back into form.
Par for the course. It’s almost a ritual. Get TJS, add 4-6mph to your FB.
I wasn’t aware that Jordan Hicks was currently throwing 110.
DeGrom for example.
Jake deGrom had TJ surgery in 2010. He just started hitting triple digits this year.
He averaged 98.6 last year and his FB after TJS increased by almost 4mph. Since then, his FB has increased almost another 3mph on average and 7 mph before the surgery (topped out, not average).
Zach Wheeler – slider mph increase helped him vault into the second fastest, only behind DeGrom (all MLB).
Next up: Thor.
No, deGrom has been hitting triple digits since before than. Pitching Ninja showed some of that on his YouTube channel (shameless plug? =) during his 2019 season so it’s an obviously possibility he was before even than. Isn’t deGrom’s personal worshiper around to confirm this? Where are you MetsFan22! >=}
Padam –
So you’re trying to tell me he’s averaging approximately 101.6 now?
He’s hitting triple digits all of a sudden for a different reason…And let’s be honest, we all know what it is.
He is not hitting triple digits suddenly. As I already said, this can be seen on Pitching Ninja for the 2019 season. This is not new for deGrom.
Let’s all jump on the TJS merry-go-round
NOOOO!
He was easily my favorite Mets’ prospect, and he has a good head on his shoulders. Sad to see him go down like so…
Good grief. Now Wade Miley. The novelty of a no-hitter is starting to wear off.
Still disgusting they wont acknowledge bumgarners .. they tell mlb 7 innings are official. He pitched 7 no hit innings.what else could he have done
Tom1968 –
For real. Complete BS by MLB. They set the rules at 7 innings, which is incredibly STUPID to begin with. They didn’t even give Bum the opportunity to pitch 9 innings. He didn’t give up a hit to ANY BATTER HE FACED during the course of a regularly scheduled MLB game. Such a load of crap…but what else would you expect from Rob Manfred and MLB these days?
Who cares? It’s not like he gets a plaque for it or anything. He pitched 7 innings of no-hit baseball. Everyone saw it. We are acknowledging it.
Cant get a plaque if they wont acknowledge it.
Arizona should tell mlb screw you and recognize it in their history and give him a plaque.
Prayers for the kid. But this could be goood for him. Everyone gets it. (Almost everyone) better to get it out the way first.
Definitely, if it was inevitable then this is best case scenario. Development time will take a bit longer obviously but I’m thinking we should be able to hold the fort till he gets back.
He looked great in ST so this must have happened at the alternate site I presume. Oh well this pushes his ML start to 2024 after not pitching last season.
Sad that baseball has turned into an injury prone profession that yields mainly strikeouts, homerums, and 98mph fastballs. Hope the kid recovers.
The season is pretty much done for the Mets already. 4th place as predicted. If all the stories being written about your team are regarding stuff off the field then that’s when you know you’re in trouble.