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MLBTR Free Agent Prediction Contest Winners Announced

By Tim Dierkes | April 4, 2023 at 8:35am CDT

Back in November, nearly 6,000 MLBTR readers attempted to predict the landing spots of 44 top free agents.  Upon Jurickson Profar’s contract with the Rockies in late March, the winners were determined.

Coming in first place with 13 of 44 correct picks, a .295 batting average, was Steve Sacks.  Congratulations, Steve!  He’ll be receiving a check for $500 for his prognostication abilities.  Steve correctly predicted the signing teams for Aaron Judge, Trea Turner, Dansby Swanson, Jacob deGrom, Brandon Nimmo, Willson Contreras, Kodai Senga, Chris Bassitt, Jose Abreu, Taylor Rogers, Andrew Chafin, David Robertson, and Adam Ottavino.

Second and third place went to Jeffery Fruge and Andrew Farroll, who also received cash prizes.

Additionally, 28 people got at least ten predictions correct and will receive a free one-year subscription to Trade Rumors Front Office.  I topped the field of MLBTR writers, mustering a mediocre eight correct predictions.

The full leaderboard can be found here.  All winners have been notified, so if you got at least ten correct, check your email.

Check back here in about seven months, and we’ll do it all over again for Shohei Ohtani and all the rest!

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40 Comments

  1. Fraham_

    2 years ago

    Rigged

    2
    Reply
    • GmanGoon

      2 years ago

      Proof?

      1
      Reply
      • In Seager/Hader We Trust > the 70 MM DH Ohtani

        2 years ago

        MLB execs may have a leg up, along with agents, players, and insiders/family.

        Reply
      • Joe says...

        2 years ago

        Fraham obviously didn’t win. What more proof do you need?

        7
        Reply
        • GmanGoon

          2 years ago

          Joe says…

          Of course, brilliant!

          1
          Reply
    • johnrealtime

      2 years ago

      If it were rigged, it would be the easiest thing in the world to prove

      Reply
  2. abc123baseball

    2 years ago

    Adam Ottavino got only four right. I hope at least one of them was himself.

    2
    Reply
    • Fraham_

      2 years ago

      Is that actually him?

      2
      Reply
    • GONEcarlo

      2 years ago

      He did get himself!

      2
      Reply
  3. riffraff

    2 years ago

    Congrats to Steve but more importantly – whats his ID? It would kill me if it was one of the many idiots I have muted lol

    5
    Reply
  4. jaytibbs

    2 years ago

    I got 5 right. Yay for me. I also could have gotten 5 right if I had just picked every free agent to re-sign with their original team or if I had picked every free agent to sign with the Red Sox.

    1
    Reply
    • Chicken In Philly?

      2 years ago

      I don’t think the Sox signed five from the top 50 lol

      Reply
      • jaytibbs

        2 years ago

        Turner
        Jansen
        Chris Martin
        Kluber

        4, plus Yoshida. Close enough.

        2
        Reply
  5. Flanster

    2 years ago

    Got 8 right. Not bad for my first time doing this

    1
    Reply
  6. 2012orioles

    2 years ago

    More people got 0 than I thought would

    1
    Reply
  7. JoseCruz68

    2 years ago

    Woo woo I gotta whopping 2!!

    Reply
  8. Wiseoldfool

    2 years ago

    This dumb old man picked 4. Kudos to the winners. Enjoyed the contest.

    Reply
    • brewsingblue82

      2 years ago

      I also got 4. What hurt me was teams that went the trading route for upgrades I knew they were going to make I did predict the brewers to get a Contreras, just the wrong one lol

      1
      Reply
  9. Redsoxx_62

    2 years ago

    I should just have picked everyone back to their old team… easily would have gotten more than the one I ended up with

    2
    Reply
  10. hawksondamove

    2 years ago

    I got 7. Can anyone explain what the parentheses means under the rank? What determines it to be higher or lower?

    Reply
    • disadvantage

      2 years ago

      The numbers are the sum of the free agent rankings on the top 50. Lower is better because it means that the sum of your guesses contains more of the higher ranking free agents.

      For example, if two people got 2, but Player 1 chose Aaron Judge (1st ranking) and Josh Bell (12) correctly for a total of 13, but Player 2 chose Trea Turner (3) and Justin Verlander (8) for a total of 11, Player 2 would be the winner thanks to sum of their players being lower.

      1
      Reply
  11. brewsingblue82

    2 years ago

    The rest of us were designated for assignment

    4
    Reply
  12. hawksondamove

    2 years ago

    I got 7. Does anyone know what the parentheses means under the rank column in the list?

    Reply
    • Melchez17

      2 years ago

      Parenthesis is the tie breaker… forgot what it was. Maybe had something to do with getting the higher ranked free agents correct.

      1
      Reply
  13. hawksondamove

    2 years ago

    Sorry for repeat comments. Had server issues, but thanks for any replies.

    2
    Reply
  14. Melchez17

    2 years ago

    Steve Sax incognito?

    1
    Reply
  15. Lucky Strike

    2 years ago

    Yipping Steve Sacks.

    Reply
  16. GarryHarris

    2 years ago

    Two for me up from one every other year.

    Reply
  17. Redstitch108* 2

    2 years ago

    Looking at the list — you guys got Turner incorrect. He signed with the RedSox.

    1
    Reply
    • Tim Dierkes

      2 years ago

      Oh man – you’re right!

      I’m going to address this tonight and see how the results change. Stay tuned, sorry.

      1
      Reply
      • Tim Dierkes

        2 years ago

        This is especially odd because in the back-end where I choose the player’s new team, it does say Red Sox already. So I need to ask my developer whether the calculations for the winners are correct. It seems like possibly they are, since it’s showing Dodgers as an incorrect answer. But I’ll get to the bottom of it.

        Reply
    • Tim Dierkes

      2 years ago

      Upon review I haven’t found any issues with anything. What do you mean by we got Turner incorrect? If you picked Red Sox you were credited correctly.

      Reply
  18. Ignorant Son-of-a-b

    2 years ago

    It looks I was the only nimrod who entered under his screen name instead of real name. Missed the memo on that one.

    2
    Reply
    • TheGreatBaseballMind

      2 years ago

      Nope. You’re just an ignorant, son of a bi . . . KIDDING! 🙂

      1
      Reply
  19. acoss13

    2 years ago

    This was fun, it was my first time participating in the contest looking forward to next off season’s contest!

    2
    Reply
  20. vincent k. mcmahon

    2 years ago

    Congrats to the winners.

    1
    Reply
  21. 88dodgers

    2 years ago

    I will come back stronger next year

    3
    Reply
  22. The Saber-toothed Superfife

    2 years ago

    That was before I realized what a #%+_÷<÷ @%#^# @%@$@$ Chris Illich was…..
    I knew.it all along and what's his face was in cahoots….I knew that too….but every once in while you have to do.something.to keep the pidgeons interested….
    I.thought.it.was.time….I guess NOT!

    Reply
  23. User 1855579867

    2 years ago

    I did not enter. I decided to spend time with my kids instead.

    Reply
  24. DanzigInTheDark

    2 years ago

    Looked back at my entry, and what was I thinking? Nimmo to the Red Sox?? Drury to the Cubs??? RUCINSKI TO THE DBACKS????

    Don’t worry, I’m more disappointed in myself than any of you ever could be.

    1
    Reply

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