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MLBTR Chat Transcript

By Steve Adams | March 18, 2025 at 1:00pm CDT

Click here to read a transcript of Tuesday’s chat with MLBTR’s Steve Adams.

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MLBTR Chats

Reds’ Alex Young Seeking Second Opinion; Elbow Surgery Possible
Main
Angels Sign Travis Blankenhorn To Minor League Deal
View Comments (8)
Post a Comment

8 Comments

  1. tom brunanskys black sock

    9 months ago

    I like baseball

    6
    Reply
  2. 17dizzy

    9 months ago

    Why are the Cardinals Owners allowing John Mozeliak to be allowed to continue as President of the Cardinals baseball organization for the 2025 season.
    Why don’t they pay him off and Release him??
    The longer John Mozeliak remains in the Cardinals Organization —— the more damages he will do!! Damages which will take 10 or more years to resolve.

    2
    Reply
    • showmebb

      9 months ago

      Cards are fine. I’m looking forward to seeing the youngsters get a real shot this year. They should have done it last year instead of signing guys like Lance and Kyle who were never going to push the team in the playoffs . Because of the no trade clauses, they still have some quality veterans, giving this team a nice mix.

      3
      Reply
  3. Old York

    9 months ago

    A team with roster flexibility could wait out the March 23 cuts, then pounce on waived or released players whose value is mispriced due to spring training noise (e.g., Anderson’s 13.50 ERA, Young’s injury). Take Verdugo—his 2019-23 track record (2-3 WAR per 162 games) screams $10-15M annually, yet he’s unsigned because teams fixate on his 2024 slump and budget now. A data-driven front office could claim him off waivers or sign him post-release for $5M, stashing him for a week to dodge luxury tax thresholds (reset April 1) while betting on mean reversion. The same applies to Anderson (31.6% career K-rate) or Young (3.28 ERA over three years)—their spring struggles or injuries mask long-term upside, and the post-March 23 market reset could yield a 90th-percentile outcome (e.g., 2+ WAR) for pennies.

    The league’s obsession with Opening Day readiness blinds it to this fractal edge: the roster deadline isn’t the value deadline. A team like the Rays or Guardians could weaponize this, stockpiling talent in that 7-10 day window, then trading or integrating them by May when injuries hit. The chat’s silence on this—focusing on “who fits now?”—shows teams aren’t thinking four-dimensionally, leaving millions in surplus value on the table. It’s not just about who’s available; it’s about when the market’s dumbest, and March 24-31, 2025, might be the dumbest week of all.

    1
    Reply
    • Ignorant Son-of-a-b

      9 months ago

      I was once blinded to the fractal edge, then I dropped LSD and it all became clear. In regards to baseball, who is Anderson and Young? The names are so generic it’s not ringing any bells.

      Reply
      • Old York

        9 months ago

        @Ignorant Son-of-a-b

        Don’t you read the articles on here or are you just here for the social media fame? Here are your references:

        mlbtraderumors.com/2025/03/cardinals-nick-anderson…

        mlbtraderumors.com/2025/03/reds-rumors-alex-young-…

        Reply
        • Ignorant Son-of-a-b

          9 months ago

          I don’t read every single article. And when it comes down to players who are on the periphery of rosters on teams who I follow on a less granular level, those are the articles I skip the most. There is only so much time in the day and space in my brain for all this minutae. (If I was a fantasy baseball player I would likely hone on these sort of articles a bit more however)

          Reply
  4. avenger65

    9 months ago

    Question: How can a player be traded now, after/ before the trade deadline? I get the impression from some of the writers here that it can be done.

    Reply

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