On October 12th, I explained what it means when a free agent is offered arbitration and also made a few loose predictions. Tomorrow evening, those arbitration decisions will be upon us. As far as I can tell, there are 70 Type A/B free agents. It's time to commit to predictions on whether or not the player will be offered arbitration. Let me know where I'm wrong in the comments.
- Bengie Molina (A) - Yes
- Billy Wagner (A) – Yes
- Chone Figgins (A) – Yes
- Darren Oliver (A) – Yes
- Jason Bay (A) – Yes
- Jermaine Dye (A) – No
- John Lackey (A) – Yes
- Johnny Damon (A) – No
- Jose Valverde (A) – No
- Kevin Gregg (A) – No
- LaTroy Hawkins (A) – No
- Marco Scutaro (A) – Yes
- Matt Holliday (A) – Yes
- Miguel Tejada (A) – No
- Mike Gonzalez (A) – Yes
- Octavio Dotel (A) – No
- Orlando Cabrera (A) – No
- Orlando Hudson (A) – No
- Placido Polanco (A) – No
- Rafael Betancourt (A) - Yes
- Rafael Soriano (A) - Yes
- Randy Wolf (A) – Yes
- Adam LaRoche (B) - No
- Adrian Beltre (B) – No
- Andy Pettitte (B) - No
- Bob Howry (B) – No
- Braden Looper (B) – No
- Brandon Lyon (B) – Yes
- Brian Giles (B) – No
- Brian Shouse (B) – No
- Carl Pavano (B) – Yes
- Carlos Delgado (B) – No
- Chan Ho Park (B) - Yes
- David Weathers (B) – No
- Doug Brocail (B) – No
- Doug Davis (B) – No
- Erik Bedard (B) – No
- Felipe Lopez (B) - Yes
- Fernando Rodney (B) – Yes
- Fernando Tatis (B) – No
- Garret Anderson (B) – No
- Gregg Zaun (B) – No
- Guillermo Mota (B) – No
- Ivan Rodriguez (B) - No
- Jason Kendall (B) – No
- Jason Marquis (B) – No
- Joe Beimel (B) – No
- Joel Pineiro (B) – Yes
- Jon Garland (B) – No
- Justin Duchscherer (B) - No
- Kiko Calero (B) – No
- Mark DeRosa (B) - Yes
- Marlon Byrd (B) – Yes
- Melvin Mora (B) – No
- Miguel Olivo (B) – No
- Mike Cameron (B) – No
- Nick Johnson (B) – No
- Randy Johnson (B) – No
- Randy Winn (B) – No
- Rich Harden (B) – No
- Rod Barajas (B) – Yes
- Ronnie Belliard (B) – No
- Russ Springer (B) – No
- Scott Eyre (B) – No
- Troy Glaus (B) – No
- Vicente Padilla (B) – No
- Vladimir Guerrero (B) – No
- Will Ohman (B) – No
- Xavier Nady (B) – No
- Yorvit Torrealba (B) – No
That's 21 arb offers in total, which would be down from 24 last year. I'm on the fence on Molina, Valverde, Hawkins, and Hudson in particular. Thanks to all the journalists and others who offered feedback on these predictions, including Mike DiGiovanna, Tom Haudricourt, Todd Zolecki, Derrick Goold, Bob Dutton, Bill Shaikin, Mark Bowman, Kelly Thesier, T.R. Sullivan, Joe Christensen, Brian McTaggart, Chris Haft, Andrew Baggarly, Tracy Ringolsby, and Jon Paul Morosi.
